Auxerre v Metz Tips

Auxerre are poor overall but far more solid at home defensively, conceding only 0.7 goals per home game. They have kept several clean sheets recently despite limited scoring. Metz, by contrast, concede heavily away from home, averaging 3.5 goals against per away game, with a very fragile defence despite a slightly higher league position. With Auxerre desperate to end a nine-game winless run and Metz’s away weakness, a home win at near-even money looks slightly overpriced and offers reasonable value at 2.00 odds.

Metz's tactical ability to absorb pressure and deliver swift, clinical counter-attacks, utilizing their pacy wingers, provides solid justification for this risky win.

Two bottom-table, low-scoring sides in need of points to avoid the drop here. Auxerre have netted only 8 goals in their 14 matches so far this season, and Metz have scored 14 in 14. Last time both met here the game ended in a goalless draw, and with so much at stake for both sides I see another low-scoring affair.

Metz's last 10 away games have seen a remarkable 50 goals scored in them, an average of 5 per game. Auxerre have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 9.