7:00 Kempton Tips

Buccabay had his best two runs since changing yards when here, with a win in December after a duff start off a 78, and a close second in January off an 81. He's only up 1 lb for that latest run and is worth another shot.

Hundred Caps is a horse that has found a new lease on life after veterinary surgery and is shaping up to be a consistent surprise. His odds are 81. He stands out for his consistency, rarely finishing far from the payouts. He has become 'ultra-consistent' since his second respiratory surgery last summer. Dylan Hogan is in the saddle for trainer Miss J. A. Camacho. This team typically optimizes the performance of horses with pre-existing health issues.

This is the best AW sprint angle of the day. Watson/Doyle at Kempton is such a positive match. The horse is a sprinter, so the field becomes quite irrelevant once it's in the mood and going, especially as its rivals have some holes.

Im happy to play a point here with City Cyclone. He got the win for us last time over C&D at 12/1 and hes followed up since with another gutsy win at Wolverhampton going up in trip. Hes only gone up 3lb for both wins and i fancy him back over C&D, wide draw not ideal but he's the type to run a true line down the outside providing he gets the run. Buccabay is the danger but if City Cyclone can get into a good gallop he just keeps finding more and 11/1 looks ideal.

This 5-year-old, known for his front-running style, achieved victory over 5f at Chelmsford in January and has since finished a commendable 3rd over this C&D. He has been a profitable choice for pointers, with one source reporting a 13% ROI over his career, and he presents fantastic value at 16/1 for an each-way wager.

This will either be one of the best or worst bets I will place all year. I have seen him three times over this distance previously, with two being poor runs and the other one of his best. The first was his debut, where he ran too green to do himself justice. In the last, he ran prominently from a wide draw and weakened out of it. Both of those I’m excusing. The middle of those runs is interesting, though, as he split horses now rated 108 and 109. It’s been slim pickings since that run in April of last year, and his own mark has slid from 102 to 81. So he’s either gone off the game completely, or this change of trip (this time from a decent draw in stall one) could revitalize him. On current form he may as well be 100/1, but in any sort of form he’s better than these. Looks worth the gamble, but that’s exactly what it is tonight: a gamble.

Marching Mac is a horse that prefers to run at or near its initial speed. Historically, his victories have come from establishing a strong pace from the start in 5-furlong races. The challenge now is to maintain that pace over the 6-furlong Kempton, a distance where his effectiveness diminishes if the pace is too demanding at the beginning. He presents himself as a competitor with a very specific profile as a 'turf specialist' looking to break his losing streak on synthetic surfaces.