tadley
8
Estimated Prizes
this month
£85
Estimated Prize money
this month
tadley's Tips History
09 May 2026
08:30 South Sydney Rabbitohs v Cronulla Sharks
Over 53.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
It's a high line, but these two can breach it. Sharks sprung to life last time with a devastating 52-10 win over the Tigers. If bringing that level again, they can score in the 30s against a fragile Rabbitohs defence. Defending hasn't been the Sharks' strong point, though, with their games averaging 57 points per game. Rabbitohs also love to attack but don't defend well; hence the 80 points in last week's game with the Knights. 53.5 is a high line, but these two look up to breaching it.
06:00 St George/Illawarra Dragons v Newcastle Knights
Newcastle Knights
To Win
50 WIN
@-303
Win
17
Knights concede far too many tries, with only one side conceding more points than them this season, and that's St George/Illawarra Dragons. What separates these sides is that the Knights are decent in attack, whereas the Dragons look good for spells but can't produce 80 minutes of solid rugby.
Subtotal-33
08 May 2026
20:00 Hull v Millwall
Draw
50 WIN
@+229
Win
115
Millwall had the best away record in the Championship and have not lost an away game since January. They won away at Hull in the regular season, and despite playing away should get something out of this. Hull are unbeaten at home in four and should be competitive in this. However, they have drawn four of their last seven games, and in what looks like a close encounter the draw appeals today.
20:00 Levante v Osasuna
Levante (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-121
Win
41
Levante's survival hopes took a knock last time when Villarreal did a number on them, winning 5-1. However, prior to that they picked up 7 points from 9, and they could get their survival hopes back on track tonight. Osasuna can climb into the European spots with a win, but their away form has been poor with just 10 points all season. I like the hosts to give their survival hopes a major boost.
20:00 Montpellier vs Poitiers
Montpellier
Win Match
50 WIN
@-555
Win
9
Montpellier have beaten Poitiers in all three meetings this season, each one ending 3-0. They were the much stronger side in the regular season and won 12 of their 13 home games.
Montpellier to win 3-0
Set Score
50 WIN
@+125
Win
62
Montpellier won the first game 3-0, winning 18 more points than their opponents. That is now six consecutive 3-0s against Poitiers in competitive meetings, and another is on the cards.
19:45 Torino v Sassuolo
Torino (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-111
Win
45
Torino are playing well at home, winning three on the trot and then drawing with Inter. Sassuolo haven't been travelling well, with no wins in 4 and two from their last 11, and one of those was against bottom-side Pisa. Given the respective form of each, I'd expect Torino to at least get a draw.
18:00 TSV GWD Minden vs Bergischer HC
TSV GWD Minden -0.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@+104
Lose
-50
Minden are in the relegation zone and Bergischer are just three points above. Both seem to have woken up to the threat of relegation, with both winning last time out. It looks a tough one to call, but Minden won comfortably by 7 away at Bergischer earlier in the season, so should have the psychological edge.
15:00 Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders T20
Kolkata Knight Riders
Win Match
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
Delhi have beaten the bottom two, LSG and Mumbai Indians, and their only decent win came against RCB. But RCB have hardly franked form of late. Other than those wins, they have lost the lot, culminating with a defeat to CSK last time when their top order collapsed to 69 for five. KKR have momentum after three straight wins. Although they don't seem to know their best 11, they have been doing the business, and this looks very winnable for them.
11:00 North Queensland Cowboys v Parramatta Eels
North Queensland Cowboys -10.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@-105
Lose
-50
Eels look decent enough going forward, but defensively they are suspect, being carved open far too easily. Cowboys started the season poorly but have picked up significantly since. They look a real threat going forward and can cover this spread.
10:35 Reds v Chiefs
Chiefs
To Win
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Chiefs are the form side in the competition, winning 5 straight, including inflicting the only defeat on leaders Hurricanes. They beat the Reds by 12 earlier in the season and are in the form to win again.
10:00 Nuno Borges vs Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar
Win Match
50 WIN
@-400
Win
12
Jodar is the rising star of tennis and is in sensational form, winning 12 of his 14 clay matches, with the only defeats being to Fils and Sinner. Borges is a solid enough player, but his 4-5 record on clay this year suggests this is an uphill task for him.
08:05 Crusaders v Blues
Blues 4.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-120
Lose
-50
Blues are in fine form, with seven wins in their last eight and have already beaten the Crusaders by 16 this season. Crusaders have lost three of their last four, so I like Blues with the start.
Subtotal209
07 May 2026
20:15 Josh Rock vs Luke Humphries
Luke Humphries
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@-227
Win
22
Humphries really needs to win this one, and in front of a partisan Leeds crowd he will be giving it his all. His form has been a tad iffy this season, but he has been looking better of late and pushed Littler to a final leg last time. With Rock finding it a struggle, I don't think Humphries will slip up.
20:00 Aston Villa v Nottm Forest
Nottm Forest
50 WIN
@+359
Lose
-50
Forest take a 1-0 lead into the leg and are showing much stronger form. They beat Chelsea rather cosily in the Premier League last time despite making wholesale changes. They are now unbeaten in 10, winning their last 5. Villa have lost their last three, including a disappointing loss at home to Spurs last time, and look opposable.
20:00 SC Freiburg v Braga
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Trailing by one, Freiburg will have to go for it, but I doubt one goal will be enough. Although they have been strong at home in this competition, Braga are a lot stronger than many teams they have faced. In the Bundesliga they conceded regularly, with both teams scoring in 13 of their 16 matches.
19:50 7:50 Redcar
Very Demure
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+650
Lose
-50
This looks a pretty ordinary race, so Very Demure just has to run like last time to at least place. It came a fine second last time on its turf debut and receives 4 lb from the favourite, so should be fighting for the win.
19:45 Luke Littler vs Michael van Gerwen
Over 9.50
Total Legs
50 WIN
@+129
Win
65
Although Littler is expected to win this rather cosily, that hasn't been the case so far. They have met 4 times in the Premier League this year, with all of them going to at least 10 legs.
19:20 7:20 Redcar
Two B Tanned
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+650
Lose
-50
Two B Tanned seemed to have come on a ton for its seasonal appearance, making all and pulling away with ease to win by 2 3/4 lengths with plenty in hand. It gets in here on a decent-looking weight and could easily follow up.
19:00 Chambery Savoie vs USAM Nimes
Chambery Savoie
Money Line
50 WIN
@-175
Lose
-50
Chambéry Savoie lost last time, but losing to Nantes is no disgrace. Nîmes' only away win was against bottom-side Istres, so this should be a comfortable home win.
Chambery Savoie -1.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Chambéry Savoie home record reads W9 D1 L3. The only points dropped were to the sides 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and 7th. All nine of their home wins came by more than this handicap. Nîmes' only away win was against bottom side Istres, so I don't see a 1.5 handicap stopping them.
19:00 Dunkerque vs Istres Provence
Tie
Money Line
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
The meeting between the two earlier in the season ended tied, as did the previous time the sides met. Istres may be bottom, but last time they lost by just one to in-form Cesson and recently won at Sélestat. Dunkerque have lost five straight but have been a tad stronger this season and have home advantage. I see this being tight, making the tie appeal.
18:00 Bodrum FK v Pendikspor
Draw
50 WIN
@+240
Lose
-50
Both games between these two in the regular season ended up drawn, finishing 1-1 at Bodrum and 0-0 at Pendikspor. It shouldn't be a surprise, as the teams look evenly matched and Pendikspor are the draw specialists, drawing 15 of their games. I like the draw again today.
18:00 Corum FK v Ankara Keciorengucu
Corum FK
50 WIN
@-142
Win
35
Corum won both games in the regular season and have now won the last five meetings against Keciorengucu. They were the stronger side throughout the season and look the likely winners.
18:00 TVB Stuttgart vs Rhein Neckar Lowen
Tie
Money Line
50 WIN
@+650
Lose
-50
Rhein-Neckar Löwen haven't been traveling well this season, winning just 4 of their 15 away games. TVB Stuttgart regularly get embroiled in tight games, so they have drawn a league-high 8 games. With home advantage, I can see them getting another draw.
17:45 SC Magdeburg vs Pick Szeged
SC Magdeburg
Money Line
50 WIN
@-499
Win
10
Magdeburg beat Szeged both times in the regular season, winning by 8 at home and 4 away. It was therefore no surprise to see them win the first leg by 7. Now with home advantage, I'd expect a comfortable win.
16:40 4:40 Redcar
Song Of The Clouds
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.50 used instead of 1.47 takenBOG
@-200
Win
25
Song Of The Clouds was undoubtedly green on debut but still ran encouragingly to finish 2nd. It should come on a ton for that run and shouldn't find the opposition too taxing. It's already been pencilled in for the Group 1 Coronation Stakes at Ascot, so I would be hugely disappointed if it comes up short in this one.
16:00 4:00 Windsor
Stintino Sunset
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEDead heat 2 horses sharing 1 placeDH
@+650
Lose
-22
Stintino Sunset has been ultra-consistent this season with three consecutive third-place finishes. In its last three races at Windsor it finished third, second, and first. It's shown enough this season to suggest it should at least make the frame.
15:40 2:35 Chester
Constitution River
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 1.80 on 07/05 at 08:460.30 deduction for Morshdi@3.00 withdrawn at 14:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 0.80 x (1-0.30) = 1.56
@-178
Win
28
Constitution River won nicely at the Curragh last time, making all and pulling away to win by two lengths when asked a question. That was in a Group 2 and now it drops to a Listed race. Chester can be a tricky course, but with its front-running ability it could be a plus, with it likely grabbing the inside rail and making it tough to pass.
15:00 Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru T20
Lucknow Super Giants
Win Match
50 WIN
@+139
Win
70
LSG are all but out, but to have a slight sniff they must win this. There were encouraging signs last time against Mumbai, with them posting 228. I expect them to play with freedom again and post another big total. RCB were disappointing last time, managing just 155 all out against Titans. If LSG bowlers and fielders do a half-decent performance, this looks winnable for them.
13:00 Dominic Dale v Wayne Townsend
Dominic Dale
Win Match
50 WIN
@-454
Win
11
Wayne Townsend doesn't play much snooker these days, with his only competitive matches in the World Seniors without impressing. Dale still plays solidly enough and looks capable of winning this.
13:00 Jimmy White v Daniel Ward
Daniel Ward
Win Match
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
White still plies his trade on the main tour, but to be fair he has struggled a tad. Ward qualified for this with an impressive 4-0 victory over Andrew Norman when winning the qualifier. He pots well, and the amateur should get plenty of chances as White misses far too many pots these days.
12:00 Ken Doherty v Gerard Greene
Ken Doherty
Win Match
50 WIN
@-175
Win
28
Previous meetings have little bearing on this, with the last meeting being eight years ago. Doherty still plays solidly on the regular tour against quality professionals. Greene plays on the Q Tour with mixed results, so Doherty's experience should see him through.
12:00 Peter Lines v Anthony Hamilton
Peter Lines
Win Match
50 WIN
@+120
Win
60
Hamilton's break building isn't what it was and he has now found himself having to play on Q School with mixed results. Lines recently played at the World Championship, thrashing Luz 10-2 and impressively beating Scott Donaldson. He bowed out to Matthew Stevens 10-8 but was competitive throughout. If he brings that level, he can win.
10:50 Dolphins v Canterbury Bulldogs
Dolphins
To Win
50 WIN
@-208
Win
24
Both have just three wins, but the Dolphins' recent form looks a lot better than the Bulldogs'. Last week they came from 10??"4 down to beat the Storm despite having a man in the sin bin. They were hugely impressive in the second half, keeping the Storm quiet and winning it 24??"0. In the two games before that they lost by 2 to the second-placed Warriors and lost in overtime to the leaders, the Panthers. The Bulldogs have been poor in their last three games, lacking a cutting edge up front and defending poorly.
10:00 Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini
Alexei Popyrin
Win Match
50 WIN
@+175
Win
88
Berrettini is solid on clay at altitude, where the ball flies quicker, but at sea level he hasn't been doing well. This year he's been beaten by Buse x2, Prizmic, Kopriva, and Nava ??" all players he was expected to beat. Popyrin is a solid clay player who has had some tough draws of late but isn't playing badly. On this surface at sea level I'd give him a decent chance.
10:00 Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli
Roberto Bautista Agut
Win Match
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Francesco Maestrelli is in shocking form, losing eight games on the trot, five of which were on clay. What makes that run even worse is that he didn't win a single set in any of them. Stepping up from Challenger level has been a bridge too far, which is a tad surprising as he played well last season, claiming three titles. Roberto Bautista Agut's best days are behind him. He usually gives it his all and should beat struggling Maestrelli.
Subtotal65
06 May 2026
23:40 MIN Twins @ WAS Nationals
MIN Twins
Money Line
50 WIN
@-114
Lose
-50
Bailey Ober is a solid enough pitcher with just 3 earned runs in his last 18.1 innings. Mikolas pitches for the Nationals, who is not someone I trust. In his opening game he conceded 11 runs against the Dodgers in just 4.1 innings. Since then he hasn't lasted long, going three or four innings in each and conceding plenty of runs. The Nationals bullpen has looked shaky at times, so I prefer the Twins.
21:10 ATL Braves @ SEA Mariners
ATL Braves
Money Line
50 WIN
@+114
Lose
-50
Bryan Woo for the Mariners has been roughed up in his last two starts, conceding 7 earned runs in 3 innings against the Cardinals and 6 in 6 innings against the Royals. Holmes for the Braves is capable but does have the odd bad outing. However, I trust him more at the moment, and with the Braves battering right-handers right now, I like the visitors.
21:07 CHI White Sox @ LA Angels
CHI White Sox
Money Line
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
White Sox have Noah Schultz on the mound in his rookie season. He struggled a bit on debut against the Rays, giving up 3 earned runs in 4.1 innings but has gotten better in every game since. Last time out against the Padres he pitched 6 innings and gave up no earned runs. Ureña for the Angels doesn't last long, with him being hauled off after the 2nd or 3rd inning in his last 4 starts. I think the White Sox look a decent side this season and can get plenty of runs tonight.
18:15 MIL Brewers @ STL Cardinals
STL Cardinals
Money Line
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Cardinals won Game 1, 6-3, and I give them the pitching edge today. Brewers send out Sproat, who has struggled with a 6.25 ERA. He did have a good outing against the Blue Jays but struggled in his other starts. Pallante for the Cardinals has been more solid with a 3.73 ERA. He has been more solid on the road, but there's no reason why that should continue. Cardinals batter Jordan Walker has been slugging the ball for fun, so I like the Cardinals.
15:30 Slavia Sofia v Septemvri Sofia
Draw
50 WIN
@+240
Lose
-50
A tricky game to call, with one win apiece in the regular season, both being settled by a solitary goal. Coming into this, Septemvri Sofia are unbeaten in five, but they did draw four of them. Slavia Sofia have drawn two of their last three. In what looks a tough game to call, the draw appeals.
15:00 Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings T20
Punjab Kings
Win Match
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Sunrisers bat hard, but their lower order failed badly last time, especially against spin, which is a concern. Sunrisers' bowling has never been the best, so they look vulnerable to a quality Punjab Kings side. Kings were looking unbeatable but have now lost two straight. They haven't suddenly turned into a bad side, though, and can bounce back as they bowl better than Sunrisers and bat just as hard.
14:35 2:35 Chester
Im The One
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
I'm The One was installed as even-money favourite on debut in a Newbury maiden and duly got the job done by 6 lengths. It still looked a bit green, but when asked a question it quickened away nicely. It's subsequently been installed as favourite for the Oaks, so should be up to winning this.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Adonius
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+450
Win
140
Adonius is two from two and could make it three from three today. It looks to travel up with the pace, and last time made all for the win. Therefore, being drawn in trap 1 looks ideal for it on this tricky Chester track, where an inside gate is a big plus.
12:59 12:59 Monmore
Aero Leg It
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Three Aeros in the race and it would be a surprise if one of them didn't win. Aero Leg it is still to win, but it's little wonder considering the races it's been running in. It has run in A3s, OR3s, OR1 and OR races. It's the fastest dog in the race and looks capable of winning an A4.
12:42 12:42 Monmore
Bundoran
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
Bundoran finally drops to a more suitable grade after running at higher levels. Last year it was an A3 race and two A4 races and has never raced in a lowly race like this before. It's been struggling to get past the fast starters inside it in better-quality races, but things should fall nicely for it today.
12:35 Beijing Guoan v Dalian Young Boy
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-166
Lose
-50
Beijing Guoan have a 100% success rate at home in the both-to-score market, and Dalian have a 75% success rate away. With their away games averaging over 4 goals per game, I think this goes over.
11:36 11:36 Monmore
Peejaythedeejay
Daily Races
50 WIN
@+150
Lose
-50
Peejaythedeejay is a former A5 winner who is now running in an A7. It ran solidly enough last time at this level, going down by a neck. It's set the fastest time of the runners and really should go one better than last time.
00:40 CIN Reds @ CHI Cubs
CHI Cubs
Money Line
50 WIN
@-163
Win
31
Cubs have won six on the bounce and are 15-5 at home this season. They have Taillon on the mound, who has not been at his best but always goes deep. He faces a Reds side that are averaging under four runs per away game, so he should be solid enough tonight. Reds counter with Andrew Abbott, who hasn't generally done well on the road, so I see another Cubs win.
00:40 CLE Guardians @ KC Royals
Under 7.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Stephen Kolek gets called up for his first game of the season for the Royals as a replacement for Noah Cameron, who is suffering from lower-back issues. He himself has been injured but recently impressed in the minors as part of his comeback. Last season he pitched 33 innings and ended up with an impressive 1.91 ERA. Gavin Williams starts for the Guardians, who had one bad start against the Blue Jays, but his other five starts were impressive, pitching 31.4 innings for just 4 earned runs. It's a hard stadium for batters, so I like the under.
Subtotal-429
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