the prophet

Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

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this month

the prophet's Tips

18th September 2025
14:15 2:15 Ayr

Never Dark

Daily Racing

25 EW

Plenty miles on the clock for the 8yo but he has won or been placed in 27 races. A better effort two weeks ago on the AW, staying on from off the pace and beaten 2L. He will now be having his first this year on soft ground. He ran some nice races under these conditions towards the end of last year and he finished last year 14lb higher than his current rating.
14:45 2:45 Ayr

Liberty Coach

Daily Racing

25 EW

The 4yo has 1 win from 6 this year. Excuses last time out. He posted a big RPR rating on the AW in his previous race despite not winning but is still running to a good level. He has 4 wins from 13 on turf, all over this 10f trip, two of those wins came on soft ground and he ticks the right boxes.
16:27 4:27 Kempton

Villalobos

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

A very respectable run in defeat from the lightly raced 4yo early last month in a 12 runner handicap on turf, holding every chance inside the final furlong, not helped by being on the far side with all the action finishing up in the centre. He has a 2lb lower mark now and faces much lower rated rivals in this AW contest. Proven form at this track. Good low draw and jockey booking for the 6f sprint. He was coming off an 8 month break for that last run and you could expect some more improvement.
16:45 4:45 Ayr

Minshaar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Four runs for the 3yo filly. A better effort on her handicap debut two weeks ago when finishing a close 4th, however, she was stuck in a pocket and didn’t see much daylight in the final 3f. Unexposed and worth another chance. A good apprentice booking for the ride making her 5lb better off at the weights now.
16:55 4:55 Pontefract

Captain Potter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Good progressive form from the 5yo this year. Something amiss on the AW last time out. However, three runs over this 2m C/D this year, a very narrow defeat early June followed by a 6L win and a 5L win. He’s effectively 3lb better off from that 5L win with a good apprentice now in the saddle and the selection has no problem with the slower ground.
17:02 5:02 Kempton

Encircle

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Five runs since May for the 4yo filly. Not great in three runs, and she has a 13lb lower mark, but she has done better in her last two starts. Beaten just a length last month, then last week she totally missed the break, finding herself well in the rear in a 13-runner handicap. Still last turning into the straight, finishing close behind the 3rd at the finish was a big effort. If she starts better, she can be a player in this low-grade 0-55 handicap.
17:07 5:07 Yarmouth

Dion Baker

Daily Racing

50 WIN

The 6yo was a good 4th three weeks ago. He was coming off a 6 month break and should be better for the run. He is a previous C/D winner. He’s facing much lower rated rivals now. He’s fine on the slow ground. Strong jockey change. He was rated 12lb higher this time last year.
20:15 8:15 Kempton

Respectable Jack

Daily Racing

25 EW

A very respectable run in defeat from the lightly raced 4yo early last month in a 12 runner handicap on turf, holding every chance inside the final furlong, not helped by being on the far side with all the action finishing up in the centre. He has a 2lb lower mark now and faces much lower rated rivals in this AW contest. Proven form at this track. Good low draw and jockey booking for the 6f sprint. He was coming off an 8 month break for that last run and you could expect some more improvement.

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