tadley
4
Estimated Prizes
this month
£20
Estimated Prize money
this month
tadley's Tips History
08 January 2026
20:00 Arsenal v Liverpool
Over 9.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.91
Open
0
Arsenal are averaging 5.5 corners a game and Liverpool 4.4, so if they maintain their average this should creep over. When they met earlier in the season there were 11 corners, and that's about the total I'm expecting.
20:00 Provence v Grenoble
Provence
To Win
50 WIN
@1.22
Open
0
Provence suffered an upset defeat to Valence Romans in their first home game, but given that Valence Romans are going well this season it wasn't that bad a result. However, since then they have won all six home games. Grenoble have lost seven of their eight away, so I can see Provence winning by a figure approaching double figures.
08:15 Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers T20
Sydney Sixers
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.15
Win
57
I think Stars have over-performed so far. They hit the ground running, winning their first four but subsequently lost their next two. They were quickly into their stride, whereas other teams have taken their time to get going. One of those sides is the Sixers, who lost three of their first four but have now won back-to-back games. Their bowling has begun to fire, they make good field-setting decisions, and generally field solidly. I think they are a team on the rise and can win this.
06:00 Jay Vine vs Lucas Plapp
Lucas Plapp
Matchups
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Realistically, this should be a straight fight between Plapp and Vine. Vine is the more consistent time trialist, but Plapp saves his best for this, winning it the last two years. That included an 8-second win over Vine last year.
Subtotal7
07 January 2026
20:15 Burnley v Man Utd
Man Utd
50 WIN
@1.70
Lose
-50
Darren Fletcher takes the reins, and although I don't envisage many personnel changes, I expect him to change the formation and probably play a 4-3-3. Against a weak Burnley side, this should see United to better effect. Burnley don't usually get thrashed at home, but United have enough attacking talent to win this.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
I expect United under Fletcher to utilise the wingers more in this game. I therefore see United racking up the corners in this one. Burnley concede nearly six corners per game, so Burnley shouldn't have to win many to take this over.
20:15 Newcastle v Leeds
Draw
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Leeds are looking a lot stronger now and are unbeaten in seven despite playing some decent sides. However, they have been very drawish, with five of those seven ending all square. Newcastle are good at home with a W6 D2 L2 record, but they should find Leeds a tough nut to crack.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.92
Win
46
Leeds games have been the lowest for corners this season, but they are trending significantly the other way. Their last four games have contained 14, 12, 11, and 10 corners. This has come about with a change in tactics, which has resulted in more corners. Newcastle are the top corner side in the league with an average of 11.1 per game. I therefore like the over tonight.
19:45 Lazio v Fiorentina
Lazio #1-0
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Fiorentina have improved at home but are still struggling on the road, with just 5 away goals from 9 games. Lazio have conceded just 7 at home, so I see them edging this 1-0.
19:30 Bournemouth v Tottenham
Cristian Romero
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Cristian Romero hasn't been booked in his last two games. If he manages to avoid a card tonight, it will be his longest unbooked run of the season. I wouldn't bet on it though, as he is a card magnet with 9 from his 16 games.
19:30 Brentford v Sunderland
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Brentford have an impressive home record of W6 D3 L1. Despite that, this looks a tricky game for them. Sunderland are a tough side to beat. They are unbeaten in five, with them drawing their last four. They are tough to break down, with just two goals conceded in that run, and only Arsenal and Man City have conceded fewer goals this season. I think this will be a low-scoring draw.
19:30 Crystal Palace v Aston Villa
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@2.40
Lose
-50
Villa have won 9 of their last 10, with only Arsenal managing to beat them. Palace at the moment don't look capable of getting anything out of this. Palace have a small squad and have had a very busy schedule with their European commitments, and I think it's catching up with them. They have around 10 players who can't play tonight due to injury or AFCON, so they look vulnerable right now.
Will Hughes
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Hughes has picked up four yellows this season from 17 games, even though he played a bit part in some of them. Last season he averaged a card every three games, with 11 from 33. He should be busy against an in-form Villa side, so he'll do well to escape the ref's attention.
19:30 Everton v Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Everton are missing Ndiaye and Dewsbury-Hall, which was noticeable against Brentford; they did not look at their best. Wolves finally got their first win of the season when beating West Ham 3-0. It was a game they dominated, with West Ham failing to muster a single shot on target. To be fair, their performances haven't been too bad of late, losing just 2-1 to Arsenal and Liverpool and drawing at Man United. They should be buoyed by that and can upset a below full-strength Everton.
Mateus Mane
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
Mateus Mane has broken into Wolves' first team and had a cracker against West Ham, constantly looking dangerous and scoring the final goal. With Everton looking fragile at the back last time against Brentford, it wouldn't surprise me if he netted again.
19:30 Fulham v Chelsea
Draw
50 WIN
@3.70
Lose
-50
Managerless Chelsea got a thoroughly deserved draw at Man City at the weekend and have drawn three of their last four. Fulham are unbeaten in five and are currently playing some solid football. They look a tough side to beat, so this looks very drawish.
19:30 Man City v Brighton
Tijjani Reijnders
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
There are plenty of potential goal scorers in the City lineup, but Reijnders is looking the hottest right now with a goal in his last three games. Although Brighton have been a bit of a bogey team for City, they have conceded two in their last three away games. So there should be goals for Man City tonight.
Over 3.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@1.98
Win
49
Man City pick up 1.7 cards per game, but that's a lot better than Brighton. Brighton are the most booked side in the league, picking up 45 yellows and an average of just under 2.5 per game. 3.5 looks a doable line.
19:00 Scott Donaldson v Sunny Akani
Scott Donaldson
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
Donaldson had a fine run at the UK Open, going through four rounds before losing to Ding in a last-frame decider in the quarter-finals. If bringing that level of form, he should be too strong for Akani, who has lost five of his last six.
18:00 Bjerringbro FH W vs SonderjyskE W
Bjerringbro FH (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Two struggling sides with 5 points each. With home advantage to Bjerringbro I'm surprised that they are 3.00 for this. Sønderjyske have a poor away record of W0 D1 L4. So the hosts look the bet.
18:00 Skuru IK W vs Onnereds HK W
Onnereds HK (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Onnereds sit second with a record of W0 D1 L2 and are unbeaten in six coming into this. Skuru have lost five on the trot and have done little of late to suggest they can win this.
17:30 Bologna v Atalanta
Atalanta (AH) -0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Bologna are one place above Atalanta, but their form coming into this is contrasting. Bologna are winless in five and have no clean sheets in their last ten. Atalanta, by contrast, are in fine form with three wins from four and just two goals conceded in those games.
17:30 Napoli v Verona
Napoli
50 WIN
@1.35
Lose
-50
Verona seemed to have turned a corner when winning back-to-back games against Atalanta and Fiorentina. However, back-to-back 3-0 wins soon scuppered their momentum. I wouldn't be surprised if they lose by a similar score to Napoli, who are in fine form with a home record of W6 D1 L0.
Napoli #3-0
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Verona have lost their last two games 3-0 with an expected goals (xG) of just 0.13 and 0.39. It wouldn't surprise me if they recorded a similar defeat to a quality Napoli side who are just two points off the top.
15:30 Durbans Super Giants vs Pretoria Capitals T20
Durbans Super Giants
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
Both Rutherford and Esterhuizen made good knocks in the last game (47 & 52), but the rest of the side disappointed as they went down to Sunrisers. That's now 3 defeats from 4, and despite looking like a solid batting outfit on paper, that simply hasn't been the case. Super Giants lost an absolute thriller last time via a Super Over against Sunrisers, which showed just what they are capable of. Liam Livingstone and Sunil Narine can come in today, making them even stronger.
12:00 Chattogram Royals vs Sylhet Titans T20
Chattogram Royals
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Chattogram have won 3 out of 5, with both defeats being to leaders Rangpur Riders. They have already beaten Sylhet, with their bowlers dominating the game. They are looking the better all-round outfit.
08:15 Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades T20
Perth Scorchers
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Renegades have been disappointing, but they did beat the Stars last time. I'm not getting too carried away with that, though. It was a close game. They had the advantage of chasing, and derby games can't usually be a reliable indicator. Their top six are all capable, but far too often they have disappointed. Scorchers are on a roll with three straight wins. They don't appear on paper to have the best bowling attack, but you can't knock what they've done. They are oozing confidence, making good decisions, and fielding well.
Subtotal-275
06 January 2026
20:00 West Ham v Nottm Forest
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Two sides struggling badly, with West Ham winless in nine and Forest losing their last four. It's a relegation three-pointer that neither side will want to lose. West Ham simply must respond to the 3-0 humiliation at Wolves. As they drew their last home game 2-2 with Brighton, they do have a draw in them. Sean Dyche will be desperate to end his side's losing run and probably won't be that unhappy with a draw. Two teams that have forgotten how to win could play out a draw.
Jarrod Bowen
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Bowen isn't traditionally a dirty player, but he looks a frustrated one right now. Despite his goal-scoring being as reliable as ever, the team are struggling badly and, as a result, he has picked up two cards in his last four games. Losing 3-0 to previously winless Wolves will irk him, so he looks overpriced for it to happen again.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
West Ham games are the second highest in the league for corners. That is due to them winning plenty and conceding plenty. They even conceded seven to Wolves last time, who are averaging just 2.8 this season. Forest are a solid corner side, so 10 looks doable.
19:45 Eastbourne Borough v Horsham
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.05
Lose
-50
I'm surprised that this is odds-against considering what Eastbourne have been doing. Their last 14 league games, as well as an FA Trophy game, have all gone over, with an average of over 4 goals per game. Four of Horsham's last five games have also gone over.
19:45 Livingston v St Mirren
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.75
Void
0
Livingston may be bottom, but they have scored in all but one home game. They are yet to keep a clean sheet though, so subsequently 8 out of 9 home games have resulted in both teams scoring. St Mirren are 6 from 9 away at BTTS, so yes, looks the pick.
19:00 Ivory Coast v Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso (AH) 0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.93
Lose
-50
Burkina Faso may not be one of the major nations at the tournament, but they have slowly been building into a solid side. They did lose to a quality Algeria side 1-0 but won their previous five games. With Ivory Coast conceding two against Gabon, this looks far from straightforward for them.
15:30 MI Cape Town vs Joburg Super Kings T20
Joburg Super Kings
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Once again MI Cape Town start as favourites. They did so in all four previous games and lost them all. The last loss was particularly poor, with no batter making more than 18 and amassing just 88 runs against Paarl. To back them at odds-on you have to ignore their form and believe they are a far better side than they have shown. JSK have won all three games but did need a super over to beat Super Giants. It was a tremendous game that swung one way then another, but they showed great resolve to win it??"something Cape Town seem to be lacking.
10:00 Ben Mertens v Alexander Ursenbacher
Ben Mertens
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.75
Win
38
The first-ever meeting between the pair, and I think Mertens should prevail. He has been solid of late with a strong win percentage, whereas Ursenbacher has struggled for wins and has lost to some lowly ranked players.
10:00 Mitchell Mann v Mohammed Shehab
Mitchell Mann
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.38
Lose
-50
Mitchell Mann is a solid enough player who usually comes through qualifiers. Mohammed Shehab struggles on the main tour, and I'd be surprised if his game is strong enough to beat Mann.
Subtotal-222
05 January 2026
20:00 Leicester v West Brom
Leicester & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@5.50
Win
225
Leicester are a good both-to-score side, with three-quarters of their games ending with both teams scoring, including their last eight. West Brom have lost 10 of their 13 away games, so although I think they will score, it may well be just a consolation goal.
19:45 Montpellier v Dunkerque
Dunkerque (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.75
Win
38
Dunkerque are doing well, being just one place outside the European places. They are unbeaten in 7 and can at least get a draw against Montpellier, who are looking pretty average.
19:00 Nigeria v Mozambique
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
All three of Nigeria's group games went over, with them winning 3-2, 3-1, and 2-1. Two of Mozambique's games also went over. Historically, the last three games between these two go over, with the most recent last year ending 3-2 to Nigeria. I like the over.
15:30 Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape T20
Sunrisers Eastern Cape
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.70
Win
35
Capitals lost poorly against Sunrisers, and Super Kings but responded well by thrashing MI Cape Town. However, I think that says more about Cape Town. Sunrisers have a quality top order, and de Kock can make the game look incredibly easy. He scored 77 against the Capitals' bowlers earlier in the competition, so I think their superior batting talent tips the game their way.
07:00 Noakhali Express vs Sylhet Titans T20
Sylhet Titans
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Noakhali Express have lost all three games, with their batting lineup looking very fragile. To be fair, Sylhet don't look an awful lot stronger and only just snuck past Noakhali with the last ball in the previous game. However, they know how to get over the line with two wins, so they have the edge.
Subtotal378
04 January 2026
21:25 ARI Cardinals @ LA Rams
Trey McBride (ARI Cardinals)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.40
Lose
-50
Tight end Trey McBride has 11 touchdowns this season. As the season has progressed, he has been targeted more and more. I see that happening again, so odds against at 2.4 are very tempting.
21:25 LA Chargers @ DEN Broncos
Courtland Sutton (DEN Broncos)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.55
Lose
-50
It's a must-win game for the Broncos, so I can see them heavily targeting Sutton. He seems to be their go-to receiver with at least 10 targets in the last four games. I have little doubt he will be targeted often again, and surely one of them will stick.
21:25 NY Jets @ BUF Bills
Jackson Hawes (BUF Bills)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@5.25
Lose
-50
It wouldn't surprise me if many of the Bills players were rested or played a limited role in this one, which may well include tight ends Knox and Kincaid, who have eight touchdowns between them. That should elevate Hawes to a more prominent role. He has three touchdowns for the season, and with the Jets struggling against tight ends, I like his chances.
19:00 South Africa v Cameroon
South Africa (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
You have to go back to the early '90s to find the last time Cameroon beat South Africa, and I don't think that record will improve today. There looks little between the sides judged on their group games, and with a draw yielding a profit, betting South Africa on the Asian looks the safest bet.
18:00 CLE Browns @ CIN Bengals
Raheim Sanders (CLE Browns)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Brown's quarterback Raheim Sanders won't have Judkins to give the ball to this weekend, so he will be free to rush whenever he gets the opportunity. He should have a solid chance of crossing the line this weekend with Judkins absent.
18:00 DAL Cowboys @ NY Giants
George Pickens (DAL Cowboys)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.55
Lose
-50
George Pickins has 92 receptions for the season and 9 touchdowns. With a good game today he could make it 100 and 10, which will do his contract negotiations no harm whatsoever. He will be trying his utmost today and appeals at this price.
Jaxson Dart (NY Giants)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.65
Lose
-50
Jaxson Dart has gone under the radar a bit this season, but the quarterback has rushed in 9 touchdowns despite not playing a full season. He scored twice last time, so he looks in the form to rush in again.
18:00 IND Colts @ HOU Texans
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND Colts)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Colts are given no chance in this game, and as a result the touchdown odds for several receivers are quite large. Michael Pittman has an impressive 7 receiving touchdowns this season and looks simply too big at 7.00.
18:00 NO Saints @ ATL Falcons
Kevin Austin Jr. (NO Saints)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Who on earth do the Saints throw the ball to? Their number one target, Olave, is out with a blood clot in his lung. Vele, who has been used more of late, is also out. The Falcons defend tight ends really well, so throwing to Johnson may be fruitless. That makes Kevin Austin Jr. of interest. He secured 4 of 5 targets for 52 yards last time and recorded his first touchdown. He will surely be targeted today, so he is of clear interest.
18:00 TEN Titans @ JAX Jaguars
Parker Washington (JAX Jaguars)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
Parker Washington has been getting a large percentage of the targets lately and has gained significant yards with the ball. He has a reliable pair of hands, and in a must-win game for the Jags he looks sure to be targeted plenty, so a touchdown will likely follow.
Tony Pollard (TEN Titans)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.70
Lose
-50
Titans have nothing on the line in this game. So instead I see the Titans giving Pollard a high percentage of the ball. He has a quarter of a million pound bonus on the line if he can rush 66 yards, and another quarter of a million if he manages two touchdowns.
17:30 Man City v Chelsea
Over 9.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Man City won just 2 corners in the derby with United, but in all their other home games they won at least 6 corners. I can see them once again getting at least 6. Managerless Chelsea will be giving it their all and should be able to get enough to take this over.
17:00 Grottazzolina vs Cisterna
Cisterna
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
The bottom two meet, with Grottazzolina having home advantage, but that's all they have going for them. They have lost every game this season, winning just seven sets. Cisterna are also struggling but have won three times, including an away win at Monza. This looks like Grottazzolina's best opportunity this season for a win, but they don't look strong enough to get it.
16:15 Le Havre v Angers
Angers (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.08
Lose
-50
Angers are missing their keeper due to AFCON, but Le Havre are missing their first two-choice keepers. Whether that has a bearing remains to be seen. In terms of form, Angers are doing a lot better. Le Havre simply can't score, with just 13 goals this season??"the lowest total in the league??"and are winless in six. Angers are in fine form with four wins from five, so a 0.25 start looks generous.
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15:00 Cardiff v Wigan
Cardiff & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Cardiff are in great form at home, winning their last seven. However, despite their strong form, they have conceded in eight of their 12 games. Wigan's win last time at Upton ended a run of nine straight away games where both teams scored. I see them scoring today, but it may not be enough to get something out of this.
15:00 Derby v Wrexham
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Derby have scored in all but one home game, which was way back in September. On the flip side, they have kept just three clean sheets, making them a solid BTTS side. Wrexham were a good BTTS side at the start of the season before having a lean spell. However, they are back to those early-season ways, with four of their last five ending with both teams scoring and 18 goals in those games.
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15:00 Everton v Brentford
Everton
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Brentford can't play away, losing 7 of their 9 games and scoring less than a goal a game. Everton are no world-beaters but do have a habit of picking up wins. They come into this having won away at Forest, and this looks winnable for them.
Over 3.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@2.18
Lose
-50
I like the over in this one, as Everton do tend to draw a lot of yellows from opposing teams. With both sides averaging virtually 2 cards a game, I think this goes over.
15:00 Fulham v Liverpool
Draw
50 WIN
@3.80
Win
140
Liverpool are playing better now, but last time against Leeds they didn't impress going forward. Looking at their lineup today, it doesn't exactly look full of goals. Fulham are quietly climbing the league after three wins and a draw from their last four. Admittedly they weren't the toughest of opponents, but Fulham are a tough side to beat at home, with their three defeats being by just a single goal. I see them claiming a draw.
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Raul Jimenez
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Liverpool have just 2 clean sheets on the road and they were against strugglers West Ham and Burnley. I therefore see Fulham scoring in this one. Jiménez has 4 goals this season and every one of them was the first goal of the game. He looks a likely first scorer.
Over 3.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Liverpool traditionally don't pick up many yellows, but this season they are averaging 1.7 per game. Fulham are picking up over 2 per game, with only three sides picking up more. With the line set low at three, I think this should at least reach three.
15:00 Leicester Tigers v Saracens
Leicester Tigers 2.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Saracens have underperformed this season with 4 defeats from their 8 games. They have on occasions overpowered sides and run away with games, but all too often they have disappointed. Leicester aren't a side to be outmuscled and have been impressive at home, winning all 4 games. I see them surprising the favourites.
15:00 Newcastle v Crystal Palace
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Newcastle games contain more corners than any other team's, with an average of 11.2 per game. Palace concede around 5 corners per game but aren't normally big corner winners. However, their shot count has increased significantly of late, so they have been unlucky not to win more corners. I can see Palace winning around 4??"6, which would give this a good chance of going over.
15:00 Norwich v Stoke
Norwich #1-0
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Stoke have the best defensive record in the league with just 23 goals conceded. As a result, half of their 10 defeats have been by 1??"0. Norwich were awful at home at the start of the season but have picked up under Philippe Clement, winning three of their last five. I think they can eke out a 1??"0 win.
15:00 Rotherham v Mansfield
Mansfield (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.80
Void
0
Mansfield have won three straight games coming into this, whereas Rotherham have lost six straight games. In those six games they scored just two and conceded 15. Mansfield have beaten top-six sides in their last two, so look good enough to beat struggling Rotherham.
15:00 SV Warnemunde vs TSV Unterhaching
SV Warnemunde
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
88
Warnemünde lost their first 10 games of the season, but out of the blue they won their last two home games 3-0. They face a struggling away side in Unterhaching, who have lost 6 of their 7 away games. Warnemünde, in their current home form, are tempting at 2.75.
15:00 Tottenham v Sunderland
Draw
50 WIN
@3.60
Win
130
Spurs are odds-on favourites despite the fact only strugglers Burnley, West Ham and Wolves have worse home records. Sunderland don't score many but are a tough side to break down. This looks very drawish to me.
15:00 Vallefoglia W vs Busto Arsizio W
Vallefoglia W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.44
Win
22
Busto Arsizio have struggled away all season, losing 7 of their 8 games. Vallefoglia are on a roll, winning their last 6 coming into this. I expect them to continue their winning run.
14:00 Fiorentina v Cremonese
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.04
Lose
-50
Fiorentina look a side desperate for points. They attack in a gung-ho style which, although creates plenty of chances, leaves them vulnerable at the back. It worked in their last home game when beating Udinese 5-1. However, last time they failed to score at Parma despite having 23 shots. I see them peppering the newly promoted Cremonese goal and leaving themselves open at the back.
14:00 Marseille v Nantes
Marseille (AH) -1.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Marseille are averaging 3 goals per home game and conceding an average of 1, so if they keep up that form they should cover this line. They could do even better against a poor Nantes side. Nantes recently sacked Luís Castro and replaced him with Ahmen Kantari, who looks a dubious choice and duly kicked off his career there with a 4-1 thumping by Angers.
13:30 MI Cape Town vs Paarl Royals T20
Paarl Royals
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.60
Win
80
The bookies just can't accept that Cape Town aren't a strong side this season. They've gone off as short-price favourites in all three games and lost them all. Admittedly, they came close last time against Paarl, but that doesn't justify their odds. They have some quality bowlers on paper, but they just haven't been performing, and most of the batting has also underperformed. Paarl may not have the best bowling lineup, but their batters are playing at the top of their game, so they look the value.
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12:40 Amandine Fouquenet vs Aniek Van Alphen
Amandine Fouquenet
Matchups
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Fouquenet looks an interesting each-way bet at odds of around 16/1. I'm struggling to find more than a couple of riders who should beat her. In terms of this head-to-head, Van Alphen would have been the strong favourite up until recently. However, Fouquenet has improved immeasurably of late with two wins, a second and a third in her last four starts. The only riders to beat her have been Pieterse and Brand. She's beaten Van Alphen in the last four races and should prevail.
12:40 Lucinda Brand vs The Field
Lucinda Brand
Matchups
50 WIN
@1.25
Lose
-50
She does have the talented Puck Pieterse against her today, but that shouldn't matter a lot. Brand has won 13 in a row and has won the last 10 times she has raced Pieterse. I don't see anyone else being strong enough to challenge, so Brand should chalk up another win.
12:40 Zoe Backstedt vs Celia Gery
Celia Gery
Matchups
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Zoe Backstedt is hands down the better of the riders, and if anywhere near her best would ride easily away from Gery. However, she has recently recovered from a nasty crash which resulted in a broken wrist. She has had one ride since, at Dendermonde in late December, where she trailed in 24th. She wasn't fully fit and rode very gingerly. I think it could be a while before she's anywhere near her best, so she looks beatable by a fairly reliable Gery.
12:30 Leeds v Man Utd
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
Leeds are playing impressive football right now, and backing them on the Asian or draw-no-bet is probably the sensible option. However, despite their good form they have drawn 4 of their last 5. Man United aren't really impressing at the moment, but ultimately they have lost only one of their last 7. I see this ending all square.
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Over 9.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.82
Win
41
Leeds games are the worst in the league for corners, with an average of just 7.5 per game. However, their recent upturn in form has resulted in an upturn in corners, with their last three games all going over this line. Five of Man United's last six games have gone over, so I like the over.
12:00 Birmingham v Coventry
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Birmingham are hapless on the road but decent at home with just one defeat. They have scored in every home game and should do so again against Coventry, who are beginning to wobble. Birmingham's last six home games have seen both teams score, and I see that happening again.
12:00 Cheltenham v Crawley Town
Cheltenham (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.92
Win
46
Although struggling, Cheltenham haven't been too shabby at home of late, winning 5 of their last 9. That compares rather favourably to Crawley's away record, who have just one point from their last 8 away games. This looks winnable for Cheltenham.
12:00 Joe O Connor v Jackson Page
Joe O Connor
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.60
Win
30
Joe O'Connor seems to have Jackson Page's number, as he has won all three meetings, including a 3-1 win just two days ago. I think he should edge this one again.
12:00 Milton Keynes Dons v Chesterfield
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Chesterfield have scored in every away game this season apart from the game against Walsall. I therefore see them scoring today. MK Dons have scored in all but two home games ??" again against Walsall and against an Oldham side that parked the bus. I think both score.
12:00 QPR v Sheff Wed
QPR & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
QPR are the best BTTS side at home, with 10 of their 12 games ending that way. Wednesday look certain to be relegated, with their problem being that they are conceding an average of 2 goals per game. However, they usually find a goal on the road, with 7 of their 11 ending with both sides scoring.
12:00 Sheff Utd v Oxford Utd
Sheff Utd
50 WIN
@1.50
Void
0
Oxford went down 2-1 to Ipswich last time, but that scoreline flattered them, with Ipswich dominating the game. I see this being a similar game. Sheffield United are climbing the league well after a horrid start and have won 4 of their last 5 home games, drawing the other. Those wins were 3-0, 3-0, 3-1, and 4-0. In such good form, I don't see Oxford getting anything out of this.
10:15 Perth Scorchers vs Adelaide Strikers T20
Perth Scorchers
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Scorchers look a team on the up with two thumping wins in their last two games. It wouldn't surprise me if they went on to lift the trophy. Strikers performed well last time against the Heat, but they look an unreliable side. If Short doesn't have a really good knock, it's hard to know where their runs are coming from.
07:05 Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades T20
Melbourne Stars
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.65
Lose
-50
Stars lost their first game to the Heat last time, and it was quite disappointing that they couldn't defend 196 when looking well in control while having the Heat at 133-6. Their bowling had been impressive in the previous four games but was undone by some power hitting. That's a slight worry. Whether the Renegades have the batting depth to do the same I'm not so sure. The Renegades had a win in their opener, but it's been all downhill since. Their top six all look to have runs in them, but they just can't seem to build partnerships.
07:00 Sylhet Titans vs Chattogram Royals T20
Chattogram Royals
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
I'm not sure Sylhet are good enough to justify odds of 1.67. They've won 2 and lost 2, but their wins came against the bottom two and the games were close. Chattogram have won 2 out of 3, with both wins being rather dominant. They have a solid bowling unit, which should cause Sylhet all sorts of problems.
04:55 Northern Districts vs Otago T20
Otago
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Push
0
Otago failed to chase down 188 set by Canterbury in their opening game, with their tail being skittled out very cheaply. Their tail wasn't needed in their following game, where they posted 193, aided significantly by Glenn Phillips' 90. Northern Districts lack quality in their bowling department, conceding 194 in their loss to Wellington and 201 in their abandoned game with Auckland. I see Phillips and co. really getting stuck into this bowling attack.
Subtotal-21
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