Hartfield By-Election Betting: Is it Green for Go? Bookmakers Think So

Hartfield By-Election Betting: Is it Green for Go? Bookmakers Think So
Steve Madgwick
Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

Editor-In-Chief with 20 years experience covering the betting angles to breaking news stories. Daily slots player, Portsmouth fan and League Snooker Player

  • The Greens are favourites with bookmakers to gain this seat from the Conservatives
  • Rachel Milward edges probability with betting sites at 54% chance.
  • Voting takes place Thursday 2nd December
  • It is Even money with bookmakers Bruce Rainbow wins in Hartfield

Hartfield is probably most famous for A.A. Milne and the bridge where Pooh dropped sticks, but on Thursday 2nd December villagers will drop sticks and head to the polls in the local by-election with the event a two-horse race between the incumbent Conservatives and Determined Greens represented by Rachel Milward.

This is no minor event, so much so that bookmakers are offering betting odds on the outcome of the election making The Greens favourites to win and reverse the 2019 result when the result was 

  • 559 Conservatives
  • 428 Green

Hartfield by-election Betting Odds

Party Representative Odds Probability
Greens Rachel Milward 1.80 (4/5) 55.56%
Conservative Bruce Rainbow 2.00 (Evens) 50%

**Odds probability include bookmakers overround edge - meaning percentages will add up to over 100%, this being the bookies edge - How bookmakers use odds

Conservatives won by a good number in the last by-election in Hartfield in 2019, but the table are considered for turning by betting sites who make the Greens favourite to win under Rachel Milward
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

The Candidates

The two candidates going head to head for Hartfield are Rachel Milward for Greens and the wonderfully monikered Bruce Rainbow, both local residents with a passion for the village and surrounding areas

Rachel Milward

Rachel’s top three priorities will be:

  1. Stop building on the AONB
  2. No more sewage in the River Medway
  3. Protect the Ashdown Forest now

Bruce Rainbow

Bruce, a retired accountant who has resided in Hartfield for 33 years and is familiar with the region and its problems, is a strong advocate of AONBs. He is a devoted conservationist and big supporter of the AONB. Social justice, free enterprise, and democracy are all core Conservative ideas that he believes in.

According to bookmakers, the 'somewhere' over this particular Rainbow will be Rachel Milward who represents the Greens in Thursdays' Hartfield local by-election and has a 55% chance of taking back from the Tories.
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Political Betting Guides

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