tadley

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tadley's Tips

4th April 2026
11:00 Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians T20

Mumbai Indians

Win Match

50 WIN

Delhi Capitals have a 1??"5 record against the Mumbai Indians in the last three seasons and may struggle to improve on that in this one. Both had a fine win in the opener, but Delhi were probably more impressive. They were set a formidable target of 220 but chased it down with five balls to spare and six wickets in hand. They simply look a stronger batting unit.
12:45 Man City v Liverpool

Man City

50 WIN

City have beaten Liverpool in both league meetings this season, including a 3-0 win at the Etihad in November. Liverpool have been disappointing this season, with just six wins from 16 away league games. The way Man City outplayed Arsenal in the EFL Cup final suggests they will be too strong for Liverpool.
13:00 John Higgins v Zhao Xintong

Zhao Xintong

Win Match

50 WIN

Higgins is never an easy player to beat, but he comes up against a hugely impressive Xintong. When in full flow, Xintong looks virtually unbeatable. He beat Higgins 10-7 at the Players Championship in February and thrives over the longer distances.
14:30 2:30 Musselburgh

Al Qareem

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Al Qareem looks to have an excellent opportunity today. It's basically a Group horse running in a listed race. It romped home by 6 lengths in a Group 3 in October, and with this not looking a particularly strong Listed race anyway, it will take all the beating.
15:00 Arbroath v St Johnstone

Draw

50 WIN

Both teams have drawn 11 games this season, and this could be another. Although St Johnstone are the favourites and league leaders, this looks far from straightforward. Arbroath are hard to beat at home with a W7 D7 L1 record. I see this ending in a stalemate.
15:00 East Kilbride v Annan Athletic

East Kilbride

50 WIN

East Kilbride remain just one point above Spartans in their bid to claim the only automatic promotion spot. With Spartans playing bottom-side Edinburgh City, they cannot afford to drop points in this one. Annan have won three of their last four, but all those wins came at home. Annan have the worst away record in the league, so in-form East Kilbride can win this.
15:00 Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals T20

Rajasthan Royals

Win Match

50 WIN

Titans' batting was disappointing in game one, with the team batting at a sedate pace. Buttler did hit 38 but did so in 33 balls, which just doesn't cut it. Gill went one better with 39, but the rest of the bats did little. RR absolutely dominated CSK, bowling them out for 127 and chasing it down in 12.1 overs. With CSK posting 209 in their next match, that makes RR's effort even more impressive. I simply don't see Titans' batters being able to keep up.
15:00 Herning Ikast W vs HOJ W

HOJ (W) 9.50

Match Handicap

50 WIN

Herning-Kiast are a strong side, particularly at home, but I'm not sure that they can cover this line. Høj have won three on the trot, including a fine win at Viborg, and look capable of keeping it closer than 10.
15:00 Huddersfield Giants v York Knights

York Knights 10.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

Interim boss Liam Finn pulled off a stunning win over Wigan last time. It's difficult to know if that's their true form or the five losses before that. I suspect it's somewhere in between. The Knights have competed well this season, beating both Hull sides, and in their last away game they got within a point of Wigan. I think they have enough about them to keep close.
15:00 Kelty Hearts v Queen of South

Draw

50 WIN

Kelty's win at Hamilton last tie gives them a slight hope of surviving the drop, but it looks a tall order. Their problem is that they can't get a win at home. They have drawn four on the trot at home, including to leaders Inverness. I think they can grab a draw against play-off chasing Q of S.
15:00 Montrose v East Fife

Montrose

50 WIN

East Fife plummeted down the league after losing 11 of their 12 games. They steadied the ship somewhat of late with three draws on the trot. This looks tricky, though, against a Montrose side that have been good at home of late. Montrose are unbeaten in six home games, winning four, all against the top four sides in the league.
15:00 Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United T20

Islamabad United

Win Match

50 WIN

Pindiz have lost both games, but to be fair to them they batted well in both. Even if they can put in another fine batting display, it might not be enough given they seem incapable of restricting sides. Islamabad produced a fine performance to beat the Gladiators last time and look a more balanced, all-round side.
15:00 Stranraer v Dumbarton

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Dumbarton have been one of the best both-teams-to-score teams in the league. That changed in February when their stats took a knock, with 5 of their 7 games not ending with both teams scoring. They seem to have shaken that off, though, with their last three games all seeing both teams score. Stranraer at home are an excellent BTTS side, with only 3 of 15 not seeing both teams score. Yes, looks like the option.
15:00 Warrington Wolves v Leigh Leopards

Warrington Wolves

To Win

50 WIN

Leigh lost four on the trot before edging past Toulouse last time. Even then they capitulated badly and needed a last-minute drop goal to win. They are winless on the road, so this looks a tough ask. Warrington suffered their first defeat, 26??"22 to Rhinos away last week. They look too strong for Leopards.
15:05 3:05 Musselburgh

Baileys Khelstar

Daily Racing

25 EW

Charlie Johnston's yard won this race in 2019 and 2021, and despite 20-1 odds I don't see this as a no-hoper. The yard had a 25-1 winner yesterday, so don't underestimate it. It has admittedly been off for 600 days, but Johnston has shown he can produce winners after a long layoff. Its form puts it bang in there. It's won 2 of its last 4 and was second in a Class 2 to the useful Euchen Glen. It gets in here on just 8-8. I'm expecting a good run.
15:30 Caserio Ciudad Real vs BM Guadalajara

Caserio Ciudad Real

Money Line

50 WIN

Caserío Ciudad Real are a strong home side, winning 7 of their 11 games. Guadalajara sit bottom with just 10 points all season. This looks like a home win.
15:42 3:42 Musselburgh

Gangsta Man

Daily Racing

25 EW

Gangsta Man is the rag at 50-1, but it could be a lot better than that. It has been running well in Ireland over longer and was a solid 2nd at the Curragh last time. It's now switched to the Tom Goldie stable, and he has immediately dropped it down to 5 furlongs. He has either seen something about it that suggests it's a potentially good minimum-distance sprinter, or he's judged it wrong. Hopefully it's the former.
17:00 Verona v Fiorentina

Fiorentina

50 WIN

Fiorentina have pulled two points clear of the relegation zone thanks to improved results, culminating in a fine draw with probable champions Inter last time. Verona looked doomed to relegation and have won just once at home this season. Fiorentina should pull further away from trouble.
17:30 Glasgow Warriors v Bulls

Over 45.50

Total Points

50 WIN

Warriors are a strong side who are top of the United Rugby Championship and have been racking up the points in home games. The South African sides don't always send their strongest teams, but they do so on this occasion, so should add to the total.
17:30 VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

When these two meet you can guarantee goals, with the last 15 games all going over 2.5. Coming into this, Dortmund's last 5 away games have all gone over, and Stuttgart have only had 7 of their 27 games go under.
17:45 AZ v Fortuna Sittard

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

AZ home games have ended with both sides scoring in 11 of their 13 games. Fortuna Sittard away are also a good BTTS side, with 11 of their 14 games seeing both teams score. The reverse fixture ended 4-3, so I'm expecting goals today.
19:00 Bidasoa Irun vs BM Torrelavega

Over 59.50

Points Total

50 WIN

There were 63 points in the reverse fixture, with Torrelavega winning 32-31. I'm expecting a similar total today. CD Bidasoa's last three games have been high scoring, with the totals being 74, 66, and 70. Torrelavega's last game featured 68 points, so there looks a good chance that this can go over with two good scoring sides.
20:00 Atletico Madrid v Barcelona

Barcelona

50 WIN

Barcelona will be keen to win to maintain their gap to Real at the top. Atletico look assured of a Champions League spot, so may prioritise their midweek Champions League game. Barcelona are the stronger team anyway, so I think they prevail.
5th April 2026
09:00 Tour of Flanders 2026

Mathieu Van Der Poel

Win Outright

50 WIN

Van der Poel and Poga?ar have dominated this race in recent years, with five wins between them from the last six years. Van der Poel has won three and Poga?ar two. Poga?ar is capable of riding away from anyone, but Van der Poel has a massive engine. If he can stay with Poga?ar until near the end, he will be impossible to drop.
11:30 Ademar Leon vs BM Huesca

Over 58.50

Points Total

50 WIN

Huesca on the road don't do low-scoring games, with an average of 64.6 points per game. Ademar averages 60 points per game, and the reverse game this season contained 65 points. I like the over.
16:15 Metz v Nantes

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

The two bottom sides clash and it looks like a must-win game for both. Neither are good at defending, so I wouldn't expect a tight defensive game. Rather, a gung-ho style, trying to outscore the opposition.
18:00 Ciudad Encantada vs BM Nava

Tie

Money Line

50 WIN

After losing seven straight away games, Nava turned things around by winning three on the bounce. They were all close games, though, settled by one or two points. Ciudad Encantada are just one place above Nava, and given Ciudad's recent form, I like the tie.
19:00 Tour Championship 2026

Zhao Xintong

50 WIN

World Champion Zhao Xintong has continued his fine form this season, winning the Riyadh Season Championship, World Grand Prix and the Players Championship. Over long distances like this, he looks fiendishly hard to beat and is looking unbeatable when at his best.
22:45 Valero Texas Open

Ludvig Aberg

25 EW

Last time Aberg looked set for the win at The Players, but on Sunday he found the water on back-to-back holes when seemingly in control. This saw him pushed down to fifth, with him being 4 over on the day. I don't see him replicating that. His 63 on Friday shows how well he is playing, and this course should suit his game, so I'm expecting him to bounce back in a big way.
10th May 2026
14:00 Pakistan Super League 2026

Lahore Qalandars

Outright Winner

25 EW

It's a chaotic PSL this season with no crowds, just two venues, and substandard players due to them bizarrely scheduling it against the IPL. Qalandars won last season and have won three of the last four. They retain a strong squad. They possibly have the best selection of bowlers, and although the batting could be said to be a bit too heavy, there is quality there. I expect a strong performance from them.
27th May 2026
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026

Gujarat Titans

Outright Winner

25 EW

According to the bookies, Gujarat Titans are the second-worst side in the competition, but I don't see it. Jos Buttler is a concern after a poor T20 World Cup campaign, but he is too good a player to keep playing that badly. I see him enjoying the fresh start. Even if he underperforms, there are enough quality batters in the side to step up. I also like their mix of bowlers and can see them going deep.

Mumbai Indians

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Mumbai Indians look the strongest side on paper and should go well. They had the best net run rate last season but just missed out on the play-offs by one point. They have a wealth of batting talent to choose from, although perhaps they are over-reliant on Bumrah in the bowling department. That may not matter, as I see them posting consistently high scores.
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026 Mumbai Indians

JJ Bumrah

Top Team Bowler

50 WIN

I'm just not convinced by Boult at the moment and think Bumrah is a much more reliable option. You can guarantee he will play his full quota of overs each match and simply looks the best, most consistent wicket-taker.
9th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 2 2026

Lancashire

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Lancashire underperformed, finishing 5th despite having a strong squad. They've really impressed with signings over the winter, enrolling quality players at this level, so I see them doing a lot better than 5th.
15th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 1 2026

Warwickshire

Outright Winner

25 EW

Warwickshire finished down in 5th last season but were hampered by drawing nine games, the most in the league. They've strengthened their squad and look capable of a better performance this season.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026

Max Verstappen

50 WIN

Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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