arcane7

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arcane7's Tips History

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22 December 2025
12:30 12:30 Lingfield

Soviet Symphony

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@+600

Lose

-500

Ignore the '212 days off' warning light. The fact she has been kept in training since her debut in May tells you the ability is there. On her only start at Salisbury, she showed flash early speed before fading into 4th. She is by Sergei Prokofiev??"a sire who injects pure speed. The switch to the sharp, turning 6-furlong track at Lingfield is the key gear change she needs. She faces exposed rivals like Brakeman, and she is the one open to massive improvement.
11:30 11:30 Lingfield

Felix Gem

Daily Racing

125 EW

@+1800

Lose

-250

The market has priced him as the outsider because he is unseen, but his pedigree screams 'back-end improver'. He is by Ulysses (a stout influence for stamina) out of a Helmet mare, which suggests this 1-mile trip on debut is exactly what he needs. While the Gosden runner (Guildmaster) will take all the money, Felix Gem runs for a yard that knows how to ready a debutant for the All-Weather.
20 December 2025
15:35 3:35 Ascot

Alexei

Daily Racing

This horse is flying. He won the Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham in November (a huge form line). Despite the weight rise, he is technically 'well-in' because he is improving so fast. He is the clear form pick.
15:00 3:00 Ascot

Victtorino

Daily Racing

The one constant you can rely on. He WON this race last year (2024). He thrives at Ascot in December. His reappearance was a sighter; this is his Gold Cup. When the mud flies at Ascot, Victtorino is the first name on the team sheet. He defends his crown off a workable mark.
14:25 2:25 Ascot

Impose Toi

Daily Racing

The changing of the guard. He won the Long Distance Hurdle at Newbury, proving he is now a genuine Grade 1 stayer. He faces the defending champion Crambo, but Impose Toi is the horse on the steep upward curve. Henderson has him peaking right now. He travels better than anything else in the field.
13:50 1:50 Ascot

The Famous Five

Daily Racing

He was a massive winner at Newbury in Dec 2024 and finished 2nd in a hot race in February. Venetia Williams has saved him specifically for this December meeting. He runs in the famous colours and, crucially, he'll love the soft Ascot ground. He is unexposed compared to rivals.
19 December 2025
17:25 5:25 Southwell

Ay Gee Ell

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@+300

Lose

-300

The transformation was instant. Last week, Richard Fahey applied a first-time visor and the horse bolted up to break his maiden over 5f here. He is turned out quickly (just 7 days later) under a 6lb penalty to strike while the iron is hot. The step up to 6f tonight is a major positive as he was doing his best work at the finish last time.
16:55 4:55 Southwell

Federal Envoy

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@+450

Lose

-300

Ignore his last run (11th). He chased a furious pace that day and burned out early. The key data point is that he is a 3-time Course & Distance winner at Southwell. He drops into a race where his back-class (rated significantly higher in the past) makes him dangerous. From a better draw today, he can sit just off the pace and use his proven affinity for the surface to strike.
15:35 3:35 Ascot

Sea The Day

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@+1000

Lose

-500

Dan Skelton uses the Chepstow Bumper (which this horse won on debut) as the specific prep for this Listed prize. His sire, Affinisea, guarantees he will relish the soft Ascot ground better than the French imports. Skelton has a high strike rate in this specific race. He is the 'Stable Captain' of the bumper team.
14:25 2:25 Ascot

Let It Rain

Daily Racing

500 WINNAP

@+187

Lose

-500

She won the Listed Bumper at this meeting in 2023. After a year off, she returned to win effortlessy at Wetherby last month. She makes her handicap debut off a mark of 120. Put simply: She is a Graded-class mare running in a Class 4 handicap. She should be rated 135+. It is the biggest 'plot' on the card.
18 December 2025
20:30 8:30 Chelmsford City

Digub

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@+225

Lose

-300

A textbook William Haggas plot. A well-bred daughter of Sea The Stars who won her maiden at Southwell last month (Nov 28) with ease. She makes her handicap debut tonight off a mark of 80. Her pedigree suggests she could be a 90+ rated filly in time. In this Class 4 contest, she is potentially 'thrown in' at the weights.
19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City

Justcallmepete

Daily Racing

500 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@+750

Win

3750

The standout bet of the night. He won over this Course & Distance just 22 days ago, beating Existent by a short head. Because he idled in front, the handicapper only raised him 3lbs. He is drawn low, loves the Polytrack, and is chasing a hat-trick. Tony Carroll has him in the form of his life.
18:30 6:30 Chelmsford City

Raveena

Daily Racing

300 WINNB

@+120

Lose

-300

Sometimes the data is simple. She finished a clear 2nd at Newcastle last time out, recording a speed figure significantly higher than anything her rivals have achieved. In a weak maiden, she only needs to reproduce that run to win. Jack Channon has found the perfect opportunity to get her off the mark.
17:30 5:30 Chelmsford City

Flash Rascal

Daily Racing

100 EW

@+500

Push

0

Dr Richard Newland's runner is thriving on the All-Weather. A recent winner who is clearly ahead of his mark of 70. In these 7f Nurseries, race-fitness and momentum are everything. He has the tactical speed to overcome a wider draw and looks a solid 'Each Way' play against the inconsistent Paranjape.
17:00 5:00 Chelmsford City

Windbreaker

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@+187

Lose

-300

A 375,000gns purchase who shaped with real promise on debut at Kempton (finished 4th, running on). The Richard Hannon yard has an excellent strike rate with juveniles on their second start. He faces Saxon Street, but Windbreaker has the physical scope to take a massive step forward. He sets the form standard in a race lacking depth.
14:05 2:00 Exeter

Isaac Des Obeaux

Daily Racing

400 WINNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 18/12 at 07:510.25 deduction for Rosscahill@3.75 withdrawn at 08:11R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.25) = 4.00

@+300

Win

1200

The class act of the day. A Grade 2 Novice Hurdle winner who has been allotted a handicap mark of 127 over fences. He shaped well when 3rd in a Listed Chase at Cheltenham last month. Dropping into a Class 3 Handicap at Paul Nicholls' local track is a significant easing of grade. He handles the soft/heavy ground and has the scope to rate 140+.
13:35 1:30 Exeter

Lord Byron

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@+162

Lose

-300

Formerly with Aidan O'Brien at Ballydoyle, now with Faye Bramley (the A.P. McCoy pre-training yard). While his flat rating is inferior to his rivals, the booking of Harry Cobden for a small yard is the ultimate signal. He finished a staying-on 2nd at Navan in October (Soft) and has been schooled by the team to jump. A massive market move is expected.
17 December 2025
18:40 6:40 Kempton

Unassuming

Daily Racing

125 EW

@+600

Lose

-250

This mare is the definition of an 'unlucky loser.' She was beaten just a nose at Newcastle last time out (Nov 27), flying home late. She has finished 2nd in back-to-back handicaps, proving she is essentially 'well-in' but just needs the cards to fall right. Tonight, she remains on a dangerous mark of 91. The only negative is the wide draw (Stall 11), but her hold-up style means she will drop in and hunt them down. If the gaps open this time, she wins.
18:10 6:10 Kempton

Ancient Wisdom

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@+225

Lose

-300

Form is temporary, Class is permanent. Ancient Wisdom is a Group 1 Winner (Futurity Trophy). He is technically the best horse in this race by a margin, yet he receives weight from Dubai Honour. Although he is making his All-Weather debut, his brother won on this surface, suggesting the 'Engine' will translate. In a level-weights contest, you always back the Grade 1 animal against the Listed horses.
17:40 5:40 Kempton

So Darn Hot

Daily Racing

125 EW

@+350

Lose

-250

Drop in class, drop in trip. This horse has been competing in hot Class 2 handicaps and running well (3rd at Wolves recently). Tonight, he returns to 6f, a trip where his natural cruising speed is a massive asset on the turning Kempton track.
16:40 4:40 Kempton

Maho Bay

Daily Racing

500 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.83 used instead of 1.67 takenBOG

@-120

Win

416

A simple but lethal statistic: Charlie Appleby operates at a 34% Strike Rate with 2-year-olds at Kempton. Maho Bay is a son of Dubawi (the King of Kempton sires) and has been found a race where the opposition is exposed or vulnerable.
16:05 4:05 Kempton

Westcombe

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@+200

Win

600

Sir Mark Prescott is the master of the 'Stamina Upgrade.' This horse fits the blueprint perfectly: lightly raced over shorter trips, now stepping up to 1m 4f on his second run back from a break. He finished a strong, running-on 2nd at Southwell last month, proving he is ahead of his mark. On this slow Polytrack, his ability to grind while others fade is the decisive weapon.
16 December 2025
17:45 5:45 Newcastle

Blufferonthebus

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@+750

Lose

-300

The strongest handicap bet of the night. Her speed figures on the All-Weather are consistently superior to this Class 6 field. She has the tactical speed to sit just behind the leaders and the 'kick' to exploit the long straight.
15:20 3:20 Catterick

I C U In My Dreams

Daily Racing

150 EW

@+900

Win

187

The market has installed Clay Pigeons as the 4/6 hotpot, purely on the Willie Mullins reputation. However, the physics of this race heavily favour the McCain runner. Clay Pigeons must concede 14lbs (one stone) to I C U In My Dreams. On a sharp, turning track like Catterick, that weight differential is massive. This mare won her Point-to-Point by 10 lengths and makes her Rules debut for the 'King of Catterick' (McCain) with Champion Jockey Brian Hughes in the plate. At 8/1, the value is undeniable: you are backing the weight advantage to crush the favourite's class.
12:45 12:45 Catterick

Arctic Voyage

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@+400

Lose

-300

Catterick is a tight, turning track that favors flat-bred horses over big, slow jumpers. Arctic Voyage is exactly that??"a nimble flat recruit trained by Iain Jardine. His main rival, Manganese, is a bigger unit who may struggle to get his feet organized on these sharp bends. The killer signal? Brian Hughes takes the ride. The 'Champion of the North' has a 21% strike rate here and rarely wastes his time on 3-year-olds unless they are ready to strike.
15 December 2025
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Molly Mac

Daily Racing

62 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@+2500

Win

250

She ran a respectable 3rd over 7f at this track last time, but the data suggests she hit a 'speed ceiling' ??" she was staying on but couldn't quicken with the leaders. Today, the trainer pulls the two most powerful levers in handicapping: a step up to 1 mile and a first-time hood. The hood helps her switch off and conserve early energy, while the extra furlong allows her to use her stamina rather than chasing a sprint pace. At 8/1, she is the dangerous 'unexposed' alternative to the favourite.
16:30 4:30 Wolverhampton

Horwich

Daily Racing

125 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 14/12 at 23:190.45 deduction for Variety Act@2.10 withdrawn at 07:49R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.45) = 2.65Best Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 2.65 BOG

@+500

Win

750

Trainer Pattern play. Clive Cox uses Wolverhampton in December to unveil his sharper 2-year-olds. Horwich is a brother to Blackrod (a useful sprinter), meaning he is bred for speed on this artificial surface. Against a field of exposed runners like Ten Cuidado, who have already shown their limitations, a Cox newcomer only needs to be half-decent to win.
15:30 3:30 Plumpton

Flying Pimpernel

Daily Racing

125 EW

@+1100

Win

150

The market has written this mare off based on one bad run at Bangor (finished 8th), but the forensic data tell a different story. That race was on rattling 'Good to Firm' ground in June ??" conditions she hated. Her debut second at Fontwell showed her true engine. Today she gets the critical "physics switch": heavy/soft ground at Plumpton. Her sire, Elusive Pimpernel, is a mud??'lark influence. At 11/1 you are betting that the soft ground wakes her up. If she runs to her debut form, she is a 4/1 shot. Value, value, value!!
14:00 2:00 Plumpton

Avada Kedavra

Daily Racing

200 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.00 on 14/12 at 23:040.20 deduction for Glengolly@5.00 withdrawn at 06:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.00 x (1-0.20) = 2.60

@+160

Win

320

Plumpton is a tight, sharp track that is notoriously difficult to win at from off the pace. The data shows that front-runners here have a 20% higher strike rate than hold-up horses. Avada Kedavra made all to win at Taunton last time, proving he has the gate speed to dictate. His main rival, San Pedro, has been pulled up twice in his last three runs. I'm backing the horse with the tactical advantage to control the race from flagfall.
13:12 1:12 Lingfield

Alafdhal

Daily Racing

62 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@+400

Void

0

While most trainers would rest a horse, Phil McEntee strikes while the iron is hot. The data supports the gamble: he has drawn Stall 1 (the 'Golden Highway' over 6f at Lingfield) and retains the services of AW Champion Billy Loughnane. He is effectively running off his old mark plus a penalty, which leaves him well treated if the Saturday race didn't empty the tank.
14 December 2025
15:35 3:35 Navan

Panjandrum

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@+500

Lose

-200

The market says 'Keep Him Company', but the jockey booking says 'Panjandrum'. Top amateur Mr. J. H. Williamson, who rode the favourite to victory last time, has made the decisive choice to switch to Panjandrum today. In Irish bumpers, when the stable jockey deserts a winner to ride the 'second string', you follow the money and the man. This is the strongest 'Inside Info' signal of the entire day.
14:13 2:13 Carlisle

Platin Moon

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+379

Lose

-50

In his last run at Ayr, Platin Moon burned 30% of his fuel fighting the jockey in the early stages, yet still ran a credible race. Today, the trainer applies the 'fix': a hood to settle him, combined with a drop in trip to 2m 1f. This is the perfect engineering solution. The hood calms the mind. The shorter trip suits his keen nature, and the stiff Carlisle hill ensures he can use his speed without emptying the tank too early.
14:00 2:00 Southwell

Chatty Girl

Daily Racing

50 EW

@+600

Lose

-100

This daughter of Derby winner Harzand was crying out for distance on her debut at Windsor. She got outpaced over 2 miles but hit the line harder than anything else to finish 2nd. Today, she gets the 'physics upgrade' she needs: a massive step up to 2m 4f on a galloping track. While her rivals might possess more raw speed, she possesses the superior engine. Once the stamina kicks in, she should simply grind them into submission.
13:40 1:40 Carlisle

Nab Wood

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@+500

Win

500

Nicky Richards is the 'King of Carlisle,' and his horses are worth 5 lbs extra on this home soil. Nab Wood (rated 128) brings Class 2 form to the table. While the market chases the Irish raider (Letos) and the 'Murphy' hype, Nab Wood is the proven heavy-ground specialist who knows every inch of this track. The drift in price only increases the value of a horse who is arguably the best animal in the race.
12:40 12:40 Carlisle

Drop Kick

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+250

Lose

-50

Trainer Mark Walford sends just one runner to the meeting over hurdles today ??" a statistically significant move. Drop Kick signaled he was ready to strike when finishing a staying-on second over this course and distance last month. The "visual latency" of that run showed he had plenty of fuel left in the tank. He is effectively running off the same mark but with improved fitness and a race setup that suits his closing style.
12:30 12:30 Southwell

Ali Star Bert

Daily Racing

100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG

@+300

Win

300

A simple exercise in 'Course Proficiency.' His record at Southwell is exceptional (2-2-7-4-4-1), and he comes here fresh off a win over this exact course and distance. While his rivals often struggle with the unique Southwell fences, Ali Star Bert uses them to gain lengths. He is the 'safety' play in a race where others have questions to answer.
12:10 12:10 Carlisle

Cristal Destruval

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@-400

Win

50

Harry Derham doesn't send horses on a 300-mile round trip to Carlisle for the scenery. This £400,000 purchase made the perfect start to his career at Warwick, showing a touch of class that is rare in this grade. The stiff, uphill finish at Carlisle is the specific 'physics' test he was bought for. With the stable operating at a high strike rate with their travellers, this is a case of 'class' meeting 'intent'.
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13 December 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Amber Honey

Daily Racing

A course-and-distance winner who signaled a return to form with a solid fourth at Lingfield last week. That run was a sighter for this return to her favourite track. Ed Dunlop has found a very winnable opportunity for her in the finale. While others like Salaria are carrying penalties or bad draws, Amber Honey has the proven form on this specific surface to close out the night.
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

King Of Speed

Daily Racing

This is the 'Smash and Grab' selection. He has dropped to a handicap mark in the 50s for the first time since his last course win. Crucially, Billy Loughnane gets back in the saddle for his father, Mark Loughnane. This father/son combination at Wolverhampton is deadly in the late races. The market signals suggest he has been prepped specifically for tonight.
19:15 7:15 Newcastle

Second Fiddle

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNRAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@+350

Void

0

It is statistically rare to find a horse with form figures of 1-1-1-1-1-3 in a handicap. He rattled off five wins in a row before a narrow defeat last time, where he may have just needed a breather. He is a "win machine" who refuses to lie down. In a race full of inconsistent types, his will to win is the decisive variable. He is the reliable metric in a chaotic field.
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton

Brasil Power

Daily Racing

Posted a clear 'Career Best' when winning at Kempton 10 days ago, travelling powerfully before putting the race to bed. Trainer George Boughey strikes while the iron is hot with his handicappers, and booking Billy Loughnane (the track's top jockey) is a statement of intent. He faces Arcadian Nights, but that rival is an exposed veteran. Brasil Power is on an upward curve and has the tactical speed to navigate tight turns at Wolverhampton.
17:15 5:15 Newcastle

Storm Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+225

Lose

-50

The definition of a 'horse for course.' His track record at Newcastle reads: 1-3-1-1-1. That is championship form. He hasn't been seen for 239 days, but the data shows he runs well fresh, and his last run was a victory in the AW Mile Championship here in April. He drops back slightly to 7f, which suits his high cruising speed. While Pocklington is a danger, he is untried at this trip, whereas Storm Star is the proven class act dropping into a handicap he can dominate.
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton

Alafdhal

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+400

Win

200

A confirmed course specialist with four previous wins at Wolverhampton. He arrives here in the form of his life, having pounced late to win at Lingfield just 11 days ago. The key tonight is the pace map; he loves to sit off a strong gallop and slice through the field late. With the visor retained (which sparked his last win), he looks primed to strike while he is in this 'Peak Form Cycle'.
16:15 4:15 Newcastle

Reem Rak

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@SP

Lose

-100

Caught the eye on her Newcastle debut (7f) three weeks ago, where she dwelt at the start but finished with real purpose to snatch 2nd late on. That run screamed for a step up in trip, and she gets exactly that today, moving up to 1 mile. Roger Varian's winter strike rate is operating at a deadly 23%, and with that initial experience under her belt, she looks the primary threat to the favourite. Expect her to be much sharper from the gates this time.
15:00 3:00 Cheltenham

Conman John

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+162

Lose

-50

Proved he stays better than most when winning over 3 miles here in October. The Albert Bartlett trial is always a war of attrition, and he is the one horse guaranteed to keep galloping when the others hit the wall. A relentless galloper suited to the slog.
13:50 1:50 Cheltenham

Jagwar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+332

Lose

-50

The definitive horse for the course. He is 2-from-2 over this specific track and trip, including his victory in the Plate at the Festival in March. He has been laid out specifically for this target (fresh off a break) rather than using it as a prep run. In a race full of 'maybe' horses, he is the proven specialist.
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Theonewedreamof

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+600

Lose

-50

Travelled like a dream when winning at Exeter on her second start for the yard, suggesting she is still well ahead of the handicapper despite a 5 lb rise. Her high cruising speed allows her to sit in the 'prominent zone' (first four) ??" the only place to be at Cheltenham this weekend. A typical Skelton improver.
12:10 12:10 Cheltenham

Minella Study

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+600

Win

300

Unbeaten over hurdles (2-2) and showed a professional attitude to win a Listed race at Wetherby by making all. On a weekend when front-runners are dominating the New Course, his natural gate speed is a massive tactical weapon. He could simply get loose on the lead while the favourites are trapped in traffic.

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