tadley

Hojgaard thrives at desert courses where big hitting is an advantage. That was evident in 2023 when he won the event, and on his only other start here, he came 4th. His form is solid coming into this with a good 3rd last week, so I'm expecting a big performance.

Rasmus Hojgaard had a disappointing Ryder Cup but responded well with a good 3rd next time out at the Sanderson Farms Championship. In his other two tournaments since, he's scuppered his opportunity to win by hitting 72 in the opening rounds. However, his form got better each day, eventually finishing 10 and 15 under par. If starting better this weekend, he should be challenging for the win as this course suits his game, as shown by a 2nd here last year.

Vandeputte has finished second in his last two races, and surely it's a matter of time before he wins again. He seems to be getting stronger as the season progresses, whereas some of the other riders like Nys don't look at their best currently.

10-year-old Born at Midnight is arguably running as good as it ever has this season. In its two runs this season, it has finished 4th and 3rd. The third last time was particularly impressive, coming from last to disputing the lead in the run-in before being beaten into third. It carried 12' that day but only has 10'4 today, so it should have plenty of energy left at the finish today.

Teams playing abroad seldom do well the next week. So returning from Germany with no rest week and the game last week going into overtime is far from ideal for the Falcons. It's not that they are in great form anyway with 6 defeats from 9 and a paltry 168 points. Panthers can throw in the odd shocker but are capable on their day, so this looks like a good spot for them.

Most of the Steelers' touchdowns come via the pass rather than through rushing, but this week the rushing is of interest. The Bengals simply can't defend the rush and leak a lot of touchdowns to running backs and tight ends. Warren gets to see most of the action in this department, but with just two touchdowns at odds on, he doesn't appeal. Gainwell, by contrast, has three touchdowns and looks the bet at a much better price.

Chase is easily the most targeted Bengals player, but Higgins has gone somewhat under the radar with fewer targets but actually claiming one more touchdown than Chase. With him being 2.45 and Chase 1.87, Higgins looks the bet.

This isn't a strong field, and Matt Kuchar stands out as one of the most consistent and quality players in the field. He is an accurate driver and still a quality approach player. He's only played 5 tournaments since July but finished 5th, 11th, 13th, and 18th, which shows his game is fine at the moment. On this course against this field, he has a serious chance.

Getting a 0.25 start on a side with one win all season is appealing. Admittedly, Huesca don't travel well, but overall this season they have only lost 6 of their 13 games despite playing sides a lot stronger than Zaragoza.

Eagles are on a roll after winning three straight, but they do still look a little suspect to the pass. Amon-Ra St. Brown is one of the most consistent receivers in the NFL and has 8 touchdowns this season. I don't see the Eagles being able to keep him quiet.

Dan Campbell took over making the calls last week for the Lions, which obviously benefited Gibbs. He had three touchdowns: 2 rushing and 1 receiving. With the Eagles leaking touchdowns to running backs, I like his chances tonight.

Bunting has had a great season and recently reached the final of the European Tour event and followed that up by winning the Players Event. At 29.00, he looks well worth a punt.