Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Joey Chestnut is the heavy favourite to win Netflix's Unfinished Beef
- Specials are offered on how many hot dogs Chestnut and Kobayashi will eat
- Netflix hoping to get big views on their live competition
Joey Chestnut is the heavy favourite to win Netflix's Unfinished Beef this weekend
There's a massive face-off in the competitive eating world this week with Joey Chestnut facing Takeru Kobayashi live on Netflix on September 2 and UK betting sites now offer odds.
Kobayashi has been retired for a number of months now after calling it quits earlier this year due to health concerns, but he will come out of retirement to face Chestnut here.
Chestnut himself didn't participate in Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest this year after having a sponsorship with a rival company but instead he competes here competitively.
The two haven't faced off in Nathan's competition since back in 2009 and 15 years on we see them going up against each other here and it's Chestnut who comes into this unsurprisingly as favourite.
Chestnut is seen as the GOAT of competitive eating and is expected to showcase that here with Paddy Power's latest betting market putting him as short as 1/10 to win.
| Chestnut vs. Kobayashi Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Chestnut | 1/10 | 90.9% |
| Takeru Kobayashi | 7/2 | 22.2% |
What the expert says...
Specials are offered on how many hot dogs Chestnut and Kobayashi will eat
Further betting specials are offered on the 'Unfinished Beef' event with betting odds looking at how many Hot Dogs we'll see each eat.
The betting line starts at 55 eaten Hot Dogs for Kobayashi and 70 for Chestnut which shows how competitive it's expected to be.
Chestnut actually has an 11/4 chance of breaking his all-time record of 76 eaten Hot Dogs in this event according to the market.
| Total Hot Dogs Eaten | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Takeru Kobayashi to Eat 55+ Hot Dogs | 8/11 | 57.9% |
| Joey Chestnut to Eat 70+ Hot Dogs | 5/6 | 54.5% |
| Joey Chestnut to Eat 75+ Hot Dogs | 7/5 | 41.7% |
| Takeru Kobayashi to Eat 60+ Hot Dogs | 12/5 | 29.4% |
| Takeru Kobyashi to Eat 65+ Hot Dogs | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Joey Chestnut to Eat 80+ Hot Dogs | 17/1 | 5.6% |
| Takeru Kobayashi to Eat 70+ Hot Dogs | 17/1 | 5.6% |
| Takeru Kobayashi to Eat 75+ Hot Dogs | 60/1 | 1.6% |
| Joey Chestnut to Eat 85+ Hot Dogs | 150/1 | 0.7% |
Netflix hoping to get big views on their live competition
Netflix will air Chestnut vs. Kobayashi: Unfinished Beef live on their platform on September 2 with the show set to air at 8pm UK time.
The streaming service is ramping up its live events with Jake Paul v Mike Tyson also airing live on Netflix in November this year.
Netflix have also signed an exclusive deal to air WWE Raw every week starting from 2025 in a massive signing.
| How many viewers will watch event? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.3m | 5/6 | 54.5% |
| Under 1.3m | 5/6 | 54.5% |
