8:15 Southwell Tips

Ran well at Dundalk last time out in a handicap. Comes out fairly quickly for a top Irish stable and should have a big chance in this company today.

Faces a tough task against Grey Sands, who is expected to build on a strong Dundalk effort. but might just get there.

Chilliconcarneigh is probably this price due to the maiden tag and looks likely to be a winner before too long. Likely to go close again and could have the win in this.

Consistent sort who keeps showing promise over this distance. Weighted to maybe edge Chilliconcarne, who in turn should go close to Karakula Dancer.

Monks Hill is a gelding rated 57 who has shown he can be competitive off this mark. Notably, he finished second in a Southwell all-weather handicap over today’s trip after travelling well and only giving best late within two lengths, and again when running a close third over a similar distance after staying on strongly. Those efforts confirm the surface and trip suit him and that today’s rating is workable. His better runs have come when able to settle into a rhythm and build through the race. Conditions today mirror those solid performances, giving clear reasons to expect him to run to form and be involved in the finish.

Ezera is a filly rated 56 who has shown she can be competitive off this mark, notably when finishing third over today’s trip after travelling well and sticking on to be beaten under two lengths, and again when running on late in a similar Southwell race having been held up. Those efforts confirm the surface and distance suit and that she can operate effectively off today’s weight. Her better runs have come when allowed to settle and be delivered late off an honest pace, which looks likely again. With her odds suggesting an each-way type rather than a standout, this is a more speculative angle, but there is a clear case for her to run to that level and get involved late if things fall right.

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