HughesyXO

Analyzing and finding value plays across all sports.

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HughesyXO's Tips History

All tips
01 May 2025
00:07 BOS Red Sox @ TOR Blue Jays

TOR Blue Jays

Money Line

500 WIN

@1.91

Win

455

30 April 2025
23:45 WAS Nationals @ PHI Phillies

PHI Phillies

Money Line

500 WIN

@1.50

Win

250

23:40 CHI Cubs @ PIT Pirates

CHI Cubs

Money Line

500 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-500

23:35 NY Yankees @ BAL Orioles

BAL Orioles

Money Line

500 WIN

@1.91

Win

455

23:10 MIN Twins @ CLE Guardians

CLE Guardians

Money Line

500 WIN

@2.15

Win

575

26 April 2025
12:30 Chelsea v Everton

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Chelsea are so poor at the moment, and I think Everton are very underrated after the abysmal start to the season. It's not really showing with their current performances. Chelsea are shaky all over the pitch, and I think Everton can score here, which is pretty much what this bet is.
12:30 QPR v Burnley

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

I think Burnley are going to get an early lead here and sit on the game as they have done all season. They cannot afford to drop points in this neck and neck title race
25 April 2025
20:00 Stoke v Sheff Utd

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Stoke took an absolute battering this week off Leeds, but before that, they have been pretty good under Robins. Sheffield are going to let some of the youngsters out here, and I think the freedom will allow for BTTS here.
23 April 2025
20:30 Getafe v Real Madrid

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

Getafe have one of the lowest goal involvements at home this season in Europe, and their games have been extremely uneventful. Real Madrid are on a huge down spiral and cannot buy a streak of wins at the moment, so I am happy to take BTTS no in this matchup.
20:00 Arsenal v Crystal Palace

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

Crystal Palace have currently conceded 10 goals in a row without scoring, and I think with how desperate it has become for them in the attempt to get European football. Arsenal are still very strong but could be relaxed here with their season over in the Premier League, barring the Champions League.
18:00 Celta Vigo v Villarreal

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.55

Lose

-50

Huge game in the run-in for European football next season in La Liga. Celta Vigo and Villarreal will both be throwing themselves at this game to try and get the important 3 points, but also making sure the other team doesn't get any points.
13 April 2025
22:45 US Masters

Akshay Bhatia

1st Round Leader

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Akshay Bhatia has the perfect game for this course, as mentioned in my previous write-up. Finally coming into form and a brilliant left-hand slice on this course suited to him.

Collin Morikawa

1st Round Leader

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Backing my outright prediction here of Morikawa to get off to a hot start. SG tee to green leader last 3 months and on paper is the best-suited player for this course.

Collin Morikawa

Top American

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Morikawa is set to have a brilliant tournament as one of the most in form players in the world. Brilliant Iron player and Scheffler has not seemed to be himself this year so far.
21:45 US Masters

Akshay Bhatia

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Love Akshay in this spot and think he can definitely make a run at this tournament this year. Left-handers are massively favored here at Augusta, and Bhatia's left-hand fade is incredible. A real threat when on his game.

Collin Morikawa

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Happy to take a stab on Morikawa here. Top strokes gained tee to green or better in the last three months, which is in common with 10 of the last 12 winners. Brilliant form and iron play is amazing.

Shane Lowry

Top European

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

I think Shane Lowry is a brilliant shout for this, especially getting 4 places. Top 5 in SG tee to green in the last three months, and I believe he will be up there for a shout to win the tournament, not just top Euro.

Justin Rose

Top GB and Ireland

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

Justin Rose is course-proven and is at a disrespectful price here, especially when given three places. Justin Rose has been doing this for years and always puts it together at the most important events of the year.
05:10 Alex Volkanovski v Diego Lopes

Alex Volkanovski

Win Fight

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

Alexander Volkanovski is one of my most confident picks of the year, and I am excited to see this one unfold. Lopes has about 8 minutes to finish Volkanovski before he gets dragged into deep waters and finished late.
04:40 Michael Chandler v Paddy Pimblett

Michael Chandler

Win Fight

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Paddy is being rushed here, and this is a huge step up in competition. Paddy has run very hot and was rocked badly against Luigi, who had zero success in the UFC. Chandler hits way harder and is a way better fighter, and I think he puts Paddy to sleep out cold.
04:10 Yair Rodriguez v Patricio Freire

Yair Rodriguez

Win Fight

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

I don't know how people are betting Pitbull here at this price. Yair is a unique striker and much faster. Pitbull is coming off a bad loss outside the promotion to a lesser fighter than Yair.
02:10 Yan Xiaonan v Virna Jandiroba

Virna Jandiroba

Win Fight

50 WIN

@1.77

Win

38

This is a brilliant fight. Jandiroba has a massive edge in the grappling, and Xiaonan is the worst fighter in the division off bottom. I think it's fight over with one takedown here, and I'm happy to back Virna.
02:00 Bryce Mitchell v Jean Silva

Bryce Mitchell

Win Fight

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

The most disrespectful line of the year in my opinion. Bryce Mitchell wrestling is far superior and Jean Silva was getting out wrestled and out transitioned by Charles Jourdain, who is far far far away from Mitchell in terms of grappling ability. I think Mitchell should be the outright favourite in this match and I am picking him to win.
01:40 Jim Miller v Chase Hooper

Chase Hooper KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

I think this is a big price for Hooper, who can find a positional TKO after some takedown success. Miller is willing to accept the bottom at his age, and I think Hooper dominates.
01:10 Darren Elkins v Julian Erosa

Julian Erosa KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

Juicy J is a hard hitter and finds the target consistently. Elkins walks forward and takes tons of damage every fight. He is 40 and can't keep up with the ferociousness of Erosa.
00:40 Sedriques Dumas v Michal Oleksiejczuk

Michal Oleksiejczuk KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@2.30

Win

65

Michal is on a different level to Dumas as he doesn't have a finishing instinct in his body. I think Michal is going to walk forward and put him in uncomfortable spots and Dumas will quit as seen already
12 April 2025
23:40 Tresean Gore v Marco Tulio

Marco Tulio KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Marco Tulio is 10 times the fighter of Gore and his striking is on a different level. Gore has a chance at a submission but other than that, it's going to end inside the distance.
23:10 Nora Cornolle v Hailey Cowan

Nora Cornolle Decision or Technical Decision

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Nora Cornolle is by far better than Cowan, and I don't think Cowan can find takedown success here. I think this is a low-paced, scrappy striking affair and favor Cornolle significantly.
12:30 Man City v Crystal Palace

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

28

I love the over in this one as City will be all riled up after the poor match against United on the weekend. Palace is a high-scoring team as well as City, and I think this should be shorter.
08 April 2025
20:00 Arsenal v Real Madrid

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

I think both teams to score is a really good look here with Arsenal missing defender Gabriel and Madrid also missing some big-time players at the back. Both teams missing key defensive players will be big for BTTS here.
20:00 Bayern Munich v Inter Milan

Under 2.50

Total Goals

I really like the under in this spot between two evenly matched teams here. UCL knockout matches always typically have fewer goals because of the stakes, and I think Inter will set up defensively.
20:00 Middlesbrough v Leeds

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Meslier has been so poor for Leeds and may be the sole reason that they do not go up this season. Leeds are going to have to go for this, and it feels like this one is gonna be a high total.
19:45 Norwich v Sunderland

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Norwich and Sunderland both play very nice football, and I like this line at evens. Sunderland's eye for goal has only gotten bigger with the position they are in. Norwich are back firing with Sainz in the goal-scoring charts.
19:45 Sheff Utd v Millwall

Under 2.50

Total Goals

I like the under here as Sheffield are so defensively sound, and Millwall aren't going to let Sheffield find the openings. They are going to have to work for it. This should be a quiet affair.
14:02 2:02 Pontefract

Strong Warrior

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@1.91

Win

45

Absolute bags of potential in this horse and I expect this to go off way shorter. Strong Warrior won last time out easily in a maiden on the first race. 135,000 guineas purchase and is expected to be promising by all stable staff.
13:30 Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baez

Over 22.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

This is going to be the best match of the day, and I think these two are so similarly matched. Baez is a clay court specialist, and it is where he made his name. Machac is the overall better player, and I think this will even out to a really close and competitive 3-set match.
13:00 Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini

Alexander Zverev -2.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Alexander Zverev is the best clay court player in the world, in my opinion, as he completely threw away the Roland Garros major final after being a major in-play favorite. Zverev is going to make a big impression here, and I think he makes quick work of Berrettini.
13:00 Players Championship 11

Luke Littler

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Littler is the best player in the world easily at the moment. Can't see him bigger than 2/1 for any event and he has scored more 180s than any other player in the world 2x since he joined the tour. An absolute machine.

Martin Schindler

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Schindler had a brilliant ET this weekend and is getting back to his form. I can't see why he is a much bigger price than a lot out of form players.
12:00 Dusan Lajovic vs Flavio Cobolli

Dusan Lajovic

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

We took Dusan Lajovic the other day and were completely correct. He loves it here and turns it up in clay season. I think he will be the fresher player here, and that combined with his ability on these courts, demands favouritism.
10:00 Alexei Popyrin vs Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Ugo Humbert, this time last year, was cementing himself as one of the best players in the world, and I think he is getting his mojo back already. Popyrin is not a great clay player, and I think there is a big edge here for Humbert.
10:00 Lorenzo Sonego vs Pedro Martinez

Over 22.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Pedro Martinez is a very underrated clay court player, and Sonego has been mediocre this season. I think Sonego's top game is obviously superior, but over a three-set match, I think this will go long.
07 April 2025
20:00 Leicester v Newcastle

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Leicester are no match for this Newcastle team, and I don't think they will score against this Newcastle team, who will be bringing their A-game while fighting for the Champions League.

Newcastle (AH) -1.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.82

Win

41

This one covers Newcastle winning by 1 as a push and has the potential to cash if Newcastle win by 2 or more, which seems the most likely scenario considering how poor Leicester have been now that their season is over.
14:30 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ben Shelton

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

Shelton has been nothing but disappointing since the start of 2025. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has been a quality clay player now for the best part of a decade, and this is Shelton's worst surface.
13:00 Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini

Over 22.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I like the total games here as Berrettini has been slowly getting better and better over the year without injury and Navone is a clay specialist and really pushes people to the max. This will be a long one.
11:30 Gael Monfils vs Fabian Marozsan

Fabian Marozsan

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.88

Lose

-50

Fabian Marozsan is best on clay, and Monfils is 40 and is slowing down. You have to be very physical and athletic to be your best on clay, and I think the age gap will benefit Marozsan hugely.
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11:30 Yunchaokete Bu vs Lorenzo Musetti

Yunchaokete Bu 4.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.75

Win

38

Bu has been impressive in qualifiers, and we did not have much data on his clay form before as he is young in the game. But he shows all the talent of a top player. Musetti has been below par since mid last year.
10:00 Jiahao Huang v Amaan Iqbal

Amaan Iqbal

Win Match

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

10:00 Jiri Lehecka vs Sebastian Korda

Jiri Lehecka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

Lehecka is a clay specialist, and Korda's form has been up and down. I really like Lehecka here and think he would be shorter if this was a little while into the clay season and the bookies had more data.
1 member found this comment useful
10:00 Stan Wawrinka vs Alejandro Tabilo

Stan Wawrinka

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

I like taking Stan Wawrinka to win the first set because at his age his durability is at an all time low but for the first hour of a match he can play some high level tennis still. Just not over the full distance.

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