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81% strike rate on Tennis in the last 2 weeks
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Peyton Stearns won their only past meeting, and only because Madison Keys retired. With little between them on current form, it's worth giving Keys a chance to avenge that defeat, and she is ranked 36 places higher.
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8 wins in his last 9 matches for Casper Ruud, and he's in stunning form against Alexander Bublik, whom he has beaten in 6 of their last 7 meetings.
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World number 2 Iga Swiatek leads 7-1 in past meetings against Danielle Collins. Based on the player's current form in 2025, she should have no trouble adding to those wins.
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First meeting between the two players, but Alex De Minaur is ranked 87 places above Luca Nardi and has a very good record against players ranked below him and has the better recent form.