greek1971

BUNNY BEE has only raced three times so is very unexposed. Henrietta Knight must think something of her entering her in a Listed bumper race for her first run under Rules. She flopped that day finishing last. A month later she made her hurdle debut at Fontwell, sent off at 50/1, she showed massive improvement to finish 2nd of 13. The winner won comfortably but she had two decent types behind her in 3rd and 4th and thats pretty useful form in my opinion. Last time out she was pulled-up at Wincanton but the ground was heavy so we can forgive that effort. The market leaders don't look anything special having inconsistent form and/or weak form lines. Jockey Paul O'Brien rejoins her after that great hurdle debut and a repeat of that performance will give her a sporting chance at fantastic odds! PASSAGE DU MAURE (20/1) is also worth an each-way bet.

Juvenile hurdle races can be very unpredictable, as young horses can develop and improve at different rates. Two horses that ran to a similar level a month ago and are priced closely today can perform very differently. None of these horses today have raced more than twice over hurdles, so putting big bets on the market leaders is poor value. PSYCHOLOGICAL DRAMA (40/1) ran well on debut, finishing a close-up 3rd of 5 at Leicester in November ??" beaten just under 5 lengths by one of her rivals today, Lucy The Wire. She is 7 lb better off with that rival today. On her second hurdle race in December, she was leading the field and jumping well until stumbling at the sixth hurdle. Although she maintained her position, she weakened shortly after and finished 6th of 11 (beaten 25 lengths). That's a fair excuse, and she will have learned from that. Highest rated on Geegeex Speed Ratings. Jockey Stan Sheppard rejoins her again, which is another positive.

Mullins and Elliot train the market leaders and they have reasonable hurdle form, but the value bet is KAISER DE CHANAY (16/1) in my opinion. He finished a close-up 5th of 12 (beaten 9 lengths) in his race at Navan in January on only his second start over hurdles, where the average OR of his rivals was higher than those in the races the market leaders have contested. The form of that race has worked out very well with 2 winners and a placed effort since. The heavy ground today will not be an issue and JJ Slevin rejoins him.

IEMERALD TIME was making his hurdle debut after a 270-day break when I tipped him 4th February. He jumped like a seasoned hurdler and was right there at the front until tiring close home and falling two out. He'll be fitter today on more favourable ground. Tom Bellamy rejoins him which is another plus. His rivals today do not look as strong as they did back at Ludlow and I'm confident of a big run.