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bledge's Tips History

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08 November 2025
15:45 3:45 Doncaster

Master Vintner

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Unexposed. Beckett won it with Lord Melbourne off a similar mark last year. Draw bias is against a few at the top of the market with no winners coming from less than stall 8. Not much pace and could sit forward here. Looked good last time out giving over a stone to the 2nd and had run 3rd behind Scandinavia on debut who's since won the St Ledger.
14:23 2:23 Wincanton

Blueking Doroux

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.00 used instead of 1.73 takenBOG

@2.00

Win

50

Solid G2 horse over the last couple of seasons. Good enough return at Newton Abbot and will come on for that. This is his to lose.
13:45 1:45 Wincanton

Jubilee Alpha

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Achieved by far the most of these. Won a couple of listed mares races and had beat Listentoyourheart twice, who will likely be a nice handicapper this season. Weak race, presuming they want to win and not preserve mark for something she should win.
07 November 2025
14:25 2:25 Exeter

Kalif Du Berlais

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Not a certain runner, theyre walking the track and hoping for it to coe abit softer but at this stage would have to be the bet. Hes a G1 winner and though of as a CHampion Chase horse later down the line, JPR One overrated.
02 November 2025
00:25 00:25 Del Mar

Cinderellas Dream

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Appleby has a great record over here. Genuinely surprised if she doesn't go off as favorite. 2nd in this last year when very unlucky having been stuck in traffic. See the Fire is obviously a decent horse; however, has repeatedly failed at the top level, was disappointing not to win the G1 at Longchamp, and she's only 3/16 career, 2 of which at York.
2 members found this comment useful
01 November 2025
21:41 21:41 Del Mar

Minnie Hauk

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Another who should just be too good for the rest. Rebels Romance is obviously worthy of respect; however, it would never in a million years finish 2nd in an Arc and has repeatedly proved not to be a G1 horse in the UK. Minnie quite clearly is a G1 horse in the UK. Lost a bit of weight traveling over; however, is allegedly fine now and should be good enough here.
2 members found this comment useful
31 October 2025
23:05 23:05 Del Mar

Precise

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.20

Void

0

Looked very good in winning the Fillies Mile. That will possibly turn out to have been a pretty poor race. However, the manner in which she won was very impressive nonetheless. Previously won the Moyglare, which definitely looks good form. Venetian Sun in 3rd had won the Prix Morny from Gstaad and the Doc G2 from subsequent G2 winner and G1 3rd Royal Fixation. Has poor draw to overcome, but they've done it before and I can't see anything in here that should even get close. Overpriced and should be odds on.
1 member found this comment useful
21:45 21:45 Del Mar

Brussels

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

15

Interesting that Christophe rides with Wayne on the favorite. The draw should be fine, presuming they try to make all and could be difficult to peg back as a result.
15:47 3:47 Down Royal

Romeo Coolio

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

36

G1 winner last season, won here on hurdles debut by 18L. Ran well behind two decent horses in big G1s last season, 7L behind Kopek Des Bordes in the Supreme and 7L behind Salvator Mundi in the Aintree Novice G1. Fences should suit, as should step up in trip.
14:37 2:37 Down Royal

The Yellow Clay

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@1.73

Void

0

Gordon's record at this meeting is very good. Form behind The New Lion is solid and had won a G1, G2, and G3 last year in the build-up to that. 8/11 is generous.
26 October 2025
15:30 3:30 Aintree

Serious Challenge

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Fergals won this the last twice, comes with another with a decent chance here. Had been available at 5/1 in the week and was much more appealing at that price but will put up nonetheless. Some very solid flat form in Group/Listed events including 3.25L behind Auguste Rodin and 5L behind Kyprios. 3/5 over jumps including 9L win to Friday's 3rd Bowensonfire. Also has form with Give It To Me Oj in novice champs final handicap hurdle which was a solid enough handicap debut. Extra 4f here should suit.
25 October 2025
16:25 4:25 Doncaster

El Burhan

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.00

Void

0

They seem to have got to grips with how he needs to be ridden now, and Billy won on him last time. Won on GS, so can be somewhat optimistic about heavy. Sire's had heavy winners, as has dam's sire. Boughey said he could be better than a handicapper last time, and he does look the sort to win a decent one at some point.
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham

Long Draw

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

5

Being aimed at the Pertemps according to Olly Murphy. Both trainer and jock are in great form currently. C and D winner. Some solid handicap form in the book, likes it here and with this being a Pertemps qualifier, I would imagine he's nailed on to be in the 4 really. Whether they're trying to win or just qualify here is unknown, but we know he'll be relatively fit. With him being set to miss the winter in favor of better ground, they might like to get a win in early.
1 member found this comment useful
24 October 2025
15:18 3:18 Doncaster

Rogue Diplomat

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@5.00

Win

120

CD suits those coming from behind. Lots of pace on, so a collapse is likely. CD winner who only seems to do enough, won on GS here last time and has no form on softer than that. However, can be optimistic with sire Calyx progeny having a good record on Heavy, and dam's sire Galileo's progeny certainly don't hate it. Drawn with First Ambition, Gweedore, and Balmacara who are all likely to be prominent, so shouldn't end up too far behind. Likely to be around in the finish, and with 4 places, each way is a solid bet at 4s.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Cheltenham

Un Sens A La Vie

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

Bumper Win has had the 2nd bought by JP and 3rd bought to go to G Elliot. Won bumper in February and then returned this season with an easy 7.5L hurdle win at Market Rasen. That form is unlikely to amount to anything, but the manner he did it was impressive, and they think a lot of him at home. Willy Twiston said he's one of their best, and they originally planned to go to the Supreme Trial at the Paddy Power meeting. However, they said they would check entries for this, and I presume they're running because they think they have the winner. One they have mapped out for Cheltenham and the Formby, so he's obviously showing something at home and could be the one with a bit of star quality in here.
1 member found this comment useful
18 October 2025
16:05 4:05 Ascot

Ombudsman

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

8/12 aged 4+, 5/12 favs, 6/12 top 3 in the market. 11/12 rated 117+. Not sure the trends are really relevant this year seeing as it's usually run on soft ground. Consistent all season, CD winner and beat Delacroix easily by 3.5L in the Juddmonte, was giving Delacroix 7lbs there and had been giving him even more when beaten a neck at Sandown. Only gives 4lbs now and it's hard to see that overturned considering Godolphin have another pacemaker in and should be run to suit. Economics returning after 364 days off in best form would be dangerous, but it would be a huge performance to win first time out. So Calandagan is probably the main danger. However, I just don't think he's as good as some people make out and 1m4f seems to see him to best effect.
1 member found this comment useful
15:25 3:25 Ascot

Field Of Gold

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

8/12 winners were 3yo. Had looked very good in Irish Guineas win after hard luck in the English version. Followed that up with a huge performance in the St James's Palace at Royal Ascot. Disappointing at 1/3 next time in the Sussex; however, was lame the following morning and has been off since. A line through the 3rd, Henri Matisse, would have seen him winning that had he run to form, so I think it should be forgiven, all things considered. Looked good in his prep in the vids released this week, and presuming he returns ready, should be good enough.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Ascot

Estrange

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

On paper, looks between the top 2 in the market here. Ran 3.5L 2nd to Minnie Hauk at York on GF, which wouldn't have suited. A repeat of that would have seen her finish in the places in the Arc and looks the strongest form coming in. Only concern would be if the ground is too good for her. However, at 4/1, has to be taken a chance on. I think she'll be very, very good when she gets her softer ground, and this is just a matter of if she handles it or not.
13:30 1:30 Ascot

Words Of Truth

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Nice addition to the card, and one would imagine they'll be building it up to G1 status over the years. Beat Into The Sky in the Mill Reef, who was bought by Mrs. Tabor after an impressive 7.5L debut, and both of those look potentially good horses. Whichever way you look at it, there's a G2 winner in a conditions race here, and it would be difficult to oppose.
11 October 2025
16:50 4:50 Newmarket

Celandine

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Been running well with the boys the last two times. 4.75L behind Asfoora at York over 5f. Was always better over 6 last season. Beat a nose at Chester, which was quite unlucky, and the return run at York was a pretty solid return. The one to beat dropped down to a Fillies Listed race.
15:15 3:15 York

Strike Red

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

CD favors high draws and closers. Strong pace on here, so it should set up well for one coming from off the pace. Won this last year off 93 after an equally poor run at Ayr, back down to 93 here and has been running quite well all season off a higher mark. Hasn't always had races pan out in the right way for him, so he has had excuses a few times. But CD run behind 1.25L Elmonjed off this weight reads well. Has followed pretty much the same path as last year, and they were quoted after winning this as "he feels like a Group horse and he's a top-end handicapper. There's plenty to look forward to." Just think he's too big a price at 20s with PP to 6 places. A lot at the front of the market won't be favored by the pace collapse. Having a nice-sized bet here.
2 members found this comment useful
10 October 2025
16:45 4:45 Newmarket

Falakeyah

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Another who's arguably way too big despite being the favorite. CD Pretty Polly's win back in May was extremely impressive. 3.25L back to Life Is Beautiful in 2nd, who's since held form at Listed/Group level. Qilin Queen in 3rd is a Listed and G2 winner, and Sand Gazelle in 4th (2nd favorite here) has won a Listed race herself. Was talked about for the Oaks after that but didn't go with fears she wouldn't stay, then missed the French Oaks with a setback and returned in the Coronation at Royal Ascot. Went off 5/2 2nd favorite there, however, did disappoint. I don't know whose suggestion it was to drop back to a mile to take on established Group 1 horses and Classic winners on her 3rd start, but it was a ridiculous one and can be written off. Presuming she's back ready for business here, she should take all the beating.
14:57 2:57 Newmarket

Precise

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.88 on 08/10 at 13:470.10 deduction for Queen Of Hawaii@9.00 withdrawn at 11:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.88 x (1-0.10) = 2.69

@2.69

Win

84

One you can be fairly certain will go off shorter than the current 15/8. Unbeaten in 3 since debut defeat over 6f. Group 3 win beating Moon Target looked very good at the time but has been let down by the 2nd slightly since. Regardless, she followed that up with a Group 1 win in the Moyglare. That form reads very well with the 2nd a G2 winner, the 3rd winning the G1 Prix Morny, and 4th Composing having previously won a G2 and since finished 3rd in the 30 runner Goffs Million. Could be any amount of improvement from others in here. However, is certainly the form pick and should arguably be closer to evens than 2/1.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 York

Ghost Mode

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Impressive when finally settling last time at Chester. Easy win by 5.5L, possibly looks better due to the pace bias at Chester and having led did hold a pretty big advantage. However, he broke the 2yo track record that day. That was on GS and is a fair performance to do that. Previously ran well in a Goodwood Maiden behind Isaac Newton. Didn't back that up the next time having finished 2nd to Mayaada at 1/3 but hung all over the place there and maybe he just needed a few starts to come to terms with the task. Receiving weight from a fair few of these and can go well.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 York

Northern Express

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@8.00

Win

10

CD favors front runners. He's the only one in here. Ran a decent enough race at Ayr last time, possibly as soft as he'd want it. Last won July 24 off 102, down to 97 here and has run some pretty good races this season, so within reach. Record of 3/5/1 here from 17 starts. This is not a strong race for the level and is a joke of a price at 5/1 with 5 places each way.
1 member found this comment useful

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