tadley

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tadley's Tips

11th April 2026
11:00 Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad T20

Punjab Kings

Win Match

50 WIN

Sunrisers are a tad one-dimensional with the tactic of playing gung-ho cricket and trying to post a bigger total than their opponents, with batting being an afterthought. It worked against struggling KKR but didn't work against RCB and LSG. Punjab can also go hard and probably have more depth to their batting. They are not as one-dimensional as Sunrisers, though, and on a tricky wicket they have a clear edge.
12:30 Arsenal v Bournemouth

Draw

50 WIN

Arsenal are nine points clear at the top and will be eyeing another win in this one. It may not be straightforward, though, against a hard-to-beat Bournemouth side. Bournemouth have lost just seven games in total, only bettered by the top three. They come into this unbeaten in 11, so could give Arsenal a good game.

Over 3.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

Arsenal's last game against Everton surprisingly had no bookings. Their previous games had 5 and 6 yellow cards, plus one red. Bournemouth are averaging over 2 cards per game, and the reverse fixture between these two went over.
12:30 Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town

Bristol Rovers

50 WIN

Bristol Rovers are on a roll after winning five on the trot and seven of their last eight. Their one loss was to leaders Bromley 1-0, and a second-half sending-off couldn't have helped. Crawley have the worst away record in the league, so I think Rovers will win again.
12:30 Istanbul Basaksehir v Genclerbirligi

Eldor Shomurodov

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Gençlerbirli?i haven't scored in any of their last 6 games, so I like a strong Ba?ak?ehir to score first. Striker Selke and attacking midfielder Shomurodov are the biggest threats for the hosts. However, Selke has been in wretched form in his last 4 games, barely threatening and being pulled off early. Shomurodov has also struggled of late, but he has 16 this season and should get his chances against this poor Gençlerbirli?i side.
12:30 QPR v Bristol City

Bristol City 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

QPR have won three of their last four, but beating struggling Leicester and Portsmouth and stuttering Watford is nothing to get excited about. 78-year-old Roy Hodgson was an eye-opening appointment for Bristol City, and he had a dream start, beating both Charlton and Sheffield United. He has made them into a solid defensive outfit, and they will be tough to beat.
14:30 Heidenheim v Union Berlin

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Heidenheim are leaking goals at home, conceding an average of three goals over their last seven games. Heidenheim aren't prolific scorers, but against a poor Union Berlin side they should find the net. Despite their poor form, Heidenheim have scored eight times over their last three home games, so I see goals.
14:30 Wolfsburg v Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Wolfsburg manager Dieter Hecking has been in charge for just three games but has achieved no manager bounce with just one point. They are now winless in 11, picking up just three points. They have the Bundesliga’s worst home record with just nine points. Frankfurt are still in the hunt for a European place and should get something out of this.
15:00 Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Trabzonspor are firmly in the European places after winning six on the trot. That includes a win over leaders Galatasaray. Alanyaspor are pretty ordinary and have just two wins from their last 11. In-form Trabzonspor should get something out of this.
15:00 Aldershot v Gateshead

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Gateshead are a good overs side on the road, with only six games not going over. Aldershot are an impressive overs side, particularly at home, with 16 of their 20 going over and an average of 3.7 goals per game. Over looks the bet.
15:00 Alfreton Town v Oxford City

Draw

50 WIN

Two wins and a draw from their last three have given Alfreton hope of surviving the drop. This is a crucial game for them as they play one of the teams just above the drop zone. A win would lift them to within two points of Oxford City. Beating Oxford won't be easy though, as they too are playing well, being unbeaten in six. An away draw for Oxford City wouldn't be a disaster, so that's how I think it ends.
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15:00 Blackpool v Peterborough

Blackpool #1-0

50 WIN

Blackpool have eased two points away from the relegation zone after some improved results. Their success has been built on keeping a tight defence. Their last four games have seen them win 1-0, 1-0, with a 0-0 draw and a 1-0 loss. Peterborough are usually good for a goal. But a Blackpool side that are tough to break down look capable of eking out another 1-0.
15:00 Brentford v Everton

Draw

50 WIN

Everton did lose 2-0 at Arsenal in their last away game, but they are generally good on the road with the fourth-best record. They were unbeaten in six away games prior to that loss and look capable of sharing the points with Brentford, who are winless in four at home.

Beto

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

Brentford don't keep many clean sheets at home, so I fancy away-day specialists Everton to score. Of their 15 home games they have conceded in 12 of them, including to the bottom two, Wolves and Burnley. Beto has been in and out of the team, but a brace last time against Chelsea should ensure he starts. He's finding his form and looks their most likely scorer.
15:00 Burnley v Brighton

Over 3.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

Although survival is highly unlikely, Burnley will certainly be giving it their all. Expect plenty of challenges that should bring some cards. Brighton are the most booked side with 79 yellows. So 3.5 looks an achievable number.
15:00 Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals T20

Delhi Capitals

Win Match

50 WIN

David Miller made a crazy decision to turn down an easy run on the penultimate ball, which would have guaranteed at least a super over. That decision came back to bite him when they failed to get anything off the last ball. That cost them a third straight win, but nevertheless Delhi have shown that they are a capable side. CSK have had three tough games and lost them all. In game one they were chased down in 12.1 overs and conceded 210 and 250 runs in the next two. I don't trust them with the bat or the ball.
15:00 Chester v AFC Fylde

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Fylde aren't champions yet, but they are 6 points clear despite struggling for clean sheets of late. In their last 12 games, they have kept only one clean sheet. On the flip side, they have failed to score in only four games this season. Chester are the best BTTS home side in the league with an 81% success rate.
15:00 Chesterfield v Tranmere

Chesterfield

50 WIN

Tranmere are just three points above the drop zone but could easily fall into it, as Harrogate and Barrow are showing stronger form. They have just one point from their last 10 games and have lost 13 of their last 15. Chesterfield have climbed into the play-offs after three straight wins and should be capable of beating a side like Tranmere.
15:00 Dumbarton v Stirling

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

It's the fourth league meeting between the pair, with all three previous games ending with both teams scoring. Stirling have a respectable 59% success rate in BTTS, but that is dwarfed by Dumbarton, who have had three-quarters of their games end that way.
15:00 Dundee Utd v Livingston

Dundee Utd -1.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

The final game before the bizarre split. Dundee United now can't finish higher than 7th but will be keen to put distance between themselves and 8th-placed rivals, Dundee. They come into this having won their last two home games, including a fine win over Celtic. Livingston look set for the drop, sitting 11 points adrift of second-bottom. Dundee United should win and could easily win by a couple.
15:00 Elgin v Annan Athletic

Elgin -0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

After getting thumped by East Kilbride, Elgin have responded well, winning four and drawing one of their next five home games. Those wins were all with clean sheets, and I can see them shutting out Annan, who have just 12 road goals this season. Annan have the worst away record in the league with just 10 points. They've lost five away games on the trot, and a 6 looks likely.
15:00 Hearts v Motherwell

Hearts #1-0

50 WIN

Hearts are one point clear at the top and have been the masters at eking out 1-0 wins. All their last four home games have ended that way, and another wouldn't surprise against stuttering Motherwell.
15:00 Huddersfield v Wycombe

Huddersfield

50 WIN

Two losses on the trot have left Wycombe's promotion hopes looking unlikely. The reason they are outside the play-offs is because of their poor away form. They've won 16 games, but only four of them came on the road. Huddersfield are three points off the play-offs, and it's conceivable that a win could lift them into it. They are solid at home, being unbeaten in 13 at home, and can get the better of poor travellers Wycombe.
15:00 Kelty Hearts v Montrose

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

Kelty are still winless at home, but they have drawn 7, including all their last 5. Of their 7 draws, 5 of them ended 1-1. Montrose have had 4 away 1-1 draws, so I like that option.
15:00 Leicester v Swansea

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Swansea don't do well on their travels, but they did score 4 away at Sheffield United last time. They also play a Leicester side that leak goals. Leicester have just one clean sheet from their last 17 home games. On the flip side, they are a quality BTTS side, with 76% of games ending with both teams scoring.
15:00 Merthyr Town v Macclesfield FC

Macclesfield FC

50 WIN

Merthyr are in freefall after one point from their last five. They are clinging on to the last play-off spot, but it doesn't look good. Selling striker Ricardo Rees to Forest Green at the start of the year clearly hasn't helped, as he banged in 25 goals from 23 matches. Macclesfield had a setback when losing to Chester at the weekend. They are now two points off a semi-final spot and will be desperate to win this one.
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15:00 Oxford Utd v Watford

Draw

50 WIN

Watford have drawn 15 games this season, a total bettered by no team. Oxford United are in the relegation zone, but even a point may lift them out of it. They are winless in four, although they did draw three of those. A draw looks a likely outcome.
15:00 Radcliffe FC v South Shields

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Radcliffe usually score at home, with them scoring in 14 of their last 15 games. On the flip side, they conceded in all but one of those games. South Shields are going for promotion but do have a habit of conceding. Two-thirds of their away games end with both teams scoring, so yes, looks like the option.
15:00 Rotherham v Barnsley

Draw

50 WIN

Wins have been rare for Rotherham this season, which is why they are staring relegation in the face. They have, however, drawn their last three home games and look capable of another. Barnsley are in freefall after no wins in six. Selling their top striker certainly hasn't helped. They have drawn four of those six, though, so the draw today is tempting.
15:00 Shrewsbury v Oldham

Oldham

50 WIN

After a productive February, which saw Shrewsbury win five, they look to have done enough to avoid relegation. It's just as well, as their form since has been poor. They have lost five of their last six, with the only win being over struggling Tranmere. Oldham are the form side in the league and are homing in on the play-offs. Shrewsbury are a weaker side than they have been beating.
15:00 Southampton v Derby

Southampton

50 WIN

Southampton have made their way into the play-offs courtesy of a 13-game unbeaten run, including 10 wins. They come into this on the back of an impressive 5-1 win at Wrexham. Derby have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches, with the one win being over struggling Portsmouth. They don't look capable of beating in-form Southampton.
15:00 Southport v Leamington

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Leamington have leaked 86 goals this season, and away at in-form Southport I can see them at least conceding two. They have, however, scored in their last five games, netting nine times in total. I therefore think the line looks achievable.
15:00 Spennymoor Town v Worksop Town

Spennymoor Town

50 WIN

Spennymoor lost a crucial game 1-0 to Scarborough last time, denting their play-off hopes and improving Scarborough's. That defeat is no reflection of their current form; they were unbeaten in seven before that, winning five. Worksop aren't mathematically safe from relegation, but they should be OK. They won't have the same urgency as Spennymoor, so I think the hosts can edge this.
15:00 Stoke v Blackburn

Draw

50 WIN

Blackburn have pulled 6 points clear of the relegation zone after 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 4. I think they look capable of getting a point off Stoke. Stoke are unbeaten in 5 at home, so this looks drawish.
15:00 Wigan v Mansfield

Draw

50 WIN

Mansfield are stuck in mid-table with little to play for, but despite that they have been tough to beat. They have lost just one of their 9 aways, drawing 5 of them. Wigan are three points above the relegation zone, but wins are few and far between. As much as they'd love to win, it looks tough against a hard-to-beat Mansfield side.
15:00 Woking v Morecambe

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Morecambe are in deep relegation trouble. If they are going to win this, they will probably need a few goals, as they have conceded 90 goals so far. That's possible, as in their last two games they put four past league leaders Rochdale and two past third-placed Carlisle. Woking are a capable side and are expected to win this, so I see goals.

Morecambe 0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Morecambe are in serious relegation trouble and really need to win this. In their last two games they put four past then-league leaders Rochdale in a 4-2 away win and two past third-placed Carlisle. Woking are stuck in mid-table and winless in five, so I like Morecambe with the start.
17:30 Stenhousemuir v Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

The top two meet and leaders Stenhousemuir are the outsiders. In the three meetings so far they are unbeaten, winning two and drawing one. With a draw winning the bet, and Stenhousemuir unbeaten at home since the first game, they look the bet.
18:00 Offaly v Laois

Offaly

FT Result

50 WIN

Offaly finished bottom of Division 2, but it was little wonder as they regularly had players missing, with even 12 missing at times. Laois were a mid-table Division 3 side, and with Offaly's injured players now coming back, they look the stronger side.
12th April 2026
12:00 Birmingham v Wrexham

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Wrexham usually score and have done so in their last 10 away games. Birmingham have scored in all but two home games, so Both Teams to Score looks the most likely outcome.
16:30 VfB Stuttgart v Hamburg

Deniz Undav

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Hamburg have just 11 away goals from 13 games, so Champions League-chasing Stuttgart look the most likely first scorers. Deniz Undav is having a great season with 18 goals in total, bettered only by Kane. He has scored in his last six Bundesliga games, netting seven times in total. During that run he also scored in the Europa League and for Germany despite coming on in the second half. Hamburg have just 11 away goals from 13 games, so Champions League-chasing Stuttgart look the most likely first scorers. Deniz Undav is having a great season with 18 goals in total, bettered only by Kane. He has scored in his last six Bundesliga games, netting seven times in total. During that run he also scored in the Europa League and for Germany despite coming on in the second half.
20:50 US Masters

Justin Rose

1st Round Leader

25 EW

Justin Rose has never won the Masters, but he couldn't have come much closer with three second places and twice losing in playoffs. He is still playing well after capturing the Farmers Insurance this year. He doesn't always bring his A game these days, but you can be sure he's up for this one.
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Chris Gotterup

Top American

25 EW

Chris Gorrell has had a fine year, winning the Sony Open and Phoenix Open. He had a few below-par performances since, but he was a fine sixth last time with a 65 on both Saturday and Sunday. He could easily figure it out this weekend.
22:45 US Masters

Justin Rose

25 EW

Justin Rose has come ever so close to winning the Masters, finishing second three times and twice losing in playoffs. He is still very capable, as seen when capturing the Farmers Insurance this year. I'm expecting another good performance on a course that suits him.

Ludvig Aberg

25 EW

Aberg was leading on the final day last weekend until the rain started to fall. He immediately sliced the ball into two consecutive left roughs and his chances went. He will be keen to put that behind him, and his game looks good coming into the Masters. He has taken part here twice, finishing 2nd and 7th. He seems to relish putting on the fast greens, and his approach shots are an ideal fit as they drop and die.
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10th May 2026
14:00 Pakistan Super League 2026

Lahore Qalandars

Outright Winner

25 EW

It's a chaotic PSL this season with no crowds, just two venues, and substandard players due to them bizarrely scheduling it against the IPL. Qalandars won last season and have won three of the last four. They retain a strong squad. They possibly have the best selection of bowlers, and although the batting could be said to be a bit too heavy, there is quality there. I expect a strong performance from them.
27th May 2026
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026

Gujarat Titans

Outright Winner

25 EW

According to the bookies, Gujarat Titans are the second-worst side in the competition, but I don't see it. Jos Buttler is a concern after a poor T20 World Cup campaign, but he is too good a player to keep playing that badly. I see him enjoying the fresh start. Even if he underperforms, there are enough quality batters in the side to step up. I also like their mix of bowlers and can see them going deep.

Mumbai Indians

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Mumbai Indians look the strongest side on paper and should go well. They had the best net run rate last season but just missed out on the play-offs by one point. They have a wealth of batting talent to choose from, although perhaps they are over-reliant on Bumrah in the bowling department. That may not matter, as I see them posting consistently high scores.
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026 Mumbai Indians

JJ Bumrah

Top Team Bowler

50 WIN

I'm just not convinced by Boult at the moment and think Bumrah is a much more reliable option. You can guarantee he will play his full quota of overs each match and simply looks the best, most consistent wicket-taker.
9th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 2 2026

Lancashire

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Lancashire underperformed, finishing 5th despite having a strong squad. They've really impressed with signings over the winter, enrolling quality players at this level, so I see them doing a lot better than 5th.

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