5:12 Newcastle Tips

CD winner, regular jockey in the saddle. Drops down into Class 6 since last Class 6 win on turf. Slightly easier company today. When seen last time leading here, then fading in the last furlong.

Has been running well without winning recently. This sort of five-furlong handicap is almost a roll of the dice. The selection has a course-and-distance win. Drawn in stall one is generally deemed a disadvantage here. However, it lengthens the odds more than it should, so some value.

I'm prepared to consider the out-of-form Orbital Chime returning back to Class Six. This is a significant drop in quality of opposition. Won when last seen in this grade on Southwell's Tapeta from a pound higher in the weights. Has the potential, if back in that sort of mood, to give us a place return. The jockey is a negative but probably still worth overlooking at this price.

Things haven’t worked out for the 4yo filly in her last two starts. She was too keen last time and didn’t get a clear run previously. She was beaten 4L four runs back, but that was in a 0-80 rated handicap. She now runs in a 0-65 contest and is effectively 16 lb better off from that November run.