tadley

3

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tadley's Tips

12th February 2026
18:00 Jack Pinnington Jones vs Eliot Spizzirri

Eliot Spizzirri

Win Match

50 WIN

Jack Pinnington Jones is in fine form and had a comfortable win over Coboli in the previous round. However, Coboli is out of form, whereas Spizzirri is a rising star in fine form. He had a tricky-looking match in the previous round against Duckworth but overcame him comfortably in straight sets. I give him the edge.
18:15 Luke Littler vs Luke Humphries

Luke Littler

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

Littler has had the better of Humphries of late, winning the last four meetings. As good as Humphries is, Littler has the edge. The main worry is that he has been getting stick from the crowd, which can be off-putting. Hopefully the crowd will behave and we see the top two at the top of their game. In that case, I give Littler the edge.
18:45 Michael van Gerwen vs Josh Rock

Michael van Gerwen

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

MVG is playing well again, as seen with his win in Week 1. He also played well in the two Players events in between Nights 1 and 2. Rock has an excellent A game but often comes unstuck against elite players. MVG should have the edge.
19:15 Jonny Clayton vs Stephen Bunting

Jonny Clayton

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

Although playing OK, Bunting is not playing at elite standards. He seems incapable of posting a three-figure average, whereas Clayton posted an impressive 109 last week against Rock. He clearly has a higher ceiling than Bunting of late, so has the edge.
20:00 Brentford v Arsenal

Arsenal

50 WIN

Brentford are a strong home side but had a disappointing 2-0 loss at home last time to Forest. They now have a tougher assignment against title favourites Arsenal. Arsenal have won their last two comfortably, beating Sunderland 3-0 and Leeds 4-0. They look in fine goal-scoring form at the moment, so I give them the edge.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

Arsenal can be big corner winners, with them winning 12 in their last away game. This is the third time this season on the road that they have reached double figures. Brentford are solid enough corner winners at home, and the reverse fixture at Arsenal went over.
20:00 York Knights v Hull KR

Hull KR -24.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

I simply don't see the newly promoted sides making much impact this season, as they look short of the level needed. Taking on champions KR in their opening game looks a bridge too far, as KR name a strong side and are capable of beating even half-decent sides by this margin.
21:30 Canterbury vs Wellington One Day Match

Canterbury

Win Match

50 WIN

Canterbury have won all their games except a loss to Wellington. Even then they posted 258, but Wellington had the advantage of chasing on a batter-friendly wicket. I think they get their revenge today.
21:30 Central Districts vs Otago One Day Match

Central Districts

Win Match

50 WIN

Otago have lost all six completed games, with their only points coming from abandoned games. In the completed games they were always second best. Central Districts have won five of their eight games and are looking the stronger side.
21:30 Northern Districts vs Auckland One Day Match

Northern Districts

Win Match

50 WIN

Auckland started strongly, winning their opening two games, including a win over Northern Districts. However, their form has nosedived since, with five defeats from their next six. Northern Districts, by contrast, have improved with two wins from their last three; the loss was to group leaders Canterbury. They have the momentum to win this, with home advantage.
13th February 2026
13:30 USA vs Netherlands World Cup

Netherlands

Win Match

50 WIN

USA have lost both games, but that was expected against India and Pakistan. They played OK but never looked like causing an upset. Netherlands, by contrast, really ought to have beaten Pakistan. It was just some hitting and hoping late on and a dropped catch that swung it Pakistan's way. In their other game, they beat Namibia rather cosily. They have never lost to the USA and are looking the stronger side.
19:45 Wrexham v Ipswich

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

It's always tricky trying to predict how seriously sides will take the FA Cup, but both of these sides clearly have goals in them. Wrexham failed to score against Millwall at the weekend, but that was the first time they had failed to score at home. Ipswich have scored in 14 of their last 15 games, so I like the Yes option.
14th February 2026
15:00 AFC Fylde v Alfreton Town

AFC Fylde

50 WIN

Fylde are in fine form at home, winning six on the trot and scoring five goals in three of those games. Alfreton have just 11 points on the road, so this looks a tough ask to get anything out of this.
15:00 Barrow v Colchester

Colchester

50 WIN

Barrow have lost their last 5 and have just one win from their last 16 games. Colchester are a solid enough side and come into this having won 4 of their last 6. A trip to Barrow looks very winnable for them.
15:00 Bradford v Peterborough

Kyrell Lisbie

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Bradford may be 6th, but they aren't in great form, losing 4 of their last 5. Peterborough are going well on the road, winning 5 of their last 7, so I like them for the first goal. Kyrell Lisbie is in fine form, scoring in 5 of his last 8, including a hat-trick against Wigan. At double figures he is tempting.
15:00 Cardiff v Luton

Cardiff

50 WIN

Luton are strong at home but pretty ropey on the road, with just one point from their last six away games. This looks a tough ask for them against leaders Cardiff. Cardiff are strong at home, winning nine and drawing one of their last ten. They average 2.33 goals per home game and should be too strong for Luton.
15:00 Chester v Buxton

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

The stats of Chester's home games and Buxton's away games suggest both will score. 81% of Chester's home games end with both teams scoring, and 77% of Buxton's away games do as well.
15:00 Darlington v Kidderminster

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Darlington have scored in all 14 home games, so I have no worries about them scoring. However, they have only 2 home clean sheets, meaning 12 of the 14 games have ended with both teams scoring. Fifty-eight percent of Kidderminster's games end with both scoring, including the reverse fixture. I therefore like the Yes option.
15:00 Gateshead v Brackley

Brackley -0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Gateshead are on a terrible run of 12 straight defeats. They look there for the taking by Brackley. The fact they are conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game over that run shows how hard it will be to end that run. Brackley are unbeaten in seven but they have drawn their last four. However, this looks a far easier game, so I expect them to come away with all the points.
15:00 Marine v Leamington

Marine

50 WIN

Marine are a solid home side and come into this unbeaten in 5 at home, winning three of them. They play the worst side in the league in Leamington, who are winless on the road and average just 0.66 goals per away game. With Marine playing well at home, I don't see them slipping up.
15:00 Merthyr Town v Bedford Town

Merthyr Town & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Merthyr are in a bit of a rut with just one point from their last five. However, I think they will end that run against strugglers Bedford. Despite being down in 18th, Bedford usually score on the road, with 12 of the 16 games ending with both teams scoring.
15:00 Portsmouth v Sheff Utd

Portsmouth 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Sheffield United look a lot stronger under Chris Wilder, but their away results are still iffy, with most of their away wins coming against bottom-three sides. Portsmouth are a tricky side to beat at Fratton Park, with three wins and two draws from their last five. I think they can at least get a draw.
15:00 Preston v Watford

Preston

50 WIN

I'm not having Watford as favourites given their current form. They are winless in six, with two of their three draws coming against bottom-five sides. Preston had a run of three straight defeats but look back on track now with a draw at high-flying Ipswich and a win over Portsmouth at the weekend. I think they are playing Watford at a good time.
15:00 Queen of South v Alloa

Queen of South 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

Alloa are winless in 4 on the road, having failed to beat the bottom two, Kelty and Cove. Queen of the South are a tough side to beat at home, so I see them at least getting a draw.
15:00 Sheff Wed v Millwall

Millwall

50 WIN

Poor old Sheffield Wednesday look like they may not even make it to a positive number this season, as they are clearly out of their depth. They have lost their last eight and failed to score a goal in any of them. Millwall are going well in fifth and did what no other side managed at the weekend by keeping Wrexham from scoring at home, winning 2-0. This is a much easier assignment for them.
15:00 Stirling v Clyde

Draw

50 WIN

Clyde are the draw specialists, particularly on the road, where they have drawn 6 of their 10 games, including 5 of their last 6. Stirling are poor at home with just one win all season. However, they have drawn half their home games, so I like the draw.
15:00 Tamworth v Aldershot

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Tamworth aren't usually a good overs side, but this game may be the exception. Aldershot are the best overs side in the league, with 22 of their 29 going over and an average of 3.8 goals per game. The earlier game this season between them went over, and I think this will as well.
15th February 2026
11:15 Feyenoord v Go Ahead Eagles

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

Go Ahead Eagles are a draw specialist, drawing 7 of their last 8. Four of those draws ended 2-2. Feyenoord are rightly strong favourites, but GA Eagles beat them 2-1 in the reverse fixture. They have been leaking goals at home of late, with 5 of their last 8 seeing them concede two or more, so 2-2 looks a lively option.
17:00 Istanbul Basaksehir v Besiktas

Eldor Shomurodov

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

Two sides are playing well, but with the home advantage I give Ba?ak?ehir the upper edge in scoring first. They have been quick out of the blocks of late, scoring the first goal in their last seven games. In terms of the first scorer, it has to be Shomurodov. He is in fine form, banging in 14 this season and scoring in four of his last five.
22:45 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am

Chris Gotterup

25 EW

I'm maybe going to the well too often, but Chris Gotterup has served me well of late, winning 2 of his last three starts. He has never played here, but the course should suit him. He's playing better than ever and must be brimming with confidence.

Jason Day

25 EW

Jason Day rarely has a bad visit here, with his finishes being 4, 11, 5, 2, 4, 4, 7, 24, 6, and 13. That's an impressive run of results, and with him finishing second at the recent American Express, he looks in the form to go close again.

Ryan Gerard

25 EW

Ryan Gerard has come ever so close to winning with three second-place finishes in his last four. In his only other recent result he finished a respectable 11th, and surely a win can't be far away. His approach play is top-notch, as is his SG Putting, which should stand him in good stead around here.

Justin Rose

Top GB and Ireland

50 WIN

This course suits Rose's game, as seen by his win here in 2023, followed by an 11th and third last year. He comes here in fine form after just having won the Masters last time. Going back-to-back is never easy, but he's had a week's rest since then, so should go well.
16th February 2026
20:00 Coventry v Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

The top two meet, but there's no question that Middlesbrough are playing better right now. Coventry's earlier-season form, when they were banging in the goals, has long gone. They are looking very ordinary at the moment and toothless up front. Middlesbrough, by contrast, have won six on the trot and should fancy their chances of at least getting a draw.

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