the prophet
Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.
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the prophet's Tips History
21 January 2025
18:45 6:45 Newcastle
Magic Topissima
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
The 3yo filly was 3rd over this C/D on her second career start. She then made the running over this 7f C/D last month, tired and outpaced in the final furlong. She was coming off a 6 month break and she was up against a much higher calibre of rivals than what she faces on her handicap debut tonight. Attractive mark tonight and can improve for that last run.
17:45 5:45 Newcastle
Breakwater
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
The 4-year-old just missed out on a place three weeks ago - a little keen that day. It was just his fourth career start and his handicap debut. Plenty of room for more improvement. The quality of that race seems decent for this level. He has a 2 lb lower mark now. He is a big gelding who might be seen to better effect over this straight 8f trip.
17:15 5:15 Newcastle
Giselles Izzy
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@17.00
Lose
-50
The 6yo was not disgraced when outpaced late on in her last two races, last time out was against much stronger rivals than what she now faces. She was also only beaten just over a length during Dec, off a 7lb higher mark and against rivals rated 67-73. Her rivals today are rated 45-53.
16:40 4:40 Newcastle
Raft Up
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
The 4yo was a little disappointing on turf last year, but a 4-month break saw him in a better light on his recent return to AW. He wasn’t beaten far and was hampered when making a forward move that day. He can take a step forward, and he was a 6f C/D winner last spring off a 10lb higher mark.
16:03 4:03 Newcastle
Joolianoss
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
The 4-year-old was a nice winner three weeks ago and can follow up. It was just his second handicap run. The field came home in single file. He was returning from a 4-month break and can improve again. The 2nd and 3rd came into the race in good form.
Subtotal-100
20 January 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Desert Master
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
The 4yo has found his form, winning 2 of his last 3 races and is only slightly higher in the weights now. He won a stronger handicap last time out under tonight’s jockey, it was an apprentice handicap and he’s actually 2lb better off at the weights tonight. Shouldn’t be far away.
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Camden Flyer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Win
12
The 3yo was staying on late in the day over 6f earlier in the month at this track. This handicap is not as strong. A better effort after two below-par runs and a 3lb lower mark tonight. She has run well over this 7f trip previously. She was only beaten just over a length on her handicap debut, four runs back, and that effort was off a 10lb higher mark.
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton
Paulie Two Lockers
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Excuses for the 3-year-old last time out. Not beaten far in his two previous races. Lower grade rivals tonight. Down to a handy-looking mark, and his rivals look very poor.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton
Pessoa
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
The 6yo has gone close in his last two races, in good shape. He is a previous C/D winner and was rated 10lb higher last autumn. Capable jockey in the saddle and his 7lb claim is a big plus.
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton
Tyke
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Backed to form last week for the 5-year-old, beaten just a neck over this 6f C/D and 3 lengths clear of the rest - high RPR rating earned. Same mark tonight and worth another chance.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton
Walk The Moon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Win
25
The 5-year-old was poor in the second half of last year, but a wind operation saw him run a much better race two weeks ago. He was a close 2nd over this 12f C/D, clear of the rest, and the winner was a 3L classified stakes winner last week.
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton
Showhound
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
The 4-year-old was back to form 9 days ago, with a win after stepping up to this 7f trip. Consistent yardstick in second that day. Just a 2lb higher mark tonight and he was rated 6lb higher as recently as November.
16:45 4:45 Kempton
Mighty Gurkha
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
The 7yo ran well for a long way two weeks ago, hitting the front inside the final 2f before getting tired and has a nice 5lb lower mark now. That handicap was a 60-72 contest, now in a 46-62 handicap. He was coming off a 15 month break for that run and can take a step forward. Group class as a youngster and now running in a class 6.
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16:15 4:15 Kempton
Savannah Smiles
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@34.00
Lose
-50
The 5-year-old mare has had her run blocked in her last two races. Her last run on the polytrack was during September and was a close 3rd that day - effectively 12lb lower mark now with a good apprentice in the saddle. She might surprise at a big price.
15:05 3:05 Kempton
Sold The Dream
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@8.00
Void
0
Just five runs from the 4-year-old last year. Back from a break with much improved form in two runs at the end of the year, both over this 8f C/D. Losing by a nose on his last start, in a 14-runner contest, clear of the rest, the form boosted by the winner since. He comes here fresh after a 10-week break. Good low draw.
14:30 2:30 Kempton
Blue Laced
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.33 on 19/01 at 17:530.35 deduction for Pearl Of Hope@2.62 withdrawn at 08:130.00 deduction for Pink Petunia @11.000 withdrawn at 08:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.33 x (1-0.35) = 3.16
@3.16
Win
108
The 3-year-old filly was a good 3rd of 13 over this 11f C/D five weeks ago - decent rating. She won’t need much improvement to land this average-looking maiden race.
14:00 2:00 Kempton
Just A Spark
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
The 5-year-old mare progressed nicely early last year on the AW, with 3 wins in a row and only beaten by a length in a £77K handicap. Now in a £6K contest with a 4lb lower mark. Two recent return runs will have her sharper - too slowly away last time. She can front run and is drawn in stall 1 for this 6f handicap. She is a previous C/D winner.
Subtotal-255
19 January 2025
16:30 Ipswich v Man City
Man City
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
City have almost a fully fit squad after a spell with plenty missing. They've started scoring again. Not the greatest at the back but should have the measure of 3rd bottom side Ipswich.
15:40 3:40 Windsor
Not Sure
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@11.00
Lose
-50
The 9yo is quite consistent, win or place in 8 of 12 runs over fences. Some useful bits of form last winter. His return run last month would have been a good prep for today. On a handy looking mark now and he has no problem with this 28.5f trip on soft ground.
15:20 3:20 Fakenham
Moviddy
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG
@13.00
Win
35
The 9-year-old was a respectable 3rd last time out, coming here fresh after a 7-week break. She ran a few nice races in defeat during her last campaign, posting high RPR ratings. She was rated 14 lb higher last spring.
15:05 3:05 Windsor
Djelo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Big runs in his two races this winter. Beaten 3/4L on his return during Nov in a good quality chase race. Impressive 6L win six weeks ago, useful rivals behind in that Grade 2. More to come from the 7yo.
14:45 2:45 Fakenham
Laravie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Ex Irish trained 6yo mare, just three hurdle runs. She lost by under a length on her second, decent looking form. UK debut last week over a short trip looked like a prep run for her handicap debut today. She’ll be happier back over this 20f trip, decent opening mark.
14:30 2:30 Windsor
Gwennie May Boy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
The 7-year-old was progressive in his last campaign. His last run last spring was a win in a 21-runner £42K handicap by 7 lengths, and he has plenty of ability. Two return runs this winter, falling on his return, but was a very close 3rd five weeks ago in a good contest, and he was 14 lengths clear of the rest. The 24-furlong trip on soft ground is ideal. Strong jockey change for today.
14:05 2:05 Thurles
Fil Dor
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
The 7yo is in good form, 2nd, 1st and 2nd, this winter, mixing it in decent company. A couple of good RPR ratings. The quicker ground is a positive for this Grade 2 chase. He has age on his side and can progress. Most of his rivals today look to be recovery missions.
14:00 Everton v Tottenham
Tottenham
50 WIN
@2.80
Lose
-50
Just 15 league goals in 20 games is a poor stat from Everton. They need 10 men behind the ball just to stay in games. Spurs are the 3rd highest scorers in the league. Son, Solanke, Maddison, and Kulusevski should get some joy today.
14:00 Man Utd v Brighton
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Utd won in midweek, but they were outplayed at times by bottom club Southampton and are no sure thing today. Only Liverpool and Arsenal have lost fewer games than Brighton this season. They are unbeaten in their last five league games and can get something from this match.
14:00 Nottm Forest v Southampton
Southampton
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
A great season so far for Forest, not great going forward but they are organised, give little away and grind out results, however, they had a hard game in midweek against Liverpool and might be a little off the pace today. Southampton can take some belief from the away defeat to Man Utd in the week, a game they could easily have won. 15/2 for the away win is worth a shout.
13:55 1:55 Windsor
Sans Bruit
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Three runs before Christmas for the 7-year-old. Excuses last time out. A respectable 3rd in his two previous runs, both £50K contests, both runs on good ground. Runs in a £26K handicap today. The slower ground could be a big positive today. He won a 15-runner £56K handicap last spring by a cozy 4L on soft ground.
13:20 1:20 Windsor
Hartington
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG
@8.00
Win
10
Four starts over hurdles for the 6-year-old. He was a 4-length novice hurdle winner during November. The runner-up was 29 lengths clear on his next start but fell at the last. The selection lost by a length in a Listed contest last time out. The winner boosted that form on Friday. His opening handicap mark today could be a little lenient.
12:45 12:45 Windsor
Jubilee Alpha
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
The 6yo mare was a close 2nd of 16 in a Grade 2 bumper race last spring. Two starts over hurdles, both in Listed company. Beaten a length in the first of those. She was much better than the winning 3L distance three weeks ago, pulling clear with the minimum of fuss. She can follow up in this Listed despite the penalty.
Subtotal-339
18 January 2025
17:30 Arsenal v Aston Villa
Arsenal
50 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-50
Villa look like a side who are hanging on after their busy Champions League campaign. Arsenal looked decent in the recent home win over Spurs and are finding a way to play without Saka.
15:50 3:50 Taunton
The Cox Express
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
A big run from the 6yo on his chase debut four weeks ago, 2nd of 15, beaten just a length and well clear of the rest. A very capable apprentice in the saddle now and is effectively 5lb better off now. He looks a nice bet in this low grade handicap chase.
15:32 3:32 Ascot
Jonbon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.67
Win
33
Hard to oppose the 9yo. He has 11 wins from 13 over fences, runner-up twice and multiple Grade 1 wins to his name. Three of his last four runs have produced huge RPR ratings of 172+. He was an 8L Grade 1 winner six weeks ago.
15:05 3:05 Haydock
Punta Del Este
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Two solid return runs during Nov, not beaten far in good quality handicap hurdle races. He comes here fresh after a 2 month break, proven on heavy ground, trained at a top yard, similar mark today and should go well.
15:00 Brentford v Liverpool
Draw
50 WIN
@5.25
Lose
-50
A mini blip from Liverpool, drawing their last two league games and losing an EFL Cup SF. Brentford can be hit or miss, but they do have the 3rd best home record and have scored 8 more in home games than any other rival. They have two top strikers in Wissa and Mbeumo. They can get something from this game.
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15:00 Leicester v Fulham
Fulham
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Fulham will be annoyed after dominating in the midweek 3-2 defeat to West Ham. They will be keen to put things right against Leicester, who sit in the bottom three and are poor at the back.
15:00 West Ham v Crystal Palace
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
West Ham got lucky in their home midweek 3-2 win over Fulham after being outplayed in that game by Fulham. Palace, with just 2 league defeats in their last 13 league games, know how to keep teams out. They might not get the win, but can pick up a point.
14:55 2:55 Navan
He Fitz In
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
The 9-year-old was a decent 2nd of 14 and 4th of 19 over hurdles in his last two runs. Capable over fences and nicely weighted for his return to fences judged on his chase form last spring. Good jockey in the saddle - very weak-looking handicap.
14:50 2:50 Ascot
Altobelli
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@7.00
Win
300
The 7yo has plenty of ability, 2 wins from 7 and some big runs in defeat. He was only beaten a length this time last year in an £85K handicap off his current mark - the winner that day was only beaten 3L in the Champion hurdle at the festival 3 months later. He was beaten just a length five weeks ago after coming off a 10 month break, which should set him up nicely for a shot at this £15K handicap hurdle.
14:30 2:30 Haydock
Mr Vango
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG
@5.00
Win
200
The 9yo is in good shape, stays all day, and loves the heavy ground, ticking all the right boxes. Back from an 8 month break when winning the London National at Sandown last month. Similar trip for this handicap chase and a six week break will have him fresh. Question marks against a few of his rivals.
14:15 2:15 Ascot
Flegmatik
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-50
A better run from the 10yo four weeks, after a couple of below par runs, only 1/2L from being placed. He couldn’t match the front two that day but the 1st and 2nd represent top level handicap form. Now 5lb better off with the jockey claiming 3lb. He ran a few nice races in the early part of last year while rated much higher than his current mark.
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14:05 2:05 Taunton
Jesuila Des Mottes
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 12.00 takenBOG
@23.00
Win
660
Just four career runs over hurdles for the 6-year-old. Third in her last two races, well clear of the rest five weeks ago in a novice stakes when going close in a novice stakes, beaten by two potentially nice types trained at good yards. Her opening handicap mark gives her a chance in this weak-looking contest. Unexposed over this longer trip.
13:55 1:55 Haydock
Royal Infantry
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.67
Lose
-50
The 6yo was a Listed bumper winner early last year. He has 2 wins from 2 over hurdles, impressive 8L winner seven weeks ago over this C/D, in a useful looking contest. He is clear on the ratings for this Grade 2 hurdle and is proven on heavy ground.
13:40 1:40 Ascot
Kargese
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
The 5yo ran in four Grade 1 juvenile hurdles early last year, 2 wins and 2 very close defeats. She’s coming off an 8-month break, but top Irish trainer Willie Mullins will have her in good shape for her return. Her rivals in this Grade 2 hurdle look very average.
13:05 1:05 Ascot
In dOr
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@3.75
Win
137
Lightly raced 7-year-old. Showed ability over hurdles last spring. He made a winning chase debut late November after coming off a 7-month break. The form has been boosted by the runner-up since. Higher mark for this handicap, but he looks the type with more to offer.
12:30 12:30 Ascot
Mondo Man
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Lightly raced 4yo. He has 1 win from 7, but he ran to a good level in two French Group 1 flat races last summer, earning a huge 111 rating. If he transfers that form to jumping he would be a standout in this juvenile hurdle for 4yo runners. On the plus side, he’s now at the very good Gary Moore yard, who have an excellent record with these types of runners and you could expect him to be ready.
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12:30 Newcastle v Bournemouth
Draw
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Newcastle are on a good run, but Bournemouth look underestimated. Now unbeaten in their last 9 league games, they are dangerous going forward and can get something from this game.
Subtotal823
17 January 2025
17:30 5:30 Southwell
War Hawk
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Two starts for the selection, posting a nice rating on debut when 3rd. Something amiss on his next start. He's had a nice 11-week break since that last run - his debut was on this 'tapeta' surface. Trained at a top yard. The market vibes are good in this average-looking maiden race.
15:35 3:35 Windsor
Kabral Du Mathan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Four runs for the 5yo over hurdles, form 1112. Unlucky four weeks ago in a high quality 12 runner £71K, losing by shd, and 17L clear of the rest. Higher mark for this handicap but he does look like a nice prospect.
15:10 3:10 Market Rasen
Elusive Feeling
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
The 5yo mare is making her debut in this Listed NHF bumper race. Nicely bred, trained at a very good yard who are happy to not give her a prep run. Decent EW value.
15:00 3:00 Windsor
Langer Dan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
The 9-year-old was below par in his two return runs, but I don’t think you can write him off in this class 2 hurdle race. He had two narrow defeats last spring at the highest level, and those ratings are standout. He receives a nice 4 lb pull from his two main market rivals.
14:45 2:45 Newcastle
Metallo
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 16/01 at 09:030.10 deduction for Kings Code@9.00 withdrawn at 13:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.00
@10.00
Win
20
The 4yo has 1 win from 6. He raced in Group company as a 2yo. Had his problems and was off the track for 15 months before two recent return runs. He seems in good shape, a close 3rd in a decent contest four weeks ago - good rating for that run - doing his best work at the finish and is unexposed over this longer trip. Same handicap mark for this contest and very possible he can take another step forward.
14:35 2:35 Market Rasen
Empire Steel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Three big runs from the 11yo in his last campaign, 3rd, 2nd and 1st, good RPR ratings. That level of form would make him a player in this veterans’ handicap chase. No problem with the 24f trip on slow ground. He should be sharper after a decent 3rd finish on his return run six weeks ago.
14:25 2:25 Windsor
Mayhem Mya
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Win
30
A confidence boosting winning run over hurdles four weeks ago, which should set her nicely for this handicap chase. She ran some nice races over fences in her last campaign and is now weighted to run a big race.
14:10 2:10 Newcastle
Coachello
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
Ex-Irish trained 7yo. Not great form last year, but finished on a winning note last month. Something to build on, and he is a previous 6f C/D winner. He was rated 14lb higher this time last year. Strong jockey booking, looks overpriced.
13:50 1:50 Windsor
Personal Ambition
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
The 6-year-old was beaten just 2 lengths in a Grade 2 four weeks ago, not helped by a bad error at the last. It was a useful-looking contest and the third was well beaten. He has a chance in this Grade 2 chase. The favorite ran in a quality race last time out but wasn’t convincing, RPR ratings just average. Worth taking on.
13:25 1:25 Market Rasen
Jetoile
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
The 10-year-old wasn’t great in his two runs before Christmas, but the cobwebs should be blown away. He went close three runs back, in a high-quality 17-runner £52K Irish handicap chase last May. This veterans’ chase is a lower quality affair. He was rated 10lb higher this time last year, and his class can win the day.
13:15 1:15 Windsor
Herakles Westwood
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 17/01 at 10:000.20 deduction for Johnnywho@4.50 withdrawn at 10:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.20) = 3.40
@3.40
Win
120
Lightly raced 8-year-old. He won three in a row over hurdles last winter. He switched to fences this winter. A close 2nd on his chase debut during November, after coming off a 7-month break. He looked good when winning by 4L+ four weeks ago, jumped well, had some useful types behind who were well beaten that day. The jockey didn’t need to get serious that day and had plenty left in the locker when crossing the line. Higher mark now but plenty of room for improvement in the chasing game.
12:40 12:40 Windsor
Excello
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Two very narrow defeats at the end of last year from the 6yo, after coming off an 8 month break. Beaten by two runners who are rated 130 and 132. That level of form makes him a big player in this class 2 novice hurdle. He’ll be fresh after a 5 week break, no problem with the slow ground and he receives weight from his four rivals.
Subtotal-280
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
