tadley

7

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£80

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this month

tadley's Tips

9th May 2026
14:30 Augsburg v Borussia Mgladbach

Draw

50 WIN

Borussia M'gladbach have just one defeat from their last seven away games, but they did draw four of them. Augsburg have also been drawing a few, with three of their last five ending in draws. I see little between the sides, so I like the draw.
15:00 Brighton v Wolverhampton

Brighton

50 WIN

The price isn't at all appealing, but Brighton do look the likely winners. Wolves are winless away from home this season, losing 12 of their 17 games and scoring just seven. Brighton are just one point off a European place and have won 3 of their last 4 home games, with the only defeat being to Arsenal. This looks a must-win game for their European hopes, and I don't see them slipping up.

Jack Hinshelwood

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

Hinshelwood was out for three months with an ankle injury and struggled to hold down a starting place afterward. However, he has now established himself as a regular starter and is ending the season well with two goals from his last two games. He shouldn't have many problems breaching this Wolves defence, so I like his chances.

Yerson Mosquera

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

Fresh from a two-game suspension, Mosquera avoided a card last time against Sunderland, but he put himself about and was perhaps lucky to escape without one. He has 10 yellows from 24 games and should be busy today against a Brighton side that push forward with purpose. He seems to draw the ref's attention with fouls, shirt pulling, and arguing, so could easily pick up another today.

Over 4.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

Wolves pick up 2 yellows per game on average and have three reds for good measure. Brighton are second to only Spurs in terms of yellow cards with a whopping 85 from 35 games. Ref John Brooks averages 4.7 cards per game, so I like the over.
15:00 Fulham v Bournemouth

Draw

50 WIN

Bournemouth are pushing for a European place and come into this in fine form, being unbeaten in 15. They have been rather drawish though, drawing 8 of those games, including 6 of their last 9. Fulham are a hard side to predict, but I don't see them beating Bournemouth, so I like the draw.

Eli Junior Kroupi

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

Kroupi had a fine season for French club Lorient last season, netting 22 times in 30 games. He's taken his step up to the Premier League in his stride, looking a constant threat and scoring four goals in his last five games. For an in-form Bournemouth pushing for Europe, I like his chances of another.

Over 3.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

4 looks achievable with both sides averaging two cards or more per game. Bournemouth are particularly prone to cards, with 75 yellows and a red from 35 games. I think 4 cards looks achievable.
15:00 Hornchurch FC v Torquay

Draw

50 WIN

In the two games during the regular season, it was a win apiece, with both games being won by the away team. Both games ended 2-1, as did the two games the previous season. There looks to be very little between the sides, so a draw wouldn't surprise.
15:00 Stevenage v Stockport

Stevenage

50 WIN

Stevenage don't have much of the ball, with one of the lowest possession rates in the league. Despite that, they are hard to break down, allowing the fewest goal attempts against them in the league. As a result, eking out 1-0 wins has been their forte, with 7 of their last 11 home games ending that way. Stockport have just 2 wins from their last 9 away games, so I see the hosts edging this. - Stevenage are in the top 3 teams for the lowest ball possession in the league this season. On average, they have had 43.2% possession per match.
15:00 Sunderland v Man Utd

Draw

50 WIN

United booked their Champions League spot with the 3-2 win over Liverpool, so they probably won't have the same motivation to win this one. The Stadium of Light was a fortress earlier in the season, with Sunderland going 12 games unbeaten. They didn't keep that up, though, with results deteriorating. The 5-0 spanking by Forest was particularly alarming. I simply don't see them being that bad again, and seeing as they have already drawn with Arsenal and Man City, recapturing their best form should see them get another draw.

Benjamin Sesko

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

Despite playing well for most of the season, Sesko has struggled to hold down a place in the starting 11. He now has 10 goals from his last 15 starts despite many part games where he played 10, 16, 16, 17, 22, 33 and 46 minutes. If he plays close to a full game, he could easily add to his tally.
15:15 Sevilla v Espanyol

Sevilla

50 WIN

After a solid start to the season last year, Espanyol's form this year has been awful. From the 17 games played they haven't won a single game. As a result, they have been dragged into a relegation scrap along with a whole host of teams. Sevilla are one of those, but they are currently in the drop zone. A win today, though, could catapult them up to 12th. There have been encouraging signs for them, though, winning their last two home games, including a win over Atlético.
15:30 Kildare v Galway

Galway

FT Result

50 WIN

Galway are two from two, beating both Kilkenny and Offaly, and should make it three from three. They are likely to shuffle their team somewhat, but such is their squad depth that I don't see it stopping them from comfortably seeing off a limited Kildare side.
16:00 Clare v Offaly

Clare

FT Result

50 WIN

Offaly went down 3-12 to 0-12 to Laois, which isn't strong form. To be honest, seeing the highlights they were far from secure at the back. Clare is a step up on that match. Clare did lose to Kerry, but that was no real surprise. They fought hard and were competitive enough, so should be strong enough to win this one.
16:00 Wexford v Dublin

Dublin

FT Result

50 WIN

Dublin look in great form, scoring 52 points and 5 goals in their two games so far. Wexford, by contrast, were hammered by 17 by Kilkenny a fortnight ago. A free-scoring Dublin side should carve through this Wexford side.
17:00 Utleira W vs Haslum W

Tie

Money Line

50 WIN

The bookies can't split the pair, so this should be close. Utleira upset Haslum in the first leg, winning away by 4, but they look far from certain to back that up. Haslum are a league higher, so should be competitive. I like the draw.
17:30 Bristol Bears v Saracens

Saracens

To Win

50 WIN

Bristol have won their last two, scoring over 50 points in both. However, beating Gloucester and Newcastle isn't much to get excited about. Saracens really need to win this if they want to play European rugby next season and have decent form coming into this. They had a hard-fought win over a quality Leicester side last time and, before that, thrashed Sale away 19-85. I give them the edge.
17:30 Man City v Brentford

Draw

50 WIN

Man City somehow grabbed a point against Everton last time with a late goal. The 6 minutes of injury time had long gone over one and a half minutes ago, but the ref wouldn't blow the whistle and somehow City grabbed a leveller. It was a frail defensive display, so I can see Brentford troubling them today. City have now drawn three of their last seven home games and face a Brentford side pushing for Europe. Brentford have drawn five of their last seven games and brushed aside West Ham with ease last time. I think they can trouble City.

Over 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

Man City have been racking up the corners of late in their bid for the title. In their last 5 games they have won 9, 11, 8, 12, and 15, so they could even clear this line by themselves. Brentford can win corners away to top sides, with them winning 8 against both Man United and Arsenal. I like the over.
18:00 Istanbul Basaksehir v Samsunspor

Eldor Shomurodov

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

It's hard to ignore Shomurodov in the first goalscorer market. The Ba?ak?ehir striker has 20 for the season, including 2 goals in his last two home games.
18:00 SG Flensburg Handewitt vs TBV Lemgo Lippe

SG Flensburg Handewitt -3.50

Match Handicap

50 WIN

Flensburg's last seven home games have all seen them win by more than this handicap. Lemgo are in freefall with no wins from their last seven. The four-point home loss to second-bottom Minden last time was particularly worrying. I can see Flensburg winning by four or more.
18:00 Waterford v Cork

Waterford 4.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Cork are a strong side, but last time against Limerick injuries to full-back Ciarán Joyce and centre-back Rob Downey have ripped the heart out of their defence and may leave them vulnerable. Waterford attack with purpose and run at the opposition with menace. They can definitely make in-roads into this patched-up Cork defence, so I see them keeping close.
19:00 Craig Steadman v Joe Perry

Craig Steadman

Win Match

50 WIN

Perry is a warm favourite, but I don't see this being clear-cut. Although coming through two qualifying rounds against Canavan and Stevens, it was far from a flawless performance. Steadman showed good fighting spirit to upset Carter via a final frame in the quarter-final and looks the value to win this.
20:00 Real Sociedad v Real Betis

Real Betis 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Real Sociedad seem to have given up on the league after winning the Copa del Rey. That assures them of European football, and since then they have lost two and drawn one. They now have nothing to play for, so look vulnerable to Champions League-hunting Betis. Betis sit 5th in the last Champions League spot and are unbeaten in five. This looks a good time to play Sociedad.
22:00 Clayton Carpenter v Jose Ochoa

Jose Ochoa

Win Fight

50 WIN

Carpenter is a decent wrestler, but Ochoa is no mug on the canvas and will be a tough man to submit. On the feet, Ochoa has a clear edge with his striking volume and excellent footwork. Carpenter will find it tough to close him down, so I see Ochoa's power and volume doing the business.
10th May 2026
01:00 Joel Alvarez v Yaroslav Amosov

Joel Alvarez

Win Fight

50 WIN

I give Alvarez the edge on their feet, but this will probably end up on the canvas. Alvarez' upset win over Vicente Luque shows that he is a capable wrestler who will pound away relentlessly at his opponent. He is adept at the takedown, and although Amosov is a good grappler, he may have his hands full with Alvarez.
04:30 Khamzat Chimaev v Sean Strickland

Khamzat Chimaev By Submission

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

Sean Strickland is hopelessly outclassed on the mat by Chimaev, who is one of the best wrestlers around. If they end up on the mat, there will only be one outcome. Strickland boxes well and has great takedown defence, but I simply don't see him being able to avoid a takedown at some point, which should be the end of the fight.
14:00 Pakistan Super League 2026

Lahore Qalandars

Outright Winner

25 EW

It's a chaotic PSL this season with no crowds, just two venues, and substandard players due to them bizarrely scheduling it against the IPL. Qalandars won last season and have won three of the last four. They retain a strong squad. They possibly have the best selection of bowlers, and although the batting could be said to be a bit too heavy, there is quality there. I expect a strong performance from them.
14:00 THW Kiel vs Fuchse Berlin

Tie

Money Line

50 WIN

Fuchse Berlin are obviously a quality side; hence their price. But don't underestimate Kiel. Kiel have already beaten the top two, Magdeburg and Flensburg, at home, so I see this being a close game. Kiel have tied 8 games, and another wouldn't surprise.
16:45 Catalunya Championship

Daniel Rodrigues

25 EW

It's a Greg Norman-designed course, and it's unknown how it will play, but it doesn't look like one for long drivers. Daniel Rodrigues was impressive last week in search of his maiden win with some good driving and approach play. He ended up T2 but showed enough to suggest he can perform well on a course like this.

Shaun Norris

25 EW

It's difficult to know what to expect from this course, but it certainly doesn't look like one for the big hitters. Rather, it's for someone who can strike the ball accurately and putt well with its undulating greens. Norris ticks both of these boxes and has been in good form of late, with a 4th and 6th in his last two starts.
19:00 World Seniors Championship 2026

Ronnie OSullivan

50 WIN

Of the four players left, it is difficult to see Steadman, Milkins, or Perry troubling O'Sullivan. He showed good form at the World Championship and continued that into the Seniors. He easily looks the most likely winner.
20:50 Truist Championship

Gary Woodland

1st Round Leader

25 EW

Gary Woodland's last week started with a 68 and 69, putting him right in contention for a high finish. However, a shocking 77 on Saturday with three bogeys and two double bogeys wrecked his chances. His overall form has been good, though, with an 8th at the RBC Heritage the time before, and a fine win at the Houston Open, winning by 5. He is hitting it long and accurately, which is a major plus around here.
22:45 Truist Championship

Adam Scott

25 EW

Adam Scott looks a lively shot at 30/1. He ranks 11th for driving distance and 1st for SG: Approach over the past few months, which is a good fit around here. He's performed well at Quail Hollow in the past, and with his current game looking in good shape, I'm expecting a good weekend.

Gary Woodland

25 EW

Gary Woodland started with a 68 and 69 on Thursday/Friday, but a poor 77 on Saturday ruined his chances. He has been playing well, though, with an 8th at the RBC Heritage previously and a 5-shot win at the Houston Open. He is hitting as long as anyone, which looks like a bonus on this course.

Xander Schauffele

25 EW

Xander Schauffele came second here in 2023 and 2024, so this test of accuracy and putting seems to suit his game. His best form seems to come at this time of year, and his form coming into this looks solid. He has four consecutive finishes in the top 12 with some fine approach work and putting. He has every chance of figuring this weekend.

Ludvig Aberg

Top European

25 EW

Ludvig Åberg was a disappointing 60th on his only start here last year, but his form is a lot better right now, so I'm expecting a much better performance. He has four top-5 finishes from his last five starts, and this course really ought to suit him. His approach play and driving distance have been top-notch recently, which should see him master these par 5s.
27th May 2026
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026

Gujarat Titans

Outright Winner

25 EW

According to the bookies, Gujarat Titans are the second-worst side in the competition, but I don't see it. Jos Buttler is a concern after a poor T20 World Cup campaign, but he is too good a player to keep playing that badly. I see him enjoying the fresh start. Even if he underperforms, there are enough quality batters in the side to step up. I also like their mix of bowlers and can see them going deep.

Mumbai Indians

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Mumbai Indians look the strongest side on paper and should go well. They had the best net run rate last season but just missed out on the play-offs by one point. They have a wealth of batting talent to choose from, although perhaps they are over-reliant on Bumrah in the bowling department. That may not matter, as I see them posting consistently high scores.
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026 Mumbai Indians

JJ Bumrah

Top Team Bowler

50 WIN

I'm just not convinced by Boult at the moment and think Bumrah is a much more reliable option. You can guarantee he will play his full quota of overs each match and simply looks the best, most consistent wicket-taker.
19th July 2026
15:30 All Ireland Hurling Championship 2026

Clare

Win Hurling

25 EW

Clare won in 2024, but last year it didn't go well. Severe injury problems probably took their toll. They look in better shape this time and can certainly mix it with the best.
9th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 2 2026

Lancashire

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Lancashire underperformed, finishing 5th despite having a strong squad. They've really impressed with signings over the winter, enrolling quality players at this level, so I see them doing a lot better than 5th.
15th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 1 2026

Warwickshire

Outright Winner

25 EW

Warwickshire finished down in 5th last season but were hampered by drawing nine games, the most in the league. They've strengthened their squad and look capable of a better performance this season.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026

Max Verstappen

50 WIN

Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.

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