tadley
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28th March 2026
17:00 Alex Murphy v Josh Holmes
Josh Holmes
Win Fight
50 WIN
Whenever Murphy has fought anyone with reasonable talent, he has come up short. To be fair, Murphy hasn't had the toughest of fights, but he's 17-0-0 with 6 KOs. Murphy, by contrast, has never KO'd anyone and should be out-worked by Holmes.
17:00 Michael Gomez Jr v Jordan Flynn
Michael Gomez Jr
Win Fight
50 WIN
Flynn moves well but his punches lack power. His jab use is very limited and he struggles on the inside. Gomez Jr. packs a bigger punch and isn't afraid to mix it up with jabs and body shots. He looks the more impressive fighter, and even if he fails to get a KO, he should impress the judges more.
17:30 Leigh Leopards v Toulouse Olympique
Toulouse Olympique 16.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
Leigh had a fine win over Rhinos in their opening game, but it's been all downhill since, losing four on the trot. They have shown enough to suggest they can go to France and run away with this. Toulouse also started well, winning their first two, but have come unstuck in their next three. However, Bradford is a hard place to go, and St Helens and Wigan were never going to be easy games. I think they have enough to keep within 16.
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18:00 Liam Davies v Francesco Grandelli
Liam Davies
Win Fight
50 WIN
Liam Davies is an impressive boxer with a 17-1 record. Even his loss to Shabaz Masoud was, at best, questionable. Grandelli fights well in his own country against lesser opponents. This is a tough matchup for him, and Davies' superior skills should get him the win.
18:00 Nathan Heaney v Gerome Warburton
Gerome Warburton
Win Fight
50 WIN
Heaney has had an impressive career, but I wonder just how much he has got left to give. This is his final year fighting, and in his last two fights he ground out an unconvincing win over Grant Dennis and lost to Brad Pauls. Warburton impressed with a win over Aaron Sutton and a draw with Ryan Kelly. At this stage of his career Heaney looks vulnerable.
18:15 TB Rays @ STL Cardinals
TB Rays
Money Line
50 WIN
McGreevy pitches for the Cardinals, who struggled last season with a 4.42 ERA. Boyle for the Rays can be erratic, but he hurls it just shy of 100 mph and is adept at striking players out. He showed good form in spring training and can outperform McGreevy. There doesn't look like much difference between the batters and bullpens, so I favour the Rays.
19:07 Athletics @ TOR Blue Jays
TOR Blue Jays
Money Line
50 WIN
Springs pitches for the Blue Jays, but this looks a poor matchup for him. Jays hit well against lefties and thrive against fastballs, and Springs hurls a lot of them. Jays had a mediocre first game but should come alive in this one.
19:30 USA v Belgium
Draw
50 WIN
USA are in fine form in friendlies, culminating in a 5-1 thrashing of Uruguay. Although the outsiders, I think they will be tough to beat at home. Belgium are playing well, but this looks a tougher fixture than they have been facing, so I can see both sides settling for a draw.
20:00 Willy Hutchinson v Ezra Taylor
Willy Hutchinson
Win Fight
50 WIN
Hutchinson is a big, solid fighter for this division. He isn't a one-punch knockout guy, but he lands good, solid punches and has an impressive jab. Taylor can look impressive against lesser fighters but doesn't really convince when coming up against better fighters. He's not a bad fighter, but I don't see him having the tools to trouble Hutchinson.
20:05 TEX Rangers @ PHI Phillies
TEX Rangers
Money Line
50 WIN
Whenever Nola pitches for the Phillies I'm happy to oppose them at odds-on. He had a wretched 6.01 ERA last season and a 5??"10 win/loss record. Rangers start with deGrom on the mound, who rarely has a bad outing. Whether for the Mets or the Rangers, his ERAs have been impressive over the last eight seasons, ranging from 1.08 to 3.08. Even in his worst season, he is still way better than Nola.
20:10 COL Rockies @ MIA Marlins
MIA Marlins
Money Line
50 WIN
Marlins have the better pitcher in Pérez. They also hit a lot better than the Rockies and have the stronger bullpen. They also have home advantage, so should get the job done tonight.
21:00 Moses Itauma v Jermaine Franklin
Moses Itauma
Win Fight
50 WIN
Franklin is a solid fighter who has been in with Joshua and is tough to stop. However, he doesn't have as much punch power as you'd expect and doesn't throw a lot of volume. Itauma is another level and has the power to stop him. Even if he doesn't, his work rate and talent should be more than enough to impress the judges.
23:10 CHI White Sox @ MIL Brewers
MIL Brewers -1.50
Run Line
50 WIN
After conceding the first run, the Brewers went on to thrash the White Sox 14-2. Things might not be much better for the Sox today as Burke pitches for them. He had a 4.29 ERA last season and walks far too many players. I can see Brewers battering him for another comfortable win.
23:15 NY Yankees @ SF Giants
NY Yankees
Money Line
50 WIN
Giants are yet to get a run against the Yankees, losing 7-0 and 3-0. They may sneak a run or two against Warren, but I don't see them getting many. Yankees were the highest-scoring side last year, and it's easy to see why with their impressive roster. Even if Giants are in contention in the closing stages, their substandard bullpen could take a battering.
29th March 2026
00:15 Bryan Acosta v Ronny Rios
Ronny Rios
Win Fight
50 WIN
Bryan Acosta loves to fight on the front foot but doesn't land an awful lot of punches and lacks power. That hasn't stopped him from KOing six opponents, but those were ordinary fighters at best. When coming up against better fighters in his last two fights he came up short and was knocked down last time. Rios has fought far better fighters and has a fine win over Diego De La Hoya. He covers up well and will grind away all day. Despite being the outsider, he looks the better fighter.
00:30 Yoenli Hernandez v Terrell Gausha
Yoenli Hernandez
Win Fight
50 WIN
Yoenli Hernandez is touted as a future title contender, and an impressive performance tonight should set him on his way. Like most Cubans, he had an impressive amateur background and has transferred that form to his professional career. He is 9 wins from 9 with 8 knockouts. Gausha is solid but unspectacular and is likely to be out-boxed in this one.
02:00 Yoenis Tellez v Brian Mendoza
Yoenis Tellez
Win Fight
50 WIN
Tellez is a no-nonsense fighter. He defends well and is hard to hit. He will constantly walk his opponent down and is strong on the inside. Mendoza is more limited and will struggle to land many punches on a hard-to-hit Tellez. Tellez should do enough to win this.
02:30 Sebastian Fundora v Keith Thurman
Keith Thurman
Win Fight
50 WIN
Thurman has had a great career and isn't finished yet. He's showed he can win after a layoff, as when beating Jarvis last year after a 3-year layoff. I don't think he's finished yet and is far from a no-hoper. Fundora will tower over Thurman and would love Thurman to stand still in front of him to be hit. That won't happen, though, and Fundora's slow movement will make it easy for Thurman to avoid his punches. I can see Thurman getting inside, landing, and then retreating. He has the skills and nous to cause an upset.
06:02 Japanese Grand Prix
Esteban Ocon - Yes
Points Finish
50 WIN
There looks plenty of speed in the Haas this season, with Bearman finishing an impressive 5th last time in China. With Bearman down in 18th, Ocon looks more likely to grab a points finish from 12th. It doesn't look too much of an ask for him to gain 2 spots.
Oliver Bearman - Yes
Top 6 Finish
50 WIN
Bearman had a nightmare qualifying and starts down in 18th. It's not the end of the world, though, as last time in China he started 10th and made his way up to fifth, being the best of the rest behind Mercedes and Ferrari. He should once again make his way through the field and, if aided by a few retirements, he can grab a top-6 position.
13:45 Meath v Cork
Cork
FT Result
50 WIN
When the sides met in round 4, Cork edged it by 2 points in a very close game. This should be another close affair, so I'm surprised the odds are that far apart. Meath do have a habit of scoring goals, but if Cork can defend well against that, an unchanged side can grind out the win.
23:30 Victoria vs South Australia Sheffield Shield
Victoria
Draw No Bet
50 WIN
Victoria have been the more consistent side. They have a quality top order and a more potent bowling attack. I think their superior bowling tips it in their favour.
23:45 Houston Open
Chandler Blanchet
25 EW
I'm persisting with Blanchett this weekend, with form that defies his odds. At the Puerto Rico Open he produced three impressive rounds of 64, 67, and 67, but a poor 74 cost him the win by one stroke. He again impressed last week when he was joint leader at one point, but a poor weekend dropped him to 18th. The talent is clearly there, and sooner or later he will win at a huge price.
Chris Gotterup
25 EW
Gotterup was overheard moaning to his caddy at the Players that he couldn't wait to play at the Houston Open instead. It's not hard to see why, as its generous fairways suited his big-hitting, aggressive style. I see him returning to his winning ways from earlier this year when he won back-to-back tournaments. He thrives under pressure and can prevail against a not very strong field.
Marco Penge
50 WIN
Penge was a fine 4th last week and this course may be a better fit for him. He is one of the best for driving distance, and his long approach shots have been up there with the best. I think he goes really well this weekend.
Pontus Nyholm
25 EW
It's a tough ask to feature at 500-1, but this course should be right up Nyholm's street. The course is ideal for people who can hit it far off the tee but also accurately. Nyholm hits it far and is accurate enough to keep it out of the trees. He was 16th at the recent Puerto Rico Open and 13th at the Cognizant Classic. If his putting goes well, he can perform a lot better than expected.
10th May 2026
14:00 Pakistan Super League 2026
Lahore Qalandars
Outright Winner
25 EW
It's a chaotic PSL this season with no crowds, just two venues, and substandard players due to them bizarrely scheduling it against the IPL. Qalandars won last season and have won three of the last four. They retain a strong squad. They possibly have the best selection of bowlers, and although the batting could be said to be a bit too heavy, there is quality there. I expect a strong performance from them.
27th May 2026
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026
Gujarat Titans
Outright Winner
25 EW
According to the bookies, Gujarat Titans are the second-worst side in the competition, but I don't see it. Jos Buttler is a concern after a poor T20 World Cup campaign, but he is too good a player to keep playing that badly. I see him enjoying the fresh start. Even if he underperforms, there are enough quality batters in the side to step up. I also like their mix of bowlers and can see them going deep.
Mumbai Indians
Outright Winner
50 WIN
Mumbai Indians look the strongest side on paper and should go well. They had the best net run rate last season but just missed out on the play-offs by one point. They have a wealth of batting talent to choose from, although perhaps they are over-reliant on Bumrah in the bowling department. That may not matter, as I see them posting consistently high scores.
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026 Mumbai Indians
JJ Bumrah
Top Team Bowler
50 WIN
I'm just not convinced by Boult at the moment and think Bumrah is a much more reliable option. You can guarantee he will play his full quota of overs each match and simply looks the best, most consistent wicket-taker.
9th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 2 2026
Lancashire
Outright Winner
50 WIN
Lancashire underperformed, finishing 5th despite having a strong squad. They've really impressed with signings over the winter, enrolling quality players at this level, so I see them doing a lot better than 5th.
15th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 1 2026
Warwickshire
Outright Winner
25 EW
Warwickshire finished down in 5th last season but were hampered by drawing nine games, the most in the league. They've strengthened their squad and look capable of a better performance this season.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026
Max Verstappen
50 WIN
Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.
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