tadley
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tadley's Tips History
16 September 2024
01:20 CHI Bears @ HOU Texans
HOU Texans
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.36
Win
18
Bears were fortunate to win their opener after trailing 17-0. it was more down to defensice mistakes by the Titans rather than fine play by the Bears. Texans are unlikely to be as generous and their offence should be too muh for the Bears to cope with.
Subtotal18
15 September 2024
21:25 CIN Bengals @ KC Chiefs
KC Chiefs
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Bengals were 1/4 favourites last week against the Patriots but ended up losing 16-10. It was a poor performance and they will have to up their performance significantly to trouble the Chiefs. Chiefs are looking a quality side again this season and look worthy favourites
Xavier Worthy (KC Chiefs)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.60
Lose
-50
Xavier Worthy is lightning quick and was rewarded with two touchdowns last week. He should be extra motivated this week with Bengals cornerback Cam Taylor-Britt criticing Worthy saying he's basically fast and nothing else. I see him being targeted just to make a point against their rivals
21:25 PIT Steelers @ DEN Broncos
PIT Steelers
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.70
Win
35
Broncos quarterback Bo Nix struggled on debut and this doesnt look any easier. With the likes of Linebacker TJ Watts hounding him he will have very little time on the ball. Steelers have an impressive defence so I just dont see Broncos getting enough points to win this
18:00 CLE Browns @ JAX Jaguars
Under 41.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
4 of Jaguars last 5 games have gone under the predicted total. They face a Browns side that are known for their quality defence. Browns dont look strong in offense though so I think this stays under
18:00 IND Colts @ GB Packers
Anthony Richardson (IND Colts)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Six foot four quarterback Anthony Richardson used all his power to rush over the line late on in the game last week to score a touchdown. Thats not unusual for him as he now has 5 touchdowns from his last 5 starts. I expect him to have another go today
18:00 LA Chargers @ CAR Panthers
CAR Panthers 5.00
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Panthers wre awful last week against the Saints losing 47-10. Its a well known fact that sides coming off a 35 plus defeat perform significantly better the next week. When 4 points or more underdogs teams have won 48 of the 68 matches on the spread. Panthers will want to respond after that effort so I'm expecting far better
Ladd McConkey (LA Chargers)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Wide Reeier Ladd McConkey was onstantly targeted last week resulting in a touchdown. He looks sure to be targeted again and with the Panthers defence looking in disarray I like his chances
18:00 LV Raiders @ BAL Ravens
Derrick Henry (BAL Ravens)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Derrick Henry has reached double figure touhdowns in his last 6 seasons with the Titans. This season he scored on debut for the Ravens against quality Chiefs defence. He should find life easier against a not very strong Raiders defence
18:00 NO Saints @ DAL Cowboys
CeeDee Lamb (DAL Cowboys)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
CeeDee Lamb recoreded more recptions than any other player last season and looks sure to be targeted again today. He failed to get a touchdown last week but I cant see that happening again.
18:00 NY Giants @ WAS Commanders
WAS Commanders
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Giants had a very winnable looking game against the Vikings in week one but failed to get a touhdown managing just two field goals in a 28-6 defeat. Commanders also lost their opener but recoreded 20 points with Jayden Daniels getting a couple of touchdowns. I think the Giants look there for the taking
Jayden Daniels (WAS Commanders)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Commanders may have lost their opener but Jayden Daniels scored two rushing touchdowns in his first NFL start. He faces a Giants side that are looking poor defensively. I dont think the Vikings look particularly strong but they brushed aside the Giants last week so I like Daniels chances.
18:00 NY Jets @ TEN Titans
TEN Titans 3.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.97
Lose
-50
Teams coming off of a Monday night road game that play on the road the following week have a poor record which is a big negative for the Jets. A bigger negative was their performance last week against the 49ers. They wer poor defensively and quarterback Aaron Rogers looked off it with some iffy throwing. Titans blew a double digit lead against the Beras but can take encouragement from that. They looked good offensively and the Bears look stronger than the Jets.
Allen Lazard (NY Jets)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Allen Lazard looks a different player this season with 6 catches and 2 touchdowns in his opener. His new lease of life should ensure he is regularly targeted again and looks good value against the Titans who arent the best defensive side in the NFL
18:00 SEA Seahawks @ NE Patriots
SEA Seahawks
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.61
Win
31
The Patriots caught Bengals cold in week one running in a touchdwon right at the start. they offered little else in the game apart from some field goals. Their defence kept a lackluster Bengals side quiet for most of the game however Icant see them doing the same against the Seahawks. Seahawks have more about them offensively and should do enough to edge this
18:00 SF 49ers @ MIN Vikings
SF 49ers -4.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Vikings had a nice 28-6 win last week over the Giants but I wouldnt get carried away with that. The Giants are looking awful and could have some bad beats this season. The 49ers are a big step up in class. They won 32-19 against the Jets at a canter. Vikings are also missing receiver Jordan Addison which is a big blow for them limiting their offensive output.
18:00 TB Buccaneers @ DET Lions
Mike Evans (TB Buccaneers)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
I know Lions are expected to run away with this but the line of 51 suggest that the Buccaneers are likely to get their fair share of touchdowns. Evans was constantly targeted by Mayfield and scored two touchdowns. He will be targeted again and looks their most likely receiving touchdown scorer
16:30 Wolverhampton v Newcastle
Newcastle (AH) -0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.09
Win
55
Wolves have had a tough start to the season losing 2-0 to Arsenal and 6-2 against helseas. They did manage a draw with Forest but this looks a tough assignment. Newcastle may not be banging in the goals but theyve won two and drawn one including a good win against Spurs last time. A fragile Wolves defence should succum
Over 10.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Newcastle are the best side to follow in the Premier League for corners this season with all three games going over 10.5. The three games have had 15,17 and 19 corners. Wolves games hae all had 10 corners but the fact they are playing Spurs leads me to the overs
15:00 Rob Cross vs Michael Smith
Michael Smith
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Neither have impressed so far with both coming back to win in the last round from 5-3 down with their opponents missing match doubles. Smith won the last meeting easily beating Cross 16-7 in July. Oer this distance I expect him to find better form and prevail
14:00 Tottenham v Arsenal
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Last season the two fixtures between these two ended 2-3 and 2-2. In fact 5 of the last 6 games between these sides went over 2.5. With the attacking talent on show on both sides I like the overs
Over 11.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.90
Win
45
Spurs games hae all gone over 11 corners this season. Their three games have contained 19,17 and 15 corners. Arsenal havent been as prolific but last season both games went over containing 14 and 15. I see this going over
13:00 Luke Humphries vs Michael van Gerwen
Luke Humphries
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Humphries is top dog these days and that is reflected in the head to heads. Humphries has won their last 8 meetings which should give him every confidence coming into this one
12:00 Azerbaijan Grand Prix
Lando Norris
Win Race
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Norris had a terrible qualifying but is fast enough to carve through the field. With the aid of possible safety cars he could be up there in the mix come the end of the race.
Oscar Piastri
Win Race
50 WIN
@3.60
Win
130
Only Ferrari tactics prevented Piastri from getting the win last time. He is clearly fast and starting on the front row I like his chances of getting past Leclerc for the win
Oscar Piastri
Fastest Lap
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Piastri was an unlucky second last time with superior Ferrari tactics costing him the win. He and the McClaren are both quick so he is in with a solid chance of grabbing the fastest lap
12:00 Luke Littler vs Chris Dobey
Luke Littler
Most 180s
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Dobey van be a big 180hitter on his day but isnt as reliable as Littler. Littler is averaging around 5 per best of 11 legs of late and keeps that level over the longer distances. Even if Dobey has a good day on the maximums it may not be enough
Over 11.50
Total 180s
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Luke Littler is a consistently big 180 hitter. In his last 6 best of 11 matches he has hit 5,5,5,4,6 and 5 180s. In a best of 15 match he hit 10 and a best of 13 he hit 8. Over his last 8 games he is averaging a 180 every 1.6 legs. Dobey is in good form and is a capable 180 hitter. I believe he can keep this close giving it every chance of going over
11:30 Euro Champs Road Race 2024
Olav Kooij
Win Outright
25 EW
@6.00
Win
6
There are a host of talented riders in the field but ufortunately it looks like it will simply end up as a sprint finish. Jonathan Milan, Jasper Philipsen and Olav Kooij look like the main guys to concentrate on. Kooij recently won the Bemer classic beating Milan at the finish. With Danny van Poppel and possibly Mathieu van der Poel as leadouts I see him timing his effort to perfection and will be hard to keep out of the top three.
07:05 Canterbury Bulldogs v Manly Sea Eagles
Manly Sea Eagles
To Win
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
A repeat of the ficture a fortnight ago with the Sea Eagles running out 34-22 winners. Bulldogs followed that up with a 44-6 thumping by the Cowboys. Their early season form looks well behind them and they look second best here. Sea Eagles have some quality players and should do the business
00:00 Barbados Royals vs Guyana Amazon Warriors T20
Guyana Amazon Warriors
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Royals won the first three games but they were against the two weakest sides in the league. Their run ended when they came up against a decent side in the Knight Riders. Guyana Amazon Warriors are a quality side that have impressed with the ball and ball. I prefer them
Subtotal-11
14 September 2024
21:15 Rob Cross vs Kevin Doets
Kevin Doets 1.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Cross isnt in the best form and hasnt won two games on the trot in his last 11 games. He didnt have to be at his best to beat struggling Whitlock in the last round and this looks tougher. Doets is an up and coming player who has performed well in floor events. He thrashed Keane Barry 6-0 in the last round averaging 110. If playing anywhere near that level he should at least keep this close
20:45 Peter Wright vs Jeff Smith
Peter Wright
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.29
Win
14
Smith had a nice draw against Griffin and won despite averaging just 83. He will have to improve significantly to trouble Wright. Wright has reaptured his best form and comes into this having just won on the European Tour. He made short work of Chizzy and should win this at a canter
19:00 Luke Humphries vs Damon Heta
Over 5.50
Total 180s
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Two big 180 hitters so I think this can go over. Yesterday Humphries hit 3 and Heta hit 4.
Heta is a quality player and wont go down easily so I see 9 plus legs giving this a decent chance of going over 5.5.
17:35 5:35 Bath
Girls Night Out
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Girls Night Out is nicely bred and starts its campaign in a modest looking race. Trainer Owen Burrows has a 25% success rate with 2 year olds on the turf. So this one is well worth a check
17:30 Aston Villa v Everton
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Two of Villa's three games have gone over with the the exception being their 2-0 defeat to Arsenal. They face Everton who impressed for 86 minutes against Bournemouth before capitulating and losing 3-2. They have goals in them but cant be trusted defensively so this looks like an overs
Jhon Duran
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@2.88
Win
94
Watkins looks off his game at the moment: it has been Duran who has impressed so far. The Colombian striker has scored twice in three games and should get chances against a leaky Everton side that have conceded 10 in three games
17:05 Hull FC v Salford
Salford -18.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Salford are having a great season sitting fifth after St Helens win yesterday. They have a great chance to climb back into the top 4 today. They face a Hull side in wrteched form with just 6 points all season. they come into this after a 68-6 mauling by Leeds. A talented Salford side can rip through their defence
15:00 Accrington Stanley v Crewe
Crewe (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
rewew started poorly but come into this game with back to back wins. Accrington hae just two points and havve conceded 13 times the worst amount in the league. With a .25 start I like Crewe
15:00 Ayr v Partick
Ayr
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Ayr won their first 4 games before drawing with Dunfermline last time. They are looking a decent side and could be challenging for promotion just as they were in the 2022/23 season. Partick had a nice win over Queens Park last week but picking up just one point against the bottom two clubs is far from impressive. I think Ayr continue their good form.
15:00 Blackburn v Bristol City
Blackburn
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
Blackburn are unbeaten so far and won both their home games. Brisol City are down in 14th and were beaten 3-0 by Derby last week despite haing the Lions share of possesion. I think Blackburn are looking the stronger side.
15:00 Boston Utd v Aldershot
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.70
Lose
-50
Two of the best sides in the league for over 2.5 with both seeing 5 of their 8 games go over. With Boston games averging 2.9 goals and Aldershot averaging 3.6 there should be goals in this one
15:00 Celtic v Hearts
Celtic (AH) -2.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.85
Push
0
Celtic look all over the champions even at this early stage. They are winning by an average of three goals per game including a comfortable 3-0 win in the old firm derby last time. Hearts had a solid 0-0 with Rangers but lost their next three games. They dont look in any sort of form to trouble Celtic
15:00 Derby v Cardiff
Derby
50 WIN
@2.45
Win
73
In their last three games Derby have had just 36, 32 and 30 percent possesion. They are making it work for them though with two wins out of the three. They face rock bottom Cardiff who have just scored once this season and conceded 10. Derby should have the nous to egde this
15:00 Ebbsfleet United v Hartlepool
Hartlepool
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Ebbsfleet have just 2 points courtesy of two 0-0s. Hartlepool havve been impressie ontheir travels winning 3 of their 4 games. they look capable of beating struggling Ebbsfleet.
15:00 Forest Green v Wealdstone
Forest Green
50 WIN
@1.45
Lose
-50
After dropping down two leagues Forest Green seem to have found their level with 4 wins on the trot. They face Wealdstone who have lost their last two and may find a trip to in-form Forest Green tough
15:00 Fulham v West Ham
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Two sides that have had indifferent starts but look capable of better. They both have decent attacks but dont look defencively strong. I can see goals going in at either end.
Over 4.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Referee Robinson has shown at least 4 cards in his last 7 games so wont be reluctant to wave them today. Fulham have picked up 8 yellows so far the joint highest in the league. Against an attack minded West Ham side they look sure to pick up a few today. If West Ham picck up one or two that could be enough to at least reach 4
15:00 Grimsby v Barrow
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Grimsby rarely fail to score at home. score at home. Last season they sccored in 21 of their 23 games. They started this campaign with a 3-2 win over Cheltenham and a 2-1 win over Bradford. Barrow are going well in third and look capable of scoring as well.
15:00 Liverpool v Nottm Forest
Liverpool (AH) -2.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.03
Lose
-50
Liverpool won this fixture 3-0 last season and a similar result wouldnt surprise. Liverpool have won all their games to nil culminating with a 3-0 win at Man United last time. Forest are unbeaten and Chris Wood looks in fine form. However Liverpool are a big step up on Wolves, Southampton and Bournemouth. With Liverpool looking solid at the back I expect them to win by at least 2 goals.
Luis Diaz
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Luis Diaz has impressed in his three games and has netted three times already. Forest have been solid so far but Liverpool are a big step up on Wolves Southampton and Bournemouth. I see Lierpool carving out plenty of chances so I like Diaz's chances.
15:00 Morecambe v Colchester
Colchester (AH) -0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.02
Lose+Push
-25
Morecambe are pointless and havent even found the net in any of their 5 games. Colchester have had an indiffernt start but they have scored 6 times. Their superior goal soring ability could see them to victory
Colchester #1-0
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Morecambe are rock bottom with no points and no goals so far. theyve only conceded 5 though so Colchester are unlikely to run away with this. Colchester are averaging just over a goal per game so 1-0 looks about right
15:00 Peterborough v Lincoln City
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.75
Lose
-50
Two quality sides that should be thereabouts come the end of the season. Peterborough may be down in 11th but they have faced top sides Wrexhan and Huddersfield. I think they have goals in them and will vatch fire sooner or later. Lincoln are also a good goal scoring side but not overly secure at the back with just one clean sheet so far. I see this going over
15:00 Plymouth v Sunderland
Sunderland
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Sunderland have really impressed so far winning all 4 games. They have scored 10 times and let in just one. Plymouth are winless with just two goals from their four games. Sunderland are looking in the form to take are of a poor Plymouth side.
15:00 Port Vale v Chesterfield
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-50
Port Vale look a good side on paper but have had a slow start to the season. However they had an impressive 4-1 win at a decent Newport side last time. Now theyve found their groove Im expeting goals from them. Chesterfield scored goals for fun last season but still conceded an awful lot for the league champions. I see them as a side that will score plenty and concede this season.
15:00 Reading v Leyton Orient
Reading (AH) -0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.88
Lose
-50
When Orient lost their first three games I was willing to give them the benefit of the doubt as they played some tricky opponents. However the 3-0 defeat to a weak Shrewsbury side last time suggest they are a side to oppose. Reading have played 3 of the top 5 but despite that are going well in 8th. They have won both home games without conceding and look too strong.
15:00 Sheff Wed v QPR
QPR (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.90
Win+Push
22
Wednesday had a fine 4-0 win in their opener against Plymouth but couldnt maintain that form. They lost their next three including a 3-0defeat to Millwall last time in which they were constantly under the cosh. Ive seen two of QPR's games and they have looked animpressive side goiung forward. I see Wednesday struggling to keep them out
15:00 Stevenage v Barnsley
Barnsley (AH) -0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Barnsley had a disappointing start to the season when losing to Mansfield. Theyve responded well though with three wins and a draw from their next four. They look a good side and should be chasing promotion again this season. Stevenage look solid defensively but have scored just twice this season. I think Barnsley's superior goal scoring power will be the difference
Adam Phillips
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Attaking Barnsley midfielder Phillips is in great form with 4 goals from his last 3 games. He faces a Stevenage side that have scored just twice this season. I therefore like his chances at these odds of netting first
15:00 Walsall v Bradford
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Two good sides occupying 5th and 6th places. Walsall have won both home games so look capable of scoring again. Bradford have scored 8 times in 5 games so i see both scoring.
14:30 Sussex vs Gloucestershire T20
Sussex
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Gloucester made in a clean sweep for the Southern clubs when beating Northern winners Bears in the quarter final. They didnt bat well but their bowlers did the job for them. Sussex also bowled well against Lancs getting them out for 114. Thei batting unlike Gloucestershire was impressive though which should be the difference
14:25 2:25 Doncaster
Albasheer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Win
25
Trainer Archie Watson's string has been in good nick this week with 3 winners from his last 6 runners. Albasheer had a good second last time going down by a nose in the Listed Beverley Bullet. If reproducing that form it should be thereabouts.
13:00 Daryl Gurney vs Dirk van Duijvenbode
Over 5.50
Total 180s
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Its good to see Dirk van Duijvenbode playing well againafter struggling badly with injuries. In his last 6 games has has hit 3,3,4,4,5 and 7 180s. Gurney can be a big 180 hitter on his day. I think this match with Duijvenbode banging in the maximums should bring out the best in him so Im going over
12:30 Oxford Utd v Stoke
Mark Harris
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Oxgord have had a solid start to life in the Championship with 2 wins from 4 which isnt bad as they have faced 3 capable sides. A large part of that success has been the form of striker Mark Harris. The Welshman has scored in his first 4 games and if he scores again he will be ths first player to score in the first 5 games of the Championship. He will therefore be extra motivated so is well worth a punt for first goal scorer.
12:30 Rhys Griffin vs Jeff Smith
Draw
Most 180s
50 WIN
@4.20
Lose
-50
This looks a pretty unexciting game between two players not playing well so I expect some mediocre scoring. I would expect no more than around two or three 180s. In a low 180 count game the draw at odds of 4.2 is very tempting.
12:30 Southampton v Man Utd
Over 10.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Southampton are the third best side in the league for corners per game. So far their games have contained 10,14 and 15 corners. United were the best side for corners last season. This season their opener had 15 when playing Fulham but went under against Brighton whose games generally dont have many corners.The Liverpool game also went under but that can happen when those two meet. Against this Southampton side I see this going over
11:00 Surrey vs Somerset T20
Somerset
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Somerset have Bantom out with injury but Surrey are harder hit with Will Jacks, Sam Curran, Jamie Overton and Reece Topley all away on International duty. They do have depth but missing 4 first team players is a big blow. Somerset come into this bouyed by a comfortable win over Surrey last week in the County Championship and a win over them in the last Blast Match. They have shown they can beat a full strength Surrey so can do the same to a depleted side
10:50 North Queensland Cowboys v Newcastle Knights
North Queensland Cowboys
To Win
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Cowboys ended the season in fine style winning 6 out of their last 7 matches. They the season with an impressive victory over the Bulldogs 44-6 in a game in which they were the outsiders. Knights have also finished strongly but are a lot stronger at home. I see Cowboys winning this
07:05 Melbourne Storm v Cronulla Sharks
Melbourne Storm
To Win
50 WIN
@1.32
Win
16
Sharks have had their moments this season but hae been largely inconsistent. The same cannot be said of Storm who hae been the standout side this season. Sharks often disappoint at the business end so I like Storm
Subtotal-147
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
