Eurovision Semi-Final 2 Betting: Sweden 78% chance of winning Heat, 99% chance of Qualification

Eurovision Semi-Final 2 Betting: Sweden 78% chance of winning Heat, 99% chance of Qualification
Steve Madgwick
Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

I've spent over 20 years inside the betting industry. I'll guide you to avoid the hype, ignore the noise, and steer clear of the common pitfalls that catch out everyday punters.

  • Sweden as close to a dead cert to qualify with bookmakers giving them a 99% chance of progressing
  • Only Sweden and Poland are Single figure odds to win the semi-final, from Poland onward the odds are 14/1 or greater
  • Armenia, Greece, Iceland, Lithuania, Moldova, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Switzerland and Ukraine already though from the 1st Semi Final
  • Bigger than 3/1 for Ireland to Qualify according to bookmakers

The first Semi Final has completed and ten countries have joined the big five of UK, Spain, Germany, France and Italy in the final on Saturday night. Who got through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Step forward Armenia, Greece, Iceland, Lithuania, Moldova, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Switzerland and Ukraine

Sweden are bookmakers dead certs to qualify for Saturdays final from Semi-Final 2 and join Armenia, Greece, Iceland, Lithuania, Moldova, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Switzerland and Ukraine who went through from the first in Tuesday night
Steve Madgwick - Entertainment Betting Specialist - OLBG.com

Tomorrow night sees the second and final round of qualification to complete the final line up and another ten countries will progress to the grand finale.

The outright favourite to do so is Sweden who bookmakers have given a 99% probability of appearing on Saturday night, and only offer odds of just 1.28 to win the semi outright, which would win you only £28 for every £100 you bet on them to win, such is the confidence

Odds to Win Semi-Final 2 of Eurovision

The first 5 in the betting to win the second semi final take us right up to 20/1, so betting sites are really not looking for the winner to come from outside this group

Country Odds Probability
Sweden 7/25 78.13%
Poland 11/2 15.38%
Australia 14/1 6.67%
Finland 16/1 5.88%
Estonia 20/1 4.76%
Serbia 20/1 4.76%


What About Ireland?

The country with the greatest Eurovision record of them all including the most wins and a dominant period throughout the 1990s, Ireland are the outsiders to qualify for the final from this second semi final.

Bookmakers have them priced up at bigger than 3/1 just to qualify for the final on Saturday night which is a harsh come down from the dominance they have previously shown in the contest and the country that has won the title more than any other.

According to the bookmakers, Eurovision's most successful country, Ireland is the complete outsider to qualify for the final at odds greater than 3/1 to get to Saturday night. A come down from previous dominance of the competition
Steve Madgwick - Entertainment Betting Specialist - OLBG.com

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