2:20 Kempton Tips

A beaten favourite over course and distance last time out when waiting for room and didn’t get the clearest run. Third of ten, beaten by 2 lengths in that race, and remains on the same mark.

Three runs since the spring for the 5yo mare, going close in a couple of those races which were over this 8f trip on the polytrack, and the form is fine. Good apprentice in the saddle - 6 winners and a 21% strike rate in the last two weeks - and his 5lb claim puts her on a handy-looking mark. She was rated quite a bit higher earlier in the year. She’ll be fresh after a two-month break.

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This is a crazy price for a horse that was leading at this trip before fading in the final few furlongs on his only previous handicap at the course. It's therefore abundantly clear that a return to this course and a drop in trip is almost certain to see the horse go closer now that he has his conditions. He's still unexposed and has the early pace to grab a good position from a favourable draw. The same jockey is booked and he's 5 lower now too.