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bledge's Tips History

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31 January 2026
15:42 3:42 Sandown

Mr Vango

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+150

Lose

-50

C and D winner. Ground suits. Very good return last time when should have been 2nd of 15/2, has gone up 3 lbs as a result but will surely be improved for first run of the season. Unlikely to be raised too much for a win here.
14:40 2:40 Sandown

Kitzbuhel

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

Pretty dominant display to win at Kempton last time out. They were worried the ground wouldn't suit there, and he has won on soft in the past, so no concerns there. Presumably sent here to win two Group 1s rather than just the one at DRF with Final Demand. I would take it as a positive sign for both. Cobden takes the ride, so he is in safe hands. Evens is fair.
13:43 1:43 Musselburgh

Afadil

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+332

Lose

-50

Won this in 2024 off 124 with a 5 lb claim. 2nd last year off 120 with a 3 lb claim. Runs this time off 119 with a 7 lb claim. Ground fine. CD fine. Has been aimed at this again. Only 7, so it's not like he'll be regressing. Obviously some dangers in here with Williethebuilder having gone up 14 lbs in the last two runs, Welsh Charger having won thus last year off only 1 lb less, and Kateira being smart on her day (she'll likely have something else in mind one would presume). The 4/1 available was too big. He probably goes off shorter than even the 10/3 available now, but you know you're likely involved in the finish and evs to be placed. Also a strong bet.
1 member found this comment useful
24 January 2026
15:35 3:35 Cheltenham

Impose Toi

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+100

Lose

-50

Can't really understand the price here, having beaten Strong Leader twice this season already. Also had Doddiethegreat. I think he's still being underestimated at 11/2 for the stayers and will likely shorten a little bit if he is to win here. Should be odds on. Already won on soft this season and isn't really any holes to pick as far as I can see.
15:00 3:00 Cheltenham

Sir Gino

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@-249

Lose

-50

6/11 winning favs. 7/11 aged 4??"6. 9/11 rated 156+ and Henderson has won 4 of the last 11. Clearly everyone's had different opinions about The New Lion's run in the Fighting Fifth. However, to my eye he proved hard work through the whole race and certainly wasn't winning hands and heels, let alone easily when falling. The eventual winner of that race, Golden Ace, was beaten easily by 6L by Sir Gino on his first run in a year and after illness. Gino's clearly quite special and impossible to oppose with any confidence.
1 member found this comment useful
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Jagwar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+175

Lose

-50

Probably a bit unlucky last time on the return run in a strong race. Didn't jump great and didn't look to be going amazingly well at any point. Did well to finish so close there, and the 2nd has won a nice race since. This was mentioned as the target post race. CD winner who they'd spoken about aiming at the Ryanair this season. Whether he'll end up there or in one of the handicaps remains to be seen, but I would be confident of a good run there too. Booster Bob comes in as a big danger here, likely still having a fair bit in hand after a ridiculously easy win LTO on seasonal debut. Bound to improve for that, but will also improve for the step up to 3m.
1 member found this comment useful
12:40 12:40 Cheltenham

Maestro Conti

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 2.25 takenBOG

@+250

Win

125

6/11 winning favs, 9/11 top 3 in the betting. 9/11 won LTO. Announced himself as a Triumph contender when easily winning by 9.5L at Kempton despite giving 5 lbs away. Not strong form, but this was elected as the target post-race. Is probably just a decent horse. Minella Yoga biggest danger after beating Act of Innocence last time out; however, was in receipt of over a stone there and it's hard to know how strong that line is yet anyway.
12:05 12:05 Cheltenham

Barlovento

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+250

Lose

-50

Will need to run well here to get into some of the Cheltenham races, which one I would presume is the plan. Did it much easier than the winning margin would suggest last time and went up 4 lbs for that. They want him up another 4 or 5 for the Jack Richards.
22 January 2026
15:30 3:30 Gowran Park

Intense Raffles

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+800

Lose

-50

9/12 aged 8+. 4/12 winners fav. 5/12 top 3 in betting. 2/12 won LTO. 8/12 ran within 30 days. Won 2024 Irish National on heavy. That was off 140. 2 runs over hurdles, then finished 0.75L 2nd of 151 to subsequent Grand National winner Nick Rockett on soft ground. Was giving the winner 3 lbs there. Never travelled in the National. Hasn't had conditions to suit since and as a result drops back down to 151. Pulled up in the Welsh National last time off top weight on ground described as GS; however, times were good or better and can be written off. Heavy sure to suit, and the 8/1 around looks generous.
18 January 2026
14:40 2:40 Fakenham

Sainte Doctor

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+225

Lose

-50

3rd finishing strong over 2m4f back in May 25. Had previously finished 2nd off this mark at the same level over 3m1f. That was a weaker event than this today, and the winner has since placed at Listed level. Has won on this ground and over CD. May have been primed for this and can go well.
17 January 2026
13:40 1:40 Ascot

La Conquiere

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+162

Lose

-50

Grade 2 second and impressive Listed winner last time. That was only her second hurdle start and she's clearly improving. Has age and weight onside against Nurse Susan and I would imagine Joyeuse is getting handicapped for something else in March.
12:10 12:10 Navan

Lazare De Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+110

Lose

-50

Elliott thinks he's potentially a G1 animal. Beat Saint Baco by 3L in his maiden, with 18L back to third. Saint Baco was disappointing in the G1 next time, but he had drifted out from 6/4 favourite to 9/2 there, so there would be suspicions he just wasn't right that day. JP's horse here certainly isn't a graded animal at this stage. Mullins' horse may be the main danger.
16 January 2026
15:35 3:35 Windsor

Wilful

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+350

Lose

-50

Impressive last time with a 2.75L win over Hot Fuss. Alexei was well backed, 4L third, and Mondo Man 9L behind. There had been talk of Alexei going to the Champion Hurdle pre-race, and he had easily won his previous two. Likely to turn out to be good form and has been well backed here.
15:20 3:20 Newcastle

Ten Pounds

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+550

Lose

-50

Top weight but has won off 104 previously. Fair bit of pace with Pocklington, Sergeant Wilko and Oriental Prince to go forward. Should be sat just off them and can pick them up as the pace collapses. C and D winner. Won here over 7f, so stays up the hill well.
15:00 3:00 Windsor

Potters Charm

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+200

Win

100

Solid form last season, including G1 and G2 wins. 5th in the Turners. Decent 3rd behind Wodhooh back in November, which is good form. Outstayed in the Long Walk when finishing 4th. Drop back to 2m4f will suit, and this is far from a strong G2.
14:25 2:25 Windsor

Hollygrove Cha Cha

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

Beat 2nd fav Bluey 4.75L LTO. Previously 3rd in a Listed race and won a Mares G2 last season. Form stacks up well. Deserves top weight and can win again here.
13:50 1:50 Windsor

Be Aware

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+137

Lose

-50

11/12 6??"7yo 7/12 favs, 10/12 top 3 in betting. 3/12 ran in the Henry VIII at Sandown; only 1/3 won. 10/12 rated 145+. Started the season with a good 4L chase win, followed up with a 1.5L 2nd to July Flower in the Cheltenham Arkle trial. Had 10L back to 3rd there, Burdett Road. Ran well again when 2nd to Lulamba at Sandown, giving him 6 lbs there. Battled well to finish 2nd. Not sure there's anything in here with a similar level of form.
12 January 2026
14:00 2:00 Hereford

Aguellid

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@-120

Lose

-50

Ran well, 3rd behind Harry Lowes, which I would suspect is decent form. Failed to settle there and didn't jump great. Now has a hood applied. Stayed on well, eyecatcher, and has seen some money this morning.
10 January 2026
15:21 3:17 Kempton

A Pai De Nom

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@+500

Push

0

Won well the last two despite being greenish at Cheltenham. Showed good speed over 2m at Leicester last time despite obviously wanting further, maybe more than this 2m5f. David Pipe horse ??" the only horse to beat him this season ??" won again next time. Looks to still have some in hand, and Skeltons are doing well in these big Saturday handicaps.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Kempton

Kalif Du Berlais

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@-120

Lose

-50

5/9 winning favs, 9/9 top 3 in betting. 9/9 rated 150+. 5/9 had a C win. Very disappointing LTO, but he never looked right. Nicholls has been coming on a lot for the run, and the winner has since proved himself pretty smart. This isn't a strong race. Edwardstone is now 12 and way below his best. Master Chewy just isn't that good, and Boombawn has been put in his place twice this season; however, he can be smart on his day. If there's any hope of him living up to the horse they thought he was, he should be winning this well.
2 members found this comment useful
03 January 2026
15:05 3:05 Sandown

Le Milos

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+500

Push

0

CD winner who's won off 14/0 back in May. Won on Good ground. Apparently aimed at this and should have a good chance. Skeltons going well.
14:25 2:25 Sandown

Jubilee Alpha

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+120

Lose

-50

2/3 at Listed level. Disappointing under top weight last time when 7L behind Nurse Susan; however, she was giving her a stone there and it just didn't look like she gave her true running. Giving 2 lbs away all round here. If running to her previous level she is certainly capable, and this isn't a bad price.
1 member found this comment useful
12:27 12:27 Wincanton

Eldorado Allen

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.25 on 01/01 at 21:510.10 deduction for Gabriels Getaway@9.00 withdrawn at 10:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.25 x (1-0.10) = 2.13

@+125

Void

0

Won easily off 142 on seasonal debut. Ran another good enough race when 3rd last time off top weight. The winner had been behind in the previous race. Surely goes well.
01 January 2026
14:15 2:15 Musselburgh

Jet To Vegas

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Ran well enough without winning the last twice. Won G2 back in March and was 4th in an Aintree G1. Obviously has ability. Winner of his last has a win since.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham

Il Ridoto

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+550

Lose

-50

10/11 aged 7??"9. 5/11 winning favs, 7/11 top 3 in betting. Finally gets his good ground. Showed he retained a decent level of ability with a good run on seasonal debut behind Saint Segal. Then ran well a long way in the PP Gold Cup on soft, which he'd have hated. Didn't look great last time, but one bad run can be forgiven. Now down to 139. Last won at 141 over half a furlong shorter here. Has won CD too. Now has Freddie Keighley claiming 7 lbs. Seen some support and today could be his day for the season. Couldn't have Glengouly to repeat after massive improvement last time. Twiston-Davies have a good record in this, so Matata could be dangerous, but he's a bit of a maniac.
1 member found this comment useful
28 December 2025
12:45 12:45 Leopardstown

Coyote Spirit

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@+900

Void

0

They've certainly been getting him handicapped for something. Not sure if it will be this, but unlikely to finish outside the first six regardless. Gordon Elliott could hardly be in better form. Cheekpieces on for the first time.
27 December 2025
15:00 3:00 Leopardstown

Sa Majeste

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1200

Lose

-50

Solid 3rd in the Kim Muir of 142, down 3 lbs to 139 here. JP has a good record in this. Choice of Mark Walsh. I would expect him to be in the first 6, surely, and it's certainly worth winning with €110k to the winner.
14:30 2:30 Kempton

Thistle Ask

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+200

Win

100

Up 14 lbs for his Haldon Gold Cup win, but 7 L over that field in that way is nice form. May not deny him another and is worth chancing. The likes of Sans Bruit will be aimed elsewhere. Boothill isn't the force of old. Saint Segal high in the weights.
13:55 1:55 Kempton

Lump Sum

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+150

Lose

-50

Clearly not a Grade 1 horse, but he's clearly capable. Should go well here. Mabonumberfive is probably the main danger, but again is no superstar. Mirabad is nice but has 8 lbs to find and is probably for a nice handicap rather than a graded race.
13:12 1:12 Leopardstown

Majborough

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+175

Lose

-50

Would expect nice improvement from last time's defeat to Found A Fifty. Marine Nationale lacking a run would put me off at this stage. Likely where money goes tomorrow will tell the story.

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