Fortunata
Tips are mostly generated by a computer algorithm with long term value identified. Some selections will appear to have no obvious chance but may be hugely under-bet in the market. A low strike rate is normal.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
Fortunata's Tips History
20 October 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Moonlight Bomb
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Win
55
A race that appeals from an each-way angle with the filly Suzuka taking up a big share of the market. She was beaten off a mark of 61 last time and doesn't look that well treated. Jamie Osborne's sole representative at the meeting is of interest off a sliding handicap mark. He perhaps found the ground too fast at Bath last time and was well held at that undulating course. He was second on the all-weather at Chelmsford in August when rated 63 (now five pounds lower). He is plenty fit enough and may put up an improved performance tonight. Class-dropping Lord Capulet would also be of interest were Kevin Ryan's yard in better form.
Subtotal55
17 October 2025
18:00 6:00 Newcastle
Sioux Perfect
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Push
0
The cleverly named Sioux Perfect, by Sioux Nation, won a very strong contest with something in hand last time at Newmarket over six furlongs. Quite a few of her defeated opponents were only raised a pound or left alone by the assessor and have gone in since or placed. This would suggest a rise of five pounds might under-estimate Sioux Perfect's achievement last time. With a US sire she should take to the artificial surface on debut at Newcastle.
17:05 5:05 Redcar
Pride Of Nepal
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Win
20
Sarah Bowen is a regular partner to Pride Of Nepal and she has ridden him to victory twice off handicap marks of 57 and 61. On both occasions she was unable to claim any weight allowances and they were tricky tracks - Goodwood and Brighton - coming from off the pace to win. She rides a lot for shrewd trainer Tony Carroll and Pride Of Nepal looks capable of making the frame.
16:35 4:35 Redcar
Flamborough Head
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 13.00 takenBOG
@19.00
Win
540
Flamborough Head won a three-year-olds only handicap here in April. He ran consistently thereafter placing a couple of times off a higher mark. He has been racing against older horses recently but showing signs of being competitive again off his falling handicap mark. Last time the ground was probably too soft but with only 8-11 today he may well get into the mix on quicker ground.
16:00 4:00 Redcar
Off Spin
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Connections clearly think seven furlongs is Off Spin's trip having run over a mile before. He has dropped ten pounds in the weights and attracted some support last time at long odds when sporting first time cheekpieces. He fluffed the start and is given another chance. A tongue strap is fitted today, so that may also produce some improvement.
15:40 3:40 Haydock
March Ahead
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
March Ahead and If I Could Dream both ran in the valuable Doncaster nursery last month over 6 and half furlongs. Although March Ahead did not beat Gwen John for a second time, she still ran a good race and her win at Carlisle in a novice race still looks quite convincing. Her handicap mark has been eased two pounds and decent apprentice, Jack Callan, claims another valuable five.
15:25 3:25 Redcar
Sugar Baby
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG
@10.00
Win
270
Sugar Baby was tapped for toe over the minimum distance last time at Southwell which was quite a competitive class 5. He is on a fair handicap mark at the moment and the return to six furlongs at a course he won at in May should see him in much better light.
Subtotal730
13 October 2025
19:40 7:40 Kempton
Federated
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
330
At 13/2 there is still a bit of value in Federated. He goes particularly well at this right-handed all weather track. His last run in a more valuable class 3 competition can be passed over, as that was after a break of 73 days. He should be pitch perfect after that and back down into class four as he bids for a second course and distance win. Fox Journey might be the biggest danger, dropping in class and the weights but he might find this trip on the sharp side despite De Sousa's services in the saddle and first time cheekpieces.
Subtotal330
12 October 2025
17:22 5:22 Goodwood
Pink Lily
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Win
15
Just Keep Flying's debut win was quickly given a knock when Club Class (3rd and rated just 75) put the filly back in her place at Kempton next time. Day Of Grace had to go to Thirsk to break her maiden in a weak race with Catton Lady, rated 65, runner-up. So with these two needing to improve, Pink Lily is suggested as a danger. She runs five pounds better at this track (twice a course and distance winner). Highly tried in Listed company last time, she slots back into this class 4 handicap. Our Golden One would be a big threat too if rekindling old form, having not run in this grade since April 2024.
15:37 3:37 Goodwood
Toyotomi
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Runners from the Ayr Silver and Gold Cups coming into focus in this race, with the latter appearing to be the stronger form. Toyotomi was below par that day with the soft going and the draw creating a big field split he wasn't competitive. However, he has been dropped five pounds by the assessor to a mark of 97. A reproduction of the form he showed four races ago in a Deauville Group 3 would give him a good chance today. At Deauville he was 3 lengths behind Beauvatier who won the Group 2 Challenge Stakes at Newmarket yesterday and will undoubtedly rate higher than 111. So if Toyotomi can run to anything like that level back in July he would be over-priced at 14/1 and with Billy Loughnane riding out of his skin at the moment, there is a lot to like.
Subtotal-35
10 October 2025
19:45 7:45 Kempton
Tortured Soul
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Tortured Soul and Kingkeer were both running after a lay-off at Kempton in September. That was quite a strong class 4 handicap, and Wine Dark Sea (6th) went a neck second in the Old Rowley Cup at Newmarket this afternoon, putting a very interesting frank on the form. Tortured Soul lasted out a lot longer than Kingkeer, which was no surprise given he has plenty of winning form over a mile and a half. Tony Carroll's charge has been eased a pound by the assessor and drops in grade and steps up to optimum distance. It would be no surprise if he improves from that comeback run. 33/1 appeals each way.
14:05 2:05 York
Advance Twentyfive
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Ghost Mode and Advance Twentyfive competed at Chester last month on easy ground in a Class 2 maiden. Ghost Mode received four pounds and rode out an easy winner. That idiosyncratic course looked against Advance Twentyfive, and he went on to run a very good race in the Goffs' Million at the Curragh, not far behind the likes of Dorset and Composing - rated 107 (runs this afternoon in a Group 1 at Newmarket). That form looks very strong, and one suspects he might have a chance giving Ghost Mode a decent rematch.
Subtotal-100
08 October 2025
19:40 7:40 Kempton
Society Man
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Win
840
This race could provide Society Man with the opportunity to rebuild his form. After reportedly suffering a burst blood vessel in July, he has been given a very light season and reappeared only twice. Having shown very little at Ayr, the handicapper has eased him five pounds and apprentice Jack Callan, takes another five pounds off for this drop into class four grade. His best efforts have been on the all-weather over seven furlongs and it would be nice to see signs of rejuvenation.
18:10 6:10 Kempton
Ballistic Missile
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Win
225
At 9/2 Ballistic Missile has to be a selection. He finished a respectable sixth in a much better nursery than this at York. He had 12 decent horses lagging behind, of which no less than seven were last time out winners. He drops back to six furlongs, but his debut win was over five, so he should have speed enough. Art Lover and Chale Chalo both rate as dangers having bumped into Godolphin's useful Sword Maker last time at Doncaster.
16:30 4:30 Nottingham
Stormy Monday
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Stormy Monday has the sort of pedigree which points to his current vein of winning form continuing, despite a five-pound rise in the weights. Home-bred by Too Darn Hot out of a Frankel mare, the three-year-old colt is staying 10 furlongs well and has a good turn of foot. Soft or good to soft ground on a flat track is ideal. The class 4 he won at Doncaster last time has some substance, with the runner-up winning on the bridle next time out. 11/2 about Stormy Monday seems most fair. Front-runner Due To Henry could set the race up for a battle at the finish.
1 member found this comment useful
15:58 3:58 Nottingham
We Dare To Dream
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
With four class-droppers in this handicap it is likely to be run at decent pace. Along with Metabolt, We Dare To Dream has been just a little outclassed in better company but has nonetheless been running well and making his presence felt. He "won" off a mark of 87 in a Class 3 at Haydock in July, until demoted to second in the Stewards' Enquiry, so today's handicap rating of 85 should keep him in the mix. Sir Mark uses a good claiming apprentice with a seven pound allowance, suggesting his runner is not as well-in as he might have hoped.
1 member found this comment useful
15:28 3:28 Nottingham
Navagio
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
The market has got Ultrasoul about right at 3/1 although he switches back from the artificial surface to turf and has it to prove on good to soft. Transparent and Navagio are of interest against the favourite. Transparent went well last time at Newbury's flat mile on easy ground. Navagio has slipped to a very competitive mark and went very close to landing the spoils last time over a stiff seven at Beverley until meeting trouble in running. A return to a mile on easy ground poses no problems and with better luck may well compensate.
1 member found this comment useful
14:58 2:58 Nottingham
Pearl River
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Win
200
The form of the £30k Goodwood maiden that Pearl River ran in has already been given a decent boost when A Taste Of Glory - 2.5L behind Pearl River that day - duly obliged on Monday by winning a 13-runner maiden race at Brighton with something to spare. Pearl River wasn't given a hard time when unable to catch smart-looking Bay Of Brilliance over ten furlongs on good to soft, and it now looks likely the opening handicap mark of 76 for Lord Carnarvon's colt is somewhat generous, albeit this is quite a hot little nursery.
13:58 1:58 Nottingham
Personal Best
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Win
15
Personal Best was given a short break of 7 weeks or so after the summer. She then ran a creditable fourth last month in a better race than this (Spirit of Jura ran badly), and the form of the Class 4 handicap race she won in June is working out well. Jonathan Portman's filly acts on soft and stays the trip, which may give her a stamina advantage over Brielle, who won over 10 furlongs at Ayr. 8/1 looks a fair price.
Subtotal1130
07 October 2025
17:35 5:35 Leicester
Emperors Son
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Win
85
Emperor's Son was acquired by the Richard Fahey racing club in January. Since then he has slipped down the weights by 12 pounds to a mark of 66. 22/1 is too big a price given that he was fourth at Chester in similar company in his penultimate race. He didn't get the rub of the green at Ayr in a field of 18 last time. With draw one today, he might be able to get a good position and bowl along in front and make the frame.
17:15 5:15 Brighton
Otago
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
King Of War and Otago both appeal. A five-pound penalty may not anchor King Of War. But Otago has his ground, and he has been running adequately in Class 4s the last three races. His handicap mark is now a pound below his last win at Brighton twelve months ago.
16:45 4:45 Brighton
Shifra
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Pat Phelan has two running in this race: Celtic John, now owned by his breeder and off the track for two months, and bottom weight, Shifra. The three-year-old filly makes her handicap debut today off an opening mark of 42. She was up against it last time and had no real chance of beating Ralph Becket's hotpot Livonian. With just 8-8 to carry, this track could well suit, and she might show some improvement. Manton Road is now well handicapped and has been nibbled at long odds.
16:30 4:30 Leicester
Brooklyn Nine Nine
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Win
17
Brooklyn Nine Nine was 10th of 25 in the Ayr Bronze Cup. Interestingly, Ambrose Turnbull's Manila Scouse ran behind Brooklyn Nine Nine at Ayr (16th) and has since run well to finish fourth at Ripon in valuable handicap. So that form looks extremely persuasive and with the handicapper since easing Brooklyn Nine Nine a couple of pounds, he is the selection.
15:00 3:00 Leicester
Diamond Ali
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@10.00
Win
20
Diamond Ali was completely out of his depth in the 121k Sommerville Auction Stakes at Newmarket in August. He has now qualified for a handicap mark and gets to race with just 8-12. Diamond Ali might well be more competitive today with cheekpieces aiding the cause.
14:30 2:30 Leicester
Fordham Flyer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
They were strung out like washing at Beverley on heavy ground, but Fordham Flyer showed a willing attitude to make the frame on first run for new trainer Phil Kirby. A stiff track suits and with slightly less challenging ground conditions, there is no reason why he cannot improve again.
14:00 2:00 Leicester
Outrun The Storm
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Outrun The Storm went well in an amateur event at Chester in June, only beaten a neck off a mark of 65. The winner and third both confirmed the form next time out. He was off the track for six weeks before a moderate run at Southwell 33 days ago. Running off a mark of 65 again and with an apprentice well worth his three pounds claim, he should be competitive down in class 6 company.
Subtotal-78
06 October 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Baileys Warrior
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
Looking to take favourite Sneaky Blinder on, and Baileys Warrior makes the shortlist at 22/1. She re-opposes Sneaky Blinder and only has to concede two pounds on this occasion. She last won over the track and trip off a mark of 52 and races off 51 today. One suspects connections want to make amends for a rough passage last time, which didn't help Baileys Warrior and resulted in Luke Morris receiving a caution from the stewards. With a very light campaign so far this year, she may well be coming back into form. Keep an eye on Indigo Times lurking on a low mark.
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton
Wiltshire Wonder
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@9.00
Lose
-50
This looks like an intelligent bit of placing by Archie Watson and connections. Wiltshire Wonder was making a return to the racetrack after having most of the year off, and the Wootton Bassett five-year-old probably did not see out the mile and three quarters at Southwell against some decent staying handicappers like Tryfan and Road To Wembley. He should be sharper for that, and the drop in trip is ideal. He is a class 4 winner and is competitively handicapped on a mark of 78. Civil Law is an enigmatic sole representative from Roger Teal's yard.
17:45 5:45 Yarmouth
Poetic Jack
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Most of the value has gone on I Can Imagine (soft ground form and "job" jockey booked). Poetic Jack has now gone to 10/1 and makes some appeal. He ran a good third here in July after a break of over three months. That was off a mark of 52. His last win was off 50 and he races off 48 today and carries just 8-12. Despite racing wide last time he managed sixth and today might well be seen to better effect.
17:13 5:13 Yarmouth
Noble Guest
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Noble Guest should be much closer to Gorgeous Mr George in the market given they have clashed recently, with winner Noble Guest remaining well treated at the weights (gets four pounds). They are both progressive three year olds, and the selection acts on the ground, goes well at the course and looks like he will stay the mile. Dashing Dick and Distinct Spirit both ran well in the Turners Handicap at Newmarket and also have a chance.
16:38 4:38 Yarmouth
Prince Rasam
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
An interesting race with plenty of angles. Prince Rasam was with Michael Bell until the spring when he moved yards to Gary Moore (he remains with current owners). He did nothing all summer until a belated reappearance at Epsom on soft ground. Considering he was unlikely to be fully tuned up, he ran a very good second in similar company. The handicapper took the same view and nudged him up a couple of pounds. That should have put him spot-on, and the additional furlong today looks sure to suit the son of Masar. Karthala should also go well stepping up in distance.
15:30 3:30 Yarmouth
Food For Thought
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Win
12
Some extravagant six-figure price tags making their appearances here, no doubt with plans for 2026 if they are good. Of the two with experience, Food For Thought came out best on my assessment, having raced in a 13-runner Newbury novice which, despite the SP of the winner, has already yielded two winners. She has also got an attractive pedigree, and the step up to a mile is sure to suit on ground she has already encountered.
Subtotal-238
02 October 2025
17:25 5:25 Salisbury
Fair Dinkum
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG
@11.00
Win
300
Promethean had to go to France to break his maiden after 12 tries and looks worth taking on. West Country trainer, Jeremy Scott, sends Fair Dinkum to Salisbury after he ran a career best to win a decent pot at Bath last time (quietly fancied). Admittedly, that was on heavy ground, but the five year old has won on fast ground, all weather and now heavy. In current form and fitness, he should be competitive. Apprentice rider Taryn Langley can claim five pounds to offset the rise in the weights.
17:10 5:10 Nottingham
Equion
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 26.00 on 02/10 at 14:020.10 deduction for Zapphire@8.00 withdrawn at 17:150.10 deduction for Spirit Genie @8.500 withdrawn at 17:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 25.00 x (1-0.2) = 21.00
@21.00
Win
75
16:35 4:35 Nottingham
Ciara Pearl
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Win
20
16:20 4:20 Salisbury
Dr Strangelove
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG
@26.00
Win
750
Unexposed Dr Strangelove catches the eye down in grade for this Class 4 handicap. Connections have prepared and placed the late-foaled Mohaather colt well. In June at this track, he was just a head behind Revelance, a subsequent winner and then runner-up in a Class 3 handicap at York. Dr Strangelove was then off the track for two months before running well enough in an 80k sprint final at Kempton. That should have put him spot-on now that he returns to Salisbury. 14/1 looks too big a price.
16:05 4:05 Nottingham
Arcon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
15:35 3:35 Nottingham
Fantasy Master
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Plenty to like about Fantasy Master's race at Doncaster over 5 furlongs on soft in September. He finished fourth in a very tight finish. He is in good form and is well-treated at the weights. His handicap mark is unchanged at 72 and he won off 77 here last year. That Doncaster race has thrown up three good winners subsequently and a second, suggesting the form is solid.
13:40 1:40 Salisbury
Colourband
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Win
45
Not sure how Rabbah Racing came to have a Godolphin-bred Iffraaj colt, but either way, he ran an encouraging debut in a warm Class 2 maiden at Doncaster last month. That was on soft ground, and the April foal probably was nowhere near match-fit. With Simon Crisford bringing just this runner to Salisbury today and with better ground, he should improve. Although there are plenty of nice sorts in this race.
Subtotal1090
01 October 2025
17:25 5:25 Catterick
Flickering Halo
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.50
Void
0
Flickering Halo probably did not stay a mile and 5 furlongs on soft ground at Ayr last time. He is dropped back to a mile and half. His last win came off a handicap mark of 74 in May and if he handles the track, he is well treated at the weights running off 69.
16:50 4:50 Catterick
The Cookstown Cafu
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
The Cookstown Cafu is on a handy mark and probably was not as race-fit as the re-opposing Sunny Orange when they raced behind Ey Up Its Jazz in quite a competitive handicap at Thirsk last time out. The six-year-old was also a little short of room near the finish. The handicapper has eased him another pound and he gets seven furlongs on easy ground. 12/1 looks like a fair price with four places each-way.
16:23 4:23 Kempton
Medway Queen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Medway Queen looks underestimated in the market. Her last run can be disregarded to some extent as she bled from the nose. She is much better judged on her debut run when runner-up at Nottingham, to be denied by just half a length over a mile. Only two runners in that race have subsequently won races, but that run gave encouragement. Assuming she is none the worse after a nice break of 90 days, she should be better for the step up in distance and evidently goes well fresh.
Subtotal-100
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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