tadley
9
Estimated Prizes
this month
£55
Estimated Prize money
this month
tadley's Tips History
18 March 2025
19:45 Halifax v Dag & Red
Halifax
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
The only thing that's keeping Dag & Red out of the relegation zone is goal difference, and on their current form, they may well slip into it. It's now 14 games since a win, and even that was over bottom side Ebbsfleet. Halifax are in much better form, having won their last three and now find themselves inside the play-off spots. This looks like a good opportunity to cement that spot.
19:45 Rotherham v Wycombe
Richard Kone
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Kone missed 4 games due to injury and then played just 88 minutes spread over his next three games. He failed to score in those games, but when playing the full 90 minutes last time against Peterborough, he scored Wycombe's goal. Now that he's back into the swing of things, I think he can add to his tally of 17, which is the best in the league. The rest of the players on both sides are unreliable goal scorers. It's notable how Wycombe's form has tailed off when he hasn't been playing, so I'm not bothered about their recent dip in form.
Subtotal-100
17 March 2025
20:45 The Players Championship
Tom Hoge
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@126.00
Lose
-50
I would have no interest in backing Hoge for the outright as he seems incapable of putting 4 solid rounds together. Strangely though, his best round is usually his first, and he then drops away. In his last five tries here, 4 times his opening round has been in the 60s. He showed similar form at the start of the year, posting a 64 in round 1 at the Sentry and Sony Opens, only to fall away.
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19:50 The Players Championship
Aaron Rai
25 EW
@61.00
Lose
-50
Aaron Rai finished a respectable 4th at the Mexico Open and followed that up with an 11th last time. The highlight was an impressive 67 on Saturday. That course wasn't really ideal for him, with it suiting long hitting over accuracy. But this one looks right up his street, favoring straight accurate hitting. That's his forte. Plotting his way around courses like this should see him to his best effect.
Cam Davis
25 EW
@151.00
Lose
-50
Cam Davis is never one to put your mortgage on as he can sometimes lose his head and throw in shocking rounds. His A game is top notch though, and he was a solid 6th here in 2023. These types of courses generally suit him better, and when his putter is hot, he can putt with the best. At 150-1, he is worth a small tickle.
Keegan Bradley
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Keegan Bradley had a shocker last week on Saturday at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, posting a 76 to ruin his chances. However, on Sunday he ripped apart the course with a 64, including a stunning 7 under par 29 over the first 9 holes. His game is obviously in good nick, and a 5th here in 2022 shows he is capable on the course.
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Ludvig Aberg
Top European
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Ludvig Aberg finished a respectable 8th here on debut last year, which was a good effort for his first attempt. He comes into this having recently won The Genesis Invitational, beating some quality players. I expect him to be there at the business end.
Subtotal-250
16 March 2025
22:00 Emmet Brennan v Kevin Cronin
Emmet Brennan
Win Fight
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
A rematch from last September, which was a close affair that Brennan won by decision. Cronin started the better, but Brennan hung in there and finished the better, taking the win. Brennan is still unbeaten and is a solid rather than spectacular fighter. Cronin has had plenty of fights, but most have been against poor performers with poor win-loss ratios. The only two half-decent fighters that he has faced are Brennan and Morrissey, and he lost to them both.
19:45 Atalanta v Inter Milan
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
It's now 5 games since Inter won on the road, so I wouldn't be confident of backing them to win. Atalanta have drawn 4 of their last 5 home games. I don't think either side would be unhappy with the draw.
19:45 PSG v Marseille
PSG
50 WIN
@1.44
Win
22
It's a top of the table clash, but in all honesty, PSG are the far superior team. They are still unbeaten and 16 points clear. Marseille have lost 2 of their last 3 and simply don't have the quality of PSG.
Ousmane Dembele
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@5.00
Win
200
Dembele has now scored in his last 5 home league games, and I like his chances of doing so again today. He scored the opener against Liverpool and has been banging in the goals of late with 24 goals in their last 19 games. I think he will be keen to score in this top-of-the-table clash.
19:00 Leicester v Man Utd
Man Utd
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
As bad as Man United have been this season, this is a game that looks very winnable for them. They won the game at Old Trafford 3-0 and also beat Leicester in the EFL and FA Cups. Leicester are in awful form at the moment, losing their last 5 without scoring a single goal.
Bruno Fernandes
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@3.25
Win
112
Bruno Fernandes is United's most likely scorer. He bagged a hat-trick last time against Real Sociedad, scored United's only goal against Arsenal, and has now got 6 in his last games. Leicester are woeful at the moment, leaking plenty of goals, so I like his chances.
17:30 Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Real Sociedad have lost their last 5 away games, scoring just one goal and letting in 12. In their 13 away games, they have scored just 8 times. Rayo Vallecano have just one point from their last 4 games. However, they had a bad run of fixtures playing Real Madrid, Barcelona, Villarreal, and Sevilla. They are a capable side on their day and should be too good for the poor travelers.
16:30 Heidenheim v Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
The bottom two meet and Kiel look a bit long at 4.00. Holstein Kiel have the better attack than Heidenheim and have now scored in 11 of their last 12 games. Heidenheim defend, but they have been struggling to score at home of late. From their last 11 home games, 7 times they have failed to score. I therefore think Kiel, with their better attack, look the value.
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Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.70
Win
35
The bottom two sides meet, and often when that happens, there are goals on either side given the poor defenses. Despite their lowly position, Kiel are a great 'Both Teams to Score' side with over three quarters of their games ending with both scoring. I think both score in this one.
16:15 Montpellier v St Etienne
St Etienne
50 WIN
@3.25
Void
0
St Etienne have an uninspiring record under new manager Eirik Horneland of W1 D4 L5. But their losses were to quality sides such as PSG (1st), Marseille (2nd), Nice (3rd), Lille (5th), and in-form Rennes (12th). They play the hapless Montpellier who, despite being bottom, start as favorites. Montpellier look and talk as if relegation is already done, losing their last 6 games and scoring just once. St Etienne have scored in 9 of their last 10 games, so I think they can win this.
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Lucas Stassin
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@9.50
Win
425
Montpellier are simply dreadful at the moment. They are leaking goals and have only scored once in their last 6 games. St Etienne have scored in 9 of their last 10 games. That includes goals against the top three sides: PSG, Nice, and Marseille. I'm therefore confident that they will score but not so Montpellier. In terms of the first goalscorer, I like Stassin. The lone striker has scored in 3 of his last 4 games, including the first goal last time.
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15:15 Racing Santander v Tenerife
Racing Santander
50 WIN
@1.70
Win
35
Tenerife put in a fine performance to beat Huesca last time, but they are still 14 points away from safety. Despite that win, I expect them to lose today. They have been awful on the road with just 3 points all season. Racing Santander had an indifferent start to the season at home but have picked up with 3 wins from their last 4. They are now just one point off the top, so can't afford to drop points in a game like this.
15:00 Dundee Utd v Dundee
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Dundee are the best side in the Premiership for both to score, with only 8 games failing to see both score. When this game was played earlier in the season, it ended 2-2, so I like the yes option.
13:30 Arsenal v Chelsea
Arsenal
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
It's incredible that a side like Arsenal is struggling to field a striker. Their lack of quality strikers has come back to bite them with no wins in three. Despite their lack of goals, they are dominating possesion, claiming 65, 68, and 68% in those games. They are still creating plenty of chances, and surely there is enough quality in the side to convert them against Chelsea. Chelsea have won their last two, but you'd expect that against Southampton and Leicester. I just don't think they have the quality to break down Arsenal, so I think the Gunners can win a low-scoring game.
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13:30 Fulham v Tottenham
Draw
50 WIN
@3.90
Lose
-50
With Spurs now through to the Europa League quarter-finals, that will surely be their priority over the league. They are playing better now with three wins and a draw from their last 5 league games. Although not their priority, they won't want to lose any momentum, so would be happy with a draw in this. Fulham have an uninspiring home record of W5 D5 L4. I think Spurs can get the draw.
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Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.55
Lose
-50
Fulham are the best side in the league for both to score, with 21 of their 27 games ending with both scoring. Spurs games are averaging 3.4 goals per game, the highest in the league. They've scored 55 and conceded 41. So I'm expecting goals from both.
13:00 Leganes v Real Betis
Real Betis
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Leganes did win last time, but they are still in the relegation spots. They will be eager to win this, but this looks tricky. Real Betis have snuck into the European spots after 4 wins on the trot, including a win over Real Madrid. They are currently in the Europa Conference League spot and may have their sights set even higher. They really need to beat teams like Leganes.
07:15 Canterbury Bulldogs v Gold Coast Titans
Canterbury Bulldogs
To Win
50 WIN
@1.42
Win
21
Gold Coast Titans play their first game, so it's hard to definitely say how strong they are. They were poor last season and ended it with 5 straight defeats. They have recruited some solid players, so they may fare a bit better this time. However, Bulldogs already have a win under their belts, winning away at St. George Illawarra and started last season with 10 straight home wins.
04:00 Australian Grand Prix
Lando Norris
Win Race
50 WIN
@2.40
Win
70
After qualifying, it appears that McLaren, as expected, are the strongest team. Verstappen gave it his all but simply wasn't fast enough, and the Ferraris disappointed down in 7th and 8th. Qualifying doesn't always indicate how fast a car is ifor the race but I'd be surprised if McLaren isn't the best car out there in the race. It's therefore a battle between the McLaren duo, and Norris is usually slightly quicker and has the pole.
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Oscar Piastri - Yes
Podium Finish
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Whether the McLarens disappear over the horizon remains to be seen, but it does look like the quickest car out there. Piastri has shown that he isn't far behind Norris, and I just don't see two other drivers being fast enough to push him off the podium.
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Isack Hadjar - Yes
Points Finish
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Rookie Hadjar impressed in qualifying even though he just missed out on Q3 with an 11th place finish. He was the best placed rookie despite some of the other rookies being employed by better teams. With Tsunoda finishing 5th, it shows that the Racing Bulls aren't a bad car this year. It won't take a lot for Hadjar to move up just one place into the points.
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Lando Norris
Fastest Lap
50 WIN
@3.60
Win
130
The fastest lap can be won by many different drivers as they often stop late for fresh tires to grab the point. However, this season the bonus point has been dropped, so it's likely to go to a genuinely fast car. In my opinion, that's Norris, so he looks the bet.
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02:10 Marvin Vettori v Roman Dolidze
Roman Dolidze
Win Fight
50 WIN
@2.30
Win
65
A rematch of their first encounter in 2023, which Vettori won. However, Dolidze has come on a ton since and looks a better all-round performer. His TKO win over Kevin Holland shows this, and he now looks an adept finisher. His aggressive style and punching power could be too much for Vettori this time.
00:40 Alexander Hernandez v Kurt Holobaugh
Kurt Holobaugh Decision or Technical Decision
Outcome 5-Way
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Hernandez is a powerful puncher and has the ability to win this with a KO. However, he tends to slow down later in the match. Holobaugh is the more accurate puncher and has the edge on the mat. If he weathers the predicted Hernandez early storm, he should impress enough to win on points.
00:10 DaMon Blackshear v Cody Gibson
DaMon Blackshear
Win Fight
50 WIN
@1.22
Win
11
Blackshear is the better puncher, but both fighters will want to get to the mat as that is their specialty. Gibson is a capable grappler but does struggle when coming up against good grapplers. He often uses his size to his advantage but won't be able to do that against Blackshear. Blackshear is a better technical wrestler, and his losses have all come against top-notch opponents. He should win this.
Subtotal955
15 March 2025
20:00 France v Scotland
France -16.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Other than a 1-point defeat to England, France have been hugely impressive. They beat Wales 43-0, Italy 73-24, and probably most impressive of all, beat Ireland away 42-27. It's not often that a side can go to Ireland and overpower them like that. I simply can't see Scotland containing their powerful game, and they could run away with this.
19:30 Dublin v Galway
Galway
FT Result
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Dublin aren't impressing this season and went down by 8 to Armagh last time. They are struggling to score points and look vulnerable in this one. Galway are unbeaten and have more firepower than Dublin. I think they can win this.
19:00 Oldenburg vs Hamburg Towers
Oldenburg
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.55
Win
28
Oldenburg may struggle away, but their home form is very impressive. Of their 10 games played, they have won 9 of them. Hamburg have lost 8 of their 11 away games, so I like Oldenburg.
18:00 Down v Westmeath
Down
FT Result
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
Down have been a tad disappointing, and relegation is still a possibility. With that in mind, this looks like a must-win game for them. Even though not at their best, they should take care of a weak Westmeath side. Their superior attack should see them to victory.
17:45 Wigan v Hull FC
Over 44.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.90
Win
45
After an astonishing 0-0 with Leigh, Wigan just can't stop scoring tries. They met Hull last month, winning 46-4, and followed that up with a stunning 48-24 win over Warrington in the US. I simply don't see Hull being able to contain them. But I do think Hull are a bit better than the 4 points in the league game would suggest. So I'm expecting tries in this one.
17:30 Bournemouth v Brentford
Brentford
50 WIN
@4.40
Win
170
Brentford were awful on the road at the start of the season with just 2 points from their first 9 games. They turned that around in style by winning their last 4, banging in 12 goals. Bournemouth have impressed this season but have just one win from their last 5. Brentford won the reverse fixture 3-2 and look over-priced at 4.4.
Yoane Wissa
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@3.40
Win
120
Yoane Wissa is a clinical finisher with a conversion rate of over 20%. With Bournemouth wobbling a little and Brentford scoring at least two goals against Bournemouth in their last 4 meetings, I like his chances.
17:30 Kerry v Armagh
Kerry
FT Result
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Armagh had a fine win over Dublin, but Dublin are looking pretty mediocre at present. So I wouldn't get too carried away with that result. Kerry look like a good side going forward and on home turf should be too strong.
17:30 Rostock Seawolves vs Syntainics MBC
Over 165.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Last time out, Syntainics were involved in a high scoring 211-point game. In fact, that's now their 4th game in a row that went over with the totals being 184, 188, and 174. Rostock's have gone off the boil of late and dropped out of the play-offs after 3 straight losses. They failed to post decent totals, but I don't see that lasting. They are capable of better, and the last 4 meetings between these two ended with 217, 208, 182, and 180 points.
17:30 Telekom Bonn vs Brose Bamberg
Brose Bamberg
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.55
Lose
-50
A battle between two sides battling near the bottom, but I favor Bamberg. They come into this on the back of two straight wins, including an upset win over Bayern last time. Bonn have lost 6 of their last 7, so I like the away side at odds against.
15:30 Kilkenny v Limerick
Limerick -5.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
After losing to Clare, Limerick brought in some of their star players and duly thrashed Galway by 12. Kilkenny lost to Cork and Tipperary and simply aren't putting enough points on the board. A strong Limerick side should cover this line.
15:00 Airdrieonians v Livingston
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.87
Win
44
Airdrie are adrift at the bottom with 53 goals conceded from 28 games. They are leaking goals at an alarming rate but usually find the net. They have scored in 9 of their last 10 games, failing only to score against leaders Falkirk. The three previous games this season between the sides went over, and I suspect the same will happen today.
15:00 Altrincham v Aldershot
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Aldershot have been a good side lately for both to score, with 12 of their last 15 ending with both sides finding the net. Altrincham are the best side in the league for both to score, with 66% ending that way.
15:00 Arbroath v Dumbarton
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-50
The two best sides in League One for overs meet. Arbroath have seen 19 of their 28 games go over, and Dumbarton aren't far behind with 18 of 28. All their previous three meetings this season went over, and this could well do the same.
15:00 Bonnyrigg Rose v Stirling
Stirling (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.92
Win+Push
23
Bonnyrigg Rose are favorites despite being bottom and picking up just one point from their last 6. That includes losing their last three home games. Stirling are still in with a chance of the play-offs, sitting just three points away. They've won 3 of their last 5, and although they generally don't travel well, this looks a good opportunity for them. On the Asian even a draw yields a profit.
15:00 Carlisle v AFC Wimbledon
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
Two of the best unders sides in the league for unders with Wimbledon having 24 of their 36 going under and Carlisle having 13 of their 35 go under. Carlisle's last 6 games have all gone under with an average of just 0.83 goals per game.
Carlisle #1-0
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Carlisle look a lot more solid under Mark Hughes. The wins aren't really coming with just one , but they have conceded just three goals in their last six matches. Wimbledon are starting to struggle on the road with no wins in their last six games. They scored just two goals in those games, so 1-0 Carlisle appeals.
15:00 Charlton v Wigan
Charlton
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
Wigan are a tough side to break down on the road with the 14 conceded, the lowest total in the league. On the flip side, they have scored just 15. Charlton have put themselves firmly into the play-offs with their last 12 games reading W9 D2 L1. Their one defeat was to leaders Birmingham. They've kept 4 clean sheets from their last 5, and one goal may be enough today.
Charlton #1-0
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Wigan on the road are a tough side to break down with just 14 points let in all season. In 9 of their last 10 away games, they have conceded or one goal. Charlton are in great form but haven't been banging in the goals with their last three games ending 1-0, 0-0, and 1-0. I therefore like the 1-0.
15:00 Elgin v Clyde
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Elgin's form has fallen off a cliff with 6 straight defeats and just 2 goals to show for it. I don't see them scoring more than one today. Of their 28 games, only 11 have gone over. Clyde can be involved in some high scoring games, but most of their games go under. The last time they met, it ended 0-0, so I like the under.
15:00 Everton v West Ham
Everton
50 WIN
@2.15
Lose
-50
I had my doubts that David Moyes would make a difference at Everton, but there is no doubting that they are playing a lot better now. They are now unbeaten in 8 with 4 wins. Graham Potter hasn't quite made the same impact at West Ham. They did beat hapless Leicester and had a fine upset win at Arsenal, but overall they have been uninspiring and rely too much on Bowen to create things. They never really looked like scoring last time against Newcastle, so I don't see them breaking down this solid Everton defense. I think Everton do enough to win.
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Under 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
West Ham won 9 corners against Brentford last month, but that was the only game in their last 11 that they won a good amount. In the other 10, they won 0, 0, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, and 3. Everton are averaging 4 corners per game, so I don't see this going over.
15:00 Grimsby v Salford City
Grimsby
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Grimsby lost to 4th placed Notts County last time, which ended a run of 8 games unbeaten, including 5 wins. Salford are slipping away from the play-off places after a run of 6 games without a win, including 3 defeats. They were thrashed 4-0 at home by Chesterfield last time, so Grimsby are clearly playing the better.
15:00 Inverness CT v Annan Athletic
Inverness CT
50 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-50
Inverness CT are a far stronger now under Scott Kellacher and have had a good run to move well clear of the relegation zone. They have won 7 of their last 10, including a fine 4-1 win over promotion-pushing Stenhousemuir. Annan are 2nd bottom and have lost their last 4, letting in 12 goals. This looks like a good opportunity for another win for Inverness.
15:00 Ipswich v Nottm Forest
Nottm Forest
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Although just 6 points from safety, Ipswich are showing nothing to suggest that they can climb clear. They have picked up just one point from their last 8 games. Forest had a fine win over Man City last time and should see this as a great opportunity to cement their top 3 spot.
Chris Wood
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@2.40
Lose
-50
Chris Wood has now gone 4 games without a goal, his worst run of the season. He will be desperate to get back on the score-sheet and has a good opportunity against Ipswich. Ipswich have let in 30 goals in just 14 home games, including 14 in their last 4. Even Southampton put two past them. I therefore like Wood's chances.
Under 10.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Nottm Forest don't win many corners despite their lofty league position, with an average of just 4.2 this season. They do concede a lot, but I don't see that happening against Ipswich. Ipswich don't win many either, with their last 13 games being 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, and 6. I see this staying under.
15:00 Man City v Brighton
Draw
50 WIN
@4.40
Win
170
After getting thrashed 7-0 by Forest, Brighton have won 6 games in all competitions, including cup wins over Newcastle and Chelsea. They also claimed league wins over good sides like Bournemouth, Chelsea, and Fulham. Man City are not the force they were, with 5 defeats from 9 in all competitions. Brighton look up to claiming the draw.
Erling Haaland
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Haaland may not be at his best, but he has still bagged 20 goals this season. Man City always score against Brighton, and despite the presence of Marmoush, he still is their most likely scorer.
Under 10.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
There were just 4 corners when the sides met earlier in the season, and I like the unders again. In Brighton's last 6 games, they have won 1, 2, 3, 6, and 6 corners. Against Man City, I'd expect them to be at the lower end of that. Man City have been unreliable for corners of late, winning 2, 3, 7, 7, 2, and 2 in their last 6 games. I therefore like the unders.
15:00 Notts County v Chesterfield
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Notts County are the third highest scoring side in the league with 55 goals this season. Despite being down in 14th, Chesterfield are the 2nd best side for goals with 56. They put 4 past Salford last time, so I'm expecting goals in this one.
15:00 Queens Park v Falkirk
Falkirk
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Queens Park have lost 4 home games on the trot, including to Hamilton, one of the 3 sides below them. Falkirk top the table and won this fixture earlier in the season. With Queens Park struggling, I like Falkirk.
15:00 Shrewsbury v Burton Albion
Burton Albion (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.82
Win
41
Shrewsbury are bottom with no wins from their last 7 games, including 5 defeats from their last 6. With even a draw yielding a profit for Burton, they appeal. Burton occupy the last relegation spot, so they need to pick up wins in games like this. They have lost their last two, but Wycombe and Bolton were tricky matches. Prior to that, they had lost just 2 of their previous 10 games.
15:00 Southampton v Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton
50 WIN
@2.05
Win
52
Wolves are missing key player Cunha, but they should still be too good for Southampton. Wolves are struggling down in 17th, which is surprising as they are a very capable side on their day, as recent wins over Bournemouth and Aston Villa show. Southampton are rock bottom and haven't even reached double figures yet. They conceded 14 goals in their last 4 games, so this looks a good opportunity for Wolves.
Jorgen Larsen
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@3.40
Win
120
Southampton are out of their depth in the Premier League and are leaking goals at an alarming rate. They have conceded at least 3 goals in 8 of their last 9 league matches, with only Ipswich failing to get three. Jorgen Larsen was in great goal-scoring form earlier in the season but went off the boil, and a thigh injury that kept him out for a few games didn't help. However, this looks an ideal opportunity to get back to scoring against a terrible defense.
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Under 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.88
Win
44
The line has moved from 10.5, but I still like the unders. Southampton win only 3.4 corners on average at home, and Wolves win just 3.5 when away. If they play to their average, this should stay under.
15:00 St Johnstone v Aberdeen
St Johnstone
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Aberdeen have halted their horrible run of 14 games without a win, including 10 defeats. Recent wins over Kilmarnock and Dundee have put their season back on track. However, I'm not convinced that they are playing like a top 4 side. St Johnstone are bottom, but they have won 3 of their last 6 and won away at Livingston in the cup last time. It wouldn't surprise me if they won again.
14:30 Augsburg v Wolfsburg
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Augsburg are a good side for both to score, with just 44% ending in both scoring. However, I think both score this weekend because of their opponents. Wolfsburg have seen 80% of their games end in both scoring, including their game against Augsburg earlier this season.
14:30 Werder Bremen v Borussia Mgladbach
Borussia Mgladbach (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.82
Win
41
Borussia Mgladbach are a solid away side and come into this having won their last 3 away games. With even a draw yielding a profit, they are worth a look. Werder Bremen shocked Leverkusen last time with a 2-0 away win, but they aren't the sort of side to back that up. They do better on the road as they have won just three times at home.
12:30 Millwall v Stoke
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
The last 6 meetings between these sides went under, and I think this will as well. Millwall are one of the best sides for unders in the league, with only 10 of their 37 going over. Both sides are averaging a goal per game, so I like the unders.
11:45 Tirreno Adriatico 2025 Stage 6
Giulio Ciccone
Win Outright
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Giulio Ciccone is outside the top 10, so he will be able to attack on the final climb without the general classification riders chasing him. He is a fabulous rider on steep climbs and packs a solid finish for a climber. I think he has a good opportunity today for the stage win.
08:35 Canberra Raiders v Brisbane Broncos
Canberra Raiders 11.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Broncos were impressive 50-14 winners over the Roosters last week. But Roosters hadn't hit their stride yet with many key players missing. I simply don't think that the Broncos are that strong that they can win this by 12. Raiders were impressive 30-8 winners over the Warriors and now on their own path. I think they at least keep this close.
06:30 North Queensland Cowboys v Cronulla Sharks
Cronulla Sharks
To Win
50 WIN
@1.36
Win
18
Cowboys were woeful in round 1 against the Sea Eagles, trailing 42-0 before a late rally with the game ending 42-12. They were woeful in defense, and I doubt they can turn things around quickly. The fact the Sea Eagles were beaten by 20 by the Warriors yesterday doesn't look good for the Cowboys. Sharks played well enough last week but lost by 6 to the Panthers. Nevertheless, they are looking the stronger side.
04:00 St George/Illawarra Dragons v South Sydney Rabbitohs
Under 50.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Although the Rabbitohs won 16-14 last week, I wasn't really impressed with them, and they offered little in the 2nd half. The Dragons lost 20-28 to the Bulldogs, and they may struggle to break down a solid enough Rabbitohs' defense. I don't see either side getting enough points to take this over.
Subtotal706
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