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- 4 of the top 5 in the betting for Next Labour leader are female.
- Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves has been backed at 20/1 but only 6/1 available now
- Angela Rayner has rattled some cages but is 4/1 second favourite behind Andy Burnham to replace Keir Starmer
- Lisa Nandy and Yvette Cooper hold the next two spots in the betting
Andy Burnham may have his sights set on the leadership of the reformed Labour Party but the competition according to the bookmakers all comes from ladies on the Labour benches.
Whilst Burnham is the current favourite to replace Keir Starmer as Labour leader, a look at the betting see's the next four spots in the betting occupied by Angela Rayner, Rachel Reeves, Lisa Nandy and Yvette Cooper.
By combining the odds of the top ten candidates in the betting for the Next Labour Leader we arrive at the following odds and probability percentages, converting to EVENS for a male leader, 11/10 for the first female Labour leader.
| Candidates | Combined Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Male Leader | 1.99 | 50.25% |
| Female Leader | 2.14 | 46.73% |
Burnham gave up his shadow cabinet position to run for Mayor in Greater Manchester, Diane Abbot replacing him in Corbyn's cabinet, since then, his stance has been very much that Labour is 'London-centric', something he has repeated this week at the Labour Party conference events in Brighton.
That will not provide all-around support from his peers, so the chance of a female leader of Labour is getting higher every day and it is now almost a 50/50 chance we will see the first-ever female leader of the Labour Party after Keir Starmer.
Top Female Candidates for Labour Leadership
There is very strong competition for Andy Burnham at the top of the betting market with the next four spots occupied by female shadow cabinet ministers
| Candidate | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Angela Rayner | 5/1 | 17% |
| Rachel Reeves | 6/1 | 14% |
| Lisa Nandy | 11/1 | 8% |
| Yvette Cooper | 13/1 | 7% |
Both deputy leader Angela Rayner with her now-infamous alleged "Scum' comments that have rattled many Labour members and shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves focus on a greener economy and pushing Corbyn's anti-capitalist stance into the background are surely pushing hard at the conference.
Top Male Candidates for Labour Leadership
Outside of Andy Burnham the other chaps in the running to be the Next Labour Leader after Keir Starmer are outside chances at best
| Candidate | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Burnham | 5/2 | 29% |
| Wes Streeting | 20/1 | 5% |
| Sadiq Khan | 20/1 | 5% |
| Dan Jarvis | 22/1 | 4% |
| John McDonnell | 27/1 | 4% |
| Dan Carden | 30/1 | 3% |
With another day of the Labour Party conference in Brighton, Starmer may have begun on Sunday with one eye looking over his shoulder, it might be wise to focus both after this week.
