the prophet

Three runs this winter for the 4yo filly, below par, but she has been a little too keen and has a more experienced jockey in the saddle now. Plenty of solid runs as a 2yo and 3yo, and if she finds that form again she’s a big player at the weights in this 0-50 contest.

The 6yo could be set for a big run. Just three runs last year after joining a new yard. Not great, but a much better effort two weeks ago after coming off a five-month break. Beaten 3L in the end but only losing out in the closing stages at this track. Similar 11f trip for this handicap and a 2 lb lower mark. She ran to a decent level as a 4yo while rated around 20 lb higher than her current mark.

Excuses for the 7yo last time out at Wolverhampton. He won his previous race, which was at this track; the front two pulled clear of the rest. Only slightly higher in the weights for this handicap. Good jockey change, and this handicap looks very weak.

Despite not winning, the 4yo hasn’t done a lot wrong in his four runs since September. All were Class 4 races with decent RPR ratings posted. He’s on a very handy-looking mark now and is dropping into a Class 5 handicap.

Just eight career runs for the 5yo. Good rating posted in his five starts last year for his previous trainer, and he earned a 71 opening handicap mark and is 9 lb lower now. Two decent runs for his new trainer this winter, and he was a good 3rd of 12 over this C/D two weeks ago. He could have more to offer, and he has a strong jockey change for this handicap.

A big run from the 7yo last week after coming off a nine-month break. He was 2nd of 11 at this track, beaten by just a neck, and was well clear of the rest. He can improve for the run and is running off the same mark but facing much lower-rated rivals in this handicap.

The 5yo has run well in his last two starts. He was runner-up last time out and was a little short of room. The winner, who was then raised 7 lb, had got the first run that day. A decent yardstick was back in third. He posted four high RPR ratings last spring. A return to that level of form would make him a big player off his new low mark.

The 5yo mare progressed nicely last year, winning 2 from 4 on turf during the summer. She has had two flat runs since and was only beaten 2L over this 7f C/D when last seen, finishing strong after some trouble and a bit short of room. She was beaten in that race by two runners who have both run some nice races since and are rated much higher. She has had a nice two-month break, is on a slightly lower mark now, and an apprentice is taking another 5 lb off her back.

Lightly raced 4yo. He ran a nice race over this 5f course and distance last month after coming off a three-month break, and should be better for the run. He was only 4th and beaten 2L that day, outpaced at the finish, but he was beaten by runners rated 78 and 84, with the winner now rated 90. He has a 2 lb lower mark now and has just one rival rated above 69.

Very lightly raced 5-year-old mare who has been rated much higher in the past. Her two runs this winter, after coming off a seven-month break, should have her in good shape now. She was beaten under a length over this 5f trip last month, with the majority of her rivals that day rated 80??"89. Same mark for this handicap, strong jockey change, no rival rated above 70 in this race, and she looks set for a big run.

The 5yo ran well in four of his five turf starts in the second half of last year. Good quality Class 2 handicap races ??" no worries in this Class 3 handicap. He’s returning from a three-month break but is on a handy-looking mark. The trainer has had 3 winners from 7 runners in the last two weeks. The selection has had just three career AW runs, all at this track, resulting in two wins and a third.

Three runs this winter for the 4yo who has found his form. He was a novice stakes winner during Dec. The runner-up won next time out. He was beaten by just a head last month at this class 4 handicap level, posting a high RPR rating and was 6L clear of the rest. The winner from that race won next time out. Same mark for this handicap and should be in the mix.

The 6-year-old is on a good-looking mark now. He was a little unlucky three weeks ago when not getting a clear run and is better judged on his previous start. He was not beaten far in a quality 13-runner handicap that day when finishing 5th, with ten of his rivals rated 95??"104. No rivals are rated above 85 in this handicap, and he should have a more suitable pace. He has a 2 lb lower mark plus an apprentice claiming 5 lb.

The 5-year-old mare was a runner-up three weeks ago at Kempton after being supported in the market. She was returning from a three-month break, tired at the finish and beaten by a progressive type. She should be better for the run. She has been first or second in 7 of 12 AW races. I like the fact that she’s had just one previous run at Newcastle, last April in a £77K Class 2 handicap, finishing a close 3rd of 14. She has a 2 lb lower mark for this Class 4 handicap.