tadley
6
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£30
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tadley's Tips History
21 June 2026
07:05 Melbourne Storm v Canberra Raiders
Melbourne Storm
To Win
50 WIN
@-249
Win
20
It's been a disappointing campaign for Storm, with them sitting 12th. However, they've been more solid of late, winning 4 of their last 5, and a top-8 place is still possible with a good run. Raiders have looked unimpressive when I've seen them, and a Storm side building momentum should prevail.
Under 50.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Raiders are a poor team and have the third-lowest points with 261. Against what is often a solid Storm defence, I don't see them scoring many. Storm have been disappointing this season, so I see them keeping it tight and doing enough to win.
05:00 New Zealand Warriors v North Queensland Cowboys
New Zealand Warriors -8.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
Cowboys have been inconsistent this season and were poor in their last two games. They lost by 14 to a not-very-strong Raiders side and, last time, were badly outclassed by the Dolphins on their own patch. The meters they made in possession were poor, and they never looked competitive. Warriors are strong this season and are capable of putting weaker sides to the sword.
05:00 Tunisia v Japan
Japan
50 WIN
@-175
Win
28
After a 5-1 thrashing by Sweden, Tunisia took the controversial decision to sack their coach mid-tournament. Whether that results in an improved performance remains to be seen. They would have to improve significantly to beat Japan, though. Japan looked decent in the draw against the Netherlands and look a clear level above what appears to be a weak Tunisia side.
Over 3.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@-105
Lose
-50
Referee István Kovács of Romania has the honour of refereeing his 1,000th World Cup match, and I don't see that honour holding him back from showing cards. He has a wealth of experience but doesn't shy away from booking players. Over his career he has averaged 5.3 yellow cards per game. Tunisia had just one yellow against Sweden but easily could have had more, and as the deficit rose their commitment waned. I can see them picking up cards today. Japan don't usually pick up many, but even one may be enough to at least reach three.
01:00 Ecuador v Curacao
John Yeboah
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+150
Lose
-50
Yeboah looked lively against the Ivory Coast with three shots and hitting the crossbar. Curaçao looked particularly vulnerable down the left, so the left winger should get joy today.
Ecuador #3-0
50 WIN
@+500
Lose
-50
Ecuador are a tough side to break down. So despite Curaçao getting a surprise goal against Germany, I don't see them repeating that feat. Ecuador, though, don't score many, but they should dominate the game. Against a Curaçao side that struggled badly in defence against Germany, I can see Ecuador getting three.
Over 3.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@-102
Win
49
Ning Ma of China takes charge and hasn't been shy to show cards. In his five games this year he showed 26 yellows and a red, and last year showed 89 yellows and a red from 18 games. Players will obviously have to be on their guard in this one. I don't know whether Curaçao realistically believe they can progress in the group, but if they do this is a game they must get something out of. Conversely, Ecuador really ought to be eyeing all three points. I therefore can see plenty of tough tackles, trips, etc., taking this over.
Subtotal-53
20 June 2026
21:00 Germany v Ivory Coast
Germany
50 WIN
@-188
Win
26
Ivory Coast needed a last-minute goal to get past Ecuador, and this looks a lot tougher. You can't read too much into Germany's 7-1 thrashing of Curaçao, but they are in fine form, winning 10 on the trot and banging in the goals in the process. Although Ivory Coast themselves are in fine form, I think Germany will be too strong.
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Felix Nmecha
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
Felix Nmecha is given the freedom to push forward more for Brazil than his club Dortmund. This was evident in the opener when he fired in four shots, three of which were on target and one resulting in a goal. Ivory Coast will be tougher to break down than Curaçao, but I don't see that stopping Nmecha from getting shots away, so 7.00 looks a bit big.
1 member found this comment useful
Over 3.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@-111
Lose
-50
Ivory Coast picked up three first-half cards against Ecuador but calmed down a tad in the second half, although they appeared to get away with a couple. Germany are bound to put them under plenty of pressure, and Ivory Coast do have a habit of picking up cheap cards by tripping. Germany aren't immune to yellow cards, picking up nine from their six qualification games, so 3+ looks likely.
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21:00 Stephen Bunting vs Niels Zonneveld
Stephen Bunting
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@-175
Win
28
Bunting has never lost to Zonneveld, winning all 4 meetings, including one earlier this year. He's in solid form coming into this, having reached the semis of the last Players Championship. I think he keeps up his fine record against Zonneveld.
20:05 Montpellier v Stade Francais
Montpellier
To Win
50 WIN
@-188
Win
26
Montpellier are in fine form, winning 14 of their last 15 games in all competitions. Stade Français were very impressive in the last round, sweeping aside Stade Rochelais 45-5. However, they haven't impressed away from home, losing 9 of their 14 games. Their travel sickness tips this in the favour of Montpellier.
20:00 Castleford Tigers v Toulouse Olympique
Toulouse Olympique 12.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
Two very unpredictable sides and you never really know how they'll play on any given day. Castleford have been thumped 72-6 by Warrington, 34-0 by Wakefield, 50-10 by Hull and 50-6 by KR. On the flip side they've beaten Wigan by 10 and St Helens by 20. Toulouse have largely struggled at this level but have won their last two away games and beat Castleford by 12 earlier in the season. They do have tries in them and, against a far-from-solid Castleford defence, can hang in there.
18:15 Mayo v Meath
Meath
FT Result
50 WIN
@+150
Lose
-50
Meath look far from bullet-proof after surrendering a 9-point half-time lead in their loss to Cork. They shook that off impressively last week when upsetting Derry away. When fully at it, they look quality and can upset Mayo.
18:00 Catalan Dragons v Bradford Bulls
Catalan Dragons
To Win
50 WIN
@-454
Win
11
Bradford won comfortably at home by 18 when they met earlier in the season, but this should have an entirely different outcome. Catalans are far stronger at home, and Bradford have really struggled on the road. They have lost all six away games, being outscored 108-209.
18:00 Netherlands v Sweden
Sweden
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
Sweden were dreadful in qualifying, but Graham Potter has gotten a fine tune out of them of late. They won their two qualifying games against Poland and Ukraine, scoring three goals in each. They opened their account at the World Cup with an impressive 5-1 win over Tunisia. They may have been flattered by a poor Tunisia side, but they looked like a side full of goals, with Premier League players Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres posing a serious threat. The Dutch also pose a threat, but their defence looks suspect, so I don't see this being as clear cut as the odds suggest.
1 member found this comment useful
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-153
Win
32
This could well be an entertaining game full of goals. Sweden looked very impressive in beating Tunisia 5-1 and have now scored 11 over their last three competitive games. Netherlands also love to attack and are always good for a goal, so I see the 2.5 line being breached.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-142
Win
35
Both teams are impressive going forward, so I see goals for both in this one. Netherlands have only failed to score in one of their last 21 competitive games, and Sweden have started banging in the goals under Potter, scoring 11 in their last three competitive games.
Over 3.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@+129
Lose
-50
Sweden didn't pick up a card in their opener against Tunisia, but it was hardly surprising as they dominated the game. In their previous competitive game against Poland they picked up two. Netherlands, despite their flair, do have a habit of getting cards and received three against Japan. With refs showing more cards in this round and the importance of this game, I like the over.
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17:00 Offaly v Wicklow
Offaly
FT Result
50 WIN
@-200
Lose
-50
Offaly are in fine form, impressive, despatching Clare, Down and Wexford. Wicklow have been good at times but have thrown in too many poor performances to be trusted. Offaly are the more reliable side and have momentum.
16:00 Kerry v Armagh
Kerry
FT Result
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Armagh really should have beaten Louth last time after dominating the game and losing to a late howler by the keeper. That does, however, highlight their shortcomings: they play well but aren't clinical enough. Kerry are a quality side and look well organised defensively. Armagh should struggle to post a sizeable total against them, so I give Kerry the edge.
15:30 Luke Woodhouse vs Andrew Gilding
Over 9.50
Total Legs
50 WIN
@-105
Win
47
The pair met at the end of May with Woodhouse winning 6-3. It was a close encounter though, with uncharacteristically poor finishing by Gilding. I don't expect him to be as poor today, so I think this will be closer.
15:00 Northampton Saints v Exeter Chiefs
Exeter Chiefs 6.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Northampton were undoubtedly the stronger side in the regular season, but Exeter are finishing the season well, beating Leicester, Saracens, and a come-from-behind win over Bath to get them here. There has been nothing between them in the meetings this season, with a 33??"33 tie, and they were level again last time until a try a minute from time won it for Northampton. I think this will again be close.
14:00 South Africa v Barbarians
South Africa
To Win
50 WIN
@-1999
Win
3
Barbarians have a solid-looking lineup, but it's a big ask to beat South Africa. The Springboks may choose to experiment a tad, trying out new players, but even so they will still be a very strong side. They are unquestionably the top side right now and brushed aside the Barbarians 54??"7 when they last met last year.
12:00 Mike De Decker vs William OConnor
William OConnor
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
De Decker looked like being a real force when winning the 2024 World Grand Prix, but he's clearly regressed since then. His form coming into this isn't great, winning just 4 of his last 15. O'Connor recently reached the final of Players Event 20, and although he lost in the first round of his two subsequent events, he was back on it with a 6-3 win over De Graaf yesterday. He is the more solid, reliable player, so looks the bet.
10:35 Canterbury Bulldogs v Manly Sea Eagles
Manly Sea Eagles
To Win
50 WIN
@-270
Push
0
Bulldogs narrowly beat struggling Eels last week despite having most of the possession and the superior completion rate. That highlights their problems: they get plenty of the ball and use it well, but it doesn't end in tries. They may struggle to get as much possession against an impressive Sea Eagles side that often boss possession but, critically, are more clinical with it.
06:00 Wests Tigers v Dolphins
Dolphins
To Win
50 WIN
@-181
Win
28
Wests Tigers responded well to their 68-0 loss to Penrith Panthers by beating Gold Coast Titans last time. However, the Titans are struggling badly, so it's best not to read too much into that. Dolphins are on a six-game winning run and have been banging in the tries while remaining solid defensively. They are affected a tad by Origin but still remain the stronger outfit.
01:30 Brazil v Haiti
Brazil (AH) -2.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Haiti were poor against Scotland but did manage to keep them to one goal. However, I don't see them being as fortunate this time. Brazil had a tough time against Morocco but still managed 12 shots with 5 being on target. They should improve on that output, so winning by three looks doable.
Over 2.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
Brazil did pick up two cards against Morocco, but I expect Haiti to get the lion's share of cards. The Haiti side should be under constant pressure, and with refs dishing out more cards in round 2, 2.5 looks very achievable.
Subtotal-103
19 June 2026
23:00 Scotland v Morocco
Morocco
50 WIN
@-142
Win
35
Scotland laboured past a poor Haiti side, and this is a major step up in class for them. Morocco made the semis last time and were at least as good as Brazil. They play slick football and simply look too classy for Scotland.
Ismael Saibari
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+200
Win
100
Ismael Saibari scored 19 in 35 starts for PSV and showed his class when scoring against Brazil. It's little wonder Bayern Munich are interested in signing him. He's scored 6 in his last 10 internationals, so I don't see Scotland being able to keep him quiet.
20:00 Niko Springer vs Tom Sykes
Niko Springer
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Springer is the better player, but he has been a tad erratic of late. This still looks winnable for him. Sykes just can't string together good performances, and if Springer is near his best he should win.
20:00 USA v Australia
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
USA's 4-1 victory over Paraguay shows that they are a team full of goals but also likely to concede. Australia don't have much possession but have a knack for scoring, so I see goals in this one.
Folarin Balogun
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+139
Lose
-50
Australia look a tough side to break down, but I don't see an impressive USA side failing to do so. The Monaco striker was very impressive in the opener, netting a brace. I see a repeat performance.
19:30 Leinster v Bulls
Leinster
To Win
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Leinster beat the Bulls 32-7 in last season’s URC Grand Final and look the most likely winners tonight. Although officially a neutral location, Leinster will be guaranteed plenty of support playing at Croke Park, which tips this firmly in their favour.
18:30 Kim Huybrechts vs Keane Barry
Over 9.50
Total Legs
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
The pair met in March with the match going to a final leg, and I can see this being equally close. Three of Huybrechts' last five matches went to a final leg, and three of Barry's last four have gone to a final leg, so I don't see either running away with it.
12:30 Karel Sedlacek vs Tyler Thorpe
Karel Sedlacek
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@-200
Lose
-50
I think Sedlacek has the edge in this one. Thorpe doesn't win many, and when he does it's usually against low-ranked players. Sedlacek is a solid player who produces consistent averages and should have the edge in this one.
12:00 Justin Hood vs Benjamin Pratnemer
Over 9.50
Total Legs
50 WIN
@+125
Win
62
Hood is the more accomplished player, but his form coming into this isn't great, with five straight losses. The last four were against players he really should have beaten. Pratnemer isn't in great form either, with just one win from six. However, only one of those six games saw him lose by more than two legs despite playing players like Wade and Gurney. I think this goes over.
11:00 Newcastle Knights v St George/Illawarra Dragons
Newcastle Knights
To Win
50 WIN
@-357
Win
14
Knights have already beaten the Dragons by 34 this season and look set to win again. Brandon Best returns to the squad, and it's probable that they won't rest any Origin players, so they should be strong. The Dragons have won just once this season and don't look a match for the Knights.
02:00 Mexico v South Korea
South Korea (AH) 0.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
Mexico beat South Africa 2-0 but didn't look really impressive. South Africa looked pretty weak, and Mexico carved out fewer chances than expected. South Korea came from a goal down to beat the Czech Republic and looked a decent outfit. I think they will at least get a draw out of this.
Subtotal32
18 June 2026
23:00 Canada v Qatar
Canada (AH) -1.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-111
Win
45
Qatar did well to frustrate Switzerland and come away with a draw thanks to an injury-time own goal. Switzerland didn't look at their best and a better team would have won that. Canada impressed against Bosnia even though they ended up drawing. They attack well and can surely score tonight. If they do, Qatar will surely have to push forward, and if they do that it should equate to more chances and goals for Canada.
Over 9.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-105
Win
47
Canada won 9 corners against Bosnia, which continued their trend of winning plenty of corners. In their games prior to this, they won 12 against Ireland, 9 against Tunisia, 7 against Uzbekistan, 8 against Iceland, and 12 against Guatemala. If Qatar can help with the total, the over looks very doable.
20:00 Switzerland v Bosnia Herzegovina
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-108
Win
46
Switzerland were far from clinical against Qatar, but they have goals in them and should get some today. Bosnia have scored in 15 of their last 16 games, so I see goals in this one.
Over 9.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@+120
Win
60
The decision to overrule corners and change them to goal kicks, but not the other way around, is plainly stupid and has had a negative impact on the number of corners. Nevertheless, it didn't stop the Swiss winning 10 in their first game against Qatar. They are a side that win plenty of corners, so could get close to this line by themselves. Bosnia saw little of the ball against Canada but still managed to win 4 corners, so the over looks the pick.
Over 3.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@-133
Win
38
Cards were sparse during the first round of fixtures, with refs being unquestionably lenient. I can't help feeling that the refs were under instruction to be so after the three reds in game one. Hopefully refs will clamp down a bit more in the second round of fixtures, and if they do this looks a prime candidate for over. Bosnia picked up three yellows in game one and Switzerland one. A repeat of that will be fine, but ref João Pinheiro can be card-happy, averaging 4.8 per game, so I see this at least reaching three.
20:00 Warrington Wolves v Leeds Rhinos
Warrington Wolves
To Win
50 WIN
@-113
Lose
-50
Leeds are top, but their away record isn't overly impressive, winning just 3 of their 6 games when playing at their opponents. The teams they beat aren't exactly a who's who of elite teams, with them beating Huddersfield, Bradford, and Toulouse. They lost to Hull, Wigan, and Leigh, and Warrington look stronger than those. Warrington come into this on the back of a fine win at St Helens last time and have impressively won all 7 home games.
17:00 Czechia v South Africa
Czechia
50 WIN
@-108
Lose
-50
South Africa were poor against Mexico, managing three tame efforts only, with an expected goals (xG) of 0.08. If Mexico had posed a greater threat it could have been ugly. The Czech Republic offer a serious threat from set pieces, and surely one of them will tell during this game. One goal may be enough against a weak-looking South Africa side.
Ladislav Krejci
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+700
Lose
-50
I don't rate South Africa and feel there could be goals for the Czech Republic in this one. They are adept at creating goals from set pieces, which was evident in game one when Krejci scored. I wouldn't rule out a repeat performance in this one.
Stepan Chaloupek
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+850
Lose
-50
I wasn't impressed with South Africa against Mexico. If Mexico offered more of an attack, they could have filled their boots. The Czech Republic didn't play too badly against South Korea, as Korea look a decent side. The Czechs rely heavily on set pieces, so that looks their most likely route to goal. Their two wide defenders, Chaloupek and Krej?í, both get forward for set pieces and get a fair return. Chaloupek netted eight times for Slavia Prague last season from 28 games, so 9.5 looks a decent price.
03:00 Uzbekistan v Colombia
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@+137
Win
69
Uzbekistan aren't expected to score, but on the evidence of the tournament so far I wouldn't bet on that. We've already seen outsiders Jordan, Iraq, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Curaçao and Qatar score, so why not Uzbekistan? They scored last time in a friendly with the Netherlands, so I think they can breach the Colombian defence.
00:00 Ghana v Panama
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
When playing non-African sides, Ghana's defensive shortcomings have been exposed, with no clean sheets in their six warm-up games. They also have key defenders out for this. Panama are an improving side that like to attack. I think they can score, but defending isn't their strength, so I think both teams will score.
Panama (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Panama breezed through qualification, not losing any of their 10 games. They may be the outsiders in the group, but they are ranked 34th in the world, one place above Sweden and 39 places above Ghana. I think they will get something out of this.
Cecilio Waterman
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+240
Lose
-50
Although not a guaranteed starter, Waterman looks Panama's most likely route to goal. He may not have elite skills, but he is a big physical presence who gets in the right places and has an eye for goal. Against a Ghana side that has been struggling for clean sheets and has key defenders out, I like his chances.
Subtotal-45
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