HorseQuant9
Model predictions for horses - I run a quantitative strategy which puts all relevant features into a model and gives me a probability outcome for each. I will try to keep each horse tip comments in the same format.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
HorseQuant9's Tips History
30 July 2025
20:20 8:20 Galway
Pralognan
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.50
Void
0
The model I run suggests Pralognan can win this one. Pralognan comes here with a comparably high RPR to the other 19 runners in this larger field, but has an official ranking that leaves him closer to the lower order. Goes out carrying only 3 lbs off the lowest weight but 12 lbs lighter than the top weight. This, coupled with good form coming into this, leaves Pralognan with some opportunity. First when last out 32 days ago and looks to build on that here. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:50 7:50 Galway
Mathan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Mathan can win this one. Mathan lines up here with the highest RPR of the 10-runner field. Official ranking leaves Mathan well treated in the weights and carries less than both the current favorite and top weight. Plenty of form in the figures and drawn in stall 9, but over 1m it shouldn't make a huge difference over the distance. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:15 7:15 Galway
Word For Word
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Word For Word can win this one. Word For Word lines up here with a comparably high RPr of this larger 17-runner field but looks well treated in the weights. Steps out carrying the second lowest amount of weight compared to the other runners and has a weight differential of over 11 lbs to the current market favorite. Drawn in stall 6, which isn't too difficult to overcome over the 1m 4f distance, and the weight differential over this longer distance should be telling. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:40 6:40 Galway
Gaelic Arc
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@67.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Gaelic Arc can win this one. Gaelic Arc lines up here with a comparably high RPR to the other runners but has an official ranking that is third lowest. This subsequently means Gaelic Arc goes out carrying the third lowest amount of weight around this 2m 6.5f handicap chase. Gaelic Arc comes here in good form with a first and second place finish over the last two runs, and that only being 12 days ago. Can go well here if near the best again. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:05 6:05 Galway
Radar Ahead
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Radar Ahead can win this one. Radar Ahead lines up here with the highest RPR of the larger 18-runner field but has an official ranking that's closer to the lower middle order. This subsequently leaves Radar Ahead well treated in the weights around his 2m round trip. Won when last out 17 days ago and second on the run before that, so comes here with plenty of form to work with. The model has issued a 'very low stake' indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:35 5:35 Galway
Brilliant Light
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@17.00
Void
0
The model I run suggests Brilliant Light can win this one. Brilliant Light lines up here with the second highest RPR of the 20-runner field but has an official ranking that leaves him well treated in the weights. Carries only 3 lbs less than the bottom weight. Two third-place finishes in the last 3 races but needs to find more to win this one. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:05 5:05 Galway
Hipop De Loire
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@2.20
Win
60
The model I run suggests Hipop De Loire can win this one. This result has been driven by Hipop De Loire having the highest RPR of this larger 19-runner field but is not overly penalized for it in the weights. Steps out carrying the same initial weight as nearly every other runner and trusted jockey Paul Townend picking up the reins for Willie Mullins. Second when last out in only race, will come on from that and looks to improve to get first here. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal-140
29 July 2025
20:20 8:20 Galway
Lexington Dash
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@67.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Lexington Dash can win this one. Lexington Dash lines up with the highest RPR of this larger 18-horse field but has not been penalized for it in the weights. All horses step out carrying a smaller amount of weight around this shorter 1-mile distance. Doesn't have any form on offer but has a huge price to make up for that in case it can go close. The model has issued a very low stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:50 7:50 Galway
Titanium
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests a big upset from Titanium. This result has been driven by Titanium having the highest RPR of the 15-runner field but not penalized for it in the weights. All horses go out carrying a very similar amount of weight over the shorter 7f distance. Titanium has a disadvantage in being drawn in stall 13 and will need to overcome this to go close. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:15 7:15 Galway
Collecting Coin
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.25 on 28/07 at 17:100.00 deduction for Skippinandajumpin@67.00 withdrawn at 09:430.20 deduction for Raykir @5.000 withdrawn at 09:430.00 deduction for Tero Drosa @67.000 withdrawn at 11:130.00 deduction for Cash Me @26.000 withdrawn at 11:13R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.25 x (1-0.2) = 2.80
@2.80
Win
90
The model I run has suggested Collecting Coin can win this one. Collecting Coin lines up here with the second highest RPR of the larger 15-runner field. Has been drawn in stall 5, which is not a disadvantage, and a good start gives options to run closer to the rail and cover less distance. Goes out carrying a very similar weight to all the other runners, and over the 7f distance, weight differential shouldn't be too impactful. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:40 6:40 Galway
Dunum
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG
@13.00
Win
600
The model I run suggests an upset from Dunum. This result has been driven by Dunum having the highest RPR of this large 14 horse race. Dunum goes out carrying a lower amount of initial weight compared to the majority of the other runners and can be advantageous over the 1m distance. Drawn in stall 2, which is statistically advantageous over the 1 mile distance, and can run the inside rail (less distance) with less weight on board. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:07 6:07 Galway
Thenandnow
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Thenandnow can win this one. Thenandnow lines up here with the highest RPR of the 8-runner field but is not penalized for it in the weights. The eight runners all carry the same initial amount. Thenandnow is drawn in favorable stall 3, where the inside draw is statistically favorable, especially over the 7-furlong distance, which is closest to the first bend. Moel has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4. This was driven by the small gap back to second in the race simulation.
17:37 5:37 Galway
King Of Kingsfield
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.62 on 28/07 at 17:020.10 deduction for Lisnagar Fortune@9.00 withdrawn at 11:11R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.62 x (1-0.10) = 2.46Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 2.46 BOG
@4.50
Win
175
The model I run suggests King of Kingsfield can win this one. King of Kingsfield lines up here with the highest RPR of the 10-runner field but looks well treated in the weights. All horses step out carrying virtually the same amount of weight. King of Kingsfield will need to run well fresh, having not been out in 100 days. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:05 5:05 Galway
La Note Verte
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests La Note Vert should win this one. La Note Vert lines up here with the second highest RPR but the lowest weight to carry around this 2m round trip. Paul Townend picks up the reins for Willie Mullins, who is a trusted pair of hands, and comes here in great form having figures of 8/1-11. There are some other good form horses in this race, but La Note Vert is a prior distance winner and could make it 3 on the spin. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal665
28 July 2025
20:20 8:20 Galway
Maskarvel
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Maskarvel can win this one. Maskarvel lines up here with the second highest RPR of the larger 20-horse field. Maskarvel has shown decent form coming into this with prior second and 4th place finishes in similar company. Alan O'Sullivan on board relieves a further 7 lbs weight and can make the difference over a 2m trip. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:50 7:50 Galway
Desmond Castle
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Desmond Castle can win this one. Desmond Castle lines up here with the highest RPR of this 11-runner field but is not penalized for it in the weights. Stpe is carrying the third lowest initial amount of weight and tries the cheekpieces for the first time to aid concentration. 3rd when last out 16 days ago and looks to build on that form here. Moel has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
19:15 7:15 Galway
Mother Mara
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@15.00
Void
0
The model I run suggests Mother Mara can win this one. Mother Mara is currently a reserve horse, but in the larger 15-horse field, it's very possible a couple drop out. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4. The model result has been driven by Mother Mara having the second highest RPR of the 15-runner field and a very low weight to carry over this 7f dash.
18:40 6:40 Galway
Wahraan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@81.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests a huge upset by Wahraan. This result has been driven by Wahraan having the second highest RPR of this huge 20 horse field. Mr. Healy on board relieves a further 7 lbs and tries the tongue tie for the first time to aid concentration. Huge odds on offer due to lack of form, but there is a huge weight differential here taking into account the initial weight difference and claiming jockey. That surely shows over the 2m trip and can go close if anywhere near back to form. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:10 6:10 Galway
Constitution River
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
The model I run suggests Constitution River can win this one. Constitution River lines up here with the highest RPR of this smaller 8-horse field but is not penalized for it in the weights. All horses step out carrying the same initial amount on this 7f dash. Drawn in stall 3, which helps, and ran well when last out only 17 days ago. Most of the other horses haven't got any experience, and that's important in these types of races. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:40 5:40 Galway
Wajaaha
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Wajaaha can win this one. Wajaaha looks to cause an upset here based on early market pricing. Steps out with the highest RPR of the entire 20-runner field but has an official ranking that is only 3 from the bottom. This leaves Wajaaha carrying the second lowest amount of weight around this 2m 1f handicap hurdle. Showed some serious improvement to go second when last out 14 days ago and looks to build off that and go well again here. Liam McKenna on board takes off a further 5 lbs, which takes the total weight being carried to the lowest in the field. 21s looks like good value here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator due to the small gap back to second in the race simulation. This translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:10 5:10 Galway
A Snow White Park
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Snow White Park can win this one. Snow White Park lines up here with the third highest RPR of this 12-runner field but has been well treated in the weights. Steps out carrying an equal weight to the majority of other runners and has Danny Mullins on board picking up the reins. Came first when last out 61 days ago and looks to go well again after a short break. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal-230
27 July 2025
17:07 5:07 Uttoxeter
La Quarite
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests La Quarite can win this one. La Quarite lines up here with the second highest RPR of the 12-runner field but has an official ranking that is second last. This leaves La Quarite stepping out carrying the second lowest amount of weight around this 2m 3f handicap hurdle. La Quarite has shown signs of good form, with figures of 2-4321, with that latest win coming only 7 days ago. Turned out again in quick succession to take advantage of the form, and race fitness shouldn't be a concern. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator driven by a combination of the mid-sized gap back to second and the reasonable odds on offer at 3.5s. This translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:37 4:37 Uttoxeter
Leading Lion
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests a big upset from Leading Lion is the value bet. Leading Lion lines up here with the highest RPR by quite some way and has an official ranking that leaves it looking well treated in this company. Hasn't shown any great form of late and has been pulled a few times, but is a prior distance winner here over this 2m 3f. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:07 4:07 Uttoxeter
Midnight Jewel
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Midnight Jewel can win this one. Midnight Jewel lines up here with a comparably high RPR and has an official ranking that leaves it closer to the lower order in the weights. Midnight Jewel also comes here in good form, having got the job done when last out 26 days ago. Wheeled out again in quick order, prior distance winner, and looks in good shape to take it to two wins on the bounce.
15:37 3:37 Uttoxeter
Keel Strand
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Keel Strand can win this one. Keel Strand lines up here with the highest RPR of the 8-horse race but hasn't been penalized for it in the weights. Has the joint lowest official ranking and subsequently steps out carrying significantly less weight than the other 7 runners. Won the previous 3 on the spin and so comes here in red-hot form. Hopefully, stepping up here in class isn't enough to prevent 4 times on the spin. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:07 3:07 Uttoxeter
Harrys Hope
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Harry's Hope can win this one. Harry's Hope lines up here with a comparably high RPR to the other runners in this 8 horse contest, but has an official ranking that leaves him rock bottom in the weights. Sets out carrying 1 stone 10 lbs less to the top weight and Ben Jons picks up the reins. Harry's Hope has shown some signs of form with figures of 2P-212, so knows how to get close at the business end of the race. Will need to show more to go close here today. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:37 2:37 Uttoxeter
Gavin
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Gavin can win this one. Gavin lines up here with a comparably high RPR in this 10-horse race but has over 1 stone and a half less in weight to carry than the top weight and current market leader, Lelooopa. This kind of weight difference over the 2m trip can be telling by the finish line. Shane Fenelon on board relieves a further 5 lbs, which is helpful, but so too do other jockeys riding, so the impact is nullified. Gavin has shown signs of some form lately with figures of 16242 and is a prior course and distance winner. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:07 2:07 Uttoxeter
Bluebella
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Bluebella can win this one. Bluebella lines up here with the second highest RPR of this 15-runner field but has an official ranking that is joint second last. This subsequently means Bluebella has the second lowest amount of weight to carry around this 2m trip. Comes here after showing signs of some form, with 2 second-place finishes on the bounce. Can improve here and go first. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
13:37 1:37 Uttoxeter
Dignam
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 1.62 on 26/07 at 16:410.00 deduction for Split@12.00 withdrawn at 17:010.15 deduction for Junkyard Dog @5.500 withdrawn at 09:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 0.62 x (1-0.15) = 1.53
@1.53
Win
26
The model I run suggests Dignam can win this one. Dignam lines up here with the highest RPR of the 13-runner field and has some decent form coming into this. Dignam is not overly penalized for it in the weights and carries a similar amount to the main competitors in the early betting market. Dignam's form figures of coming first in his only run mean he ran well with limited experience and can come on further from that. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal-324
25 July 2025
19:05 7:05 Kilbeggan
Midnight Moonshine
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Win
325
The model I run suggests Midnight Moonshine can win this one. This result has been driven by Midnight Moonshine having the highest RPR of the 10-runner field but the second lowest official ranking. This means he steps out carrying the second lowest amount of weight on this trip. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
18:30 6:30 Kilbeggan
Ballykinlar
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 24/07 at 18:150.15 deduction for Warm In Gorey@6.50 withdrawn at 10:050.00 deduction for Sayitfirst @17.000 withdrawn at 11:370.10 deduction for Lodilomoco @7.000 withdrawn at 11:370.00 deduction for Another Choice @23.000 withdrawn at 13:39R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.25) = 8.50
@8.50
Win
375
The model I run suggests Ballykinlar can win this one. Ballykinlar lines up here with the second highest RPR of this larger 14-runner field but has an official rating that puts him comfortably lower. Therefore, he sets out carrying a lower amount of weight around this 2m 2f trip. Eoin Staples on board relieves a further 7 lbs, which is helpful. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:55 5:55 Kilbeggan
Thats All
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 24/07 at 18:120.00 deduction for Slea Head@21.00 withdrawn at 10:050.00 deduction for Rhythmic Tune @11.000 withdrawn at 11:350.10 deduction for Dees Getaway @9.000 withdrawn at 11:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.1) = 8.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 8.20 BOG
@12.00
Win
550
The model I run suggests That's All can win this one. That's All lines up here with the highest RPR of this 13-runner field. Has an official ranking that is closer to the lower order and subsequently steps out carrying less weight than the majority of other runners. Has also shown some signs of form coming into this with improving figures. 4th last time out and placed in a large field, wheeled out again in quick succession to try and take advantage. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:35 5:35 Uttoxeter
Little Lady Rock
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Little Lady Rock can win this one. Little Lady Rock lines up here with the highest RPR of the 14 runner field but is not penalised for it in the weights. Came second in the prior two o utings and will come on from those. Champion Jockey Sean Bowen picks up the reins and can be the difference. Limited experience in this NHF and prior second place finishes are the key here. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
17:20 5:20 Kilbeggan
Craic Eile
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@17.00
Void
0
The model I run suggests Craic Eile can win this one. Craic Eile lines up here with the second highest RPR but has the lowest official ranking in this 13-runner field. This subsequently means Craic Eile has the lowest weight to carry around this 2m 2f trip. Reserve runner here, so might not even get out, but of interest if non-runners show. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:58 4:58 Uttoxeter
Alshadhian
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.50
Void
0
The model I run suggests Alshadhian can win this one. Alshadhian lines up here with the highest RPR of this smaller 6 horse race, but has the lowest official ranking. This subsequently means Alshadhian goes out carrying the lowest weight of the 6 runners over this 2m trip. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:50 4:50 Kilbeggan
Kara De Thaix
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
The model i run suggests Kara De Thaix can win this one. This result has been driven by Kara De Thaix having the highest RPR of the 16 runner field. She is not penalised for it in the weights and can take advantage of that over the 2m 2f round trip. One of the younger horses here and can build on that today. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:23 4:23 Uttoxeter
Mr Yeats
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@26.00
Void
0
The model I run suggests Mr. Yeats can win this one. Mr. Yeats lines up here with the highest RPR of the larger 16-runner field but is not penalized for it in the weights. He has an official ranking that leaves him bottom in the weights and can take advantage of it if getting back to some form. Mr. Yeats is a prior distance winner and has shown the ability to place in some previous races. He needs to get back to that form to have a chance. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:15 4:15 Kilbeggan
Guided By You
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Guided By You can win this one. Guided By You lines up here with the second highest RPR of the larger 14 runner field but has an official ranking leaving it well treated in the weights. Comes here needing to show some improvement in form. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:47 3:47 Uttoxeter
Captains Pick
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Captain's Pick can win this one. Captain's Pick lines up here with a comparably high RPR to the other runners but steps out carrying the lowest weight of all the runners here. Looks like an open race in early market pricing, but Captain's Pick tries the cheekpieces for the first time to aid concentration. Carrying the lowest weight over this longer 3m trip should be telling by the end. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:12 3:12 Uttoxeter
Cawthorne Banker
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@29.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests an upset from out-of-form Cawthorne Banker. Cawthorne Banker lines up here with the highest RPR of the larger 16-horse field but has an official ranking that leaves him rock bottom in the rankings. This subsequently means Cawthorne Banker steps out carrying the lowest initial weight around this 2m round trip. Richie McLernon picks up the reins, who's a trusted pair of hands, and with over a stone and a half in weight difference to the current market favorite, surely that's telling by the end. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator driven by a combination of the small gap back to second in the simulation but the good value on offer here at 29s. This translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:37 2:37 Uttoxeter
Zoffalee
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@11.00
Void
0
The model I run suggests Zoffalee can win this one. Zoffalee lines up here with a comparably high RPR to the other runners but has an official ranking that's closer to the middle order. This subsequently means he steps out with less weight to carry around this 3m 2f trip. William Maggs on board relieves a further 5 lbs over the distance, which can be significant. Second when last out 9 days ago and wheeled out quickly to take advantage of the form and try to get out over the lines first. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:02 2:02 Uttoxeter
Final Straw
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Final Straw can win this one. Final Straw lines up here with a comparably high RPR to the other runners but doesn't look penalized for it in the weights. Steps out carrying the same weight as the majority of the other runners and looks to make improvement on the 4th place finish 46 days ago. Will come on from that experience first time out. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
13:30 1:30 Uttoxeter
Reina Del Mar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Reina Del Mar can win this one. Reina Del Mar lines up here with the highest RPR of the 10-horse field and looks well treated in the weights. Goes out carrying 7 lbs less than the top weight and has some form coming into this contest too. Figures of 5885-1 with clear improvement 50 days ago picking up the win. Looks to repeat here. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator due to the small gap back to second in the race simulation. This translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal900
23 July 2025
17:20 5:20 Wexford
Thehairyfella
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Thehairyfella can win this one. Thehairyfella lines up here with the highest RPR of this larger 16 horse race but looks well treated in the weights. Has a lower official ranking than the majority of runners and so steps out carrying over a stone less than the current top weight and market favourite. There is a 1 stone 2 lbs initial weight difference, and a further 2 lbs in weight difference from the claiming jockeys, which takes the total amount to 18 lbs over the 3m 1f longer trip. That can be telling by the end. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:45 4:45 Wexford
Fairyhill Run
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Fairyhill Run can win this one. Fairyhill Run lines up with a comparably high RPR to the other runners in this 11-horse race but has the lowest official ranking, which means he steps out with the lowest amount of weight to carry around this longer 3m 1f stamina test. The form shows signs of reliability but needs to show a bit more to get over the line first. Figures of 4-4534 and a prior distance winner. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
16:10 4:10 Wexford
West Away
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests West Away can win this one. West Away lines up here with the highest RPR of this 11-horse field but steps out carrying the second lowest weight around this 2m 3f trip. Is a prior distance winner but needs to show a bit more than recent form indicates. Conor Stone Walsh picks up the reins, who's a trusted pair of hands, and race fitness shouldn't be a concern given the small time to the prior race. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:38 3:38 Wexford
Added Bonus
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Added Bonus can cause an upset and win this one. Not too fancied by the early market, but Added Bonus lines up here with the highest RPR of the larger 14 horse field. Has an official ranking that is one of the lowest and subsequently steps out carrying the lower weight over this 2m round trip. There is one and a half stone in weight difference to the top weight and current market favourite, which can be significant over this trip. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator driven by the small gap back to second in the race simulation. This translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
15:08 3:08 Wexford
Kilashee
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Kilashee can win this one. Kilashee lines up here with a comparably high RPR to the other runners but looks very well treated in the weights. Has a low official ranking and, as a result, steps out carrying the lowest amount of weight around this 2m round trip. Last out 52 days ago, so race fitness might be a concern and should run well fresh. Conor Clarke on board relieves a further 4 lbs, which helps, and a good second when last out gives form to build on. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:38 2:38 Wexford
You Oughta Know
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests You Oughta Know can win this one. You Oughta Know lines up here with the second highest RPR of this 6-horse race and looks well treated in the weights. Paul Townend picks up the reins for Willie Mullins and comes into this with plenty of form. Figures of 144-U2 and turned around quickly after the second-place finish 37 days ago, so should maintain race fitness. The model has issued a 'high' stake indicator which translates to a 4pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
14:08 2:08 Wexford
Gers Gigi
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-50
The model I run suggests Gers Gigi can win this one. Gers Gigi lines up here with the second highest RPR of this 7 horse opening race. Steps out carrying the same weight as the other runners and has Sam Ewings on board picking up the reins. Has shown some signs of improving and has consistent placing figures, but needs to show more to get over the line first in this. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.
Subtotal-350
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
