HorseQuant9
Model predictions for horses - I run a quantitative strategy which puts all relevant features into a model and gives me a probability outcome for each. I will try to keep each horse tip comments in the same format.
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Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
HorseQuant9's Tips History
31 August 2025
17:10 5:10 Worcester
Oslo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Oslo should win. This result has been driven by Oslo having the highest RPR of the 12-runner field but hasn't been overly penalized in the weights. Good value on offer at 13s and is a prior course winner. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:10 4:10 Worcester
Drombeg Lad
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Drombeg Lad can win this one. Drombeg Lad lines up here with the highest RPR of this 10-runner field but steps out carrying the exact same amount of weight as the majority of runners here. Second when out the last twice and looks to build on those close calls here. Kelan Woods picks up the reins, who's in form and is a trusted pair of hands. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:40 3:40 Worcester
Dream Diamond
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.62 on 30/08 at 18:060.10 deduction for Diamond Geezer@7.00 withdrawn at 08:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.62 x (1-0.10) = 2.46
@2.46
Win
72
The model I run suggests Dream Diamond can win this one. This result has been driven by Dream Diamond having the highest RPR of this 11-runner field and has not been penalized for it in the weights. All horses step out carrying the same initial amount of weight. The jockey on board takes off a further 3 lbs. Form is reasonable with 3 third-place finishes in the last three outings, but needs to find more to get over the line first. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:10 3:10 Worcester
Siouxfonic
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Siouxfonic can win this one. This result has been driven by Siouxfonic having the highest RPR of the 8-runner field and has been relatively well treated in the weights. Steps out carrying a 'middle order' amount of weight, c10lbs less than the top weight. Comes here in decent form after coming second when last out on the first run. Any improvement at all should be enough to get over the line first here. Sean Bowen, champion jockey, picks up the reins. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:40 2:40 Worcester
Henry Box Brown
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Henry Box Brown can win this one. This result has been driven by Henry Box Brown having a comparably high RPR to the other horses in this 10-runner field, but an official ranking which leaves him relatively well treated in the weights. Steps out carrying nearly a stone less than the top weight and has shown some reasonable form coming into this. Has been unlucky and come second on the last two outings, but any improvement can be enough to get over the line first. Jockey on board lightens the load by 5 lbs further for claiming, and that can be a difference over the longer 2m 7f trip. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:10 2:10 Worcester
King Of The Story
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests King of The Story can win this one. This result has been driven by King of The Story having a comparably high RPR to the other runners, but an official ranking which leaves him very well treated in the weights. Steps out carrying the second lowest amount of weight in this 13 runner field, and it's a significant amount less once you make your way up to the top weights. Prior course and distance winner and has won the prior two outings, so comes here in very good form. Last outing only 45 days ago, so race fitness should be fine. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal-178
30 August 2025
17:05 5:05 Newton Abbot
Mini Fortune
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Mini Fortune could win this one. Mini Fortune lines up here with a comparably high RPR in this smaller 5-runner field, but has an official ranking which is bottom. Subsequently, well treated in the weights and goes out carrying the least of the 5 runners. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:30 4:30 Newton Abbot
Queens Venture
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG
@8.50
Win
375
The model I run suggests Queen's Venture can win this one. Queen's Venture lines up here with the highest RPR of the 8 runner field but has an official ranking which is second last. Subsequently, steps out carrying the second lowest amount of weight around the 2m 5f round trip. Jockey on board takes off a further 5 lbs and comes here in good form having won last time out 41 days ago. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:55 3:55 Newton Abbot
Catboy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests an upset from Catboy. This result has been driven by Catboy having a relatively high RPR but an official ranking which puts him second last in this 9-runner field. Subsequently, he carries the second lowest amount of weight around this 2m 1/2f trip. Large odds on offer. Form hasn't been fantastic but he is a prior distance winner and represents the value bet. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:20 3:20 Newton Abbot
Ballywilliam Boy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Ballywilliam Boy should win this one. This result has been driven by Ballywilliam Boy having the highest RPR in what looks like a tight race on paper. Ballywilliam Boy carries a middle order amount of weight, so not overly penalized, and comes here having been 2, 3, 2 in form figures. Needs a shade more to get over the line first here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:45 2:45 Newton Abbot
Top Tier Gossip
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests an upset from Top Tier Gossip. This result has been driven by Top Tier Gossip having a comparably high RPR to the other runners in this 6-horse field, but an official ranking which leaves him very well treated in the weights. Goes out carrying the lowest amount and there is over a stone and a half difference to the top weight over this 2m round trip. Jockey claims 3 lbs which helps over the distance. The model has issued a 'moderate' stake indicator, which has been driven by the good value on offer at 11s and the reasonable gap back to second in the race simulation.
14:15 2:15 Newton Abbot
Never Told Me
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Never Told Me can win this one. This result has been driven by Never Told Me having the second highest RPR of the 6-runner field but hasn't been penalized for it in the weights. Tries the hood and tongue tie combo for the first time to aid concentration and looks to make the most of what looks like a reasonable opportunity. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal125
29 August 2025
19:53 7:53 Down Royal
Run For Mahler
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@3.50
Win
125
The model I run suggests Run For Mahler can win this one. This result has been driven by Run For Mahler having the highest RPR of this smaller 6-runner field but has been well treated in the weights. Steps out carrying the joint lowest amount around the 2m 1f distance and needs to find just a bit more to get off the mark. Second when out the last twice, a shade more can get the job done. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:35 7:35 Wexford
Three By Two
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Three By Two can win this one. This result has been driven by Three By Two having by far the highest RPR of this larger 16-runner field but an official ranking which puts him closer to the middle order. Subsequently, steps out carrying approximately 5 lbs less to the top weight and looks to run well fresh having not done so for over 90 days. Prior course and distance winner, so knows how to get it done on the day. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:23 7:23 Down Royal
Whatyouwant
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@67.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Whatyouwant can cause a huge upset here. The odds on offer are massive, and each way still offers value. The result has been driven by Whatyouwant having the highest RPR of this larger 15-runner field. The lowest mark leaves Whatyouwant carrying the second lowest amount of weight around this longer 3m round trip. Form is abysmal, hence the huge odds on offer, but the disparity between the mark, weight, and distance has driven the output here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:18 7:18 Fontwell
Mary
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.50
Void
0
The model I run suggests Mary can win this one. This result has been driven by Mary having the highest RPR of the smaller 6-runner field but looks well treated in the weights. 5th when last out 40 days ago and needs to find more to get over the line first but looks well treated here and could be an opportunity. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:05 7:05 Wexford
Doyen Magic
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Doyen Magic can win this one. This result has been driven by Doyen Magic having the highest RPR of this larger 12-runner field but an official ranking which leaves him well treated in the weights. Steps out carrying over a stone less than a lot of the other runners around a 2m 3f distance. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:53 6:53 Down Royal
Happy Jacky
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 28/08 at 19:000.00 deduction for Gorthill@41.00 withdrawn at 08:490.00 deduction for Flash Collonges @101.000 withdrawn at 17:210.25 deduction for Three Card Brag @3.500 withdrawn at 17:410.15 deduction for World Of Fortunes @6.000 withdrawn at 18:13R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.4) = 2.65Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3.00 used instead of 2.65 BOG
@3.00
Win
100
The model I run suggests Happy Jacky can win this one. This result has been driven by Happy Jacky having the highest RPR of the 9-runner field and has come into this with some decent form figures: 71-371, and has been showing improvement still at the age of 11. The jockey on board relieves a further 7 lbs for claiming and takes the weight down to a much more competitive mark. First when last out 49 days ago and looks to repeat over this longer 3m distance. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator.
18:48 6:48 Fontwell
Cawthorne Banker
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Win
166
The model I run suggests Cawthorne Banker can win this one. This result has been driven by Cawthorne Banker having the highest RPR of this 11-runner field but an official ranking which puts her second last. Subsequently, steps out carrying less weight than the majority of runners around this 2m 1f round trip. Second when last out and prior course and distance winner. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:35 6:35 Wexford
War Correspondent
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests War Correspondent can win this one. This result has been driven by War Correspondent having a comparably high RPR to the other 5 runners in this smaller field, but carries the same weight as three of the others and less than the top weight. Form figures are decent reading with 75-312 and can go close again if near best here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:23 6:23 Down Royal
Sharing Is Caring
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Sharing Is Caring can win this one. Sharing Is Caring lines up here with the highest RPR of this smaller 8-runner field but has not been overly penalized for it in the weights. Comes with decent form figures of 142 and can make another winner here if near best. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:18 6:18 Fontwell
Pescatorius
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Pescatorius can win this one. This result has been driven by Pescatorius having the joint highest RPR of the 9 runner field but an official ranking which leaves him second last. This subsequently means Pescatorius steps out carrying the second lowest amount of weight around the 2m 5f round trip. Sean Bowen picks up the reins. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:05 6:05 Wexford
Amboyna
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Amboyna can win this one. This result has been driven by Amboyna having the highest RPR in this 13-runner field but does also step out as the top weight on this longer 3-round trip. Form isn't great but dropping down to a much more competitive mark and could go close if anywhere near back to decent form. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:53 5:53 Down Royal
Eastmore
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@13.00
Win
600
the model I run suggests Eastmore can win this one. This result has been driven by Eastmore having the highest RPr of the larger 17 runner field but an official ranking which puts him well treated in the weights. Steps out carrying nearly 2 stone less to the top weight which is significant over the 2m 1f distance. Form doesn't look great and needs to show more to get close here. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:48 5:48 Fontwell
Gms Prince
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Gms Prince can win this one. This result has been driven by Gms Prince having the highest RPR of the larger 14 horse race but an official ranking which puts him closer to lower order. Gms Prince has some decent form coming into this with 3 third-place finishes in the last 6 races and needs to come on form to get over the line first here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:35 5:35 Wexford
Perfectway
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Perfectway can win this one. This result has been driven by Perfectway lining up here with the highest RPR of this larger 14-runner field but an official ranking which leaves him 4th last in the rankings. Subsequently, steps out carrying a very competitive amount of weight around this 2m 4f round trip. Jockey on board relieves a further 7 lbs which helps over the distance. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:23 5:23 Down Royal
Oh Janey
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@12.00
Void
0
The model I run suggests Oh Janey can win this one. This result has been driven by Oh Janey having a comparably high rPR to the other runners but an official ranking which leaves her well treated in the weights. Steps out carrying the same amount as the other runners in this 11 horse field. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:18 5:18 Fontwell
To Be Sure
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
The model I run says 'To Be Sure' should win this one. This result has been driven by 'To Be Sure' having the highest RPR for the smaller 5-runner field but an official ranking which is the lowest. Subsequently, steps out carrying the lowest amount of weight over the longer 3m 1f distance. Tries the visor for the first time to eke out some more. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:03 5:03 Wexford
Added Bonus
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@34.00
Void
0
The model I run suggests an upset from Added Bonus. This result has been driven by Added Bonus having the highest RPR in this larger 14-runner field but looks well treated. Has the second lowest official ranking, which subsequently means Added Bonus steps out carrying the second lowest amount of weight around the 2m round trip. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:50 4:50 Down Royal
Cinammon Coco
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 28/08 at 18:530.10 deduction for Something Noble@7.00 withdrawn at 09:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.10) = 3.70
@3.70
Win
135
The model I run suggests Cinammon Coco can win this one. This result has been driven by Cinammon Coco having the highest RPR of the 8-runner field but looks well treated in the weights. Steps out carrying the same amount as the other runners bar the two top weights. Comes here in good form when improving to go third last time out. Some more of that could see her go close here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:45 4:45 Fontwell
Lord
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.50 on 28/08 at 18:310.15 deduction for Bouboule@6.00 withdrawn at 09:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.50 x (1-0.15) = 2.28
@2.27
Win
63
The model I run suggests Lord can win this one. This result has been driven by Lord having the highest RPR of the younger inexperienced field, but came second when last out 40 days ago. Champion jockey Sean Bowen picks up the reins and can go close here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:30 4:30 Wexford
Dschingis Dragon
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@4.00
Void
0
The model I run suggests Dschingis Dragon can win this one. This result has been driven by Dschingis Dragon having a comparatively high RPR compared to the other runners but has not been overly penalized in the weights. This subsequently means Dschingis Dragon carries a competitive amount of weight around this 2m maiden hurdle. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:13 4:13 Fontwell
Party Business
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Party Business can win this one. This result has been driven by Party Business having the highest RPR of the field but is not overly penalized in the weights, even though he's the top weight. 4th when last out 33 days ago but looks more of an opportunity here and if improving can go close. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal639
27 August 2025
19:55 7:55 Bellewstown
Im A Rocket Man
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests 'I'm A Rocket Man' can win this one. This result has been driven by 'I'm A Rocket Man' having the highest RPr of this inexperienced 12-runner field. This 2m NHF has lots of horses looking to get on track without much form to go by, but a decent third last time out from 'I'm A Rocket Man' could give a clue to what improvement is required here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5p bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:45 7:45 Hexham
Nelrose
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Nelrose can win this one. Nelrose lines up here with the second highest RPR of the inexperienced 8-horse field. Third when last out and will look to come on from that. Lots of runners who haven't raced before and those who have very limited experience. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:25 7:25 Bellewstown
Stormy Jenn
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@23.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests an upset from Stormy Jenn. This result has been driven by Stormy Jenn having the highest RPR in this 15-runner field, but an official ranking leaving her very well treated in the weights. She steps out carrying the third lowest amount of weight in this larger field, and the jockey on board relieves even more, taking off 7 lbs. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:15 7:15 Hexham
Royal Deeside
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.50
Win
125
The model I run suggests Royal Deeside can win this one. Royal Deeside lines up here with the highest RPR of the 7-runner field, but an official ranking puts him lower in the weights. That can help over the 2m 4f round trip. Form is good, unlucky to slip last time out. Prior course and distance winner. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4. This was driven by a combination of a small gap back to second but reasonable odds on offer. I was filled @ 4.5, so odds have since tightened.
18:55 6:55 Bellewstown
Gers Gigi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Gers Gigi can win this one. The model result has been driven by Gers Gigi having the highest RPR for this smaller 6-runner field but has not been penalized for it in the weights. All horses step out carrying the same amount of weight around this 2m 1f trip. Prior distance winner but needs to get back to form tomorrow to win this one. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:45 6:45 Hexham
Zoffalee
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Zoffalee can win this one. This result has been driven by Zoffalee having the highest RPR of the 7-runner field but an official ranking which is lower comparatively. This translates to Zoffalee carrying the second lowest weight around the 3m round trip. The jockey on board takes off a further 5 lbs for claiming. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:25 6:25 Bellewstown
Leave In Secret
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Leave In Secret can win this one. Leave In Secret lines up here with the highest RPR of the 13-runner field but has an official ranking which leaves him third from bottom. Subsequently, steps out carrying the third lowest amount of weight around the 2m 4f round trip. Winner when last out 16 days ago and looks to repeat that here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:15 6:15 Hexham
Palm Beach
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@11.00
Void
0
The model I run suggests Palm Beach can win this one. Palm Beach lines up here with the third highest RPR of the larger 16 runner field but has an official ranking which is closer to the lower order. Subsequently, carries less weight around the 2m 4f round trip. Winner when last out 41 days ago and looks to repeat that here. Jockey on board relieves 7 lbs further, which helps over the distance. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:55 5:55 Bellewstown
Sydney Cruiser
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Sydney Cruiser can win this one. This result has been driven by Sydney Cruiser having a comparably high RPR in this larger 15-runner field but an official ranking which leaves him well treated in the weights. First when last out 7 days ago and looks to repeat that here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:45 5:45 Hexham
Malangen
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Malangen can win this one. This result has been driven by Malangen having the highest RPR of this 8-runner field but an official ranking which puts him rock bottom. Subsequently, he steps out carrying the lowest weight around the 2m round trip. Prior course and distance winner. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:25 5:25 Bellewstown
Jackson Lamb
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
87
The model I run suggests Jackson Lamb should win this one. This result has been driven by Jackson Lamb having a comparably high RPR to the other runners but has an official ranking which leaves him well treated in the weights. 128-43 form figures and improvement here could see him go close. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:15 5:15 Hexham
Jentobello
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Jentobello should win this one. This result has been driven by Jentobello having the second highest RPR but an official ranking which leaves him carrying 7 lbs less than the top weight. Comes in good form and figures of 113, bit of improvement and go on to win here. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:53 4:53 Bellewstown
Lightkeeper
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Lightkeeper can win this one. This result has been driven by Lightkeeper having a comparably high RPR to the other runners but has not been over-penalized for it in the weights. Third when last out 11 days ago and looks to build on from that to get over the line first here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal-288
25 August 2025
20:13 8:13 Ballinrobe
Miss Jocund
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Miss Jocund can win this one. This result has been driven by Miss Jocund having the highest RPR of the 12-runner field but goes out carrying the exact same weight as every other runner. Third when last out on first run 19 days ago and should come on from that experience. Lots of inexperience here in this one, so taking the side of prior runner. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:43 7:43 Ballinrobe
Ta Na La
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Ta La Na can win this one. This result has been driven by Ta La Na having the highest RPR of the 9 runner field but an official ranking which is rock bottom. Goes out carrying the lowest weight over the longer 2m 7f round trip. Hasn't run in 100 days and will need to go fresh in that regard. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:13 7:13 Ballinrobe
Runcok
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Runcok can win this one. Highest RPR of this smaller 4-runner field and might just front run to avoid any tactical affair. Paul Townend picks up the reins as usual and is a trusted pair of hands. Carries 5 lbs less than the other main market player and that can help over the 2m 1f distance. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:43 6:43 Ballinrobe
Moonshine Girl
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Moonshine Girl can win this one. This result has been driven by Moonshine Girl having the highest RPR of the 14-runner field but an official ranking which is third last. This subsequently means Moonshine Girl goes out carrying the third lowest amount of weight over the 2m 6f round trip. Reasonable form on show, placed when third two races ago. Cheekpieces added to try to spark a bit more. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:13 6:13 Ballinrobe
Georginas Jet
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Georgina's Jet can win this one. Comes here with the second highest RPR and has an official ranking which leaves her well treated in the weights. Third when last out only 2 days ago and wheeled out quickly again to try and take advantage of the form. Second lowest weight to carry around the 2m 6f round trip. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:43 5:43 Ballinrobe
Jetaway Nana
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Jetaway Nana lines up here with the highest RPR of this 9-runner 2m 6f maiden hurdle. Improving form figures show potential but need to find a bit more to get over the line first in this opportunity. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4. This has been driven by the reasonable gap back to second in the race simulation.
17:28 5:28 Downpatrick
Wajaaha
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Wajaaha can win this one. This result has been driven by Wajaaha having the second highest RPR of the 9 runner field but an official ranking which puts him closer to the lower order. This means he steps out carrying less weight comparably around this 2m 2f round trip. 4th when last out 10 days ago and looks to build some form on the back of that. Prior distance winner so knows how to get it done over the distance. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:18 5:18 Cartmel
Jackhammer
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests a big upset from Jackhammer. This result has been driven by Jackhammer having a comparably high RPr but an official ranking which is by far the lowest here. Subsequently, steps out carrying a significantly lower amount of weight, 9 lbs to the next weight up and practically 2 stone (!) to the top weight over a 2m 2f round trip. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:13 5:13 Ballinrobe
Abel Mabel
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Abel Mabel can win this one. This result has been driven by Abel Mabel having the highest RPR of the smaller 6 runner field but an official ranking which puts Abel Mabel on the second lowest amount of weight to carry. Steos is carrying only 2 lbs more than the very bottom but over a stone less to the top weight. First when last out 19 days ago and looks to go for the double here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:53 4:53 Downpatrick
Doyen Magic
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.88
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Doyen Magic can win this one. This result has been driven by Doyen Magic having the joint highest RPR but an official ranking which puts him closer to middle order. This results in Doyen Magic going out carrying slightly less weight than the other market contenders around this 2m 3f round trip. Came first when last out 31 days ago and looks to build on that latest effort by getting over the line first again here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:43 4:43 Cartmel
Nickelforce
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Nickelforce can win this one. This result has been driven by Nickelforce stepping out here with the highest RPR of the 12-runner field but an official ranking which is lower order. Carries less weight for that and can make a difference over the 2m 5f Class 3 Handicap. Figures of 5-2324 show consistent placing ability but needs to find a shade more to get over the line first. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:38 4:38 Ballinrobe
Following Orders
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Following Orders can win this one. This result has been driven by Following Orders having the highest RPR of the 10 runner field but is not overly penalized for it in the weights. All horses step out carrying either the same or a very similar amount over the 2m 2f maiden hurdle. Second when last out 20 days ago and wheeled out quickly again to get off the mark here. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:18 4:18 Downpatrick
Speculatrix
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.63 used instead of 2.00 takenBOG
@2.63
Win
81
the model I run suggests Speculatrix can win this one. Speculatrix lines up here with the second highest RPR of the smaller 5 runner field but has the lowest amount of weight to carry around the 2m 3f round trip. Comes here with some form behind her after some decent runs. Form figures of 9F1-43 and can come on from that third place finish 19 days ago. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator driven by the low value on offer. This translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:05 4:05 Cartmel
Shadows In The Sky
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Shadows In The Sky can win this one. This result has been driven by Shadows In The Sky having a comparably high RPR to the other runners but an official ranking which is the lowest of them all. Subsequently, it steps out carrying the lowest weight, and this is over 1 stone to the current market favorite. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:43 3:43 Downpatrick
Gortmore Lady
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Gortmore Lady can win this one. This result has been driven by Gortmore Lady having the second highest RPR of the 9-runner field. An official ranking puts her the lowest of all the runners here and subsequently steps out carrying the lowest weight over the 2m 5f distance. The jockey on board is claiming and relieves a further 7 lbs for that. Improving form. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:30 3:30 Cartmel
Caughtinyourtrance
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Caughtinyourtrance can win this one. This result has been driven by Caughtinyourtrance having the highest RPR of the 9 runner field but an official ranking which puts him closer to middle order. Therefore not overly penalised in the weights and comes here in top form having won the prior two. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator due to the small gap back to second in the race simulation. This translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:08 3:08 Downpatrick
Mavetherave
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Mavetherave can win this one. This result has been driven by Mavetherave having the highest RPR of this smaller 7-runner field but an official ranking which means Mavetherave has not been penalized for it in the weights. Improving form figures, continuing on from that, can go close. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:55 2:55 Cartmel
Vocal Duke
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@11.00
Void
0
The model I run suggests Vocal Duke can win this one. This result has been driven by Vocal Duke having the highest RPR of the 10-runner field but an official ranking which is rock bottom. Subsequently, steps out carrying the lowest amount of weight around the 2m 6f distance. Is a course winner, so knows how to get it done at this track. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:33 2:33 Downpatrick
Newport
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Newport can win this one. This result has been driven by Newport having the highest RPR of the 9-runner field but an official ranking which is second last. Subsequently, steps out carrying the second lowest amount of weight around this 2m 1f round trip. Prior finishes are showing improvement, and in-form claiming jockey Eoin Staples picks up the reins and relieves 7 lbs off Newport's back. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:20 2:20 Cartmel
Dignam
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@1.36
Win
18
The model I run suggests Dignam should win this one. Already incredibly short odds, so no value on offer here. Highest RPR, not overly penalized for it in the weights, and has good form figures of 11. Looks to make it 3 on the spin from 3 races. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator due to the poor value on offer.
13:58 1:58 Downpatrick
Front Door Famous
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Front Door Famous can win this one. This result has been driven by Front Door Famous having the third highest RPR of the 10-runner field. Has not been overly penalized for it in the weights and comes here in reasonable form. Third and second place finishes when last out and looks to go one better again and get over the line first in what looks like a good opportunity. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal-801
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
