UK Interest Rate Betting: Now a 75% Chance of Interest Rate Hikes in February

UK Interest Rate Betting: Now a 75% Chance of Interest Rate Hikes in February
Steve Madgwick
Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

Editor-In-Chief with 20 years experience covering the betting angles to breaking news stories. Daily slots player, Portsmouth fan and League Snooker Player

  • The rates have held firm but it is expected a rise in rates will happen in February if bookmaker odds are correct.
  • No raise was holding form at about 6/4 until the 6th Jan when it plummeted to 3/1
  • A rise to 0.5% is looking the most likely outcome bringing an end to Quantitive easing.
  • Pressure comes as inflation remains above 5% with further increases expected.

One way to ease the burden of increasing inflation and a hike in the base rate of interest rates would be to bet on it happening with bookmakers - 

Disclaimer, this does not form any sort of financial advice, indeed, betting on whether interest rates will move, house prices, and recession could be seen as foolhardy - not that it stops bookmakers from making predictions and offering odds on the various potential outcomes. 


The Pound has increased in value against the Euro to it's highest level for almost two years at €1.19 - Investment looks to be coming as confidence grows in the UK economy and expectations of another interest rate rise.

UK Interest Rate Betting Odds

Will the Bank of England Base Rate change in February?

Will the rate Raise? Odds Probability
Yes 1.35 74.07%
No 3.40 29.41%


Whist the odds of another raise have not been supported hugely, there has been a lot of activity with bigger and bigger odds being offered on a No outcome suggesting confidence in no raise has dropped significantly on betting exchanges like Smarkets.

As the pound hit its highest value against the euro in nearly two years, data showed that the UK economy was doing well. Investment here suggests there is some hedging that rates will increase.

Despite Covid, manufacturing activity increased in December. As a result of supply chain delays, factory production increased as staff charged through the epidemic backlog.

The pound bloated to be worth €1.199 - its highest since February 2020.

Bookmakers are predicting. February interest rate hike as a nearly 75% certainty, transferring to betting odds being offered of 1.35 - Effectively providing a 35% return on stakes invested should the raise happen.
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Please login or register to reply to this news article
KEEP READING
Women’s Euro 2025: Spain Favourites Ahead of England and France in Latest Winner Odds

Women’s Euro 2025: Spain Favourites Ahead of England and France in Latest Winner Odds

Spain Women are 7/4 favourites to win Euro 2025 after their World Cup triumph. England and France follow in the betting ahead of the tournament's kick-off on 2 July in Switzerland.
Continue Reading
98th Academy Awards Betting Odds:A fter the Hunt Tops 2026 Best Picture Odds at 6/1 for Oscars Glory

98th Academy Awards Betting Odds:A fter the Hunt Tops 2026 Best Picture Odds at 6/1 for Oscars Glory

Andrew Garfield and Julia Roberts drama After the Hunt leads the field at 6/1 for Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars. Full odds, expert analysis, and betting highlights below.
Continue Reading
Le King Slot Launches Today: Hacksaw Gaming Brings Vegas to the Grid

Le King Slot Launches Today: Hacksaw Gaming Brings Vegas to the Grid

Smokey dons sequins in Hacksaw Gaming’s Le King slot, where Cluster Pays, Golden Squares, jackpot markers and 3 free spins features can lead to epic 20,000 x bet wins.
Continue Reading