RYSK83

I have been a data analyst and a semi-pro gambler for over 15 years. I use AI and latest data to create "Benter" models.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£20

Estimated Prize money
this month

RYSK83's Tips History

12 January 2026

20:00 Sevilla v Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

150 WIN

@2.63

Win

244

Sevilla's in a defensive crisis with key center-back Marcao suspended, forcing midfielder Gudelj to play out of position in defence. This creates a fatal physical mismatch against Celta's in-form striker, Borja Iglesias (7 goals), who will dominate the aerial and physical battle in the box. Combined with Sevilla's current three-match losing streak and Celta's superior away form (1.88 PPD), the tactical advantage sits heavily with the visitors.

19:45 Juventus v Cremonese

Juventus & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

150 WIN

@1.83

Win

124

Juventus will score 2 and kill the game. Cremonese struggle to create xG away (0.92) and lack the pace to break Juventus' defence down.

19:45 Liverpool v Barnsley

Liverpool #4-1

150 WIN

@13.00

Win

1800

Liverpool's attack will demolish Barnsley's weekend defence, but Liverpool's own soft defence makes a clean sheet unlikely. Expect a high-scoring home win. 4-1

17:30 Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Nassr Riyadh

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.36

Win

Combined xG is 4.50. Ronaldo and Malcolm on the pitch with weekend defenses ensure 3+ goals. A 4-3 or 5-2 scoreline is mathematically probable.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.36

Win

17:30 Al Ittifaq Dammam v Al Khaleej Saihat

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.65

Win

Al Khaleej Saihat has Joshua King (12 goals) and Fortounis. Al Ittifaq Dammam has Wijnaldum (9 goals). The over 2.5 goals has an 80% chance.

11 January 2026

19:45 Inter Milan v Napoli

Inter Milan

150 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-150

Inter dominates every metric: xG (1.71 vs 0.60), home form (2.33 PPG). Napoli's sterile possession cannot break Inter's elite defensive block.

18:00 Moreirense v Tondela

Moreirense & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

150 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-150

Moreirense holds a decisive technical edge, generating nearly triple the xG (2.74 vs 0.78) of the visitors. While defensive absences suggest Tondela will score, Moreirense's superior midfield control and wing pace should secure a high-scoring home victory.

17:30 Aris Salonika v AEK Athens

AEK Athens & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

150 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-150

Aris fails to score in 43% of home games and now loses their top scorer. AEK has kept clean sheets in 43% of away games. Statistical probability strongly favors at least one side keeping a zero. AEK is the league leader; they will win this.

17:30 MS Ashdod v Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.75

Win

112

The lack of defensive discipline (combined clean sheet rate under 15%) makes this the most likely statistical outcome. Both teams' offensive metrics are significantly stronger than their defensive organization.

17:00 Verona v Lazio

Under 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.53

Win

Lazio's attack is crippled without Zaccagni, and Verona's xG is sub-1.0. The data screams "tactical stalemate" rather than a shootout.

16:30 Aberdeen v Rangers

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-150

Weather conditions will favor mistakes. A slip by a defender or a wind-assisted cross creates goals from nothing. Both teams have

16:15 Padova v Modena

Under 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.65

Win

Padova's home xG is < 1.0 against good defenses. Modena concedes < 0.8 goals away. The math suggests a low-scoring, controlled victory for the visitors (or a draw).

15:45 Sparta Rotterdam v Heracles

Sparta Rotterdam

150 WIN

@1.83

Win

124

Sparta Rotterdam holds a decisive tactical and squad edge. The departure of Hornkamp has essentially neutralized Heracles' offense, leaving their abysmal defence (2.56 conceded away) exposed. Expect a professional home win.

15:42 3:42 Chelmsford City

Chola Empire

Daily Racing

150 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

This course specialist has hit a career-low rating at his preferred venue. The massive mathematical overlay at the current odds represents the peak statistical return and expected value on this entire card.

15:30 OFI Crete v Asteras Tripolis

Under 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-150

Data indicate a severe lack of away goal threat from Asteras (0.39 xG). Historical H/H confirms a low-scoring trend, and the weather conditions favor a controlled, non-chaotic match profile.

15:15 Granada v CD Castellon

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-150

Granada's defence is weak. Castellón's attack will score. Granada's volume shooting (15/game) ensures they likely get one back. BTTS Yes

15:15 Levante v Espanyol

Espanyol

150 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-150

The data mismatch is huge. Espanyol (5th) is +500% better in PPG than Levante (19th). Levante conceded 2.43 goals/game at home. Espanyol wins the xG battle 1.90 to 0.80.

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15:15 Malaga v AD Ceuta

Malaga & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

150 WIN

@5.00

Win

600

Malaga's 13-game run without a clean sheet is a decisive data point. While they dominate the attack, their defense will allow enough variance for a motivated Ceuta attack to find the net.

14:30 Borussia Mgladbach v Augsburg

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.80

Win

120

The defining metric is defensive incompetence. Gladbach concedes 2.13 per game at home; Augsburg concedes 1.86 away. Neither side has the personnel to park the bus effectively.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

150 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-150

Augsburg scores in 71% of away games despite losing. Gladbach's defence (0 clean sheets away, 38% at home) cannot be trusted. Both teams must win, forcing an open game.

14:00 Dundee v Hearts

Hearts

150 WIN

@1.48

Win

Hearts are top of the league, motivated, and face a Dundee side missing their best player. The squad mismatch is too large to ignore.

14:00 Fiorentina v AC Milan

AC Milan

150 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-150

Milan is superior in every metric, generating nearly double the xG (1.87 vs 0.82). Milan winning this is the clear outcome.

14:00 Levadiakos v Volos NFC

Levadiakos

150 WIN

@1.65

Win

Levadiakos is a massive statistical outlier at home (3.00 scored/match). The xG disparity (2.11 to 1.01) and historical H/H trends suggest a dominant home performance, with goals and corners as the primary edges.

14:00 Mantova v Palermo

Palermo & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

150 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-150

Mantova is aggressive at home (18+ shots/game), virtually guaranteeing a goal. However, their defensive fragility ensures Palermo's superior attackers will also find the net. Palermo to win and BTTS.

13:30 Go Ahead Eagles v Fortuna Sittard

Go Ahead Eagles & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

150 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-150

Go Ahead are unbeaten in 6 home games despite overall form. Fortuna are winless in 6 away games. Both teams have zero recent defensive reliability, failing to keep clean sheets in 11 and 6 matches respectively.

13:30 Telstar v Ajax

Ajax & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

150 WIN

@3.10

Win

315

Ajax is technically dominant but defensively brittle away. Combined with Telstar's consistent home scoring and freezing conditions, expect a high-scoring exchange where Ajax's individual quality ultimately prevails.

13:00 Leganes v Valladolid

Under 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-150

Leganés scores 0.67 goals at home. Valladolid scores 0.89 away. The data paints a picture of a 0-0 or 1-0 grind. The xG sum (1.35) is one of the lowest of the weekend.

13:00 Rayo Vallecano v Mallorca

Under 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-150

This is a clash between a team that can't score at home (Rayo 0.63) and a team that can't score away (Mallorca 0.43 xG). The defensive data dominates the offensive data completely.

11:30 Lecce v Parma

Under 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-150

Both teams possess sterile attacks, averaging roughly 0.6 goals per game. The high-stakes relegation context naturally tightens defensive lines. The adverse weather conditions will severely limit effective chance creation and finishing quality.

11:15 Heerenveen v Feyenoord

Feyenoord & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

150 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-150

Heerenveen has an 88% BTTS rate at home. Both defenses are vulnerable in freezing weather. Feyenoord's superior midfield gives them a significant technical edge. Heerenveen is a critical weak link.

10 January 2026

20:00 Valencia v Elche

Valencia

150 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-150

Valencia is desperate (18th place) but strong at home. Elche is comfortable (9th) but abysmal away (0 wins) and missing their best striker. The data points to a Valencia win in a low-scoring game.

19:20 7:20 Newcastle

Poet

Daily Racing

75 EW

@34.00

Lose

-150

At large odds, POET makes an each-way appeal as a speculative value angle, having shown occasional flashes of competitiveness at this level.

Queen For Adaay

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-150

She rates as a viable winning contender given the return to a more suitable all-weather setup, evidence of latent ability in stronger company, a potentially favorable pace scenario, and the current handicap mark that allows for meaningful upside if reproducing prior peak figures.

19:00 Egypt v Ivory Coast

Draw

150 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-150

Tournament trend. Heavyweight clashes in AFCON QFs have a disproportionately high draw rate. Both teams' fear of losing is greater than their desire to win. Odds of 2.90+ represent value.

18:50 6:50 Newcastle

Pinpoint

Daily Racing

75 EW

@34.00

Lose

-150

Despite trading around 33/1, he is not without a plausible winning angle in this race. Previous form suggests he is capable of outperforming his current rating.

18:20 6:20 Newcastle

King Of Chaos

Daily Racing

75 EW

@6.50

Lose

-150

Appeals as a sound each-way and placing proposition, with consistent form at this level. Reliable late-closing fractions, proven effectiveness under similar surface conditions, and a profile that suggests he can outrun market expectations without necessarily needing everything to fall perfectly.

Sound And Vision

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-150

He is a strong winning candidate, having posted competitive all-weather figures over this trip. He has shown the ability to travel prominently off a solid pace and is now competing from a mark that looks exploitable given recent sectionals and the likely race shape.

18:00 Hapoel Beer Sheva v Maccabi Haifa

Hapoel Beer Sheva

150 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-150

Hapoel Be'er Sheva is the dominant force in Israel right now (1st place, 2.75 goals/home game). Maccabi Haifa creates chances away (1.77 xG) but fails to convert wins (33%). The data support a home win driven by superior finishing and home advantage.

17:50 5:50 Newcastle

Beelzebub

Daily Racing

75 EW

@29.00

Lose

-150

The market has completely missed his fitness angle. Raced 3 days ago. Form could be better, but the value is huge ??" in the double digits.

Storm The Dug

Daily Racing

150 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@19.00

Lose

-150

Returning from a quick 3-day break. His form figures suggest consistency, recent form shows he is bubbling.. The reward for the risk is huge.

17:45 Bristol City v Watford

Watford

150 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-150

The data suggests the market has mispriced this fixture. Bristol City is favored despite having worse form, worse win percentages, and a leakier defense (xGA) than the stats show. Watford is the clear value side. They're clinical away from home and hard to beat recently. Backing the visitors to get a result is the logical play.

17:45 Cambridge Utd v Birmingham

Cambridge Utd

150 WIN

@4.60

Lose

-150

The market is blindly backing Birmingham based on "squad value" and "history", completely ignoring the reality that Birmingham is averaging 0.20 points per game away recently. Cambridge United is a fortress at home (2.5 PPG). Backing Cambridge is the strongest data-led position.

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17:45 Tottenham v Aston Villa

Aston Villa

150 WIN

@2.63

Win

244

Massive value. The odds (2.63) imply Villa is an underdog or equal. The data (Villa 80% away win rate vs Spurs 30% home win rate + injury crisis) screams Villa is the clear favorite.

17:30 Bayer Leverkusen v VfB Stuttgart

Bayer Leverkusen & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

150 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-150

Leverkusen is strong at home but concedes goals. A 3-1 or 2-1 win is their most common positive result profile.

17:20 5:20 Newcastle

Rajstar

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-150

Returning on a quick 3-day backup is a massive signal. The market often misses this fitness angle, offering huge value at double-digit odds.

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16:50 4:50 Newcastle

Aye Up Tom

Daily Racing

75 EW

@19.00

Lose

-150

He is holding steady form. With a solid rating foundation, models indicate strength. The available price looks like a clear error.

16:20 4:20 Newcastle

Galileos Compass

Daily Racing

75 EW

@41.00

Lose

-150

Carrying a competitive mark, finding significantly more improvement. Recent efforts are the key here. The price looks like a clear error.

Relevant Range

Daily Racing

150 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@3.75

Lose

-150

He is running reliably. With a solid rating foundation, the models indicate strength. Looks a sound investment given the consistency shown.

16:15 Juve Stabia v Pescara

Juve Stabia

150 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-150

Pescara concedes goals for fun away from home (2.5 goals/game conceded). Juve Stabia's home defense (0.33 conceded) is nearly impenetrable.

15:47 3:47 Newcastle

Eligible

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@8.50

Win

1125

The available price looks like a clear error given the form curve. He is clearly on the upgrade and brings a dangerous profile to this contest.

15:38 3:38 Lingfield

Charlies Choice

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-150

Represents a healthy statistical wager at current market odds. He is hitting a peak trajectory and brings a dangerous profile to this contest.

Raintown

Daily Racing

75 EW

@26.00

Lose

-150

Carrying a competitive mark, he needs to arrest a recent slide. Recent efforts are key context here. An outstanding mathematical overlay.

15:10 3:10 Newcastle

Hes Our Cracker

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-150

He is maintaining a consistent level. The market price vastly underestimates these credentials. Even with the current rating, the value proposition is clear.

Quintus Arrius

Daily Racing

75 EW

@15.00

Lose

-150

He is delivering solid but unspectacular efforts. With a solid rating foundation, the model indicates strength. The market price vastly underestimates these credentials.

15:00 3:00 Lingfield

Baldomero

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-150

Statistically, this is a standout value proposition. He is clearly on the upgrade and brings a dangerous profile to this contest.

15:00 Boreham Wood v Burton Albion

Over 2.50

Total Goals

150 WIN

@1.73

Win

110

Boreham Wood's defense isn't elite. (0.8 conceded is good, but vs. League One teams it is harder.) Their attack is lethal (2.4 scored). Open game expected.

15:00 Burnley v Millwall

Draw #0-0

150 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-150

This will be a grind. Burnley creates chances (1.43 xG) but can't score. Millwall defends well but can't score away (0.5 goals). The game reeks of a low-scoring draw.

15:00 Chesham v AFC Totton

Chesham

150 WIN

@2.38

Void

14:30 SC Freiburg v Hamburg

SC Freiburg

150 WIN

@1.80

Win

120

Odds of 1.80 imply a ~55% chance. My model (based on Hamburg's injury crisis and away wins) puts it at 65%. This is solid value.

14:30 Union Berlin v Mainz

Union Berlin

150 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-150

Odds of 2.20 are generous. Mainz is dead last, missing their GK and defense, and winless in five away games. Union should be priced closer to 1.75.

14:20 2:20 Lingfield

Hint Of Humour

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-150

He is running his races reliably. With a solid rating foundation, my model indicates strength. There is a discrepancy between the odds available and the statistical reality.

Manhattan Chute

Daily Racing

75 EW

@34.00

Lose

-150

Statistically, this is a standout value proposition. She is showing significantly more improvement and brings a dangerous profile to this contest.

14:00 Como v Bologna

Como

150 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-150

Como is quietly one of the best home teams in Serie A. Bologna is forced to field a backup goalkeeper and faces a fortress. While Bologna has dangerous wingers, Como's defensive structure should nullify them. The home win is the value play.

14:00 Frosinone v Catanzaro

Frosinone

150 WIN

@1.95

Win

142

Frosinone is the class of Serie B. Right now they are in 1st place, with 17 shots per game. The market offering 1.95 for a home win is a pricing error based on Catanzaro's decent league position, ignoring the underlying stats. Back the home win confidently.

13:47 1:47 Lingfield

Annexation

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@34.00

Lose

-150

The available price looks like a clear error given the form curve. He’s running his race reliably and brings a dangerous profile to this contest.

Dark Rosa

Daily Racing

75 EW

@10.00

Lose

-150

She is appearing to be slightly off the boil. With a solid rating foundation, the models indicate strength. An outstanding mathematical overlay.

13:10 1:10 Lingfield

Imperial Decision

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@29.00

Lose

-150

There is a massive discrepancy between the odds available and the statistical reality. She is holding steady form and brings a dangerous profile to this contest.

Klammer Express

Daily Racing

75 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@51.00

Void

She is holding a steady form. The market vastly underestimates these credentials. Even with the current rating, the value proposition is clear.

12:40 12:40 Lingfield

Dr Ali

Daily Racing

150 WINNB

@13.00

Lose

-150

Statistically, this is the standout value proposition on the card. He brings a mark of 50 and is running his races reliably. The latest figure of 46 reinforces the statistical view.

12:10 12:10 Lingfield

Zaltalla

Daily Racing

150 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@6.00

Lose

-150

Rated 50 and on a downward slide. With market odds of 5/1 against a true line of 3/1, he deserves strong support. He holds a substantial edge against the market.

11:40 11:40 Lingfield

Reddeef

Daily Racing

150 WINNAPAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@19.00

Lose

-150

The math suggests Reddeef offers significant mathematical value. Rated 64 with latest figure 51. The gap between 18/1 and 3/1 (assessed probability) indicates this runner commands respect at these odds.

Super Hit

Daily Racing

75 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 09/01 at 19:440.10 deduction for City Of York@10.00 withdrawn at 11:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.00

@10.00

Win

Rated 63 and heading in the right direction (latest figure 62). This runner holds a substantial edge vs. the market.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

RYSK83

RYSK83's Tips History

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