tadley

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tadley's Tips

2nd May 2026
08:30 Parramatta Eels v New Zealand Warriors

New Zealand Warriors

To Win

50 WIN

Eels are a solid enough side going forward, but it is far too easy for teams to break them down. They have conceded 279 points, the most in the league, even more than the hapless St. George Illawarra. Warriors are looking a quality side and should have few problems regularly breaching the Eels' defence.
12:30 Hull v Norwich

Norwich 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

The game is priced up purely on the motivation rather than the form of the teams. Hull are going for the last play-off place with Wrexham; the teams are level on points and Hull are just one goal worse off. Hull were in the play-offs, but no wins in six have seen them fall outside. They would obviously love a comfortable win in this one, but they aren't displaying that kind of form. Norwich have nothing to play for, but it can be folly to write off sides that seemingly have no motivation. They are playing well, with eight wins from 12, and can ruin Hull's play-off hopes.
12:30 Ipswich v QPR

Ipswich

50 WIN

A win guarantees Ipswich promotion, and anything else most likely condemns them to the play-offs. They seem to be playing against an ideal side in QPR that has nothing to play for and has lost three straight coming into this. Ipswich won 4-1 at Loftus Road earlier in the season and look set to win again.
12:30 Millwall v Oxford Utd

Millwall

50 WIN

Although Oxford won two of their last four, it wasn't enough to avoid relegation, as West Brom rallied well to climb clear of them. Subsequently, there is nothing on the line for them apart from pride in this one. That's not the case for Millwall, though, who can still make the automatic promotion spot if Ipswich don't win. They must win this, though, so I don't see them slipping up.
12:30 Portsmouth v Birmingham

Portsmouth

50 WIN

Aside from a spell of three wins in January when bringing in players, Birmingham have been bitterly disappointing on the road. If the league were based purely on away fixtures, they would be in the relegation zone. Portsmouth have fought well to climb away from the relegation zone. Even when they were safe last time, they came away from Stoke with a 3-1 win. They clearly aren't a side on the beach and should win this last game in front of their home fans.
12:30 Sheff Wed v West Brom

Sheff Wed

50 WIN

It's been a terrible campaign for Wednesday with just one win all season. Unless they win this, they will finish on an embarrassing negative points total. They would obviously love to win this to restore some pride and aren't without a chance. They have drawn three of their last four home games, so it's not a big step up to turn one into a win. They could be playing an ideal team in West Brom. West Brom have ended the season well and have pulled to safety away from the relegation zone. Now they are guaranteed Championship football next season, they can relax and surely won't have the same motivation as in recent games.
12:30 Swansea v Charlton

Yes

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

Swansea have conceded in 15 of their 22 home games. The teams they kept a clean sheet against were almost exclusively bottom-eight sides. Admittedly, Charlton are also in the bottom eight, but they are finding the net regularly now. They have scored in their last seven away matches, including against quality sides like Middlesbrough and Southampton. I see both teams scoring.
12:30 Wrexham v Middlesbrough

Wrexham

50 WIN

The only game in the Championship with something on it for both sides. Middlesbrough can still gain an automatic promotion spot, but it's a long shot. They must win and hope Ipswich lose and hope Millwall don't win. With those two sides having very winnable home games, I doubt even the most optimistic Middlesbrough fan will believe they can do it. Wrexham have play-off ambitions, sitting in the last play-off place. To make the play-offs they simply have to match Hull's performance. That's a tricky thing to do, and their style of play is to go for goals and not sit back, so I see them winning this.
15:00 AFC Wimbledon v Huddersfield

Draw

50 WIN

Huddersfield took a 4-1 pounding by Mansfield at home last time and have just one win from their last nine. They have been very drawish, though, with seven of those games ending as draws. Wimbledon were in awful form, picking up just one point from nine games. However, they won away at Wigan last time to guarantee League One football last season. With nothing on the line, the draw appeals.
15:00 Barrow v Newport County

Newport County

50 WIN

Two wins from their last three have lifted Newport out of the relegation zone. They can't rest on their laurels, though, as they can still be leapfrogged by Harrogate and Crawley. A draw may not be enough, so they really need to win this. Barrow aren't relegated yet, but they need to win and for Crawley and Harrogate to lose, and they need an eight-goal swing with Crawley. I doubt they really believe; they are an inferior side to Newport.
15:00 Bolton v Luton

Luton

50 WIN

It's doubtful if a draw would be good enough to lift Luton into the play-offs, and even a win might not be enough. Although Bolton are a good side, they are safely in the play-offs and have bigger games ahead. Luton bring serious momentum into this, being unbeaten in 10 and winning 7 of their last 9.
15:00 Brentford v West Ham

Draw

50 WIN

Brentford are just one point off a European spot, but a run of five games without a win has hindered their ambitions. Prior to their loss to Man United last time, they drew five on the trot. Although they are outsiders in the odds, I think they will have to settle for a draw today against a West Ham side desperate for points. West Ham have climbed out of the relegation zone with seven points from their last three games. Although they would love all three, they may have to settle for one against a solid Brentford side.
15:00 Cove Rangers v East Fife

Cove Rangers

50 WIN

A massive game at the bottom, with the loser maybe having to play a relegation playoff depending on the Hamilton result. In terms of the winner, Cove look most likely. East Fife were playing solid football from August to December, winning half of their 14 games. That's a long distant memory now, though, as their form since has been awful. They have won just one of their last 11 and two of their last 19. Cove have bettered that tally in just four games, winning three of their last four.
15:00 Fleetwood Town v Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

MK Dons have already secured promotion but would love to go up as champions, so they will be giving this their all. They may need more than one goal to win, though, as Fleetwood have failed to score in only three home games. MK Dons have failed to score in only two away games and scored 2 or more in 15 of their 22 away matches. I think they will do enough to win this.
15:00 Gillingham v Shrewsbury

Draw

50 WIN

Shrewsbury seem to go through phases of good football and poor football. At one time they lost five on the trot and at another time won five on the trot. Their last two games have ended in draws, and another wouldn't surprise me. Gillingham are odds-on favourites but are in no sort of form, with one win from their last 12. I can see both settling for a draw.
15:00 Harrogate Town v Barnet

Barnet & Yes

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

Four wins on the trot have given Barnet a slight chance of winning this, but they must win, and goal difference could be crucial. They have been banging in the goals, scoring 16 in those four games. They don't keep many clean sheets, though, with none in their last five and one in their last 10. Harrogate have won their last two, giving them a chance of survival. They've now scored in their last five, so I think they score again. But it may not be enough against a rampant Barnet.
15:00 Inverness CT v Hamilton

Hamilton

50 WIN

With the two teams above them, East Fife and Cove, playing each other, a win would guarantee Hamilton's survival. However, they couldn't have had a harder game than against leaders Inverness. Inverness will be fully motivated, as a loss could see them fall out of the only automatic promotion spot. Hamilton are way better than their league position suggests, with a 21-point deduction being the reason they are in that position. They've won three on the trot coming into this and simply look better than 7.0 shots.
15:00 Leyton Orient v Burton Albion

Draw

50 WIN

If Exeter win, Leyton Orient must also win to avoid being relegated. Winning looks tough, though, considering Orient's form. They are winless in seven, losing four of them, including to second-bottom Rotherham. Burton won't be a pushover, as they are unbeaten in five. However, they did draw four of them, and that is what I expect in this one.
15:00 Northampton v Plymouth

Plymouth

50 WIN

Northampton are long relegated and are ending the season in awful form, losing 10 straight. Plymouth, by contrast, are in fine form with just one loss from 11. They still have a chance of making the play-offs but must win this and hope other results go their way. I don't think they will slip up in this one.
15:00 Oldham v Accrington Stanley

Draw

50 WIN

Oldham were in sensational form in February and March, but now that promotion is off the table their form has deteriorated badly. They are winless in five, losing their last four. Accrington have been in wretched form of late, with just one win from their last 14. They have arrested their slide, though, drawing the last two, and I think they can get another win in this one.
15:00 Port Vale v Lincoln City

Draw

50 WIN

I expected Vale to come away from play-off-bound Stockport with a draw mid-week, but they did even better by winning the game. They may be relegated, but they are playing solidly right now. Their last seven games' form reads W3 D2 L2, with the two defeats being a 1-0 loss to Cardiff and a 2-1 loss to in-form, promotion-chasing Plymouth. Lincoln have won the league and reached the 100-point mark. After such a fine season, ending with a draw wouldn't be a disaster.
15:00 Reading v Blackpool

Blackpool

50 WIN

Reading are safely in mid-table with nothing on the line in this one. They appear to be somewhat on the beach with no wins in five. Blackpool also have nothing on this game, but unlike Reading are finishing the season well, winning six of their last eight and eking out four 1-0 wins from their last six.
15:00 Stevenage v Wigan

Stevenage

50 WIN

Three wins at the start of the month lifted Wigan clear of the relegation zone. Now safe, their performances seem to have fallen off, with a draw against Port Vale and a loss at home to struggling Wimbledon last time. Stevenage occupy the last playoff spot but are in danger of being leapfrogged by Luton and Plymouth. I expect at least one of them will win, meaning Stevenage simply must win this to make the play-offs, and I suspect they will.
15:00 Swindon v Chesterfield

Draw

50 WIN

The equation is simple. If Swindon win, they make the play-offs. But if Chesterfield draw or win, they do. Chesterfield bring better form, with 4 wins and 2 draws from their last 6, and will be more than happy with a point today. Swindon have lost their form at the wrong time, drawing at home to struggling Accrington and losing 4-0 to Grimsby and 3-0 to Colchester. They do have home advantage, but I don't see that being enough to beat in-form Chesterfield, who I believe will get the draw they need.
15:00 Tranmere v Grimsby

Grimsby

50 WIN

Tranmere aren't safe from relegation even though they are fifth-bottom, as they can still be overtaken by three teams below them. They are in desperate form, with one win from their last 14 and two wins from their last 21. Seventeen of those games ended in defeat. They have a daunting task in this one against a quality Grimsby side. Grimsby are already safely in the play-offs, but they are a far superior side to Tranmere, and it will be disappointing if they underperform in this one.
3rd May 2026
16:45 Turkish Airlines Open

Darius van Driel

25 EW

Darius van Driel's best performances have come on tree-lined fairways. It's little wonder, as he always ranks high in the driving accuracy rankings. His one win on the DP Tour came at the tree-lined Kenya Open, and it's not the only time he's performed well on courses such as this. He was a solid 8th last time, so he carries momentum into this.

David Puig

50 WIN

Liv star David Puig tries his luck at the Turkish Open, and in fairness he is clearly the best player in it. He warmed up for this with a 2nd to Rahm in Mexico City, and if he produces his game he is surely the one to beat.
22:45 Cadillac Championship

Chris Gotterup

25 EW

Chris Gotterup had a great start to the year, mopping up both the Phoenix Open and the Sony Open in Hawaii. Although his form has tailed off a tad??"24th, 25th, and 6th in his last three starts is hardly disastrous. This venue looks far more up his street, though. The key to winning here is simply hitting it long and being consistent with the putter. Gotterup is one of the longest strikers on the tour, so he should be vying for another win.

Gary Woodland

25 EW

This is a monster of a course with five long par 5s, one being 667 yds. Even the par 4s are long, with six of the eight being over 450 yds. It's therefore an obvious advantage to hit the ball long here, and what's more, it's not a particularly tricky course. That makes Gary Woodland of interest, with only Potgieter hitting the ball longer on average. He brings strong form into this with a solid 8th last time out and a win at the Houston Open in late March.
10th May 2026
14:00 Pakistan Super League 2026

Lahore Qalandars

Outright Winner

25 EW

It's a chaotic PSL this season with no crowds, just two venues, and substandard players due to them bizarrely scheduling it against the IPL. Qalandars won last season and have won three of the last four. They retain a strong squad. They possibly have the best selection of bowlers, and although the batting could be said to be a bit too heavy, there is quality there. I expect a strong performance from them.
27th May 2026
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026

Gujarat Titans

Outright Winner

25 EW

According to the bookies, Gujarat Titans are the second-worst side in the competition, but I don't see it. Jos Buttler is a concern after a poor T20 World Cup campaign, but he is too good a player to keep playing that badly. I see him enjoying the fresh start. Even if he underperforms, there are enough quality batters in the side to step up. I also like their mix of bowlers and can see them going deep.

Mumbai Indians

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Mumbai Indians look the strongest side on paper and should go well. They had the best net run rate last season but just missed out on the play-offs by one point. They have a wealth of batting talent to choose from, although perhaps they are over-reliant on Bumrah in the bowling department. That may not matter, as I see them posting consistently high scores.
14:00 Indian Premier League 2026 Mumbai Indians

JJ Bumrah

Top Team Bowler

50 WIN

I'm just not convinced by Boult at the moment and think Bumrah is a much more reliable option. You can guarantee he will play his full quota of overs each match and simply looks the best, most consistent wicket-taker.
19th July 2026
15:30 All Ireland Hurling Championship 2026

Clare

Win Hurling

25 EW

Clare won in 2024, but last year it didn't go well. Severe injury problems probably took their toll. They look in better shape this time and can certainly mix it with the best.
9th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 2 2026

Lancashire

Outright Winner

50 WIN

Lancashire underperformed, finishing 5th despite having a strong squad. They've really impressed with signings over the winter, enrolling quality players at this level, so I see them doing a lot better than 5th.
15th September 2026
11:00 County Championship Division 1 2026

Warwickshire

Outright Winner

25 EW

Warwickshire finished down in 5th last season but were hampered by drawing nine games, the most in the league. They've strengthened their squad and look capable of a better performance this season.
6th December 2026
13:00 Formula 1 Drivers Championship 2026

Max Verstappen

50 WIN

Verstappen kept himself in the title race last season despite clearly not having the best car. That speaks volumes about his skill, which should see him once again go well this season. Despite him slamming the new regulation, it should be to his benefit as he has the skills to master the new designs. The Red Bull has looked very promising in practice, so I rate him as the most likely winner.

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