HughesyXO
Analyzing and finding value plays across all sports.
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HughesyXO's Tips History
31 October 2025
16:45 4:45 Southwell
Thanh Nam
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Hollie Doyle is the best jockey in the country that does not have a ride in the Breeders Cup, so she will still be in the UK hoovering up these races. Good horse and money already coming for it.
15:57 3:57 Newmarket
Huggable
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
This horse has not finished out of the top 3 in his last 3 runs and now has Toby Moore on board who is riding out of his skin at the moment. The son of Ryan Moore has all the tools of his father and I expect him to go close here.
15:47 3:47 Down Royal
Romeo Coolio
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.67 used instead of 1.50 takenBOG
@1.67
Win
33
Huge price for such an established horse who is near guaranteed to be a better chaser than he is a hurdler. Very weak race and should canter all over this lot.
15:22 3:22 Newmarket
Play Me
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Win
45
Huge price for this horse who has a cracking each-way chance with about a stone in hand above the rest. Winner at Epsom. Out of Too Darn Hot and Donagh Murphy will have this right in contention.
00:15 BAL Ravens @ MIA Dolphins
BAL Ravens
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.25
Win
12
Lamar Jackson is back here, and I don't think the Dolphins are going to compete. Hill went down a few weeks ago, and although the Dolphins looked good last week, this is a different team when healthy.
BAL Ravens -7.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
The Ravens were title favourites pre season and now that they are back fully healthy and are in must win territory, I think they make a statement on Thursday night.
Under 50.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
The Ravens' defense will need to be key here, and prime time football always has unders. The Ravens are back healthy, and the Dolphins have very poor quarterback play. I think the Dolphins come up short on the scoring, and the Ravens run away with this.
BAL Ravens - BAL Ravens
Double Result
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
This is a crazy price that my model has around 65%. Dolphins at home does not mean much at this point, and I think that is why they are getting so much respect in the market. I expect the Ravens to roll the Dolphins.
Derrick Henry (BAL Ravens)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@1.44
Lose
-50
Henry will be back to cooking this week now that he is not the only one for the Dolphins to look at with Lamar back. Henry has been getting better every game since week one, and he will roll this week and get an easy touchdown.
Mark Andrews (BAL Ravens)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.65
Win
82
Mark Andrews was Lamar's number one target when healthy at the start of the season and was 2.00 going into the last week Lamar was healthy. I think they will pick up where they left off and Andrews will get back to feasting.
BAL Ravens by 13 18
Winning Margin
50 WIN
@5.25
Lose
-50
This is the line I would set the handicap at, so I am happy to take the winning range at such a high line. The Ravens winning by 2 touchdowns seems the most likely to me, and I think this long shot is tremendous value.
Subtotal106
29 October 2025
20:00 Newcastle v Tottenham
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@2.25
Win
62
Tottenham have been so up and down this season, and now they travel to their kryptonite, St. James' Park. Newcastle are very good defensively and don't concede much at home. Spurs are also good at the back, leading me to back no here.
19:45 Arsenal v Brighton
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Arsenal are so defensively sound that it is hard for me to see Brighton finding the back of the net. I think this will be low scoring and cagey, so getting BTTS NO at evens feels like a good price to me.
19:45 Liverpool v Crystal Palace
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.60
Lose
-50
Liverpool are in awful form and cannot keep a clean sheet to save their lives. Palace always find the net and will be full of confidence after already beating Liverpool this season.
19:45 Wolverhampton v Chelsea
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
I don't like either of these sides at the moment, so getting with negativity in this game at a big price seems fair. Wolves are the worst side in the Premier League, and Chelsea are coming off a loss to Sunderland. I think whoever wins this will just squeak it out.
19:30 7:30 Kempton
Pride Of Donegal
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
16:07 4:07 Fakenham
Dartmouth Rose
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
15:37 3:37 Fakenham
Fancy Stuff
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
15:31 3:31 Dundalk
Anushka
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG
@7.00
Win
300
15:23 3:23 Newton Abbot
Buckna
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
15:17 3:17 Nottingham
Son Of Man
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Win
28
15:01 3:01 Dundalk
Hurricane Helen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Subtotal290
24 October 2025
01:15 MIN Vikings @ LA Chargers
Over 44.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
This game screams 'overs' to me with how both QBs are passing the ball. This is in terms of INTs leading to touchdowns and high passing yard performances. I think we get a big scoring Thursday night.
Jordan Addison (MIN Vikings)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
51 WIN
@3.00
Win
102
Jordan Addison is flying under the radar this season, and since returning from suspension, has been lights out! I like him to have another big game on a big stage, as he has been doing overseas the past few weeks.
00:30 OKC Thunder @ IND Pacers
Under 231.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
NBA Finals rematch, and I would be loving the Thunder if they were at home. But the 2nd game in 3 days and on the road is not for me. Pacers' first game of the season and will be highly motivated against this side specifically. High-intensity playoff-like game leads to Unders for me.
Subtotal98
23 October 2025
03:10 MIN Timberwolves @ POR Trail Blazers
POR Trail Blazers 4.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Anthony Edwards is not going to be 100% for this game and still may not play. The Blazers were on fire to end the season, and I think they will pick up where they left off and at least make this close.
03:10 SAC Kings @ PHX Suns
PHX Suns -4.00
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.91
Push
0
The Suns are underrated to start the season, and they still have one of the best players in the league with Devin Booker. I like the coaching appointment, and they have been very active in pre-season. It was noted they started their own pre-season before any other team, which is a good sign for Suns backers.
01:10 DET Pistons @ CHI Bulls
Under 237.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Ridiculously high line to start the season when teams are in no rhythm. I think if the 3-point heavy shooting sides aren't shooting at least above average, this will soar under with such a high line.
01:10 WAS Wizards @ MIL Bucks
MIL Bucks -10.00
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
I think the Wizards are still useless and are rebuilding for the future. Giannis has a point to prove and will be chasing MVP all season. I like how he played in EuroBasket. Back the Bucks!
00:40 PHI 76ers @ BOS Celtics
PHI 76ers
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.70
Win
85
I like the 76ers, and I think they are going to be a lot better than expectations this season. A lot of movements around the Celtics camp this summer, and with Tatum's injury, I will not be rushing to back them.
00:40 TOR Raptors @ ATL Hawks
ATL Hawks -5.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
I think the Hawks are going to be really good this season, and they have had the best free agency of all time. I think the Raptors are a sinking ship that need to work a lot of things out before I back them.
00:10 BKN Nets @ CHA Hornets
Over 228.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
I love the over in this match as two teams who play no defense will be looking to show off their new systems this season. Both like to play fast and will force a lot of shots. Take the overs.
00:10 CLE Cavaliers @ NY Knicks
Under 228.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Two very strong defensive teams and some start of season nerves as the two teams are favorites to reach the conference finals and do not want to give anything away. Take the under.
00:10 MIA Heat @ ORL Magic
Under 215.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
I like the under in this game as I really trust the Orlando Magic defense, especially when everyone is healthy. Bam Adebayo for the Heat is also one of the best defensive players in the league, so I think we get off to a low-scoring start in this matchup.
Subtotal120
09 October 2025
04:00 Iva Jovic vs Katerina Siniakova
Iva Jovic
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
This youngster continues to impress as Iva Jovic looks like a future star in the making. She is peaking at the end of the year, and due to her age, she can play and not get tired. I think she is the more skilled player, and at dog money, I like her in this one.
Subtotal-50
08 October 2025
22:15 Joe Cullen vs Gary Anderson
Over 3.50
Total Sets
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
Gary Anderson never makes it easy for himself. Joe Cullen was very impressive in the first round, and I think both fighters will have success here. I like the overs.
Gary Anderson to win 3-2
Leg Betting
53 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-53
Gary Anderson never makes it easy for himself but his averages and stats have been ridiculous for about a year now. Cullen is slowly getting back to form and he can push Anderson all the way here but I think Cullen is still missing his cutting edge, leading me to backing the Flying Scotsman in 5 sets.
21:15 Luke Humphries vs Krzysztof Ratajski
Luke Humphries to win 3-1
Leg Betting
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
Luke Humphries is a former winner of this event, and the former champ suits this over the longer distance. Ratajski has been good as of late, and I see him stealing a set, but don't see him doing much more against the surging Cool Hand.
20:15 Stephen Bunting vs Danny Noppert
Over 8.50
Total 180s
50 WIN
@2.08
Win
54
This is going to be a great match and the form on both players highlights this high line. I think this match is going to go all the way and if it does, this 180 line should get hammered!
19:15 Cameron Menzies vs Rob Cross
Rob Cross
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
I am sticking with the theme that I think Menzies will fold under pressure, and I think Rob Cross is too seasoned in darts to let pressure affect him. Cross is the overall better player too and far more experienced in this event.
19:10 7:10 Kempton
Bear Island
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
Looks like a good chance here for Rossa Ryan to pick up a winner on a horse too good for this race. Best jockey and best horse make me feel pretty good about backing Bear Island in this race.
Subtotal-24
07 October 2025
20:00 Luke Littler vs Gian van Veen
Gian van Veen
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.70
Lose
-50
Gian Van Veen has been unreal this year. In such a narrow format that Littler has no form in, I think at a big dog you have to take Van Veen.
19:30 Gerwyn Price vs Ryan Searle
Gerwyn Price -1.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
I don't think Ryan Searle is good enough to be competing at this level and has struggled at TV events for years. Gerwyn Price is unreal at this tournament, and I think he wins easily.
19:00 Jonny Clayton vs Andrew Gilding
Jonny Clayton to win 2-0
Leg Betting
50 WIN
@2.25
Win
62
Jonny Clayton is in great form, and I think Andrew Gilding is on a career decline. Clayton always goes well at this event due to his great doubling, and I think he sweeps aside Gilding.
Subtotal-38
06 October 2025
23:08 LA Dodgers @ PHI Phillies
PHI Phillies
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
This is a must-win for the favorites before the wild card kicks off. I think they will rise to the occasion as they have in recent years. The bats will get cooking. They were slow out of the gates last game as they had a good few days off.
Over 7.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
I know this is playoff baseball and totals are lower, but there is so much batting potential in both of these lineups that 7.5 just feels way too low. I like the over.
21:30 Stephen Bunting vs Niko Springer
Over 2.50
Total Sets
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Bunting being a reasonable favorite is fine, but Springer is a top-level player. Springer always causes a shock, and he did once again by winning a Euro Tour event just a few weeks ago. Expect this to be closer than the odds suggest.
20:00 Danny Noppert vs Jermaine Wattimena
Danny Noppert
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.73
Win
37
Wattimena has been struggling a lot on doubles on the Euro Tour, and in an event where doubling is the most important attribute by far, it's not a good look. Noppert is getting back to his 2022 form, and I think he will overcome Jermaine rather easily in this bout.
19:00 Chris Dobey vs Cameron Menzies
Chris Dobey to win 2-0
Leg Betting
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
This is sad to bet on, but I think Cameron Menzies is an auto-fade in events with a crowd until he can overcome his anxiety issues. He is a tremendous player, and it hurts to see him struggle, but it's a sport at the end of the day. Dobey is too level-headed and will secure an easy win in this one.
18:30 Martin Schindler vs Krzysztof Ratajski
Krzysztof Ratajski
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
If this match was priced in January, Schindler would be 1/3. But over the last few months, his form has dropped hugely, and Ratajski has been consistently improving the full year.
14:00 Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Victoria Mboko
Over 21.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Mboko is a 1000 event winner as of late, and Alexandrova is in better form. I think they are at very similar levels in their game at the moment. When a match is tight, I like the over.
13:00 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Daniil Medvedev
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
This might be hard for fans of the Russian, but he is way past his best even though he is still young. He is mentally not there, and his game is not what it once was. Fokina at a huge price here is the value play.
11:30 Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Rinderknech
Over 23.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.98
Win
49
Rinderknech is once again underrated in a match, and I don't get why. He is a huge server and forces a lot of tiebreaks, which is perfect for Overs. With Zverev's poor form, I think Arthur can get at least a set. If Arthur is getting a set, expect this to go over.
10:00 Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie
Learner Tien
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Learner Tien has been the most impressive player across the Asian swing so far, and I think he is relishing after last week's final run. Cam Norrie breaks physically if you can push him, and with youth on his side, I think Tien can get it done.
09:00 Lucia Bronzetti vs Yue Yuan
Yue Yuan -3.50
Games Won
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
This is a great spot to get with Yuan in front of her home crowd. She will relish these playing conditions, whilst Bronzetti would like it different.
07:00 Olga Danilovic vs Clara Tauson
Clara Tauson to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@2.05
Win
52
Clara Tauson is someone I think is very underrated, and we have been getting great prices on her to win all season. Her to win in straight sets here over someone she is far superior to is something I am keen to get involved with.
05:30 Elise Mertens vs Polina Kudermetova
Elise Mertens -4.50
Games Won
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Polina Kudermetova keeps disappointing me as a viewer, and her up-and-down form will not be enough to challenge the Belgian, who seems to be dismantling opponents who are below her this season.
05:30 Katerina Siniakova vs Diana Shnaider
Diana Shnaider
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
I have been waiting for the Russian to take over and push into the next level of dominance, but she has not yet. Shnaider will suit these conditions more than Siniakova, and I think she is due for a deep run.
04:00 Ashlyn Krueger vs Hailey Baptiste
Hailey Baptiste
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.05
Win
52
Hailey Baptiste shows spells of being a really good player and then lets her form dip. If she can stay level-headed in this one, I think she will outplay her price as an underdog, as I believe she is the more skilled player.
01:20 NE Patriots @ BUF Bills
BUF Bills -7.50
Point Spread
71 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-71
The Buffalo Bills are the best team in the NFL. At home against a poor Patriots team, I think they are going to maul them. Josh Allen loves playing this team, and the best player in the league is due for a big night.
Over 49.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Lots of money is coming for the under, but the line is yet to move. I think this is an indication of the real sharp money coming for the over. The Patriots' offense is underrated, and the Bills are so poor at defending the rush. I think this is a high-scoring match with the Bills coming out on top.
Hunter Henry (NE Patriots)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
If the Patriots are to have any success in the passing game, I think it will come through this man. Hunter Henry has been one of the best tight ends in the league this season, and when he is getting consistent snaps, he is a must-bet.
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE Patriots)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@3.10
Win
105
Rhamondre Stevenson is such a huge part of this offense, and him being as big a price as he is makes no sense to me. He was meant to be suspended midweek, and the Pats coach came out and said he won't be disciplined because he is too important. This speaks to the volume he will get tonight.
01:03 DET Tigers @ SEA Mariners
SEA Mariners
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.37
Win
69
We are getting a crazy price here on the Mariners at home, and I have to take this. I think they simply cannot be above even money at their own ballpark alone, not to mention that I think they are the better team.
SEA Mariners 1.50
Run Line
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
I am going aggressive on the Mariners and have to take them on the +1.5. They are a great team, and I think getting 1.65 when they are at home to cover a +1.5 spread is an auto bet in the playoffs when totals are so low.
Subtotal-125
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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