steve135

National Hunt racing fan focusing on Bumpers.

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

steve135's Tips History

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11 October 2024
16:25 4:25 Chepstow

Destroytheevidence

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Win

255

Very good novices' chase this early in the season with a number of promising types, but Destroytheevidence showed a lot of promise and good form over hurdles last season. He is with an excellent trainer who has made a great start to the new campaign.
13:47 1:47 Newmarket

Midnight Thunder

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

This is a competitive Cornwallis Stakes, but this Kodiac colt has shown a lot of speed in his races. His trainer, Saeed Bin Suroor, although not the force of old, always has plenty of winners at the back end of the season.
10 October 2024
17:35 5:35 Tramore

Dafhney Blue

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

A fairly moderate-looking race, and despite the trainer not cutting much ice so far, this horse looks superb on breeding, and it has to be worth a small interest.
14:58 2:58 Exeter

Roaring Home

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 2.62 takenBOG

@3.75

Win

137

Clear pick based on some very useful bumper form last season, including a close 4th to the exciting Anno Power at Ascot in February. Good bumper horses that are well-bred usually jump well when going hurdling, so it will be a surprise if this one is beaten.
09 October 2024
17:05 5:05 Ludlow

Lady Kluck

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

By Walk In The Park out of a King's Theatre mare, it doesn't get much better than that. She won her point-to-point in Ireland nicely and could be very useful. The trainer and jockey combo are very hot in National Hunt flat races.
16:35 4:35 Ludlow

Vicki Vale

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Jumped very poorly on his first run of the season for his new trainer, but returning to hurdling should help. Superbly bred for National Hunt racing by Westerner out of a Flemensfirth mare, he had some good form when with the Skeltons. He is too big a price to leave alone in this race.
16:28 4:28 Sedgefield

Brionywells

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

The favourite looks very nice on breeding and the O'Neills are very good in these races but a chance is taken with Brionywells who is by Jack Hobbs out of a Kayf Tara mare. Ran ok in a very hot race first time out at Newbury and was badly hampered at Worcester in August and can go well in this at a big price.
15:05 3:05 Ludlow

Rickety Bridge

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Very decent bumper form and nicely bred for the National Hunt game. Paul Nicholls is just beginning to get going, and this horse looks like he could be progressive.
14:35 2:35 Ludlow

One Glance

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

180

Quite an interesting Juvenile Hurdle race with a number of these having elements of National Hunt breeding, including One Glance. He has some reasonable flat form in his three runs so far, and Alan King usually has his three-year-olds well prepared for hurdling.
08 October 2024
17:20 5:20 Galway

Ifallgoeswell

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Looks very interesting on pedigree by Kingston Hill out of an Alflora mare. Charles Byrnes has a good record in these races, and the booking of Mr. R. W. Barron is a positive.
16:00 4:00 Huntingdon

Ballintubber Boy

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

210

Likes this track and won this race last year from a similar mark and carrying 12 stone. Has had a break since running a good race in a competitive heat at Galway and can take advantage of the favourite returning quickly after a run a couple of weeks ago over this long trip.
14:15 2:15 Galway

The Enabler

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.36

Lose

-50

The Enabler had some very high-class National Hunt flat race form last season for Gordon Elliott and should be good for this. Although Blaze The Way was also useful last year and is very nicely bred, he may be no pushover for a very canny trainer.
14:00 2:00 Huntingdon

My Friend Sean

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 08/10 at 07:590.20 deduction for Sailed Away@4.50 withdrawn at 12:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.20) = 5.80

@5.80

Lose

-1

My Friend Sean disappointed slightly last year in his first season, but this superbly bred gelding has dropped to a very lenient mark for this modest-looking race and looks to hold a good chance.
07 October 2024
17:37 5:37 Stratford

Top Tier Gossip

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Nicely bred Dan Skelton horse by Getaway. The Skeltons do very well in bumpers. Gore Point ran well first time out, but the Order of St George horses have so far been very disappointing.
17:25 5:25 Fairyhouse

Gallant Getaway

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

This is a very nicely bred horse. Edward Buckley is not renowned for flat horse winners, but he is a good trainer, and at the price, he is worth an each-way shot.
16:27 4:27 Stratford

The Cypriot

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Superbly bred and ran okay in some bumpers for Evan Williams. Now going handicap hurdling and off a low rating, he could go well in this moderate-looking race.
06 October 2024
17:25 5:25 Tipperary

Shadows Of My Mind

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 06/10 at 11:590.45 deduction for Al Arrivee@2.10 withdrawn at 16:010.15 deduction for Tangara Bay @6.500 withdrawn at 16:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.6) = 3.60

@3.60

Lose

-12

A good bumper with a few nicely bred types, but 'Shadows Of My Mind' looks particularly interesting. By 'Jukebox Jury' out of a 'Midnight Legend', it is very nice breeding for a National Hunt horse. His trainer has a 22% strike rate in National Hunt flat races. Harry Swan takes the ride, which is also encouraging.
16:05 4:05 Longchamp

Fallen Angel

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

A terrific comeback run last time at Leopardstown behind Porta Fortuna. She looks to hold a strong hand in this very competitive Group 1 race.
15:20 3:20 Longchamp

Delius

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

By Frankel, this fine-looking colt has improved gradually throughout the season and looks primed by his experienced trainer to run a cracking race here. Dangers are aplenty, but at the price, he looks to have a strong each-way chance.
12:55 12:55 Longchamp

Zarigana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Has looked exceptional in her first two races and, despite a competitive field, can improve again to take this. Bred in the purple, her form is already reaching a very high standard.
05 October 2024
16:50 4:50 Gowran Park

Mossy Fen Park

Daily Racing

200 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@2.25

Void

0

Very useful form over hurdles, including a six-length second to the high-class Predators Gold. Bred to be a chaser, Henry de Bromhead is one of the best trainers to get horses to jump well. He should win this race against some decent opposition.
15:40 3:40 Gowran Park

Conflated

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.00

Void

0

A cracking race so early in the season, and the class horse is Conflated. At the price, he is worth taking a chance on his fitness first time out. All of his wins have been left-handed, but he hasn't run very often going right-handed.
14:30 2:30 Gowran Park

Like A Bumblebee

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

The favourite has been fairly disappointing since showing promise in his early races, and a chance is taken with Like A Bumblebee for Michael Winters. Very nicely bred by Milan out of a Vinnie Roe mare, he should appreciate the distance and can run well.
04 October 2024
17:20 5:20 Gowran Park

Cameletta Vega

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Very well related out of Quevega by Camelot, who has made a bright start as a National Hunt sire. The favourite sets a good standard, but this horse could improve considerably from her first run.
03 October 2024
16:35 4:35 Warwick

Aeroplane Blonde

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@12.00

Void

0

A tricky looking bumper with a number looking nice on breeding but Aeroplane Blonde by Blue Bresil out of a Fame and Glory mare catches the eye. Ran very green and keen and his first run at Newcastle on heavy ground, he should come on a lot for that and the better ground will help a lot here. 
13:23 1:23 Warwick

Cherry Brave

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

0

Looks very interesting on breeding and although the favourite looks good for this she could get a place at a decent price. Looks like the Skelton second string on jockey booking, but the owner is the jockey's father so don't read anything into that.
30 September 2024
17:10 5:10 Roscommon

Thecompanysergeant

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Missed the cut for the Kerry National last week but looks to have a good opportunity here. Fantastic breeding for a chaser by Kayf Tara out of a Flemensfirth mare, there could be a lot of improvement to come. Daniel King is a good rider.
14:50 2:50 Roscommon

Blacksmiths Forge

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

This very nicely bred gelding wom nicely first time out in a bumper and ran well on his first race over hurdles in August. By Kalanisi out of a Flemensfirth mare he should go very well in this race.
13:40 1:40 Roscommon

Gimme A Buzz

Daily Racing

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

Very nice pedigree by Soldier of Fortune. J P Macmanus horses are not usually put too close to the leaders first time out in Ireland but this one is a massive price and could run on into a place.
29 September 2024
16:25 4:25 Curragh

Dawn Rising

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@19.00

Win

64

Joseph O'Brien has the favourite in Nurburgring but one of his other horses Dawn Rising is on a very attractive mark. He has run well in defeat behind Kyprios and will appreciate the good ground.
13:30 1:30 Curragh

Sujet

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

30

Shackleton maybe difficult to beat here but Sujet ran a race full of promise on his first outing and with normal improvement this son of Frankel can put it up to the favourite.
28 September 2024
17:40 5:40 Listowel

Heads Up

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

By Blue Brasil out of a Presenting mare is eye-catching. John McConnell has good record in national hunt flat races and Harry Swan is booked to ride. 9/1 looks appealing against mostly flat bread horses.
16:30 4:30 Listowel

Falco Blitz

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

The trainer is on fire this week at Listowel and this one looks like he could be ready to go well in this race. He seems to like heavy ground and he can take advantage of Law Ella probably needing her first run back since February.
16:00 4:00 Auteuil

Il Est Francais

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 0.53 on 28/09 at 7:51 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 0.8 used instead of 0.53 taken BOG

@1.80

Win

40

Reportedly over the top when flopped here in April having looked so good at Kempton on Boxing Day. He is apparently back on form, and he should be able to win this before being a likely candidate for the King George.
15:40 3:40 Newmarket

Under Siege

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Plenty of horses are fancied for this but at a big price Under Siege looks interesting. Very useful form in the early part of the year including second to Economics. By Wootton Bassett he should appreciate the slight step up in trip and blinkers for the first time looks like a help.
27 September 2024
17:35 5:35 Listowel

Amen Kate

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 26/09 at 21:350.10 deduction for Pure Logic@7.00 withdrawn at 07:570.00 deduction for Dunbell Diva @41.000 withdrawn at 07:570.00 deduction for Clongorey @13.000 withdrawn at 07:570.00 deduction for Jazzwing @21.000 withdrawn at 09:110.00 deduction for Lady Hotham @13.000 withdrawn at 09:110.00 deduction for Belle Le Grand @21.000 withdrawn at 09:310.00 deduction for Slice Of Paradise @67.000 withdrawn at 10:470.00 deduction for Time In A Bottle @13.000 withdrawn at 11:19R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.1) = 3.70

@3.70

Win

135

Looks very nice on breeding by Flemensfirth out of a very good Yeats mare and closely related to the very useful Baby Kate. The trainer has a very good (26%) strike rate in national hunt flat races and Patrick Mullins is booked to ride.
26 September 2024
17:45 5:45 Listowel

William Butler

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.50

Void

0

Looks a standout on breeding, trainer and jockey at 9/2. The forecast Martin Brassil favourite doesn't inspire much on pedigree from a NH point of view.
17:15 5:15 Perth

Peace Motivator

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Olly Murphy is in great form at Perth with 4 winners yesterday. This is his only runner at Perth today and he has a fine record in bumpers so that will do for me. He has a winners penalty but has an able 5lb claimer taking some weight off.
25 September 2024
17:25 5:25 Listowel

Victor Sweet

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

A tricky bumper but Victor Sweet ran a very promising race first time out and the form has been franked by the winner running very well since. By Conduit out of a Presenting mare is nice breeding and the trainer is useful in bumpers.
16:20 4:20 Listowel

Thecompanysergeant

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

Currently on the reserve list but if he gets in he looks to have a strong chance in a very competitive Kerry National. He has got very solid form up to 2m 4f but being by Kayf Tara out of a Flemensfirth mare he should relish the step up to 3m.
24 September 2024
17:45 5:45 Warwick

Glen Affric

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

By Telescope whose horses are going very well in National Hunt spheres he looks very interesting. The trainer isn't noted for bumper winners but looks worth taking a chance in a weak looking race. The odds on favourite looks the obvious one for Harry Fry but the Order of St George horses have been mainly disappointing so far.
17:10 5:10 Warwick

Clararose

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

The Skelton horses have made a fairly strong start to the season and this nicely bred mare looks a strong bet in the race. By Yeats out of a Presenting mare she should stay this extended trip of 3 m 2 f.
23 September 2024
17:20 5:20 Sedgefield

Cloudy View

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Finished strongly off of a slowly run race to win first time up. It is not easy to win a bumper under a penalty, but the opposition doesn't look anything special. By Telescope who is beginning to make a name for himself as a national hunt sire he looks to have a good chance of defying the penalty.
22 September 2024
17:00 5:00 Listowel

Supreme Ruler

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Ran a decent race behind a good Willie Mullins horse first time out over hurdles when not jumping with much fluency. Back to a national hunt flat race should benefit him.Barry Connell has got a fantastic strike rate in bumpers and this well bred sort looks to have a strong chance here.
20 September 2024
17:35 5:35 Downpatrick

Mrs Mc Go

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

Ran too bad to be true behind a stable-mate last time out and his previous runs have shown a lot of promise. The 14/1 is too big for this John McConnell inmate.
16:25 4:05 Newbury

Witch Hunter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

This is a cracking race and very open, but Witch Hunter has been performing very consistently all season at a high level and looks to have a cracking each way chance in this race now he has been dropped back to seven furlongs on a track he seems to love.
15:55 3:30 Newbury

Dissident

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

This looks a pretty hot Novice stakes race with some top trainers represented, but Dissident really catches the eye. By Frankel out of a brilliant breeding mare who has produced 4 out of 4 high class winners including Bluestocking and Qirat for this trainer. Very likely to be above average and the 11/2 on offer may look a steal later on.
14:55 2:25 Newbury

Anna Swan

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.75 on 19/09 at 16:120.50 deduction for Cathedral@1.91 withdrawn at 09:59R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.75 x (1-0.50) = 1.88

@1.88

Win

43

Was very impressive on her first run at Yarmouth and could upset the likely favourite Cathedral who was also impressive on her debut. Michael Stoute is not the force of old, but he still does very well with fillies.
18 September 2024
19:05 7:05 Kelso

Beyond The Verge

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Win

2062

Looks very interesting on breeding being by Telescope who has made a good start as a National Hunt sire and out of an Oscar mare. This gelding looks worth taking an each way chance at a massive price in a fairly moderate looking field.
15:23 3:23 Sandown

Skellet

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Win

150

She has improved with each run this season and this Kingman filly trained by Ralph Beckett who is in great form looks to have a great chance now dropped in grade.

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