tadley

5

Estimated Prizes
this month

£30

Estimated Prize money
this month

tadley's Tips

4th March 2026
19:00 Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Martin Damm

Martin Damm

Win Match

50 WIN

Carabelli won a Challenger just last month, but it wasn't surprising as it was on clay and he is an out-and-out clay courter. In the last two seasons he has played 21 matches on hard court and won just six of them. Damm, by contrast, thrives on hard court, with the last two seasons' record on hard court being 60 wins and 23 losses. The surface gives him the clear edge.
19:00 Palermo v Mantova

Palermo

50 WIN

Palermo's shock loss to bottom side Pescara ended a 14-game unbeaten run. They will be desperate to get their promotion push back on track against a Mantova side that have won just two games on the road this season.
19:30 Aston Villa v Chelsea

Draw

50 WIN

Chelsea are a tough side to beat these days, but they have drawn 7 of their last 16. Aston Villa are the biggest overachievers if you look at their actual points as opposed to expected goals (xG). That's now beginning to even itself out, with just one win from their last 6 games. They are still a strong home side, though, and look capable of getting a draw out of this.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

Chelsea have upped their corner output of late with an average of 6.5 corners per game over their last 10. Villa are averaging 5.9 corners per home game this season. So there is clearly potential for this to go over.
19:30 Brighton v Arsenal

Draw

50 WIN

Arsenal have been dropping points on the road of late, with three draws from their last five. They could only draw with Wolves, Brentford, and Forest. Brighton are clearly stronger than two of those and have won their last two coming into this, so I see the hosts getting a draw.
19:30 Busto Arsizio W vs Conegliano W

Conegliano W to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

Conegliano have been dominant this season, winning 25 of their 26 games. However, in their three meetings this season with Busto Arsizio they have dropped sets in every game, losing 3-1, 3-2 and 3-2. I, therefore, can see the hosts winning a set.
19:30 Fulham v West Ham

Fulham

50 WIN

West Ham are showing more fight these days but still struggle on the road. They have just three away wins, which came against the two weakest home teams, Burnley and Spurs, as well as fourth-bottom Forest. Fulham have the seventh-best home record in the league, so despite West Ham's decent enough form, I think they do enough.

Jarrod Bowen

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

Fulham have only one clean sheet from their last eight home games. West Ham have had a mixed bag of results, but they offer a serious goal threat, with two goals scored in their last four away games. Therefore, I can see them scoring. Bowen offers a serious goal threat and has eight for the season. I like his chances in this one.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

Fulham games have been quite consistent for corners, with only one of their last nine going under this line. West Ham games are the second-best for corners in the league, with an average of 11.3 per game. I therefore think this should at least reach 10.
19:30 Man City v Nottm Forest

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

Man City's mean average corners per home game is 6.6, the median is 6.5, and the mode is 6. It is therefore likely that they will get 6 or 7 corners in this one. Notts Forest are averaging 5.6 corners per game, so there is clear potential for this to go over.
19:30 Vallefoglia W vs Milano W

Milano W to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

Milano won the first game 3-0, but this might not be as straightforward. Vallefoglia took a set off Milano in both regular-season games and could do so again.
20:15 Newcastle v Man Utd

Over 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

Newcastle games are the best in the league for corners, with an average of 11.3 per game. Their last eight games all went over 10.5 corners. United are erratic at corners, but the game between these two earlier in the season went over, and I think this will as well.
5th March 2026
11:00 Dolphins vs Titans One Day Match

Titans

Win Match

50 WIN

Dolphins batted well enough in their opener with Warriors, but their bowling was ineffective. Titans have a good batting line-up, so I see the Dolphins struggling to contain them, tipping the match in the Titans' favour.
18:00 Jacob Fearnley vs Damir Dzumhur

Damir Dzumhur

Win Match

50 WIN

The pair met on a hardcourt in November, with Dzumhur winning comfortably 6-4, 6-2. Fearnley has been far from impressive of late, with just 4 wins from his last 13, all against not very strong opponents. Dzumhur will enjoy these slow hard courts, so he looks the pick.
18:00 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Beatriz Haddad Maia

Over 21.50

Total Games

50 WIN

The pair have met once, which went three sets and subsequently over this line. Neither are in the best of form, but both have shown in the past that they are more than willing to battle long and hard to secure wins. I don't see either of these running away with this.
18:00 Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

Win Match

50 WIN

Adrian Mannarino is a tricky opponent with his low, flat hitting and can frustrate many a player. Berrettini in particular seems to hate playing him. He has lost both matches against him 3-0 and 2-0, managing just one break point over the two matches. Berrettini's form is poor coming into this and looks opposable against a player he clearly doesn't enjoy playing.
18:00 Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallo

Mattia Bellucci

Win Match

50 WIN

I can't be backing Diallo at these odds. He has lost 6 of his 8 games this year, with his two wins coming against a woefully out-of-form De Jong and a lowly ranked Brazilian in the Davis Cup. These conditions won't really suit his game, and he plays a player in Bellucci who leads 3??"1 in head-to-heads. I take the loss at Delray Beach with a pinch of salt, as Bellucci had already qualified for the main tour even when he lost.
18:00 TVB Stuttgart vs THW Kiel

Tie

Money Line

50 WIN

Kiel have tied 4 of their last 7 away games and won only one game by more than one point. Therefore I don't see this being as straightforward as the odds suggest. Stuttgart have won 4 of their last 5 home games and lost by just one when the sides met in Kiel, so I like the tie.
18:00 Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrov

Terence Atmane

Win Match

50 WIN

The pair met just last month in similar conditions in Acapulco, with Atmane winning rather cosily 2-0. Dimitrov has had more than his fair share of injuries, and it looks like his best days are long behind him. A slide down the rankings is inevitable. Atmane can win again.
19:00 Bergamo W vs Scandicci W

Bergamo W

Win Match

50 WIN

Scandicci have been the stronger side this season, but the first game was far from plain sailing. It went to a final set, with Scandicci winning it 17-15. On that performance and with home advantage, they could easily outperform their odds.
19:15 Michael van Gerwen vs Luke Humphries

Michael van Gerwen

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

It's been an unpredictable Premier League so far, with both Littler and Humphries in the bottom three. It therefore doesn't seem wise to take a short price on either of them right now. Humphries has already played MVG this season in the Premier League and lost 6-2, so MVG looks the value.
20:15 Gerwyn Price vs Stephen Bunting

Gerwyn Price

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

Bunting looked a bit out of his depth after losing in the first round on the first three nights. However, he put that form firmly behind him when winning Night 5 with two 106 averages. I don't see him being able to back it up now, as he possibly faces one of the most consistent players in Price. Price just won Players Event 6, with his only loss in his last eight matches being to Van Veen in a final-leg decider.
20:45 Luke Littler vs Josh Rock

Josh Rock

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

I did fear for Rock coming into this season's Premier League because, as good as he is, his record against elite players is poor. That's been the case with him losing all four games 6-2. With Bunting winning Night 4, that leaves Rock adrift at the bottom. He simply has to start winning. We all know his A game is up there with the best. It's time for him to step up against a misfiring Littler.
21:25 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Ludvig Aberg

25 EW

There have been positive signs of improvement from Aberg in his last two events. He was slow out of the blocks in both, posting a 72 and 75, but responded well with rounds of 66, 66, 67, 68, 69, and 69. If you cut out the loose first round, he should go well here, as he won in 2023.
6th March 2026
19:45 Cheltenham v Barrow

Cheltenham 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

It's hard to have much faith in Barrow winning this. They have just two wins from their last 20 games. A draw for Cheltenham would get your money back, and I think they are capable of at least getting that. They are unbeaten in four, including a win over Salford.
7th March 2026
15:00 Cove Rangers v Peterhead

Draw

50 WIN

Cove have been somewhat draw specialists at home of late, drawing 4 of their last 6. Peterhead have drawn 3 of their last 4 away games, and in what looks a close game the draw appeals.
15:00 Edinburgh City v Stranraer

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Edinburgh's first 11 games resulted in both teams scoring, including the earlier home game against Stranraer. Their last two have broken that sequence, but they may well get back to their usual ways in this one. Seven of Stranraer's last nine games have resulted in both scoring, so I like the Yes option.
8th March 2026
14:45 Joburg Open

Calum Hill

25 EW

Calum Hill had fine recent 2nd places in Bahrain and Qatar. Although just T20 last week, his form was still there with two strong rounds of 65 and 67. He won this last year, so should go close.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026

Max Verstappen

50 WIN

Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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