tadley

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tadley's Tips

28th March 2026
04:00 Canterbury Bulldogs v Newcastle Knights

Newcastle Knights 13.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

Bulldogs again this season look rock solid in defence, but they haven't really set the world alight going forward. Knights have won 2 out of 3 and have shown enough to suggest they can hang in there.

Under 46.50

Total Points

50 WIN

Bulldogs have had two low-scoring games so far, with the totals being 28 and 24 points. They have a rock-solid defence, and it looks unlikely that the Knights can post much of a total. I therefore see this struggling to go over.
06:00 Japanese Grand Prix

Kimi Antonelli

Fastest Qualifier

50 WIN

It again looks a straight shootout between the Silver Arrows pair, with both Russell and Antonelli winning one each. Although Russell is the more accomplished driver, Antonelli showed with the win last time that there isn't much between them. I therefore don't see why there is such a discrepancy in the prices.
06:30 Penrith Panthers v Parramatta Eels

Parramatta Eels 14.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

Eels always seem to raise their game for the Western Sydney Derby. In the last seven meetings, only once have the Panthers covered this line. It's not as if the Eels come into this in poor form, with them winning two of their last three games. I think they keep within 14.
09:30 Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi Pindiz T20

Rawalpindi Pindiz

Win Match

50 WIN

Zalmi batter Babar Azam is quality but rarely takes risks. It wouldn't surprise me if he plodded his way to a 40 or 50. That's a fine contribution, but I don't see his strike rate being more than about 120ish. The rest of the top order also strike the ball well but don't exactly bat at a fast rate. Zalmi, therefore, could find themselves needing to go hard in the final 5 or 6 overs. I just don't see them having the explosive power further down the order to get enough runs. Pindiz (formerly Multan Sultans) have recruited well domestically, and although not the strongest outfit, they look capable and could gel well enough to win this.
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13:00 Morton v Arbroath

Draw

50 WIN

After winning at Ayr last time, Morton have moved five points clear of the relegation zone. I think they can get another valuable point in this one. Prior to that Ayr win, they were leading second-placed Partick until a sending off turned the tide for a 1-2 loss. Arbroath are having a strong season, but they have drawn four of their last five. I see this being a tight, low-scoring game.
13:00 St Johnstone v Queens Park

Queens Park 1.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

It's the third meeting this season. The three previous games have seen one draw and St Johnstone win the other two by one goal. Queens Park haven't been getting turned over of late, with just one of their last 17 seeing them lose by more than one goal. With a 1.5 start, I can see them hanging in there once again.
14:00 Dumbarton v Forfar

Dumbarton

50 WIN

Dumbarton have moved clear of the relegation spot with 3 wins and 3 draws from their last 6. I don't see them taking their foot off the gas against Forfar. Forfar have the second-worst away record in the league and have just one win from their last 6 games.
14:00 East Fife v Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir -0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

East Fife started the season well but have completely lost their way, with seven defeats in their last eight home games. However, they have probably bagged enough points to survive. Stenhousemuir have overachieved given their budget and are in a dogfight with Inverness for automatic promotion. They simply can't afford to slip up in games like this.
14:00 Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabad T20

Royal Challengers Bengaluru

Win Match

50 WIN

Sunrisers had one way of playing last season : try to hit hit every ball hard to the boundary. That saw them post an impressive 286 in their opener, and people wondered if they could breach the 300 mark. They went on to post four more 200+ scores, but all too often they disappointed with the bat, and their bowling was poor. I expect more of the same, with them once again hitting hard but struggling with the ball. RCB are a well-organized side that bowl well. I think they can keep the Sunrisers' total low enough to win this.
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15:00 AFC Fylde v Darlington

AFC Fylde & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Darlington are a strong side and have failed to score in just two away games this season. I think they can score, but it might not be enough. Fylde are top and have won their last 10 home games, scoring 33 goals in the process.
15:00 Brackley v Tamworth

Tamworth 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Tamworth are a strong home side but haven't been able to transfer that to away games. They have beaten three of the top six in their last three home games, and if they can bring a fraction of that form to this one they should win. Brackley are fourth-bottom but are showing little evidence of being able to survive. They have just two points from their last 10 games and couldn't even beat fellow strugglers Braintree midweek.
15:00 Chesham v Tonbridge Angels

Tonbridge Angels 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Tonbridge are safe from relegation and won't make the play-offs, but that hasn't stopped them from going on a fine run. They have won 6 of their last 8, including wins over promotion-chasing Weston-super-Mare and second-placed Worthing. Chesham are woefully inconsistent and have won just 2 of their last 8, so I like the visitors with the start.
15:00 Chippenham Town v Chelmsford

Chippenham Town

50 WIN

Chippenham Town are fighting for their survival in the National League South, sitting fourth-bottom. They are making a good fist of things with four wins from their last five. Chelmsford are just six points off a play-off place but have shown indifferent form of late, with one win in four. Given Chippenham's recent form, they could pull off an upset.
15:00 Crawley Town v Gillingham

Draw

50 WIN

Crawley are just outside the relegation zone but seem incapable of winning games. However, they have drawn 5 of their last 7 and a draw could be on the cards in this one. Gillingham are in poor form with 4 straight defeats, but they are the stronger side and can register another draw for Crawley.
15:00 Curzon Ashton v Chester

Chester & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Curzon Ashton have lost their way with just two points from their last seven games. They look beatable against a decent Chester side. Chester are the best BTTS side in the league, with 29 of their 40 matches ending with both teams scoring. That includes their last six games. They are still in the hunt for a playoff spot after a good run of six wins and two draws from their last 10. They can't afford to slip up against Curzon Ashton but may need at least a couple to do so.
15:00 Dorking v Hemel Hempstead

Draw

50 WIN

Dorking are top and a fine home side, but this looks a tough fixture for them. Hemel Hempstead are 3rd and have won six on the trot coming into this. In their current form, I think they look good enough for the draw.
15:00 Eastbourne Borough v Bath City

Eastbourne Borough

50 WIN

Eastbourne look doomed to relegation, and to have any hope they simply must win a game like this. It's not that they are incapable of doing so, as they have beaten 6th-placed Torquay 4-2, 9th-placed Maidstone 3-1, and thrashed Hampton & Richmond 6-0. They play fellow strugglers Bath, who are in wretched form. They have just one point from their last nine away games, so I think this looks winnable for Eastbourne.
15:00 Enfield Town v Worthing

Worthing & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Worthing seemed to have lost their way at the start of the year when they went eight games winless. They've addressed that though and have won three on the trot. They can still chase down leaders Dorking. They have an impressive attack and could easily distance struggling Enfield in this one. Enfield are in serious relegation trouble but boosted their hopes with a 3-1 win midweek. I think they can grab a goal, but it may not be enough.
15:00 Exeter v Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Exeter are winless in 13, and since the departure of manager Gary Caldwell for Wigan things have gotten worse. They have lost five on the trot, leaking goals in the process. Leyton Orient, by contrast, have won four on the trot, so getting a 0.25 start looks very tempting.
15:00 Farnborough v Hornchurch FC

Draw

50 WIN

Farnborough are fighting for survival and Hornchurch are going for promotion, but despite the huge gap in points I see this being close. Farnborough are fighting well with back-to-back wins, and a point here could go a long way toward their safety. Hornchurch are a fine away side but have just two wins from their last seven away games. I think they'll find Farnborough a tough nut to crack.
15:00 Halifax v Scunthorpe

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Halifax's midweek loss to Carlisle was only the second time they have failed to score at home this season. They should correct that this weekend, as visitors Scunthorpe have just two away clean sheets. Scunthorpe are the best away BTTS side in the league, with 17 of their 20 games ending with both teams scoring.
15:00 Hamilton v Kelty Hearts

Draw

50 WIN

The bottom two clash, and I can see it ending all square. Kelty haven't been easy to beat of late, with their only losses in the last eight being to second-placed Stenhousemuir and third-placed Alloa. However, they haven't been winning either, with six of those eight games ending drawn. Hamilton are winless in three home games, so I like the draw.
15:00 Maidstone Utd v AFC Totton

Maidstone Utd

50 WIN

Maidstone can still get into the playoffs but need to be winning home games such as this. They are in decent nick at home, winning their last four, including an 8-0 thumping of Enfield. They face one of the worst travellers in Totton. Totton did win at Chesham last time but have just 16 away points this season. I don't see them getting anything out of this.
15:00 Morecambe v Aldershot

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Aldershot are a quality both-to-score side, but that has taken a knock with them failing to score in three of their last six games. However, three of those games were against the best three sides in the league. Overall they still have an impressive 69% success rate. Morecambe are fighting for survival and have had few problems scoring of late. They've scored in 11 of their last 12 games, so yes, looks the option.
15:00 Multan Sultans vs Islamabad United T20

Multan Sultans

Win Match

50 WIN

Islamabad's form fell off a cliff last season, and the loss of top scorer Sahib Farhan and top wicket-taker Jason Holder hardly suggests a better season this time. Although one of the outright favourites, I just don't see them as potential winners. Multan Sultans aren't the actual Multan Sultans of previous seasons. They are a new team called Sialkot Stallions who at the last minute changed their name. In terms of recruitment, they have a hugely impressive opening pair in Sahib Farhan and Steve Smith. I would expect consistent big scores from these two, meaning they should regularly go hard further down the order.
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15:00 Solihull Moors v Altrincham

Altrincham

50 WIN

If you look at the recent form of these two, the odds are nonsense. Altrincham have won 5 of their last 8 and Solihull are winless in 10. They have also lost six on the bounce at home, conceding 15 goals. Altrincham look the bet.
15:00 Spartans FC v East Kilbride

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

East Kilbride were thumped 6-0 by Spartans in January, and their league ambitions looked over as it put them 8 points behind Spartans. However, East Kilbride have been on a tear since, winning 8 of their next 9 and reclaiming top spot. Spartans, by contrast, have won just 4 of their next 9, so I simply don't see a repeat of that previous game. Both are prolific scorers, so I think both will score.
15:00 Torquay v Horsham

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Torquay nearly always score at home, failing to do so only twice. However, they regularly concede, with both teams scoring in 75% of their home games. Horsham have failed to score in their last two away games, but prior to that scored in 13 of their previous 15 games. So, yes ??" looks the best option.
15:00 Truro City v Boreham Wood

Boreham Wood & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Boreham Wood have 43 goals on the road, even more than York. I don't see them having many problems netting a few times against basement side Truro, who have conceded 68. However, Truro have shown some fight of late, scoring five goals in their last three games, so I think they get a consolation goal.
29th March 2026
23:30 Victoria vs South Australia Sheffield Shield

Victoria

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

Victoria have been the more consistent side. They have a quality top order and a more potent bowling attack. I think their superior bowling tips it in their favour.
23:45 Houston Open

Chandler Blanchet

25 EW

I'm persisting with Blanchett this weekend, with form that defies his odds. At the Puerto Rico Open he produced three impressive rounds of 64, 67, and 67, but a poor 74 cost him the win by one stroke. He again impressed last week when he was joint leader at one point, but a poor weekend dropped him to 18th. The talent is clearly there, and sooner or later he will win at a huge price.

Chris Gotterup

25 EW

Gotterup was overheard moaning to his caddy at the Players that he couldn't wait to play at the Houston Open instead. It's not hard to see why, as its generous fairways suited his big-hitting, aggressive style. I see him returning to his winning ways from earlier this year when he won back-to-back tournaments. He thrives under pressure and can prevail against a not very strong field.

Marco Penge

50 WIN

Penge was a fine 4th last week and this course may be a better fit for him. He is one of the best for driving distance, and his long approach shots have been up there with the best. I think he goes really well this weekend.

Pontus Nyholm

25 EW

It's a tough ask to feature at 500-1, but this course should be right up Nyholm's street. The course is ideal for people who can hit it far off the tee but also accurately. Nyholm hits it far and is accurate enough to keep it out of the trees. He was 16th at the recent Puerto Rico Open and 13th at the Cognizant Classic. If his putting goes well, he can perform a lot better than expected.
10th May 2026
14:00 Pakistan Super League 2026

Lahore Qalandars

Outright Winner

25 EW

It's a chaotic PSL this season with no crowds, just two venues, and substandard players due to them bizarrely scheduling it against the IPL. Qalandars won last season and have won three of the last four. They retain a strong squad. They possibly have the best selection of bowlers, and although the batting could be said to be a bit too heavy, there is quality there. I expect a strong performance from them.
27th May 2026
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026

Gujarat Titans

Outright Winner

25 EW

According to the bookies, Gujarat Titans are the second-worst side in the competition, but I don't see it. Jos Buttler is a concern after a poor T20 World Cup campaign, but he is too good a player to keep playing that badly. I see him enjoying the fresh start. Even if he underperforms, there are enough quality batters in the side to step up. I also like their mix of bowlers and can see them going deep.

Mumbai Indians

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Mumbai Indians look the strongest side on paper and should go well. They had the best net run rate last season but just missed out on the play-offs by one point. They have a wealth of batting talent to choose from, although perhaps they are over-reliant on Bumrah in the bowling department. That may not matter, as I see them posting consistently high scores.
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026 Mumbai Indians

JJ Bumrah

Top Team Bowler

50 WIN

I'm just not convinced by Boult at the moment and think Bumrah is a much more reliable option. You can guarantee he will play his full quota of overs each match and simply looks the best, most consistent wicket-taker.
9th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 2 2026

Lancashire

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Lancashire underperformed, finishing 5th despite having a strong squad. They've really impressed with signings over the winter, enrolling quality players at this level, so I see them doing a lot better than 5th.
15th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 1 2026

Warwickshire

Outright Winner

25 EW

Warwickshire finished down in 5th last season but were hampered by drawing nine games, the most in the league. They've strengthened their squad and look capable of a better performance this season.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026

Max Verstappen

50 WIN

Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.

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