tadley
5
Estimated Prizes
this month
£25
Estimated Prize money
this month
tadley's Tips History
04 May 2026
20:00 Everton v Man City
Everton
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
Man City are expected to breeze through this in their bid for the title, but I don't see it being that straightforward. Their form hasn't been overly impressive of late. Squeezing past Burnley 1-0 and trailing to Southampton until the 82nd minute in the FA Cup. Everton are a very capable side on their day, and you can be sure they will be up for this. I think they can wreck City's title ambitions.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-105
Win
47
In their last three away games, Man City have won 11, 12, and 15 corners, so they look capable of covering this line by themselves. There were 14 corners when the sides met earlier in the season, and I suspect a similar amount today.
20:00 Sevilla v Real Sociedad
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
63% of Sevilla's home games have ended with both teams scoring, including 5 of their last 6. Real Sociedad are the best both-teams-to-score side in the league, with 79% of their games ending that way. So I like the Yes option.
19:15 Shaun Murphy v Wu Yize
Shaun Murphy
Win Match
50 WIN
@-120
Lose
-50
Wu has impressed with his cool and calm nature and ability to scrap, but I think he comes up second-best in this one. Murphy is arguably playing some of his best snooker ever and looks in the mood to win again.
17:30 Cremonese v Lazio
Lazio & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
Over half of Lazio's away games have seen them keep clean sheets, and six of Cremonese's last nine home games have seen them fail to score. So Lazio keeping a clean sheet looks a distinct possibility. It's just a case of whether they can score, and seeing as Cremonese have conceded 51 this time, I think they can.
17:25 5:25 Beverley
North Force
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG
@+900
Win
20
North Force made a fine seasonal debut, finished third, and saw out the race well. It now qualifies for handicapping and could easily be better than a Class 4 horse.
17:00 Fredrikstad W vs Storhamar W
Storhamar (W) -3.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@-133
Open
0
Storhamar have dominated Fredrikstad in head-to-heads, winning all six meetings. That includes 6-point and 16-point victories this season. They have been the far stronger side this season and look capable of winning by this margin.
17:00 Istra 1961 v Slaven Belupo
Slaven Belupo (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Istra 1961 have lost five straight, including a loss at home to bottom side Vukovar 1991. Slaven Belupo can't be said to be in good form either, but they did recently draw with second-placed Hajduk Split. What makes me favour them, though, is their recent record against Istra. They are unbeaten in the last six meetings, winning half of them.
15:00 Chelsea v Nottm Forest
Nottm Forest
50 WIN
@+379
Win
190
With the Champions League spots probably out of reach, surely Chelsea's priority will be the FA Cup final. Their league form has been awful of late, losing their last five without scoring. Forest are fighting for their survival and are making a good fist of it, being unbeaten in six. Last time out they were hugely impressive in despatching Sunderland 5-0. They are clearly playing the better football right now.
15:00 Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants T20
Lucknow Super Giants
Win Match
50 WIN
@+137
Lose
-50
The bottom two meet, having won just two games each. But looking at the odds, it looks like a one-sided affair. Mumbai Indians were one of the favourites to win the IPL this year, and looking at their squad it’s not hard to see why. However, they have not performed as well as expected, winning just two games. Their bowling is statistically one of the worst in the competition, so they look opposable at such short odds. LSG have had their moments but too often let games get away from them and lost in a Super Over last time. They generally bowl well, and this genuinely looks a 50/50 game.
14:30 2:30 Beverley
Lady Dublin
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+175
Lose
-50
Lady Dublin showed plenty of promise on debut despite dwelling at the start and getting boxed in. Nevertheless, it saw the race out well. It looked ever so green and should come on a ton from that run.
13:00 Elizara Yaneva vs Ayla Aksu
Ayla Aksu
Win Match
50 WIN
@+100
Open
0
Aksu got in as a lucky loser after losing 7-5, 7-6 to Costoulas. As she was 112 places lower in the rankings, it wasn't a bad effort. Prior to that she breezed through two qualifying matches, dropping a combined seven games. She actually met Yaneva on a hard court in February, running out the winner in straight sets.
13:00 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales vs Anouk Koevermans
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@+250
Open
0
The pair have met twice, each winning one match, and both meetings were on clay. Maristany won the last meeting and brings the more solid form. She lost a hard-fought three-setter last time to Kudermantova, but there's no disgrace in that. Prior to that, she was leading Francesca Jones before yet another retirement for the Brit. Those were two solid performances, which suggest she is in form to win this on clay. When Koevermans loses the first set, she has invariably gone on to lose the next, with this happening in her last 12 clay matches.
01:00 Players Championship 13
Wessel Nijman
50 WIN
@+700
Open
0
It's hard to ignore what Nijman has been doing in the Players event this year. He's reached two quarter-finals and five finals, winning four times. He also won a European Tour event for good measure. He usually goes off at double-figure prices, but the bookies have finally cottoned on and make him the 8.00 favourite. Nevertheless, he looks the one to be on.
Subtotal-93
03 May 2026
22:45 Cadillac Championship
Chris Gotterup
25 EW
@+2200
Lose
-50
Chris Gotterup had a great start to the year, mopping up both the Phoenix Open and the Sony Open in Hawaii. Although his form has tailed off a tad??"24th, 25th, and 6th in his last three starts is hardly disastrous. This venue looks far more up his street, though. The key to winning here is simply hitting it long and being consistent with the putter. Gotterup is one of the longest strikers on the tour, so he should be vying for another win.
Gary Woodland
25 EW
@+4000
Lose
-50
This is a monster of a course with five long par 5s, one being 667 yds. Even the par 4s are long, with six of the eight being over 450 yds. It's therefore an obvious advantage to hit the ball long here, and what's more, it's not a particularly tricky course. That makes Gary Woodland of interest, with only Potgieter hitting the ball longer on average. He brings strong form into this with a solid 8th last time out and a win at the Houston Open in late March.
20:00 Las Palmas v Valladolid
Las Palmas
50 WIN
@-113
Win
44
Valladolid haven't been travelling well, with 5 defeats and two draws from their last 7 away games. Las Palmas are going for promotion and come into this having won their last 5 home games, keeping 4 clean sheets. They are clearly the stronger outfit.
19:15 LA Dodgers @ STL Cardinals
LA Dodgers
Money Line
50 WIN
@-135
Win
37
Dodgers are a big-hitting side, but their bats have been cold of late. That won't last forever, and I expect them to come good in this one. Dustin May pitches for the Cardinals and has a 5.28 ERA this season. That isn't a real surprise, as his last two seasons saw him record 4.96 and 5.40 ERAs. What I like about this matchup is that he used to be with the Dodgers, so they will know exactly what to expect from him.
19:00 Aston Villa v Tottenham
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@+114
Lose
-50
Spurs got a crucial win away at Wolves last time, ending a run of 15 games without a win, having lost 9 of them. As much as they need a win, it looks a tall order to win at Villa. Villa are strong at home with the fourth-best home record in the league. Spurs simply lack the quality to win there.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-124
Push
0
Spurs have been winning a fair few corners of late, with their last 7 totals being 8, 6, 4, 13, 6, 7, and 5. Villa average 5.2 corners per game. With this likely to be an open game, I see this at least reaching 10.
18:40 SF Giants @ TB Rays
TB Rays
Money Line
50 WIN
@-129
Win
38
Matz pitches for the Rays. He has a 4-1 record this season. His ERA is 4.31, but I think he's better than that ??" his last two-season ERAs were 3.05 and 2.08. Tyler Mahle starts for the Giants; he has been wildly inconsistent. He's had two shutouts, but in his other three games he conceded 18 earned runs in 14 innings of work. The Rays have won 10 of 14 at home, so I give them the edge.
18:35 BAL Orioles @ NY Yankees
NY Yankees
Money Line
50 WIN
@-243
Win
20
Orioles have three pitchers sidelined with injuries, so they turn to Trey Gibson from the minors, who makes his debut. I don't see it going well in a stadium where batters perform well. The Yankees have a quality pitching lineup and will roll out Max Fried, who has been a top pitcher for many years. The Yankees are 10-1 against the Orioles recently and should cruise to victory.
18:03 Miami Grand Prix
Lando Norris
Win Race
25 EW
@+800
Win
15
He may start only 4th, but I don't see Norris being off the podium. He's shown good form this season, and the McLaren looks the best car this season. It may be tough to pass his teammate for the win, but over the long distance I wouldn't rule it out.
18:00 Miami Grand Prix
Lando Norris - Yes
Podium Finish
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Norris starts 4th, and it doesn't take a huge leap of faith to think he can climb one place. The McLaren is the quickest car this year, and he will be desperate for a good finish to limit the points deficit to his teammate.
Oliver Bearman - Yes
Points Finish
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Oliver Bearman hasn't excelled in qualifying but has been a different beast in the race. He did crash out last time, but in his first two starts he finished 7th and a fine 5th. He starts 12th, and moving up two places looks well within his capabilities.
Fernando Alonso
Fastest Lap
50 WIN
@+25000
Lose
-50
Alonso will have precious little to race for being near the back of the grid. However, he will always give it his all. If he has a sniff at the fastest lap, he will go for it. Aston Martin have a habit of making late pit stops, and this is a huge advantage in getting the fastest lap.
Lewis Hamilton - No
Top 6 Finish
50 WIN
@+250
Win
125
Hamilton starts 6th, but with Piastri starting just behind him, holding on to it may be tough. It looks 50/50 to me, so odds of 3.5 appeal.
17:30 Real Sociedad B v Burgos
Burgos (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-133
Push
0
Real Sociedad B have been in awful form, with just one point from their last seven games. Beating promotion-chasing Burgos therefore looks far from easy. Burgos were on an eight-game unbeaten streak, winning six before losing to fourth-placed Castellón. Last time they had a solid draw against second-placed Coruña and look capable of at least getting a draw.
17:00 Juventus v Verona
Juventus (AH) -1.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
With Lecce winning, Verona are now relegated, which had looked likely for a long time. It's been an awful campaign for them, with just three wins all season. Juventus are just two points ahead of Como for the last Champions League spot and can't afford to slip up in games like this. Juventus have already beaten the other two sides in the bottom three 4-0 and 5-0 at home and look capable of doing likewise.
16:45 Turkish Airlines Open
Darius van Driel
25 EW
@+10000
Win
475
Darius van Driel's best performances have come on tree-lined fairways. It's little wonder, as he always ranks high in the driving accuracy rankings. His one win on the DP Tour came at the tree-lined Kenya Open, and it's not the only time he's performed well on courses such as this. He was a solid 8th last time, so he carries momentum into this.
David Puig
50 WIN
@+1100
Lose
-50
Liv star David Puig tries his luck at the Turkish Open, and in fairness he is clearly the best player in it. He warmed up for this with a 2nd to Rahm in Mexico City, and if he produces his game he is surely the one to beat.
16:25 4:25 Hamilton
Ellies De Vega
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+600
Win
5
After 182 days off, Ellies De Vega returned and outperformed its odds with a fine third at 50-1. It didn't really see the race out, weakening in the final furlong. But with that run blowing the cobwebs off, it could go better today. It now drops a class to a level 6 handicap and looks fairly weighted off 9-0, receiving weight from all but a couple of outsiders.
16:00 Armagh v Down
Armagh
FT Result
50 WIN
@-277
Win
18
Down caused quite an upset when defeating Donegal, but I don't see lightning striking twice. They got everything right tactically, running hard and chucking plenty of men forward aggressively. Armagh will be ready for them and won't roll over like Donegal did. Armagh attack with purpose and should have the nous to win this.
16:00 Fana W vs Molde W
Fana (W) 1.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Fana caused a huge upset by winning the first game. But not just winning ??" they went to Molde and won by 14. I doubt very much they can replicate that, but putting 14 points on Molde shows that they aren't a side to be underestimated. Now at home, I expect another spirited performance.
16:00 Nantes vs Chambery Savoie
Over 61.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@-128
Win
39
Two good free-scoring sides, so I'm expecting a tally in the 60s today. When they met at Chambéry Savoie it ended in a 34-all draw. I'd expect Nantes to prevail being at home, but they may have to work hard to do so.
16:00 Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen T20
Peshawar Zalmi
Win Match
50 WIN
@-136
Win
37
Zalmi have dominated the league, winning 9 of 10, with their top order doing most of the lifting. Babar Azam has been particularly impressive, scoring two centuries. Hyderabad look an ordinary side on paper, but you can't knock what they've been doing. I think they simply look second-best, and Zalmi bat second, which has been a major plus on these wickets.
15:30 Man Utd v Liverpool
Man Utd
50 WIN
@+129
Win
65
Liverpool's attacking threat has taken a big blow with both Mohamed Salah and Hugo Ekitike out with injuries. Not that they've been particularly good on the road anyway, with only 7 wins from 17. Man United are strong at home, winning 6 of their last 7. I give them the edge.
Benjamin Sesko
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+162
Win
81
Benjamin Šeško has been struggling to start games, with him mostly playing bit parts. That hasn't stopped him netting 10 times this season, though. He seems to have established himself in the starting lineup now, with him scoring last time against Brentford. I like his chances today.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-113
Lose
-50
Man United have been racking up the corners at home of late, with them winning 7, 11, 6, 7, and 7 in their last five games. Liverpool games are the fourth highest in the league for corners, with Liverpool averaging 6 per game. The reverse fixture at Anfield had 13 corners, so I like the over.
15:15 Getafe v Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Rayo Vallecano have the second leg of the Conference League semi next week against Strasbourg, with them leading 1-0, and surely that must be their priority. They have struggled away in the league anyway, with just 12 points all season. Only goal difference separates Getafe from a European place, so their motivation should be a lot higher than Rayo's.
15:00 Hull FC v Toulouse Olympique
Hull FC -22.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Having watched York Knights rip through the Toulouse defence at will for a 24-point win last time, I worry about Toulouse defensively. Hull's controversial decision to part ways with head coach John Cartwright hasn't affected their on-field performances. On the contrary, they put in arguably their best performance of the season last time when blitzing Castleford 50-10 away. If they bring that intensity today, they can distance Toulouse quite easily.
15:00 Rochdale v Scunthorpe
Rochdale
50 WIN
@-133
Win
38
Rochdale finished on 105 points, and it would be a travesty for them if they failed to get promoted. It may not be straightforward against Scunthorpe, who have drawn both games with Rochdale this season. However, Rochdale have the meanest defence in the league, and Scunthorpe have conceded more goals than any other side in the top 10. So I think Rochdale just do enough.
14:40 2:40 Hamilton
Square Necker
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@-110
Win
45
After changing trainers, Square Necker ran a fine second to Constitution Hill last time. That was in a Class 2 Novice Stakes, and at 9-2 it should have every chance of going one better.
14:00 Bournemouth v Crystal Palace
Draw
50 WIN
@+320
Lose
-50
Bournemouth are unbeaten in 14, but they have been very drawish, drawing 8 of them. Palace are playing OK, with their only losses in the last 7 being to Man United and Liverpool. The game between these two earlier in the season ended all square, and I suspect so will this.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Bournemouth can rack up the corners on their day, as shown by the 12 they won last time against Leeds. Palace haven't been a great corner-winning side, but last time at Liverpool they won 8. The reverse fixture between these two went over, and I think this can as well.
Over 4.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@-113
Lose
-50
Rob Jones is the ref who seemingly loves to dish out the cards, with 16 of his 27 games seeing him dish out 4 or more, and 12 times showing 5 or more. I don't see him holding back against two sides who pick up their fair share of cards. Palace are averaging just over 2 yellows per game plus a couple of reds, and Bournemouth have 76 cards this season. So I'd expect this to at least see 4.
14:00 HSV Hamburg vs TVB Stuttgart
Tie
Money Line
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Hamburg are a terribly inconsistent side, struggling to put two back-to-back wins together. As a result, they haven't won two on the trot since October. They won last time, and despite being strong favourites, they may struggle to shake Stuttgart off. Stuttgart lost to leaders Magdeburg last time but prior to that were unbeaten in seven, drawing five of them. I think they can claim another draw.
14:00 Kildare v Westmeath
Westmeath
FT Result
50 WIN
@+162
Lose
-50
Luke Loughlin is out for Westmeath with a hamstring injury. He's a big miss, but Westmeath are still a good side nonetheless, with a whole host of goal scorers in the side. They attack with purpose and energy and look capable of winning as underdogs.
13:00 Celta Vigo v Elche
Elche
50 WIN
@+375
Lose
-50
Celta Vigo are going for a European spot and Elche are fighting to avoid relegation. They were 15 points apart just three games ago, but now it's down to just six. That is because Celta have lost three on the trot while Elche have won their last three. Celta Vigo have just four points from their last seven games, including a home loss to struggling Alavés when they conceded four. Elche have climbed four points away from the relegation spots. They bring the stronger recent form.
13:00 Odense BK v Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF (AH) 0.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+101
Win
51
Silkeborg had an awful regular season but have performed better in the relegation league with three wins and a draw from their last four. They have performed well against Odense, winning two and drawing one of the three meetings this season. That's now five games unbeaten against them. I can see them getting something out of this.
12:30 Carlisle v Boreham Wood
Draw
50 WIN
@+275
Win
138
Carlisle finished third on 95 points, so will be expected to win this. However, Boreham Wood are a strong side and are unbeaten against Carlisle this season, winning at home and drawing away. They've won four on the trot, keeping a clean sheet in all, so I can see them getting the draw.
12:00 Hibernian v Celtic
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-166
Win
30
Celtic are involved in a three-way battle for the title and can't afford to drop points, sitting three points behind Hearts. This looks far from straightforward as Hibs won 2-1 at Celtic Park in July. I think if Celtic want to win this they may well need a couple, so I like the Over.
11:00 Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders T20
Kolkata Knight Riders
Win Match
50 WIN
@+129
Win
65
Sunrisers have always been a good betting side but haven't impressed with the ball. KKR are on a roll after winning their last two. Chasing appears to give teams a significant edge, so Sunrisers' decision to bat first looks like a mistake.
07:05 Cronulla Sharks v Wests Tigers
Wests Tigers 7.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Sharks are a very capable side going forward but are suspect defensively. They have conceded far too many points, such as 46 to the Cowboys, 34 to the Roosters and 38 to the Dolphins. Tigers are outperforming expectations and are looking like an above-average side. They've won 5 of 7, with their two losses being by 2 and 4 points. I'd expect them to at least keep this close.
01:00 Oscar Duarte Jurado v Angel Daniel Fierro Barrera
Oscar Duarte Jurado
Win Fight
50 WIN
@-909
Win
5
Oscar Duarte Jurado is a solid professional. Although he has fought largely average fighters, he has done little wrong. Angel Daniel Fierro Barrera has lost 3 of his last 4 bouts, all to opponents significantly weaker than Jurado, so I don't see an upset.
Subtotal517
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