bledge
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bledge's Tips History
13 September 2025
17:30 5:30 Leopardstown
Delacroix
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.00 used instead of 2.75 takenBOG
@3.00
Win
100
6/12 winning favs, 11/12 top 3 in the market. 5/12 ran in the Juddmonte. 11/12 rated 117+, 11/12 won a Group 1 race. 8/12 aged 3yo. 5/12 won by O'Brien. Would imagine they've had this in mind a while. O'Brien seemed very confident about taking on Ombudsman again. Can't really fault his form bar Derby flop. Anmaat biggest danger with the soft ground.
15:40 3:40 Doncaster
Scandinavia
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.00 used instead of 2.38 takenBOG
@3.00
Win
100
6/12 winning favs, 10/12 top 3 in the betting. O'Brien trained 5/12. 10/12 had won a Group race. Couldn't have been any more impressive in the Goodwood Cup or at Newmarket. Ground unlikely to be an issue, nor will trip. Has to be the one to beat here.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster
Shadow Of Light
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
4/12 winning favorites but 11/12 top 3 in the market. Only 2/12 won last time out. 11/12 rated 110+. Realistically, a Guineas 3rd should probably be winning this regardless. Multiple G1 winner at 2. Only bad run this season was 5th at Ascot over 6f. Evidently didn't like it much that day and was much better only being beaten 0.5L in the Prix Jean Prat. Winner of that has since placed in a G1 again, as has the 2nd and 3rd. Probably decent form, drops in class to a Group 2 now and is the one to beat.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Doncaster
Air Force One
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Wouldn't be one that really fits the trends here, being quite low rated compared to 9/12 being between 92 and 105. Despite this, it's pretty hard to not feel as though he's been unlucky the last twice. 3rd behind Trefor at York, going down by 0.75L there, coming from far back and unlucky not to have made it. That's likely to be a good race and suspect the first 3 were all well handicapped. Winner re-opposes here, however, far worse off in the weights having gone up 5lbs for that and unlikely to like the softer ground today. Followed that up a neck 2nd to Alzahir when looking likely to win quite easily before running into another and losing momentum, still picked back up well to run so close. 2.25L back to 3rd. Runs off the same weight here and whilst this is possibly more competitive, there's nothing sticking out as an obviously well handicapped horse. A lot of pace here so should suit one from behind, CD suits that anyway and high draws favored, just about drawn on the higher side. Has pace either side from Eternal Sunshine and Emperor Spirit so should get a nice tow in.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Doncaster
Gewan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
6/12 winning favs, 11/12 top 3 in the betting. 8/12 won LTO. 7/12 rated 101+. Nice win LTO 1.5L from Italy, who previously finished 2nd in the Superlative. Gosden horse could be anything, so can't exactly be written off. However, if the fav was trained by Godolphin or O'Brien, wouldn't he be shorter?
Subtotal50
12 September 2025
17:20 5:20 Doncaster
Bob Mali
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 11/09 at 19:200.10 deduction for Daring Legend@9.00 withdrawn at 15:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.10) = 11.80
@11.80
Win
29
One that I've been waiting on some soft ground for since April's seasonal debut. Record of 1112 over 6f on ground softer than good, that's including a Class 2 win and 2nd behind Double Rush. The latter race has had the winner place twice more in Class 2s, the 3rd win a Class 2 next time out, and the 4th won next time too. Has produced much tamer efforts on good ground since then and subsequently dropped to 4lbs lower than that Newmarket 2nd. Not much pace on, so sitting prominent will be ideal, something he likes to do, and high draws are also favored. Back down in a weaker class here can get his career back on track. Appears forgotten at 12/1 after 4 bad runs and with 5 places around is certainly worth a chance.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster
Sweet William
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Win
69
9/12 winners were 5-7 years old. 8/12 were winning favorites, 12/12 were in the top 3 in the betting. Only 3/12 won last time out. 5/12 ran in the Lonsdale Cup last time out. 10/12 were rated 110+. 8/12 won a Group race. Gosdens won 3/12. Sweet William won this last year on good to soft too by 1 length from Trueshan. Coltrane was 4th then. QUite a week race, quite suprised he isnt evs or odds on yet in all honesty. Ran a great race 2nd to Trawlerman at York, further 4.25L back to Al Nayyir in 3rd. Looked like winning briefly there but was ultimately beat by the better horse. Prefers a bit of juice in the ground, which hell get here. Is really his for the taking this and 11/8 is generous.
Subtotal98
11 September 2025
16:10 4:10 Doncaster
Special Dividend
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.50
Void
0
Won two on the bounce over 6f before stepping up to 7f at York. Finished 3rd there, 2.25L behind Stellar Sunrise. They think the winner could be worthy of black type, and the 2nd has since won a French Listed race. Possibly benefited from the draw bias slightly there; however, still had to come from quite far back and a wide trip, doing by far his best work towards the end. Possibly even better at 1m. Pedigree can give encouragement as to handling softer ground, albeit still Good at the time of writing. Only up 2lbs for that, so unlikely to be too high. Drawn with the pace, so hopefully doesn't sit right up but gets a nice tow into the race. Surprised with one who's done absolutely nothing and been gelded since is fav. Tricky Tell won nicely twice at Chester but was well beaten 12L lto, but likely doesn't stay 7f at this stage.
Subtotal0
07 September 2025
15:00 3:00 York
Air Force One
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Ran on very well last time out after meeting constant trouble. Probably unlikely not to have got there in hindsight and is up 3 lbs as a result. Had my suspicions there that The Man was a quite well-handicapped horse, possibly found the ground a bit too slow according to the trainer. That one will certainly win again though. The winner has shown a decent level of form too. To get so close in a Good Heritage Handicap is always worth noting and should again get a race run to suit. Benefited from a big pace collapse in that and the same will likely occur this day. Low draws and coming from behind favored over CD.
1 member found this comment useful
14:50 2:50 Longchamp
Henri Matisse
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
4/12 winning favs, 9/12 top 3 in market. 5/12 aged 3. 2/12 won LTO. 8/12 Group 1 winners. 11/12 had 4 seasonal runs. Impressive CD win in the French Guineas, then a solid 2nd in St James's Palace Stakes behind Field Of Gold when beating the English 2k Guineas winner into 3rd. Another good run in the Sussex to finish 3rd. That was a weird race and don't think the form can be taken too seriously. However, travels well and has every chance here. Rosallion just seems not to win, so couldn't be backing him. City of York Stakes 4th was disappointing really.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
06 September 2025
16:55 4:55 Ascot
Brazen Bolt
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Small each way here, but I think the price is way off. Bet365 at 18/1 is probably closer to the truth. Won a nice handicap at Goodwood from the front, which can be marked up. The 2nd and 3rd there had run incredibly well at Royal Ascot, the 2nd having won the Holyrood House there. Complete flop next time at York but had excuses. Soft ground is a question mark. Literally no pace on here and can get an easy lead. It is still hard to make all over CD here; however, with 5 places around at a huge price, it is worth a chance.
2 members found this comment useful
16:25 4:25 Ascot
Double Rush
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
This will set up perfectly for one coming from behind. CD favors that, and there's a fair bit of pace, so collapse is likely. I think the jockey booking tells it all here, really. Will be coming late and fast. Won on GS, so soft shouldn't be too much of a problem. Worth a chance.
15:15 3:15 Ascot
Push The Limit
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Looked good winning a Goodwood handicap last time out after taking a big bump coming around the home bend. Main danger likely Tenability; however, would have Marquand onboard if he was the better chance of him and the Reverend with prize money being the same for both races. Appeals as the type with more to come and step up in distance likely to bring even more improvement. Must be well thought of at home having been heavily backed last time out with seemingly no real form.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Haydock
The Reverend
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@5.00
Win
120
Appeals the type to win one of these nice handicaps at some point. Seems to prefer soft ground and the win last time out was nice despite being a poor race. Been hammering it down all night where I live near the course, and looking at the sky, I'd guess more can be expected. Haggas is the master at getting one ready for these sorts of races. Appears to have a lot in favor, and I doubt a mark of 98 is his true potential. Has to be overpriced at 4/1 here.
2 members found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Haydock
Publish
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Apparently highly thought of. Had planned to run in the G3 at Sandown last weekend due to soft ground but would have won on good to soft, so should be fine here. 16/1 for the Guineas next year looks ridiculous at this point; however, could prove to be up to the level. Very unlucky on debut and rightfully followed up next time to win by 1.25L, 4.25L back to 3rd, from a Godolphin horse who won by 7.5L next time out. That maiden produced Guineas winners Kameko and Ruling Court. Could have a bright future ahead, and this doesn't look overly strong.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-80
05 September 2025
16:40 4:40 Ascot
Greys Monument
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Very hard to win from the front here anyway, 24th out of 25 in the country. However, in this, there's 5 who like to go forward. Pace collapse is almost inevitable. Four of those five appear to be making up the front end of the market, so it's a race worth having a punt into because everything else must be overpriced. Greys Monument has been sitting back over the last few races, is drawn near enough to the pace here that he should not be left behind, and on his third run could be coming to form. Won here at this meeting last year off 105 on Soft; that was over 7f, and he actually made all that day, so can be marked up. Followed that up with a Listed win, then appears to have lost form since. Had excuses on first run of the season at Haydock in May when on Good ground 0/4, and then started to return to life at Newcastle last time out when 8th behind Native Warrior off 107. Weakened there after being outpaced, and return to 1m should suit. Worth a chance in a market that appears all wrong.
Subtotal-50
29 August 2025
16:08 4:08 Thirsk
Strong Warrior
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 27/08 at 21:510.15 deduction for Fine Interview@6.00 withdrawn at 07:170.00 deduction for Sixtygeesbaby @13.000 withdrawn at 08:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.15) = 5.25
@6.00
Void
0
Low draws and front runners favored over CD. Quite a few in here who'd like to be forward, so it may pay to go for one sat just off the pace. Made all 3 starts ago at Pontefract, however, has sat just in touch the last twice. Windsor form behind So Darn Hot is fairly solid. However, the main piece is the 11th in the Commonwealth Cup at Ascot. Was traveling well still when squeezed from both sides about 2f out and losing momentum completely. Likely wouldn't have won regardless, but for a first run in Group company and only 4th start to be a Royal Ascot G1, I don't think it was a bad run at all. If you look at the horses finishing around him, including Sky Majesty, Arabie, Arabian Dusk, and Jonquil, all decent Group level horses, any one of those would be much shorter than 5/1 in a race like this. Is worth a chance back in calmer waters in a not-so-strong Handicap. Pedigree gives encouragement for step up to 7f.
Subtotal0
23 August 2025
17:20 5:20 York
Sir Busker
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Won this last year off 5lbs more at 105. Admittedly, hasn't looked as good this season, and I think I read he's to be retired after this race but has shown signs of life. Namely, the Sandown 2nd, only beaten a neck. Certainly not a strong bet, however, there's reason to think he's overpriced and is 2/6 here with a further 2 placed attempts.
15:35 3:35 York
Roaring Legend
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
2/12 winning favorites, 5/12 top 3 in the betting. 10/12 carried 9st1 - 9st9. 11/12 aged 4-6. 10/12 rated 101+. Again, a small bet. However, I still feel like we've not seen the best of him on the turf yet. Had been massively impressive on the AW around 2m, then appeared to go off the boil. Wind surgery then returned, traveling like the winner before fading late at Newcastle. Dropped to 1m6f at Newmarket following that and ran a pretty decent race to finish 4th. Possibly needs to be carrying a bit less weight, but he was being talked about as a Melbourne Cup horse at one stage, and I struggle to see a trainer getting that so wrong. He must be doing something right at home. Melbourne Cup presumably no longer the plan, but I still believe he's up to winning something at this level. Admittedly, unlikely to be today, but is never a 40/1 shot and with 6 places around each way is worth chancing.
15:00 3:00 York
Rosallion
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Fairly unlucky the last two times, is up to this level. Surely will win one this season and is a fair price to do so in what is probably the weakest race he's contested in a while. Whether the drop to 7f is going to be beneficial remains to be seen, but he has won twice at the trip.
14:05 2:05 Goodwood
Gorak
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Only a small each-way play here. However, he should get his own way in the lead. CD doesn't have a real bias either way. There may be some too good in here, namely the front two in the market. However, he has a chance to place. He hasn't been running badly this season either way, and a mark of 92 isn't too high. Maybe he just doesn't like to win, but being a front runner, it's probably quite difficult to find decent races that suit.
Subtotal-200
22 August 2025
17:20 5:20 York
Fifth Column
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Win
240
CD favours front runners however theres not many in here Big Leader being likley to lead. Have my supsicions this is quite a classy horse in comparison to the rest here. Beat Seraph Gabriel before 4.5L 7th at Ascot when winning his group. FOllowed that up with solid Newmarket win from well fancied Bedouin Prince. 3L 5th latest at Goodwood, didnt run a bad race there taking on the older horses for the first time. Soft ground probably didnt help and had a 3lb pnealty. 2nd has since won at the Shergar Cup. Could simply be to good back in his own age group and 8/1 5 places has to be a good bet.
15:35 3:35 York
Asfoora
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
330
Appears to have been trained with this in mind. Reportedly only half ready for Goodwood run but still ran with credit only beaten 2,25L. Be suprising for her not to get another Group 1 here this season, especially with the standard being as poor as it is. Be amazed if Lady Iman was to win, 2 year olds often struggle in this and one hasnt won for well over 10 years. G M Lyon is 1/23 in GB over the last 5 years another negative.
15:00 3:00 York
Do Or Do Not
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
3/12 winning favs, 8/12 top 3 in the betting, Put simmply his form is just better than the rest here, has ran into one the last 3 times being beaten by Gstaad and twice by Zavateri. .9/12 winners where rated 102= coming in and the other 3 had no rating. Just looks quite a weak renewal and can finally get a win here,
14:25 2:25 York
Trawlerman
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.83 used instead of 1.67 takenBOG
@1.83
Win
41
Gold Cup winner by 7L from Illinois, the 2nds not here today. SHould be easy enough, Sweet William main danger however i still have suspicions he prefers some juice in the ground.
13:50 1:50 York
Champagne Prince
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
0/7 on the turf with only 1 place and is rated 10lbs higher on the AW. Has had excuses hower. Made turf debut in a G3, then beaten over a mile, stepped up to 1m4 and ran a decent race to finish 2nd at Ascot, then non stayer over 1m6f, another decent run at Doncaser. WOn a listed and a Class 2 race on the AW and again made his seasonal turf debut over 1m6f, led, lost a show and faded last 110yards. Newmarket run cam be wrote off but likley didnt stay the 1m6f again. Back to 1m4f here, should get an uncontested lead. Not the strongest race with French Duke being poor both starts this season and the joint fav Mount ATlas up 5lbs and nothing to write home about. has a better chance than the odds would suggest.
Subtotal511
21 August 2025
17:20 5:20 York
Dance In The Storm
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Win
7
CD favors those coming from further back and high draws. Has been improving since Listed AW 11th when traveling in looking like the winner before stopping dead, probably something wrong there. Followed that with an easy 3L win in a Class 3 Handicap at Sandown, then again threw a stinker in when 4L 4th behind Mudbir as 11/8 fav, keen and hung right there, probably worth writing off. Put in a much better effort when 2nd to Mudbir again in a Class 2 at Goodwood. There's an argument there that the places should have been overturned having taken a "hefty bump from the winner and was coming back at the line." She also hung down the camber there. She's got one of these in her and could prove beyond this level in time. Was expecting her to be fav here, so quite surprised at 9/1 when opening, 7/1 still around at time of writing. To 5 places EW is a joke of a bet.
16:45 4:45 York
Stellar Sunrise
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@10.00
Win
270
High draws and those coming from further back are favored here. A lot of pace on, so it should set up nicely for a closer. Nice profile, on the improve, and the latest Goodwood Maiden win reads well. Beat Naval Light there at evens, who seems to be decent having finished 5.75L 8th behind Charles Darwin at Ascot after being slowly away. That form could look good in time. Was running on well there, so a step up to 7f shouldn't be an issue. Did sit up with the pace that day, did by far the best of those that did, with the leader finishing 3L 5th and the next prominent runner 8.5L in 8th. Arguably could be marked up to win sat on the front end as CD there is hard to do so. Would like to see a revert back to previous tactics where he's sat just in touch with leaders, but that's worth chancing at the price.
15:00 3:00 York
Bullet Point
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 19/08 at 13:240.10 deduction for Sisyphean@10.00 withdrawn at 09:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.10) = 3.70
@3.70
Win
135
Did have a nice bet on this one antepost and 3/1 would probably be slightly too short for my liking now. 1m course at York favors front runners, which I'm sure we've all seen by now he is. I've been holding off betting the last twice knowing his run style wouldn't suit Ascot. However, he has run with enormous credit both times, being beaten 0.75L and 0.5L in his last two. The first being by My Cloud, who is likely a group performer. May be too high in the weights now, but that's the only way I see him getting beaten. Very likely to be in Group races before long and does have an entry in the 1m1f Group 3 here on Saturday.
14:25 2:25 York
Anthelia
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
Will preface this with Tadej would need to be very good to win this, conceding weight all around and likely to be sat close to the pace. Also has ground questions having underperformed on GF. This should unfold similar to the Super Sprint did pace-wise, and a collapse is likely. Low draws favored. Should play again into Anthelias' hands. Didn't look her best at 6f in only defeat; however, the trainer didn't blame the trip, and to the eye, she looked like 6f would suit at Newbury. With so much of the market being taken up by the favorite, who in my opinion has no chance, it is a bet.
Subtotal362
20 August 2025
15:35 3:35 York
Ombudsman
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.88
Win
94
7/12 aged 4+. 6/12 winning favs, 10/12 top 4 in the betting. O'Brien won 4/12 and Gosden winning 3/12. 10/12 rated 120+. There have been some weird events in the lead-up to this with Delacroix having drifted out to 9s on the exchange and WHirl having been backed into 7/2 in places. However, it looks as though he does run at the time of writing. Ombudsman's POW win was very impressive, almost followed up in the Eclipse but for being pipped a neck on the line by Delacroix. He had been giving Delacroix the best part of a stone there and now only gives him 7 lbs. Admittedly, things had gone wrong for the winner. However, Gosden didn't seem to be expecting a win beforehand and had spoken about how the Sandown track wouldn't suit him. I can see the form being reversed here and both look a fair price, to be honest. Birr Castle takes pace-making duties.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 York
Italy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
A race that's thrown up a few surprises over the years. O'Brien won last year with The Lion In Winter. Had a lot go wrong when 2nd in the Superlative after being heavily backed into 4/6f. Was very keen and had been carried left. Was said to have done well under the circumstances there and is evidently well regarded by the yard, always worth taking note of. Expect a better showing here. Beat the Chesham runner-up and subsequent Listed winner on debut, so there is solid form there despite last time being disappointing. Is an incredibly generous price even with a few unknowns in here.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 York
The Man
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@8.50
Win
12
5f over CD favors those drawn low and coming from behind. There's a hell of a lot of pace on here, having only The Man and Squealer who haven't either front run or sat prominent of late. Should be a big pace collapse and should favor these runners anyway. Highly tried last season, running in 2 Group races and a Listed race here since debut win. Wind surgery since then returned to action over CD when easily winning 2.25L from Loom. Up 8lbs for that but has been kept off since to preserve his mark and should be coming here with a big chance. Ground will suit.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal56
16 August 2025
15:20 3:20 Ripon
Alzahir
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Win
30
Front runners are favored here over CD, as are high draws. Fair bit of pace on; however, many of the likely front runners don't really appear up to this level. Has been busy this year winning 5/14 from 5f-1m. Latest Ascot win can be marked up with it being so difficult to lead there and followed that up with a very decent 3.25L 8th behind Elmonjed at York, a track that's also difficult to make all. Had a few of these in front there; however, they would have been favored by the pace collapse and the track, with only one other who sat prominent finishing well, the other 5 finishing 15th or worse. Goodwood run was disappointing; however, appeared to have been on the wrong side of the track and the GS may not have suited anyway being only 1/9 on ground softer than good, that win coming in a seller on Heavy. Back down to 100 now, only 2lbs above latest Ascot win, and has his chance here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal30
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
