the prophet

Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.

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the prophet's Tips History

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30 April 2025
15:55 3:55 Ascot

Breckenbrough

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

The 3yo filly was a good 2nd of 10 three weeks ago. Seeing the race out well, having the measure of the rest but not quite getting to the smart looking winner - who holds a future Group 1 entry. Improvement is likely and she can be a big player in this novice stakes.
15:23 3:23 Ascot

Duran

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

The lightly raced 4yo progressed nicely last year, winning two of his final four starts. He was a good runner-up two weeks ago after coming off his winter break - didn’t have the clearest of runs. Same mark for this handicap, can improve for the run and has a strong jockey change for today.
14:50 2:50 Ascot

Dash Dizzy

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

Just three runs last year for the 3yo colt, improvement with each start. He was 3rd in a Group 1 when last seen - soft ground - no chance behind the smart 120 rated winner but just behind a useful 114 rated O’Brien runner. Any improvement from his 7 months off the track would make him a player in this Group 3 contest.
14:15 2:15 Ascot

Divine Comedy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

The favorite for this Listed contest is top class but is an 8-year-old now. He’s coming off a 7-month break, and he did have a couple of blips last year. The selection has improved with age. Beaten just a short head three weeks ago in a Listed contest and has fitness on his side. The 2-mile trip on quick ground is ideal, and top jockey Ryan Moore takes over in the saddle.
13:40 1:40 Ascot

Docklands

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Not seen since Dec but the 5yo is trained at an in form yard and he does go well when fresh. Loves the fast ground and the Ascot track. Runner-up in a Group 1 at the Royal meeting last year and should be a big player in this Listed contest.
13:10 1:10 Ascot

Dickensian

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

A nice debut win from the 2yo two weeks ago, never in trouble when winning by over a length, high RPR rating - a useful looking yardstick in second, who has boosted the form since. He should go well in this conditions race, the experience is a positive as plenty of his rivals are making their debut.
29 April 2025
21:00 9:00 Wolverhampton

Alabama Belle

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Just four career runs for the 4yo filly and room for more improvement. Beaten just over a length on her handicap debut, at this track, seeing the race out nicely. She’s had a nice 3 month break, she has a 2lb lower mark now and the extra furlong could help.
1 member found this comment useful
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Startling

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

The 3yo filly has run well this year. Only beaten a length last week. Same mark but 5lb better off with a good apprentice in the saddle. Nice price with only 3 rivals tonight.
17:45 5:45 Brighton

Professor Tickle

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

0

The 4yo is a previous 6f C/D winner. He ran a nice race over this C/D two weeks ago for a new yard, after coming off a 3 month break, front ranked and holding every chance inside the final furlong, outpaced late on. Something to build on, a 3lb lower mark now and he was rated 15lb higher last summer.
1 member found this comment useful
17:15 5:15 Brighton

Havana Mojito

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG

@4.00

Win

150

A big run from the 4-year-old two weeks ago, after coming off a 6-month break. Beaten just a neck over this 8f C/D and 4 lengths clear of the rest. You would hope he can take a step forward from that run, and a 2lb higher mark might not stop him.
17:03 5:03 Nottingham

Kebili

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Three starts for the 3yo filly, two runs on turf. Beaten 3L on her debut in a decent maiden, staying on well. Up with the pace for a long way on her second start - the winner that day now rated 99. Trained at a good yard and given 7 months off the track to strengthen. An opening handicap mark of 67 should give her a chance in this average looking contest.
1 member found this comment useful
15:18 3:18 Nottingham

Expressionless

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

The 5yo ran a nice race earlier in the month after coming off a 6 month break, 3rd of 14, staying on well from off the pace. This longer trip will suit him, a winner over this 14f trip on fast ground last year in a class 3 contest and runs off the same mark for this class 4 contest.
1 member found this comment useful
14:08 2:08 Nottingham

Calafrio

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

A big run from the 4yo filly two weeks ago, after coming off a 5-month break. She was second of 17, beaten just nk and 3L clear of the rest. Just a 2lb higher mark for this handicap and improvement is very possible. A tick in the right box is that she ran well on g/f ground last year.
28 April 2025
19:00 7:00 Windsor

Spirit Of The Bay

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

The 7-year-old mare wasn’t great last year for her new yard, but she was only beaten around a length last August. She ran quite a few nice races as a 4-year-old and 5-year-old, including on quick ground, and her racing mark now is around 20 lb lower. She had a 6-month break, and I’ll take a chance that the trainer has fixed any problems.
1 member found this comment useful
18:30 6:30 Windsor

Promethean

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced 4yo. Four runs last year, three decent efforts, only beaten a length in a £36K handicap. Solid return run last month in a 21-runner £39K handicap - nothing went right in the race. Now dropping down from a class 2 into a £5K class 4 contest, still on a decent mark, strong jockey change, and the quick ground could be a big positive.
16:40 4:40 Ayr

City Of Strangers

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Four career runs for the 3yo filly. She was an impressive winner on her handicap debut last week, winning the 15 runner contest by 5L, eased down at the finish. A 6lb higher mark might not stop her in this contest.
16:25 4:25 Windsor

Cupola

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Three career runs for the 3yo filly, all on the AW, going close in two of her races - good RPR rating last time out. Decent opening handicap mark. Her breeding does suggest she can find improvement now switching to turf.
16:05 4:05 Ayr

Starliner

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo enjoyed the return to turf two weeks ago, after a spell on the AW. He was a good 3rd of 13 over this 7f trip. The three runners around him at the finish were rated 84, 86, and 87. He now faces rivals rated 61-74 and is 5lb better off at the weights with a good apprentice booked for the ride.
15:30 3:30 Ayr

Curran

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo has 2 wins from 11. Lightly raced last year, struggled off a high mark but he was 3rd over this 10f C/D last summer off a 10lb higher mark. He had a wind op over the winter. Far too keen four weeks ago on the AW on his return from a 6 month break, and hampered late on when still in the mix. Worth another chance in this weak looking contest.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Lingfield

Kitty Furnival

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

The lightly raced 4yo filly finished last year in good form, two wins and two near misses - four good RPR ratings. A 12f trip on the polytrack is ideal. She’s returning from a 4 month break but was a smart winner last autumn after a similar break. Big player off her current mark.
14:00 2:00 Ayr

White Umbrella

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Good run from the 6yo mare three weeks ago, beaten around a length in a 13-runner contest. A wide draw saw her coming from the rear that day. It was her first run after a 5-month break and she can improve for it. Just 1 win last year but plenty of near misses while rated much higher than her current mark. Good jockey booking for this apprentice riders’ handicap and he can still claim a very useful 7lb.
1 member found this comment useful
27 April 2025
18:45 6:45 Southwell

Gibside

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@10.00

Lose

-50

The 6-year-old is an interesting runner. Won or placed in 17 turf races. Back from a 6-month break three weeks ago, he made his AW debut at this track over 14f. Stayed on well from off the pace to be a good second, running in a fast time with a good RPR rating. Slightly longer trip for this handicap, just a lb higher mark, and no reason why he can’t build on that last effort.
18:15 6:15 Southwell

Northern Spirit

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

The 5-year-old improved in the second half of last year and continued the good work earlier in the month after coming off a 4-month break. Still plenty to do 2 furlongs out but worked his way through runners, winning a shade cozy at the line. That was over 5 furlongs and he is a previous 6 furlongs C/D winner. Could be more to come from this one.
17:45 5:45 Southwell

Invitorio

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

The 3-year-old has 1 win from 4 starts. A nice run three weeks ago in a decent-looking handicap, after coming off a 6-month break. Still a good way back turning into the straight but just a neck behind the runner-up at the finish. Something to build on and runs off the same attractive low mark.
16:45 4:45 Southwell

Waardah

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Just two runs from the 3yo filly last year. A nice debut win followed by a respectable run in Listed company. She can be better than her opening handicap mark of 88 and she does receive a nice 14lb age allowance from her older rivals.
16:15 4:15 Southwell

Orchard Keeper

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Good stats from the 4yo filly, win or placed in 6 of 8 races. The only real blip was her debut. A big run three weeks ago after coming off a 6-month break, only beaten a length in a decent contest. Trained at a top yard with more improvement possible. Weighted to go well and no problem with this Tapeta surface or the 12f trip.
15:45 3:45 Southwell

Tourist

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

A consistent 4yo. He was a nice winner three weeks ago over this 5f trip, fast time and earning a high RPR rating, the 2nd and 3rd have run well since. It was a first run for the good Cowell yard and he was coming off a 7 month break. Every chance to continue the progress.
15:15 3:15 Southwell

Jimmy Speaking

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

The 4-year-old won 2 from 7 last year. He earned a high RPR rating on his final last year, when a close 3rd at this track. He was 3rd over this C/D three weeks ago - decent looking form. He was coming off a 5-month break that day, and every chance he can take a step forward from that run. Weighted to go well.
26 April 2025
16:45 4:45 Sandown

Dr Eggman

Daily Racing

Three runs this year for the 5yo, after coming off a 10 month break. Decent maiden hurdle form, 2nd of 21 then 1st of 17. Runner-up in a novice hurdle last time out, losing out on the run in to a good yardstick and he did lose a shoe. Every chance off an opening handicap of 133, no problem with the 20f trip and better ground.
1 member found this comment useful
16:10 4:10 Sandown

Resplendent Grey

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

240

Just five starts over fences for the 7yo, still unexposed. He was a good 4th of 18 at the festival and has no problem with this 3m 4f trip. He’s had a six week break to freshen up. I like the fact that his best RPR rating came on better ground during Nov in a useful Listed contest, beaten 1/2L, splitting two rivals rated 147 and 154. His current handicap mark of 142 should give him every chance.
1 member found this comment useful
15:50 3:50 Haydock

Asinara

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

The 4yo filly has just 1 win from 8 but was only out of the front three when last seen - she posted high RPR ratings in her three previous races. No problem with the quick ground and still on a handy mark. The yard has been in good form this year. She’s coming off an 8 month break and every chance she has improved since her last run.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Sandown

Blueking Doroux

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG

@11.00

Win

500

The 6yo was 4th in this race last year, beaten on the run-in, a couple of jumping errors not helping that day. Four runs this campaign, going close in Grade 2 and Grade 1 company. Ground against him last time out but he has been kept fresh with a 2 month break. Rated to be a big player.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Sandown

Pic DOrhy

Daily Racing

The 10-year-old has the second highest rating in this Grade 2 chase. Suited by the better ground. He has 2 wins from 2 this campaign. He won a Grade 1 by 10 lengths last time out. He’s had a nice 10-week break, and freshness can win the day.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Leicester

Billyjoh

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Respectable run from the 5-year-old four weeks ago, after coming off a 5-month break. Didn’t land a blow but stayed on nicely in that 19-runner contest and can take a step forward today. He was a close 3rd of 25 last August in the £129K Stewards' Cup handicap and has a 3lb lower mark now. He likes the quick ground and can be a player in this £25K contest.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Sandown

Classic Anthem

Daily Racing

The 7-year-old has taken well to fences this campaign, progressing nicely, form 2022-21. He won a decent-looking handicap over this C/D last time out, winning by 6L and another 10L back to the 3rd. He’ll be fresh after a 7-week break. Still on a handy low mark despite a rise in the weights.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Sandown

Serious Challenge

Daily Racing

Smart on the flat, rated 100. Four starts over hurdles, winning his last three races. He had a nice prep two weeks ago, never in trouble when winning a useful novice hurdle under a big weight, winning by 2L and sprinting through the line. No problem with the better ground. An opening handicap mark of 128 could be lenient.
1 member found this comment useful
25 April 2025
15:35 3:35 Sandown

Windlord

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Four runs for the 3yo last year and he progressed nicely. A close 3rd in a Group 2 on his final start, the 1st and 2nd have both gone on to win Group 1 races. Solid form. Should be a big player in this Group 3.
15:00 3:00 Sandown

Alcantor

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

French raider. Solid form from the 4yo last year in Group 2 and Group 1 company, finishing the year with a 4L Group 3 win. Fitness should be spot on after a return win in a Group 3 four weeks ago. Strong jockey booking for this Group 2 contest.
14:40 2:40 Perth

Heard That

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 24/04 at 12:500.00 deduction for Wearelongterm@29.00 withdrawn at 07:050.10 deduction for Next Left @9.000 withdrawn at 07:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.1) = 6.85

@6.85

Win

292

The 6yo has progressed nicely over fences in this campaign, winning two of his last five starts. Below par last time out but has been given a 2 month break to freshen up. He lost by 1/2L two starts back, splitting two rivals who have gone on to much better things. Weighted to run a big race and top jockey Sean Bowen takes over in the saddle.
14:25 2:25 Sandown

Arabian Crown

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo has 4 wins from 6 on turf. Had his problems, just one run last year, but it was a 3L win in a Group 3 over this 10f C/D. He was 4th in Meydan last month in a Group 2, which should sharpen him up for this Group 3 contest. Ryan Moore booked for the ride.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Perth

Inis Oirr

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

The 8yo has not been at his best this year but the handicapper has given him a chance. He won the £52K Edinburgh National just over a year ago by a huge 21L. Just a lb higher mark for this £15K Highland National.
13:58 1:58 Doncaster

Harswell Ruby

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

300

A couple of decent runs from the 3yo filly towards the end of last year. A nice return run 9 days ago - after a 5 month break - 2nd of 12 only losing by a shd, but earning a huge RPR rating, the front two pulling 6L clear of the rest. She can improve for the run and is running off the same mark in this handicap.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Sandown

Thunder Wonder

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

The 3yo colt has 2 wins from 5 on turf. Impressive 5L+ handicap winner last week, had some decent rivals pushing a long way from home. Same 8f trip and similar going conditions for this handicap. Higher mark might not stop him in this handicap. Due to be racing off a 4lb higher mark in future races.
24 April 2025
16:20 4:20 Beverley

Alfie Boy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

The 4-year-old ran well in the first half of last year. Not so great later in the year and maybe should have been given a break earlier. However, no ill effects two weeks ago after coming off a 4-month break, beaten just a neck by the 2nd and 3rd in a 13-runner contest. Facing much lower-rated rivals now and the selection was rated 13 lb higher at one point last year.
1 member found this comment useful
16:12 4:12 Warwick

Rangatira Jack

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Lightly 7yo. He has got his act together recently, only beaten 2L last month. Three weeks ago, he had the field strung out when winning by a cozy 6L. Higher mark in this handicap, but he is looking progressive.
1 member found this comment useful
15:47 3:47 Beverley

Zous Juice

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Five career runs for the 4-year-old. Just average last year in four races, but a few winners have come out of those races. He returned last month after 8 months off the track, only 9th of 21 runners. A few runners from the race have run well since, but he started slowly, still at the rear entering the final furlong but stayed on nicely. Possibly better than the actual stats as all the action was on the far side and he raced up the near side. Something to build on, facing much lower-rated rivals now and has a 3lb lower mark.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Perth

The Sainted Canary

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed 6yo. Decent bumper form. Just three runs over hurdles. He won a 14-runner maiden hurdle on his second start - the 3rd has won a race since. He was a runner-up in a novice hurdle seven weeks ago, only 2L behind the winner off level weights. The winner was a smart Nicholls-trained 143-rated runner, who was only beaten 3/4L recently in a Grade 1 at Aintree. The selection now makes his handicap debut off a very attractive 113 rating.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 Beverley

Fierce

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

The 5-year-old made a debut for a new yard last month after coming off a 5-month break. He was beaten just a neck in an 11-runner AW handicap despite not much going right for him in that race. Something to build on.
1 member found this comment useful
23 April 2025
19:50 7:50 Lingfield

Okami

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

The 5-year-old has 3 wins from 12 on the AW. A respectable run over this 6f C/D last time out, early March, always playing catch up after a slow start, didn’t land a blow but saw the race out well. He was coming off a break that day and can take a step forward. Facing lower-rated rivals now and down to a handy-looking mark - he was rated 18lb higher on his return this time last year.
1 member found this comment useful
17:05 5:00 Perth

Euchan Falls

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

The 8yo hasn’t been at his best in this campaign but he has raced mostly over fences and was a runner-up two starts back. He was 2nd of 11 at this track this time last year, over hurdles, in a much stronger handicap than this race. He has a 10lb lower mark now. A good jockey booking for this amateur riders’ contest and she can still claim a useful 3lb.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Ludlow

Yccs Portocervo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

The 10yo is rated to go well in this hunter chase. Two runs this spring after coming off a 7 month break. Had an excuse last time out when running over the Nations fences in a decent contest, late error ending his chances. In much calmer waters now. Big player if showing the form he showed in the first half of last year. Good jockey booking.
1 member found this comment useful
16:35 4:35 Catterick

Sassy Glory

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

A few near misses from the 4yo filly last year and she has ability. Trained at a good yard and her recent 4 month break should have her freshened up. This is a weak looking handicap and she’s weighted to go well.
16:22 4:22 Perth

Sunday Soldier

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

The 7yo mare was progressive in her last campaign, winning 5 in a row. Something amiss last time out but has been given a seven week break to refresh. She had been a runner-up in 3 of her previous 4 runs. Beaten 2L off her current 119 rating during Nov, behind a runner now rated 13lb higher. She was a runner-up during Feb in a 6 runner Listed contest, with three of her rivals rated 138-145 that day. Every chance off her current mark.
16:04 4:04 Catterick

Jenni

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 22/04 at 16:410.10 deduction for Red Mirage@7.00 withdrawn at 08:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.10) = 15.40

@15.40

Win

47

Just 1 win for the 4yo filly last year, but plenty near misses and she has ability. Her win did come off her current mark, over this 7f trip and on fast ground. Below par three weeks ago in a 15 runner handicap, but she was coming off a break, a debut for a new yard and most of her rivals were rated 79-87. She should be better for the run, her highest rated rival now is 74 and she has a good apprentice in the saddle claiming a useful 5lb.
1 member found this comment useful

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