tadley
4
Estimated Prizes
this month
£20
Estimated Prize money
this month
tadley's Tips History
02 May 2026
21:10 HOU Astros @ BOS Red Sox
Under 9.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-114
Push
0
Spencer Arrighetti didn't impress last season but has turned that around this time with a series of solid outings. He has pitched 18 innings for just 4 earned runs. Last time against the Yankees was particularly impressive, with him going 7 innings for one earned run and 8 strikeouts. With the Red Sox averaging a shade over 3 runs per game, he should keep them quiet. Early pitches for the Astros, who have also been solid with a 2.84 ERA. As long as the bullpens don't perform poorly, I like the under.
21:00 Miami Grand Prix
Lando Norris
Fastest Qualifier
50 WIN
@+200
Open
0
Lando Norris has impressed this weekend and has already wrapped up the sprint race. It looks a straight shootout between him and his teammate Antonelli, but on the evidence of this weekend Norris has the edge.
20:00 Huddersfield Giants v Warrington Wolves
Over 44.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Warrington look a decent side and are averaging 33.8 points per game. Huddersfield have conceded more points than any other side and look capable of capitulating during games. However, there have been two exceptions when they beat York 34??"14 and upset Wigan away 34??"16. If they bring that level, they can certainly add to the scoring.
19:20 ARI Diamondbacks @ CHI Cubs
CHI Cubs
Money Line
50 WIN
@-161
Win
31
Ryne Nelson pitches for the D-backs, who can't be in a good place right now. Against the Blue Jays he was hauled off after one inning after conceding eight runs. Although he fared better next time against the Padres, he still allowed six earned runs in five innings. The Cubs tend to prefer hitting tight-handed pitchers, so he may not enjoy tonight. Imanaga pitches for the Cubs, who in his first four games gave up just three earned runs over 24 innings. Admittedly, he didn't do as well last time against the Dodgers, but the Dodgers are quality hitters.
19:00 Dublin v Louth
Louth
FT Result
50 WIN
@+137
Open
0
Dublin snuck past Wicklow, and if Wicklow were more clinical in attack it could be a different story. Louth, unlike Wicklow, should take their chances. They attack with purpose and look capable of winning this.
18:00 Catalan Dragons v Leigh Leopards
Catalan Dragons
To Win
50 WIN
@-175
Lose
-50
Leigh don't travel well, with their only win from five being over promoted York Knights. A trip to France therefore looks a bit daunting. Catalans are always strong at home, and this season have won four of five, including wins over Hull KR and Warrington. Although Leigh have done well recently in France, I don't see them winning this time.
17:30 Arsenal v Fulham
Arsenal
50 WIN
@-208
Win
24
Fulham aren't far off a European spot, but their away form isn't helping. They have just one win from their last eight games, losing four of them. Arsenal probably need to win every game to be champions, and even then it may not be enough. They really can't afford to slip up in games like this.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-111
Lose
-50
With the title maybe going down to goal difference, Arsenal have to go for it for the full 90 minutes. They are usually a decent corner side at home anyway and have won 7, 8, and 10 in their last three home games. Fulham normally can be relied upon to win corners, with them winning three or more in all but one away game. I can therefore see them chipping in.
17:30 Ulster v Exeter Chiefs
Ulster
To Win
50 WIN
@-175
Win
28
Ulster hammered Exeter when they last met last year, beating them 52-24 in the European Champions Cup. Although I don't expect that margin of victory, I foresee the same outcome. Exeter have failed to win their two away games in the Challenge Cup group stage and just snuck past Benetton in a close game last time. Ulster had a stunning 17-point win over La Rochelle and are strong at home.
17:00 Derry v Monaghan
Monaghan 4.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-136
Open
0
Derry seem to be peaking at the right time and had a routine win over Antrim. However, Monaghan looks a far tougher game. Monaghan, too, seem to be improving and are a capable side that will give as much as they get. Winning may be tough, but keeping within 4 looks doable.
17:00 Miami Grand Prix Sprint
Kimi Antonelli
Win Race
50 WIN
@+225
Open
0
There looks little between the two McLaren drivers, and if anything Antonelli has impressed more. Norris started on pole after beating Antonelli by 0.222, but there really shouldn't be this much discrepancy in the prices.
17:00 SK Brann v Fredrikstad
SK Brann
50 WIN
@-161
Win
31
Brann had a stunning win over unbeaten leaders Tromsø last time, beating them 5-0, with winger Ingason scoring an 18-minute first-half hat-trick. If they bring that level today against Fredrikstad, who have lost two of their three away games (their win was over winless Aalesund), they should be strong favorites.
15:00 AFC Wimbledon v Huddersfield
Draw
50 WIN
@+275
Lose
-50
Huddersfield took a 4-1 pounding by Mansfield at home last time and have just one win from their last nine. They have been very drawish, though, with seven of those games ending as draws. Wimbledon were in awful form, picking up just one point from nine games. However, they won away at Wigan last time to guarantee League One football last season. With nothing on the line, the draw appeals.
15:00 Barrow v Newport County
Newport County
50 WIN
@+150
Win
75
Two wins from their last three have lifted Newport out of the relegation zone. They can't rest on their laurels, though, as they can still be leapfrogged by Harrogate and Crawley. A draw may not be enough, so they really need to win this. Barrow aren't relegated yet, but they need to win and for Crawley and Harrogate to lose, and they need an eight-goal swing with Crawley. I doubt they really believe; they are an inferior side to Newport.
15:00 Bolton v Luton
Luton
50 WIN
@+154
Win
77
It's doubtful if a draw would be good enough to lift Luton into the play-offs, and even a win might not be enough. Although Bolton are a good side, they are safely in the play-offs and have bigger games ahead. Luton bring serious momentum into this, being unbeaten in 10 and winning 7 of their last 9.
15:00 Brentford v West Ham
Draw
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
Brentford are just one point off a European spot, but a run of five games without a win has hindered their ambitions. Prior to their loss to Man United last time, they drew five on the trot. Although they are outsiders in the odds, I think they will have to settle for a draw today against a West Ham side desperate for points. West Ham have climbed out of the relegation zone with seven points from their last three games. Although they would love all three, they may have to settle for one against a solid Brentford side.
15:00 Cove Rangers v East Fife
Cove Rangers
50 WIN
@+125
Lose
-50
A massive game at the bottom, with the loser maybe having to play a relegation playoff depending on the Hamilton result. In terms of the winner, Cove look most likely. East Fife were playing solid football from August to December, winning half of their 14 games. That's a long distant memory now, though, as their form since has been awful. They have won just one of their last 11 and two of their last 19. Cove have bettered that tally in just four games, winning three of their last four.
15:00 Fleetwood Town v Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+275
Lose
-50
MK Dons have already secured promotion but would love to go up as champions, so they will be giving this their all. They may need more than one goal to win, though, as Fleetwood have failed to score in only three home games. MK Dons have failed to score in only two away games and scored 2 or more in 15 of their 22 away matches. I think they will do enough to win this.
15:00 Gillingham v Shrewsbury
Draw
50 WIN
@+250
Lose
-50
Shrewsbury seem to go through phases of good football and poor football. At one time they lost five on the trot and at another time won five on the trot. Their last two games have ended in draws, and another wouldn't surprise me. Gillingham are odds-on favourites but are in no sort of form, with one win from their last 12. I can see both settling for a draw.
15:00 Harrogate Town v Barnet
Barnet & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+350
Win
175
Four wins on the trot have given Barnet a slight chance of winning this, but they must win, and goal difference could be crucial. They have been banging in the goals, scoring 16 in those four games. They don't keep many clean sheets, though, with none in their last five and one in their last 10. Harrogate have won their last two, giving them a chance of survival. They've now scored in their last five, so I think they score again. But it may not be enough against a rampant Barnet.
15:00 Inverness CT v Hamilton
Hamilton
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
With the two teams above them, East Fife and Cove, playing each other, a win would guarantee Hamilton's survival. However, they couldn't have had a harder game than against leaders Inverness. Inverness will be fully motivated, as a loss could see them fall out of the only automatic promotion spot. Hamilton are way better than their league position suggests, with a 21-point deduction being the reason they are in that position. They've won three on the trot coming into this and simply look better than 7.0 shots.
15:00 Leyton Orient v Burton Albion
Draw
50 WIN
@+279
Win
140
If Exeter win, Leyton Orient must also win to avoid being relegated. Winning looks tough, though, considering Orient's form. They are winless in seven, losing four of them, including to second-bottom Rotherham. Burton won't be a pushover, as they are unbeaten in five. However, they did draw four of them, and that is what I expect in this one.
15:00 Newcastle v Brighton
Brighton
50 WIN
@+162
Lose
-50
Brighton are 8 points off a Champions League spot, and with 4 games left that looks a tall order. However, they are in an automatic Europa League spot, and with plenty of teams chasing them down, getting three points today looks important. Newcastle should be safe from relegation, as they are 8 points clear. The form coming into this is quite contrasting: Newcastle have lost 4 straight, whereas Brighton have won 4 and drawn one of their last 5. They are simply looking the stronger outfit.
15:00 Northampton v Plymouth
Plymouth
50 WIN
@-227
Win
22
Northampton are long relegated and are ending the season in awful form, losing 10 straight. Plymouth, by contrast, are in fine form with just one loss from 11. They still have a chance of making the play-offs but must win this and hope other results go their way. I don't think they will slip up in this one.
15:00 Oldham v Accrington Stanley
Draw
50 WIN
@+309
Lose
-50
Oldham were in sensational form in February and March, but now that promotion is off the table their form has deteriorated badly. They are winless in five, losing their last four. Accrington have been in wretched form of late, with just one win from their last 14. They have arrested their slide, though, drawing the last two, and I think they can get another win in this one.
15:00 Port Vale v Lincoln City
Draw
50 WIN
@+320
Lose
-50
I expected Vale to come away from play-off-bound Stockport with a draw mid-week, but they did even better by winning the game. They may be relegated, but they are playing solidly right now. Their last seven games' form reads W3 D2 L2, with the two defeats being a 1-0 loss to Cardiff and a 2-1 loss to in-form, promotion-chasing Plymouth. Lincoln have won the league and reached the 100-point mark. After such a fine season, ending with a draw wouldn't be a disaster.
15:00 Reading v Blackpool
Blackpool
50 WIN
@+200
Win
100
Reading are safely in mid-table with nothing on the line in this one. They appear to be somewhat on the beach with no wins in five. Blackpool also have nothing on this game, but unlike Reading are finishing the season well, winning six of their last eight and eking out four 1-0 wins from their last six.
15:00 Stevenage v Wigan
Stevenage
50 WIN
@-166
Win
30
Three wins at the start of the month lifted Wigan clear of the relegation zone. Now safe, their performances seem to have fallen off, with a draw against Port Vale and a loss at home to struggling Wimbledon last time. Stevenage occupy the last playoff spot but are in danger of being leapfrogged by Luton and Plymouth. I expect at least one of them will win, meaning Stevenage simply must win this to make the play-offs, and I suspect they will.
15:00 Swindon v Chesterfield
Draw
50 WIN
@+270
Lose
-50
The equation is simple. If Swindon win, they make the play-offs. But if Chesterfield draw or win, they do. Chesterfield bring better form, with 4 wins and 2 draws from their last 6, and will be more than happy with a point today. Swindon have lost their form at the wrong time, drawing at home to struggling Accrington and losing 4-0 to Grimsby and 3-0 to Colchester. They do have home advantage, but I don't see that being enough to beat in-form Chesterfield, who I believe will get the draw they need.
15:00 Tranmere v Grimsby
Grimsby
50 WIN
@+114
Lose
-50
Tranmere aren't safe from relegation even though they are fifth-bottom, as they can still be overtaken by three teams below them. They are in desperate form, with one win from their last 14 and two wins from their last 21. Seventeen of those games ended in defeat. They have a daunting task in this one against a quality Grimsby side. Grimsby are already safely in the play-offs, but they are a far superior side to Tranmere, and it will be disappointing if they underperform in this one.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Sunderland
Draw
50 WIN
@+259
Win
130
Wolves went down 1-0 last time to Spurs, but prior to that were unbeaten in three at home, beating Villa and Liverpool and drawing with Arsenal. Despite already being relegated, they don't look a pushover at home of late. Sunderland's European ambitions took a knock with two straight defeats. This looks tricky for them, and they may have to settle for a draw.
12:30 Hull v Norwich
Norwich (AH) 0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-102
Lose
-50
The game is priced up purely on the motivation rather than the form of the teams. Hull are going for the last play-off place with Wrexham; the teams are level on points and Hull are just one goal worse off. Hull were in the play-offs, but no wins in six have seen them fall outside. They would obviously love a comfortable win in this one, but they aren't displaying that kind of form. Norwich have nothing to play for, but it can be folly to write off sides that seemingly have no motivation. They are playing well, with eight wins from 12, and can ruin Hull's play-off hopes.
12:30 Ipswich v QPR
Ipswich
50 WIN
@-333
Win
15
A win guarantees Ipswich promotion, and anything else most likely condemns them to the play-offs. They seem to be playing against an ideal side in QPR that has nothing to play for and has lost three straight coming into this. Ipswich won 4-1 at Loftus Road earlier in the season and look set to win again.
12:30 Millwall v Oxford Utd
Millwall
50 WIN
@-249
Win
20
Although Oxford won two of their last four, it wasn't enough to avoid relegation, as West Brom rallied well to climb clear of them. Subsequently, there is nothing on the line for them apart from pride in this one. That's not the case for Millwall, though, who can still make the automatic promotion spot if Ipswich don't win. They must win this, though, so I don't see them slipping up.
12:30 Portsmouth v Birmingham
Portsmouth
50 WIN
@+145
Lose
-50
Aside from a spell of three wins in January when bringing in players, Birmingham have been bitterly disappointing on the road. If the league were based purely on away fixtures, they would be in the relegation zone. Portsmouth have fought well to climb away from the relegation zone. Even when they were safe last time, they came away from Stoke with a 3-1 win. They clearly aren't a side on the beach and should win this last game in front of their home fans.
12:30 Sheff Wed v West Brom
Sheff Wed
50 WIN
@+525
Win
262
It's been a terrible campaign for Wednesday with just one win all season. Unless they win this, they will finish on an embarrassing negative points total. They would obviously love to win this to restore some pride and aren't without a chance. They have drawn three of their last four home games, so it's not a big step up to turn one into a win. They could be playing an ideal team in West Brom. West Brom have ended the season well and have pulled to safety away from the relegation zone. Now they are guaranteed Championship football next season, they can relax and surely won't have the same motivation as in recent games.
12:30 Swansea v Charlton
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-133
Win
38
Swansea have conceded in 15 of their 22 home games. The teams they kept a clean sheet against were almost exclusively bottom-eight sides. Admittedly, Charlton are also in the bottom eight, but they are finding the net regularly now. They have scored in their last seven away matches, including against quality sides like Middlesbrough and Southampton. I see both teams scoring.
12:30 Wrexham v Middlesbrough
Wrexham
50 WIN
@+175
Lose
-50
The only game in the Championship with something on it for both sides. Middlesbrough can still gain an automatic promotion spot, but it's a long shot. They must win and hope Ipswich lose and hope Millwall don't win. With those two sides having very winnable home games, I doubt even the most optimistic Middlesbrough fan will believe they can do it. Wrexham have play-off ambitions, sitting in the last play-off place. To make the play-offs they simply have to match Hull's performance. That's a tricky thing to do, and their style of play is to go for goals and not sit back, so I see them winning this.
08:30 Parramatta Eels v New Zealand Warriors
New Zealand Warriors
To Win
50 WIN
@-208
Win
24
Eels are a solid enough side going forward, but it is far too easy for teams to break them down. They have conceded 279 points, the most in the league, even more than the hapless St. George Illawarra. Warriors are looking a quality side and should have few problems regularly breaching the Eels' defence.
Subtotal372
01 May 2026
20:00 Girona v Mallorca
Girona
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Both sides are fighting to stave off relegation, but then again so is most of the league. The venue should be the deciding factor tonight, as Mallorca are terrible travellers with just one win and 6 points all season. Adding to their woes is the fact it's a Friday evening game. Mallorca seem to hate playing away on a Friday, with only one win from 13 attempts. Girona have shown some decent form of late, beating Villarreal and drawing at Real. They are looking the stronger outfit.
20:00 Leeds Rhinos v Wakefield Trinity
Wakefield Trinity 14.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@-136
Lose
-50
Wakefield are a decent side and haven't lost by this kind of margin all season despite playing away at Warrington and St Helens. They have already beaten the Rhinos by 10 in the Challenge Cup and look capable of keeping within 14.
20:00 Leeds v Burnley
Leeds
50 WIN
@-249
Win
20
Both sides finished with 100 points last season, but Leeds have twice as many as Burnley this season. Burnley have struggled all season, with just four wins, and come into this having lost their last four. Leeds, by contrast, have picked up significantly since December. Of the 21 games played, they have lost only four. With no further FA Cup distraction, they should have no worries taking care of Burnley.
19:45 Pisa v Lecce
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-166
Lose
-50
It's hard to imagine many goals between these two strugglers. Pisa have just 24 goals from 34 games, the lowest tally in the league. Lecce have scored the fewest away goals this season, with a paltry 10. I just don't see these two getting three between them.
19:00 Toulouse vs Tremblay
Under 61.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Games between these two are generally not high-scoring affairs, with the last five games containing 55, 56, 55, 57, and 49 points. Admittedly, Tremblay games are capable of racking up the points, but I see Toulouse slowing them down.
16:30 Dunkerque vs Saint Raphael
Saint Raphael
Money Line
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
Dunkerque have won just five games, but those were mostly against struggling sides. Saint-Raphaël sit sixth and won rather comfortably by eight earlier in the season.
15:00 Islamabad United vs Hyderabad Kingsmen T20
Islamabad United
Win Match
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
A close game to call, but Islamabad United have also scored runs at a quicker rate than Hyderabad and bowled better, so they have a slight edge. Batting second is a huge plus on these wickets, so winning the toss looked crucial.
15:00 Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals T20
Rajasthan Royals
Win Match
50 WIN
@-142
Lose
-50
Delhi were bowled out for 75 last time against RCB, and it wasn't as if it was a tricky wicket, as RCB chased it down in 6.3 overs. Prior to that, they scored 264 and still lost the game. That's now three defeats on the trot, and they look a hard side to trust. RR beat RCB with a fine chase last time, and if they're playing like that today they should prevail. I would really like them to win the toss and bat second, as chasing seems to be the way to go.
14:00 Empoli v Avellino
Avellino (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-111
Lose
-50
Empoli are installed as favourites, but I'm assuming that's priced up on their need to win to climb out of the relegation zone rather than their form. They have one win from their last 17, so I won't be rushing to back them as favourites. Avellino are the stronger side and also have motivation, as they occupy the last play-off place.
11:00 Dolphins v Melbourne Storm
Dolphins
To Win
50 WIN
@-161
Win
31
At the start of the season it would have been inconceivable that Storm would be second bottom, but that's where they are. They've now lost six straight and were embarrassed 6-48 at home to the Rabbitohs last time. It's just possible they will suddenly click, but I wouldn't bet on it. Dolphins have lost four straight, but losing by two to second-placed Warriors and losing in overtime to the leaders Panthers is not too shabby.
09:00 Canterbury Bulldogs v North Queensland Cowboys
North Queensland Cowboys 1.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@-108
Win
46
Cowboys started off by losing their first two games, but they always looked better than that. It turned out with them winning five of their next six. They look an impressive side going forward and have impressed more than the Bulldogs. Bulldogs have lost four of their last five, including an 18-point loss to the Eels despite being very warm favourites. On the evidence so far, Cowboys are the stronger side.
Subtotal-203
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