Aryna Sabalenka vs Laura Siegemund Tips

At number 1, Sabalenka is ranked 103 places above Siegemund. She has by far the better win/loss record this year and should win.

Sabalenka is the bookies' favorite, but her performance isn't great. Excluding the opening game (when played 7-5), she played a tiebreak in every single game since the second round, while Laura won every match in straight sets. Her serve game is fantastic. She won 67+% of her own first serve points. She is impressive. Moreover, in the second week of every Grand Slam, the gap is smaller than in the first week on the main table.

Siegemund is quite experienced and has had a great run, achieving her best personal result ever in Wimbledon by reaching the quarterfinal round. However, the World No. 1, Aryna Sabalenka, should easily beat her.

By backing this option as well as Laura to win, in effect, I am backing Laura to win a set, which at decent odds is a solid chance here. Aryna at times makes too many unforced errors, which could prove her undoing here.

The two previous meetings between these players have seen Sabalenka winning both matches in straight sets. Likely, Sabalenka, as world number 1, will win the first set again.

The underdog players in the opening set have the best chance to win a set. But Siegemund's serve game was so impressive in the previous week, while Sabalenka's sets went the distance often. I see value in this pick.

Laura will stay in most of the rallies and has a solid all-round game. If Aryna has a bit of an off day with unforced errors, as she does from time to time, then there is every chance.