the prophet
Stats don’t lie. Trust your first instinct. Don’t go chasing losses.
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21st November 2025
14:09 2:09 Chepstow
A Perfect Day
Daily Racing
50 WIN
Unexposed 5-year-old. Just one start over hurdles, winning a novice hurdle by 13 lengths this time last year. The well-beaten third has run a couple of nice races since. The good small yard has been patient with this one, and they know how to get one ready. A handy opening handicap mark for this contest on his return and helped by a good apprentice claiming 5 lbs.
14:35 2:35 Ascot
Manuelito
Daily Racing
25 EW
Lightly raced 5yo. Back from a six month break with an easy 4L handicap hurdle win five weeks ago, with the third 11L behind. Good jockey Ben Jones was in the saddle that day and he takes the ride again. I’m sure he would have saved plenty in the tank when winning that day and a 5lb higher mark might not stop him following up in this handicap.
15:10 3:10 Ascot
All Authorized
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
Lightly raced 6-year-old. Three starts earlier in the year, winning a decent handicap hurdle by 5L when last seen, and his chase mark is only a lb higher today. Just two starts over fences, a decent third back in February. He’ll be fresh after a six-month break and is on an attractive mark for this handicap chase. Proven over this 24f trip and no problem with the going.
16:30 4:30 Southwell
Brave Emperor
Daily Racing
25 EW
The 5yo lost his way on turf this year but he’s trained at a top yard and he could bounce back with a switch to the AW, on a surface that he’s proven on. He has some solid Group form to his name and is now running in a class 4 handicap. He was rated a huge 22lb higher as recently as this summer.
22nd November 2025
12:30 Burnley v Chelsea
Chelsea
50 WIN
Chelsea could go 2nd in the table with a win, and they are playing the 4th bottom side, Burnley. Chelsea are the joint top scorers away from home this season, picking up 10 points from 5 away games. Burnley recently lost 2-0 at home to Arsenal, a game in which they managed just three shots in 90 minutes, none of which was on target. A worrying stat... away win.
13:15 1:15 Haydock
Andashan
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
Lightly raced 5yo. Solid NHF bumper form. Back in Feb he won a 14 runner maiden hurdle by 18L, then ran well for a good way in a Grade 2 two weeks later. Back from a break two weeks ago and was 3rd of 13 on his handicap debut and he was 13L clear of the rest, staying on well at the finish and this longer trip should suit him. He’s 2lb better off now with further improvement very likely.
13:30 1:30 Ascot
Master Chewy
Daily Racing
25 EW
The 8yo was a Grade 2 winner back in Feb and he can be a player in this Grade 2 contest. He ran a big race four weeks ago after coming off a six month break and fitness could play a big part as three of his four rivals haven’t raced since the spring, and bigger targets down the line will be their aim. The selection was only beaten 2L last time out, a quality Grade 2 handicap while racing off a high mark.
13:50 1:50 Haydock
Iroko
Daily Racing
50 WIN
Solid form from the 7yo in his last campaign, including a very close runner-up in this graduation chase last year on his return. He’s only a 7yo and he can progress again in this campaign. I think it’s a worry that the fav in the race only had two runs in his last campaign and has been off the track for eleven months.
14:10 2:10 Punchestown
Irancy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
The lightly raced 7yo has 3 wins from 5 over hurdles. He was a smart 9L Grade 1 winner when last seen in the spring, which came over this 16.5f C/D. We’ve maybe not seen the best of him yet and he can land this Grade 1 hurdle race.
14:25 2:25 Haydock
Horaces Pearl
Daily Racing
25 EW
Lightly raced 7yo. He won an 18 runner Grade 2 bumper race last year. He has 2 wins from 4 over hurdles, not disgraced in defeat when running in a Listed contest and a Grade 1 hurdle back in the spring. His opening handicap on his return looks decent and he’s also helped by a very good apprentice claiming 5lb.
14:40 2:40 Ascot
Wodhooh
Daily Racing
50 WIN
Hard to fault the 5yo Irish raider. She has 7 wins from 8 over hurdles. Her only defeat was last time out, April, a 2L defeat in a Grade 1 to the smart 159 rated ‘Lossiemouth’. She’s the standout runner in this Grade 2 contest.
15:00 3:00 Haydock
Grey Dawning
Daily Racing
50 WIN
The 1st and 2nd were well clear of the rest in this Grade 1 chase last year and they meet again. The winner has been very poor in four runs since and is an 11yo now. The 8yo selection can get revenge this time around, and he posted three huge 168+ RPR ratings from his four starts in his last campaign.
15:00 Bournemouth v West Ham
Bournemouth
50 WIN
The international break came at the wrong time for West Ham after back-to-back wins, and the right time for Bournemouth after back-to-back defeats. Bournemouth can regroup. They have the joint second-best home record in the league, with four wins and a draw from five matches and just two goals conceded. West Ham have not been good on the road… home win.
15:00 Brighton v Brentford
Brighton
50 WIN
Brighton are unbeaten in their five home games this season, and they have played Man City, Newcastle, and Spurs. Brentford have been poor on the road this season, with four defeats from five. They haven’t played any of the big-named clubs, and their only win came against a poor West Ham side. Home win.
15:00 Fulham v Sunderland
Draw
50 WIN
4th placed Sunderland don’t give a lot away and will be tricky to beat, but they have lost twice 2-0 on the road this season, to Burnley and Man Utd. Fulham have now won three of their last four home games. The defeat in the middle of that run was 1-0 to Arsenal. I don’t think either side will be giving much away… draw.
15:00 Liverpool v Nottm Forest
Liverpool
50 WIN
Liverpool have not been great this season, and the new players are still learning to gel together. But they should have too much quality on the pitch for a struggling Forest side. Forest, with just two points from five games away from home and just two goals scored in those five games… home win.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
50 WIN
Hard to make a case for Wolves. Just two points picked up from eleven games so far, and they have a big minus 18 goal difference. Palace give little away, just two defeats in eleven games, and they can grind out a win. Away win.
15:15 3:15 Ascot
Sans Bruit
Daily Racing
25 EW
The Paul Nicholls trained 7yo got his act together in his final two starts during the spring, winning two quality £50K+ handicap chase races. He should be better for his return run three weeks ago. Top jockey Harry Cobden now takes over in the saddle and the youngster could take his form to another level in this campaign.
15:35 3:35 Haydock
Duke Of Deception
Daily Racing
25 EW
The 8-year-old has consistent and progressive stats. He’s been 1st or 2nd in eleven runs over fences. He won a good handicap four weeks ago after coming off a six-month break, just a 3lb higher mark now, and his stats do suggest he can string a few good runs together once he’s in good shape. He can continue the upward curve this campaign, and he is a previous 25.5f C/D winner.
17:30 Newcastle v Man City
Man City
50 WIN
City are in great form, now second in the table, and they are the league’s top scorers - with a big helping hand from that man ‘Haaland’. A poor start to the season for Newcastle, just three wins from eleven. Confidence won’t be high - they’ve lost three of their last four league games to Brentford, Brighton, and West Ham… away win.
23rd November 2025
14:00 Leeds v Aston Villa
Draw
50 WIN
Villa have been in good form at home recently, but they have only picked up 1 win from 5 away games and scored just three times in those five matches. Leeds have been decent at home, with just 1 defeat in 5, and they’ll make this a good test for Villa… draw.
16:30 Arsenal v Tottenham
Arsenal
50 WIN
Spurs have been great away from home this season, but they’ve won just one of their last four league games. They face a top Arsenal side who have only conceded just one goal at home this season. Home win.
24th November 2025
20:00 Man Utd v Everton
Man Utd
50 WIN
The new Utd players are starting to gel. They have won their last four home league games, beating some decent sides and scoring plenty. Everton can be a tricky side to beat, but they are very average and are up against it in this match. Home win.
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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