deano69

I don't like tipping long odds on shots... always look for value

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deano69's Tips History

All tips
30 June 2025
18:15 6:15 Windsor

Irish Fighter

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.91 used instead of 1.80 takenBOG

@1.91

Win

45

After finishing second on his debut outing at Wolverhampton in May, IRISH FIGHTER was thrown in at the deep end to contest the Group 2 Norfolk Stakes, where he ran really well to finish ninth, beaten just under six lengths. He raced on the wrong side of thrack, got severely outpaced but stayed on really well. Stall two a worry this evening.
14:15 2:15 Ffos Las

Fantasy World

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.25 on 30/06 at 12:300.30 deduction for Sky Advocate@3.25 withdrawn at 14:19R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.25 x (1-0.30) = 2.58Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3.00 used instead of 2.58 BOG

@3.00

Win

100

If Sky Advocate failed to see out the one mile one furlong on good to firm ground surely he will not last home on good to soft ground over one furlong further. I 'll take FANTASY WORLD to keep on improving. Maybe unlucky last time out over this afternoons trip when jockey droppedd his whip over one furlong out.
29 June 2025
21:10 MIA Marlins @ ARI Diamondbacks

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.60

Win

80

13:55 1:55 Saint Cloud

Scorthy Champ

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

SCORTHY CHAMP clearly needed the run when seventh in the English 2,000 Guineas. He followed that up with a staying on well sixth in the Irish 2,000 Guineas. Could well find improvement stepping up two furlongs.
13:50 1:50 Curragh

Serialise

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

SERIALISE is turned out again pretty quickly after a poor showing in the Kensington Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot eleven days ago. This contest looks much more her level. Nine of the last ten winners of this race have come from a single-digit stall, and my tip comes out of stall four.
07:05 Gold Coast Titans v North Queensland Cowboys

Gold Coast Titans

To Win

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

GOLD COAST TITANS have won four of their last five meetings with the Cowboys at the Cbus Stadium. North Queensland have conceded 138 pts in their last three games, so defensively they look there for the taking.
28 June 2025
21:10 MIA Marlins @ ARI Diamondbacks

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

16:45 4:45 Chester

Trojan Sun

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

TROJAN SUN had been in good form until encountering soft ground at Chester last time out, so I will forgive that run. Curran could find it hard to concede 13lb to my selection.
16:10 4:10 Chester

Perfect Part

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

PERFECT PART has had excuses for his last two runs and looks big at 7/1. Back in May, he travelled well but never got a clear run from two furlongs out until well inside the final furlong. Last time out, he was 13lb 'wrong' with the winner at Musselburgh. This horse has contested races much stronger than this and has run with credit. Trainer and jockey both striking at over 20% over the last two weeks.
16:00 4:00 Windsor

The Flying Seagull

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Trainer Palmer has sent just nine runners to Windsor during his career with one winner and three placed from the nine. He could have another placed horse at least in THE FLYING SEAGULL. He finished third over course and distance last time out. He was outclassed by an improving winner that day, but the second-placed horse has come out to win a C5 handicap at Wolverhampton since.
15:30 3:30 Curragh

Kalpana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

KALPANA is rated 5lb higher than her nearest rival and does look a worthy favourite. A proven Group 1 winner should take all the beating if reproducing the form that saw her take the Group 1 British Fillies and Mares Stakes at Ascot last Oct.
15:15 3:15 Newcastle

Whos Glen

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

WHO'S GLEN could literally be anything. The way he won a one-mile six-furlong C4 handicap at Chester on heavy ground last September, he could be thrown in over an extra two furlongs on the testing Tapeta surface. Trainer Balding has a cracking 30% strike rate with his horses he sends to Newcastle (fifteen winners from forty-nine runners).
13:40 1:40 Newcastle

Sergeant Wilko

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

SERGEANT WILKO is a course and distance winner with a plum stall twelve draw today. 4 lb higher than his best winning mark but has a top jockey on board in Jamie Spencer.
10:50 Dolphins v South Sydney Rabbitohs

South Sydney Rabbitohs

To Win

50 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-50

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS have been very competitive in recent weeks, including going down to the Storm virtue of a golden point drop goal by Melbourne. They welcome back kep playmaker Walker & Campbell Graham back into the fold and those two inclusions could make the difference in this game.
08:30 St George/Illawarra Dragons v Parramatta Eels

St George/Illawarra Dragons

To Win

50 WIN

@1.68

Win

34

I'll take the ST GEORGE/ILLAWARRA DRAGONS in this one with the news that they have wingers Allan & Tuipuloto back in the fold after injuries along with Su'A. Those returning players along with the 2-5 away record of the Eels leads me to tip up the home team.
06:00 Brisbane Broncos v New Zealand Warriors

Over 47.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

These two teams are full of attacking potential, and it could/should be a high-scoring game. The Broncos have scored 78 points in their last two home games at Suncorp. I'll take the OVER 47.50 TOTAL POINTS in this one.
02:40 MIA Marlins @ ARI Diamondbacks

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.45

Win

73

27 June 2025
20:00 Leeds v Leigh

Leeds -6.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

19:35 7:35 Newcastle

Vintage Clarets

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

All boxes are ticked in favor of VINTAGE CLARETS this evening. Course and distance winner (won this renewal back in 2023) with a plum high draw who last won off a 1 lb higher mark at Catterick last October.
18:40 6:40 Newmarket

Expressionless

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

I feel EXPRESSIONLESS is way overpriced in this four-runner contest. In 2023, he won a C4 handicap off 74. In 2024, he won a C3 handicap off 73. He now races in a C5 event off 70. I know the race favorite is on the up but has achieved nothing comparable to my selection. The only concern is the drop back to one mile four furlongs, but Newmarket's uphill finish will suit.
09:00 Manly Sea Eagles v Wests Tigers

Manly Sea Eagles -8.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

45

The MANLY SEA EAGLES have won six of the last seven meetings with the Tigers. Wests have received a blow to their lineup with star signing from Penrith, Jerome Luai, missing out with an infection. My selection welcome back Saab to their lineup. With that inclusion and the loss of Luai for the visitors i can see the home team covering the -8.50 HANDICAP.
26 June 2025
20:45 MIA Marlins @ SF Giants

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.55

Win

77

20:15 8:15 Hamilton

Word Of Mouth

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

This evening's race favorite has gone up 31lb for winning five contests on the bounce. So when will his run end? He should be giving WORD OF MOUTH 7lb, but 5lb of that is negated by his claiming jockey. My selection will definitely appreciate the step up to a mile and a half. His latest effort at Chelmsford has received a triple boost with the first, second, and seventh all coming out to win races, with the first and second both winning in races one level above what my tip runs in this evening.
19:15 7:15 Hamilton

Vantheman

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

VANTHEMAN has had excuses for his three runs this season, mainly because he has been outclassed in C2 company. His last win was in C3 class (same as this evening), off a 1 lb higher mark.
18:00 6:00 Leicester

U S S Charleston

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

The form of U S S CHARLESTON's fourth-place finish on debut at Doncaster in May has been well and truly franked, with winner Kamakameleon finishing a close-up fifth in two Listed events since. Sure to come on for that effort, and I like the booking of Finley Marsh on my tip more than the 3lb claimer on race favorite Kunaa.
16:45 4:45 Newmarket

Orange Sky

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@6.00

Win

250

So many questions to be asked about ORANGE SKY, but if not for being badly hampered inside the final furlong last time out, he could well be two from three going into his handicap debut race. Class, going, and fitness are all question marks, but he is unexposed over an extra furlong and a quicker surface.
10:50 Penrith Panthers v Canterbury Bulldogs

Penrith Panthers

To Win

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

02:45 MIA Marlins @ SF Giants

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.87

Win

94

25 June 2025
15:45 3:45 Carlisle

Verse Of Love

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Maybe it was the Group 3 class that was the undoing of VERSE OF LOVE on only her second start, or maybe it was her first run for 186 days and she needed the run, or a combination of the two that saw her finish seventh of ten in the Nell Gwynn at Newmarket in April. She made amends next time out back in novice class. She is back up in class today to Listed company and is 'wrong' at the weights with three of her rivals, but they look exposed while my tip surely has more to come after just three runs.
11:00 Worcestershire vs Surrey

Worcestershire

Draw No Bet

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

02:45 MIA Marlins @ SF Giants

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

24 June 2025
15:40 3:40 Chantilly

Spartan Arrow

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

88

The hot weather has arrived in time for SPARTAN ARROW. Just a few days ago the going was soft at Chantilly but it is now good and hopefully getting firmer. This horse sets the standard by a long margin and should take all the beating now the ground has dried out.
15:30 3:30 Brighton

Correspondence

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

CORRESPONDENCE got beaten by two classy-looking horses on his racecourse debut at Yarmouth last month. With improvement expected and nothing in this field looking the same quality as the first two home that day, the 2/1 on offer looks big.
22 June 2025
18:40 ATL Braves @ MIA Marlins

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

07:05 Sydney Roosters v North Queensland Cowboys

North Queensland Cowboys 8.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Sydney Roosters have lost four of their last five games on their home ground while the NORTH QUEENSLAND COWBOYS are on a two game winning run against the Roosters. I feel the +8.50 HANDICAP is too big not to tip up.
21 June 2025
21:10 ATL Braves @ MIA Marlins

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.35

Lose

-50

10:35 South Sydney Rabbitohs v Melbourne Storm

Melbourne Storm -11.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

The MELBOURNE STORM have averaged 33pts per game this season the Bunnies average just 17pts per game. They have won 35 of the 42 meeetings with South Sydney and come into this contest at almost full strength. So with all the stats stacked against the Rabbitohs i'll take the visitors to cover the -11.50 HANDICAP.
08:30 Dolphins v Newcastle Knights

Over 46.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

With the way the Dolphins have been playing lately they could cover the OVER 46.50 TOTAL POINTS on their own. They have piled on 158pts in their last three games. They have averaged 32pts in their two games in Perth since they joined the league.
06:00 New Zealand Warriors v Penrith Panthers

Penrith Panthers 13.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

00:10 ATL Braves @ MIA Marlins

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

20 June 2025
19:00 Birmingham Bears vs Worcestershire T20

Worcestershire

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

17:45 5:45 Market Rasen

Wotalaad

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

19 June 2025
23:40 PHI Phillies @ MIA Marlins

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

18:30 Leicestershire vs Nottinghamshire T20

Leicestershire

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot

English Oak

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

ENGLISH OAK won the renewal of this contest last year off a 1lb lower mark but it appears that connections have targeted this race again. He comes out of a perfect stall number of twenty seven.
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17:00 5:00 Royal Ascot

Parole Doro

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Trainer Bell openely admitted on his Stable Tour that PAROLE D'OR is being laid out for this contest. Apparently the horses owner lives in France and is coming over to watch this horse run. He was beaten three quarters of a length by a much fitterTeroomm at Thirsk in April, giving that horse 2lb. My selection will strip fitter for that run and is now 6lb better off and should reverse form on these terms.
18 June 2025
23:40 PHI Phillies @ MIA Marlins

MIA Marlins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

MIA Marlins 1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot

Havana Hurricane

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

270

Liking the look of HAVAN HURRICANE in this one. After being a good looking winner on debut at Goodwood last month, he could have had his stamina stretched over six furlongs at Epsom last time out. He did not seem to handle the quirky Epsom track that day . Drop back in trip on a flat track suits.
1 member found this comment useful
17:35 5:35 Royal Ascot

Serialise

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

I reproduction of the second placed finish gained by SERIALISE at the Curragh last time should see this horse go close. Every box ticked...trip, class, draw, going and fitness all in this horses favour.
17:30 Worcestershire vs Durham T20

Worcestershire

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

17:00 5:00 Royal Ascot

La Trinidad

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

LA TRINIDAD was unable to concede 8lb & 6lb to the first two home last time out at York but stayed on well to finish third. Looking at yesterday's results a high draw is a big advantage so coming out of stall eighteen is a plus. Races off same mark as he did at York. Trip and going in his favour.
16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot

Anmaat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

0

I'll take ANMAAT to reverse form with Los Angeles on their running at the Curragh last month. The winner had race fitness on his side that day, unlike my selection, who was having his first run in 218 days. My tip went down just half a length that day and will strip fitter for that run.
15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot

Fallen Angel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

If FALLEN ANGEL can rediscover the form that she showed when winning a Group 1 contest at the Curragh last May off a mark 1lb higher than she races off today she has the class to take this Group 2 event.
01:00 EDM Oilers @ FLA Panthers

FLA Panthers -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.67

Win

83

Over 6.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

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