tadley

5

Estimated Prizes
this month

£25

Estimated Prize money
this month

07 May 2024
23:45 BAL Orioles @ WAS Nationals

WAS Nationals 1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@2.10

Open

0

I dont like backing against the Orioles as they are playing well and they have a strong pitcher in Burns on the mound. Corbin Burns throws a mean fastball and has an impressive 2.61 ERA this season. However Nationals are hitting power pitchers much better finesse pitchers. They are also more prolific against right handed pitchers. Their pitcher Williams seems to have upped his game this year.. The Nationals day in day out start as underdogs but that doesnt stop them winning regularly.
23:40 ARI Diamondbacks @ CIN Reds

ARI Diamondbacks

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.80

Open

0

Reds Bats are cold right now with scores of 1,1 and in their last three games. They face pitcher Gallon who is a top notch pitcher. He has struck out 32 batters in just 27 innigs this season. He is likely to keep the Reds to a low score again. Dbacks batters are a capable but far from consistant. However with a good pitcher like Gallon and a poor Reds offence even if ot at their best they should still get the win.
23:40 TOR Blue Jays @ PHI Phillies

PHI Phillies

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.83

Open

0

Berrios has pitched well for the Blue Jays but may struggle tonight. He pitches a lot stronger at home and the Phillies are the fourth best side at hitting right handed pitchers. Add into the mix Blue Jays poor bullpen and laclluster batting and the Philies look the answer.
23:10 DET Tigers @ CLE Guardians

CLE Guardians

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.77

Open

0

Guardians send in pitcher Logan Allen who hasnt really impressed but could get away with it tonight. Tigers' offence has been virtually non-exixtent of late with an average of less than 2 over their last 4 games. However Tigers' pitcher Maeda hasnt pitched well for the Tigers with a 5.02 ERA and their bullpen has been less than impressive. Guardians should be able to get enough runs to win this
20:00 Bolton v Barnsley

Bolton

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Barnsley limped into the play-offs picking up just two points from their last 6 games. They lost their home leg agaisnt Bolton 3-1 and turning it around looks a major task. Bolton had the best home record in the league and are playing the much better football. Despite having a comfortable lead I think they go out to kill the tie off once and for all.
19:45 Airdrieonians v Partick

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.78

Win

39

These two met at the back end of the month with Partick winning 4-0. It wasnt as one sided as the result suggest as Airdrie had plenty of chances. Now ith home advantage I expect them to score. In the three other games between the pair this season both sides scored.
19:45 Spartans FC v Peterhead

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

These two met twice in this exact fixture this season with the games endin 1-2 and 2-2. there looks little between the sides and another close game with both scoing looks on the cards
15:00 Crawley Town v Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Crawley limped into the play-offs courtesy of a last day victory over a Grimsby side who had by then avoided relegation and probably lacked their recent motivation. Prior to that Crawley's form had tailed off with two draws and two defeats from their last 4. MK Dons finished top of the play off group and are a very capable side full of goals. They have been turned over by a couple of the better sides but I think they have the fire-power to win this
13:00 Martina Trevisan vs Yulia Putintseva

Yulia Putintseva

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

I'm livid that Putintseva let me down last week at a good price when a set up 5-2 up and 40-15 up only to lose the match to Rybakina. Im willing to give her anothe chance in this game though. Trevisan has a hapless record at her home event failing to win a match in all seven visits. Her recent results have been poor with the wins that have come along being to lowly ranked players
11:30 Giro dItalia 2024 Stage 4

Tim Merlier

Win Outright

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Yesterday looked a bog standard sprint day but Pogacars late attack certainly livened things up. But come the final meters it was down to the sprinters an Merlier came out on top. Its seems that Kooij just hasnt the sprint to match the big two so it looks a shootout between Milan and Merlier. Milan gave evrything yesterday with the big man leaving nothing behind. Nevertheless it was enough and Merlier outsprinted him and can do so again
03:00 MIN Timberwolves @ DEN Nuggets

DEN Nuggets

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Timberwolves won the first game restricing the Nuggest to just 99 points. Nuggets record after such a loss is impressive. Whenever they have lost with 100 points or less they have won 8 of the 10 following games. I expect the Nuggets to once again respond in front of their home fans.

Over 208.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Nuggets were restricted to just 99 in the first game which is probably why the total is just at 208. However Nuggets have an impressive record when getting beat with low totals. They have come out and won the next in all but 2 of their 10 games. The totals they posted were 142,132,130,130,125,111,111 and 108. Im expecting another good display which should see this go over
00:40 SD Padres @ CHI Cubs

Over 7.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Both have capable enough pitchers but I dont think that stops this going over. these two hit the ball well with just 5 teams hitting more runs than the Cubs and only the Dodgers scoring more than the Padres. With Arraez just signing for the Padres strengthening their batting it looks like an over
00:30 IND Pacers @ NY Knicks

NY Knicks

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

To me this looks like a sreies where teams will thrive in front of their home fans. I think that will certainly be the case for Jalen Brunson of the Knicks. he looks unstoppable at the moment and there is no-one in the Pacers line up that looks capable of stopping him. i think he helps the Knicks to the win

Over 217.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

These two met in the regular season when the bookies set the totals at 234.5, 238.5 and 248.5 its therefore quite a comedown to see the line at 217.5. Two of the three went over despite the high lines with one game totalling 266 points. I think 217.5 looks very doable
06 May 2024
23:40 LA Angels @ PIT Pirates

Over 8.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Neither are banging in the runs but in this game both sides have a chance to notch up some runs. Keller for the Pirates has struggle with an ERA of over 5 and has looked pretty poor this season. For the Angels Andersons stats this year dont look bad but they flatter him. He has walked 16 players and gives up too many home runs. Both bullpens are also less than impressive. Games between these two often go over and I expect this to as well.
23:10 DET Tigers @ CLE Guardians

CLE Guardians

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

Tigers pitcher Flaherty strikes out his fair share of batters but hardly walks anyone. However the Guardians are one of the best sides in the MLB for avoiding strikeouts. He will therefore struggle to contain the Guardians. Guardians look the better batting side scoring 35 more runs than the Tigers so have an edge in that department.
21:05 SF Giants @ PHI Phillies

PHI Phillies

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Phillies start pitcher Wheeler who is reliable and should restrict the Giants batters. Phillies start rookie pitcher Black who has performed well at a lower level. How he performed on debut remains to be seen. Phillies have won 5 on the trot including the first three in this series and 9 of their last 10. With the Phillies having the stronger batting line up and strong home form and the Giant winning just 6 of their 19 road games I like the Phillies
20:00 Crystal Palace v Man Utd

Crystal Palace

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

Its unusual to find Palace as the favourites against United but its understandable. Manchseter United have just one win from the last six which was against Sheffield United. They are leaking goals and look vulnerable to an improving Palace side. Palce have won 3 and drawn 1 of their last four which includes wins over Liverpool and Newcastle. They are playing the more solid football

Over 11.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Manchster United games are the best in the league for corners with an average of 13.1. Palace havent been a good side for the overs but that has change recently with 7 of their last 10 containing 11 or more corners. Over looks the way to go.
19:00 Excelsior v NEC

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

Two good sides for the overs market with NEC seeing 21 of their 31 going over and Excelsior even better with 24 of their 31 going over. Excelsior are averaging 3.6 goals per game so I think this goes over
17:30 Crewe v Doncaster

Doncaster (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

Quite a contrast between the way these sides ended the season. Crewe limped into the play-offs with just one win from their last 9. They lost 4 of them conceding 3 goals in each. Doncaster by contrast are the form side in the league. They climbed from he lower reaches to the play-offs courtesy of 10 wins on the trot before the draw last week. Some loan signings have made the world of difference to the team and they are looking quality.
15:00 Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Sunrisers Hyderabad

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Indians are once again favourites despite playing poorly throughout. Sunrisers are great on a good batting wicket but have struggled when there is something for the bowlers. This looks a good batting wicket and with Sunrisers bowlers performing better last time against RR. I make them the favourites.
12:10 Giro dItalia 2024 Stage 3

Tim Merlier

Win Outright

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

There is a bit of a climb about 3km out whih shouldnt find many of the sprinters out but may the pure pure sprinters may struggle a tad. The first three in the betting shouldnt have too many problems though. There is little between the main three of Kooij Milan and Merlier but I like the form Merlier has been showing. He recently had two wins and a second in one day classics and won three of the four sprints at the recent UAE Tour.
12:00 Kyren Wilson v Jak Jones

Kyren Wilson -4.50

Handicap Betting

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Wilson has breezed through the opposition winning his four matches by 9, 7,5 and 6 frames. Although I'm not underestimating Jones Wilson looks on another level and can cover this handicap.

Kyren Wilson to win 18-12

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Jak Jones has payed exceptionally well to get this far and thoroughly deserves his place in the final. He did meet a below par Bingham in the semi though and wont be gifted the same number of chances against Wilson. Wilson had yet another comfortable win yesterday in beating Gilbert. His margin of victories have been 6,5,7 and 9 frames. He is playing almost flawless snooker and another sizeable margin of around 6 looks the likely outcome
00:10 SF Giants @ PHI Phillies

Over 7.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

Both pitchers Walker and Webb are far from convincing and look there to be hit. both bullpens have been poor ranking 24th and 29th. With both sides capable with the bat this should go over
05 May 2024
21:45 The CJ Cup Byron Nelson

Matti Schmid

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

Schmid is a lively outsider at 80/1 he did miss the cut last week but previously put together a run of solid finishes. His recnt putting stats rank him very highly and on a course where low scores are the norm his putting should serve him well

Stephan Jaeger

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Not a strong field and not one full of recent winners. that doesnt include Jaeger that as he won the recent Houston Open. In doing so he was the only man to beat Scheffler in his last 5 events. He was a solid 11th on his last vist here and should go well

Thomas Detry

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

This is not a challenging course and the big hitters arent severly punished if missing the fairway. Detry can hit it a country mile and comes into the event a solid 8th last time and a recent T2at the Houston Open. On a courde that should suit I expect him to go well
21:10 ATL Braves @ LA Dodgers

LA Dodgers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

57

Fried has pitched well for the Braves but he faces a prolific Dodgers attack. They have hit 192 runs the highest total in the league. Dodgers pitcher paxton is three wins from three and is usually solid.
21:07 MIA Marlins @ OAK Athletics

Over 7.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Its quite a surprise to see how well the Athletics are playing with 6 wins on the trot. The 20-4 rout yesterday was a score I thought I'd never see the Athletics put up. We cant hope for the same again but I still think this will go over because of the pitchers today. Boyle starts for the Athletics who has struggled with an ERA of over 6. Marlins have injuries to several pitchers so Sanchez takes to the mound despite some poor showings. The Rockies were all over him like a rash last time so Im going with the overs.
21:00 Miami Grand Prix

Lando Norris - Yes

Podium Finish

50 WIN

@2.38

Win

69

Lando Norris was really impressive in practice but couldnt get his tyres to work in qualifying for the sprint finishing in ninth. His car is working well though and I expect him to move forward in the sprint and grab a podium come the race

Fernando Alonso

Fastest Lap

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

Only three men have won the fastest lap Verstappen Leclerc and Alonso. With Verstappen priced at 1.4 and Leclerc 8.0 its clear that Alonso represents the value at 41.0. A lot depends on the ability to make a late stop for tyres. But Alonso has done it once and could do so again
19:10 SEA Mariners @ HOU Astros

SEA Mariners

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Quite a contrast between the pitchers. Mariners pitcher Miller is one of the top 10 pitchers this season whereas Brownfor the Astros has been poor losing all 4 games. last season against the Mariners he got hammered so the Mariners know how to hit him. The Mariners also have a clear edge in the bullpens so I like them in this particulare match
18:40 LA Angels @ CLE Guardians

CLE Guardians

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.77

Win

38

Im not really convince by Guardians pitcher Carrasco but Angels hitting was poor yesterday so I dont expect too much damage. Angles pitcher Canning is arguably their worst pitcher on their rota. i have no doubt a decent Guardians attack will hit him and take the win
18:35 COL Rockies @ PIT Pirates

Under 8.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.87

Push

0

Two struggling side that are struggling for runs. Pirates havent scored more than 2 runs in any of their last 6 games. As a consequence their last 8 games have all gone under this line. Rockies arealso struggling so I expect this to go under just like the first two games
18:35 TOR Blue Jays @ WAS Nationals

WAS Nationals

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Nationals lost last night but the damage was done in the first innings where they went down 4-0. It was always going to be an uphill stryggle after that. I think they can bounce back tonight though. Gore starts on the mound tonight who is ultra reliable and has an ERA of 3.19. Blue Jays start with Alek Manoah for his first appearance of the season. He was really poor last season and has shown little in minor league outings to suggest he will improve.
17:30 Eldense v Leganes

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-50

Leganes have been knocked off the top thanks to 5 on the trot and Valladolid winning 5 on the trot. Although Leganes have been rock solid defensively they are struggling at the other end. They drew 1-1 last time which ended a run of four straight 0-0. Eldense's last 6 home games have all gone under 2.5 and I think this goes the same way
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16:30 Liverpool v Tottenham

Over 11.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

11.5 is a high line but these two look capable of crossing it. 6 of Liverpools last 7 games have gone over 11.5 and Spurs last 5 games have all gone over.
16:00 Galway v Mayo

Galway

FT Result

50 WIN

@2.30

Win

65

Galway wre less than convincing in seeing off Sligo in the last round but Dublin are improving and Galway werent quite at full strength. I expect a much more clinical effort today and their attack is boosted by the returning Damien Comer. With home advantage and the superior attack I like Galway
15:15 FC Andorra v Albacete Balompie

Albacete Balompie

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Three wins on the trot have lifted Albacete out of the relegation zone but only by a point. With all the teams below picking up wins of late they cant afford to let up. They face bottom club Andorra who have picked up two wins and two draws from their last 5. Albacete beat automatic promotion chasing Eibar last time and look the value
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders

Kolkata Knight Riders

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

KKR put in probably their best bowling efforts in the last two games against Capitals and Indians. Their batters have performed well throughout so with the bowling improving they will be a tough side to beat. LSG are a stubborn side that have a knack of just doing enough. However KKR won comfortably when the sides met earlier in the competition and I favour them today.
14:00 Brighton v Aston Villa

Aston Villa (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Brighton's season is petering out with just two points from their last 6 games. Villa have the second leg of the Conference League next week which may distract them. But they are currently fourth in the league and are clearly playing the better
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14:00 Chelsea v West Ham

Chelsea

50 WIN

@1.60

Win

30

Chelsea are in great form at home winning 8 of their last 10. West Ham are unpredictable and its hard to know how their games will end. They have only picked up 2 points from their last 5 games so I favour Chelsea
14:00 Ostersunds FK v Orebro SK

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

All 5 of Ostersunds games have gone under 2.5 goals. Orebro have scored just the one goal in their two away games so far. There looks little between the sides so I expect a tight low scoring game
14:00 Palermo v Ascoli

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Ascoli have been one of the best sides for under this season with 23 of their 36 going under. Their last 5 games have contained just two goals in total. Palermo's form has fallen off a cliff with no wins from their last 7. They dont look capable of scoring many today so Im going with the unders
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 Venezia v AC Feralpisalo

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

AC Feralpisalo are the third best side for the overs with 21 of their 36 going over. Venezia are the best with 25 of their36 going over. The reverse fixture ended 2-2 and I expect a similar level of goals today
13:45 Clare v Kerry

Clare 13.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

Kerry are overwhelming favourites favourites and look a class apart. However last time against Cork they were poor and were losing at the half way stage. they eventually won by three but were simply passing the ball around in the latter stages. A similar sluggish start will encourage Clare and even if Ketty reach a double figure lead its questionable how hungry they will be for more points
11:55 Giro dItalia 2024 Stage 2

Ben OConnor

Win Outright

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Ben O Connor is riding well this season and claimed the One Day Vuelta Ciclista a la Region de Murcia with a comfortable ride. He finished safely in the group behind the 4 breakaway guys yesterday and should enjoy this steep finish to the stage

Tadej Pogacar

Win Outright

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Pogacar wont be happy after losing in the sprint yesterday and will be out to make ammends today. This course couldnt be better for him. The flatness of the majority of the stage will make it tough for the break so I can see the pelaton easily controlling it. The end with the steep 8 percent gradient is ideal for Pogacar and I cant see anyone living with him
11:00 Punjab Kings vs Chennai Super Kings

Punjab Kings

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

CSK's home ground used to be a fortess but not anymore.Kings went there last week and came away with a comfortable win. Thats 5 victories on thetrot against CSK and they seem to have their number. Thats two wins on the trot now as oppsed to CSK who have lost three of their last 4
08:15 Volvo China Open

Alexander Levy

25 EW

@36.00

Lose

-50

Levy has taken past in the last three years and missed the cut the year before that. However the previous 4 years hes finished 25th 8th 4th and first. Hes lost his tour card this year with injury playing a big part of that. He has been performing well on the challenge tour though with his last 4 events finishing 9th 7th 4th ans 2nd. He is more than capable at this level and on a course he has won on is of interest.

Ivan Cantero

50 WIN

@101.00

Lose

-50

Its difficult to know just how seriously to take Ivan Cantero Gutierrez's third placed last weekend. There was no denying he played some lovely golf with a string of birdies. The trouble is that that performance was way too good for his world ranking. However he signalled last month that he could be about to surge the rankings when leading after day one in South Sfrica before finishing a creditable sixth. I'm willing to take the rish a t a three figure price

Tom McKibbin

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

McKibbin is putting together a nice condistent run of results this year and looks ready to step up and win one against this field. He ranks second for bogey avaoidance and 5th for driving accuracy. His putting has been a little hit and miss in the past but seems fine at the moment. He looks more than capable of getting a top 7 place
07:10 Volvo China Open

Johannes Veerman

Top American

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

Veerman looks head and shoulders above the rest. Paez has no form and looks well out of his depth. Chase Hanna and Gunner Wiebe have a string of missed cuts. Veerman by contrast has been performing well including a second at the Hero Indian Open last week
07:05 Cronulla Sharks v St George/Illawarra Dragons

Cronulla Sharks -12.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Dragons were absolutely woeful last week against the Roosters going down 18-60. They barely completed sets and missed 50 tackles. They would have to improve significantly to get anywhere near to the Sharks who have won 6 out of 7.
02:30 Michel Pereira v Ihor Potieria

Michel Pereira KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Potieria has never een sumbitted in his 26 professional fights. On the other hand. However he has been knocked out in his last three losses. Against a massive hitter like Pereira KO looks the likely outcome
00:15 NY Mets @ TB Rays

NY Mets

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Christian Scott makes his MLB debut for the Twins and this looks a good opportunity for him as the Rays offence isnt overly impressing at the moment. He had an outing in the Spring Training where he struck out eight batters in five innings. Rays bullpen has also been poor with the leagues worst ERA of 5.43. Mets bullpen is the fourth best in the MLB this season

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