tadley

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tadley's Tips

13th February 2026
13:30 USA vs Netherlands World Cup

Netherlands

Win Match

50 WIN

USA have lost both games, but that was expected against India and Pakistan. They played OK but never looked like causing an upset. Netherlands, by contrast, really ought to have beaten Pakistan. It was just some hitting and hoping late on and a dropped catch that swung it Pakistan's way. In their other game, they beat Namibia rather cosily. They have never lost to the USA and are looking the stronger side.
16:00 Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Over 22.50

Total Games

50 WIN

Etcheverry is rightly favourite, but this looks far from straightforward. Tabilo is in fine form this year and has a 6-1 winning record on clay. He had a fine win over Fonseca in the last round and looks capable of pushing Etcheverry hard.
18:00 Catalan Dragons v Huddersfield Giants

Over 34.50

Total Points

50 WIN

Both sides had disappointing seasons and will be keen to do better this time. Catalans, who are usually strong at home, looked devoid of confidence and looked largely uncompetitive in too many games. However, one of their better performances was beating Huddersfield 32-0. Being the opening game, I expect them to be fully up for this and look capable of posting a sizeable total against a Huddersfield side that don't look strong in defence. It's no good Huddersfield playing negatively in this one, so they must play aggressively and can add to the tally.
18:00 Provence v Oyonnax

Provence

To Win

50 WIN

US Oyonnax are having a fine season but have won just 3 of their 10 away games. None of those sides are as strong as Provence. Provence have won 8 of their 9 home games and could pull away quite comfortably in this one.
19:45 Hull v Chelsea

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Hull are a good Championship side, but they have seen a downturn in form in their last two games. However, they will surely be up for this, so we may see them at their best. Against what is likely to be a rotated Chelsea side, they can certainly score. Chelsea, even with a second-string side, have the quality and firepower to rip through the Hull defence, so I see goals in this one.
19:45 Pisa v AC Milan

AC Milan

50 WIN

AC Milan are unbeaten on the road and have conceded just 8 away goals all season. Pisa's new head coach, Oscar Hiljemark, didn't have the most impressive first game, drawing 0-0 with bottom side Verona. Pisa are leaking goals and may struggle to break down this impressive Milan defence, so I see an away win.
19:45 Wrexham v Ipswich

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

It's always tricky trying to predict how seriously sides will take the FA Cup, but both of these sides clearly have goals in them. Wrexham failed to score against Millwall at the weekend, but that was the first time they had failed to score at home. Ipswich have scored in 14 of their last 15 games, so I like the Yes option.
20:00 Leigh Leopards v Leeds Rhinos

Leeds Rhinos

To Win

50 WIN

Leigh were a surprise package last season, but Leeds had their number, winning both games. The wins were rather cosy, winning by 8 and 18. I'm not convinced that Leigh will be as strong this season, whilst the Rhinos are looking a well-drilled, quality side and can win this.
20:00 Warrington Wolves v St Helens

St Helens

To Win

50 WIN

Warrington made the Challenge Cup final last season, but their league form was poor. However, they have an impressive record against St Helens, winning six of the last seven meetings. Despite raising their game against the Saints, they look the weaker side this season. St Helens clearly look the stronger side and should end that run.
21:30 Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez

Over 22.50

Total Games

50 WIN

Camilo Ugo Carabelli is in fine form, winning seven matches on the trot, all on clay. In those seven matches he impressed, losing just one set. Baez is a fine clay player but will struggle to brush aside in-form Carabelli in this form. So I like the over.
14th February 2026
15:00 AFC Fylde v Alfreton Town

AFC Fylde

50 WIN

Fylde are in fine form at home, winning six on the trot and scoring five goals in three of those games. Alfreton have just 11 points on the road, so this looks a tough ask to get anything out of this.
15:00 Barrow v Colchester

Colchester

50 WIN

Barrow have lost their last 5 and have just one win from their last 16 games. Colchester are a solid enough side and come into this having won 4 of their last 6. A trip to Barrow looks very winnable for them.
15:00 Bradford v Peterborough

Kyrell Lisbie

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Bradford may be 6th, but they aren't in great form, losing 4 of their last 5. Peterborough are going well on the road, winning 5 of their last 7, so I like them for the first goal. Kyrell Lisbie is in fine form, scoring in 5 of his last 8, including a hat-trick against Wigan. At double figures he is tempting.
15:00 Cambridge Utd v Bristol Rovers

Cambridge Utd

50 WIN

Cambridge suffered a shock defeat last weekend when losing to bottom-side Harrogate. I think it was just one of those games, and they responded well with a comfortable 3-0 win at Crawley. Rovers have improved under Steve Evans, but that has largely been at home. Cambridge have the best home record in the league and should have too much firepower for Rovers.
15:00 Cardiff v Luton

Cardiff

50 WIN

Luton are strong at home but pretty ropey on the road, with just one point from their last six away games. This looks a tough ask for them against leaders Cardiff. Cardiff are strong at home, winning nine and drawing one of their last ten. They average 2.33 goals per home game and should be too strong for Luton.
15:00 Chester v Buxton

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

The stats of Chester's home games and Buxton's away games suggest both will score. 81% of Chester's home games end with both teams scoring, and 77% of Buxton's away games do as well.
15:00 Chippenham Town v Maidstone Utd

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Chippenham are bottom but usually score at home, with them failing to score at home just twice. Subsequently, 11 of their 16 home games have ended with both teams scoring. Maidstone on the road are a good BTTS side, with 10 of their 15 ending that way. I think both teams will score.
15:00 Darlington v Kidderminster

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Darlington have scored in all 14 home games, so I have no worries about them scoring. However, they have only 2 home clean sheets, meaning 12 of the 14 games have ended with both teams scoring. Fifty-eight percent of Kidderminster's games end with both scoring, including the reverse fixture. I therefore like the Yes option.
15:00 Dorking v Farnborough

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Dorking have been banging in the goals at home. Subsequently, 10 of their 15 home games have gone over 2.5 goals. Farnborough on the road are the best overs side, with 11 of 15 going over. This looks like an overs game.

Dorking & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Farnborough aren't a strong side, but they have been scoring on the road, netting in 6 of their last 7. However, winning at Dorking looks a tough ask. Dorking have won their last 10 home games, scoring 2 or more in 9 of them. This looks very winnable for them, but I can see Farnborough scoring.
15:00 Gateshead v Brackley

Brackley -0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Gateshead are on a terrible run of 12 straight defeats. They look there for the taking by Brackley. The fact they are conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game over that run shows how hard it will be to end that run. Brackley are unbeaten in seven but they have drawn their last four. However, this looks a far easier game, so I expect them to come away with all the points.
15:00 Lincoln City v Bolton

Lincoln City 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Bolton are up to third after winning four straight, but winning at Lincoln looks a tough ask. Lincoln are unbeaten in 13, winning 10 of them. They have lost just once at home, and even leaders Cardiff came away from Sincil Bank empty-handed. I can see Lincoln at least getting a draw.
15:00 Marine v Leamington

Marine

50 WIN

Marine are a solid home side and come into this unbeaten in 5 at home, winning three of them. They play the worst side in the league in Leamington, who are winless on the road and average just 0.66 goals per away game. With Marine playing well at home, I don't see them slipping up.
15:00 Merthyr Town v Bedford Town

Merthyr Town & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Merthyr are in a bit of a rut with just one point from their last five. However, I think they will end that run against strugglers Bedford. Despite being down in 18th, Bedford usually score on the road, with 12 of the 16 games ending with both teams scoring.
15:00 Portsmouth v Sheff Utd

Portsmouth 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Sheffield United look a lot stronger under Chris Wilder, but their away results are still iffy, with most of their away wins coming against bottom-three sides. Portsmouth are a tricky side to beat at Fratton Park, with three wins and two draws from their last five. I think they can at least get a draw.
15:00 Preston v Watford

Preston

50 WIN

I'm not having Watford as favourites given their current form. They are winless in six, with two of their three draws coming against bottom-five sides. Preston had a run of three straight defeats but look back on track now with a draw at high-flying Ipswich and a win over Portsmouth at the weekend. I think they are playing Watford at a good time.
15:00 Queen of South v Alloa

Queen of South 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Alloa are winless in 4 on the road, having failed to beat the bottom two, Kelty and Cove. Queen of the South are a tough side to beat at home, so I see them at least getting a draw.
15:00 Sheff Wed v Millwall

Millwall

50 WIN

Poor old Sheffield Wednesday look like they may not even make it to a positive number this season, as they are clearly out of their depth. They have lost their last eight and failed to score a goal in any of them. Millwall are going well in fifth and did what no other side managed at the weekend by keeping Wrexham from scoring at home, winning 2-0. This is a much easier assignment for them.
15:00 Southampton v Leicester

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

The sides met on Tuesday, with Southampton winning a thriller 4-3. I'm expecting goals again in this one. Leicester are the best BTTS side in the league, with an impressive 25 of their 32 games ending with both teams scoring. There may not be seven goals, but I think both will score.
15:00 Stirling v Clyde

Draw

50 WIN

Clyde are the draw specialists, particularly on the road, where they have drawn 6 of their 10 games, including 5 of their last 6. Stirling are poor at home with just one win all season. However, they have drawn half their home games, so I like the draw.
15:00 Tamworth v Aldershot

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Tamworth aren't usually a good overs side, but this game may be the exception. Aldershot are the best overs side in the league, with 22 of their 29 going over and an average of 3.8 goals per game. The earlier game this season between them went over, and I think this will as well.
15:00 Torquay v Maidenhead Utd

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

The reverse fixture between these two went over, and I suspect this will as well given Torquay's home form. Torquay's home games nearly always go over, with only three home games not going over. I therefore see this going over 2.5.
15:00 Wealdstone v York

York

50 WIN

Wealdstone have lost just three times at home, but it's telling who they lost to. They were beaten by Rochdale, Boreham Wood, and Carlisle ??" all top-four sides. They now play second-placed York, who are unbeaten in 20, winning 16 of them. York look capable of winning this with their firepower.
15:00 Woking v Altrincham

Woking

50 WIN

Altrincham have just two away wins and they were against bottom-half sides. They have lost 10 of their 15 away games, so getting something out of this looks tricky. Woking are a mid-table side, but they did have a thumping 4-0 win over promotion-chasing Hartlepool in their last home game. Hartlepool did have a player sent off, but Woking were already 2-0 up by then. This looks winnable for them.
15th February 2026
11:15 Feyenoord v Go Ahead Eagles

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

Go Ahead Eagles are a draw specialist, drawing 7 of their last 8. Four of those draws ended 2-2. Feyenoord are rightly strong favourites, but GA Eagles beat them 2-1 in the reverse fixture. They have been leaking goals at home of late, with 5 of their last 8 seeing them concede two or more, so 2-2 looks a lively option.
17:00 Istanbul Basaksehir v Besiktas

Eldor Shomurodov

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Two sides are playing well, but with the home advantage I give Ba?ak?ehir the upper edge in scoring first. They have been quick out of the blocks of late, scoring the first goal in their last seven games. In terms of the first scorer, it has to be Shomurodov. He is in fine form, banging in 14 this season and scoring in four of his last five.
22:45 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am

Chris Gotterup

25 EW

I'm maybe going to the well too often, but Chris Gotterup has served me well of late, winning 2 of his last three starts. He has never played here, but the course should suit him. He's playing better than ever and must be brimming with confidence.

Jason Day

25 EW

Jason Day rarely has a bad visit here, with his finishes being 4, 11, 5, 2, 4, 4, 7, 24, 6, and 13. That's an impressive run of results, and with him finishing second at the recent American Express, he looks in the form to go close again.

Ryan Gerard

25 EW

Ryan Gerard has come ever so close to winning with three second-place finishes in his last four. In his only other recent result he finished a respectable 11th, and surely a win can't be far away. His approach play is top-notch, as is his SG Putting, which should stand him in good stead around here.

Justin Rose

Top GB and Ireland

50 WIN

This course suits Rose's game, as seen by his win here in 2023, followed by an 11th and third last year. He comes here in fine form after just having won the Masters last time. Going back-to-back is never easy, but he's had a week's rest since then, so should go well.
16th February 2026
20:00 Coventry v Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

The top two meet, but there's no question that Middlesbrough are playing better right now. Coventry's earlier-season form, when they were banging in the goals, has long gone. They are looking very ordinary at the moment and toothless up front. Middlesbrough, by contrast, have won six on the trot and should fancy their chances of at least getting a draw.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026

Max Verstappen

50 WIN

Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.

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