Boogiebear
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Boogiebear's Tips History
29 January 2026
01:15 Estudiantes LP v Boca Juniors
Estudiantes LP #1-0
90 WIN
@+500
Lose
-90
Boca’s efficiency and Estudiantes’ defense: the most statistically probable single score projected is 1??"0 for Estudiantes. Historically, these haven’t been games with lots of goals, so a narrow home win looks highly likely.
Subtotal-90
28 January 2026
23:00 Chapecoense v Santos
Draw #1-1
90 WIN
@+500
Lose
-90
Historically, Santos wins more often. Algorithmic projections put a 1-1 draw near the top of realistic outcomes, with under 2.5 goals likely.
23:00 Corinthians v Bahia
Draw #1-1
90 WIN
@+500
Lose
-90
Balanced odds and current form suggest a tight game, and 1-1 keeps things honest given both sides’ attacking and defensive stats.
23:00 River Plate v Gimnasia LP
River Plate #1-0
90 WIN
@+450
Lose
-90
River haven’t been firing on all cylinders but remain slight favourites at home. The most likely scoreline in models right now is 1-0 to River Plate, rather than higher-scoring outcomes.
20:00 Arsenal v Kairat Almaty
Arsenal #4-0
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
Arsenal top the table on 21 pts with +18 GD. Kairat sit bottom on 1 pt with ??'14 GD. Gunners average nearly 3 goals per game in the league phase. I predict a four nil home win.
20:00 Atletico Madrid v Bodo/Glimt
Atletico Madrid #3-1
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
Atlético's experience and ruthless home record dominate against plucky underdogs. Bodø/Glimt score on breaks but can't match Simeone's side defensively. Expect goals and a convincing home victory.
20:00 Barcelona v FC Copenhagen
Barcelona #4-1
50 WIN
@+1100
Win
550
Barça have higher goals scored and better home stats. Copenhagen’s minus goal difference and needs make goals probable at both ends. I predict a four-goal-to-one home win.
20:00 Man City v Galatasaray
Man City #3-1
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
City are statistically stronger in win probability. Galatasaray sit near the bottom with few points. City's home edge should translate into multiple goals. I'm predicting a 3-1 home win.
20:00 PSG v Newcastle
Vitinha
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+1600
Win
800
PSG #4-1
50 WIN
@+1600
Lose
-50
PSG motivated at home in a big finale. Newcastle are competitive and physical, but PSG's stars shine through and produce a comprehensive home win in a tense encounter.
Subtotal880
27 January 2026
19:45 Bolton v Burton Albion
Bolton #3-1
Bolton average 1.9 goals at home. Burton concede 1.8 away. Bolton’s xG differential is positive, Burton’s is negative. Bolton win 65% of home games, suggesting a controlled 3??"1 victory given overall form.
19:45 Milton Keynes Dons v Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons #3-1
90 WIN
@+1200
Lose
-90
MK Dons average over two home goals, create higher xG, and win regularly at Stadium MK. Bristol Rovers concede frequently away, allowing dominance, chances, and a 3??"1 home victory.
19:30 Newport County v Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley #2-1
Accrington have averaged 1.6 goals per game historically vs Newport, while Newport concede 1.6 in those matchups and leak goals consistently. Newport’s league defence concedes 1.8 per match. Accrington score more on average, and both sides often see over 2.5 goals, making a 2-1 win to Accrington a solid prediction.
19:30 St Pauli v RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig #2-1
Leipzig score more and concede fewer than St. Pauli, who are among the lowest scorers at home this season. The away side look in superior form, and although they should win, I think the home side will grab a consolation goal.
19:30 Werder Bremen v TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim #2-1
Hoffenheim have been unbeaten in recent outings, and Bremen are struggling badly at the bottom of the table with the worst defence in the league. Hoffenheim often score away, and Bremen concede heavily, making a 2??"1 road win plausible.
Subtotal-458
24 January 2026
17:30 Bournemouth v Liverpool
Liverpool & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
90 WIN
@+220
Lose
-90
Liverpool’s superior xG, depth, and transition threat should decide it, but Bournemouth’s home pressing, set-piece danger, and recent scoring rate suggest they will create chances and score once at home tonight.
Dominik Szoboszlai
Anytime Goalscorer
90 WIN
@+275
Win
248
Szoboszlai’s long-shot volume, late box arrivals, and set-piece involvement boost goal probability, especially against deep blocks conceding shots from range.
Mohamed Salah
First Goalscorer
90 WIN
@+550
Lose
-90
Salah leads Liverpool for shots, xG, and first goals. He scores early in 38% of league matches, averaging 0.6 xG per 90. Ideal versus Bournemouth, based on recent away form being strong.
Liverpool #2-1
93 WIN
@+850
Lose
-93
I predict that this match will be a 2-1 win for the away side. Liverpool’s superior xG, deeper squad, and away scoring rate give them the edge. Bournemouth’s strong home press and chances created suggest they will still nick a goal.
Subtotal-25
18 January 2026
11:30 Balestier Khalsa FC v Hougang United FC
Balestier Khalsa FC #2-1
Balestier's recent 2-1 win over Hougang just a few weeks ago suggests they have the tactical edge to edge out a victory in a closely contested, high-energy match.
11:30 Kasimpasa v Antalyaspor
Draw #1-1
Both sides are level on 15 points with identical goal-scoring struggles. Their defensive stats suggest a low-scoring stalemate where neither team has the quality to dominate, resulting in a 1-1 draw.
11:15 FC Den Bosch v Maastricht
FC Den Bosch #2-1
FC Den Bosch secure a 2-1 home win thanks to superior league position of 7th vs 18th. Strong home scoring of 2.11 goals on average. MVV's weak away defence concedes an average of 1.8 goals.
11:15 Heerenveen v FC Groningen
Heerenveen #2-1
SC Heerenveen should claim a 2-1 home win in the Northern Derby as they have strong recent form, being unbeaten in five. They also show some solid home scoring with a 1.7 goals average. Groningen's low away scoring and the H2H trend favoring goals support a 2-1 home win.
Subtotal-277
17 January 2026
18:00 AVS v FC Arouca
FC Arouca #2-1
While both sides are in the bottom tier of the Primeira Liga, Arouca has shown a slightly better ability to find the net and has a historical psychological edge over AVS. They should win by 2-1.
18:00 Alverca v Moreirense
Moreirense #2-1
Moreirense average higher xG, shots on target, and possession. They concede fewer goals and win more away matches. Alverca score at home, but defensive gaps usually punish them late, often decisively. So, in my opinion, this match will end 2-1 to Moreirense.
18:00 Benfica B v Chaves
Chaves #2-1
Stats tilt towards an away win but a tight one. Chaves are favoured with a 69% win chance and often see goals on both sides, with over 2.5 suggested too. Head-to-head trends show close, competitive matches and plenty of goals historically, so 2??"1 to Chaves feels most realistic.
18:00 Toulouse v Nice
Draw #1-1
Nice are tighter defensively but not free-scoring away. Toulouse usually nick a goal at home. Feels cagey, tactical, and very Ligue 1, so I suggest both sides share the points and this match ends as a low-scoring draw.
15:00 Chelsea v Brentford
Chelsea #2-1
90 WIN
@+850
Lose
-90
Chelsea at home should edge this. Brentford aren’t pushovers, but Chelsea’s quality will show. Predicted: close, but winning by 2??"1.
15:00 Leeds v Fulham
Draw #1-1
90 WIN
@+600
Lose
-90
Both teams sit mid-table, and a low-scoring draw feels right. We should see goals on either side, but not enough to decide it, so a low-scoring draw looks the best bet here.
15:00 Liverpool v Burnley
Liverpool #3-0
90 WIN
@+750
Lose
-90
Liverpool are favourites at home and Burnley sit low in the league. Expect a comfortable home win of three goals to nil.
15:00 Sunderland v Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace #2-1
90 WIN
@+1200
Lose
-90
Crystal Palace have had decent results recently and should win this narrowly. Sunderland can score at home, although it would just be a consolation goal.
15:00 Tottenham v West Ham
Tottenham #2-1
90 WIN
@+800
Lose
-90
Spurs have a stronger XI, and even with injuries they should get a narrow home win of 2-1 or more but a narrow home win looks likely
Subtotal-810
16 January 2026
20:00 West Brom v Middlesbrough
Morgan Whittaker
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+850
Lose
-50
Middlesbrough #2-1
90 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-90
Middlesbrough sit 2nd with the Championship's joint-best defence (only 16 goals conceded in 26 games), while West Brom (18th) have just one clean sheet in 14 and lost six of their last eight league matches. Boro won the last four H2Hs, including a 2-1 this season, so their quality edges a tight 1-2 away win.
Subtotal-140
09 January 2026
13:10 Al Khaleej Saihat v Damac FC
Al Khaleej Saihat #2-1
500 WIN
@+750
Lose
-500
Khaleej will win 2-1 because they score heavily at home and have averaged 2.2 goals per game, which is 26 in total this season. They also have home advantage against struggling Damac, who concede 1.83 away, score poorly at 0.83 goals per game overall, and have just one away win. Khaleej's +5 goal difference edges Damac's -10.
08:35 Brisbane Roar v Auckland FC
Auckland FC #2-1
93 WIN
@+750
Lose
-93
Auckland FC edged a thrilling contest 2-1 at Suncorp Stadium. Brisbane Roar struck first through sheer home grit, but the league leaders' clinical counter-attacks secured a vital away win.
Subtotal-593
08 January 2026
20:15 Lusitania Lourosa v Leixoes
Lusitania Lourosa & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
90 WIN
@+400
Lose
-90
Lourosa averages about 1.1 goals and concedes regularly at home, while Leixões also score away and concede often. BTTS is trending around 66% this season, making a home win with goals each likely.
Lusitania Lourosa #2-1
90 WIN
@+850
Lose
-90
Lourosa’s stronger home xG, higher shot conversion rate, and recent scoring form give them an edge. Leixões’ away goals average suggests they score once but concede enough to lose narrowly. I predict a 2-1 home win.
20:00 Arsenal v Liverpool
Arsenal & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
157 WIN
@+240
Lose
-157
Arsenal’s home xG and goal output remain elite, but Liverpool average over one goal per away match. Both teams create chances consistently, making an Arsenal win with both teams scoring statistically likely.
Bukayo Saka
Anytime Goalscorer
500 WIN
@+259
Lose
-500
Saka ranks in the top ~88??"90% of Premier League players for non-penalty xG, averaging nearly 3 shots per game with 18 on target, making him a serious scoring threat.
Bukayo Saka
First Goalscorer
100 WIN
@+700
Lose
-100
Saka is Arsenal’s most reliable early threat at home. He takes penalties, targets Liverpool’s left side relentlessly, and loves a big-game opener. If Arsenal score first, Saka’s the smart money.
Arsenal #2-1
100 WIN
@+800
Lose
-100
Arsenal’s home form, higher xG, aggressive press, and set-piece threat should overwhelm Liverpool, who concede chances away, allowing the Gunners to edge a tight, high-intensity 2-1 win at the Emirates tonight.
17:30 Al Nassr Riyadh v Al Qadisiya Al Khubar
Joao Felix
First Goalscorer
98 WIN
@+450
Lose
-98
Al Nassr Riyadh #3-1
92 WIN
@+1100
Lose
-92
Al Nassr will beat Al Qadsiah 3-1 because they dominate the head-to-heads overall with 8 wins vs 2. They have a higher goals-per-game average (3+), strong home scoring with 21 goals, and better form, while Qadsiah are inconsistent.
14:55 Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Hazm
Al Hilal Riyadh #3-1
98 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-98
Al-Riyadh should triumph over Al-Hazm in the relegation clash. The home side averages 1.4 goals per game lately and should exploit Al-Hazm's leaky defence, which has been conceding 1.8 goals per game.
Subtotal-1325
07 January 2026
20:15 Burnley v Man Utd
Lesley Ugochukwu
Anytime Goalscorer
90 WIN
@+900
Lose
-90
Lesley Ugochukwu is a solid anytime scorer bet vs Man Utd. The 190 cm midfielder thrives on late box arrivals, headers (including a recent goal vs Villa), and set pieces in Burnley's desperate home push against chaotic United.
Lesley Ugochukwu
First Goalscorer
90 WIN
@+2500
Lose
-90
Lesley Ugochukwu could score first for Burnley vs Man Utd. The towering 21-year-old midfielder (1.90 m) excels at late box arrivals and headers from set pieces, exploiting United's interim chaos in a desperate home relegation fight.
Draw #2-2
90 WIN
@+1800
Win
1620
Back a thrilling 2-2 draw at Turf Moor. Burnley's desperate fightback and home pride will exploit United's interim chaos, with both sides trading blows in a high-scoring stalemate.
20:15 Newcastle v Leeds
Lewis Hall
Anytime Goalscorer
100 WIN
@+1200
Lose
-100
Lewis Hall is a prime anytime scorer bet against Leeds. The attacking left-back regularly bombs forward, averaging 5+ crosses and multiple corners per game, plus a set-piece threat in a dominant Newcastle home side pushing for goals.
Lewis Hall
First Goalscorer
90 WIN
@+2800
Lose
-90
Left-back is a strong candidate to open the scoring at St James' Park tonight due to his attacking instincts and set-piece threat.
Newcastle #4-1
90 WIN
@+2800
Lose
-90
I predict Newcastle to thrash Leeds 4-1 at St James' Park. The Magpies' home dominance??"unbeaten in seven??"and ruthless attack will overwhelm a leaky Leeds defence, despite a late consolation.
Subtotal1160
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
