tadley
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tadley's Tips History
14 February 2026
23:00 Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton
Win Match
50 WIN
@-175
Win
28
Both have similar styles. The difference is that Shelton does it a bit better and more consistently. They've met three times, all in 2024, with Shelton winning them all. He's had some tricky matches in Dallas but came through them, and I think he will do the same today.
18:30 Kildare v Derry
Kildare
FT Result
50 WIN
@+200
Lose
-50
Kildare have started well with a well-earned draw with Tyrone and an impressive win over Offaly last time. They name the same starting lineup and are looking a half-decent side these days. Derry beat Tyrone, but Tyrone named a weak side and Derry really should have won more comfortably. I like the outsiders in this one.
17:30 Hull FC v Bradford Bulls
Under 46.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Hull look a strong side and are expected to run away with this one. However, Bradford survived a tricky away day in the Challenge Cup at London Broncos. Broncos look a cut above the rest of the Championship, but Bradford restricted them to just 8 points with none coming in the second half. I don't see them rolling over.
17:00 Kerry v Galway
Kerry -4.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-136
Lose
-50
Kerry were disappointing in losing to Donegal and will be keen to bounce back. The All-Ireland champions look a much stronger outfit, and if they play some of their stars they look capable of winning this with ease.
17:00 Meath v Louth
Meath
FT Result
50 WIN
@-454
Win
11
Louth upset Meath in last year's Leinster final, and now it's time for revenge. Louth have started the season poorly, squeezing past Offaly, and were always second best to Cork. Meath, by contrast, have impressed in their two wins and are looking lethal up front.
17:00 Monza vs Padova
Monza
Win Match
50 WIN
@-227
Win
22
Padova have won six games, but all bar one were against the bottom three sides. Their other win was a last-set decider at home to Lube Civitanova. Monza have won their last two home games, including an impressive whitewash of fourth-placed Modena. They have the clear edge.
16:55 4:55 Newcastle
Pit Boss
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+750
Win
12
Pit Boss beat today's favourite Spartan Fighter 10 days ago and now gets in here on 3 lb better terms. If reproducing that level today it should have a serious chance.
16:40 Scotland v England
England -8.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Contrasting form coming into this, with England thrashing Wales and Scotland being upset by Italy. To be fair, Scotland didn't cope well with the conditions and should be better at Murrayfield. However, England are looking a good side these days. They are physically strong and their kicking was spot on last week. They should have too much for Scotland.
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15:00 3:00 Ascot
Your Darling
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Win
25
Young Darling is a solid sort who travels well and should be on the premises. It went down by a neck last time, even though 3 miles looked a tad too long. It likes it at Ascot, and back down in trip I'm expecting a good performance.
15:00 AFC Fylde v Alfreton Town
AFC Fylde
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Fylde are in fine form at home, winning six on the trot and scoring five goals in three of those games. Alfreton have just 11 points on the road, so this looks a tough ask to get anything out of this.
15:00 Barrow v Colchester
Colchester
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
Barrow have lost their last 5 and have just one win from their last 16 games. Colchester are a solid enough side and come into this having won 4 of their last 6. A trip to Barrow looks very winnable for them.
15:00 Bradford v Peterborough
Kyrell Lisbie
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-50
Bradford may be 6th, but they aren't in great form, losing 4 of their last 5. Peterborough are going well on the road, winning 5 of their last 7, so I like them for the first goal. Kyrell Lisbie is in fine form, scoring in 5 of his last 8, including a hat-trick against Wigan. At double figures he is tempting.
15:00 Burnley v Mansfield
Burnley
50 WIN
@-227
Lose
-50
Burnley carry momentum into this after a surprise win at Crystal Palace midweek. League survival is obviously their priority, but that looks a long shot. Anyway, recording rare back-to-back wins would give them some momentum, so they should be up for this. They really ought to see off a side like Mansfield.
15:00 Cambridge Utd v Bristol Rovers
Cambridge Utd
50 WIN
@-133
Win
38
Cambridge suffered a shock defeat last weekend when losing to bottom-side Harrogate. I think it was just one of those games, and they responded well with a comfortable 3-0 win at Crawley. Rovers have improved under Steve Evans, but that has largely been at home. Cambridge have the best home record in the league and should have too much firepower for Rovers.
15:00 Cardiff v Luton
Cardiff
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Luton are strong at home but pretty ropey on the road, with just one point from their last six away games. This looks a tough ask for them against leaders Cardiff. Cardiff are strong at home, winning nine and drawing one of their last ten. They average 2.33 goals per home game and should be too strong for Luton.
15:00 Chester v Buxton
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-149
Lose
-50
The stats of Chester's home games and Buxton's away games suggest both will score. 81% of Chester's home games end with both teams scoring, and 77% of Buxton's away games do as well.
15:00 Chippenham Town v Maidstone Utd
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
Chippenham are bottom but usually score at home, with them failing to score at home just twice. Subsequently, 11 of their 16 home games have ended with both teams scoring. Maidstone on the road are a good BTTS side, with 10 of their 15 ending that way. I think both teams will score.
15:00 Darlington v Kidderminster
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-149
Void
0
Darlington have scored in all 14 home games, so I have no worries about them scoring. However, they have only 2 home clean sheets, meaning 12 of the 14 games have ended with both teams scoring. Fifty-eight percent of Kidderminster's games end with both scoring, including the reverse fixture. I therefore like the Yes option.
15:00 Dorking v Farnborough
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Dorking have been banging in the goals at home. Subsequently, 10 of their 15 home games have gone over 2.5 goals. Farnborough on the road are the best overs side, with 11 of 15 going over. This looks like an overs game.
Dorking & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+175
Win
88
Farnborough aren't a strong side, but they have been scoring on the road, netting in 6 of their last 7. However, winning at Dorking looks a tough ask. Dorking have won their last 10 home games, scoring 2 or more in 9 of them. This looks very winnable for them, but I can see Farnborough scoring.
15:00 Gateshead v Brackley
Brackley (AH) -0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-105
Win
47
Gateshead are on a terrible run of 12 straight defeats. They look there for the taking by Brackley. The fact they are conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game over that run shows how hard it will be to end that run. Brackley are unbeaten in seven but they have drawn their last four. However, this looks a far easier game, so I expect them to come away with all the points.
15:00 Lincoln City v Bolton
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
An interesting clash between two top-three sides. Second-placed Lincoln are in great form and have now scored in their last 15 games. Bolton are also going well in third and come into this having won their last four games. I think both will score.
Lincoln City (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-128
Push
0
Bolton are up to third after winning four straight, but winning at Lincoln looks a tough ask. Lincoln are unbeaten in 13, winning 10 of them. They have lost just once at home, and even leaders Cardiff came away from Sincil Bank empty-handed. I can see Lincoln at least getting a draw.
15:00 Marine v Leamington
Marine
50 WIN
@-161
Win
31
Marine are a solid home side and come into this unbeaten in 5 at home, winning three of them. They play the worst side in the league in Leamington, who are winless on the road and average just 0.66 goals per away game. With Marine playing well at home, I don't see them slipping up.
15:00 Merthyr Town v Bedford Town
Merthyr Town & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+240
Win
120
Merthyr are in a bit of a rut with just one point from their last five. However, I think they will end that run against strugglers Bedford. Despite being down in 18th, Bedford usually score on the road, with 12 of the 16 games ending with both teams scoring.
15:00 Portsmouth v Sheff Utd
Portsmouth (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Sheffield United look a lot stronger under Chris Wilder, but their away results are still iffy, with most of their away wins coming against bottom-three sides. Portsmouth are a tricky side to beat at Fratton Park, with three wins and two draws from their last five. I think they can at least get a draw.
15:00 Preston v Watford
Preston
50 WIN
@+209
Lose
-50
I'm not having Watford as favourites given their current form. They are winless in six, with two of their three draws coming against bottom-five sides. Preston had a run of three straight defeats but look back on track now with a draw at high-flying Ipswich and a win over Portsmouth at the weekend. I think they are playing Watford at a good time.
15:00 Queen of South v Alloa
Queen of South (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-111
Lose
-50
Alloa are winless in 4 on the road, having failed to beat the bottom two, Kelty and Cove. Queen of the South are a tough side to beat at home, so I see them at least getting a draw.
15:00 Sheff Wed v Millwall
Millwall
50 WIN
@-249
Win
20
Poor old Sheffield Wednesday look like they may not even make it to a positive number this season, as they are clearly out of their depth. They have lost their last eight and failed to score a goal in any of them. Millwall are going well in fifth and did what no other side managed at the weekend by keeping Wrexham from scoring at home, winning 2-0. This is a much easier assignment for them.
Millwall #3-0
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Wednesday have lost eight on the trot and haven't even scored a goal in their last nine. I therefore think it's likely they don't score. They conceded four at the weekend to Swansea, who are renowned for their scoring prowess, so I can see Millwall getting two plus in this one. Millwall are a very capable side and look capable of putting three past Wednesday, who seem to be offering less resistance week on week.
15:00 Southampton v Leicester
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-149
Win
34
The sides met on Tuesday, with Southampton winning a thriller 4-3. I'm expecting goals again in this one. Leicester are the best BTTS side in the league, with an impressive 25 of their 32 games ending with both teams scoring. There may not be seven goals, but I think both will score.
15:00 Stirling v Clyde
Draw
50 WIN
@+250
Void
0
Clyde are the draw specialists, particularly on the road, where they have drawn 6 of their 10 games, including 5 of their last 6. Stirling are poor at home with just one win all season. However, they have drawn half their home games, so I like the draw.
15:00 Tamworth v Aldershot
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-149
Lose
-50
Tamworth aren't usually a good overs side, but this game may be the exception. Aldershot are the best overs side in the league, with 22 of their 29 going over and an average of 3.8 goals per game. The earlier game this season between them went over, and I think this will as well.
15:00 Torquay v Maidenhead Utd
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
The reverse fixture between these two went over, and I suspect this will as well given Torquay's home form. Torquay's home games nearly always go over, with only three home games not going over. I therefore see this going over 2.5.
15:00 Wealdstone v York
York
50 WIN
@-249
Win
20
Wealdstone have lost just three times at home, but it's telling who they lost to. They were beaten by Rochdale, Boreham Wood, and Carlisle ??" all top-four sides. They now play second-placed York, who are unbeaten in 20, winning 16 of them. York look capable of winning this with their firepower.
15:00 Woking v Altrincham
Woking
50 WIN
@+114
Void
0
Altrincham have just two away wins and they were against bottom-half sides. They have lost 10 of their 15 away games, so getting something out of this looks tricky. Woking are a mid-table side, but they did have a thumping 4-0 win over promotion-chasing Hartlepool in their last home game. Hartlepool did have a player sent off, but Woking were already 2-0 up by then. This looks winnable for them.
14:10 Ireland v Italy
Under 51.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Ireland would have been expected to win this by 20 or 30 a couple of years ago, but not right now. They were outclassed by France, while Italy upset Scotland. Italy were solid in defence last week despite the tricky conditions. I see them fighting hard and keeping this under.
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13:30 New Zealand vs South Africa World Cup
New Zealand
Win Match
50 WIN
@+104
Lose
-50
New Zealand beat Afghanistan in the opener despite the wicket seemingly favouring the Afghan spinners. The Kiwis impressed with the bat, and with the bat again against the UAE when chasing down 173 without losing a wicket. South Africa needed Super Overs to get past Afghanistan and will have to raise their game significantly to win this.
11:00 Zeren Spor W vs Eczacibasi W
Zeren Spor W
Win Match
50 WIN
@+125
Win
62
Zeren Spor are in fine form, winning 7 on the trot, including 6 whitewashes. Eczacibasi are a strong side but have lost their last two away games, including an upset loss to Aras last time. Although they beat Zeren Spor 3-0 at home, the tables could be turned this time.
09:30 England vs Scotland World Cup
Scotland
Win Match
50 WIN
@+800
Lose
-50
The sides met in the 2024 World Cup and England could have got away with one. Scotland were 90-0 after 10 overs before the game was abandoned. Scotland could prevail this time against misfiring England. Scotland were competitive against the West Indies before a horrible collapse took the game away from them. They responded well by easily beating Nepal. England, by contrast, struggled to beat Nepal and were well beaten by the West Indies. They look like a good batting line-up with Jacks coming in way down at 7. Despite that, they have collapsed terribly. Their bowling has been ineffective, with only Rashid really impressing. I can see an upset in this one.
Subtotal-110
13 February 2026
21:30 Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez
Over 22.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is in fine form, winning seven matches on the trot, all on clay. In those seven matches he impressed, losing just one set. Baez is a fine clay player but will struggle to brush aside in-form Carabelli in this form. So I like the over.
20:00 Leigh Leopards v Leeds Rhinos
Leeds Rhinos
To Win
50 WIN
@+175
Lose
-50
Leigh were a surprise package last season, but Leeds had their number, winning both games. The wins were rather cosy, winning by 8 and 18. I'm not convinced that Leigh will be as strong this season, whilst the Rhinos are looking a well-drilled, quality side and can win this.
20:00 Warrington Wolves v St Helens
St Helens
To Win
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Warrington made the Challenge Cup final last season, but their league form was poor. However, they have an impressive record against St Helens, winning six of the last seven meetings. Despite raising their game against the Saints, they look the weaker side this season. St Helens clearly look the stronger side and should end that run.
19:45 Hull v Chelsea
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-227
Win
22
Hull are a good Championship side, but they have seen a downturn in form in their last two games. However, they will surely be up for this, so we may see them at their best. Against what is likely to be a rotated Chelsea side, they can certainly score. Chelsea, even with a second-string side, have the quality and firepower to rip through the Hull defence, so I see goals in this one.
19:45 Pisa v AC Milan
AC Milan
50 WIN
@-175
Win
28
AC Milan are unbeaten on the road and have conceded just 8 away goals all season. Pisa's new head coach, Oscar Hiljemark, didn't have the most impressive first game, drawing 0-0 with bottom side Verona. Pisa are leaking goals and may struggle to break down this impressive Milan defence, so I see an away win.
19:45 Wrexham v Ipswich
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-120
Lose
-50
It's always tricky trying to predict how seriously sides will take the FA Cup, but both of these sides clearly have goals in them. Wrexham failed to score against Millwall at the weekend, but that was the first time they had failed to score at home. Ipswich have scored in 14 of their last 15 games, so I like the Yes option.
18:00 Catalan Dragons v Huddersfield Giants
Over 34.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
Both sides had disappointing seasons and will be keen to do better this time. Catalans, who are usually strong at home, looked devoid of confidence and looked largely uncompetitive in too many games. However, one of their better performances was beating Huddersfield 32-0. Being the opening game, I expect them to be fully up for this and look capable of posting a sizeable total against a Huddersfield side that don't look strong in defence. It's no good Huddersfield playing negatively in this one, so they must play aggressively and can add to the tally.
18:00 Provence v Oyonnax
Provence
To Win
50 WIN
@-714
Win
7
US Oyonnax are having a fine season but have won just 3 of their 10 away games. None of those sides are as strong as Provence. Provence have won 8 of their 9 home games and could pull away quite comfortably in this one.
16:00 Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Over 22.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@-117
Win
43
Etcheverry is rightly favourite, but this looks far from straightforward. Tabilo is in fine form this year and has a 6-1 winning record on clay. He had a fine win over Fonseca in the last round and looks capable of pushing Etcheverry hard.
13:30 USA vs Netherlands World Cup
Netherlands
Win Match
50 WIN
@-133
Lose
-50
USA have lost both games, but that was expected against India and Pakistan. They played OK but never looked like causing an upset. Netherlands, by contrast, really ought to have beaten Pakistan. It was just some hitting and hoping late on and a dropped catch that swung it Pakistan's way. In their other game, they beat Namibia rather cosily. They have never lost to the USA and are looking the stronger side.
Subtotal-100
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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