Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Bookmakers give 4/1 odds that there is snow at Edinburgh Airport on Christmas Day
- Further south of Britain at London City Airport is 6/1 to snow on Christmas
- Cardiff and Liverpool also feature in market with Betting Sites
Scotland favourite's to have a White Christmas this year with bookmakers
Scotland's odds of a White Christmas have been slashed by bookmakers who go 4/1 that it snows at Edinburgh Airport on Christmas Day this year.
Scotland is known for it's chilly weather in the Winter period and at odds of 4/1 it's clear that bookies think it may be a White Christmas for some this year.
Scotland holds the record for the whitest Christmas in history, with 47cm of snow falling on Christmas Day way back in 1981.
Fast forward 40 years and forecasters are expecting that it may get cold enough for a snowy day on the 25th December this year.
Newcastle also feature in the market at 9/2, just behind Edinburgh in the betting odds, meaning it could be a snowy day for the North-East of England as well as Scotland.
London City Airport just 6/1 to see snow this Christmas Day
The chances of snow falling in London on Christmas Day currently sit at around 14% based on bookmaker odds, with London City Airport the location where they base their odds off.
"The definition that the Met Office uses to define a White Christmas is for one Snowflake to be observed falling in the 24 hours of 25th December" according to the Met Office themselves.
The last recorded White Christmas in the UK was in 2017, with 11% of locations that are used by the Met Office having recorded some sort of snow in that 24 hour period on Christmas Day.
The last time there were widespread recordings of snow on the ground in the UK on Christmas Day was way back in 2010, so 11 years on there could well be a chance of snowfall on Christmas Day.
| Location of Snow on Christmas Day | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh (Airport) | 4/1 | 20% |
| Newcastle (Airport) | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Leeds (Leeds-Bradford Airport) | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Birmingham (Airport) | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| London (City Airport) | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Dublin (Airport) | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Manchester (Airport) | 13/2 | 13.3% |
| Bristol (Airport) | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Liverpool (Airport) | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Cardiff (Airport) | 8/1 | 11.1% |
Cardiff, Liverpool and Bristol judged as outsiders to have snow
At odds of 8/1 for each of Cardiff, Liverpool and Bristol to have snow on Christmas Day, it's fair to say that those three cities are outsiders according to bookmakers.
With an implied probability of 11.1% for each of them, betting sites aren't giving them much of a sniff to see snowfall on December 25th.
Over the next few weeks we should start to see the Met Office's predictions for the weather come Christmas Day and the Winter period especially.
It'll be interesting to see what their probabilities for snow in each of the locations that have been suggested by bookmakers compare to the actual odds that have been put out by these sites.
A snowflake has fallen on Christmas Day 38 times in the last 54 years according to the experts, so more than half of all Christmas Days are statistically a White Christmas in the UK.
It's far rarer to have snow lying on the ground on Christmas Day though and this is something which has only happened on 4 of the last 51 years.
