tadley

8

Estimated Prizes
this month

£90

Estimated Prize money
this month

tadley's Tips

16th May 2026
14:30 Borussia Mgladbach v TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

50 WIN

Mönchengladbach have been poor this season and have just one win from their last seven. There is nothing on the line for them in this unlike Hoffenheim. Hoffenheim are assured of Europa League football but can grab a Champions League spot if they better Stuttgart's result. They have all the motivation, and I see them doing what they need to.
14:30 Eintracht Frankfurt v VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

50 WIN

A win for Stuttgart should be enough for Champions League football, barring a goal glut for Hoffenheim. Frankfurt can still claim a Conference League spot, but their form isn't great with just one point from their last four. Stuttgart are the better side, so I think they get the win they dearly need.
14:30 St Pauli v Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

An amazing finish to the Bundesliga relegation battle is assured. Three teams are currently on 26 points at the bottom, with the bottom two being relegated and the third-bottom facing a play-off. A draw would send St. Pauli down, and a draw could well send Wolfsburg down depending on the Heidenheim result. I therefore expect both sides to be going for the win. Although Wolfsburg leak goals, they are decent going forward. Their form isn't too bad coming into this, with two draws and a win from their last four, the one loss being 1-0 to Bayern. St. Pauli, by contrast, are winless in nine, losing six of them. They have just 28 goals this season, so I think Wolfsburg will win this.
14:30 Union Berlin v Augsburg

Augsburg -0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Union Berlin have just two wins against Augsburg in their 13 Bundesliga meetings. There is nothing on the line for them in this, but an Augsburg win could see them claim a European spot. Augsburg's form coming into this is solid: unbeaten in six and winning 3 of their last 4. Union Berlin did beat out-of-form Mainz last time but had just two points from their previous six games. With so much on the line for Augsburg, I think they do enough.
15:00 Kian Hamilton v Les Urry

Les Urry

Win Fight

50 WIN

Hamilton has been priced up as a certainty despite just the one fight. Even in that win he only beat Naeem Ali, who has lost 150 of his 154 fights. Urry is limited, but he has won 2 and drawn one of his 6 fights, with his losses being to unbeaten fighters. Although J. Hamilton is expected to win easily, there are just too many unknowns to make him an attractive bet this early in his career.
15:00 Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans T20

Gujarat Titans

Win Match

50 WIN

I've avoided backing Gujarat Titans as I'm on them at 9.00 for the outright. I'm risking jinxing them this time, but there's no denying that they are looking like the best team at the moment. Their bowling was sensational last time, with the pace bowlers having averages of 3.66, 5.00, 7.00, and 7.66. They were so impressive that Rashid Khan was only needed for 0.5 innings. If it's a good bowling wicket, they could slice through the KKR batters. There is a worry that the wicket will be good for batters, but they are none too shabby with the bat.
17:00 IF Gnistan v FF Jaro

Draw

50 WIN

Two struggling sides, sitting second-bottom and third-bottom, and there looks little between them. Jaro have drawn 4 of their 6 games, and Gnistan have drawn 2 of their last 3. Four of the last five meetings between these two have ended all square, so the draw appeals.
17:00 Toulouse Olympique v Warrington Wolves

Over 44.50

Total Points

50 WIN

Warrington will be smarting after their tame display in the Challenge Cup against KR, so I expect a reaction today. They are averaging 29 points per away game and should at least equal that against a fragile Toulouse defence. The ease at which York Knights recently ripped through was alarming, and a strong side like Warrington should get tries today. Toulouse, on their own turf, should figure on the scoreboard, so I think this goes over.
17:30 Almeria v Las Palmas

Almeria

50 WIN

Almería are level on points with La Coruña for an automatic promotion spot. Although they have the better goal difference, head-to-heads take priority in the league, so they need to outpoint La Coruña. This looks a must-win game for them, but they face a tricky opponent in Las Palmas, who are also gunning for promotion via a play-off spot. Almería's current home form is hugely impressive, with 8 wins on the trot, scoring 26 goals in the process. Las Palmas have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches, so I like the hosts.
17:30 Leigh Leopards v Hull KR

Over 40.50

Total Points

50 WIN

Leigh are moving up the table after a fine spell of four wins from five. Although KR are a solid defensive unit, I can see them playing their part today. KR have won seven on the spin and are banging in the tries, scoring 144 points over their last three games. I see these two getting enough points to take this over.
17:30 Racing Santander v Valladolid

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

When on the road, it's 50/50 whether Valladolid games go over. Of their 19 games, 10 went over and 9 under. However, they are playing Racing Santander, who have seen only 4 of their 19 games go under. Leaders Racing have banged in 47 goals from 19 home games and look capable of breaching this line by themselves.
18:00 Casa Pia v Rio Ave

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Casa Pia are the best unders side at home in the league, with 11 of their 16 games going under. Their last five home games have all gone under this line. They are level on points with Estrela, both fighting to avoid relegation. With Estrela having a tricky away last game at Braga, a draw may be enough. I see Casa Pia keeping this close and trying to sneak a 1-0 win.
18:00 FC Arouca v Tondela

FC Arouca 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Two wins on the trot have given Tondela a hope of survival, but realistically they need to win again to have a chance. As a result, they are installed as the favourites for this match. However, Arouca probably won't be going through the motions. They won away 3-1 at sixth-placed Gil Vicente last time and have been performing well at home, with their last six games' form reading W4 D1 L1.
19:00 Tipperary v Clare

Clare

FT Result

50 WIN

Clare were blown away by Limerick last time and need to bounce back. Limerick are always capable of doing that, so I'm not unduly worried by the 2-30 to 1-18 drubbing. I don't see Tipperary cutting through the Clare defence as easily. Clare can be devastating in attack and can carve through this Tipperary defence and cause an upset.
19:30 Warta Zawiercie vs Ziraat Bankasi

Ziraat Bankasi

Win Match

50 WIN

Ziraat Bankas? won all six group games, dropping just three sets in the process. They brushed aside Rzeszów in the last round, winning 3-0 both at home and away. Warta Zawiercie are a decent side but lack the quality of Ziraat.
21:05 PHI Phillies @ PIT Pirates

PHI Phillies

Money Line

50 WIN

Since firing manager Rob Thomson they have been on a tear, winning 12 of 15 under interim manager Don Mattingly. They have now won five straight series and could well improve on that run, as I like their chances against the Pirates. Sánchez takes the mound for them. He could hardly be in better form: in his last two outings he went eight innings and seven innings, giving up no earned runs at all. Chandler for the Pirates has a 4.62 ERA and has been walking far too many batters. I like the road team.
22:10 Shauna Bannon v Nicolle Caliari

Shauna Bannon

Win Fight

50 WIN

Despite the odds, this looks like a competitive fight that could go either way. Bannon looks the better striker, but Caliari has the edge on the mat. Bannon has fine kickboxing skills and is an accurate lander of strikes. She has a two-inch reach advantage and the skills to keep Caliari at distance, keeping this on their feet.
23:00 Alice Ardelean v Polyana Viana

Alice Ardelean

Win Fight

50 WIN

Viana is on a three-bout losing streak, so will be desperate to turn things around. She won't win this standing, so will try her utmost to take her opponent to the mat. That won't be easy, though, as Ardelean is a quality striker who lands with significant volume. She has the ability to keep Viana at arm's length and claim the win.
17th May 2026
00:10 CHI Cubs @ CHI White Sox

CHI White Sox

Money Line

50 WIN

Davis Martin has been sensational for the White Sox this season with a 1.62 ERA. He can be relied upon to go six or seven innings, and in his 50 innings has given up just nine earned runs and struck out 52 batters. Tailon for the Cubs has a 3.94 ERA, but he does play better at home. I give the White Sox a clear edge in pitching, which could be the deciding factor.
00:10 TEX Rangers @ HOU Astros

TEX Rangers

Money Line

50 WIN

Astros have arguably the worst pitching rota in the MLB. They did shut out the Rangers yesterday but had Arrighetti on the mound, who has been their best pitcher and went 7.1 innings. They don't have that luxury today as Kai-Wei Teng takes the mound. He is basically a bullpen pitcher, so it's kind of desperation that he starts. He did go 3 innings last time but gave up 3 earned runs. I don't see him going long, putting a lot of pressure on the Astros bullpen. DeGrom starts for the Rangers, who, other than a rough outing against the Yankees, has some impressive figures.
00:15 BOS Red Sox @ ATL Braves

ATL Braves

Money Line

50 WIN

Red Sox pitcher Payton Tolle has a 1-2 record, but that is largely because of the poor hitting by the Red Sox. He's a solid pitcher but today faces the Braves, who have been battering lefties. Bryce Elder has taken his form to a new level this season for the Braves. He has a 1.81 ERA and should be confident of restricting a feeble Sox side. Braves hit the ball well and Red Sox don't.
02:38 LA Dodgers @ LA Angels

Under 8.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

Other than a tough series against the White Sox, Angels pitcher Soriano has been sensational this season. In his other games he pitched 45 innings and gave up just 2 earned runs. Wrobleski for the Dodgers has also done well. He had a tough time last outing, going 8.2 innings and giving up 7 earned runs despite 7 strikeouts. Other than that, though, he has done well. As long as the Angels bullpen holds its own, I like the under.
14:00 Dublin v Westmeath

Westmeath 6.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Dublin are strong favourites as they bid for their 64th title but may not have it all their own way against Westmeath. Westmeath already upset Meath in the provincial quarter-final and then fought hard to get past Kildare. They possess a serious goal threat and should score enough points to keep this close.
18:10 PGA Championship

Chris Gotterup

Top American

25 EW

Chris Gotterup was in fine form at the start of the year, winning the Phoenix and Sony Opens. He hasn't quite lived up to that since but did record a 6th at the Houston Open in March. At last week's Truist Championship he came 14th courtesy of a stunning 65 on Saturday. His approach play and putting were impressive last weekend, which should be a bonus around this course. I think he can go close.
22:45 PGA Championship

Cameron Young

25 EW

Cameron Young has never won a major, but he hasn't been far away in any of them. He has a 2nd at The Open, 3rd at the PGA Championship and the Masters, and 4th at the U.S. Open. It's surely just a matter of time before he wins one. This could be his year, as he's in fine form, winning both the Cadillac Championship and The Players Championship.

Jacob Bridgeman

25 EW

Jacob Bridgeman won the Genesis Invitational earlier this year, which is a good fit for this weekend's PGA Championship. He did wobble a tad on Sunday, but back-to-back 64s on Friday and Saturday set him up for the win. He leads the strokes gained: putting stats this year, which should stand him in good stead for this event.

Ludvig Aberg

25 EW

Ludvig Åberg has been playing some impressive golf of late, with his last six finishes being 8, 4, 21, 5, 5, and 3. He has produced some stunning rounds, but it’s usually one loose round that has prevented him from winning. Although the course doesn’t look ideal for the big drivers, there are bunkers in play which can be cleared by big hitters like Åberg, which is a plus. If his putter is hot, he should be challenging for the win.

Scottie Scheffler

25 EW

Scottie Scheffler won the American Express at his first event of the year but, surprisingly, hasn't won since. He's come close, though, with three consecutive second places. It looks like a tricky course that requires accurate driving and solid putting, which Scheffler has in spades. He's clearly the one to beat this weekend.
18th May 2026
16:00 Lahti v VPS Vaasa

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

The last time these two met it ended 0-0, and another low-scoring affair looks on the cards. Four of Lahti's games have gone under 2.5, and five of VPS's games have gone under, with an average of just 1.5 goals per game.
27th May 2026
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026

Gujarat Titans

Outright Winner

25 EW

According to the bookies, Gujarat Titans are the second-worst side in the competition, but I don't see it. Jos Buttler is a concern after a poor T20 World Cup campaign, but he is too good a player to keep playing that badly. I see him enjoying the fresh start. Even if he underperforms, there are enough quality batters in the side to step up. I also like their mix of bowlers and can see them going deep.

Mumbai Indians

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Mumbai Indians look the strongest side on paper and should go well. They had the best net run rate last season but just missed out on the play-offs by one point. They have a wealth of batting talent to choose from, although perhaps they are over-reliant on Bumrah in the bowling department. That may not matter, as I see them posting consistently high scores.
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026 Mumbai Indians

JJ Bumrah

Top Team Bowler

50 WIN

I'm just not convinced by Boult at the moment and think Bumrah is a much more reliable option. You can guarantee he will play his full quota of overs each match and simply looks the best, most consistent wicket-taker.
19th July 2026
15:30 All Ireland Hurling Championship 2026

Clare

Win Hurling

25 EW

Clare won in 2024, but last year it didn't go well. Severe injury problems probably took their toll. They look in better shape this time and can certainly mix it with the best.
9th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 2 2026

Lancashire

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Lancashire underperformed, finishing 5th despite having a strong squad. They've really impressed with signings over the winter, enrolling quality players at this level, so I see them doing a lot better than 5th.
15th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 1 2026

Warwickshire

Outright Winner

25 EW

Warwickshire finished down in 5th last season but were hampered by drawing nine games, the most in the league. They've strengthened their squad and look capable of a better performance this season.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026

Max Verstappen

50 WIN

Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.

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