the prophet

Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

the prophet's Tips History

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26 July 2024
20:55 8:55 Chepstow

Timely Escape

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Seven career runs for the 4yo/ a decent effort two weeks ago for a new yard - making the running - going as well as any entering the final 2f before getting tired - it was over an unsuitable 12f trip and soft ground - and he was coming back from a 10 month break/ he should be better for the run - 10f and fast ground will suit him tonight/ he wasn’t beaten far last August in a handicap over this 10f trip - under similar fast conditions - a stronger contest than this race tonight - he has a 9lb lower mark now/ he might go well at a big price.
20:45 8:45 Sandown

Warriors Dream

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Five runs for the 3yo colt/ two near misses before winning three weeks ago/ front running did the trick as he was a very cosy 5L winner/ higher mark might not stop him now he's got his act together.
20:25 8:25 Chepstow

Crocus Time

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

The 3yo hasn’t done a lot wrong in her three turf runs this year/ she ran well in her previous turf start - quick ground - 4th of 10 but her run was blocked a furlong out/ she was 2nd of 12 last week/ her RPR rating are decent for this low level/ she still on a handy mark/ she looks overpriced in this weak looking contest.
20:20 8:20 York

Make It Easy

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG

@8.00

Win

10

The 3yo filly was rated 5lb higher at the end of last year/ back to form four weeks ago - over this 5f trip on quick ground - a very close 3rd losing out in the last strides - the 2nd and 4th have given the form a nice boost since/ the jockey’s 5lb claim should put her firmly in the mix tonight.
20:10 8:10 Sandown

Game Set

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.50

Lose

-50

The 4yo has 2 wins from 5/ two runs this year - can take another step forward/ beaten just 2L last time out in a much stronger handicap than this race tonight - the form boosted by the 1st and 2nd who have both won since/ he’s still unexposed - he’s had a nice 6 week break - he has a 2lb lower mark tonight.
19:55 7:55 Chepstow

Hawajes

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

5

The 4yo has gone close in 2 of his last 3 runs/ 2nd of 9 on turf last time out - in a similar 0-50 classified stakes - earning a good RPR rating - staying on well from the rear/ he can build on that effort/ just two starts on tuft and is unexposed on grass/ he could be a big player tonight if he takes to the quick surface.
19:50 7:50 York

Bolsena

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Four runs this year for the 3yo filly/ a nice 3L maiden winner on her return/ she was a close 3rd and 2nd in her next two races - both Listed races - the form of both those races have been given a nice boost since/ excuses on slow ground three weeks ago/ she can fine more improvement on this quicker ground tonight/ she received a nice 9lb age allowance from five older runners/ she doesn’t have a lot to find on the ratings from the very short priced favourite in this Listed contest.
19:35 7:35 Sandown

Lone Piper

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Nicely bred 3yo - four career runs/ losing by a hd on his handicap debut three weeks ago - that form is looking very strong now/ open to plenty more improvement and just a lb higher mark now.
19:20 7:20 Chepstow

Magical Merlin

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Three runs this year for the 4yo/ excuses last time out - slow ground in an amateur riders’ handicap/ he was a good staying on 3rd of 9 in his previous/ lower mark now - drop in class from his three return runs - fast ground a positive - plenty of support in the market.
19:15 7:15 York

Kuwait City

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Four runs this year for the 4yo/ good form in his two fast ground runs - a winner on his return off his current mark - every chance last time out in a decent contest - better than the bare stats - stuck out widest near the far side while the main action came up the near side/ rated 8lb higher last summer/ every chance against these rivals.
19:05 7:05 Sandown

Whispering Royal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

The 4yo has 1 win from 7/ three flat runs this year - 3rd in his last two starts/ he ran over this 14f C/D three weeks ago - picking up and hitting the front entering the final 2f - only to caught out in the last 50 yards/ there is room for improvement and he might be held on to a little bit longer tonight.
18:50 6:50 Chepstow

Four Adaay

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

The 6yo mare is back in form/ a close 2nd of 10 two starts back/ beaten a length four weeks ago - however - she came with a nice run but hit a wall a furlong out - full of running and the jockey had to sit and suffer all through the final furlong/ she raced off a 72+ rating for most of last year - 8lb lower mark now and she looks a nice bet.
18:40 6:40 York

Praetorian

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Two runs from the 2yo colt - a close 3rd of 16 on his debut - 2nd of 9 four weeks ago and well clear of the rest/ a few of well beaten runners from his last race have done well since - the winner from that race has since gone very close in a Group 2/ I feel the rating people got their stats wrong about that race/ he looks a nice bet in this novice stakes.
18:30 6:30 Sandown

Too Sweet

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

The 2yo filly was bought for £39K as a yearling - then sold for a huge £280K at the 2yo breeze up sales/ good yard and jockey/ she’s making her debut tonight - you would expect a good level of fitness from her/ this maiden race has an average look to it.
18:15 6:15 Chepstow

Cuban Star

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

The 2yo is making his debut tonight in this maiden race/ the form of the five runners with experience is poor/ he’s nicely bred/ the small yard trainer does know how to win with his 2yo runners/ he won’t need to be special to land this weak looking maiden race.
18:05 6:05 York

Le Rouge Chinois

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced - consistent 4yo/ decent AW form over the winter/ excuses on slow turf ground last time out/ he won his previous race which was a first run on quick turf ground - the form has been boosted by the runner up since/ slightly higher mark tonight - however - he has a strong jockey booking - this is a weak looking race - he is proven over this 16f trip.
17:55 5:55 Sandown

Just An Hour

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo wasn't great last time out - has had a six week rest to sort himself out/ respectable in his two previous turf runs this year - decent RPR ratings/ three starts back he was beaten 3L in a 0-85 rated handicap - effectively 11lb better of now with the jockey claiming 5lb - he’s running in a 0-72 contest tonight.
17:40 5:40 Chepstow

Bantry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

The 5yo can be a little hit or miss - he has run well in 2 of his 4 turf races this year - a win plus a near miss when not having a clear passage/ he acts on fast ground - still on a decent mark - this is a very low grade contest/ I don’t think the very short priced favourite will like this quick ground.
17:30 5:30 York

Tanmawwy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Five career wins for the 6yo - four of those on quick ground/ he’s been disappointing in the last 12 month but shaped better three weeks ago with a good staying on 4th of 11 from the rear/ this time last year he won against rivals rated 86-93 - today he faces rivals rated 67-81 and is 17lb lower from his win last year.
25 July 2024
20:30 8:30 Yarmouth

Mythical Guest

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Lightly raced 4yo/ back from an 8 month break with a big run six weeks ago - 2nd of 17 in a £52K class 2 handicap on g/s ground/ earning a good RPR rating/ just a lb higher mark tonight and you would expect some improvement after the return run/ his highest RPR rating last year came on this quick g/f ground - which is a positive for tonight.
20:20 8:20 Leopardstown

Quiz Test

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Five runs for the 4yo last year/ form 31333/ a little disappointing on his return during May - sent off as the fav/ a 10 week break - good 3lb claiming jockey - longer trip - should all help his chances tonight/ his rivals don’t look a great bunch.
20:00 8:00 Yarmouth

Oneforthegutter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Two runs since Jan for the 5yo - two good RPR ratings in defeat - his fitness should be spot on now/ a close 2nd of 12 two weeks ago over this 14f trip - in a quality £52K class 2 handicap/ he’s 2lb better off at the weights tonight with a good apprentice in the saddle/ nine of his rivals that day were rated 88-102/ his eight rivals tonight are 73-84.
19:50 7:50 Leopardstown

La Vita Nova

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Two runs for the 3yo filly/ not beaten far on her debut - solid form/ never in trouble when winning a maiden race three weeks ago - a good yardstick in 2nd and 3rd/ not a lot between these five runners - the selection is lthe east exposed and does have a pull in the weights,
19:35 7:35 Wexford

Hollow Spark

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Just 1 run for the 7yo mare last year - but she’s returned with three good runs this year/ over longer trips her last starts - the drop down to 16f could be a good move/ 3rd of 16 over this trip on her return early June - after 15 months off the track - only beaten 2L - the form looks solid for this level.
19:30 7:30 Yarmouth

Thunder Moor

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Win

480

Better form this year from the 4yo/ back to back wins in Bahrain earlier in the year/ vet excuse last time out/ plenty to like about his previous run in a quality class 2 handicap - a very close 3rd over this 5f trip on similar fast ground - the 4th and 5th have both won since - the 1st and 2nd have both run big races since/ strong jockey booking for tonight and he looks overpriced in this class 3 handicap.
19:20 7:20 Leopardstown

Shamsuddin

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

Three runs for the 3yo this year/ he was a cosy 3L winner of a 14 runner maiden race on the AW two weeks ago/ better judged on his two previous tuft runs - 2nd of 15 and 2nd of 14 behind two winners who are both rated 90/ his handicap mark of 85 tonight looks handy/ question marks against all his four rivals tonight.
19:05 7:05 Wexford

Hatfield Hammer

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Three handicap runs for the 5yo/ a close 6th of 16 in his previous race - losing by just 1/2L two weeks ago/ his chances helped tonight by a good 5lb claiming apprentice/ little worthwhile from most of his rivals/ the youngster has room for improvement.
19:00 7:00 Yarmouth

Storm Star

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

0

Three runs for the 3yo colt/ form 143 - the form looks solid - including his handicap debut three weeks ago - which was his turf debut/ yet to race on fast ground but his dam was useful and she loved the fast ground/ on a handy looking mark - unexposed,
18:50 6:50 Leopardstown

Beckman

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

The 2yo colt looked good when winning a 14 runner maiden race four weeks ago/ off the pace and plenty to like how he quickened in the final furlong - winning by a cosy length/ his RPR is the same as the two market leaders but they’ve had more experience - the selection can take a big step forward in this Group 3.
18:35 6:35 Wexford

Steps Match

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

The 9yo is capable on his day - he has not been over raced/ he won a 14 runner handicap this time last year off his current mark/ 4th 5th and 5th in his last three runs - big field handicap races - he’s been dropped a few lb - a capable apprentice in the saddle and his 7lb claim will give him a little extra edge.
18:30 6:30 Yarmouth

Bluelight Bay

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo hasn’t really fired in his four runs this year/ I don’t think he was disgraced four weeks ago - struggled when the pace lifted 2f out - seeing the race out but not given a hard ride/ dropped 3lb after that run - he has been rated 12lb higher in the past/ his five rivals in his last race were rated 86-95 - only two rivals rated above 76 in this handicap/ good jockey booking.
18:05 6:05 Wexford

Doyen For A Drink

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Seven starts over hurdles for the 7yo mare/ she went close in 2 of her 4 final runs last year - the last of those was a 3L defeat over this 24f trip - in a 15 runner contest - 14L clear of the rest/ she could fresh and ready for a big run after 10 months off the track/ this is a weak looking contest.
18:00 6:00 Yarmouth

Ingra Tor

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

30

Maybe something amiss last year - just three runs/ two tuft runs this year - a good 3rd of 10 four weeks ago in a decent looking contest - over this 6f trip on similar quick ground/ possible he can take a step forward - he has a good low draw - a slightly lower mark - he has been rated quite a bit higher in the past.
17:30 5:30 Yarmouth

Bizarre Law

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

75

Lightly raced 5yo/ he went close in a good quality AW handicap three weeks ago - he seems in good shape/ he’s a previous winner over this 12f trip on quick turf ground/ he’s on a handy looking mark/ just two runs this year and his freshness will be a positive factor.
24 July 2024
20:40 8:40 Salisbury

Fair Dinkum

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Two runs for the 4yo this year after a wind op/ not beaten far on his return - the race won by a 76 rated runner on quick ground/ he was an AW winner four weeks ago - always on top at the finish/ he was rated higher last year/ still room for more improvement/ only one rival rated above 60 in this contest/ 14f on quick ground is ideal.
20:20 8:20 Leicester

Ash Wednesday

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Five runs for the 3yo/ he shaped a little in his two handicap runs/ he was a little unlucky last week in a 12 runner contest - slow start and in the rear - still at the back 2f out and stuck in a pocket on the rail - he finished the race off nicely despite not getting into full stride - just 1/2L behind the 3rd place runner/ he was just behind three runners who has came into the race after recent wins/ strong jockey change for tonight and has a dangerous low mark of 48 for this class 6 contest.
20:10 8:10 Salisbury

Times Edition

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Three runs for the 3yo filly last year - 3rd 2nd and 5th/ she has raced against some very strong rivals/ she’s coming back from a 9 month break and you would expect top trainer Roger Varian finding some improvement in her/ strong jockey booking - handy looking opening handicap mark of 76.
19:50 7:50 Leicester

Tierney

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Two runs for the 3yo filly this year and she have more improvement in her/ beaten 4L in a Listed contest four weeks ago over this 7f trip/ however - she was held up - still last 2f out - had a wall of runners in front of her and had to switch to the outside of the field - stayed on strongly in the final furlong/ she wasn’t far behind three runners who were rated 93-97/ the selection now runs in a class 4 handicap and her handicap mark of 80 is very attractive.
19:40 7:40 Salisbury

Secret Handsheikh

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Better form the 6yo in his last two runs and is on a very attractive mark now/ he does have 8 career wins/ he was a runner up to ‘Notre’ in his previous race - that runner is a short price for this contest - including the jockey’s claims the selection is now a huge 17lb better off with that runner.
19:20 7:20 Leicester

Grey Nyle

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Five runs for the 3yo colt/ he was 4th last time out but ran better than the official distance - having every chance entering the final furlong - eased in the last 100 yards/ he was beaten by three runners who came into the race on top of their game - a stronger looking trio than the three rivals he faces tonight.
18:45 6:45 Leicester

Edna E Mode

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Three starts for the 3yo filly/ her last two runs have been on quick ground like tonight/ she's not landed a blow but she has run up with the pace for a long way - gentle ride in the late stages when her chance had gone - two races with winners rated 82 and 100/ the jockey should be given orders not to hold back on her handicap debut tonight/ good jockey booking/ should be fine with the 12f trip/ she’s had a nice five week break/ her opening handicap mark of 65 is tempting.
18:30 6:30 Salisbury

Shout

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.63 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG

@2.63

Win

81

The 2yo colt was unlucky on his debut - missing the break and losing plenty of ground at the start - going very wide on the turn in and wide up the straight - only beaten around 2L in what is proving to be a very strong novice stakes/ Oisin Murphy takes over in the saddle/ will be fresh after a 7 week break - should be a big player in this novice stakes.
18:10 6:10 Leicester

Last Outlaw

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Win

275

The 3yo was only 5th on his debut last month/ however - he was only beaten around a length - staying on well after an awkward start - beaten by experienced runners - the 2nd and 4th from the race won next time out - the winner is rated 77 and ran a big race on his next start/ the selection can take a step forward and be a big player in this average looking novice stakes.
18:00 6:00 Salisbury

Run Cmc

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo was rated a huge 18lb higher this time last year/ he has gone close in his last two races/ good jockey booking tonight which is a big plus in this amateur riders’ handicap/ he looks overpriced.
17:35 5:35 Leicester

Rinnovati

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Consistent form for her new yard this year/ the best run from the 3yo filly was her previous race - her only start on quick ground - winning the five runner contest by 3L with the rest nowhere/ Hollie Doyle rode that day and returns tonight having missed her last run/ slightly higher mark but it’s hard to make a case for any of her rivals.
23 July 2024
20:40 8:40 Wolverhampton

Solo Solataire

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Unexposed 3yo filly/ three runs in Ireland - three runs for his UK trainer/ only a hd behind the runner up two weeks ago - maybe went a little too quick at the front and went for home early - but she saw the race out nicely under a gentle ride once the winner had gone/ she was 3L behind the winner who has earned a big 79 rating/ she can take another step forward - she has a good jockey booking - she’s facing rivals rated 46-57.
20:10 8:10 Wolverhampton

My Boy Jack

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

240

Excuses last time out but seems in good shape/ the 5yo was only beaten 2L in his previous race - a much stronger contest than this 0-50 race tonight - he was ridden by a very inexperienced jockey that day/ he loves this 6f C/D - Rossa Ryan taking over in the saddle and should be a big player if he can repeat the form he was showing last winter.
19:40 7:40 Wolverhampton

Perfect Focus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

The 7yo lost his way last year - a much reduced mark now as a result/ only beaten 2L when last seen during Feb/ debut for a new yard tonight - a small yard whose runners ran well last month/ he’s running in a low grade 0-50 contest and weighted to run a big race if fit and ready.
19:10 7:10 Wolverhampton

Court Drive

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Four runs on the AW for the 3yo filly - unexposed/ a previous winner at this track/ a slow start at the track just over a week ago - not a clear passage - but only beaten a nk at the finish - earning a high RPR rating/ same mark today - she has a high cruising speed and will be fine with the 5f trip/ this race not as strong as the race last week.
18:40 6:40 Wolverhampton

Pfingstberg

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Four runs this year for the 4yo - a win and three near misses/ he lost by nk four weeks ago - having the measure of the rest - and faced some rivals who were rated much higher than what he faces tonight/ just a lb higher mark and this progressive gelding looks set for another big run.
18:10 6:10 Wolverhampton

The Pug

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

The 4yo has been 1st or 2nd in six AW races/ not great in his last two races/ a return to this ‘tapeta’ surface is a positive/ the yard’s runners have been doing better in the last six weeks/ three starts back - in the spring - he was only beaten a length in a stronger contest than this one - a very capable apprentice in the saddle tonight - he’s effectively 10lb better off from that spring run.
17:40 5:40 Wolverhampton

Suanni

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

The front running 5yo has a great draw in stall 1 for this 5f contest - good jockey booking in Rossa Ryan - he is previous C/D winner/ not great in two recent tuft runs - better on the AW - win or placed in 10 races on the artificial surfaces/ anything near his best should land him this low grade 0-50 race.
17:10 5:10 Wolverhampton

Anamika

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Nicely bred 3yo filly - making her debut today/ trained at a good yard/ this novice stakes looks average/ the booking of Oisin Murphy is a big tick in the right box.
17:00 5:00 Lingfield

Dream Pirate

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

The 4yo returned to the AW for his last two runs - both races over this 8f trip on the polytrack - two near misses - two good RPR ratings - staying on strong from a poor track position last time out/ same mark tonight but these rivals look a class lower than what he has been facing.
16:30 4:30 Lingfield

Harry The Haggler

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

Two wins for the 4yo - plenty near misses/ he didn’t act on soft ground last time out/ in his previous 7 races going back to last Nov he had posted RPR ratings of 65-68/ his official rating of 58 today is very tempting/ he also has the added help of a good apprentice who takes a useful 5lb off his back/ the jockey has 27 winners this year for a nice 14% strike rate.
16:00 4:00 Lingfield

Come On John

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

The 5yo has been below par recently but is weighted to run a big race in this low grade 0-50 contest/ he had three near misses in the spring over this 10f trip on the AW - posting high RPR ratings/ he looks a standout if he captures his spring form again.
15:30 3:30 Lingfield

Fullforward

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Win

17

The 4yo wasn’t great in his last three runs - all on tuft/ however - 3 of his 4 previous runs were big efforts - all over this 12f trip - twice at this track and once at Kempton/ a return to that level of form would make him a big player in this 0-50 classified stakes.
15:00 3:00 Lingfield

Candy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Three runs for the 2yo colt/ he ran his best race five weeks ago - only a length behind the runner up in a decent novice stakes - the winner rated 85/ same 5f trip tonight/ he was dropped in from a wide draw that day - still in 10th 2f out - but he did make progress late on despite the traffic problem/ his opening handicap mark of 72 looks handy/ a strong jockey booking and drawn in stall 1 are two positives for today.
14:30 2:30 Lingfield

Winning Point

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@3.75

Win

137

The 3yo filly made the running on her debut seven weeks ago - but paid the price late on for going off too quick - eased down in the last 1/2f/ it was a very strong novice stakes/ top trainer Sir Michael Stoute drops her down from 7f to 6f for this novice stakes today/ she cost a huge 320,000 gns and could be worth another chance.
14:00 2:00 Lingfield

Felicity

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.25 used instead of 2.20 takenBOG

@2.25

Win

62

Three runs for the 3yo filly/ beaten 1/2L and a length in her last two races/ beaten by three runners rated 73-83 who have all boosted the form since/ strong jockey fbooking for her handicap debut today/ her opening mark of 67 is attractive.

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