tadley

4

Estimated Prizes
this month

£20

Estimated Prize money
this month

tadley's Tips

2nd April 2026
16:15 4:15 Kelso

Guet Apens

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Guet Apens was useful on the flat for André Fabre in France and ran well over hurdles last time. It won by 6 lengths and looks well capable of going in again off just 10-11.
3rd April 2026
01:30 Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrin

Alexei Popyrin

Win Match

50 WIN

Popyrin has admittedly not started the season well, but he is better on clay and won his only match on clay this season against Kypson in the last round. Michelsen has done OK this year, but his overall record on clay isn't good, with him losing more matches than he has won. I give Popyrin the edge on this surface.
02:40 ATL Braves @ ARI Diamondbacks

ATL Braves

Money Line

50 WIN

There is nothing between the sides in batters' runs this season, so it probably will boil down to the pitching. López for the Braves is a solid pitcher, but he tends to go only 4 or 5 innings. However, the Braves have a fine bullpen. Nelson for the D-backs had a poor first outing, giving up 4 earned runs in 4.1 innings. What really makes me favor the Braves is the Diamondbacks' bullpen, which is awful and could get clobbered.
12:30 Middlesbrough v Millwall

Draw

50 WIN

Middlesbrough have been stuttering at home with no wins in 4, but they did draw three of them. Millwall are going well, standing just two points behind Middlesbrough and are unbeaten in 5 away games. They are playing well enough to get the draw.
15:00 Birmingham v Blackburn

Birmingham

50 WIN

Blackburn have picked up a bit under Michael O'Neill but still look limited, as their defeat to Oxford shows. Birmingham are strong at home with just two losses. This looks winnable for them.
15:00 Burton Albion v Barnsley

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Burton have pulled 3 points clear of the relegation zone thanks to some improved form of late. They've been good for a goal at home of late, scoring in seven of their last eight. Barnsley are the best BTTS side in the league, with 70% of their games ending that way. Yes, looks the option.
15:00 Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings T20

Punjab Kings

Win Match

50 WIN

I'm done with CSK. I gave them the benefit of the doubt after a poor batting season last time, but they were even worse this time. Aside from Overton’s fine 43, the rest were awful, with scores of 18, 17, *, 6, 6, 6, 5, 2, 1 and 0. They simply can't be trusted with the bat, and even if they bowl exceptionally well it may not be enough. Kings look a solid side, and even a score around 160??"170 could be enough to beat this CSK side.
15:00 Chesterfield v Cheltenham

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Cheltenham are usually good for a goal, scoring in 10 of their last 11 games. Chesterfield have a good record as well, scoring in 11 of their last 13 games. Chesterfield are the stronger side but have lost their last two home games, so I think both teams will score.
15:00 Colchester v Oldham

Oldham

50 WIN

It's a pick game according to the bookies, but it's clear who's in the best form. Colchester are winless in three at home, whereas Oldham have won eight of their last ten games.
15:00 Grimsby v Harrogate Town

Grimsby

50 WIN

Harrogate are bottom, with wins being few and far between, with just three from their last 30 games. They play a Grimsby side that are just one point off the last play-off spot and unbeaten in 10 home games. Grimsby won 5-0 against Barrow last time and should have too much for struggling Harrogate.
15:00 Lincoln City v AFC Wimbledon

Lincoln City

50 WIN

Wimbledon are mid-table, with relegation or promotion looking highly unlikely. That's been reflected in their results, with 1 point from their last four games. Lincoln are seven points clear at the top after a fantastic run of 22 games unbeaten, winning 17 of them. I don't see them slipping up in this one.
15:00 Norwich v Portsmouth

Norwich

50 WIN

Portsmouth need something out of this as they stand just one point above the drop zone. However, it looks a tough ask given their recent form. They have just one point from their last six games and were thumped 6-1 by a QPR side that have been struggling for goals. Norwich are in fine form with five wins from their last six and have only conceded three goals in their last nine games.
15:00 Plymouth v Bolton

Plymouth 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Bolton's automatic promotion hopes look all but over after no wins in three. It's not as if those were hard games, as they played sides 24th, second-bottom, and 15th. Plymouth found themselves second-bottom at the start of December but have charged up the league and are just two points off the play-off spots. They've won their last four home games, including a 5-2 win over Cardiff, and look the more likely winners to me.
15:00 Sheff Utd v Swansea

Sheff Utd

50 WIN

Swansea struggle on the road with just 5 wins and two draws. Of their 5 wins, 4 came against bottom-six sides, so they may struggle to get anything out of this. United have struggled a bit of late but are a much stronger side than earlier in the season, and on their best form will win this.
15:00 Stoke v Sheff Wed

Stoke

50 WIN

Wednesday haven't won since 20th September ??" a run of 33 games without a win. They have lost 10 straight away games, so this looks tough for them. Stoke won 3-0 in the reverse fixture and look capable of winning again.
15:00 Tamworth v Solihull Moors

Tamworth

50 WIN

Tamworth's recent good form has realistically come too late to make the play-offs, but they are playing well nevertheless. They have won 3 of their last 4, including wins over 3rd-placed Carlisle and 6th-placed Forest Green. Even their loss was a respectable 3-2 defeat to leaders Rochdale. Solihull Moors have just 1 win in their last 11, so I like the hosts.
15:00 Walsall v Gillingham

Walsall

50 WIN

Gillingham aren't able to make the play-offs and are almost certainly safe from relegation, so they have nothing to play for. It seems to be showing in their results with five straight defeats, two goals scored and 16 conceded. Walsall aren't a side to fully trust, as their form can drop off badly. However, they are playing well enough right now, with two wins and two draws from their last four against in-form sides.
15:00 West Brom v Wrexham

Draw

50 WIN

Interim manager James Morrison has managed eight games now for West Brom in the past year and lost just once. He can clearly organize them well and make them difficult to beat. Wrexham are a good team on the verge of the play-offs, but the Baggies don't lose many these days, so I like the draw.
4th April 2026
15:00 East Kilbride v Annan Athletic

East Kilbride

50 WIN

East Kilbride remain just one point above Spartans in their bid to claim the only automatic promotion spot. With Spartans playing bottom-side Edinburgh City, they cannot afford to drop points in this one. Annan have won three of their last four, but all those wins came at home. Annan have the worst away record in the league, so in-form East Kilbride can win this.
5th April 2026
09:00 Tour of Flanders 2026

Mathieu Van Der Poel

Win Outright

50 WIN

Van der Poel and Poga?ar have dominated this race in recent years, with five wins between them from the last six years. Van der Poel has won three and Poga?ar two. Poga?ar is capable of riding away from anyone, but Van der Poel has a massive engine. If he can stay with Poga?ar until near the end, he will be impossible to drop.
18:00 Ciudad Encantada vs BM Nava

Tie

Money Line

50 WIN

After losing seven straight away games, Nava turned things around by winning three on the bounce. They were all close games, though, settled by one or two points. Ciudad Encantada are just one place above Nava, and given Ciudad's recent form, I like the tie.
19:00 Tour Championship 2026

Zhao Xintong

50 WIN

World Champion Zhao Xintong has continued his fine form this season, winning the Riyadh Season Championship, World Grand Prix and the Players Championship. Over long distances like this, he looks fiendishly hard to beat and is looking unbeatable when at his best.
22:45 Valero Texas Open

Ludvig Aberg

25 EW

Last time Aberg looked set for the win at The Players, but on Sunday he found the water on back-to-back holes when seemingly in control. This saw him pushed down to fifth, with him being 4 over on the day. I don't see him replicating that. His 63 on Friday shows how well he is playing, and this course should suit his game, so I'm expecting him to bounce back in a big way.
10th May 2026
14:00 Pakistan Super League 2026

Lahore Qalandars

Outright Winner

25 EW

It's a chaotic PSL this season with no crowds, just two venues, and substandard players due to them bizarrely scheduling it against the IPL. Qalandars won last season and have won three of the last four. They retain a strong squad. They possibly have the best selection of bowlers, and although the batting could be said to be a bit too heavy, there is quality there. I expect a strong performance from them.
27th May 2026
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026

Gujarat Titans

Outright Winner

25 EW

According to the bookies, Gujarat Titans are the second-worst side in the competition, but I don't see it. Jos Buttler is a concern after a poor T20 World Cup campaign, but he is too good a player to keep playing that badly. I see him enjoying the fresh start. Even if he underperforms, there are enough quality batters in the side to step up. I also like their mix of bowlers and can see them going deep.

Mumbai Indians

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Mumbai Indians look the strongest side on paper and should go well. They had the best net run rate last season but just missed out on the play-offs by one point. They have a wealth of batting talent to choose from, although perhaps they are over-reliant on Bumrah in the bowling department. That may not matter, as I see them posting consistently high scores.
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026 Mumbai Indians

JJ Bumrah

Top Team Bowler

50 WIN

I'm just not convinced by Boult at the moment and think Bumrah is a much more reliable option. You can guarantee he will play his full quota of overs each match and simply looks the best, most consistent wicket-taker.
9th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 2 2026

Lancashire

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Lancashire underperformed, finishing 5th despite having a strong squad. They've really impressed with signings over the winter, enrolling quality players at this level, so I see them doing a lot better than 5th.
15th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 1 2026

Warwickshire

Outright Winner

25 EW

Warwickshire finished down in 5th last season but were hampered by drawing nine games, the most in the league. They've strengthened their squad and look capable of a better performance this season.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026

Max Verstappen

50 WIN

Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.

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