bledge

Worked in Property Investment then Financial Analysis whilst running a system in the background to find winners before leaving work to pursue the horses full time. Manage my bankroll similar to a dividend portfolio wherein profits are reinvested monthly (loss deducted) and stakes realigned to be 5% of the total. Avg 27% monthly gain on stakes (bet £1 return £1.27) over the last 12 months, 20% all time and 56% across festivals. 10/12 last months in profit producing 411% growth over the year. 28% 1st strike rate, 57% of all bets hit the top 3. Like to find favs that should win and rarely back out of the top 3 in the betting.

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bledge's Tips History

All tips
All sports
22 March 2025
15:15 3:15 Newbury

Jasmine Bliss

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

11L easy winner LTO. Apart from the top 2, this race looks fairly weak but has been one to throw up shocks in the past. EW 5 places should at least place and worth a go.

Siog Geal

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 21/03 at 13:440.15 deduction for Crazierthandaisy@6.50 withdrawn at 14:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.15) = 3.98

@3.97

Win

148

PTP winner, first time up to 2m4f and likely to benefit from it. 2nd in a Listed NHF at Cheltenham when staying on well.
15:00 3:00 Kelso

Surrey Belle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

3-time flat winner before switch to hurdles. 2nd on debut behind Siog Geal, 2nd again before winning 2 on the bounce by a combined 60L. Neither were strong races, but the manner in which she won the latter deserves a look. Adrian Keatley thinks she'll end up a 130 hurdler and be an even better chaser. There was talk of targeting Cheltenham with her if there was give in the ground, and if not, come here, as she has. The potential class act here and with 4 places around is worth a bet.
13:50 1:50 Kelso

Wyenot

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

CD winner who won at this level 9L from the 2nd, West Balboa 14L 3rd, and Gale Mahler 62L 4th. Followed that up with G2 3rd behind Jetara next time. 3rd in a Listed Mares novice behind Golden Ace. Under a penalty here but should be good enough to win again.
13:35 1:35 Bangor on Dee

Thunder Rock

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Ran alright twice in G2s this season. Drop in grade now back in a handicap, but if he returns to anywhere near his best, this should be his for the taking. Dual Listed winner, including 7L win to Minella Drama, Group 1 placed, and a winner at this level. Lewis Saunders takes off 7lb.
21 March 2025
15:20 3:20 Musselburgh

Belfrina

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Winner on the flat before switching to hurdles. Won Fillies Listed race since by 1.5L, fighting strongly to the line, and the front two came 16L clear of the third. Top weight here but brings in the strongest form. Pipe's form may be the worry.
16 March 2025
15:45 3:45 Curragh

Casanova

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

0.5L 3rd in this in 2023 off 97, followed that up with 4th 3.25L last year off 85. Both times at big odds. Now down to 82. May be a bit old now at 9, however, Adrian McGuinness has run 33 in this with 2 wins and 11 places. Good form on soft and heavy, so ground will suit. This race looks weak too. Worth a go with 6 places each way.
15 March 2025
15:00 3:00 Uttoxeter

Knockanore

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

2/12 winners fav 5/12 top 3. 10/12 carried 10st12 or less, only 2/12 won LTO, 3/12 won in the Welsh National. Doesn't exactly fit the trends. However, last run was so impressive. Good to soft ground, won 16L from O'Connell on first step up above 3m, raised 10lbs as a result but had plenty in hand that day, has C form. Unlikely to be his ceiling. Freddie Mitchell claims 5lbs again.
14 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham

Wodhooh

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionOdds taken at 5.50Odds taken at 5.50

@5.50

Win

135

0/12 winners were favorites, 4/12 top 3 in the betting. 9/12 carried 11st3-11st9. 12/12 rated 135+. G. Elliot won 3/12. 6/12 won last time out. Potential to be a very good mare, form beating Joyese has worked out very well. Been left off since to mind her mark, CD winner and 6/6 over hurdles. Kopek De Mee could be a beast, but these French imports have a terrible record first time out here, and at 5/2 is obviously not a bet. Take No Chances was 2L 3rd that day and since beat Kargese and finished 3rd in the Mares Hurdle this week. Should be favorite.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Galopin Des Champs

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

12/12 aged 7-9. 6/12 favorites, 8/12 top 3 in betting. 9/12 won last time out. 5/12 ran in the Irish Gold Cup. 12/12 had course form. 12/12 won a G1, 11/12 rated 164+. Won this the last twice against much the same horses. Will win again.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham

Kargese

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Win

105

9/12 winners aged 5-6. 2/12 favs, 4/12 op 3 in the betting. 11/12 rated 134-141. Mullins won 5/12. Doesn't meet the stats and it's a race that usually throws up bigger priced winners. However, she won a G1 1.25L to Storm Heart, finished 1.5L behind Majborough here, finished 3.25L 2nd to Sir Gino at Aintree, and then went on to win a 2nd G1 last season at Punchestown. 2nd on seasonal debut behind Take No Chances, she looked the winner that day but was far too keen and looked in need of the run. The winner finished 3rd in the Mares Hurdle this week, so the form isn't bad at all. Wouldn't be taking the 7/2 now but have backed ew at 14s, 12s, and 8s.
13 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham

Johnnywho

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionOdds taken at 6.50

@6.50

Win

2

A bet based on potential improvement of the step up in trip. Looks like he would need 4 miles, let alone 3m2f. However, if there's one in here who you know is going to run a decent race and stay on very well up the hill, it's this lad. 11/12 carried 11st+, so high weight wouldn't be a huge concern, but even carrying that is potentially very well handicapped.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham

Gemirande

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

9/12 carried 10st8-11st4. 3/12 fast, 4/12 top 3 in the betting. 11/12 rated 140+. 9/12 aged 7-10. Has won here when beating Madara. The last two haven't gone to plan, with errors seemingly taking a lot out. Could run well at a price. Also backed Masaccio.

Masaccio

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Solid form behind The Jukebox Man twice and behind Jagwar, meets the stats and could run well at a decent price. Also backed Gemirande.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Teahupoo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Gordans won the last two, including last year with this one. It looks again like a weak race, and if conditions suit and he runs his race, I think he's just more classy than the rest. Form behind Lossie over too short is solid.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham

Fact To File

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.50 used instead of 2.25 takenBOG

@2.50

Win

75

12/12 aged 7-9. 5/12 fav, 10/12 top 3 in the betting. 12/12 had 2 runs at Cheltenham. 11/12 had won a Graded race. Originally planned for the Gold Cup, however, dropped down to this after 2 defeats to Galopin Des Champs. The race has turned out more complex than I imagined it would. However, he comes in with what is likely the best form, is rightfully fav, and Mullins has won this 5 of the last 12, mostly with less talented horses than this.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Jeriko Du Reponet

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionOdds taken at 6.50

@6.50

Win

2

Only 2/12 were fav, 5/12 top 3 in the betting. 8/12 carried below 11st 4lbs. 3/12 won LTO. 6/12 ran in a Qualifier LTO, only 1 won. 7/12 had a run here. 11/12 rated 138 or less. 10/12 had 3 runs this season. Beat Secret Squirrel 1.75L and Lump Sum 1.25L last season. PU over fences on seasonal debut, then ran a decent 5th in the Gerry Feilden behind decent horses when staying on well up the run in. 3rd last time when not really given a chance and staying on well after mistakes. Comes here well handicapped for solid connections and with 6 places around, is unlikely to be out of those.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham

Aurora Vega

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

3/9 winners were favorites, 6/9 winners were in the top 3 in the betting. 2/9 ran in the Solernia at Fairyhouse, both won. Only 2/9 had C form. 7/9 were rated 135+ and 5/9 had a Graded win. Mullins won 5/9. Townend's pick over Maughreen, decent 1.75L win in a G3 last time out when expected to come on drastically from that. Overpriced.
1 member found this comment useful
12 March 2025
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Energumene

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

5/12 winners fav, 11/12 top 3. 6/12 won LTO, 7/12 ran in the Clarence House; however, only 4 of the 7 won that. 11/12 had C form. 10/12 rated 162+, 11/12 had a G1 win. I know he's old now at 11, and he was firmly put in his place by Jonbon in the Clarence House. I can't help feeling like a return to Cheltenham may prompt his best. He has won this race twice in '22 and '23 and crushed a decent field on his return after a year away in the Hilly Way. He had Babridge beat, who then went on to win the King George, Dino Blue 10L behind, who's fav for Mares Chase, and 3rd Appreciate It hacked up in Jan. He's certainly not turned mug overnight. The day Jonbon beat him was officially Good ground, which we know this lad doesn't like. And whether it's my Twitter feed getting in my head, I do feel Jonbon isn't as good here at Cheltenham. Surely he'll finish top 3?
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Impose Toi

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionOdds taken at 9.00

@9.00

Win

15

1/12 winners were favorites, 3/12 top 3 in the betting. 9/12 carried 10st6-11st8, 5/12 won last time out. 10/12 rated 140+. Likely the hardest race to find the winner, alongside the Fred Winter. However, Nicky has won this 3 of the last 12. C D winner whose return to action in November was quite impressive, 1.25L clear from Guard The Moon and 6.5L to Inthewaterside. The latter had previously beaten Jagwar and had decent form behind Kateira and Pic Roc, also won since. He's allegedly very well regarded at home. The initial plan had been over fences but wasn't very good, so the switch back to hurdles seems to have worked out fine. Has some decent form himself, neck behind Luccia over 2m, and I can't help feeling there's been some sort of plan here, possibly not run since November to keep the mark down.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham

Ballyburn

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

6/12 winners were favorites, 9/12 top 3 in betting. 8/12 won last time out, 11/12 had course form. 9/12 rated 153+, 9/12 had previously won a Graded race. Has clearly not turned out quite as good as initially presumed, but the step up is sure to suit having won a PTP. In all fairness, his defeat to Sir Gino probably wasn't a bad run at all. Still has a tendency to run keen, but I'd assume that's been ironed out for here. With them expecting him to make a Gold Cup horse at some point, he should really be winning this. 13-length win here last season, so we know he handles it. Can't see any ground being an issue and still some juice in his price at 6/5.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham

Final Demand

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

6/12 winners were favorites, 10/12 were in the top 3 in the betting. 10/12 won last time out. Only 3/12 had course form. 12/12 had 2+ hurdle runs. 12/12 were rated 146+. 10/12 won a Graded race. I will preface with The New Lion does look exciting. However, the Challow Form is notorious for not working out. Of the last 12 winners, only 1 won next time, 9/12 ran at Cheltenham next, and not 1 won. Some decent horses included in that list too, with Bravemansgame, Stage Star, Hermes Allen, and Champ among them. Worth noting, Hermes Allen won in very much the same style as The New Lion, officially described as a canter. Regardless of the stats, nothing behind has done much to boost the form, and I'm happy to take on. Final Demand was very impressive at the DRF, pulling 12L away from Wingmen and the Champion Bumper winner, and was the best winner of the race for 10 years. Willie has won 5/12 and has to be sided with again here.
1 member found this comment useful
11 March 2025
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham

Beyond Your Dreams

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

1/12 were favorite, 4/12 top 3 in betting. 9/12 carried 10st6-11st5. 9/12 rated 122-134. 11/12 ran 3 this season. I will preface with the fact I've backed 3 here at decent prices each way: This Lad, Total Look, and Puturhandstogether. 0.5L behind Total Look in receipt of 3lbs, staying on well up the Navan Hill and just looking to be caught for a bit of pace at a crucial stage. In receipt here of 9lbs and would likely turn that form around.

Total Look

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Have backed each way along with Total Look and Puturhandstogether, all at much nicer prices than now available. Truth be told, I probably wouldn't be getting stuck into any at current prices with this race always being a bit of a dart throw race. However, ran a good race when beating Beyond Your Dreams by 0.5L. Followed that up with a good run here in the Triumph Trial when a neck 2nd to a dead heat. 3rd run finished 2L 3rd behind Slurrican. That was on heavy and did include some bad jumping, but after ending up practically at the back, stayed on most the best to finish where he did, not given a hard time at all. There was an enquiry post-race into how he'd been ridden, and I think the fact the money has come following that is quite interesting. Reading between the lines, you have to wonder where and why it has come.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Constitution Hill

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

9/12 winner where favorite, 10/12 top 3 in the betting. 11/12 won last time out, 3/12 ran in the Kempton Xmas Hurdle, all 3 won that. 11/12 had C form, 8/12 having a win here. 10/12 rated 161+, 11/12 had won a G1 and 11/12 had 2 runs this season. No doubt Brighterdaysahead is a serious mare, but the boy's unbeaten, has looked seriously impressive several times including Supreme win 22L from Jonbon. Henderson's won 4/12 whereas Elliott has 0. She was fairly poor here last year when beaten by Golden Ace. I just couldn't possibly go against him back at the scene of his most devastating performances and with fancy prices post Gallop disaster, my opinion won't be changed now.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham

Kopek Des Bordes

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@2.00

Win

50

4/12 winners were favorites, 11/12 were in the top 3 in the betting. 10/12 won last time out, 5/12 ran in the Ireland Novice at Leopardstown, 4 won and 1 placed. Only 4/12 had course form. 10/12 were rated 148+. 11/12 had won a graded race. Mullins has won 5/12. 13-length bumper winner on Heavy March 24. Returned for the season in December with a 2.75-length win from Kawaboomga, who followed that up with a 1.5-length win over William Munny. Didn't jump with fluency that day. Followed that up with a 13-length win in the G1 Ireland Novice. That was a serious performance, having jumped better and was made favorite for here straight after, quickly being backed into evens/odds on. Earned a rating of 157 for that, 9 clear of Romeo Coolio and will take some stopping here.
2 members found this comment useful
05 March 2025
15:42 3:42 Lingfield

Rajeko

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Novice winner before 3L 4th to Whistlejacket in Newmarket G2, 0.5L behind Aomori City too. Stepped up to 7f next time when 13L behind The Lion In Winter, Wimbledon Hawkeye, and Ruling Court. Proceeded to win another novice on the AW at 1m before travelling to an Al Uqda G2 where he ran 2.5L 2nd to Al Qudra with Shadow Army behind. That's all pretty decent form, certainly the best on offer here, and with already being proven on the AW and a run 17 days ago, should really come out on top here. Obviously, there could be any levels of improvement among the rest as 3yos, but on known form, he's the pick.
1 member found this comment useful
01 March 2025
14:05 2:05 Doncaster

World Of Fortunes

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

87

Listed winner back in October when 6L from Just For Love. That one since placed again at Listed level and 3rd in a G3. 3rd in a G3 herself over 2m4f, which is likely too short, and then 6th in Leopardstown 2m6f G1 behind Final Demand. She ran on well there again, giving encouragement for 3m where she's already won a maiden. Has the penalty to concede here, but I doubt she'd be making the trip from Ireland without her chance and is rightfully fav.
28 February 2025
16:45 4:45 Lingfield

Charlottes Web

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Won 4 on the bounce on the AW since September, including the Winter Oaks Handicap. Looked to be winning by any distance last time until fading late on and almost being caught, worth noting she never wins by huge margins. However, she'd done well that day to get the lead from stall 11 and has only gone up 3 lbs as a result. Doesn't have the dodgy draw to deal with here, and with the AW finals day in mind, is worth a go again at 4s.
16:10 4:10 Lingfield

Roaring Legend

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.00 takenBOG

@4.50

Win

175

Up 4lbs for 0.5L Class 2 Handicap win at Newcastle. It was a decent time there, and he won with way more in hand than the distance would suggest. Appears to have really put things together since the switch to Hugo Palmer and looks value to follow up here where presumably well handicapped.
14:25 2:25 Lingfield

Aramis Grey

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

1L 2nd in this last year off 1 lb lower. Unlucky 5th on stable debut when not getting a clear run. Appears to hold every chance again this year.
23 February 2025
15:00 3:00 Fontwell

Salver

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Likely to once again be a close finish between Salver and Nemean Lion. Salver was 0.5L 2nd last time but now has 3lbs in hand. I would expect over a slightly shorter trip, Salver would come out on top this time. Conditions are in favor, worth a go.
14:50 2:50 Naas

Fleur In The Park

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

On Ors is 15 lbs clear of the field here. Solid form in graded races behind The Yellow Clay twice and The Big Westerner. Is likely no monster and likely that Mullins' Joystick will be an improver, but on current knowledge, simply has to be a bet at 13/8 as the only one with any real form.
22 February 2025
16:35 4:35 Fairyhouse

Bioluminescence

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Group 3 winner over hurdles, started this season with a 3L G2 win over fences. Followed it up under an 8lbs penalty, 3.5L 2nd to Dancing City in a G3. Soft seems to really suit her, and despite having to concede weight once again, a repeat of that performance should see her winning here en route to the Mares Chase.
15:15 3:15 Southwell

Royal Champion

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

Likely going to fall between the first two here with Royal Champion coming in on the back of an easy Listed win to Tyrrhenian Sea 1.75L on the Lingfield AW, 8L back to the field. Tyrrhenian Sea followed that up with a 2.75L Listed win to Maljoom, who was no match for the winner. Had previously been running at Group level in Aus but didn't really make a mark, G2 2nd being his best result. But before that, had finished 2nd to Nations Pride in a Canadian G1 and back on the turf here has multiple Group places and Listed wins. Military Academy is the main danger for the Gosdens, who know how to win this race, but his best form was a Listed 2nd to Burdett Road, who was no monster on the flat. Whilst his Kempton AW Listed win in Nov reads well, it doesn't carry much substance; however, he was gelded since.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Kempton

Miami Magic

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

4/12 winners were favorites, 12/12 top 3 in the betting, 10/12 rated 130+. Only 1 was a graded winner and 10/12 had 3 seasonal runs. PTP winner before bumper form was nothing to write home about. However, since over hurdles has won 10L then 12L giving away 6lbs to the field. Was aimed at the Formby G1 at Aintree after that where he finished 2.25L to Potters Charm on ground likely softer than ideal. Squeezed out on the turn but remained in contention to the last when 2L down and having no extra. Drop back to 2m will be better and the form of that has worked out relatively well with Good and Clever being 3rd in Leopardstown G1 behind Kopek Des Bordes and Country Mile having previously beaten Wingmen 7L. Ironically, it was the winner Potters Charm who let it down slightly finishing 2nd to Sixmilebridge but allegedly he wasn't fully fit and nonetheless finished in front of decent horses with Bill Joyce and Quebecois behind.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Kempton

Rubaud

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

5/12 winners were favorites, 10/12 top 3 in betting. 3/12 won last time out, 9/12 had course form, 9/12 rated 142+, 8/12 graded winners, and 7/12 trained by Nicholls. Based on Nicholls' record alone, he's probably the bet at 13/8. However, he has won at Listed and G2 level this season, including a 1.75L win over Brentford Hope, giving him 6lbs. Since then, he fell behind Sir Gino when finishing 3rd, pitched in at likely too high a level for chase debut, and then 1L behind L'Eau Du Sud in the Kingmaker, when 16L from the rest of the field on softer ground than ideal. That looks like the best form against a bunch of decent handicappers and Mark Of Gold, who he's in receipt of 5lbs from and who isn't as good. Step up to 2m4f will undoubtedly see improvement, and seeing as Nicholls knows what it takes, here is the one to side with.
2 members found this comment useful
21 February 2025
15:00 3:00 Exeter

Dont Rightly Know

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

Appears a much better horse this year, winning a Class 3 Handicap by 10L before stepping up in grade to easily win a Listed race by 1.25L from Apple Away and Fantastic Lady (Lady Balko 45L behind). That was on soft, which appeared to suit well, but she traveled all over them up until the last and was eased at the line. Apple Away was since 2nd in the Haydock National Trial Premier Handicap, 6L back to 3rd, and Fantastic Lady was a G2 winner in April last year, so the form has substance. Has the penalty to deal with here, but it's not a strong field. La Malmason is likely the biggest danger, but she's just been beaten by 6L at the level, and unless the step up in trip prompts significant improvement, she should be had the measure of.
20 February 2025
15:25 3:25 Punchestown

Jade De Grugy

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.83 used instead of 1.57 takenBOG

@1.83

Win

41

5/8 winners were fav, 8/8 top 3 in the betting. 4/8 had a previous graded win, 6/8 rated 142+. 4/5 coming into this, her only defeat being 4th in the Dawn Run behind Golden Ace and Brighterdaysahead. That turned into a dash and the 2m1f would have been short for her regardless, but it's worked out well nonetheless. Stepped back up to 2m4f in the Honeysuckle Mares G1 a few weeks later where she won easily, going away by 2.25L. Realistically, she is just better than the rest of these, and if she's fit and ready to go, will pick it up en route to the Mares at Cheltenham.
14:55 2:55 Punchestown

William Munny

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

36

3rd in Punchestown Champ Bumper behind The Yellow Clay and Redemption Day, Romeo Coolio in behind. That race didn't suit, so did well to get 3rd really, and the form of that has worked out okay. Seasonal debut 7L behind Workahead, bad mistake at the 4th, but he still wouldn't have won, and whilst it's unclear how good that form is, Workahead was put straightaway for the Supreme, so presumably held in high regard. Followed that up with a 1.5L 2nd to Kawaboomga when 22L clear of the rest of the field. He'd previously ran within 2.75L of Kopek Des Bordes and was talked about for the Turners, again held in high regard. Beat C'Est Ta Chance on debut off level weights, meets again here in receipt of 4lbs.

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