5:43 Southwell Tips

A course-and-distance winner from 2 lbs higher and in a better race, this horse has an obvious chance despite the poor draw. Unlucky in running LTO, he is obviously in form and appreciates this swift turnaround between races. Jack has a 42% strike rate on board him and a 20% strike rate over this trip here. The draw is a worry, and he will need to be ridden more forward than is the norm. In each of his best-rated runs according to RPR he was handy, so more of that would be nice.

Sea Suite has dropped to a workable 72 after a string of modest efforts, capped by that Newmarket ninth. But rewind to his excellent neck second of 13 at Sandown and you see the talent is still there. He just needs to fire again. Cieren Fallon takes the ride for a trainer saddling winners regularly (22% strike rate), and at 7f on the AW, where his Sea The Stars pedigree fits perfectly, a freshened-up run could see him place. So I give him the benefit of the doubt after four months off.

Suited by this trip and won at Wolverhampton last month. Beaten in a better race at Chelmsford last time, but is good each-way value today.

No comment made

Winner over course and distance last month who lost nothing in defeat when 2nd in a follow-up bid a week later. Well beaten over a mile last time, but it would be no surprise to see him bounce back at 7 furlongs this evening.