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Emerald Harmony looks incredibly dangerous here after an eye-catching stable debut for P.T. Midgley 24 days ago. Sent off as a massive 33/1 outsider at Newcastle over 5f, she travelled brilliantly and surged late, only going down by a short head at the post. Returning to the turf today off the exact same official mark of 78, she clearly retains all her ability from her time in Ireland with J.P. Murtagh. Midgley excels with these sprinter types, and in a big 17-runner field with plenty of pace to aim at, she is a cracking each-way bet with Barry McHugh in the saddle.

In a race where the Nicholls and Henderson runners will be over-bet, Manigod presents the perfect data profile. His form (2-2-2-1) shows relentless consistency, culminating in an emphatic win at Ludlow last time out over 2m 5f on soft ground. Today's 2m 4f test on good-to-soft is his exact optimal setup. Trainer Warren Greatrex has given him a smart 53-day break to freshen up, making him the standout mathematical bet against younger, fatigued rivals like Thewoodcorner. At 7.50, he is massive each-way value.

Special John is a huge statistical bet here. He immediately surpassed his hurdles form when sent chasing in the autumn, winning twice, including a victory here at Wincanton. Trainer Sam Thomas boasts a phenomenal 37% strike rate at this track over the last five seasons, operating at a highly profitable level. Returning to the larger obstacles today after a recent run over hurdles to keep him sharp, there is plenty more to come from him in what looks to be a very thin race.