HorseQuant9

The model I run suggests Eye of A Tiger can win this one. Eye of A Tiger lines up here with a comparably high RPR but looks well treated by the weight being carried. This looks a very open race for the top half of the market based on early pricing. Eye of A Tiger goes out in reasonable form having come second on the only appearance prior to this and should come on well from that. Harry Sexton on board relieves a further 7 lbs for this 2m 2f trip and that can be incredibly helpful. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run suggests Cocovic can win this one. Cocovic lines up here with the highest RPR of the larger 14-horse race, but goes out carrying the same weight as practically all the other horses. Last ran out 18 days ago after a short break, but race fitness will come on from that. Jockey Alan O'Sullivan on board relieves a massive 7 lbs for this 2m trip, although so too do a lot of other jockeys for their respective horses. Cocovic also has the highest top speed on the card by some distance, which can help in a scenario where front runners go slow and horses bunch in behind. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run suggests Hobs Angel can cause an upset here and win this one. Doesn't seem to be fancied by the early market with a fairly wide price of 11s, but lines up with a comparatively high RPR to most of the other 15 runners in this large field. Has an official ranking leaving him very well treated and subsequently goes out carrying the third lowest weight of all runners. Kieran Callaghan on board lifts off a further 5 lbs and could make a difference around this 3m handicap hurdle. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run suggests a big upset by the unfancied Realtin Lonrach. This result has been driven by Realtin Lonrach having the highest RPR of all the 16 runners and an official ranking which leaves him rock bottom in the weights. Sean Cleary Farrel picks up the reins and takes off a further 7 lbs for claiming, and this means Realtin Lonrach is carrying a huge 2 stone less than some runners here today. No recent form to go by is the main concern and the reason for the price, but the potential weight differential looks way off and hopefully causes an upset. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a stake of 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run suggests Billy Lee Swagger can win this one. Billy Lee Swagger lines up here with the highest RPR of the 11-runner field but has an official ranking that leaves him carrying the lowest amount of weight around this longer 3m stamina test. Calum Hogan on board relieves a further 7 lbs weight, and this leaves Billy Lee Swagger very underweighted compared to the potential of running well. Billy Lee Swagger comes here with some form behind him too but needs to progress after the 4th place finish 48 days ago. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run suggests St. Cuthbert's Cave can win this one. St. Cuthbert's Cave lines up with a comparably high RPR and doesn't appear to be penalized for it in the weights. All runners bar 2 line up with the same weight to carry over this 2m 4f trip. Form figures of 3F1-32 and is hopefully making enough progress to go one better here than the 2nd place finish only 15 days ago. St. Cuthbert's Cave has won this distance before and has won on this course with a different distance, so clearly likes the track and the distance. Hopefully, marrying the two does the job tomorrow. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator primarily driven by the small gap back to second in the race simulation. This translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run suggests Gaelic Arc can win this one. Gaelic Arc lines up here with a significantly higher RPR compared to the rest of the field and carries less weight than the other runners too. Gaelic Arc goes out with an initial weight of 10-4, but Harry Sexton relieves a further 7 lbs, which is helpful over the 2m 4f round trip. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model Irun suggests Times A Wastin can win this one. Times A Wastin lines up here with the highest RPR of all the 16 runners and is not penalized for it in the weights. Strong form placings of late with two 3rd place finishes but needs to make some improvement to go better and win. Last out 19 days ago, so race fitness is no concern, and the jockey on board lightens the load by 7 lbs, which helps over the 2m National Hunt flat. The model has issued a 'moderate' stake indicator, which translates to a 1 pt stake on a scale of 0-4.