greek1971

Focusing on non-handicap hurdle races in the UK and Ireland.

1

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this month

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this month

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10 June 2024
16:48 4:48 Roscommon

St Anthonys Corner

Daily Racing

100 EW

@21.00

Lose

-200

Only seven go to post in this competitive novice hurdle. ST ANTHONYS CORNER (20/1) has arguably the best record having never been beaten under Rules.....he has only raced once though! He beat 14 rivals on good ground two weeks ago and he is entitled to respect here against others that have plenty of chinks in their armour. Apprentice jockey, Robbie Geoghegan, who steered him to victory last time, rejoins him today. With age and jockey allowances, he has an even bigger advantage relative to his rivals today than he did at Ballinrobe. This is a warmer race but he will be more tuned-up for this and he looks a value bet.
1 member found this comment useful
09 June 2024
16:05 4:05 Punchestown

Topgun Simmy

Daily Racing

125 EWNAP

@9.00

Win

1200

A tricky race to predict at first glance. I always like to take on short-odds favourites like the Mullins horse, Uncle Pat (5/4F), really poor value for one that hasn't ran for 301 days and that was in an average flat race. Of those with respectable hurdling experience, TOPGUN SIMMY (8/1) looks the best bet. He achieved a close 4th of 11 on hurdling debut last month on good ground in a race which has produced two winners since. Paddy Hanlon knows the horse and takes 7lb off. He'll only improve for this experience whereas the other hurdlers have had plenty of chances and now looking rather exposed.
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15:30 3:30 Punchestown

Cottesloe Sunshine

Daily Racing

100 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@10.00

Win

80

Another race where only several have realistic chances. COTTESLOE SUNSHINE (9/1) has only raced in one bumper and one hurdle race but has she performed well on both occasions against decent opposition. J O'Brien stable are in good form and promising apprentice jockey Oakley Brown takes 5lb off.
13:27 1:27 Perth

Kimjoy

Daily Racing

100 EW

@12.00

Lose

-200

KIMJOY (12/1) showed massive improvement on her second run over hurdles back in April, and was mounting a serious challenge to win that race before falling at the last! That improvement may have been partly due to the good ground and the longer 2m 4f trip, she gets that today. Kimjoy seems to be the trainers top hope of three runners employing the services of Brian Hughes who has an excellent record at Perth.
1 member found this comment useful
08 June 2024
15:07 3:07 Punchestown

Kimy

Daily Racing

100 EW

@34.00

Win

560

Fourth in a decent maiden hurdle race in January, KIMY then went on to contest a Grade 1 against the likes of Kargese where she found the action too hot. She was obviously though capable of better things to have even been entered for a top race like that so it was very disappointing that she also pulled up on her reappearance 3 weeks ago back down in class. Maybe she needed the run after 3 months off or something was amiss that day, either way, I'm prepared to give her a chance today in race where the competiton is pretty weak.
13:40 1:40 Bangor on Dee

Upagainstit

Daily Racing

100 EW

@7.00

Win

20

07 June 2024
13:48 1:48 Market Rasen

Brave Jen

Daily Racing

125 EW

@8.00

Lose

-250

BRAVE JEN has raced six times over hurdles. She won a Class 1 Listed event over 2 miles on good-soft ground at the start of December. That form is head-and-shoulders above anything in this race today. The caveat is that the other five races she has contested have been, at first glance, disappointing. Dig a little deeper and one could argue she has been unlucky, The race before her win was her first run over hurdles so obvious excuse there, the race after was a Grade 1 event and was simply too hot. The 4th attempt was probably over too far (2m 5f), the 5th race was over 2m but in heavy ground, and the 6th race she fell at the first hurdle! She has her first run for her new trainer today and I'm giving her a chance on her best form.
03 June 2024
14:50 2:50 Listowel

Ollie La Ba Ba

Daily Racing

150 EWNAP

@21.00

Lose

-300

A 16-strong field but only a handful with chances on form. OLLIE LA BA BA (25/1) has been tried over varying distances and has encountered a range of ground conditions, I think he has his perfect conditions here back down to 2 miles on good ground. He posted a close second at Cork last October but then went on to unseat at the first on his first attempt at 2 miles later that month. His first run this season at Killarney two weeks ago, over 2 miles 4 furlongs saw him run well until the 2 mile mark, that could have just been lack of race fitness and/or confirmation that he really is a 2-miler. With the highest Topspeed rating and second highest RP Rating (only 1lb behind the favourite) we have a confident each-way play at tasty odds in weak field.
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01 June 2024
17:55 5:55 Stratford

Value Added

Daily Racing

175 EWNAP

@11.00

Win

175

VALUE ADDED makes plenty of appeal to improve on her excellent hurdle debut last month where she was only beaten by 5 lengths in a very hot race for the grade. Trainer and jockey are in excellent form and know this course very well. The conditions of this race mean she is carrying a massive 20lb less than the favourite and 13lb less than the only other two horses that have realistic hopes.
17:23 5:23 Stratford

Moon Lady

Daily Racing

50 EW

@36.00

Lose

-100

A speculative each-way on MOON LADY who had a poor hurdle debut last July but has shown significant improvement in her points races. If that improvement transfers to her second attempt over hurdles then she could outrun her lofty odds. In-form jockey, Ben Godfrey takes the reins

Wales

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-200

WALES posted an easy win at the start of the month at this track, which was also his hurdle debut! Today's ground is the same but the trip is slightly longer but that shouldn't be a concern.
15:00 3:00 Listowel

Pahlavi

Daily Racing

100 EW

@6.50

Win

10

PAHLAVI showed massive improvement when a close second earlier this month at Down Royal. That was after a 303 day lay-off so he will only improve for this. He beat the talented Mordor that day which makes this the best form in this race. Competent apprentice jockey Paddy Hanlon takes 7lb off and another 8lb is taken off for not having won a race under Rules before. He should win, but as is usual, I'll play safe with an each-way!
30 May 2024
18:40 6:40 Warwick

Espoir Des Forges

Daily Racing

100 EW

@7.00

Win

20

A strange race in that the two short-priced market leaders, although having contested higher class races, have shown a significant degree of inconsistency. This is a maiden hurdle after all so none of these have won a hurdle race, but I do like to look at unexposed types and ESPOIR DES FORGES (6/1) is just that. He finished a very close second over this course and distance last month against some decent types and can go well again with the ground also in his favour.
17:45 5:45 Limerick

Field A Thistles

Daily Racing

100 EWNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 29/05 at 23:210.00 deduction for Kanpai@81.00 withdrawn at 09:430.15 deduction for Savante @6.000 withdrawn at 10:510.00 deduction for Monty Cross @101.000 withdrawn at 16:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.15) = 14.60

@14.60

Win

172

Several with chances but none that look banker material. FIELD A THISTLES raced three times over 2 miles in bumpers (NH flat races) last season finishing 5 lengths 4th in each race, thats decent and consistent form. Three weeks ago, after a 172-day break, she tried 2m 3f on hurdle debut, she ran well but faded 2 furlongs out. Back down to 2 miles and with race fitness, she has a lot in her favour.
14:28 2:28 Ffos Las

Scintillante

Daily Racing

100 EW

@17.00

Lose

-200

The top three in the market are making their hurdle debuts, the favourite Guard Duty has also not ran for 474 days so race fitness is a concern for that one. Those with hurdling experience look a modest bunch at first glance, but of them, SCINTILLANTE (16/1) may be something special. She was a very good flat horse last season winning twice at 1m 4f and favouring good ground. On hurdle/stable debut 3 weeks ago she ran well before running out of steam late on. That effort was her first run after a 190-day break so she can be expected to be fitter this time.
27 May 2024
17:00 5:00 Ballinrobe

Tomas O Maille

Daily Racing

100 EW

@17.00

Lose

-200

A big field for this maiden hurdle but only a few with chances on form. Ground is described as 'good' today which is firmer than most of these have encountered recently. Of the market principals, I think MARV MICHAEL (4/1) has the best chance. Our selection TOMAS O'MAILLE (16/1) though has ran enough to show that this step up to 2m 6f on good ground is a smart move and he should be right there at the finish.
14:40 2:40 Huntingdon

Ikigai Star

Daily Racing

150 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 12.00 on 27/05 at 10:520.35 deduction for Realistic Optimism@2.75 withdrawn at 13:49R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 11.00 x (1-0.35) = 8.15

@8.15

Win

1287

This race has very little quality. The even money favourite hasn't raced for 611 days and that was only on the flat! Second favourite, Cusano, was beaten 13 lengths (4th) by some very mediocre competition last time out. IKIGAI STAR (11/1) finished a close 4th on hurdle debut at start of April in a decent race and although beaten by 28 lengths on his second start earlier this month, he was running a decent race before making a significant error 4 out which ended his chances. Lilly Pinchin knows the horse and Huntingdon very well and a bold show is expected today.
14:20 2:20 Cartmel

Thatswhatshesaid

Daily Racing

125 EWNB

@12.00

Lose

-250

Only six runners and I normally try and avoid each-way bets when only two pay out but I like the look of THATSWHATHESAID (11/1) for a few reasons at this quirky Cumbrian course close to where I live. Cartmel has the longest flat section between the last hurdle and the winning post and favours horses with good flat experience and speed, THATSWHATHESAID won his flat debut in January on the tapeta surface at Newcastle and finished close-up next time in a very good race where the soft surface may not have been to his liking. Back on good ground today and with the deadly Donald McCain/Brian Hughes partnership, I can see an upset on the cards!
23 May 2024
19:25 7:25 Limerick

Caesar Rock

Daily Racing

100 EW

@13.00

Lose

-200

Another Beginners Chase! CAESAR ROCK (12/1) is the most experienced chaser in the field. He needed his comeback run back in May when well-beaten. He is much better than that and should now have race-fitness and ideal conditions.
18:25 6:25 Limerick

The Friday Man

Daily Racing

100 EW

@11.00

Lose

-200

An all-chase card at Limerick today. I don't often dabble with chases but this Beginners Chase offers some angle. THE FRIDAY MAN (10/1) has the most experience over these bigger obstacles. Latest two runs were not great but he evidently prefers good ground up to 2miles 4 furlongs and he returns to these conditions today.
21 May 2024
13:55 1:55 Punchestown

Bold Brook

Daily Racing

100 EW

@26.00

Lose

-200

A big field but only a few with chances. BOLD BROOK (25/1) had a promising debut hurdle race last month at Downpatrick finishing just 6 lengths off the winner (6th). He finished a head behind One Night Standard who went on to win a decent race next time out so there is evidence that the performance was solid, it was also his first run after a long lay-off so he should have more race fitness today.
18 May 2024
17:55 5:55 Uttoxeter

Disco Daisy

Daily Racing

250 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-250

A competitive novice hurdle in which there are three previous winners. DISCO DAISY has the best form and is still on the upgrade having only been beaten in a Listed bumper. She comfortably beat two decent horses last time out in a Class 3 on hurdle debut over this distance so today's drop in class should be no worry.
15:55 3:55 Bangor on Dee

Dapper Gent

Daily Racing

100 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@19.00

Win

259

DAPPER GENT came a close second in a seller race last time out which doesn't sound like great form but he beat some OK horses that day and he showed massive improvement over his February run which admittedly was his first run after 2 years off. The form of today's rivals isn't great so he is way over-proced at 18/1. Danny McMenamin takes the reins again and a small each-way bet looks the play. CRYSTAL LAKE (6/1) is going to be my other each-way play after a promising debut run las time, she receives nearly a stone from the others for filly and age allowances.
16 May 2024
19:30 7:30 Clonmel

Kimy

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-250

Easy pick on form. First run over hurdles (in Ireland) was very promising. Last time out he was obviously thought of enough to contest a Grade 1 against the likes of Kargese. Still unexposed, that form is street's ahead of anything today.
17:30 5:30 Clonmel

Mount Anglesby

Daily Racing

100 EW

@11.00

Lose

-200

MOUNT ANGLESEY seemed to getvhis act together LTO, probably a combination of improvement with experience and race fitness, with the conditions more to suit. He gets the conditions again today and go close with his regular jockey.

Secrecies Of Stone

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-200

Well this fella has more than halved in price since I mentioned it on the winning NAP post this morning! I still think he is the quality horse in the field bur just doesn't quite look so attractive at 4/1. Medium win bet so we can have an each-way poke in the same race.....
17:10 5:10 Fontwell

Briefly

Daily Racing

150 EWNB

@8.00

Win

60

Hendersons odds-on favourite won by a country mile LTO but he didn't beat much and is penalised today so I'm taking him on with BRIEFLY from the in-form Honeyball yard and benefits from the services of Sam Twiston-Davies. Unexposed having finished a close third on hurdle debut LTO to some very good horses.
14:20 2:20 Perth

Will Knott

Daily Racing

125 EW

@6.00

Lose

-250

13:50 1:50 Perth

Medieval Gold

Daily Racing

250 WINNAP

@3.75

Win

687

Apologies, but no time for a write-up on the two afternoon selections. Three more for later and I'll mention them here in case anyone wants to jump on at potentially better odds.... 1.50 Perth MEDIEVAL [NAP] 11/4 2.20 Perth WILL KNOTT 5/1 (ew) 5.10 Font BRIEFLY 8/1 (ew) 5.30 Clon SECRECIES OF STONE 11/1 (ew) will be the official tip but I also like MOUNT ANGLESBY 8/1 (ew). 7.30 Clon KIMY [NB] 13/8
14 May 2024
17:05 5:05 Southwell

Haarar

Daily Racing

300 WINNAP

@5.50

Win

1350

A low quality hurdle race in which HAARAR can take full advantage as he continues to improve. Jonathan England, who knows this course well, rejoins him in the saddle.

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