bledge

Worked in Property Investment then Financial Analysis whilst running a system in the background to find winners before leaving work to pursue the horses full time. Manage my bankroll similar to a dividend portfolio wherein profits are reinvested monthly (loss deducted) and stakes realigned to be 5% of the total. Avg 27% monthly gain on stakes (bet £1 return £1.27) over the last 12 months, 20% all time and 56% across festivals. 10/12 last months in profit producing 411% growth over the year. 28% 1st strike rate, 57% of all bets hit the top 3. Like to find favs that should win and rarely back out of the top 3 in the betting.

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bledge's Tips

2nd May 2025
14:35 2:35 Goodwood

Shagraan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

CD winner who showed good form last season at 5f, including 2 wins and a 2.25l 5th in the Palace Of Holyrood behind Pilgrim, Blue Storm, No Half Measures, and Woodhay Wonder. All have run well since, including Group wins from No Half Measures. Form at Haydock, beating Jer Batt and American Affair, is solid too, with both running well since. Michael Appleby had a winner with Big Mojo on Wednesday, so I wouldn't be put off too much by the lack of a recent run. 5f here suits a held-up horse, and I imagine he'll be passing horses and be thereabouts.
15:10 3:10 Goodwood

Scenic

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Fairly consistent last season, winning twice at this level. Ended the season with a decent run in the Park Hill G2 at Doncaster when 4th. Looked to not really stay the 1m6.5f there and has dropped back to 1m4f now. Ground won't be an issue and looks a pretty weak race, really. Age advantage a +
15:30 3:30 Newmarket

Fifty Nifty

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Barely any pace here, so one prominent should take it. July course win is decent form. Good neck 2nd LTO here when bumped soon after the start and short of room 2f. Jumby and Miss Info behind there. Ground fine. Alzahir probably the biggest danger but likely to struggle closing off the slow pace that will ensue here.
16:05 4:05 Newmarket

Silver Knott

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Consistent G2 winner abroad. Placed in G1s. Had won back here in 2022. Still don't think Ambiente Fiendly is really any good and should really be winning this for Godolphin.
3rd May 2025
13:45 1:45 Newmarket

Woodhay Wonder

Daily Racing

25 EW

Turned into a bit of a CD specialist and ran another good race on the 15th when 3.25L behind More Thunder when giving him the best part of a stone. Looked to be traveling in to win that there but faded back to 3rd. Possibly needed the run and would come on for that anyway. However, we know she loves the GF ground and that was Good To Soft. Has previously been a NR on that surface and if improving for the better ground she should definitely be fav and hard to believe she's available at 11/2 considering she re-opposes More Thunder with everything in favor. Likely to be prominent and kick on, and if so, will take all the catching.
14:00 2:00 Goodwood

Crimson Advocate

Daily Racing

25 EW

Was fairly impressed by the seasonal debut run in the Listed AW race. First step up to the mile and powered home to be beaten by a nose by Soprano. Would have won that the stride after, and would she be 9/2 had she downed a dual G1 placed and Royal Ascot winner on the first run at 1m? Bound to come on for the run for the Gosdens, and it's possible that Wathnan have a good one on their hands here. Won at Ascot on Good and Firm in the US. Has race fitness and experience advantage over some of these, and at 9/2 I'll take the chance that she follows up with another big run. 1m+ favors those held up.
14:20 2:20 Newmarket

Hand Of God

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Virtually no pace on here, and it's likely that whoever leads will be hard to peg back. Whether he leads or stays prominent, we'll find out. However, he has only not been upfront when winning at Ascot and was presumably ridden to get the trip there at first step up to 1m2f. Won on seasonal debut last season, and Charlton is running to a 27% strike. C winner over the mile, so handles the dip and looks to have everything in favor. Approval is another contender for the lead and probably rates as the biggest danger.
14:35 2:35 Thirsk

Whip Cracker

Daily Racing

25 EW

Low draws are favored here, and another race is likely to be run at quite a pace. The run in the Lincoln can be ignored due to being hampered at a crucial stage. The time before, on the AW Lincoln trial, looked as good as ever when running on well to be nearest the finish. Only run on good or better three times, including 2nd in Maiden. 2nd 3.75L behind Jayarbee in a listed race last year over 1m2f, then didn't stay the 1m2f on the 'rain-softened ground' next time. Back to 1m on a quick surface should suit and will be rattling home. The form behind Jayarbee is very solid for a race of this level, and it's possible the ground will see him back to that standard.
14:55 2:55 Newmarket

No Half Measures

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Presuming they're going to go pretty rapid here and can rule out the majority of the front runners on that basis. Solid form including good runs at Ascot, a win on the July course, Listed win in France, and G3 success at Newbury when beating Relief Rally, who's a good gauge. In between those was only 0.75L 6th in Longchamp G3 (nearest finish) and ended the season 2.75L 5th in the G1 Prix de l'Abbaye. Didn't travel great there but had a terrible draw in the double figures and was the only one to finish in the first 7 from there, so can be marked up. Arguably best form on softer but ran a good race on good to firm at Ascot, so wouldn't be put off.

Twilight Calls

Daily Racing

25 EW

Another who'll be suited by a bit of a pace collapse and will likely be coming from the rear. ;) Won on seasonal debut here back in 2022 and was only 0.75L 4th in this last year on reappearance, albeit it never looked like winning. Followed that up with a 3.5L 6th in the King Charles III Stakes at Ascot. Finished the season with 2 poor runs stepped up to 6f; however, one on GS can be excused. Runs his best on GF, which he'll get here, and now has the master of coming from the back, Jamie Spencer, onboard. Will be thereabouts.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Field Of Gold

Daily Racing

50 WIN

Originally fancied Twain for this, but it was hard not to be taken by Field Of Gold's reappearance in the Craven. Only 3/12 winning favorites and only 4/12 had a seasonal run. However, if what Gosden said was true and was only 80% there, then it's hard to look elsewhere. Wouldn't be going in at 7/4, but straight after the Craven at 4s and 3s was undoubtable value. Ruling Court could be anything. Not overly encouraged by Expanded's 2nd in the Dewhurst with Shadow of Light unlikely to really stay this far and will end up aimed at the Commonwealth. Scorthy Champ a danger at 17/2, but I'll probably leave it alone except for what I've already had Antepost on the favorite. Wimbledon Hawkeye to run into a place wouldn't be terrible with 4 places around.

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