French Presidential Election Betting Odds - Macron Pulling Clear - Le Pen Falling

French Presidential Election Betting Odds - Macron Pulling Clear - Le Pen Falling
Steve Madgwick
Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

Editor-In-Chief with 20 years experience covering the betting angles to breaking news stories. Daily slots player, Portsmouth fan and League Snooker Player

  • Macron's lead in the betting for the Presidency increases and now 65% likely to win
  • Marine Le Pens challenge has dropped from a 27% chance to just 8% according to bookies
  • Éric Zemmour's chance has risen from 4% to 17% in recent weeks
  • Macron expected to win 20-25% of the Vote share with betting sites

Emmanuel Macron's chance of winning the French presidential election in April next year looks to be getting more and more solid by the day of the bookmakers odds on his victory chance are anything to go by.

His chance has always been around odds of Evens, or a probability of 50% or so but in recent weeks, that has risen to 62.50% with bookmakers shortening his betting odds to odds on 4/6.

French Presidential Betting Odds

Candidate Odds Probability
Emmanuel Macron 1.60 62.50%
Éric Zemmour
8.2 12.20%
Marine Le Pen 12.0 8.33%
Michel Barnier
21 4.76%


His previous closest rival Marine Le Pen has dropped out of favour recently, having been the second favourite, he has dropped below Éric Zemmour as an 11/1 chance. His once 27% probability of landing the seat now reduced to just 12%.

Zemmour on the other hand has leap-frogged Le Pen whilst tripling his probability from just 4% to over 12% as of today - how that popularity continues to increase between now and April, we will have to wait and see

Macron's chance of winning the Election in April has done nothing but strengthen continuously as Le Pen has fallen away to be replaced by Eirs Zemmour whose probability has trebled from 4% to 12% in recent weeks.
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Vote Share

A huge guideline as to how the full election will go is taking into consideration the first voting phase. Bookmakers are offering banded value to bet on here too and it is worth doing a little research on betting on the French Presidential Elections to see what other markets are available.

They include

  • First Round Winners
  • Top 2 Finishers
  • Vote Share
  • Outright Winner

What share of the vote will Emmanuel Macron receive in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election?

Range Odds Probability
Under 15% 12.5 8.00%
15-20% 4.90 20.41%
20-25% 2.74 36.50%
25-30% 3.00 33.33%
Over 30% 5.20 19.23%


Bookmakers give Emmanuel Macron a 70% chance that he will gain between 20-30% of the 1st Vote share in the elections in April 2022
Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

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