rednev

Follow the horses closely during the week and watch as many races as possible to build a horses to follow profile. Weekend betting on horses or football and usually stick to single bets on the Betfair exchange.

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rednev's Tips History

All tips
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08 February 2025
16:10 4:10 Newbury

Herakles Westwood

Daily Racing

93 WINNB

@2.75

Lose

-93

A decisive win at Windsor when putting in a perfect display of jumping and pulling clear in the closing stages with the minimum of fuss. Sure to progress and looks to improve over these staying trips and goes for the hat trick of wins today.
15:35 3:35 Newbury

Joyeuse

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.00

Win

250

Still relatively inexperienced with only 3 runs but the form of her 2nd at Cheltenham in December is solid and with likely progression should be in the shake up here.
07 February 2025
19:45 7:45 Southwell

Cloch Nua

Daily Racing

Set for a four-timer of wins tonight but runs under a penalty. Looked to have plenty in hand when finishing from off the pace last time here at Southwell.
16:45 4:45 Southwell

Init Together

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.88 used instead of 2.62 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@2.88

Win

93

Another horse going for 4 wins in a row and the last win came at Wolverhampton when finishing strongly from off the pace. Runs under a penalty but front 2 pulled clear in the last half furlong and still looks to be improving.
15:25 3:25 Kempton

Flegmatik

Daily Racing

Put in a decent performance last time at Ascot when holding every chance jumping the last before running on one-paced to finish 3rd. Any reproduction of that form puts him well and truly in the mix.
14:50 2:50 Kempton

The Long Point

Daily Racing

Makes handicap debut after 2 average runs in novice hurdles. Looked like a staying type and steps up another furlong today. Trainer Emma Lavelle has her horses in fine form with a 29% strike rate in the last 2 weeks.
06 February 2025
18:30 6:30 Southwell

I Cant Believe

Daily Racing

150 WINNAP

@4.33

Lose

-150

Given a short break following a good run of form in January with a win and 2nd place in successive days over 1m1f at Wolverhampton. Should still remain competitive and can continue that good run.
05 February 2025
16:15 4:15 Ludlow

Sweet Magic

Daily Racing

129 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-129

Tight little mare's handicap, but the Alistair Ralph-trained SWEET MAGIC should have a hand in the finish. Improved performance last time at Aintree, finishing 2nd by a short head in a driving finish. The trainer has a 17% strike rate at Ludlow in the last 5 years but has yet to have a winner there this season.
12:55 12:55 Fairyhouse

Paggane

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@1.91

Lose

-50

Made too many mistakes at Limerick last time but did well to come a 3 lengths 2nd. Will hopefully jump better and has plenty of potential, and on raw form is well in front of his rivals today.
04 February 2025
13:10 1:10 Market Rasen

Henrysbrotherjack

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@1.91

Lose

-200

Trainer Olly Murphy has a great record at Market Rasen with a 30% strike rate this season and takes plenty of horses there today. In the very first race, Henrysbrotherjack catches the eye to follow up a smooth success at Uttoxeter and would have learned plenty for a relatively inexperienced horse. He has to deal with a penalty but looked like an improving type when up in distance.
1 member found this comment useful
03 February 2025
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton

Invincible Melody

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-100

Solid performances so far in his 3 novice races, but now into a handicap off 65 and really should be able to be in the mix at this low level. Interesting that blinkers and tongue strap are also on for his handicap debut.
13:00 1:00 Punchestown

Stealthy Tom

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

5

Has won this race before in 2023 and has been switching between hurdles and chases most of his career. Comes here off the back of a 2nd at Fairyhouse in a competitive hurdles race and should be primed and ready for this.
02 February 2025
15:50 3:50 Leopardstown

Brave Troop

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@6.50

Lose

-50

Progression has been quick for this hat-trick-seeking 6-year-old since joining Charles Byrnes. Win easy success at Thurles and Navan. Will relish the fast pace that should be guaranteed here and a solid each-way chance.
15:20 3:20 Leopardstown

State Man

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@2.25

Win

312

Another fascinating renewal of the Irish Champion Hurdle and two-time winner Stateman needs to bounce back from some rather lacklustre performances to complete the hat trick. However, he has been given plenty of time to recover and, at the odds, is the most calculated selection.
14:25 2:25 Musselburgh

Surrey Quest

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.50

Win

12

A mainstay in all the big long-distance handicap chases, and the best performance was probably a nose 2nd in the Scottish National. Was going nicely in the Mandarin at Newbury before unseating and must hold a good chance of at least a place.
12:40 12:40 Leopardstown

Brucio

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@26.00

Void

0

Ran out an impressive winner of this race last year but since has struggled. However, she obviously has plenty of quality about her. Her handicap mark is slowly dropping, and she is sure to pop up at a big price soon.
01 February 2025
16:05 4:05 Leopardstown

Shanbally Kid

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

A very competitive Ryanair Chase at Leopardstown, and one that catches my eye is Shanbally Kid, who was 3rd in the Coral Cup at the festival on his final start over hurdles but then has shown nothing in novice chases after 3 runs. Makes handicap debut off 125 and could spring a surprise.
14:00 2:00 Sandown

Martator

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

This is a weak class 2 handicap with many of the 6 runners on recovery missions, including the selection Martator for in-form trainer Venetia Williams. Got badly bumped last time and seemed to lose interest and got tired at Kempton on soft ground in November when up in class. I would be very disappointed if he wasn't involved today.
13:42 1:42 Musselburgh

Static

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@6.50

Lose

-50

A return to better ground and a switch to a tighter less demanding track at Musselburgh should bring on some improvement. Has put in some solid performances in defeat but needs to step up today.
31 January 2025
18:45 6:45 Dundalk

Mo Ghille Mar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Could be a class above her rivals here and should prove hard to beat if she can get to the front and dictate the pace. Didn't look a natural over hurdles last time and should enjoy being back on the flat.
17:15 5:15 Dundalk

Snapaurum

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.00

Win

150

Well-bred and expensive purchase who makes racecourse debut tonight for trainer Joseph O'Brien. Any market support would be significant, but 3/1 seems a generous starting price.
16:45 4:45 Dundalk

Senior Montecristo

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.50

Lose

-50

A well backed favourite last time out here but struggled to settle and got nabbed in the closing stages. Still lightly raced and sure to come on for the run.
14:35 2:35 Catterick

Cofficionado

Daily Racing

150 WINNAP

@7.00

Lose

-150

Beaten favorite last time over today's course and distance when 2nd behind a rival horse he meets again. But with penalties, the 5-length winning distance should be reduced. Donald McCain has a good record at Catterick and targets it with his better horses.
30 January 2025
13:12 1:12 Southwell

Caramay

Daily Racing

300 WINNAP

@6.50

Lose

-300

Traveled smoothly off the home turn here at Southwell and stayed on strongly up the rail to win tidily. Looked to have a bit more in the tank. Another penalty to contend with, but is in fine form going for the hat trick, and form is in the book unlike most of his rivals.
29 January 2025
17:17 5:17 Dundalk

Tommy McJohn

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@9.00

Lose

-100

Probably the easiest race Tommy McJohn has contested, and last time over course and distance, his form stepped up with a decent 3rd when having to give weight to all his rivals. Decent each-way chance, but any movement in the market would be significant.
17:00 5:00 Kempton

Ciotog

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-100

Won very nicely last time at Wolverhampton and looked to have plenty in the tank and can defy his penalty today. Likes to finish off a strong pace and should get that in this amateur jockey race with plenty who like to make the running.
16:17 4:17 Dundalk

Clonmacash

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 29/01 at 06:130.10 deduction for Wild Mountain@10.00 withdrawn at 10:010.00 deduction for Nikki Swango @26.000 withdrawn at 11:030.00 deduction for Jackandthefox @51.000 withdrawn at 11:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.1) = 8.20

@8.20

Win

11

Handicap mark dropped to 63 for his last run over course and distance and it was a much improved performance finishing 3rd and finishing strongly from off the pace. Jockey Nicole Burns takes off a valuable 7lb and could make the difference.
14:47 2:47 Dundalk

Eighty Eight

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Caught in the dying strides last time to deny a solid gamble here at Dundalk over 1m 4f, and dropping down in trip won't be an issue. Doesn't win very often but is in form and is still on a winnable mark for now.
28 January 2025
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Twistaline

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@8.00

Lose

-50

A no-show in a decent handicap at Southwell when 22/1, but had previously stayed on nicely to finish 2nd and left the impression that the form was on the up, hence jumping into a handicap. Back down in grade and must have a chance of at least a place.
16:30 4:30 Wolverhampton

Bearaway

Daily Racing

75 EWNAP

@10.00

Win

810

Ultra consistent horse who has won and finished 2nd in the last 2 races. Although he has risen in the handicap for those efforts, he can still be competitive off a mark of 68. Solid each way chance.
27 January 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

National Health

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@3.50

Lose

-100

The Olly Murphy-trained NATIONAL HEALTH has seen his price halved with steady support throughout the day. He did show improvement on his last run here when finishing 3rd. Coming around the home bend, he looked the winner before running on one-paced. Expected to improve.
16:00 4:00 Hereford

Famous Clermont

Daily Racing

150 WINNAP

@3.25

Void

0

Won the fox hunters at Aintree way back in 2023 and then lightly raced since but was very professional when winning at Stratford in May 2024 and should prove difficult to beat here if fully wound up.
13:40 1:40 Punchestown

Slurricane

Daily Racing

100 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 27/01 at 06:140.10 deduction for Maxios Prime@8.00 withdrawn at 10:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.10) = 5.05

@5.05

Win

405

Hit the bar on all 4 hurdles runs so far but has been supported in the market every time. Best effort last time when 2nd at Fairyhouse battling all the way to the line and showed a good attitude.
26 January 2025
16:13 4:13 Sedgefield

Freddy Robinson

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-100

Attritional ground today at Sedgefield, and this 2-mile hurdle will take plenty of getting. FREDDY ROBINSON acts on the ground, is fit from the flat, and can improve from the season hurdles debut at Musselburgh when finishing a good 2nd.
16:05 4:05 Naas

Adiemus

Daily Racing

150 WINNB

@2.25

Lose

-150

Very well bred individual who comes from the all conquering Mullins yard who have a great record in these national hunt flat races. Any support in the market would be significant.
14:50 2:50 Fontwell

Boys Of Wexford

Daily Racing

150 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.75

Void

0

Has put in some solid performances of late with a win here over course and distance and then a battling 3rd at Hereford in a very competitive race. Likes to get out in front and dominate and make his good jumping count.
14:20 2:20 Fontwell

Summer In Milan

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 26/01 at 12:220.10 deduction for A Tickatickatiming@10.00 withdrawn at 13:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.10) = 6.85Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.85 BOG

@7.00

Win

5

This handicap is tricky to crack with many of the runners bang out of form and some not fulfilling potential. Summer In Milan makes its second handicap appearance after a no-show here at Fontwell over 2m2f. Made a mistake down the back that day and was not given a hard time after that. It should step up for the experience and also step up in distance.
13:00 1:00 Naas

Answer To Kayf

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Good support in the market today. Although a wide-open contest, ANSWER TO KAYF is still relatively inexperienced over fences and very lightly raced for a 9-year-old. Makes handicap chase debut, and the early money support could suggest connections think he's well in.
25 January 2025
17:50 5:50 Wolverhampton

Kylian

Daily Racing

150 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG

@3.25

Win

337

Really tight, interesting race with many horses meeting again. But one thing is clear: Kylian has improved significantly on an all-weather surface, and his only defeat was when one of today's rivals got first run but has a pull in the weights today.
15:15 3:15 Doncaster

Snipe

Daily Racing

250 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.50

Win

125

Wide open contest, but the Skeltons send Snipe to Doncaster. Although he has now racked up a series of unlucky races, he is still progressing nicely and should be suited by a strong pace and large field, picking off rivals late on.
24 January 2025
15:00 3:00 Sandown

Farceur Du Large

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-200

Won this race last year, and although his last run was disappointing, his previous runs had been solid. He has been obviously targeting a follow-up win in today's Military Gold Cup.
13:28 1:28 Doncaster

Gwennie May Jem

Daily Racing

150 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-150

A big field of 17 runners for this handicap hurdle, but the current favorite, Gwennie May Jem, has been steadily supported in the market. Although 3rd last time at Uttoxeter on New Year's Day, it was a decent performance, and stepping up 3 furlongs today will bring on some improvement.
12:25 12:25 Doncaster

Calimystic

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

7

Looked a nice prospect when finishing 2nd on debut in a bumper at Taunton, traveling nicely throughout the race before getting outpaced in the last furlong. Will have learned plenty and will improve now sent hurdling at a decent each-way price.
12:05 12:05 Lingfield

Hello Zaman

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.25

Win

112

Well-bred 3-year-old who finished 5th on debut at Southwell and didn't look the easiest of rides. Was doing all his best work at the end of the race, and stepping up to 6f is a bonus. Support in the market would be crucial.
23 January 2025
13:11 1:11 Newcastle

Beneficiary

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 23/01 at 06:430.25 deduction for Tickets@4.00 withdrawn at 11:59R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.25) = 4.00

@4.00

Win

150

It was an eye-catching performance when 2nd over 6f here at Newcastle last week. Dropping back in distance should help. Smooth traveller who needs putting in the race at the right time, and jockey Billy Garritty takes the ride.
22 January 2025
14:55 2:55 Lingfield

Sisters In The Sky

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Won in good style over today's course and distance, and at 12/1, I can't see why he can't be competitive again with Hollie Doyle taking the ride.
12:25 12:25 Lingfield

Con Te Partiro

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-100

Never settled last time at Wolverhampton and had nothing left turning in. But although needing to bounce back, a return to Lingfield is a big positive with young Finian Maguire on board.
21 January 2025
17:15 5:15 Newcastle

Kranjcar

Daily Racing

75 WINNB

@2.62

Lose

-75

Gets into this race off a mark of 48 on handicap debut and should be feared. 3rd last time over 7f here when returning from a break and was well supported in the market. More to come from this lightly raced 4 year old.
13:10 1:10 Down Royal

Blue Mosque

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@3.00

Lose

-100

Needs to bounce back after an average performance when 6th at Navan when up in class. But is still relatively inexperienced after only 3 runs and is still of interest after an eye-catching win at Cork in a mare's hurdle in November.
20 January 2025
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Marinakis

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-200

Form has really taken off this season with a smart win at Chelmsford before just failing at Southwell, but still producing a smart, eye-catching performance.
17:45 5:45 Kempton

Piranha Rama

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@9.50

Lose

-50

Needs to step up again after a poor run at Wolverhampton but had previously won at Chelmsford at 25/1. Plenty of rivals have failed to deliver on pedigree and she could get first run here.

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