oddslayer

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oddslayer's Tips History

All tips
11 February 2026
19:00 Avellino v Frosinone

Frosinone

50 WIN

@+129

Win

65

Frosinone is 18 points ahead of Avellino in the table. Historical Edge: Frosinone has dominated the H2H recently. Motivation: Frosinone is chasing Serie A; Avellino is drifting. Squad Health: Avellino has key doubts (GK), Frosinone is full strength.
19:00 Bari v Spezia

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-166

Win

30

In a match between 18th and 19th, where both teams average roughly 1.0 goal per game and are missing key offensive catalysts, the value is heavily on the Under.
19:00 Empoli v Juve Stabia

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-200

Lose

-50

Empoli home games often stall (8 of last 12 went Under 2.5). Juve Stabia’s defensive record (26 conceded in 23 games) is robust. With Empoli missing their main goal threat, they will struggle to break down Stabia’s low block.

Juve Stabia (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@-133

Win

38

This is the safest, most mathematically sound play. You win the bet if Juve Stabia wins OR if the match ends in a draw. Given that Juve Stabia has avoided defeat in their last 7 games and Empoli is winless in 4 of their last 5, the "Win" probability for Empoli is too low to justify their favorite tag. We are fading the struggling home favorite.
18:00 Sudtirol v Monza

Monza

50 WIN

@+114

Lose

-50

While the "Under" is safer, the price on Monza is where the +EV lies. The market is over-respecting Südtirol’s historical home record and ignoring their current stagnation (winless in extended period). Monza is in the groove, chasing the title/promotion, and has match-winners who can create a goal out of nothing in a tight game.

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-153

Win

32

The pitch conditions in Bolzano and Südtirol’s tactical setup scream "low scoring." Südtirol will play for a 0-0 or 1-0. Monza may be happy to control a 1-0 lead without over-committing. The market often prices Serie B Unders low, but this specific matchup aligns perfectly with a defensive struggle.
17:45 Go Ahead Eagles v Heerenveen

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-188

Win

26

This bet correlates perfectly with the tactical reality of both sides. Heerenveen physically cannot keep a clean sheet right now (conceding 4.5 goals/game in the last week). However, Go Ahead Eagles have a habit of losing focus defensively, conceding 1.7 goals/game themselves. The "Draw" is the mathematical value play, but BTTS is the high-confidence liquidity play. The game script likely involves GAE scoring early due to home pressure, forcing Heerenveen to abandon their defensive shape, leading to an open game.
16:33 4:33 Hereford

Libre De Choeur

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@+850

Void

0

The drop from 3m 1f to 2m 3f is a significant positive move. He traveled like the best horse at Warwick before failing to see out the marathon trip. Represents high place probability

Oakley

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+2500

Lose

-50

C&D winner who handles the mud. Ignore LTO (Chepstow Flat race). Back over hurdles at his favorite track with a 10lb claimer taking the weight down to a featherweight 10-8 in a slog.
16:00 4:00 Hereford

Benignitas

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

Elite "Conditions Match." Her 2nd at Ffos Las on Heavy ground over fences was a career-best RPR. In a race of regressive veterans, she is a 9yo with low mileage in this sphere and the most progressive profile. Rian Corcoran (7) provides significant weight relief

Lempire Vert

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1600

Lose

-50

Qualitative pace advantage. In a race lacking leaders, he should get an easy lead. If the first-time visor on the favorite fails to sharpen them, he could steal this from the front.
15:30 3:30 Hereford

Dawns Desire

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1000

Lose

-50

A "Forgive" Protocol horse. Her recent 6th was a step forward after two poor runs. Robert Walford's runners often improve significantly when stepped up in trip on deep ground. At 10/1, she is the only viable alternative to the favorite in a weak race.
15:00 3:00 Hereford

Kingdom Of Stars

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+2200

Lose

-50

Pure trainer-stat play. Kerry Lee has a 21% strike rate with hurdlers at this trip and an £11.10 profit to a £1 stake with single runners. At 22/1, the market is over-penalizing the "P" (pulled up) LTO which occurred in unsuitably quick conditions.
14:50 2:44 Southwell

Dream Illusion

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG

@+700

Win

210

Capitalized on a clear run to win at Newcastle 11 days ago. The 3lb rise is negligible given the speed figure produced. In a race lacking pace, Dylan Hogan can sit close and utilize the horse's proven 1m stamina.
14:30 2:30 Hereford

Subtle Fortune

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 11/02 at 06:080.10 deduction for The Moonlight Man@9.00 withdrawn at 09:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.10) = 9.10

@+810

Win

405

While she needs to improve, her 4th at Leicester in Heavy ground was a solid prep. In a race where several may fail to finish, her consistency makes her the primary "value" alternative to the short-priced favorites.

The Moonlight Man

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@+1400

Void

0

Winner of a Point-to-Point on Soft/Heavy. Chase debut was poor, but the step up to 3m+ on this surface is exactly what his pedigree and Pointing background suggest he wants.
14:20 2:14 Southwell

Moab

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+400

Lose

-50

Moab is a C&D winner who comes here fresh from a very solid hurdles run (2nd of 15 at Huntingdon), proving fitness and stamina. He is unexposed on the flat at this trip
14:00 2:00 Hereford

Bresiliant

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@+1800

Lose

-50

In a 3-runner race, Each-Way terms are essentially "Win Only" or 2 places at 1/4 odds. However, at 20/1, he is the only horse overpriced relative to the possibility of the two favorites underperforming in a slog.
13:50 1:44 Southwell

Top Star

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 11/02 at 06:200.10 deduction for Wedgewood@9.00 withdrawn at 10:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.10) = 19.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 19.00 BOG

@+2200

Win

85

4yo with less exposure than the veterans in the field. Held up last time at Chelmsford and finished with some energy.
13:30 1:30 Hereford

Isabella Islay

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 51.00 used instead of 29.00 takenBOG

@+5000

Win

225

9th on debut at Ludlow but showed "green" tendencies and shaped as if the experience was needed. Trained by C. Boultbee-Brooks (who has a 20% place strike rate with second-time hurdles). Heavy ground will find out the non-stayers; her pedigree (Scalo) suggests she will handle the attrition.
10 February 2026
20:15 West Ham v Man Utd

Man Utd

50 WIN

@-133

Lose

-50

I cannot look past United's current trajectory under Carrick. They are simply outscoring teams. West Ham will score??"United's defense isn't watertight and the Hammers are desperate??"but United have too much quality in the final third for a Todibo-less West Ham defense to contain for 90 minutes. A 1-2 or 1-3 scoreline is the most probable outcome.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-200

Lose

-50

United have scored 2+ in 5 straight games. West Ham have scored in 5 straight. West Ham are missing a key CB, and United are playing an open, expansive style under Carrick. The stats scream goals.

Man Utd & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+229

Lose

-50

19:30 Chelsea v Leeds

Chelsea

50 WIN

@-188

Lose

-50

Despite defensive flaws, Chelsea’s offensive output at home under Rosenior is overwhelming for a team with Leeds' poor away record (1 win in 12).

Chelsea & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

Chelsea has not kept a clean sheet in their last 5 competitive matches. Leeds scored 3 against them in December and has scored in 4 of their last 5 games. The data screams that Chelsea will outscore Leeds, not shut them out.

Cole Palmer

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+150

Win

75

Leeds concede high-quality chances centrally away from home. Palmer is on penalties and set-pieces, and his current form makes this high-value even at short odds.
19:30 Everton v Bournemouth

Everton

50 WIN

@+139

Lose

-50

Everton is unbeaten in 5 and facing a Bournemouth side with a dreadful away win rate (approx. 16% win rate away). The loss of Semenyo significantly lowers Bournemouth's ceiling. Everton is difficult to beat at home

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@+120

Lose

-50

This is a "Win to Nil" play. If Everton wins, it is highly unlikely to be a 3-2 or 4-3 thriller. It will be a grind. Bournemouth’s away form is poor (~16% win rate), and without their transition threats, they will struggle to counter-attack effectively against a disciplined Everton side that won't overcommit.

Over 3.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@-133

Win

38

Frustration is key. If Bournemouth can't get the ball or create, frustration fouls mount. If Everton is defending a 1-0 lead late, time-wasting and tactical fouls will occur.
19:30 Tottenham v Newcastle

Newcastle

50 WIN

@+125

Win

62

Spurs should not be favorites here. My power ratings make this a "Pick'em" (0.0) game at best. Getting Newcastle with a quarter-goal head start (half win if Draw, full win if Newcastle wins) is massive value given the H2H dominance and Spurs' missing spine (Romero/Maddison/Porro).

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-161

Win

31

The last 5 meetings at this venue have averaged 4.2 goals. With Anthony Taylor officiating (letting play flow) and Spurs' high-line attempting to press without the correct personnel (Romero out), Isak will get multiple 1v1 chances.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-181

Win

28

This bet would have cashed in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these sides. The "BTTS" correlates perfectly with the tactical reality of two desperate managers with broken defenses.

Newcastle & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+275

Win

138

Spurs have scored in 7 consecutive home games despite their poor form. Newcastle’s defense has collapsed away from home (conceded 4 vs Liverpool, 3 vs Man City recently). A clean sheet for either side is a statistical anomaly.

Over 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@-113

Win

44

Spurs concede huge corner numbers when their press is beaten (defenders forced to clear crosses). Newcastle play vertically and force saves/deflections rather than recycling possession.
18:00 Sampdoria v Palermo

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-153

Lose

-50

Palermo has kept 5 clean sheets in their last 7. Sampdoria has seen Under 2.5 goals in their last 3 matches. The last H2H was a tight 1-0. Serie B is notoriously tactical, and with Sampdoria missing key creative outlets and Palermo comfortable sitting deep, this game screams 1-0 or 1-1.
15:05 3:05 Ayr

From The Clouds

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@+550

Lose

-50

This horse represents the "Hidden Progression" profile. His second over C&D in November was a high-quality effort, and his recent 4th in a Novice race was better than the bare result suggests as he was forced to lead a small field. Returning to a handicap off 121 with Jack Power's 5lb claim makes him the effectively best-weighted horse in the race. He is a 2m specialist whereas several rivals are dropping back in trip.
13:35 1:35 Ayr

The Jewellers Pet

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 10/02 at 06:550.10 deduction for Big Storm Brewing@9.00 withdrawn at 06:57R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.10) = 8.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 8.20 BOG

@+850

Win

17

This is a specialized C&D play. The horse won this exact race last year in similar conditions. While recent form figures (6P84U4) over fences look dismal, a return to hurdles at a track where he is 2-for-2 provides a massive statistical "Hidden Class" upgrade.
08 February 2026
16:30 Liverpool v Man City

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-200

Win

25

Liverpool have scored 26 in 6 games. City must attack. Neither defense is watertight (Liverpool's high line vs Haaland; City's injuries). A 2-2, 3-2, or 3-1 scoreline is highly probable. The "Unders" is a dead ticket here.
14:00 Brighton v Crystal Palace

Brighton

50 WIN

@+120

Lose

-50

Palace is in disarray. Brighton is desperate. Brighton's floor is higher than Palace's ceiling right now. A 1-0 or 2-0 grind is the most likely script.

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-102

Win

49

No Mateta or Nketiah for Palace removes their most reliable goal routes. These derbies are historically tight (last one was 0-0). Wet weather + high tension usually leads to conservative play. The market expects goals because of Brighton’s style, but fails to account for their poor conversion rate and Palace’s compact low block.

Over 4.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@-102

Lose

-50

It’s the M23 Derby. Frustration is high in both camps. Palace’s midfield (Hughes/Wharton) is aggressive, and Brighton’s wingers force tactical fouls. With Bramall officiating, a flurry of cards in the final 20 minutes is highly probable as legs tire on the wet pitch.
05:00 Anyang Red Boosters vs Changwon Sakers

Changwon Sakers

Money Line

50 WIN

@+110

Win

55

LG's ability to generate second-chance points through Marei’s rebounding creates a "floor" for their performance that Anyang lacks. Anyang needs to shoot >35% from 3PT to compete; LG just needs to play their standard game. The Jan 25th blowout (23-point margin) suggests the matchup heavily favors LG's personnel.
05:00 Mobis Phoebus vs Korea Gas Corporation

Over 152.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@-108

Lose

-50

Pegasus defense is practically non-existent on the road, but their fresh offense should be able to run on a tired Phoebus defense. Phoebus will score inside at will, while Pegasus will score in transition.
05:00 Nagoya Grampus v Shimizu S Pulse

Nagoya Grampus

50 WIN

@+104

Win

52

Shimizu S-Pulse is currently showing zero defensive continuity, conceding goals in bunches. While Nagoya has their own questions to answer, backing the superior home side at even money against a defense that just shipped 5 goals to Kawasaki and 4 to Cerezo is simply the mathematically correct play. The "No Relegation" freedom benefits Nagoya's attackers more than it helps Shimizu's defenders.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

Shimizu scored freely in J2 and hasn't changed their manager or style. They will not sit back. Nagoya has the quality to score, but the "Zero Relegation" safety net means they are less likely to kill the game with a 1-0 defensive masterclass. We expect a 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline.
07 February 2026
17:30 Newcastle v Brentford

Brentford

50 WIN

@+250

Win

125

Without Isak, Wilson, or Gordon, Newcastle lacks the cutting edge to break down a low block. Brentford have won 4 of their last 5 away games in all competitions and have already beaten Newcastle 3-1 in the reverse fixture this season.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-149

Win

34

This fixture screams goals. 7 of the last 8 H2H meetings have seen BTTS & Over 2.5. Newcastle's defense has conceded 33 goals in 24 games, and Brentford's attack (36 goals) is ruthless on the break. Even with Newcastle's injuries, Wissa will be desperate to score against his old employers, and Newcastle's defense cannot keep clean sheets.

Brentford & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+500

Win

250

Igor Thiago

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+139

Win

70

The Brazilian has been a revelation since replacing Toney/Mbeumo, netting 16 times this season. He scored a brace against Newcastle in November. He dominates the xG charts for Brentford and will be the target man for every counter-attack against a slow Dan Burn.
16:40 England v Wales

Wales 28.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

A 30-point margin in the rain is incredibly hard to manufacture against a Tier 1 nation, even a struggling one. A scoreline like 28-10 or 32-12 feels more realistic than 50-0

Under 53.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

Wales will struggle to build phases with a slippery ball. England doesn't need to score 40 points to win; Borthwick is a pragmatist who will take 3 points when offered to build a lead.
15:00 Arsenal v Sunderland

Arsenal

50 WIN

@-333

Win

15

This is a clash between the league leaders and the season’s undisputed surprise package. Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal (1st) are hunting their first title in over two decades, sitting top of the pile with a defense that has been historically stingy (conceding just ~0.5 goals per game). Régis Le Bris’ Sunderland (8th) have defied every metric since their promotion, sitting comfortably in the top half.

Arsenal & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@-124

Win

40

Arsenal’s Defense: It is the best in the league. They suffocate opponents, conceding the lowest xG/90 in Europe. Sunderland’s Toothlessness: Without Xhaka to orchestrate the transition to forwards like Wilson Isidor or Brian Brobbey, Sunderland’s attack will be isolated. They are walking into the Emirates to defend a 0-0, not to trade punches.
15:00 Bournemouth v Aston Villa

Bournemouth

50 WIN

@+189

Lose

-50

The market is respecting Villa’s reputation (Top 4) rather than their current reality (Midfield crisis). Home advantage + slick pitch + Villa missing their 3 best midfielders = massive value on the home underdog.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-153

Lose

-50

Bournemouth does not know how to play for a 0-0. Their "score one more than you" mentality, combined with Villa getting Watkins back, guarantees chances at both ends. Villa’s depleted midfield offers little protection to their back four, while Bournemouth concedes regularly (43 conceded in 25 games).
15:00 Burnley v West Ham

West Ham

50 WIN

@+125

Win

62

This is a team with top-10 form (West Ham) playing a team with relegation form (Burnley) that is missing its midfield engine and defensive leaders.

West Ham & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+332

Win

166

Without Amdouni (creation) and Ward-Prowse (set pieces), where do the goals come from? Burnley relies heavily on set-pieces for xG generation. Removing JWP cripples their offense. West Ham's defense is weaker without Todibo, but they may simply control possession enough to stifle a toothless Burnley.

Callum Wilson

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

Narratives matter in sports betting when backed by data. Wilson has scored 8 career goals against Burnley and netted in the reverse fixture. With Burnley missing key defensive starters, Wilson will get high-quality chances. He is also on penalties.
15:00 Fulham v Everton

Fulham

50 WIN

@+120

Lose

-50

Home team in good form against an opponent that offers almost zero attacking threat. Without Jack Grealish, Everton has no outlet to relieve pressure. Fulham will eventually wear them down.

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

Everton has conceded only 11 goals in 12 away games??"they are defensively solid but offensively inept (especially without Grealish). Fulham missing Muniz reduces their "Plan B" chaos factor. This has 1-0 or 1-1 written all over it.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Chelsea

Chelsea

50 WIN

@-161

Win

31

The disparity between 5th and 20th is too large to ignore. Wolves have earned just 8 points all season. They are demoralized, missing key defenders, and facing a Chelsea side in peak form (3 consecutive wins). Chelsea scoring at least 2 goals feels inevitable given Wolves' 1.9 GA/game average.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-161

Win

31

Wolves cannot keep a clean sheet (45 GA), and Chelsea’s defense is missing key starters (Colwill/Tosin), increasing the chance of a Wolves consolation goal. A 2-1 or 3-1 Chelsea win fits the statistical profile perfectly.

Chelsea & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@+209

Win

105

A 2-1 or 3-1 Chelsea win fits the statistical profile perfectly. Recent H2H games at Molineux have historically been high-scoring or open due to Wolves' need to chase.

Cole Palmer

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+150

Win

75

Palmer is the heartbeat of this Chelsea side. With Gittens out, the creative burden falls on him. Facing the league's worst defense, his volume of touches in the final third will be high. He is also the likely penalty taker.
14:10 Italy v Scotland

Italy 8.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@-109

Win

46

The market consistently undervalues Italy’s home advantage. In 2024, Italy won outright as +14 underdogs. In 2025, they covered spreads consistently.

Over 47.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

Conditions in Rome are forecasted to be decent. Scotland’s defensive structure with Jordan at 15 is untested, and Italy’s attack is potent. Both teams are built to score 20+ points.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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