5:00 Dundalk Tips

My pick is The Liffey. He’s a former Curragh winner with solid all-weather form and repeatedly high RPRs, and he drops into a claimer here off what looks a very workable weight. The forecast market has him clear favourite ahead of largely exposed types, and Colin Keane taking the ride is a big positive in these tactical mile races. If he runs anywhere near his better Dundalk handicap efforts, he should have too much class at this level.

Harry The Rogue is a 5yo gelding trained by Andrew Slattery. He runs today in a claimer, which I find quite surprising given his consistency in big-field handicaps. He's 0-12 on the AW but has posted a RPR of 83 and has four runner-up finishes at Dundalk over trips ranging from 7??'10.5f, so the surface is not the issue. Possibly just race placement. Today's claimer and a drop in trip could give Harry The Rogue the edge under promising 7 lb apprentice Orla Tynan (4/29 wins for her father M. J. Tynan and twice for Andrew Slattery and 3/12 at Dundalk) and she boasts a LSP of £73.88. Harry The Rogue is dropped back in distance today and runs for the first time over a mile since a 2/13 in a Gowran claimer behind an 80-rated Shoot To Kill. The Liffey, officially rated 86, is the only horse that comes close to that mark in this contest and on paper is the one to beat. Obvious chance; put in an RFC with The Liffey.

Trainer and owner have got four entered in this race. This one has won over this course and distance. They are dropping it back down in trip, with a 7 lb claiming jockey booking/change. A good value each-way bet.

Showed small signs of a return to some better form when finishing 4th at this course last time out in a Maiden race, today's race wont be much tougher so another decent run isn't ruled out.

Very small each-way tip for this horse, risky tip. Poor form the last 3 runs but he ran well the time before that. Did too much too soon last time so if hold up tactis are used today, he may put in a better effort.