the prophet

Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.

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the prophet's Tips

20th December 2025
12:30 Newcastle v Chelsea

Draw

50 WIN

Newcastle's last home defeat in any competition came during September, and that was against Arsenal. Chelsea have the second-best away record in the league. You could make a case for both teams, but the draw could be the value bet… draw
13:15 1:15 Ascot

Jakar Du Moulin

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Just four runs over hurdles for the 6yo. He ran well on his handicap debut five weeks ago, beaten 3L. However, he was coming back from a seven-month break and did make a couple of late jumping errors. Unexposed; more progress likely, and top jockey Harry Cobden now takes over in the saddle.
13:50 1:50 Ascot

The Famous Five

Daily Racing

50 WIN

The 7-year-old took well to the fences in his last campaign, recording a win and three narrow defeats in five chase races. He can return stronger after ten months off the track, and the yard has been showing better form recently. He’s running off an attractive low handicap mark of 123.
14:05 2:05 Haydock

My Silver Lining

Daily Racing

25 EW

The 9-year-old mare was below par in her last campaign, but she was a decent third of 12 four weeks ago in a good-quality handicap and could be worth following now that she has some form back. She is on a very handy mark. The going could get very testing come Saturday, which will be a big positive.
14:13 2:13 Hereford

Kosasiempre

Daily Racing

25 EW

Two return runs for the 7-year-old mare. She was a good winner over this 25f C/D five weeks ago. Not by a big margin, but she won in a canter and the jockey never had to ask her a question. Young enough to progress over fences and still on a handy low mark.
14:25 2:25 Ascot

Honesty Policy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Unexposed 5-year-old Irish raider. Three wins and two very narrow defeats from five hurdle starts. A Grade 1 winner at Aintree in April on just his fourth start. Four weeks later he was beaten by just 1/2 length in an Irish Grade 1, by ‘Jasmin D V’, who was a good Grade 1 festival winner previously in March. Top-table form, and he should be a big player in this Grade 1. The trainer has had 16 winners for a 27% strike rate in the last two weeks.
14:40 2:40 Haydock

Supreme Malinas

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Decent bumper form from the 5yo mare. Back from an eight-month break, she looked good when winning on her hurdle debut last month. She jumped well and saw the race out nicely. She looked better than the 4L margin, and the runner-up was a useful and race-fit yardstick. Trained at a top yard, there is more to come from her, and she can follow up in this novice hurdle.
15:00 3:00 Ascot

Blow Your Wad

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Back from a six-month break and wind surgery with a big run last month. A close 3rd in a quality Grade 3 handicap over this 24f C/D ??" the runner-up has run well since. Same mark for this handicap. He should be better for his return run. Good jockey change. The forecast rain will help. He is only a 7yo with more to come in the chasing game.
15:00 Brighton v Sunderland

Sunderland

50 WIN

The away side could be worth a punt. Brighton have picked up just 1 point from their last three league games. Sunderland are 3 points above Brighton in the table. Only four teams have conceded fewer goals. Two recent away games produced a draw at Liverpool and a win at Chelsea... away win.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Brentford

Wolverhampton

50 WIN

I think Brentford will be under pressure going into this game. Seven defeats in eight away league games this season, and they won’t want to be the team who allow Wolves their first win of the season. Wolves will be giving 100%, and the home fans can lift them to their first league win....home win.
15:35 3:35 Ascot

Wreckless Eric

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

The 5yo has progressed nicely over hurdles, with 3 wins from 9 and three runner-up finishes. He went very close in a couple of £50K+ handicap hurdle races in his last campaign and has plenty of ability. He has every chance of improvement after nine months off the track. Kept under wraps to preserve his handy-looking handicap mark as he goes for this £71K first prize.
17:30 Tottenham v Liverpool

Draw

50 WIN

Spurs will be disappointed with the season so far, but they have plenty of quality players and are decent when they all turn up. Liverpool have just 3 away wins from 8, are iffy at the back, and they conceded three goals in their last away match at Leeds....draw.
20:00 Leeds v Crystal Palace

Leeds

50 WIN

A quick turnaround for Palace, who had a Thursday night Euro game. Leeds will be feeling better after no defeat in three. They’ve scored three goals in their last two home games, and that was against Chelsea and Liverpool....home win.

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