Jake Chapman

3 of the past 5 runnings of this particular race have been won by T. Easterby. He saddles Stirrup Cup here, who won easily 7 days ago on similar soft ground. All 5 runnings of this race have been won by 3-year-olds. The only other 3-year-old in here, Jm Jingree, looks held by the handicapper at present. Ticks all the trend boxes, and I have this more a 7/4 chance.

I did like the draw here, but these two rarely draw when they meet, so I'll go with the hosts to bag all three points. Arsenal haven't had the best start to the season.

The big Ivorian can get his first goal in a Villa shirt. There have been signs he is starting to find his feet since moving to the Premier League, and he can bag one or two today. Confirmed starter.

Possible plot horse from the Palmer yard who has an Old Rowley Cup entry in 3 weeks time, connections must feel this one has some sort of ability. He will need to be winning this quite decisively to get a run. Trainer won this last year.

Pink Azalea is an animal who relishes cut in the ground, having blitzed up by 9 lengths in underfoot conditions in the past. A tricky draw to contend with here, but if this apprentice has the ability to overcome the wide berth, our selection should at least be involved at the death.

Not much between these two in recent head-to-heads. Palace have drawn 3 of their 4 opening games and would probably take a point to maintain their unbeaten start to the season. Value is with West Ham's home advantage, but whether they have enough about them to get all 3 points is questionable after a couple of heavy defeats already this season. Draw.

I sense a change in fortunes for Wolves, who have put their faith in the manager with a new 3-year deal. They face a Leeds side who are poor on the road.

Lemurian took a big step forward on all previous form when winning on soft ground 17 days ago at Windsor. With similar conditions this afternoon, he can double up with the 3-year-old weight allowance adding even extra value for top connections.

Supremely campaigned by the handler who is arguably having his best ever season. Still unbeaten and receiving a handy weight for age allowance here. Illinois has been beaten on all 5 tries in Group 1 company.

South Africa, ranked 56, host Nigeria, ranked 44. The hosts are at their highest ranking since February 2015 after a strong run of results. They sit top of the group on 16 points. Former Spurs academy product Ronwen Williams and South Africa captain has kept three clean sheets in a row in qualification. Bafana Bafana need to win here to ensure qualification to cancel out a pending points deduction for fielding an ineligible player against Benin. Added home advantage gives South Africa value to end Nigeria's World Cup dreams after a disappointing qualification campaign for the visitors.

Won well over 5f last week. Should be involved in the finish at the very least if this hasn't come too soon. A good start needed over the 5f. If things fall right, could double up tonight. NAP

Strong value with Aston Villa with home advantage here tonight. They are unbeaten at home in the Premier League in over a year.

Aston Villa have not lost at home for over a year in the Premier League and haven't lost against Palace at home in the league since December 2013. New keeper Bizot was impressive against Newcastle on debut, keeping a clean sheet.

Aston Villa have gone with a strong attacking first eleven. I don't think they will be messing about here. I see them taking an early lead and holding it.