tadley
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4th April 2026
15:00 Herning Ikast W vs HOJ W
HOJ (W) 9.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
Herning-Kiast are a strong side, particularly at home, but I'm not sure that they can cover this line. Høj have won three on the trot, including a fine win at Viborg, and look capable of keeping it closer than 10.
15:30 Caserio Ciudad Real vs BM Guadalajara
Caserio Ciudad Real
Money Line
50 WIN
Caserío Ciudad Real are a strong home side, winning 7 of their 11 games. Guadalajara sit bottom with just 10 points all season. This looks like a home win.
17:40 Jermaine Dhliwayo v Jake Morgan
Jermaine Dhliwayo
Win Fight
50 WIN
Jake Morgan has a 7-2 win/loss record, which isn't very impressive given the quality of his opponents. His wins were against very weak opponents, and his losses were to very limited fighters who had won just 3 fights from 24 bouts. Dhliwayo isn't the most powerful fighter, but he is technically sound and has an 8-0 record. He looks too classy for Morgan.
20:00 Atletico Madrid v Barcelona
Barcelona
50 WIN
Barcelona will be keen to win to maintain their gap to Real at the top. Atletico look assured of a Champions League spot, so may prioritise their midweek Champions League game. Barcelona are the stronger team anyway, so I think they prevail.
21:05 HOU Astros @ Athletics
Over 10.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
Athletics' ground is a good place for runs, so although the line is high at 10, I think it's achievable. In the first game, the Athletics won 11-4, and with today's pitchers it looks achievable. Imai had a nightmare first start, giving up 4 runs in just 2.2 innings. Morales for the Astros gave up 5 runs in 4.1 innings. Both teams can hit big, and I don't see the bullpens being able to control them.
22:00 Dakota Hope v Kai Kamaka III
Dakota Hope
Win Fight
50 WIN
Dakota Hope makes his UFC debut after seven years as a pro. He has an aggressive style and loves to come forward. Although happier on his feet, he is no mug on the mat and can end fights with his ground-and-pound. Kai Kamaka is vastly more experienced and also loves to fight on the front foot. Hope is extremely athletic, though, and looks capable of winning on debut.
22:00 Deontay Wilder v Derek Chisora
Deontay Wilder
Win Fight
50 WIN
42-year-old Derek Chisora meets 40-year-old Deontay Wilder, and I wonder just how much each of them has left. I'm not sure what Chisora has left in his tank. In his four most recent fights he lost badly to Fury and was taken the distance by three ordinary boxers: Washington, Joyce, and Wallin. Wilder's main strength is that he can pull a huge punch out of nowhere, and they say the last thing to go in a boxer is the strength of a punch. This might be a clear indication of that.
22:20 Dione Barbosa v Melissa Gatto
Melissa Gatto
Win Fight
50 WIN
Barbosa is the better wrestler and Gatto is the better striker. It all depends on how the fight evolves as to who wins. Gatto can end this with punches and also has good takedown defense. I think a large part of this fight will therefore be on their feet, so I favour Gatto.
23:20 Lando Vannata v Darrius Flowers
Darrius Flowers
Win Fight
50 WIN
Vannata is a level above Flowers on the mat, so Flowers must avoid that at all costs. He may have the tools to do so, as he is one of the hardest hitters in the division. When Vannata eats a few heavy punches early on, this may make him reticent to come forward. Flowers undoubtedly has the power to end this.
5th April 2026
00:05 MIA Marlins @ NY Yankees
NY Yankees
Money Line
50 WIN
Marlins have been hit with injuries, with four starters out, which doesn't help coming off an 8-2 loss in Game 1. They also appear to have the weaker starting pitcher in Meyer. He has averaged a 5.8 ERA per season with the Marlins and started badly, with a 5.40 ERA in his first game this season. Yankees pitcher Weathers started well, with a 2.08 ERA and seven strikeouts. With the Yankees' powerful batters, I see them pulling well clear.
00:10 TB Rays @ MIN Twins
Over 7.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
There are injuries to the starting lineups which may restrict the totals a tad. But with the starting pitchers, I like the over. Matz for the Rays had a 7.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in game one with four earned runs and just two strikeouts. Abel for the Twins is worse and regularly gets battered and throws far too many loose pitches. I don't see him lasting long, so the Twins bullpen could be in trouble.
00:15 ATL Braves @ ARI Diamondbacks
ATL Braves
Money Line
50 WIN
Both pitchers had fine debuts, but once again I think it's the bullpen that matters. Braves have a strong bullpen, and the Diamondbacks possibly have the worst. They were battered in game one and yesterday. The Braves won 2-0, with both runs coming against the bullpen.
05:00 Cronulla Sharks v New Zealand Warriors
New Zealand Warriors
To Win
50 WIN
Warriors lost their first game last week against the Tigers, which was a bad day at the office, and the Tigers are also looking better than expected. Prior to that, they despatched the previous three opponents with ease, winning by 24, 26 and 34 points. The highlight of which was a 38-12 win at a Knights side that have won all their other three games. Sharks have won two and lost two, but their two wins were against struggling sides. Their 10-38 loss at home to an ordinary Dolphins side was particularly alarming. I see Warriors shaking off their last game and winning this.
07:05 Newcastle Knights v Canberra Raiders
Newcastle Knights
To Win
50 WIN
I think this game is priced up on reputation rather than form. The Knights are playing well, with 3 wins from 4, the only defeat being to a good New Zealand Warriors side. The Raiders won their opening game over Manly in overtime but lost their next three. Their 67-point haul is the worst in the league. On the form shown so far, the Knights are clearly better.
09:00 Tour of Flanders 2026
Mathieu Van Der Poel
Win Outright
50 WIN
Van der Poel and Poga?ar have dominated this race in recent years, with five wins between them from the last six years. Van der Poel has won three and Poga?ar two. Poga?ar is capable of riding away from anyone, but Van der Poel has a massive engine. If he can stay with Poga?ar until near the end, he will be impossible to drop.
11:15 Go Ahead Eagles v PEC Zwolle
Yes
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
Zwolle won 2-0 at Telstar in their opening game but have been flawless since in away BTTS games, with all 13 ending with both teams scoring. Go Ahead Eagles have a 61% success rate at BTTS, and the fact they are playing Zwolle leads me to yes.
11:30 Ademar Leon vs BM Huesca
Over 58.50
Points Total
50 WIN
Huesca on the road don't do low-scoring games, with an average of 64.6 points per game. Ademar averages 60 points per game, and the reverse game this season contained 65 points. I like the over.
13:30 FC Volendam v Feyenoord
Yes
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
Volendam are above the relegation zone on just goal difference, so will be desperate to get something out of this. They should score, as they have scored in all but one home game this season. That includes a fine 2-1 win over leaders PSV recently. Feyenoord are expected to win this but have just one clean sheet from their last eight away games. So I think both teams will score.
13:30 Heerenveen v Heracles
Heerenveen
50 WIN
Heerenveen's last seven games' form reads W5 D1 L1, which has lifted them into the European spots on goal difference. They won't want to drop points against poor travelers Heracles. Heracles have just four points on the road all season and have lost six on the trot away, conceding four goals in five of those matches.
16:15 Metz v Nantes
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
The two bottom sides clash and it looks like a must-win game for both. Neither are good at defending, so I wouldn't expect a tight defensive game. Rather, a gung-ho style, trying to outscore the opposition.
18:00 Ciudad Encantada vs BM Nava
Tie
Money Line
50 WIN
After losing seven straight away games, Nava turned things around by winning three on the bounce. They were all close games, though, settled by one or two points. Ciudad Encantada are just one place above Nava, and given Ciudad's recent form, I like the tie.
19:00 Tour Championship 2026
Zhao Xintong
50 WIN
World Champion Zhao Xintong has continued his fine form this season, winning the Riyadh Season Championship, World Grand Prix and the Players Championship. Over long distances like this, he looks fiendishly hard to beat and is looking unbeatable when at his best.
21:00 Praia Clube vs Guarulhos
Praia Clube to win 3-0
Set Score
50 WIN
Praia Clube have dominated Guarulhos, winning the last 8 meetings, including seven whitewashes. When they met in January it was 3-0, and that looks a likely outcome today.
22:45 Valero Texas Open
Ludvig Aberg
25 EW
Last time Aberg looked set for the win at The Players, but on Sunday he found the water on back-to-back holes when seemingly in control. This saw him pushed down to fifth, with him being 4 over on the day. I don't see him replicating that. His 63 on Friday shows how well he is playing, and this course should suit his game, so I'm expecting him to bounce back in a big way.
10th May 2026
14:00 Pakistan Super League 2026
Lahore Qalandars
Outright Winner
25 EW
It's a chaotic PSL this season with no crowds, just two venues, and substandard players due to them bizarrely scheduling it against the IPL. Qalandars won last season and have won three of the last four. They retain a strong squad. They possibly have the best selection of bowlers, and although the batting could be said to be a bit too heavy, there is quality there. I expect a strong performance from them.
27th May 2026
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026
Gujarat Titans
Outright Winner
25 EW
According to the bookies, Gujarat Titans are the second-worst side in the competition, but I don't see it. Jos Buttler is a concern after a poor T20 World Cup campaign, but he is too good a player to keep playing that badly. I see him enjoying the fresh start. Even if he underperforms, there are enough quality batters in the side to step up. I also like their mix of bowlers and can see them going deep.
Mumbai Indians
Outright Winner
50 WIN
Mumbai Indians look the strongest side on paper and should go well. They had the best net run rate last season but just missed out on the play-offs by one point. They have a wealth of batting talent to choose from, although perhaps they are over-reliant on Bumrah in the bowling department. That may not matter, as I see them posting consistently high scores.
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026 Mumbai Indians
JJ Bumrah
Top Team Bowler
50 WIN
I'm just not convinced by Boult at the moment and think Bumrah is a much more reliable option. You can guarantee he will play his full quota of overs each match and simply looks the best, most consistent wicket-taker.
9th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 2 2026
Lancashire
Outright Winner
50 WIN
Lancashire underperformed, finishing 5th despite having a strong squad. They've really impressed with signings over the winter, enrolling quality players at this level, so I see them doing a lot better than 5th.
15th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 1 2026
Warwickshire
Outright Winner
25 EW
Warwickshire finished down in 5th last season but were hampered by drawing nine games, the most in the league. They've strengthened their squad and look capable of a better performance this season.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026
Max Verstappen
50 WIN
Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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