bledge
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
bledge's Tips History
15 June 2025
15:05 3:05 Chantilly
Bedtime Story
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Lose
0
3/12 winning favorites, 6/12 top 3 in the betting. Whilst it would be nice for She's Perfect to win for the syndicate, there are stamina concerns and it is likely too short at 7/2. Aiden knows how to get one ready for the big day. All have come on leaps and bounds for their first run and did well last time, staying on from the back to finish 4L 6th in the French Guineas. This doesn't look an overly strong race and at an Each Way price is a solid bet.
Subtotal0
14 June 2025
15:35 3:35 York
Showering
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
York favors held-up horses over the 6f here. Hell of a lot here who like to go forward and will almost certainly be a pace collapse late on. Conditions that should suit SHowering. Did well to close last time when giving away 7lbs and getting up to win by a neck to the 2 leaders. Solid connections with being trained by Haggas and Harry Burns claims 3. Lightly raced and sure to be more to come. 6 places each way on offer.
15:20 3:20 Chester
Tattie Bogle
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Only front runner here where Chester favours such so heavily. Draw is fine. Should be difficult to catch and certainly be around in the finish, providing a good break.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
08 June 2025
16:45 4:45 Goodwood
Hamish
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Getting on a bit now at 9, and it's possible he's on the decline. However, he has gone well fresh historically. CD winner who's 8/15 over the trip and loves softer ground. Wouldn't be a big bet, however, has everything in favor, and if returning in the same form he's shown the last years, is the one to beat.
Subtotal55
07 June 2025
17:40 5:40 Epsom Downs
Get It
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@9.00
Void
0
6f track here also suits front runners. Not much pace on here and the two most likely to be forward are Get It and Solar Aclaim. Top weight is not ideal; however, he won the Stewards' Cup last year and also won over CD here when making all. Has won off 98, so 100 is within reach and should be around in the finish.
15:50 3:50 Musselburgh
Regalian
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
With Bassadanza, City Of God, Thunder Wonder, and Zarathos all likely wanting the lead, there should be a pace collapse here, favoring one coming from further back. Did well last time keeping on from off the pace to finish 3rd, and the step up to 1m1f should suit. Well-bred and likely more to come.
15:30 3:30 Epsom Downs
Delacroix
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Backed at much bigger prices than now available, and truth be told, I'd probably leave the race alone with uncertain conditions at this point. Ran some nice races this season since stepped up to 1m2f. Had Lambourn and Puppet Master behind in the Ballysax, who since won the Chester Vase and the Lingfield Derby Trial respectively. Clealy has a bit of class, no concern with ground, and a likely stayer. Understandable why he's fav with Ryan choosing to ride over The Lion In Winter (who I've also backed at nice prices). Can expect a good performance.
1 member found this comment useful
Ruling Court
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@4.50
Void
0
Another who I've backed at much nicer prices than now available. However, softer ground would cause worry. Unlucky to not be unbeaten really when apparently not running his race in the Acomb last season. Returned to action with Meydan Guineas win by 6L and since followed that up with 2000 Guineas win. Form of that boosted by Field Of Gold's dominance in the Irish Guineas, and it seems pretty clear that the first 3 in the Newmarket race are pretty good. They've said this was their Derby horse since last season, and Appleby seems quite confident that the trip will be in reach. Pedigree would give no concern to 1m2f, so potentially will have class carry him round here. Also backed Delcroic and The Lion In Winter (who'll likely be much improved for Dante return run if Lake Victoria's anything to go off).
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14:45 2:45 Epsom Downs
Existent
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
35
Similar to the 3yo dash with high stalls favored, front runners not, and a pace collapse being the most likely outcome. 9/11 last winners carried 9st or less. Another who's run some nice races this season, not beaten more than 2.75L in the last 11. Had been rated 107 in the past, a mark obviously too high, however, is now down to 85 and this should set up perfectly. Will be staying on strong from behind and whilst seemingly often finding one too good, has extremely strong place chances here with 5 around. Common to see one go in at a price here. Rose Dawes claims 5lb.
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14:10 2:10 Epsom Downs
Blinky
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 05/06 at 13:420.00 deduction for Cressida Wildes@41.00 withdrawn at 07:510.10 deduction for Cape Sovereign @9.000 withdrawn at 08:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.1) = 13.60
@13.60
Win
38
High stalls favored. Hard to be a front runner and win over the 5f track here. 12 of these like to be forward, so you can imagine a pretty colossal pace collapse. Likely pay to play one who'll come from further back. Running well this year, including 2 wins from 5 and only one out of the places. Has been at a lower grade than this predominantly, however, ran a nice race in a Class 3 LTO when 3rd to Redorange. Had been stall one there, however, dwelt the start and was very keen towards the rear and was only beaten 2.75L by the winner. Rubys Profit led that day and was 2nd 1.75L ahead. That one's up 9lbs now, and how he's favorite is beyond me with no chance of an easy lead here. The winner there is likely a good horse though and being aimed at the Holyroodhouse at Royal Ascot. Handles softer ground.
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Subtotal-27
06 June 2025
17:10 5:10 Epsom Downs
Partisan Hero
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
300
7f at Epsom has a small bias for the low stalls and a more pronounced bias for being a front runner. 3rd best track in the country for front runners over the 7f. To my eye, there's only two real front runners in here: Partisan Hero and Legal Reform. Legal Reform, as an 8yo with the highest OR he's ever had, can't possibly be a bet really, so it only leaves the one. 5yo, so has a maturity advantage over some of these, hasn't been out of the first 3 since May 24 and ran his best race to date when 2nd behind Two Tempting at Chester. Had to cover more ground than the winner there and was only beaten in the last couple strides to finish 0.75L behind. That was 7.5f, so the drop to 7f may suit even more. Up 3lbs as a result of the last day, however, with conditions to suit, should really be in the places if producing a repeat.
16:00 4:00 Epsom Downs
Desert Flower
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Another who I'd backed at bigger prices. However, I still think 6/4 has some juice in it. There's arguments to be made that 6/4 on a potential non-stayer is a bit silly. However, it's not an overly strong Oaks, and realistically it's a case of if she stays, she wins. She took some pulling up after the Guineas win, and Appleby seems fairly confident she'll stay. Regardless, it's possible class will get her through anyway. Smart and balanced filly and has to be the one to beat, really. Giselle probably main danger if behaving herself, but couldn't back on the performance LTO.
14:40 2:40 Epsom Downs
Jan Brueghel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.00
Win
125
By no means a big bet and had backed myself at 9s and 8s with 3 places. Unbeaten in 4 last season including St. Leger when winning a neck from Illinois who has since won twice. Not a great return to action at the Curragh, however, was sweating and awkward that day so can be forgiven. All Aidan's had been coming on for the run since and massive improvement from that can be expected. Calandagan obviously main danger but taking 4/6 about a horse that's yet to win a G1 and repeatedly finds a way to get beat isn't for me.
13:30 1:30 Epsom Downs
Diego Ventura
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Multiple Group and Listed places last season between 7f and 6f. Returned to action with a decent 3rd on ground possibly too quick for him, behind Cosmic Year who since finished 2nd in the Irish 2k Guineas. Followed that up with a French Listed win. Has a penalty to concede to some of these now; however, it doesn't appear an overly strong race and the ground on the softer side will suit.
Subtotal325
31 May 2025
15:15 3:15 York
Term Of Endearment
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Decent Type last season won G3s and a G2 over 1m6f, ending the season 3.25L 7th behind Grateful in French G1, was 2/1 Fav there. Seasonal debut 7th in 2m Meydan G2, which is easy to ignore. If resuming last year's progress here, should be there or thereabouts and is a very fair price at 3s.
14:10 2:10 Chester
Myal
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Win
270
Contrary to what ITV would have you believe, there is only a small draw bias over the 7f track here according to the stats. It makes it quite possible to get a nice price on ones drawn wide, and Myal went from 6/1 overnight to 9/1 when the draw was done. What there is a bias for here at Chester is pace, and it's the hardest course in the country to come from off the pace. There aren't many real front runners here though, so he should be able to get over fine from the wider draw, and I'd be very surprised to see him far from the front. A serious run in the Spring Mile when the only one of the leaders to finish better than 17th, the others in 18th, 20th, and 21st, and duly followed that up with a nice win at Haydock where it's notoriously hard to lead. 8th latest in the Victoria Mile, a much deeper race than this appears. Never So Brave and Fair Point are the main concerns; however, with neither having had a run, they are easy to oppose, and this looks tailor-made for him.
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13:48 1:48 Haydock
Trilby
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
6f track here heavily favors those drawn high and horses held up. Should be a fairly strong pace here with the likes of Sergeant Wilko and Baldomero to make the running. Dakota Gold and Lodi Lion likely to be prominent too, forcing an even faster pace. And here, where it's unfavored anyway, it's unlikely they'll keep that up. Best to look for a closer drawn wide. Doesn't leave you with many options considering half of those are useless, so the play looks to be Trilby. CD winner off 78 back in August and has run well all starts this season. Did well to finish within 5L when keen at Donny, then followed that up with a Beverley win. Another good run behind Completely Random at Leicester and another good run latest behind American Affair over 5f at York having been bumped at the start. Down 1lb for that and now back in a lower grade. 5 places around and should be within them.
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Subtotal170
24 May 2025
16:40 4:40 Haydock
Caballo De Mar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.25
Win
62
Should get another uncontested lead here. Ran a cracker in the Chester Cup latest when getting reeled in by the very well-handicapped East India Dock. Up another 5lb as a result but can take it in stride in a race run to suit.
15:30 3:30 Haydock
American Affair
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
Will preface with I don't usually like handicappers stepping into Graded races. However, he's won for me the last twice and is quite a likeable horse. 5f bias here favors held-up horses and those drawn high, ticks both boxes. Has looked a Group horse in the making both races this season and looked very smart when closing from all the way back at York last time out. Possibly flattered by the pace collapse that day, but nonetheless, doing it under the weight in that style is impressive. Not yet convinced on Rumstar's Newmarket form with a few clearly needing the run, and one would imagine Mgheera prefers a bit softer having done all her racing in France. Presume Starlust to come on for the run and looks one to watch for now.
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15:00 3:00 Haydock
Symbol Of Honour
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@4.00
Win
150
Quite an impressive performance dropped back to 6f last time out. 1.75L clear from Ides Of March, who had been backed as though defeat was out of the question. But even ignoring the fact Ryan had to take him wide, I think it would still have been a close race between the two. Realistically, it was a Group level performance, and with being a gelding and unable to run in the Commonwealth, this seems the logical next step. Big Mojo probably rates as the biggest danger. However, King Charles Stakes appears to be the target, so is 6f really what he wants? No doubt he gets it, but he's not a horse I've ever really sided with and would need to do something impressive to get me onside. Powerful Glory is also interesting but lacks experience here as well as race fitness and would be hard to back.
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14:25 2:25 Haydock
Running Lion
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Nice horse on her day. Likely last time wasn't her true running and she should come on for it. Officially 7 lbs clear and with race fitness on her side over a couple of these, she should really be winning. Form is miles clear of the rest here and would likely be odds-on on her best form.
13:50 1:50 Haydock
Sex On Fire
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
Not really sure why the price is so big on this one. Clearly more exposed than others in here, but 22/1 is way too big with 4 and 5 places around. Very difficult for front runners to win here, and it looks to me that there will be a very strong pace here. Four runners like to make the running, a further four like to be prominent. Will be amazed if there's not a pace collapse here and could fall right into the lap of this one. Also, a big advantage to be drawn high over CD, which he is in stall 11. CD winner back in April and ran a decent race at Chester last time out when he had missed the start. Only 1.25L 6th there from EL Burhan, who looks decent, as does the horse in 5th.
Tilted Kilt
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Another who'll be suited by a likely pace collapse here. Backed both each way. Two decent runs over 1m this season previously where it looks to have not quite fallen right for him. Has one of these in him and should go well.
13:30 1:30 Goodwood
Power Fizz
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionDead heat 2 horses sharing 1 placeDH
@10.00
Lose
-15
Nice win LTO at Ascot 1L from Brave Mission. Made all that day over CD where it's very difficult to make the running and win. No such bias here at Goodwood where its 7f only slightly favors hold-up horses. Not a lot of pace on here with running likely to be made by this one with Bob Mali up close. Should be able to dictate the fractions. Obviously rising in the weights quite rapidly, but in a race run to suit, may be able to hold on and should at least place.
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Subtotal-3
23 May 2025
15:50 3:50 Goodwood
Silver Knott
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Ran well around the world the last few seasons from 1m1f - 1m4f, including multiple G2 wins and G1 placings. Appleby at 39% SR. Travelled much the best last time at Newmarket over 1m4f and would imagine he traded short in running. Looked to tire late on, and dropping back to 1m2f should suit here. Not much else in here with as much substance. Liberty Lane probably the most interesting; however, only has handicap wins to his name, and it's debatable how strong his 3.5L 3rd to The Foxes was latest, with the winner being well on top but hardly able to extend over Chester's short straight. That one also prefers softer ground, and despite there being some Good To Soft in the description, it wouldn't fill me with confidence.
15:00 3:00 Haydock
Unequal Love
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
C and D winner who placed 3rd in G1 Sprint Cup here last season. Plenty of good runs before that, including G3 3rd, Wokingham win, and Listed win. Clearly not really at G1 level, however, is more than capable of a race like this, reproducing any of her better runs. Likely needed latest run at Newmarket, however, attracted plenty of support there, and with conditions suiting well at a track she likes, is worth a go. Had Prime Art behind when giving her 6 lbs back in July on first run for Jane Chapple-Hyam, and that one could be one to watch going forward.
Subtotal-100
21 May 2025
15:22 3:22 Chepstow
Italica
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.88
Win
94
Not a race I'd usually have a bet in. However, his performance at Chester was worth noting, and he reappears against majority debutants here. Broke slowly from stall 11 around the 5f course there but powered home from the back to finish an unlucky head 3rd and was closing as if the step up to 6f would be beneficial. The winner that day's apparent next assignment is at Royal Ascot, who won from stall 1 with the 2nd coming from stall 2. Should be able to make the most of his experience here.
Subtotal94
17 May 2025
16:20 4:20 Newbury
Ancient Rome
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
High stalls are favored with 12 or fewer runners over CD, so it's helpful to look towards there. Also, it's not easy to make all here. Classy gelding who'd been running well at Group level here and abroad last season, including a G3 win at Kentucky Downs, G2 placed at Ascot, and G1 placed back in the US. Gelded back in October and hasn't really fired since. However, the first run was in Meydan G1. Obviously, My Cloud could be anything. However, I wouldn't like taking 13/8, and pretty much all the rest have something to prove. Worth chancing Each Way at 9s with him being 13/2 most places and as low as 5/1 with Betfair. Age advantage this time of the year and top weight wouldn't put me off.
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14:00 2:00 Newbury
Saddadd
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Win
137
Debut winner who ran into Opera Ballo next time, who's a decent horse. Second latest behind Arc entry and one-time Derby hope Gethin. Seems to be piecing it together and will likely turn out a good horse himself. Varian won this in 2017.
13:25 1:25 Newbury
Ides Of March
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Bear in mind Whistlejacket was 3/1 fav for this in the week and this one was 10/1. Solid form last season when winning two at 6f, including a G3. 3.25L behind The Lion In Winter over 7f. Ended the season 4L 7th at the Breeders Cup over 5f, likely too short. Solid return when 0.5L 2nd to Whistlejacket on Soft. Best form previously had been on Good + and that looks the best form in here.
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12:50 12:50 Newbury
Al Aasy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Race fit CD winner who ran a nice race at this level last time out to beat some nice horses, including See the Fire (albeit probably not fit). 4/7 here and 2 places. Appears Crowley has got the hang of him these days and should run another nice race. Kings Gambit likely main danger. However, them gelding him in February strikes me as a bit odd if he was going to be a solid Group horse?
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Subtotal-13
16 May 2025
15:45 3:45 York
Rebels Romance
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Win
69
Had a nibble at the 3/1 around yesterday, and arguments can be made he's now too short. However, he is match fit. Form beating The Foxes is looking stronger now, and with 10.5 million in prize money, he is obviously a classy horse. Hasn't actually run over further than 1m4f so far, but he keeps on well over that trip, and the Good to Firm can only be a positive for his chances of staying the trip. Appleby is running to a 42% strike currently, and with doubts over others' fitness, he is the bet here. Sweet William will be one for the rest of the season; however, he will likely need this run and is on the shorter side for him anyway.
1 member found this comment useful
14:42 2:42 York
Austrian Theory
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Drawn with the pace but unlikely to be too close and should be able to sit off. Winner and placed at this level, including win off 94 and 0.5L 3rd off 99. Decent season last season despite only winning one, had plenty of good runs in decent handicaps. Two good runs this season when keeping on well for 2nd over 1m and being beat 0.5L 2nd at Chester from stall 12, having sweated up and raced wide. Should be hitting peak fitness now and Easterby going to 18% SR. Plenty of pace from Thunder Run, Salamanca, and a couple others, and unlikely they'll be able to sustain it here over a CD where the bias heavily favors horses mid-held up. Also has strength advantage over the 4yos as they won't have matured fully until around August.
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Subtotal19
15 May 2025
16:18 4:18 York
Aesterius
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Race fitness would probably be the main concern here. However, it was a nice horse last season, winning 4 out of 7 and ran a nice race, finishing 6th in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile despite dwelling at the start and running keen throughout before being short of room in the last furlong. Form ties in closely with Big Mojo, who's since come out and won and is undoubtedly the best horse in this if turning up.
15:45 3:45 York
The Lion In Winter
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Talking Horse since Acomb win here from subsequent Guineas winner Ruling Court. May not be fully fit, but if he's the horse they think he is, you'd imagine he'd be winning here. Don't mind taking a 50/50 here.
15:13 3:13 York
See The Fire
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
Traveled like the winner last time out before fading, presumably not fully fit. Won a Group 4 here nicely last season and has some G1 form, a neck behind Opera Singer and 3L down to Tamfana at Goodwood and Newmarket. Race fit compared to the majority of contenders here and should run a nice race.
14:42 2:42 York
Romieu
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Drawn Low, front runner and been aimed at this. Looks like the race will suit well provided they don't go too fast. Had been 10/1 yesterday and went to 14s overnight, so would rather be on at those prices than the 6/1 now available. However, was quite impressive LTO despite not really beating anything, and they think "a good bit of him."
14:10 2:10 York
American Affair
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@5.50
Win
225
Likely the class act here, and they fancy him for a Group horse later in the season. Not an ideal draw to contend with, but they're likely to go very fast here, and a pace collapse would set up nicely for this one, barring traffic problems. Quite impressive win first time out last time and had much more in hand than the 0.75L would suggest.
Toca Madera
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@29.00
Win
115
Seems to have been forgotten about her slightly, but was mixing it with the best back in '23 with multiple Group placings. Is clearly quite inconsistent; however, ran well at Goodwood off 94, won next time out off 94. End of the season run 2.5L behind Shagraan off 97 wasn't a bad run at all with how the form has worked out. Good seasonal debut, then ran no sort of race next time. Drawn low, however, and claims 5lbs again.
Subtotal271
14 May 2025
15:45 3:45 York
Whirl
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.00 takenBOG
@4.50
Win
175
Not hard to envisage her being better than her last run (Curragh G3) when 4.75L 6th to One Look. All O'Briens were needing the run then and would be expected to come on for it. Probably better to look back to last season with a pretty easy G3 win from Giselle in 4th, who's since won the Lingfield Oaks trial by 9L. Was described last season as a massive filly and pedigree would give encouragement for the step up in trip. Looks a winnable Musidora and would be very surprised if 10/3 is still around on the day.
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Subtotal175
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
