the prophet
Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.
3
Estimated Prizes
this month
£80
Estimated Prize money
this month
the prophet's Tips History
13 May 2025
19:10 7:10 Sedgefield
Laravie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Three UK career runs for the 6-year-old Irish import, finding his form last time out when a close runner-up. The form has been boosted by the third since. He’s had a nice 3-month break since. With the good jockey’s claim, he’s effectively 9lb better off now.
18:40 6:40 Sedgefield
Conquer The Breeze
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Lightly raced 6-year-old, back to form this year. 3rd and 2nd in his two runs, beaten just 3L and well clear of much higher-rated rivals early last month. Worth another in this low-grade contest.
17:35 5:35 Worcester
Our Lil
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 4.00 takenBOG
@6.50
Win
275
Four starts over hurdles for the 4yo, one win, three decent runs in defeat. Not disgraced in a Grade 3 handicap last time out, when racing from 9lb out of the handicap. She likes the better ground and is now running in a class 5 handicap against older runners, but she does receive an 8lb age allowance. Top yard/jockey, more to come from this one.
16:42 4:42 Beverley
Rommie The Miracle
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Nicely bred 3yo filly. Three career runs. She was a runner-up two weeks ago in a maiden race, bumping into a smart looking winner. No answer in the final 2f but she did match the winner for the first mile and still saw the race out, in that strongly run contest. She should get a more suitable pace in this low grade handicap and she could prove to be better than her opening mark of 60.
1 member found this comment useful
16:30 4:30 Worcester
Sirekoff
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Not great form from the 6-year-old this winter, but a better run last month after coming off a 2-month break, only beaten 2 lengths when finishing second - good/soft going. Something to build on. I like the fact that his two highest RPR ratings that he has posted both came on quicker ground.
16:20 4:20 Chepstow
Bear Rock
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
A progressive looking 4yo filly. Runner-up in 3 of 5 AW races. Two turf runs. A close 4th of 17 during March and she then won a 17 runner handicap at the end of last month - the front two pulling clear that day. More to come from this one and a 3lb higher mark might not stop her.
16:12 4:12 Beverley
Cangofar
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Win
45
The 3yo should be better for his run two weeks ago. He came to challenge 2f out, not the best track position and was outpaced. However, it was just a fourth career run. He was returning from a 6-month break. He was up against much higher-rated rivals than what he now faces in this handicap, and he has a 2lb lower mark.
1 member found this comment useful
15:50 3:50 Chepstow
My Clementine
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
A mixed bag from the 4yo filly last year but showed ability on a going day. She is a previous C/D winner. Her best RPR rating came on fast ground when second over this C/D, that form boosted by the 1st, 3rd and 4th. Improvement possible after 7 months off the track. On a handy looking mark and the last four runners sent out by the yard have all finished a close second.
1 member found this comment useful
15:42 3:42 Beverley
Park Street
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@11.00
Lose
-50
The 6yo returned at the start of the month, after 7 months off the track, and should be better for the run - excuses that day. He ran a few nice races in defeat last summer, in better races than this one and he’s on a much reduced mark now. He’s a previous C/D winner and loves the quicker ground.
14:00 2:00 Worcester
Full Monty
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Win
15
Just six starts over hurdles for the 7yo and he now makes his chase debut. He likes the better ground. He was a 5L maiden winner last summer and a good 4th on his next start in a strong looking novice hurdle. He’s coming off a 7 month break, his handicap mark looks handy, unexposed over fences and the yard is in good form.
Subtotal-15
12 May 2025
21:00 9:00 Wolverhampton
Change Of Fortune
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
The 6yo should be sharper after a return run two weeks ago, under an amateur rider who hasn’t ridden a winner under rules, so it was more of a fitness run. Lightly raced last year, he did run well in two races after his return run last year. On a much reduced mark now, plus another 5lb taken off by the apprentice. Big chance if he can return to that level of form, and races don’t get much weaker than this 45-49 rated handicap.
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Vitalline
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
30
Three runs this year for the 7-year-old, after 11 months off the track. A couple of decent efforts, staying on from off the pace. He has made the running in plenty of previous races, and he might adopt that tactic with a draw in stall 2. Attractive low mark now, low-grade contest, chances.
20:10 8:10 Windsor
Manila Thriller
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Lightly raced 3yo filly. Some decent bits of form from the selection last year. She made a winning return early last month. A little unlucky two weeks ago, beaten 2L in an 11 runner class 4 handicap, slowly away, stuck behind runners from 2f out and never getting a chance to get into top gear. Worth another chance in this class 5 contest.
19:55 7:55 Wolverhampton
Desert Raider
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
The 4-year-old has 2 wins from 11 on the AW. A big run at the start of the month after coming off a 7-month break - good RPR rating - beaten just a neck by a race-fit rival who came into the race in good form. Big player if he can take a step forward from that run.
19:20 7:20 Wolverhampton
Myna
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Lightly raced 4yo. Debut for a new yard two weeks ago, after coming off a 4 month break, but far too keen in that turf handicap. He did run to a decent level in 4 of his 7 races last year, class 5 company. He’s on a handy low mark now in this class 6 contest, and a good apprentice in the saddle taking another useful 3lb off his back.
18:33 6:33 Windsor
Trefor
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
Lightly raced 4yo, 3 wins from 10 on turf, including over this 6f C/D. You could forgive his run four weeks ago, after coming off an 8-month break and on unsuitable slow ground, and he will be happier back on this g/f surface. Beaten just a length on his final start last year, in a 16-runner, £39K class 2 handicap. He can be a player in this £9K class 3 handicap, and he has a 2lb lower mark now.
16:47 4:47 Catterick
Patontheback
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Respectable return run from the 7-year-old last month, despite the inexperienced jockey making a mess of things at the start. A good replacement jockey takes over in the saddle, who got a nice tune out of the selection last summer. Two wins and two very near misses, the last of those runs was off a 5lb higher mark. Every chance in this company off his current mark.
15:47 3:47 Catterick
Woohoo
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
Ex-Irish trained 4yo. Respectable UK debut run at the start of the month after 8 months off the track. Can improve for the run, a good low draw for this 5f dash, a 2lb lower mark now, and he has a strong jockey change. Three runs back, he was only beaten 2L on fast ground, in a 13-runner handicap, against much stronger rivals than what he now faces.
Subtotal-320
11 May 2025
17:45 5:45 Newcastle
Apotheosis
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
25
The trainer has been patient with the 4yo, giving him time to strengthen. Four career runs, form 3114. A narrow defeat on his debut. The form of his win on his second start is looking strong. He was a 3L novice stakes winner on his third start - giving plenty of weight away - the form given a nice boost by the third in that race. Excuses when last seen - soft ground. He’s coming back from a 9 month break and could prove to be better than his current 90 rating.
16:35 4:35 Newcastle
Kildare Legend
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
The 4yo has 2 wins from 5 and is still unexposed. He finished last year with a 3rd of 15 in a £52K class 2 turf handicap - same mark for this contest. His only previous AW run - on this surface at Southwell - resulted in an impressive 4L novice stakes win of a 13 runner contest. He can return stronger after 7 months off the track. Top weight in this handicap but he could be the class runner.
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16:30 Liverpool v Arsenal
Liverpool
50 WIN
@2.05
Lose
-50
I don’t see Champions Liverpool letting their standards drop in this home fixture. I feel it will be hard for Arsenal to raise their game after the midweek Champions League semi-final loss to PSG.
16:00 4:00 Newcastle
Gunship
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.63 used instead of 2.50 takenBOG
@2.63
Win
81
Just three career runs from the 3yo, form 123, two narrow defeats. He was 3rd of 12 in a good looking turf handicap two weeks ago, coming from a little too far back. He’s maybe better judged on his second start, 2nd of 10 on this ‘tapeta’ surface in a novice stakes, well clear of the rest - the winner gave the form a big boost next time out.
15:25 3:25 Newcastle
Free Speech
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
The 4yo filly has a progressive profile, since her first three career starts she has won or been placed in 9 of 11 races. She didn’t land a blow five weeks ago but stayed on nicely from the rear and wasn’t given a hard time. She was coming off a 6 month break and can take a step forward now. The form of that race has been working out well.
14:50 2:50 Newcastle
Flickering Halo
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@17.00
Win
800
The 4yo wasn’t disgraced in a class 2 turf handicap two weeks ago, outpaced late on but saw the race out - should be better for the run. He was returning from a 9 month break and now drops into a class 4 AW race. He has run well in two of his three previous AW runs. He ran well in a few races last year in better company while racing off a much higher mark.
14:15 Man Utd v West Ham
West Ham
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
It’s 15th vs 17th, and both sides have poor stats this season. Man Utd are at home, but after another big midweek Euro game, tired legs give West Ham a chance. West Ham have picked up points in 9 of 17 away games. They did win at Anfield late Feb and should be up for this visit to Old Trafford.
14:15 Nottm Forest v Leicester
Draw
50 WIN
@5.50
Win
225
Just 1 league win in 5 for Forest, plus an FA Cup defeat in the middle of that run. Confidence has taken a knock. Leicester are playing with spirit, a win and a draw from their last four league games, plus just a 1-0 defeat to Liverpool. They might grind out a point.
14:15 Tottenham v Crystal Palace
Draw
50 WIN
@3.70
Lose
-50
A poor league season for Spurs this season, but they have scored 34 goals in 17 home games. A midweek Euro game for Spurs will not help their cause, and Palace are very capable on their day.
12:00 Newcastle v Chelsea
Draw
50 WIN
@3.80
Lose
-50
It’s 4th vs 5th and both sides are on 63 points, both with a +21 goal difference. You could make a good case for both sides, but I feel both might be a little extra cautious in this big match and chances might be few. Draw.
Subtotal1031
10 May 2025
17:30 Bournemouth v Aston Villa
Draw
50 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-50
7th vs 8th. Villa have been in good form and have a big chance for a top-four finish, but they now face a good Bournemouth side who are on a good unbeaten run and beat Arsenal last week. Points shared.
17:00 5:00 Ascot
Smart Vision
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
Two return runs last month for the 4yo and his fitness should be better now. He was 3rd of 11 last time out, seeing the race out nicely - the runner up ran well yesterday. He has a slightly lower mark today, loves the fast ground and is facing much lower rated rivals now.
16:45 4:45 Lingfield
Protest Rally
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Backed from a 7 month break with a narrow defeat during April. The 5yo is useful on his day, 1st or 2nd in 10 turf races. Back to winning ways last week after dropping down to this 5f trip, 7 of his 8 rivals that day were rated 77-82. He has a 3lb higher mark now but a much experienced jockey takes over in the saddle and his rivals today are rated 54-72.
1 member found this comment useful
16:10 4:10 Lingfield
Sergio Parisse
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
Just five career runs for the 3yo. He was 3rd in a good AW handicap during January, and he should be ready for his return to turf after a 3-month break. Two runs on quick g/f turf going conditions in the first half of last year, winning a 15-runner maiden contest - both the 3rd and 4th from that race are now rated 100+. He was then a close 4th of 13 in a novice stakes while giving weight away and was badly hampered at a vital time, beaten by two runners now rated 88 and 99. His handicap mark of 77 looks very attractive.
1 member found this comment useful
15:35 3:35 Lingfield
Jabaara
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
The 4yo filly was beaten in a £238K US Grade 1 four weeks ago, not much going right for her in the race. She was a runner-up in Group 1 last summer and followed that with a Group 3 win. The return to quick ground will be a big positive for the selection in this Group 3 contest.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Haydock
Byzantine Empress
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 10.00 takenBOG
@11.00
Win
25
Irish import. The 4yo filly has looked progressive and she is a previous C/D winner. She likes the fast ground. Three decent AW runs over the winter. She was a close runner-up on her last turf start, that form boosted by both the 1st and 3rd, these rivals today are not as strong and she’s on a handy looking mark.
15:15 3:15 Ascot
Turquino
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
The trainer has been patient with the 4-year-old who made his debut during March and is now 2 wins from 2. Always in control when winning over this 12f trip on his second start six weeks ago in a novice stakes - giving 7lb to the runner-up who has run a nice race since. Top yard/jockey, unexposed, breeding does suggest he’ll be fine on turf. He could prove to be much better than his opening handicap mark of 86.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Lingfield
Puppet Master
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@2.62
Win
81
Four career runs for the 3yo. Beaten just 3L in a Group 2 on his final start last year. A respectable 4th in a strong Group 3 on his return six weeks ago - two of those rivals have won Group 3 races since. Aidan O’Brien/Ryan Moore team up and should be a big player in this Listed contest.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 Fulham v Everton
Fulham
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Neither side has anything to play for. Fulham are at home, the better attacking side and worth a punt. Everton have scored just 12 goals on the road in 17 league games - poor stat.
15:00 Ipswich v Brentford
Brentford
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Brentford have won their last three league games - scoring 10 goals - and have a chance of a European spot. Relegated Ipswich are in for a hard afternoon.
15:00 Southampton v Man City
Man City
50 WIN
@1.18
Lose
-50
Southampton could end up with a record low points total in the Premier League. City have won their last four league games, big chance of finishing in the second spot and top striker Haaland is fit again.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Brighton
Draw
50 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-50
Wolves had been on a great winning run before a narrow 1-0 defeat to Man City last week. A mixed bag from Brighton in recent weeks, but they still can get a Euro spot for next season and will be trying.
14:40 2:40 Ascot
Gleneagle Bay
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.50
Win
17
Unexposed 5yo, 1 win from 6. Irish raider. Trained at a small yard who has great stats this year, 13 winners for a huge 25% strike rate. He was 2nd of 17 last year in a £78K handicap, losing by a hd. Big return run during March when 5th of 27 in the Irish Lincoln - soft ground. He could be better on this quick ground going off a couple of big runs last year. He can improve for his return run, will be fresh after a 2 month break and he has a good jockey booking for this £51K handicap.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Lingfield
Vice President
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Ex-Irish trained 4yo, 1 win from 4. UK debut four weeks ago after 9 months off the track. Not disgraced over 16f in a competitive handicap, still in the mix late on and not given a hard time. Going off his Irish form, he should be more suited by this 11.5f trip. On a decent mark and Ryan Moore takes over the saddle. The favorite in the race has a 7lb penalty for a win four weeks ago.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Ascot
Arisaig
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Two return runs for the 4yo filly. Beaten just over a length last week in a Listed contest despite meeting plenty of trouble in the race. She was beaten by three runners rated 105+. She should be a big player in this handicap while racing off a 94 mark.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Lingfield
Hamlets Night
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Lightly raced 4-year-old French import. Two UK runs and a little unlucky to lose by a neck two weeks ago over this 10-furlong trip. Good RPR rating posted. Room for improvement.
1 member found this comment useful
13:35 1:35 Haydock
Big Boy Bobby
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Three runs from the 7yo since Dec, after 19 months off the track. Three narrow defeats while racing in good company. Beaten 1/2L in a 16 runner contest last time out. Good jockey change for this handicap hurdle and he could still have a big run in him.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-496
09 May 2025
16:45 4:45 Chester
Zealandia
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
The 8yo wasn’t great in his three AW runs this winter, but he has better stats on turf. He’s coming off a 4 month break and can go well when fresh. His last run on quick turf ground was last August, running to a good level on Shergar Cup day in a much stronger contest than this handicap. He has an 8lb lower mark now and has run well at this track previously.
1 member found this comment useful
16:10 4:10 Chester
Small Fry
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@7.00
Win
300
A big run from the 4yo last month after coming off a 5 month break. He was 3rd of 11 and just 1/2L behind the runner-up - who was rated 96 - now running against rivals rated 70-78. He can come on for the run, he has a 2lb lower mark, same jockey in the saddle but he doesn’t face any professional riders in this apprentice riders’ handicap.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Chester
Warda Jamila
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
The 4-year-old filly progressed nicely last year. Back from a 7-month break last month, beaten just a length in a good quality class 2 handicap, not given a hard time, and mixing it with some useful and race-fit rivals. Same mark for this contest, strong jockey booking, and he can take a big step forward.
15:05 3:05 Chester
East India Dock
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@5.00
Win
200
The 4yo progressed nicely last year. Last seen on the flat last autumn, a narrow defeat in a good class 2 handicap. He has a lower flat rating now, however, he’s had four runs over hurdles since and looks to have improved plenty. He was only beaten a length in a 17 runner Grade 1 hurdle at the festival. No problem with the 18f trip, he’ll be fresh after a two month break and his handicap mark is very attractive.
14:35 2:35 Chester
Space Legend
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Just six career runs for the 4yo and room for plenty more improvement. He’s coming off a 9 month break but he won by 5L on his return last year. Gelded since his last run. No problem with the turning track having previously run well on the AW. He finished his last campaign with a 1 1/2L defeat in a very strong Group 2 contest and he can be a big player in this Group 2 contest.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Chester
Ammes
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Two career runs for the 3yo. Back from a six-month break last month, a good 2nd of 14 on the AW in a novice stakes, the field quite strung out, beaten by a 92-rated winner. Breeding does suggest he could be better over this longer trip and switching to turf. No problem with the turning track and should go well in this maiden race.
13:50 1:50 Ascot
Columnist
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
The 3yo has 1 win from 4. He was a 4L debut winner. Then beaten just 1/2L in a 22 runner Group 2 race at Royal Ascot. His 3rd start over this 7f trip reads well, 4th in a Group 2, having every chance, beaten by three runners rated 110, 112 and 117. He returns today after a 9 month break and is running in handicap company, his mark of 103 should give him a chance. Looks overpriced.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Kindest Nation
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 34.00 used instead of 12.00 takenBOG
@34.00
Win
140
A chance taken on the 4yo filly on her return from a 7-month break. She progressed nicely last year and was only beaten 2L during October in a Listed contest, beaten by three older runners that day who were rated 105-111. She was a winner at this track last year. She has a good low draw and a handicap mark of 90 should give her a chance.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal390
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
