HorseQuant9

The model I run suggests Gale Mahler should win this one. Gale Mahler lines up here with the highest RPR of the 11-runner field but steps out carrying the lowest amount of weight around this 2m 6f round trip. There is a weight differential of 1 stone to the top weight and current favourite Pied Piper. There is some form coming into this with figures of 10-312, so plenty of place and win form on show. Previous course winner, previous distance winner, but hasn't put the two together yet. Maybe today is that day. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run has suggested Titanium can win this one. Titanium lines up here with the highest RPR of the 18-runner field but is not overly penalized for it in the weights. The jockey on board relieves a further 7 lbs and is drawn in plumb stall 1 for the running rail. Race fitness should be fresh after the run a few days ago and can give a better account here in this 1m handicap. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run suggests Bowensonfire can win this one. Bowensonfire has a comparably high RPR to the other runners here but has an official ranking that leaves him looking very well treated off this mark. Youngest runner here and has improved a lot in recent runs, form figures of 12-131 and looks to step up again. Not much form on offer for most of the other horses and the weight difference over the 2m trip is quite considerable. 1 and a half stone to top weight. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run suggests Keep Up can win this one. Keep Up lines up here with the second highest RPR of the smaller 10-horse field but has an official ranking that leaves him looking well treated off this mark. He has shown some form coming into this with figures of 15-1 and needs to show more improvement against stiffer opposition. The jockey on board relieves a further 7 lbs, which helps over the trip. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator, which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run suggests Garrick Painter can win this one. Garrick Painter lines up here with the second highest RPR of the larger 18 horse field and is the highest rated official ranking. This leaves him carrying the joint highest weight around this 1m 4f round trip. Drawn in stall 6, so shouldn't pose too many problems from a draw perspective over the longer 1m 4f distance. Comes here after a huge time away and hasn't run for over a year, hence the huge price. But if near good form and race fitness is there, could go close. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

The model I run suggests Garahon can win this one. Garahon lines up here with the second highest RPR of the 17-runner field but has not been penalized for it in the weights. All horses step out carrying the initial same amount of weight around this 2m 2f national hunt flat. Garahon came an improving second on last outing 26 days ago and can build on from that to get over the line first. Headgear applied for the first time to help - tongue tie added for the first time. Unsure if noteworthy or not - but only horse wearing headgear. Model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.