tadley

6

Estimated Prizes
this month

£30

Estimated Prize money
this month

tadley's Tips History

08 March 2026
21:25 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Ludvig Aberg

25 EW

@+4000

Open

0

There have been positive signs of improvement from Aberg in his last two events. He was slow out of the blocks in both, posting a 72 and 75, but responded well with rounds of 66, 66, 67, 68, 69, and 69. If you cut out the loose first round, he should go well here, as he won in 2023.
20:00 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik

Over 22.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@-120

Win

41

Mensik brings the better and more consistent form, but this could be tricky for him. Davidovich Fokina has had Mensik's number, winning the last three meetings, including a 3-2 win at last year's Australian Open. I see this being a hard-fought, close encounter, so I like the over.
20:00 Ben Shelton vs Learner Tien

Over 24.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@-105

Win

47

This could be a close one. Shelton is the more accomplished player, but he's had to battle hard of late, needing a final set to win all of his last five matches. Tien is a fierce competitor who is adept at playing the big points well. I see him hanging in there and taking this to a final set.
20:00 Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka

Camila Osorio

Win Match

50 WIN

@+150

Lose

-50

The pair met here last year, with Osorio winning rather cosily in straight sets. Osorio was dominant on serve, dropping just one game. She has been in fine form of late, whereas Osaka has played just one match since retiring from the Australian Open.
19:30 Mexico vs Suriname T20

Mexico

Win Match

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

Mexico are ranked 82nd in the ICC T20, while Suriname are 83rd, so it looks close on paper. However, Mexico look a side on the up, while Suriname appear to be regressing. Suriname failed to impress in the World Cup sub-regional Americas qualifiers, winning just two of their eight matches. Mexico had a fine win over Brazil last time and appear to bring the stronger form.
18:00 Aryna Sabalenka vs Jaqueline Cristian

Jaqueline Cristian 6.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@+110

Lose

-50

Sabalenka could easily blow Cristian away, but I believe Cristian is strong enough to win six games. She isn't fazed by powerful players and is happy to trade shots with them from the back of the court. She has a good serve herself and can hang in there.
18:00 Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev

Win Match

50 WIN

@-333

Win

15

Zverev has had no problems dealing with Nakashima in the past, winning all five meetings, with the overall set score being 13-2. He had a surprisingly easy win over a tricky Berrettini last time and looks in form to win again.
18:00 Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova

Sorana Cirstea

Win Match

50 WIN

@-136

Lose

-50

The pair met last month in Dubai, with Cîrstea winning comfortably 6-1, 6-4. She may be 38, but she appears to be playing as well as ever after winning the title in Romania without dropping a set. Nosková just can't get any momentum, toggling between wins and losses in her last six. With her resurgent form, I like Cîrstea.
17:30 USAM Nimes vs Limoges 87

Tie

Money Line

50 WIN

@+700

Lose

-50

The reverse game at Limoges ended in a tie, and a similar result wouldn't surprise. Limoges are the stronger side, sitting in 4th, but Nîmes are strong at home with 8 wins from 10. This could go either way, so the tie appeals.
17:00 Kristiansand vs Baekkelaget

Tie

Money Line

50 WIN

@+700

Lose

-50

Kristiansand have had a disappointing season but have won their last two coming into this, including a fine win over sixth-placed Nærbø. Bækkelaget are below Kristiansand in the league and lost by one in the reverse fixture. However, they have done well on the road of late, with their last five results being W3 D1 L1. I see this being close, making the tie of interest.
16:30 QPR v Middlesbrough

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-124

Lose

-50

Three quarters of QPR's home games have ended with both teams scoring. Despite being second, Middlesbrough have kept many clean sheets on the road, with QPR conceding in their last 12. I therefore think both teams will score.
16:15 Jonny Clayton vs Gerwyn Price

Over 16.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

Price has dominated Clayton in the past but hasn't been blowing him away of late. The two recent Premier League meetings resulted in Price winning one 6-5 and Clayton winning the other 6-3. With Price just sneaking through in the last leg against Barry yesterday, I expect Clayton to hang in there.
15:00 Huddersfield Giants v Hull KR

Under 50.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@-109

Win

46

KR are expected to get the bulk of the points, and an 18.5-point handicap start suggests they would need around 35 points for this to go over. I just don't see that happening based on what they've shown. They have been unimpressive so far, losing to York and getting whalloped by the Rhinos in Vegas. In their two games they have scored just 24 points. In their one home game, Huddersfield lost 16-18 to Wakefield, so I think they will defend well enough to keep this under.
15:00 Leeds Rhinos v Castleford Tigers

Leeds Rhinos -18.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

Leeds started their campaign with a loss to Leigh but responded in style by thrashing York and then stunning KR in Las Vegas 58-6. Croft is a big loss for them, but if they play anything like they did in the US, they can blow away a Castleford side who are looking fairly ordinary.
14:45 Joburg Open

Calum Hill

25 EW

@+2800

Lose

-50

Calum Hill had fine recent 2nd places in Bahrain and Qatar. Although just T20 last week, his form was still there with two strong rounds of 65 and 67. He won this last year, so should go close.
14:30 Cayman Islands vs Argentina T20

Argentina

Win Match

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

Cayman Islands have been playing some good but inconsistent cricket, but look a little short in the betting. Argentina are no mugs and did well when beating Brazil recently. I see this being closer than the odds suggest, so at 3.00 Argentina look the value.
14:15 James Wade vs Rob Cross

Over 16.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

Both players have impressed so far. Wade thrashed MVG yesterday 10-3, and Cross has beaten quality players like Van Veen and De Decker. Wade is the favourite, but Cross rarely goes down without a fight, so I like the over.
13:30 India vs New Zealand Final

New Zealand

Win Match

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

India posted an impressive 253 in the semi against England but only got home by 7 runs. England's bowlers just weren't good enough to restrict India, but New Zealand should fare better. South Africa showed, when they bowled them out for 111, that if you can get into India's top order they can crumble. New Zealand have some quality bowlers with pace and spin and bat well enough to cause an upset.
13:30 Port Vale v Sunderland

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-111

Win

45

Sunderland have scored just eight away goals in the Premier League this season. So despite playing League One side Port Vale, I don't see them scoring many. Port Vale are a lot stronger after sacking Darren Moore and don't concede many. They are also fairly toothless in attack and held Championship side Bristol City to 0-0 at full time in the last round. I just don't see many goals in this one.
13:00 Gaziantep Genclik Spor vs Gebze Genclik

Gaziantep Genclik Spor

Win Match

50 WIN

@-120

Lose

-50

Gaziantep won the away game at Gebze 3-1 and now have home advantage. Gebze have won just 2 of their 10 away games, so I can see a similar outcome.
13:00 Halkbank Ankara vs Ziraat Bankasi

Halkbank Ankara

Win Match

50 WIN

@+259

Lose

-50

The top two meet, and I'm surprised the odds are so far apart given what both sides have shown. In the reverse fixture, Halkbank won 3-0. With home advantage this time, I can see them winning again.
12:00 Fulham v Southampton

Fulham & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

Southampton have scored in all but one away game this season. So, despite being a league lower, I think they can score. However, Premier League Fulham are a solid side and should have the beating of Championship side Southampton.
08:00 Tuskers vs Dolphins One Day Match

Dolphins

Win Match

50 WIN

@-188

Void

0

Tuskers are looking the weakest side in the event with two poor performances so far. Dolphins lost to a strong Warriors side but responded well by beating Titans next time with strong batting and bowling performances. They look a level above Tuskers.
03:40 Caio Borralho v Reinier De Ridder

Reinier De Ridder

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

This, to me, looks closer than the odds suggest. Both are highly accomplished wrestlers, so either could end it that way. On their feet, De Ridder, to me, has the edge. He is more technical and packs more power in his punches.
02:40 Drew Dober v Michael Johnson

Drew Dober

Win Fight

50 WIN

@-105

Win

47

Johnstone jabs well and puts his opponent under a lot of pressure early in fights. However, he does have a tendency to struggle as the fight progresses. This could be fatal against Dober, who is happy to scrap all day and has a solid chin. I expect him to take over as the fight progresses, and he has the power to end this.
07 March 2026
21:00 Avious Griffin v Jorge Arturo Ibarra Rodriguez

Jorge Arturo Ibarra Rodriguez

Win Fight

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

Griffin has done little wrong, with 18 wins and one loss, including an impressive 17 KOs. He is a powerful puncher, but it's telling that his only half-decent opponent, Julian Rodriguez, stopped him. Julian Rodriguez lacks Griffin's power but has been involved in much better fights. If he avoids a quick knockout, he can cause an upset.
20:30 Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca

Karen Khachanov to win 2 - 1

Set Betting

50 WIN

@+359

Lose

-50

Fonseca's fitness doesn't seem at its best at the moment, with him losing 5 of his last 7 games. All 4 of those best-of-three-set matches saw him winning a set before fading late on. Khachanov will battle all day, and I'd expect him to edge the final set if it goes to one.
20:30 Michael van Gerwen vs James Wade

Michael van Gerwen -1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@-124

Lose

-50

Wade is a tricky player to beat and thrashed Clemens 10-2 and upset Dobey in the previous game. He also beat van Gerwen in the Players event last month. However, MVG is playing well again, as shown by his win over Aspinall in his first game. He has the scoring power to pull away from Wade, so if his doubling is on song he can win this.
20:30 Valentin Vacherot vs Nuno Borges

Valentin Vacherot

Win Match

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

Borges ended a five-game losing streak when beating Nava in round 1, but his overall form has been disappointing. Vacherot continues his rise up the rankings and has an impressive 45??"19 win/loss record on hardcourt since 2024. He brings the best form into this and looks the most likely winner.
20:00 Newcastle v Man City

Newcastle

50 WIN

@+225

Lose

-50

Newcastle love a cup tie and can be sure of a passionate crowd behind them tonight. They come into this on the back of a fine win over Man United last time and have already beaten City in the league this season.
19:45 Daryl Gurney vs Rob Cross

Rob Cross -1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@-102

Win

49

Gurney did well to overcome in-form Ross Smith, but this looks a tricky match for him. Cross impressed by knocking out Van Veen and in-form De Decker. He showed battling qualities to come from behind in that one and is basically a stronger player than Gurney.
19:00 Martin Lukeman vs Jonny Clayton

Over 15.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@+100

Win

50

Lukeman loves this event and always seems to bring his A game. He was the outsider in the last round against Razma but destroyed him 10-3. Clayton is obviously quality, but I just don't see him running away with this.
19:00 Sebastian Baez vs Jiri Lehecka

Sebastian Baez

Win Match

50 WIN

@+234

Win

117

Baez is better known as a clay player, but he has been showing surprisingly good form on hard courts of late. Lehecka's powerful serve shouldn't faze him, as he has recently beaten big servers like Fritz, Mpetshi Perricard and Shelton. He already has one match under his belt, so he will know the conditions. He looks solid value at 3.35.
19:00 Stephen Bunting vs Josh Rock

Over 10.50

Total 180s

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

Bunting isn't always a big 180 hitter, but on his day he is capable. Rock can hit 180s for fun and it what promises to be a close match. I can see this going over.
17:45 Wrexham v Chelsea

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-227

Win

22

Chelsea could easily cover this kind by themselves, but they are likely to rotate, meaning they will lose their chemistry in defence, giving a dangerous Wrexham side chances to score. Wrexham have scored in all but one league home game, so I can easily see them adding to the tally.
17:15 Galway v Kilkenny

Kilkenny

FT Result

50 WIN

@+162

Lose

-50

Galway have started the season well enough, but this looks a tough fixture. Kilkenny were unlucky to lose to Cork last time. They outscored Cork 15 points to 12 with a strong defensive performance, but the three goals conceded was the difference. There was an awful lot to like about that performance, so I like them in this one.
17:00 Ademar Leon vs Angel Ximenez Puente Genil

Ademar Leon

Money Line

50 WIN

@-555

Win

9

Ademar did lose at home to a good CD Bidasoa Irun side last time, but won their previous four home games and look a solid home side. Puente Genil have lost six straight away games, so I don't see an upset.
16:40 Italy v England

Italy

To Win

50 WIN

@+225

Win

112

After beating Wales well in their opener, England have been poor in their subsequent two games, losing to Scotland and getting thrashed 21??"42 at Twickenham by Ireland. Italy are a stronger side these days. They beat Scotland and were competitive against Ireland before, unsurprisingly, getting turned over by France. With home advantage, I can see them upsetting England.

Italy 8.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@-120

Win

41

England did beat a poor Italy side. They were very disappointing since losing to Scotland and getting thrashed 21??"42 by Ireland. Italy are no pushovers these days. They beat Scotland and were competitive against Ireland before, losing to France. They look capable of at least hanging in against a disappointing England side.
15:00 3:00 Sandown

Burds Of A Feather

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@+332

Void

0

Birds of a Feather won handsomely last time, leaving its rivals in its wake. This is a tougher assignment, but the manner in which it won suggests there is more to come.
15:00 Altrincham v Truro City

Altrincham

50 WIN

@+104

Win

52

Altrincham have had a real mixed bag of results but are capable on their day, as wins over 6th-placed Scunthorpe and 4th-placed Boreham Wood show. Truro are rock bottom and have just 7 points on the road all season, so this looks winnable for a decent Altrincham side.
15:00 Burton Albion v Stevenage

Burton Albion (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@-108

Lose

-50

Burton have won their last two home games, including a fine 3-0 win over 5th-placed Stockport last time. Stevenage have lost their last six away games, conceding 3, 3, 3, 3, 2 and 2 goals. I can see Burton at least getting a draw.
15:00 Charlton v Birmingham

Charlton (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@+100

Win

50

Charlton aren't doing too badly of late, with 2 wins and three draws from their last 7 games. They face a Birmingham side that have generally struggled on the road, with only six teams having a worse away record. I can see Charlton getting something out of this.
15:00 Chester v Darlington

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-175

Win

28

Darlington are a good BTTS side, with 75% of their games ending with both teams scoring. At home, 14 of Chester's home games have ended with both teams scoring, so I like the Yes option.
15:00 Cove Rangers v Peterhead

Draw

50 WIN

@+229

Lose

-50

Cove have been somewhat draw specialists at home of late, drawing 4 of their last 6. Peterhead have drawn 3 of their last 4 away games, and in what looks a close game the draw appeals.
15:00 Derby v Sheff Wed

Derby (AH) -1.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@+104

Lose

-50

Wednesday have lost 8 straight away games, conceding 20 and scoring just two. That's an average of 2.5 goals conceded per game. Derby are a capable side on their day and look up to beating a side like Wednesday by at least two.
15:00 Edinburgh City v Stranraer

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-149

Win

34

Edinburgh's first 11 games resulted in both teams scoring, including the earlier home game against Stranraer. Their last two have broken that sequence, but they may well get back to their usual ways in this one. Seven of Stranraer's last nine games have resulted in both scoring, so I like the Yes option.
15:00 Ipswich v Leicester

Ipswich

50 WIN

@-192

Lose

-50

Although Leicester manager Gary Rowett had two draws in his opening games, the loss at home to Norwich last time seems to show that they haven't really turned a corner. Ipswich are really strong at home and have won 8 of their last 9, drawing the other. They should see off a weak side like Leicester.
15:00 Leamington v AFC Fylde

AFC Fylde #2-0

50 WIN

@+600

Lose

-50

Fylde are a strong side and have won 7 of their last 11 away games. They kept 6 clean sheets in the process and look capable of getting another today against Leamington. Leamington have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 home games and conceded 2 or more in 6 of their last 8 home games, so 0-2 looks about right.
15:00 Macclesfield FC v Chorley

Macclesfield FC

50 WIN

@-105

Lose

-50

Macclesfield lost 4-1 at home to a quality Fylde side, but prior to that they won six on the trot, scoring 19 goals in the process. Chorley have won just one of their last 15 away games, so I like the home win.
15:00 Newport County v Colchester

Newport County

50 WIN

@+350

Lose

-50

Colchester are an awfully short price considering their recent away form. In their last 8 games they have W1 D3 L4. Newport have found life a struggle this season, but in their last 4 they have beaten Salford and Tranmere 3-1 and drew with Fleetwood. They look a solid price at 4.5.
15:00 Sheff Utd v West Brom

Sheff Utd

50 WIN

@-124

Lose

-50

Chris Ramsey failed spectacularly to turn around West Brom's fortunes and was duly sacked after just 44 days. They now hover perilously close to the relegation zone, so it's worth opposing them until we see improvement. Sheffield United manager Chris Wilder, by contrast, has turned around their fortunes, particularly at home, with them winning 7 of 10, with their two defeats being to the top two, Middlesbrough and Coventry. This looks very winnable for them.
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15:00 South Shields v Curzon Ashton

South Shields

50 WIN

@-400

Win

12

Curzon Ashton aren't the strongest side on the road, with just one point from their last five away games. This looks a tough fixture away to leaders South Shields. South Shields are unbeaten in 15 and have won six of their last seven home games, scoring 19 in those games. They should be too strong.
15:00 Yeovil v Scunthorpe

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

Scunthorpe may be in the play-offs, but they are leaking goals at an alarming rate, conceding at least 3 or more in 5 of their last 6, including 6 at home to Boston. Yeovil are playing OK, so I see goals in this one.

Yeovil (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@-128

Lose

-50

Scunthorpe are still safely in the play-offs, but if they keep playing like they do they may not be for much longer. They have just 2 points from their last 6, and more worrying is that they conceded at least 3 in 5 of those games. Yeovil have won their last two home games and could upset a Scunthorpe side that are leaking goals at an alarming rate.
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15:00 York v Eastleigh

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-303

Win

17

York are a great overs side, particularly at home, with 14 of their last 15 home games going over 2.5. Eastleigh's last seven away games have gone over. The reverse fixture contained six goals, so I like the over.

York & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+160

Win

80

York score for fun at home with 54 goals from 18 games. However, they do concede most of the time, letting in a goal in 8 of their last 10 home games. Eastleigh were thrashed 4-0 by Morecambe in their last away game, but prior to that had scored in their last 6 away games. I therefore like York, and yes.
14:27 2:27 Sandown

Brace For Landing

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1000

Lose

-50

With Knickerbockerglory out, Dan Skelton's hopes lie with Barce For Landing. It hasn't shown much in its two races in the UK, but the yard had a large string to choose from and are bullish about its chances. They are clearly expecting it to take a large step forward, so it is a very interesting contender.
14:10 Scotland v France

France

To Win

50 WIN

@-357

Lose

-50

Scotland beat England, but have overall been unconvincing. This looks a tough assignment against a French side that look a class apart, having won by 25, 22, and 42 so far. They look unstoppable going forward and can rip through this Scottish defence.

France -10.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

Scotland were impressive in beating England, but they always raise their game against England, and England hardly franked the form when getting crushed by Ireland next time. France look a class apart and have thrashed Italy by 25, Ireland by 22, and Wales by 42. Their backline are frightening and clinical going forward. They have scored 30 tries and look good enough to ease past this line.
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13:50 1:50 Sandown

Cinquenta

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1100

Lose

-50

Ciquenta got off the mark last time, winning rather cosily, and there looks to be more to come. This is a tougher race, but the way it ran last time puts it well in the picture.
13:45 Peter Wright vs Danny Noppert

Danny Noppert

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-400

Win

12

Wright showed he isn't quite finished yet with wins over Labanauskas and Menzies. However, this looks tougher. Noppert is a really tough player to beat in major events and hit a fine 9-darter yesterday. He should be too strong for Wright.
13:00 Gary Anderson vs Martin Schindler

Over 16.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@+125

Win

62

The pair have had two recent meetings, with both going to a final leg and each winning one 6-5. Schindler can blow hot and cold, but when he gets momentum he can be a tough nut to crack, so I see this being competitive.
13:00 Martin Lukeman vs Madars Razma

Martin Lukeman 2.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@-111

Win

45

Razma made hard work of beating Long, needing a final leg to beat a player he was expected to beat. Lukeman always goes well here and was a quarter-finalist in 2024. He has come through nicely and is 2-0 against Razma and should at least hang in there.
13:00 Ross Smith vs Daryl Gurney

Ross Smith

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@-227

Lose

-50

Gurney had a solid enough win over Zonneveld in the last round, but this looks tougher. Smith is in fine form after beating Dobey 8-2 in the final of Player Event 5. He's now won 12 of his last 13 matches and brushed aside former winner Gilding with ease in the last round. He is clearly throwing the better darts.
12:30 Boreham Wood v Brackley

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-175

Win

28

Brackley lost 3-2 away at Rochdale last time on the road, which was impressive as it was only the second time Rochdale has conceded more than one goal at home. Despite that, they still lost the game. This highlights that they score goals but also leak goals. Boreham Wood have had 24 of their 35 games go over, with an average of 3.2 goals per game. So I like the over.
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12:30 Cardiff v Lincoln City

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-142

Lose

-50

The top two clash and I can see both scoring. Cardiff have scored in all but one home game this season and are averaging 2.5 goals per home game. Lincoln are in good form as well and have scored in their last 19 games, so I think both can score.
12:15 Mansfield v Arsenal

Draw

50 WIN

@+1000

Lose

-50

Arsenal should win this easily, but with the European clash against Leverkusen on Wednesday they are likely to rotate heavily. That should enhance Mansfield's hopes of getting a result. Upsets do happen, and at 10.5 they look worth a small punt to get a draw.
11:00 North West Dragons vs Boland One Day Match

North West Dragons

Win Match

50 WIN

@-136

Lose

-50

Boland have played the two bottom sides, winning one and losing one. Although they won well enough against KwaZulu-Natal Inland, their bowling was poor against the Titans. They look vulnerable to a North West Dragons side that impressed with bat and ball when winning their opener.

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