6:59 Kinsley Tips

Thunder Run at 3.75 is a form and pace call rather than a price comparison, because the books I can see are still SP-only on this race. She won a 268m D3 at Kinsley on August 10 in a Timeform-adjusted 15.92, quick away and leading throughout for a 105 rating, and her July 17 run rated 102 after leading from the first bend to halfway. The two defeats in between look worse than they were: she was forced back and crowded on August 6, and knocked over at the first bend on July 23. Trap four gives her a cleaner run to the first bend than the two outer runners, which matters at Kinsley. Early pace is her whole case, so any trouble at the break ends it, and that is why this is a normal stake.