tadley
8
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tadley's Tips History
16 May 2026
17:30 Leigh Leopards v Hull KR
Over 40.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Leigh are moving up the table after a fine spell of four wins from five. Although KR are a solid defensive unit, I can see them playing their part today. KR have won seven on the spin and are banging in the tries, scoring 144 points over their last three games. I see these two getting enough points to take this over.
17:00 5:00 Newbury
Mezcala
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
Mezcala last time won the Spring Mile at Doncaster with ease, storming clear of its rivals by 2 and a half lengths. It was an impressive time and shows it has progressed nicely this season. It does have an 8 lb rise, but on the evidence of that run I don't see anything stopping it.
16:00 Harlequins v Exeter Chiefs
Under 62.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-120
Lose
-50
Quins scored 76 points at Newcastle last week but won't find points as easily to come by this weekend. Exeter have already gone to the Stoop and shut them out with a 38-0 win. Exeter are the best defensive side in the league, conceding an average of just 19 points per game, so I see this staying under.
16:00 Projekt Warszawa vs Perugia
Perugia
Win Match
50 WIN
@-909
Win
5
Perugia stormed through the group stages, winning all six games and dropping just four sets. Projekt Warszawa, by contrast, snuck through as one of the better third-placed teams, losing half their matches. To be fair, they did have a solid win over Lublin, but Perugia is another step up.
15:00 Chelsea v Man City
Draw
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
Chelsea have been bitterly disappointing this season, considering their squad. This is their last chance of silverware this season, so I expect to see them at their best. They come into this with a solid draw against Liverpool. Man City have lost the last two FA Cup finals to Man United and Palace, so this may not be straightforward. I think Chelsea will get a draw at full time.
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15:00 Molde v Kristiansund BK
Molde
50 WIN
@-249
Win
20
Kristiansund don't offer much going forward on the road, with just one point and one goal from their three games. Molde did lose to leaders Tromsø last time, but there's no shame in that. They've won 3 of their four home games and are solid defensively, conceding a combined three goals at home. Against shot-shy Kristiansund, I see them doing enough.
15:00 Viking FK v IK Start
Viking FK
50 WIN
@-454
Win
11
After losing their opener, Viking have won six on the bounce. Start have just one point from six away games and have just three away goals to their name. I don't see Viking slipping up against struggling Start.
15:00 York Knights v Castleford Tigers
York Knights
To Win
50 WIN
@-129
Lose
-50
York struggled badly with injuries last time against St Helens and were duly dispatched. They've had a fortnight since then, and the squad is now looking healthier. In their last home game against Toulouse they ripped through them with ease, winning 38-14. Castleford leaked 50 points to both Hull sides in their last two games, so this looks very winnable for the Knights.
14:35 2:35 Newbury
Notable Speech
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+400
Win
200
Notable Speech was a disappointing 4th last time in the Maker's Mark Mile Stakes in the US. But things didn't go its way, with it getting no room and being badly hampered. Prior to that it won back-to-back Grade 1s and looks the class of this race.
13:00 SK Brann v KFUM
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-175
Win
28
All four of KFUM's away games have gone over, with an average of four goals per game. Brann are the best overs side in the league, with six of eight going over and an average of 3.9 goals per game. I like the over.
13:00 Yunnan Yukun v Shanghai Shenhua
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-277
Lose
-50
All three meetings between these sides have gone over 2.5. The most recent was in August, which ended 4-4. All 11 of Yunnan Yukun's games have gone over, so "over" looks the bet.
12:30 Celtic v Hearts
Draw
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
A final day decider and Hearts just need a point to end the Celtic and Rangers monopoly, which goes back to 1984 when Aberdeen won the title. Hearts have conceded the fewest goals in the league, so they will be a difficult team to see off. Their record against Celtic this season is impressive, with two wins and a draw, including a win at Celtic Park. Celtic have just one clean sheet from their last six home games, and with Hearts failing to score in just four games this season, I see them doing enough to get the draw.
12:30 Hibernian v Motherwell
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
Motherwell occupy the last European spot, a point ahead of Hibs, so a Hibs win would see them claim the Conference League spot. Hibs bring good form into this, having beaten Rangers and Falkirk in their last two. They will undoubtedly be going for it from the off, so I see goals in this one. It was 0-0 when the sides last met, but I see this being more open, so I like the over
12:00 Wuhan Three Towns v Liaoning Ironman
Wuhan Three Towns
50 WIN
@+114
Lose
-50
Liaoning Ironman have lost six straight and their road form is horrible, with just one point and two goals from six games. Wuhan Three Towns are also struggling, but they have won two of their last four home games and are looking the stronger team.
11:00 Academico Viseu v Sporting B
Academico Viseu
50 WIN
@-188
Lose
-50
Sporting B are ending the season poorly, losing six straight and not scoring in six. Académico Viseu can secure promotion with a point, but won't be sitting back and will aim to win this cosily.
11:00 Incheon Utd v Gwangju FC
Incheon Utd
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Gwangju have just two points on the road, shipping 19 goals and scoring just two from seven games. Incheon have been better at home this season, and they should have enough to beat the basement side, who simply can't find the net.
10:45 Parramatta Eels v Melbourne Storm
Melbourne Storm -8.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Storm have been bitterly disappointing, including a seven-game losing streak. They arrested that last week with a commanding 44-16 win over the Tigers. I think they can kick on from that and show they are much better than their position suggests. Eels have been competing well, but they have a long list of injuries and look vulnerable to Storm's attacking play. I think we may see a double-figure victory.
10:35 Western Force v Reds
Western Force -3.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Force have been wildly inconsistent, and you can never be too sure what you will get from them. They have won 2 of their last three coming into this and have already beaten the Reds 42-19 this season away. I think, with home advantage, they can confirm that that win was no fluke.
08:30 Sydney Roosters v North Queensland Cowboys
North Queensland Cowboys 14.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@-117
Win
43
Roosters are a quality side, but giving a 14.5 start to the Cowboys looks tough. After losing their first two, the Cowboys picked up significantly by winning their next four. They have shown enough to suggest they can hang in there.
08:05 Blues v Hurricanes
Over 55.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-114
Win
44
Blues' last 5 games went over this line and 6 of their last 7. The one failure was only just, with 55 points being scored. Hurricanes are the highest scorers in the league, but they don't tend to concede many. However, a strong Blues side should ensure this goes over.
05:35 Fijian Drua v Waratahs
Fijian Drua
To Win
50 WIN
@-357
Lose
-50
Fijian Drua are a tough side to beat at home and come into this fixture with 3 wins from four. Waratahs have lost 7 of their last 9 and don't look in any kind of form to win this.
Subtotal-82
15 May 2026
20:00 Wakefield Trinity v Catalan Dragons
Wakefield Trinity
To Win
50 WIN
@-344
Win
14
Catalans are never as strong on the road and have lost 3 of their 4 away games. Wakefield have lost their last two, but trips to Leeds Rhinos and St Helens were always going to be difficult. They won their last three at home, though, so I give them the edge.
20:00 Wigan Warriors v Leeds Rhinos
Wigan Warriors
To Win
50 WIN
@-136
Win
37
Wigan have undoubtedly saved their best performances for the Challenge Cup, as shown by their 32-0 thumping of St Helens last week. If they bring the same intensity tonight, they can win this. The Rhinos are a quality side, but they have only won 2 of their 4 games at opponents' grounds, and wins over Huddersfield and Bradford are nothing to get too excited about. I give Wigan the edge.
19:45 Northampton Saints v Bristol Bears
Northampton Saints
To Win
50 WIN
@-499
Win
10
After drawing their first home game with Exeter, Northampton have been on a roll, winning six on the trot. Bristol aren't a bad side, so I'm not sure about the handicap. But Northampton won't want to slip up in this one after losing to Leicester away last time.
19:45 OH Leuven v Antwerp
Antwerp (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Rge sides met last month with Antwerp winning 2-0. They dominated the stats with an expected goals (xG) of 2.02 compared to 0.26 and won the shot count 23-5. Admittedly, Leuven have home advantage this time, but they haven't been strong at home.
19:30 Korona Kielce v Widzew Lodz
Korona Kielce (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-128
Win
39
Korona Kielce are unbeaten in 5 at home and face poor travelers Widzew ?ód?. Widzew ?ód? have the second-worst away record in the league with just 3 wins from 16. I therefore like Korona Kielce with money back for the draw.
16:05 4:05 York
Amiloc
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Amiloc completed an impressive 5 timer last season culminating in a win at Ascot in the Group 2 King Edward VII Stakes. t followed that up with a fine 2nd in the Irish St Lhger and then a none too shaggy fourth at the Breeders’ Cup Turf at Del Mar. Thats impressive form and superior to anytjing else in this race
15:00 Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings T20
Lucknow Super Giants
Win Match
50 WIN
@+110
Win
55
LSG met CSK just five days ago, with CSK coming out on top. It was far from straightforward, though, with Urvil smacking an impressive 65 off 23 balls. At one point he was striking at 500%. However, when he was dismissed, CSK struggled badly, and only two sixes from Dube in the last over gave them the win. If Samson and Urvil go relatively cheaply, I do wonder where the runs will come from. LSG are out and playing for pride. However, there have been positive signs of late, and batting second tips the game in their favour.
14:40 2:40 Newbury
Al Durry
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1200
Lose
-50
Al Durry has impressive all??'weather form, and if transferring that form to the turf should be bang in there. It gets in here on second bottom weight, and trainer Owen Burrows had a 22??'1 winner yesterday, so the stable form can't be questioned.
13:00 Dalian Young Boy v Qingdao West Coast
Draw
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
Dalian Young Boys are yet to draw a game this season, but that might end this time. Qingdao West Coast just can't stop drawing, with them recording an astonishing seven games on the trot. Those draws have been against good sides and weak sides, so I like another draw.
08:05 Chiefs v Highlanders
Chiefs -16.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Chiefs have won their last three home games against the Highlanders by an average margin of over 21 points. They look in the form to do so again, winning five on the trot, including a win over leaders Hurricanes. Highlanders do have tries in them, but I'm not sure they are strong enough defensively to live with the Chiefs.
00:15 CHI Cubs @ ATL Braves
ATL Braves
Money Line
50 WIN
@-178
Lose
-50
Chris Sale pitches for the Braves. He has been pitching since 2010 and rarely has anything other than a good season. His last two seasons' ERAs were 2.38 and 2.58, and this season it stands at 2.20. Ben Brown starts for the Cubs, who is basically a bullpen pitcher. To be fair, he did go four innings with no earned runs last time, but I don't see him repeating that. The Cubs aren't nearly as strong on the road with a W8 L11 record, so I like the Braves tonight.
Subtotal-49
14 May 2026
20:00 Huddersfield Giants v St Helens
Over 40.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-117
Win
43
St Helens looked absolutely hopeless going forward against Wigan last week in the Challenge Cup. I really don't see them being that bad again and expect a reaction. At their best they can make a huge dent on this line of 40.5 against a Huddersfield side that leak tries. Huddersfield have been poor but did have two back-to-back good games against York and Wigan when they scored 34 points in each. I think they can add to the tally.
18:15 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia v Beroe
Draw
50 WIN
@+300
Win
150
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia are safe from relegation, and it shows in their results, with them drawing their last 2 and 3 of their last 4. Beroe are hovering just above the relegation places, so they need every point they can get. They aren't in bad form either, being unbeaten in 5. I don't think either side would be too disappointed with a draw.
15:45 Botev Vratsa v Montana 1921
Draw
50 WIN
@+275
Lose
-50
Botev Vratsa are 13 points clear of the relegation zone, so are safe from relegation. They have been very drawish in the relegation zone, drawing 3 of their 4 games. Montana come into this game having drawn 4 of their last 5 games. The two games between Botev Vratsa and Montana have also been draws, both ending 0-0. Another draw looks a likely outcome.
15:30 Basel v St Gallen
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
St. Gallen have been a good overs side this season. During the Championship group stage, 13 of their 18 have gone over. Basel aren't as good, but 10 from 18 isn't bad. Four of the last five meetings between these two went over, so Over looks the call.
15:00 Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians T20
Mumbai Indians
Win Match
50 WIN
@+129
Win
65
Mumbai Indians have been bitterly disappointing considering the talent in the squad. They can no longer qualify, so may play with more freedom today. Kings are the least economical bowling side, which should give Mumbai every chance of getting a big score. Batting second seems a big plus, as chasing sides have been dominant of late.
13:15 Septemvri Sofia v Spartak Varna
Draw
50 WIN
@+275
Lose
-50
The sides met just last month at the same venue, ending all square 0-0. Possession was virtually identical, 51%-49%, and the shots were equal at 9 apiece, which points to two evenly matched sides. Septemvri have drawn 4 of their last 5, so another draw looks on the cards.
Subtotal183
13 May 2026
23:40 WAS Nationals @ CIN Reds
WAS Nationals
Money Line
50 WIN
@+139
Win
70
Lodolo starts for the Reds, who has had just one outing this year, which didn't go well, giving him a 6.75 ERA. Last season the Nationals had his measure, with 6 earned runs against him over 5 innings. Irvin starts for the Nationals. His figures aren't great this year, but he has pitched a lot better on the road and last time pitched 5.2 innings for no earned runs. Nationals at 2.4 look the value.
20:00 Hearts v Falkirk
Hearts
50 WIN
@-227
Win
22
Hearts have to go to Celtic Park on the last day, and the last thing they want is to have to win there. A win today would ensure that a draw would be sufficient, with the added bonus that if they win tonight and Motherwell beat Celtic, then they will be champions. It therefore looks a vital game for them, so I don't see them slipping up against a Falkirk side that has lost 3 of 4.
20:00 Man City v Crystal Palace
Man City
50 WIN
@-499
Win
10
I'm not saying Palace will just go through the motions, but undeniably their focus will be on their UEFA Conference League final with Rayo Vallecano on the 27th. City also have the FA Cup distraction, but that's hardly a priority over winning the league. It's a must-win game for City, and they should be strong enough to beat Palace, who are winless in four.
Omar Marmoush
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+137
Win
69
Omar Marmoush impressed when coming off the bench after half an hour and grabbing City's third. It's a must-win game for their title ambitions, and with him likely to be leading the line, I like his chances.
Over 10.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-117
Win
43
In their last six games, Man City have won 10, 9, 11, 8, 12 and 15 corners, so they could even cross this line by themselves. Palace have never failed to win a corner this season, and although they may not win many, they probably won't need many to take this over.
18:10 LA Angels @ CLE Guardians
CLE Guardians
Money Line
50 WIN
@-156
Win
32
Reid Detmers starts for the Angels. He had a couple of solid starts earlier in the season but has struggled of late. Last time his control was no good, with him giving up 2 earned runs in 3.2 innings and walking 6 batters. Parker Messick starts for the Guardians. He has impressed this year with a 2.30 ERA. It would have been better but for a below-par outing at the Athletics, where it's especially hard to pitch. I give the Guardians a clear pitching edge.
18:00 Helsingborg v IK Oddevold
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-161
Win
31
Five of Helsingborg's six games have resulted in both teams scoring, with an average of 4.2 goals per game. Oddevold have an even better record, with six out of six ending with both teams scoring. Yes, looks the likely outcome.
18:00 IFK Norrkoping v Nordic United FC
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-188
Win
26
Promoted Nordic have been the surprise package this season, sitting at the summit of the league. It could be argued that they've played more than their fair share of weaker sides, but even against the better sides they've still found the net. Of their six games, five of them have seen both teams score. Norrköping have conceded in their last four games, so I can see both teams scoring.
15:45 CSKA Sofia v CSKA 1948 Sofia
CSKA Sofia
50 WIN
@+114
Lose
-50
The sides have met three times already this year: twice in the league and once in the cup. CSKA Sofia won each match without conceding. I see them continuing their dominance over their rivals.
15:00 Levadiakos v OFI Crete
Fabricio Pedrozo
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
Fabricio Pedrozo was dropped to the bench in their last home game against Volos, probably rested in what looked a very winnable game. He came back next time and hit a fine brace, scoring the first two. He now has 12 for the season, and I like his chances of scoring against a Crete side that leaks goals.
15:00 Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Kolkata Knight Riders T20
Kolkata Knight Riders
Win Match
50 WIN
@+129
Lose
-50
RCB just got over the line last time against a poor Indian side courtesy of the two runs they needed on the last ball. If they hadn't, it would have been three losses on the trot, and the team aren't looking half as assured as they were. KKR, by contrast, have won four on the spin with a more settled side and improved bowling. There is the unknown of who bats first and what the wicket will be like, but that's more of a reason to back the underdog.
14:20 2:20 York
Klassleader
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+200
Win
100
Klassleader wasn't even raced as a two-year-old and wasn't really asked to do much as a three-year-old. It did qualify for a handicap on its last run, coming second. A dawdling pace in that race probably didn't help, and I'm expecting it to come on a ton for that run. It gets in here on 8-13, which looks a very winnable weight.
13:15 Slavia Sofia v Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich
Slavia Sofia (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-105
Lose
-50
I get that Dobrudzha need the points in their relegation fight, but starting as favourites seems a tad odd considering they haven't won a single away game all season and have just three draws.
11:30 FC Anyang v Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
Both sides scored when the sides met in April, and I see that happening again today. These are the best two BTTS sides in the league, with a success rate standing at 69%.
Subtotal243
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