the prophet

Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.

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the prophet's Tips

1st May 2025
14:25 2:25 Southwell

Kings Scholar

Daily Racing

100 WIN

3.50

Back it

The 4yo made steady progress last year and is still relatively unexposed. He has 1 win from 8 and has been a runner-up three times. Finishing last year with a 4L win and a narrow defeat - two high RPR ratings posted. Improvement possible after 6 months off the track. Stable in good form this year. Good jockey booking for this apprentice riders’ handicap.
15:00 3:00 Southwell

Masterclass

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

8.00

Back it

The 6yo was below par over the winter but a better effort three weeks ago after coming off a 3-month break and wind surgery, 5th of 15 that day. He ran some nice races this time last year, including a close runner-up twice over this 5f C/D while racing off a 15lb higher mark. Should be a big player in this 0-55 rated contest.
15:35 3:35 Southwell

Lokma

Daily Racing

50 EW

9.00

Back it

Two career runs for the 3yo filly. She was 5th of 12 just over a week ago and was better than the actual stats. She picked up nicely from off the pace 2f out and did come to challenge inside the final furlong, running out of gas late on. The 1st and 2nd in that novice race look very useful. This drop down from 6f to 5f could suit her in this novice stakes.
16:10 4:10 Southwell

Milteye

Daily Racing

100 WIN

5.50

Back it

Ex-Irish trained 5-year-old, spending last year over the jumps. Debut for a UK yard earlier in the month after coming off an 8-month break. He was a good 2nd in a stronger handicap than this one and clear of the rest. He has something to build on. He’s making his AW debut, but he does look nicely treated at the weights going off his early career form.
16:45 4:45 Southwell

Fistral Beach

Daily Racing

100 WIN

5.50

Back it

The 4-year-old filly has turned things around this year. Last four runs: 1121. The defeat was by a neck when getting too far back. Impressive 2L+ winner of an 11-runner handicap just over a week ago. At the rear and very wide turning into the straight, but flew past her rivals on the outside. Good 3lb claiming apprentice helping with the higher mark, and she can continue the upward curve.
17:20 5:20 Southwell

Filly One

Daily Racing

100 WIN

7.00

Back it

The 4yo filly has 2 wins from 6. Four runs since Dec after a year off the track. A respectable 4th on turf three weeks ago - poor track position - her fitness should be good now. Her opening handicap mark during Dec was 8lb higher than her new low mark. Her two career wins did come on this AW surface.
19:30 Nottm Forest v Brentford

Brentford

100 WIN

3.30

Back it

Forest have dropped down to 6th in the league, and the pressure will start to build as they fight for a European place. A side who sits back and plays on the counter, and worth taking on. Brentford had a free weekend last week and will have fresh legs. Great going forward with Wissa and Mbeumo, and they'll be confident after putting 4 past Brighton last week.
2nd May 2025
20:00 Man City v Wolverhampton

Man City

100 WIN

1.38

Back it

Wolves are on a great run and jumping up the table but they have been playing poor teams. They might be a little too confident going into this game and City will exploit the extra space they might get.
3rd May 2025
15:00 Everton v Ipswich

Ipswich

100 WIN

7.00

Back it

Ipswich are now relegated, but the pressure will be off. They can play with some freedom and are a nice price for the win. Everton have scored just 34 goals in 34 league games, a poor stat and worth taking on.
15:00 Leicester v Southampton

Southampton

100 WIN

3.10

Back it

The two bottom sides, who are playing just for pride. Leicester have been playing like a side who have given up. Southampton do try week in, week out and were a little unlucky to lose 2-1 to Fulham last week.

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