tadley
9
Estimated Prizes
this month
£95
Estimated Prize money
this month
tadley's Tips History
11 May 2026
20:15 Estrela Amadora v Famalicao
Draw
50 WIN
@+240
Win
120
Estrela could easily be sucked into the relegation places with a loss, so could do with something out of this. However, they have lost their last five and won only one of their last 10. It's not that they've been blown away by teams, with only two of their last 13 games where they were beaten by more than one goal. Famalicão are chasing a European spot and are unbeaten in 10. However, they have drawn four of their last five, so I can see Estrela grabbing a draw.
20:00 Tottenham v Leeds
Draw
50 WIN
@+300
Win
150
Spurs are fighting relegation, but there can be no denying how poor they have been at home this season. They have won just twice and have the worst home record in the league. Despite that, they are odds-on favourites for this. Leeds have lost just one of their last 10 away games, and even then it took two injury-time goals for Newcastle to win it. They have drawn eight of those 10, though, so the draw appeals.
Pedro Porro
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+320
Win
160
Although he hasn't had as many yellows as teammate Romero, Pedro Porro has eight yellows for the season. In a crucial relegation scrap, I don't see him holding back, and he could easily pick up another tonight.
18:00 Cracovia Krakow v Radomiak Radom
Draw
50 WIN
@+240
Win
120
Cracovia Krakow are fighting relegation but have just one win from their last 12, so winning won't be easy. They have drawn half of those games, though. Radom have an outside chance of a European spot but must really get a minimum of a draw tonight and, ideally, need to win. I don't see that happening against relegation-fighting Krakow, so although it's not ideal for either, they may have to settle for a draw.
18:00 Randers FC v Odense BK
Odense BK (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-111
Win+Push
22
Odense have an impressive record against Randers, being unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. There was nothing between them in the regular season, so I like Odense with the start.
18:00 Sirius v Orgryte IS
Isak Bjerkebo
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+300
Win
150
Isak Bjerkebo scored 7 in 29 games last season for Sirius and is on course to eclipse that with ease. After just 6 games he already has 6, making him the top scorer in the league. Örgryte are a weak side that recently conceded eight to Hammarby, so I like Isak Bjerkebo's chances today.
17:30 Slask Wroclaw v LKS Lodz
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-175
Win
28
?l?sk Wroc?aw are second and in fine form, but they do concede at home, with 11 of their 15 games ending with both teams scoring. ?KS ?ód? have an identical away record and have scored in their last nine away games, so I think both will score.
16:30 Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska
Maja Chwalinska
Win Match
50 WIN
@-909
Open
0
Maja Chwalinska is by far the higher-ranked player, ranking nearly 300 places higher. She is 20??"8 this season and recently won a challenger on clay. Urgesi has a losing record on clay and looks up against it.
16:00 Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti
Lisa Pigato
Win Match
50 WIN
@-181
Open
0
Two Italian players, but surprising they have never met professionally. The fact today's meeting is on clay tips this firmly in Pigato's favour. She has an impressive 18??"5 win/loss record on clay this year and 43??"21 last year. Bronzetti, by contrast, is 4??"8 this year and 4??"7 last year. So I like the higher-ranked player.
16:00 Metaloglobus Bucuresti v AFC Hermannstadt
Draw
50 WIN
@+320
Win
160
Metaloglobus Bucure?ti are relegated but they have shown some form, drawing their last two. Hermannstadt are short-price favourites, but wins have been few and far between all season. Both games in the regular season ended all square, so I like the draw.
15:00 Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals T20
Punjab Kings
Win Match
50 WIN
@-149
Lose
-50
Conditions may not be ideal for batters with overcast skies and possible rain, which won't aid the batters. This is bad news for Kings, who have a formidable batting lineup. They have also lost three on the trot, which is far from ideal coming into this. However, they play a Delhi side that have been poor with several heavy losses. This looks an ideal opportunity for Kings to get back to winning ways.
10:00 Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Win Match
50 WIN
@+160
Open
0
Brandon Nakashima hasn't really impressed on clay in the last two seasons, with a 3??"3 record this year and a 6??"8 record last year. Of the players he beat, none were impressive, all ranked outside the top 35. Basilashvili has already come through four rounds, culminating in a fine win over Shelton last time. He looks capable of causing an upset.
10:00 Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Over 22.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@-105
Open
0
Cobolli is a warm favourite, but Tirante isn't one to be swept aside easily. He is fiendishly difficult to break, ranking 2nd in aces hit on clay this season. He won over 80% of first serves at this tournament, so I can see the sets going long. All three of their meetings went to a final set, and I suspect this will as well.
Subtotal860
10 May 2026
22:45 Truist Championship
Adam Scott
25 EW
@+3000
Lose
-50
Adam Scott looks a lively shot at 30/1. He ranks 11th for driving distance and 1st for SG: Approach over the past few months, which is a good fit around here. He's performed well at Quail Hollow in the past, and with his current game looking in good shape, I'm expecting a good weekend.
Gary Woodland
25 EW
@+6600
Lose
-50
Gary Woodland started with a 68 and 69 on Thursday/Friday, but a poor 77 on Saturday ruined his chances. He has been playing well, though, with an 8th at the RBC Heritage previously and a 5-shot win at the Houston Open. He is hitting as long as anyone, which looks like a bonus on this course.
Xander Schauffele
25 EW
@+1100
Lose
-50
Xander Schauffele came second here in 2023 and 2024, so this test of accuracy and putting seems to suit his game. His best form seems to come at this time of year, and his form coming into this looks solid. He has four consecutive finishes in the top 12 with some fine approach work and putting. He has every chance of figuring this weekend.
Ludvig Aberg
Top European
25 EW
@+600
Lose
-50
Ludvig Åberg was a disappointing 60th on his only start here last year, but his form is a lot better right now, so I'm expecting a much better performance. He has four top-5 finishes from his last five starts, and this course really ought to suit him. His approach play and driving distance have been top-notch recently, which should see him master these par 5s.
20:50 Truist Championship
Gary Woodland
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@+5000
Lose
-50
Gary Woodland's last week started with a 68 and 69, putting him right in contention for a high finish. However, a shocking 77 on Saturday with three bogeys and two double bogeys wrecked his chances. His overall form has been good, though, with an 8th at the RBC Heritage the time before, and a fine win at the Houston Open, winning by 5. He is hitting it long and accurately, which is a major plus around here.
20:00 Angers v Strasbourg
Strasbourg (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-108
Push
0
Angers could theoretically still get relegated, but that does look unlikely. Their recent form is shocking, with just 2 points from their last 7 games. They struggle for goals, with the 27 scored being the lowest in the league. I therefore expect Strasbourg to get something out of this. Strasbourg must put a disappointing Conference League knock-out behind them, and although they may find it difficult to get up for this one, they are a more potent force going forward and look likely to at least get a draw.
20:00 Auxerre v Nice
Draw
50 WIN
@+240
Lose
-50
A massive game at the bottom with Nice one place above the relegation zone and Auxerre occupying that spot. A win for Auxerre today would see the leapfrogging of Nice to safety. That may be risky though, as Nice have drawn four on the trot even though they played 2nd-placed Lens, 7th-placed Marseille and 4th-placed Lille. Auxerre have drawn three of their last five, so a draw looks on the cards.
20:00 Le Havre v Marseille
Draw
50 WIN
@+279
Lose
-50
Marseille are strong favourites but don't look an attractive bet given their recent form. They have just one win from their last six. In their last two games they lost 3-0 to second-bottom Nantes and drew with fourth-bottom Nice. Le Havre have become draw specialists, drawing five on the trot. With Marseille's dip in form, another draw wouldn't surprise.
20:00 Metz v Lorient
Draw
50 WIN
@+275
Lose
-50
It's been a dreadful campaign for Metz with just three wins, which saw them relegated a while ago. However, their recent matches haven't been that bad, with three draws from their last six. That includes a draw with Europe-seeking Rennes. Lorient don't travel well, with just two draws. They did, however, draw six, and that outcome appeals today.
20:00 PSG v Brest
PSG
50 WIN
@-499
Win
10
PSG are unbeaten in 33 successive meetings with Brest, winning 25 of them. They could all but wrap up the title today with a win, and I don't see them slipping up. Brest are finishing the season poorly, with no wins in six, conceding 17 goals in the process. They were in Paris in their last away game and were thumped 4-0 by Paris FC. A similar result wouldn't surprise.
20:00 Rennes v Paris FC
Rennes & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+160
Win
80
A crucial game for Rennes as they can still win a Champions League outright spot or a qualification place. They still aren't even assured of a Europa League or Conference League place, though, so they really need to win this. To do so they may need to score at least two, as they have just four clean home sheets this season. Paris have been banging in the goals of late, so I think they can score a consolation goal.
19:00 World Seniors Championship 2026
Ronnie OSullivan
50 WIN
@-400
Win
12
Of the four players left, it is difficult to see Steadman, Milkins, or Perry troubling O'Sullivan. He showed good form at the World Championship and continued that into the Seniors. He easily looks the most likely winner.
17:30 Cordoba v Granada
Cordoba
50 WIN
@-136
Win
37
After a run of 1 point from 8 games, Córdoba have turned things around impressively, winning 5 on the trot. Granada won their last away game, but that was against second-bottom Zaragoza. Prior to that they lost three on the spin and may find Córdoba a tad too hot.
16:45 Catalunya Championship
Daniel Rodrigues
25 EW
@+5000
Lose
-50
It's a Greg Norman-designed course, and it's unknown how it will play, but it doesn't look like one for long drivers. Daniel Rodrigues was impressive last week in search of his maiden win with some good driving and approach play. He ended up T2 but showed enough to suggest he can perform well on a course like this.
Shaun Norris
25 EW
@+6600
Win
388
It's difficult to know what to expect from this course, but it certainly doesn't look like one for the big hitters. Rather, it's for someone who can strike the ball accurately and putt well with its undulating greens. Norris ticks both of these boxes and has been in good form of late, with a 4th and 6th in his last two starts.
16:30 West Ham v Arsenal
Draw
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
West Ham may have been well beaten away at Brentford last time, denting their survival hopes, but they are now at home where they are a lot stronger. They are unbeaten in six at home despite sides like Man United and Man City visiting. I think they can grab a draw.
Viktor Gyokeres
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+125
Lose
-50
Viktor Gyökeres has cemented his place as the main Arsenal striker with 14 goals this season. He's in fine nick with 3 from his last three games. Against a West Ham defence that isn't hard to breach, I like his chances as Arsenal desperately need a win for their title challenge.
Mateus Fernandes
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+279
Lose
-50
Mateus Fernandez has gone three games without a card. If he doesn't get booked today, the run of four games without a card would be his second-longest spell this season without a card. He has seven for the season, and in what should be a fiercely contested match between relegation-fighting West Ham and title-chasing Arsenal, I can see him picking up a booking.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-111
Lose
-50
West Ham games contain more corners than any other side, with an average of 11.1 per game. Arsenal win an average of 5.8 corners per game, and although they don't generally concede many, the reverse fixture between these two went over, so I think 10 looks achievable.
16:15 Roscommon v Galway
Galway
FT Result
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
Roscommon beat Mayo with ease, but I think that flatters them a tad, as Mayo were well off it that day. Roscommon have an awful record at home to Galway in the championship, losing their last seven meetings. Galway are a class side and have been winning the Connacht title for fun in recent years and should prevail again.
16:00 Warrington Wolves v Hull KR
Warrington Wolves
To Win
50 WIN
@+170
Lose
-50
The Halliwell Jones Stadium has been a fortress for Warrington, with them winning all 5 Super League games. The 188 points for and 48 against shows their dominance. It's not that they have been playing poor sides, having beaten St Helens and Wigan. KR are obviously a quality side, but at 2.70 Warrington appeal.
15:30 Exeter Chiefs v Bath
Bath
To Win
50 WIN
@-249
Lose
-50
Exeter have had a dip in form, losing 2 of their last 4 home games. Bath are a really strong side, and you can ignore their defeat to Northampton when they rested players. I give them the edge.
15:00 Grimsby v Salford City
Grimsby
50 WIN
@+125
Lose
-50
Grimsby snuck into the last play-off spot, whilst Salford just missed out on automatic promotion. I'm not reading too much into that, though, as there were only three points between the sides. Grimsby finished the league strongly, winning 5 of their last 7. This included wins over promotion-chasing Cambridge, Crewe and Swindon. In the two meetings with Salford this season, Grimsby won 2-0 away and 3-1 at home, so I give them the edge.
15:00 Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Mumbai Indians T20
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Win Match
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
RCB have lost their form at the wrong time, with their top-4 place now in jeopardy. They really can't afford another defeat today. Those last two losses came out of the blue, as they were looking so strong with bat and ball. They should bounce back today, though, against a disappointing Mumbai Indian side. Batting second seems a major plus, with sides chasing having the benefit of batting under lights when dew appears. So winning the toss looks like a major advantage.
15:00 Skanderborg Handbold vs Team Tvis Holstebro
Tie
Money Line
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
Skanderborg won comfortably by 7 when the sides last met, but the previous two games between them this season ended tied. I see this being close again, making the tie appeal.
14:00 Burnley v Aston Villa
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@-153
Lose
-50
Villa could be forgiven for prioritising the Europa League final with Freiburg in 10 days' time, but they mustn't take their eye off the Premiership. Their top-four finish, earning a Champions League spot, is in jeopardy after two straight defeats, so this looks like a must-win game for them against already relegated Burnley.
Ollie Watkins
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+120
Win
60
Burnley are conceding an average of 2 goals per game, and only Martin Dúbravka's heroics in goal have kept the total down. I therefore expect goals for Villa today. Watkins should get the nod and looks their most likely scorer. He has 11 for the season and should have the nous to breach this fragile Burnley defence.
Kyle Walker
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+425
Lose
-50
Kyle Walker has picked up 9 yellows this season and could well pick up another today. Villa draw an awful lot of cards against the opposing right-backs, so at 5.25 he appeals.
14:00 Crystal Palace v Everton
Draw
50 WIN
@+240
Win
120
Palace should be safe on 43 points, but the odd extra point would arrest their fears. For a bottom-half side they don't lose many at home, losing just 5 of their 17 games. They do draw a lot, though, with 8 home draws being the second-highest number of home draws in the league. Everton are the favourites but are winless in 4; they did draw two of them, so the draw appeals.
Beto
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+200
Win
100
Beto picked up a concussion, so missed the West Ham game but played 64 minutes next time against Man City. Prior to that concussion he was in great goalscoring form, netting 4 in three games. He should start today and looks Everton's most likely scorer.
14:00 Nottm Forest v Newcastle
Nottm Forest
50 WIN
@+220
Lose
-50
Newcastle did beat Brighton last time, but prior to that lost four on the trot, so I'm not sure about them starting as favourites. Forest were hugely impressive prior to their Europa League loss to Villa. In the league, though, they won four of their last five and drew the other. They banged in 15 goals in those four games and can shake off that Villa loss.
14:00 Pakistan Super League 2026
Lahore Qalandars
Outright Winner
25 EW
@+600
Lose
-50
It's a chaotic PSL this season with no crowds, just two venues, and substandard players due to them bizarrely scheduling it against the IPL. Qalandars won last season and have won three of the last four. They retain a strong squad. They possibly have the best selection of bowlers, and although the batting could be said to be a bit too heavy, there is quality there. I expect a strong performance from them.
14:00 Sada Cruzeiro vs Volei Renata
Volei Renata
Win Match
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Sada Cruzeiro finished top of the league, three points clear of Vôlei Renata. However, Vôlei Renata had their number in the head-to-heads, winning all four meetings. They have the psychological edge and know they have the beating of the hosts.
14:00 THW Kiel vs Fuchse Berlin
Tie
Money Line
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Fuchse Berlin are obviously a quality side; hence their price. But don't underestimate Kiel. Kiel have already beaten the top two, Magdeburg and Flensburg, at home, so I see this being a close game. Kiel have tied 8 games, and another wouldn't surprise.
13:45 Kerry v Cork
Cork 3.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-120
Lose
-50
Cork are playing well, beating Meath in the Division 2 group stages. They were unlucky not to force extra time in the decider when the ref ignored the rule book and refused to bring a Cork free infield 50 metres in the dying stages. They were impressive in that game and can consider themselves unlucky to lose. They showed enough to suggest they can keep close to Kerry.
13:45 Warta Zawiercie vs LUK Lublin
Warta Zawiercie
Win Match
50 WIN
@-175
Win
28
Warta Zawiercie were the strongest side in the regular season, finishing 7 points clear and 8 clear of Lublin. They won the first game against Lublin rather cosily, winning 3-0 and scoring 19 more points than Lublin. It was therefore somewhat of a surprise that they dropped the next two games. They arrested that slide, though, by winning the fourth 3-1. With the series now tied, I think they wrap this up by winning today.
13:00 Kim Huybrechts vs Andrew Gilding
Andrew Gilding
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
Huybrechts can still play to a high standard, but he does lack consistency. Gilding is more consistent, ranked 29 places higher, and won the last two meetings with Huybrechts. I give him the edge.
11:30 Atletico Valladolid vs Angel Ximenez Puente Genil
Tie
Money Line
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Puente Genil are playing at a more sedate pace of late, and it's benefited their results. They've won one and drawn two of their last four, all low-scoring affairs. Valladolid aren't in great form, with four losses from their last five, so I see Puente slowing things down and coming away with a tie.
11:00 Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants T20
Chennai Super Kings
Win Match
50 WIN
@-136
Win
37
After 6 losses on the spin, LSG finally got a win last time over RCB. However, it was probably a good time to play RCB as they seem to have lost their form. LSG lack batting depth, and it was only Mitch Marsh's 111 that got them over the line. You can't expect him to do that every time, and you have to wonder if he goes cheaply where the runs are coming from. CSK started poorly, but three wins from four has turned their season around. They bat deep, right down to Overton at 7 or 8, which tips the game in their favour.
04:30 Khamzat Chimaev v Sean Strickland
Khamzat Chimaev By Submission
Outcome 5-Way
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Sean Strickland is hopelessly outclassed on the mat by Chimaev, who is one of the best wrestlers around. If they end up on the mat, there will only be one outcome. Strickland boxes well and has great takedown defence, but I simply don't see him being able to avoid a takedown at some point, which should be the end of the fight.
01:00 Joel Alvarez v Yaroslav Amosov
Joel Alvarez
Win Fight
50 WIN
@+160
Lose
-50
I give Alvarez the edge on their feet, but this will probably end up on the canvas. Alvarez' upset win over Vicente Luque shows that he is a capable wrestler who will pound away relentlessly at his opponent. He is adept at the takedown, and although Amosov is a good grappler, he may have his hands full with Alvarez.
00:05 CHI Cubs @ TEX Rangers
CHI Cubs
Money Line
50 WIN
@-135
Lose
-50
Jack Leiter has been struggling in his last 5 starts, conceding 5, 4, 3, 3, and 5 earned runs, resulting in a 6.67 ERA over that period. It's difficult for the Rangers to win games when your starting pitcher is conceding that amount. He faces a Cubs side on a 10-game winning streak and battering right-handed pitchers. Cabrera is a solid pitcher for the Cubs who is guaranteed to go at least 5 innings. At a stadium where it's tough to bat, I see him restricting the Rangers.
Subtotal-498
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