bigcoat

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bigcoat's Tips History

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14 September 2025
15:50 3:50 Curragh

Gstaad

Daily Racing

110 WINNAP

@1.91

Lose

-110

This looks to have been Gstaad's target since his Coventry Stakes win at Royal Ascot. Might have just needed it in the Prix Mornay 3 weeks ago & this 7f looks made for him.
13 September 2025
15:20 3:20 Leopardstown

Benvenuto Cellini

Daily Racing

80 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.50 on 12/09 at 17:510.25 deduction for Montreal@3.50 withdrawn at 12:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.50 x (1-0.25) = 2.13

@2.13

Win

90

It's 1/4 Aidan O'Brien picking up this Group 2 juvenile, and on the prevailing ground, I'm firmly in the Benvenuto Cellini camp.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster

Shadow Of Light

Daily Racing

85 WINNB

@2.75

Lose

-85

The Godolphin/Appleby 3yo's last five runs have all been in Group 1s & will surely appreciate this drop down to a Group 2. I would expect the Champion 2yo to get back to winning ways over this 7f.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Jordan Electrics

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Jim Goldie has won 2 of the last 3 runnings of this race & that's where my attention is drawn. As well as the hat-trick seeking bottom weight Eternal Sunshine, he also runs the veteran Jordan Electrics & that's where my pin has gone. The 9yo has been running much better throughout August than his form figures suggest & his 5th in a blanket finish at the Ebor meeting looks good form, especially as he's been dropped 1lb.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster

Gewan

Daily Racing

80 WINNAP

@2.75

Lose

-80

Andrew Balding's juvenile is following the same path as the yard's Chaldean, winner of this in 2022 prior to his Dewhurst win, and who, like Gewan, had previously won the Acomb at the York Ebor meeting. He's the only Group winner in the field and has a strong favourite's chance.
1 member found this comment useful
12 September 2025
17:30 5:30 Ballinrobe

Cookes Lass

Daily Racing

100 EW

@11.00

Lose

-200

For a mare trained by Gordon Elliott contesting her first handicap hurdle, Cookes Lass must surely be overpriced. She had valid excuses for a poor run at Bellewstown last time (trip, first run after a fall). Her three runs previously over more suitable distances give her every chance here.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster

Sweet William

Daily Racing

90 WIN

@2.50

Win

135

Seeking back-to-back wins. The Gosdens' 6yo looks to have an easier task than he did in last year's race. He was value for more than the length official dstance then & this year is the top officially rated runner.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Havana Hurricane

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@7.50

Lose

-50

Connections will be keeping an eye on the weather as soft ground will blunt the speed of Eve Johnson Houghton's 2yo. On a decent surface he can use his blistering turn of foot & at worst be in the shake-up.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster

Catullus

Daily Racing

40 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.50

Void

0

The Appleby/Godolphin juvenile was very impressive at Yarmouth & although he probably only beat trees, he still looked one to follow.
11 September 2025
17:15 5:15 Doncaster

Munsif

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

195

If the 1st-time hood can settle Roger Varian's 3yo he'll take plenty of beating here. I think he'll prove to be better than a mark of 87.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Moon Target

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@3.00

Lose

-100

Sir Mark Prescott's 2yo has been touted as a Fillies' Mile prospect, and if that's the case, she should be capable of winning a May Hill. This track will suit her better than Goodwood, and her father, Cracksman, went well on the soft.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster

Song of The Clyde

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

10

I backed Clive Cox's juvenile at the Ebor meeting & a repeat of that run would see him go very close here, although confidence is tempered a little with the prospect of soft ground.
06 September 2025
15:35 3:35 Haydock

Lazzat

Daily Racing

70 WINNAP

@3.50

Lose

-70

I regard Jerome Reynier's 4yo as possibly the best sprinter in Europe. Flexible as regards going, he was too fresh when beaten at Deauville 27 days ago. If at his best he's the one to beat.
05 September 2025
14:30 2:30 Bangor on Dee

Jipekaa Machin

Daily Racing

50 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@13.00

Win

70

Donald McCain has three entered in this race, and I'm going to take a chance with the biggest price of the trio. His third 5 days ago at Worcester was his first run since December 2022, and at his best, he's better than a Class 5 handicapper.
04 September 2025
18:00 6:00 Sedgefield

Hostile Hotelier

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@7.00

Win

10

If the dead 8 runners remain, I cannot see, with an accident-free round of jumping, Jennie Candlish's 7yo being out of the frame. All he does is stay, so this trip should be right up his street, and he ran well over fences here in April.
31 August 2025
17:10 5:10 Worcester

Oslo

Daily Racing

100 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

50

Surprisingly, with all the rain about, Fergal O'Brien's well-handicapped 8yo has his favoured good ground. Had a right touch with this in April 2024 at Huntingdon, the last time he won, from a 3lb higher mark than he has today. Will find this race a lot easier than Market Rasen's Cl2 Summer H'cap Hurdle when last seen over hurdles. Has run twice over staying trips on the flat, which looked to me like fact-finding missions to see whether he'd stay this 2m4f over hurdles. On the minus side, he's half the price I was hoping for, so half the bet.
1 member found this comment useful
29 August 2025
19:05 7:05 Wexford

Applejack Poet

Daily Racing

60 EWNAP

@10.00

Lose

-120

I've held on until this morning before backing Liz Doyle's 8yo in case of heavy rain, but the going is good/yielding with a dry, breezy day forecast. Also, the messages are mixed regarding breeding at this trip, but he wasn't stopping 12 days ago at Tramore over half a mile shorter on his chasing debut. So, I'm hopeful rather than confident. What I am sure of is how well he jumped the first time over fences, and with improvement expected, he could be the value in the race.
27 August 2025
19:25 7:25 Bellewstown

W B Easy

Daily Racing

150 EWNAP

@5.50

Lose

-300

But for a mistake at the last at Ballinrobe last month, I believe Ross O'Sullivan's 5yo would've gone very close. It was well supported that day in a better race than this and has been dropped 2lb. Must be worth a bet.
23 August 2025
17:20 5:20 York

Marhaba Ghaiyyath

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Normally, you would avoid one who's gone up 13 lb in two runs for not winning like the plague, but there are reasons to think Charlie Johnstone's progressive 3yo may still have enough to gain a much-deserved success here. That age group has a particularly good record in this race, and the race in which he got collared late on at Goodwood is working out well.
16:50 4:50 Killarney

Shes A Fine Wine

Daily Racing

150 EW

@12.00

Lose

-300

Henry De Bromhead's mare has been running consistently well in her three runs this summer. I don't think she quite got home in the Galway Blazers at the start of the month. This drop in trip and sharper track can only help the 7-year-old, and I make her a strong each-way bet.
15:35 3:35 York

Ethical Diamond

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

180

Willie Mullins quite often runs one at Royal Ascot before a tilt at the Ebor. Absurde, for instance, two years ago. The way Ethical Diamond won the Duke Of Edinburgh h'cap there, I will not look elsewhere.
14:25 2:25 York

Golden Handshake

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

William Haggas' Golden Handshake looks like the one to be on in his hat-trick attempt. The trainer has won this race twice in the last six years, and this improver looks like the type to add to that tally.
13:50 1:50 York

Bullet Point

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

If the William Haggas 4yo turns up after his snug victory in the Clipper Handicap here on Thursday, the hint should be followed. Tom Marquand could barely pull him up, and reportedly a trip to Australia in November beckons.
22 August 2025
18:55 6:55 Kilbeggan

Hit The Frame

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-200

If the tongue-tie / blinkers combination & new front-running tactics work as well as they did at Roscommon 17 days ago, John Flavin's 6yo will be hard to beat. I can't see much pace in the race & it's entirely possible Hit The Frame will get a solo out in front.
13:50 1:50 York

French Duke

Daily Racing

30 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@6.50

Win

3

Much will depend on the start, as if Roger Varian's 4-year-old blows it like he did at Goodwood, his chance would be severely compromised. On several occasions last season, he looked listed or even Group class, and the trainer does like to target this race, having won it twice in the last ten years (including last year). 4-year-olds have an incredible record in this race, and seeing as there are only three entered here (including the 2nd favorite), there's room for a saver if that's your bag.
21 August 2025
17:20 5:20 York

Dance In The Storm

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@7.50

Win

7

In my humble opinion, Andrew Balding's 3yo should've got the race in the Stewards' room last time out at the Goodwood Festival. Up only 3lb here, it must be the bet.
16:10 4:10 York

Alice Monet

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

It's interesting that Dermot Weld, who won this in 2019 with a similar sort, has opted to go up in trip with his improving filly. 3-year-olds have such a good record in this, and that's where I've concentrated my options.
15:00 3:00 York

Leadman

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@12.00

Lose

-50

After having no luck at the Goodwood Festival & just failing to get up at Newbury on Saturday, David O'Meara's 5yo must be the bet here over a furlong more. He's shown he stays a mile in the past & is due to go up 5lb in the future. York & Newbury are similiar tracks & a reproduction of his run 5 days ago would be enough.
14:25 2:25 York

Song of The Clyde

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

225

Clive Cox has won the last two runnings of this valuable sales race & goes for the hat-trick with the selection. Rossa Ryan, last year's winning jockey, takes over for the first time & seeing as the last 10 winners have been drawn below 15, the ten berth looks fine too.
20 August 2025
16:50 4:50 Worcester

Alshadhian

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@7.00

Lose

-200

The Greenall/Guerriero 5yo could not have been more impressive at Southwell in June, winning by 13 lengths. That followed a fall 10 days previously on his chasing debut at Stratford. He was all the rage back at Stratford 8 days after his runaway win under a 7lb penalty but reportedly ran flat, with probably the races coming too soon. He's been freshened up with a 64-day break and looks the one in an open race.
16 August 2025
15:20 3:20 Ripon

First Folio

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@12.00

Win

30

Julie Camacho's runners are just hitting form, and her 7yo can go close if reproducing his CD second in a similar grade in June under this claimer. The grey didn't run as well under a different pilot back here down a grade 12 days ago, but reunited with young Kielu-Marshall and with his high draw, I can see him taking some catching.
15 August 2025
18:45 6:45 Tramore

A Snow White Park

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-200

Mags Mullins 4yo is without doubt the most unexposed mare here. A shock 66/1 winner at Ballinrobe in May in a conditions hurdle following a fall in a PTP, she was then exposed to the deep end of novice hurdling when 6th at the Galway Festival. This is her debut in a handicap on her 3rd run in a rules hurdle and crucially, in my opinion, her first run against her own sex. 4yos under 14/1 have a good record in this race from a small amount of runners.

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