I've spent over 20 years inside the betting industry. I'll guide you to avoid the hype, ignore the noise, and steer clear of the common pitfalls that catch out everyday punters.
- The Greens are favourites with bookmakers to gain this seat from the Conservatives
- Rachel Milward edges probability with betting sites at 54% chance.
- Voting takes place Thursday 2nd December
- It is Even money with bookmakers Bruce Rainbow wins in Hartfield
Hartfield is probably most famous for A.A. Milne and the bridge where Pooh dropped sticks, but on Thursday 2nd December villagers will drop sticks and head to the polls in the local by-election with the event a two-horse race between the incumbent Conservatives and Determined Greens represented by Rachel Milward.
This is no minor event, so much so that bookmakers are offering betting odds on the outcome of the election making The Greens favourites to win and reverse the 2019 result when the result was
- 559 Conservatives
- 428 Green
Hartfield by-election Betting Odds
| Party | Representative | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greens | Rachel Milward | 1.80 (4/5) | 55.56% |
| Conservative | Bruce Rainbow | 2.00 (Evens) | 50% |
**Odds probability include bookmakers overround edge - meaning percentages will add up to over 100%, this being the bookies edge - How bookmakers use odds
The Candidates
The two candidates going head to head for Hartfield are Rachel Milward for Greens and the wonderfully monikered Bruce Rainbow, both local residents with a passion for the village and surrounding areas
Rachel Milward
Rachel’s top three priorities will be:
- Stop building on the AONB
- No more sewage in the River Medway
- Protect the Ashdown Forest now
Bruce Rainbow
Bruce, a retired accountant who has resided in Hartfield for 33 years and is familiar with the region and its problems, is a strong advocate of AONBs. He is a devoted conservationist and big supporter of the AONB. Social justice, free enterprise, and democracy are all core Conservative ideas that he believes in.
