ndgm1605

I love football, basketball, American football, boxing, MMA and sometimes horse racing

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ndgm1605's Tips History

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06 August 2025
18:30 Ludogorets Razgrad v Ferencvarosi TC

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Ludogorets scored in all four of their qualifying matches this season against Dinamo Minsk (1-0 home, 2-1 away loss) and Rijeka (0-0 away, 3-1 home in extra time). They netted six goals across these ties, with five different goalscorers (Ivaylo Chochev, Stanislav Ivanov, Erick Marcus, Yves Erick Bile, and Filip Kaloc), highlighting their attacking depth. Ludogorets have scored in 12 of their last 13 Champions League home matches, averaging 2.1 goals per game in these fixtures. Nine of those games saw them score at least two goals, and six saw both teams score, indicating defensive vulnerabilities despite their dominance. Ferencváros have scored in all 10 of their competitive and pre-season matches this season, totaling 17 goals (average of 1.7 goals per game). Their recent 3-0 win over Kazincbarcika in the Hungarian league showed their ability to create and convert chances, even if their 1-1 draw against ESMTK Budapest highlighted occasional inefficiency.
18:00 Arsenal v Villarreal

Arsenal

100 WIN

@1.40

Lose

-100

Arsenal have been sharp and competitive in pre-season. Victories over AC Milan (1-0), Newcastle (3-2), and Watford show they’re capable of breaking down both defensively solid teams and Premier League-level opposition. Their only loss came narrowly to Spurs (0-1), and even then, they limited the chances against them. In contrast, Villarreal have failed to win a single pre-season game in six attempts. They have drawn four matches against mid-to-lower-tier teams such as Basel (3-3), St. Gallen (2-2), and Real Oviedo (0-0), while also suffering defeats to Sporting CP and Genoa. These results suggest issues in both attack and defence that Arsenal can exploit.
18:00 FC Salzburg v Club Brugge

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

75 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-75

Salzburg are a high-scoring side in Europe’s qualifiers. In the last round against Brann, they scored 6 goals over two legs (4??"1 away, 1??"1 home). Brugge reached the Champions League Round of 16 last season, scoring against top teams. They know how to hit on the counter against strong opponents. Hans Vanaken is one of Europe’s most consistent attacking midfielders, and Christos Tzolis has been in good form early in the season. Young striker Romeo Vermant has pace that could trouble Salzburg’s backline.
18:00 RFS v KuPS Kuopio

RFS

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

FC RFS have an exceptional home record, winning nine of their last 10 home matches across all competitions, with only one defeat. This translates to a 90% win rate at LNK Sporta Parks, where they will host KuPS. Their recent 3-2 victory against Grobinas SC/LFS on August 3, 2025, in the Virsliga demonstrates their ability to secure results at home, even in high-scoring, competitive matches. The home crowd and familiarity with the pitch give RFS a psychological and tactical edge, as evidenced by their Europa League campaign last season, where they earned all five of their league phase points (W1 D2 L1) at home. KuPS, by contrast, face the challenge of playing their first European away match of the season, which could disrupt their rhythm, especially given their modest away scoring record (0.8 goals per game). RFS have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.6 goals per game over their last 10 matches, with a slightly lower but still impressive 2.5 goals per game at home. They’ve scored in 13 of their 14 home matches this season, showcasing consistency in breaking down defenses.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

45

FC RFS have been prolific at home, averaging 2.5 goals per game in their last 10 home matches. They’ve scored in 13 of 14 home games this season, with three or more goals in three of their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent 3-2 win over Grobinas SC/LFS on August 3, 2025, exemplifies their tendency to produce high-scoring games at LNK Sporta Parks, with seven shots on target and 72% possession indicating their ability to create multiple scoring opportunities. Against KuPS, RFS’s attacking setup, featuring Tayrell Wouter, Davis Ikaunieks, and wing-backs Savalnieks and Gaye, is likely to generate at least two goals, pushing the match toward a high goal count.
04 August 2025
20:00 Hearts v Aberdeen

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Hearts have been in scintillating form during their preseason, securing six consecutive victories with an aggregate score of 22-1. This includes four Scottish League Cup group stage matches where they scored four goals each against Dunfermline, Hamilton, Stirling, and Dumbarton. This suggests a potent attacking unit capable of creating and converting chances. Aberdeen’s triumph in the 2024-25 Scottish Cup, including a semi-final win over Hearts and a penalty shootout victory against Celtic, shows their ability to perform in big matches. Their attacking output in key moments last season (e.g., scoring against Celtic) indicates they can threaten even strong defenses.
19:15 Botev Plovdiv v Arda Kardzhali

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Over their last 10 away games, Arda Kardzhali scored in 90% of matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game. This is notably higher than their overall average of 0.9 goals per game, indicating they are particularly effective offensively on the road. Their recent 2:2 draw against HJK Helsinki (July 31, 2025) in the UEFA Europa Conference League, where they scored twice despite only 41% possession, underscores their ability to capitalize on limited chances away. Over their last 10 home games, Botev Plovdiv scored in 60% of matches, averaging 1 goal per game. While this is moderate, their ability to score at home (1.6 goals per game across a broader sample) suggests they are likely to find the net against Arda Kardzhali, especially given their performance in the March 2025 draw.
19:00 NK Varazdin v HNK Gorica

NK Varazdin

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

Gorica averages just 0.5 goals per game in their last 10 away matches, one of the lowest in the HNL. They have failed to score in their last 3 away HNL matches and have not won any of their last 5 away games in the league, highlighting a significant weakness in breaking down defenses on the road. In 24 head-to-head (H2H) matches, Varaždin has won 9 times, with 5 of those victories coming at home. The most common result in H2H matches at Varaždin’s home ground is 2:1 (occurring 3 times), indicating a pattern of narrow but consistent home wins against Gorica. Varaždin’s recent 2:0 loss in the UEFA Europa Conference League is likely to spur a strong response. The coaching staff’s work on improving the team’s game suggests tactical adjustments that could translate into a more clinical performance against Gorica.
00:30 Internacional v Sao Paulo

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Internacional have been exceptionally strong defensively at home in the 2025 Brasileirão, conceding just 6 goals in 8 home league matches (0.75 goals per game). This defensive resilience is a key factor in keeping games low-scoring, as opponents struggle to create and convert chances at Estádio Beira-Rio. Internacional’s attack has been modest at home, averaging only 1.25 goals per game. In their last five home matches across all competitions, they haven’t scored more than one goal in any game (e.g., 1-1 vs. Vasco, 1-2 vs. Fluminense, 1-0 vs. Vitória, 1-0 vs. Ceará). This trend of low goal output reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
03 August 2025
23:30 Vitoria v Palmeiras

Palmeiras

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Palmeiras boast one of the most complete squads in Brazil. Even when rotating to rest key players ahead of their Copa do Brasil clash with Corinthians, Abel Ferreira has enough high-caliber options to maintain competitiveness. Raphael Veiga, Facundo Torres, and Flaco López can all create and finish chances even in tight matches. Midfielders like Allan and Emiliano Martínez provide balance and energy, controlling possession and dictating tempo. Even with center-backs like Murilo and potentially Fuchs out, Palmeiras still have experienced defenders such as Gustavo Gómez to anchor the backline. By contrast, Vitória lack both top-end quality and reliable depth. With Mateusinho and Jeymerson out, and limited star power, they will struggle to match Palmeiras in individual duels across the pitch.
22:30 Atletico Mineiro v Bragantino

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Despite the Copa win, Atlético have conceded in 6 of their last 8 league matches, showing consistent vulnerabilities ??" especially against pacey wide play and in transitional moments. Bragantino’s own defensive issues: they’ve conceded in 7 of their last 8 away games, and recently shipped 2+ goals in three straight matches.
22:30 Ceara v Flamengo

Flamengo

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Flamengo have won 3 of their last 4 league games, including a strong 1-0 win against Atletico Mineiro. Only two losses in their last 10 matches across all competitions. Maintained momentum despite Copa do Brasil pressure, showing mental toughness and league focus. In contrast, Ceará sit mid-table, with inconsistent form. One win in their last four Serie A matches. Three consecutive home defeats without scoring ??" a huge red flag when facing a top side like Flamengo.
19:00 Shamrock Rovers v Derry City

Shamrock Rovers

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Shamrock Rovers are currently in their strongest phase of the season. Unbeaten in their last 5 competitive games, and with just 1 loss in 17, they have built serious momentum. In Europe, they just advanced in the Conference League with a commanding 4-0 aggregate win ??" showcasing confidence, squad depth, and tactical discipline.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

This isn't just another league match ??" it's a crucial title-impacting fixture. Shamrock Rovers will look to win and stretch their lead, while Derry must attack to stay in the race. That naturally encourages a more open, expansive style of play with more goalscoring chances.
17:45 HNK Rijeka v Slaven Belupo

HNK Rijeka

75 WIN

@1.50

Win

38

Playing at Stadion HNK Rijeka provides Rijeka with a significant boost. As the first official home match of the HNL season, the atmosphere will be electric, with Rijeka’s passionate supporters creating pressure on Slaven Belupo. The provided data notes Slaven’s potential struggle with “the pressure of the stands,” which could disrupt their focus, especially as an away side. Rijeka averages 1 goal per game at home across their last 10 matches, compared to Slaven’s meager 0.6 goals per game in away matches. This disparity suggests Rijeka is far more likely to find the net, leveraging familiar surroundings and crowd energy. Across their last 10 matches, Slaven conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game, with heavy losses like 0-4 to Osijek and 2-4 to Rudes highlighting defensive lapses. Their away games are particularly concerning, with only 0.6 goals scored and frequent defensive breakdowns.
17:00 Brondby v Viborg

Brondby

50 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-50

Brøndby ??" Key Strengths & Form Perfect start to the Superliga: 2 wins out of 2, both clean sheets. Strong home form: Only losses since February were to top-tier sides (Midtjylland & Copenhagen). Recent H2H dominance: 4-1 win vs Viborg in February. Momentum: Coming off a Conference League qualification with a win over Torshavn. Solid defense: No goals conceded in domestic play so far this season. Viborg ??" Weaknesses & Concerns Poor start to the season: Two losses, both conceding 3 goals. Struggles on the road: Only 2 wins in their last 12 away league matches. Defensive frailty: Conceding an average of 3 goals per game this season. Recent history at Brøndby Stadion: Lost their last two visits.
12:30 Genk v Antwerp

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

75 WIN

@1.62

Win

47

Head-to-Head History Supports Goals. Last match: Antwerp 1-0 Genk ??" Genk had 59% possession and 5 shots on target, but were unlucky not to score. Average goals per match between the two: 3.35. Both teams scored in 5 of their last 7 meetings, including matches where Antwerp visited Genk. Genk: Arokodare: Scored 21 goals last season. Now expected to start. Oh Hyun-gyu: Dangerous in the box, already found the net this season. Steuckers & Karetsas: Creative spark in midfield capable of breaking lines. Antwerp: Vincent Janssen: Reliable target man, already scored in the season opener. Balikwisha & Kerk: Fast, agile wingers who thrive in transition. Set-pieces: With Doumbia and Praet on the pitch, Antwerp always have a threat from corners or free-kicks.
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12:30 Hannover 96 v Kaiserslautern

Hannover 96

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Hannover’s appointment of Christian Titz as head coach marks a shift toward aggressive, attacking football. Titz, previously praised for his work at FC Magdeburg, favors a high-pressing, fluid style that emphasizes quick transitions and wing play. This is reflected in their 3-4-2-1 formation, which deploys dynamic wingers like Mustapha Bundu and attacking midfielders like Waniss Taïbi to stretch defenses. Titz’s tactics are likely to exploit Kaiserslautern’s potentially vulnerable backline, especially given the visitors’ loss of key striker Ragnar Ache, which may force them to sit deeper defensively. Hannover’s ability to press high and create turnovers in dangerous areas could lead to decisive goal-scoring opportunities. Hannover’s preseason was mixed (3 wins, 2 losses, 1 draw), but their final 2-0 victory over Cagliari showcased their attacking cohesion and defensive solidity (6 shots on target, 1 conceded). This suggests the squad is gelling under Titz’s system, with players like Bundu and Taïbi likely to make impactful debuts. Kaiserslautern, meanwhile, struggled in their final friendly, losing 0-1 to Roma with zero shots on target, highlighting potential issues in converting chances. Hannover’s momentum and confidence contrast with Kaiserslautern’s lack of cutting edge, positioning the hosts to capitalize on their opportunities.
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Over 2.50

Total Goals

75 WIN

@1.65

Lose

-75

Across their last 8 head-to-head meetings, the average total goals per match is 2.75. While the last official meeting ended 0-0, that was uncharacteristic based on the data. In general, games between these sides lean toward being open and action-packed, especially in the second half, which averages 2 goals per match.
12:30 Magdeburg v Eintracht Braunschweig

Magdeburg

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Where Braunschweig are still patching holes, Magdeburg have retained their best talent, most notably: Martijn Kaars ??" 19 league goals last season, deadly in the box and capable of link-up play. Bar?? Atik ??" A creative spark with the vision and technical quality to unlock deep-lying defenses. Laurin Ulrich ??" A promising loanee who adds verticality and pace to the attacking midfield. In contrast, Braunschweig lost their top scorer Ryan Philipp and haven’t replaced him with anyone of similar pedigree. Their goal threat is now speculative??"resting on an unproven loanee (Yardimci) and a midfielder (Tempelmann) whose strength lies in pressing, not scoring. In their last official meeting (1-1 draw in January), Magdeburg had: 71% possession, 10 corners to 6, more shots and fewer fouls. This points to Magdeburg's ability to control the tempo, dictate field position, and force opponents into reactionary play. With Fiedler adding more structure to their already dynamic attack, we can expect fewer defensive lapses and better game management this time.
12:00 Stockport v Bolton

Over 2.50

Total Goals

75 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-75

Stockport: Averaged 2.1 goals scored per match in their last 10 competitive games. 2.6 goals per game at home. Concede about 1 per game ??" meaning their matches tend to feature at least 3 goals. Bolton: Even during poor form, Bolton averaged 1.2 goals per away match. Conceded 1.6 goals per match in their last 10 ??" suggesting they'll let a couple in at Edgeley Park. Combined, their averages make a projected 3.2 goals per match.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

75 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-75

Stockport County have Malik Mothersille, a £ record-breaking striker, debuting at home after netting 16 goals for Peterborough last season. He's supported by creative players like Fevrier, Camps, and Diamond, who provide dynamism in the final third. Bolton Wanderers may be in transition, but they bring Amario Cozier-Duberry, Thierry Gale, and Mason Burstow into the frontline. All are pacy, direct attackers capable of exploiting space??"especially if Stockport push high, which they often do at home.
01:00 Fluminense v Gremio

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Fluminense’s defense has been a significant weak point, as highlighted by their 3-1 loss to São Paulo in the last Serie A round. The text notes “too many errors” in defense, which has contributed to their four consecutive league losses. The team’s recent schedule, including a midweek Copa do Brasil match, may lead to fatigue, potentially affecting their defensive organization. This could leave gaps for Grêmio’s attackers, particularly if Fluminense push forward in search of a win to break their league slump. Grêmio’s defense is not impenetrable, as evidenced by conceding 1 goal to Fortaleza despite winning 2-1 and allowing 2 goals to Fluminense in their last meeting. Their 59% possession against Fortaleza suggests they can be exposed when opponents counter or exploit turnovers. Grêmio committed 14 fouls in the last Fluminense match, indicating a physical approach that could lead to set-piece opportunities for Fluminense, who generated 8 corners in that game. If Fluminense capitalize on these, Grêmio’s defense could be breached.
01 August 2025
15:00 Augsburg v Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

57

Palace are riding high after clinching their first-ever major trophy in over 150 years by defeating Manchester City in the FA Cup final. This kind of momentum cannot be underestimated??"it has fostered belief, unity, and purpose within the squad. Teams often ride these psychological highs into the next campaign, especially in preseason fixtures designed to build chemistry and sharpness. Oliver Glasner is a master tactician in European settings. After winning the Europa League with Eintracht Frankfurt in 2022, he’s brought a high level of organization, pressing intensity, and structured attacking to Palace. His knowledge of German football, gained from his time in the Bundesliga, gives Palace a unique edge??"he knows how German teams like Augsburg tend to structure themselves and can exploit weaknesses effectively.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

100 WIN

@1.40

Win

40

Both clubs are still experimenting with defensive setups, which often leads to more open, end-to-end football. Palace will likely rotate personnel in defense, and Augsburg??"despite their mid-table status??"have shown they can exploit lapses. Their preseason scoring form has been decent, and playing at home will give them confidence to push forward. Sandro Wagner brings a modern, press-heavy, and forward-thinking style from his time with the German national team setup. While this system is still under construction, it often results in defensive vulnerabilities but increased goal-scoring opportunities, especially at home. Augsburg scored in each of their first three preseason matches, and they have capable finishers in the likes of Demirovi? and Michel.
13:00 Werder Bremen v TSG Hoffenheim

Over 2.50

Total Goals

75 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-75

In the last 10 meetings between Werder Bremen and Hoffenheim, over 2.5 goals were hit in 7 matches. These teams consistently produce open, attacking contests, with both clubs favoring progressive, forward-thinking styles over defensive conservatism. Most recently, in February 2025, Hoffenheim defeated Werder 1-3 away ??" a classic example of this trend. Friendlies are typically more open, with managers rotating lineups and giving minutes to younger or untested players. Defensive discipline is often not the top priority ??" meaning space, mistakes, and chances are far more frequent. Expect substitutions to affect team balance, especially in the second half, which tends to inflate goal totals in friendlies.
02:40 TEX Rangers @ SEA Mariners

SEA Mariners

Money Line

75 WIN

@1.59

Win

44

The Mariners dominate the Rangers at home, winning 8 of the last 9 head-to-head matchups at T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park is a pitcher-friendly stadium, which plays to the strength of Seattle’s ace George Kirby, and neutralizes Texas' mid-tier offense. Despite a slight slump (4??"6 in the last 10), the Mariners are entering a pivotal home series, and these are must-win games as playoff positioning tightens.
00:10 ATL Braves @ CIN Reds

CIN Reds

Money Line

100 WIN

@1.55

Lose

-100

Cincinnati Reds (57-52) are sitting in a solid mid-table position, going 5-5 in their last 10 games, which indicates consistency and competitiveness. Atlanta Braves (45-62) have collapsed lately, managing just 2 wins in their last 10, a sign of poor form, low morale, and possibly underlying injuries or fatigue. Reds are fighting for playoff positioning, whereas the Braves, given their record, may be leaning toward development or regrouping ??" a difference in motivation intensity.

Over 9.00

Game Totals

75 WIN

@1.83

Win

62

Atlanta is giving up 6.6 runs per game over their last 10 ??" a staggering number that suggests both starting and relief pitching are underperforming. Carrasco has allowed 1,651 hits and 777 earned runs in his career ??" and this season is no exception to his vulnerability. The Braves bullpen has entered 104 high-leverage situations, but converts poorly ??" an indicator that once the starter is out, runs often pour in. Carrasco's FIP of 4.12 and ERA of 4.18 show he's not fooling many hitters, and against a solid Reds lineup, he could be in for a rough outing.
31 July 2025
19:00 Shakhtar Donetsk v Besiktas

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Shakhtar: Alisson (3 goals, 5 assists in 2 matches!), Kevin (brace in Istanbul), Eguinaldo (constant threat). They’ve averaged 3.3 goals per game in their last 3 matches. Be?ikta?: Tammy Abraham is improving with minutes, Kokcu is growing into the team, and the supporting cast (Rafa Silva, Rashica) are capable of creating chances in volume.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Trailing by two goals (4-2 on aggregate), Be?ikta? have no choice but to attack aggressively to overturn the deficit. They need at least two goals to force extra time or three to advance outright, which will push them to commit players forward. Shakhtar’s attacking trio of Alisson, Kevin, and Eguinaldo has been in scintillating form. Alisson alone has contributed 3 goals and 5 assists in two Champions League appearances this season, while Kevin’s brace in the first leg highlighted his clinical finishing.
12:30 Arsenal v Tottenham

Over 2.50

Total Goals

125 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-125

Arsenal have scored at least 2 goals in 2 of 3 friendlies, including 3 vs. Newcastle, a competitive Premier League side. Their fluid attack ??" Havertz, Martinelli, Saka ??" has been potent even in early pre-season. Add Gyökeres, who scored 29 league goals for Sporting, and this team could easily get over the 2.5 line themselves. Thomas Frank is still embedding his tactics into the team, and his high-risk press or mid-block leaves them exposed to fast attacks ??" which suits Arsenal perfectly. Spurs' defense has leaked 4 goals in 2 games against League One sides. Unfamiliar pairings, rotated lineups, and unfit players add to the vulnerability.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

100 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-100

Arsenal’s defensive injuries are piling up: Calafiori, Gabriel Magalhães, and Timber could all be sidelined. That means newly signed Cristhian Mosquera might be thrown straight in next to Saliba??"an untested partnership. In pre-season, Arsenal have conceded in 2 of 3 matches: against Newcastle (2 goals) and even AC Milan created chances. Tottenham’s backline is makeshift as well: No Dragusin, Udogie, or Solomon. Spence and Porro are attack-minded wingbacks and not known for their defensive solidity. Spurs conceded 2 goals to Wycombe, a League One side??"not promising.
11:20 Perth Glory v AC Milan

Over 2.50

Total Goals

100 WIN

@1.25

Win

25

Perth conceded almost 2 goals per game in the A-League against teams that are far less clinical than Milan. With Milan fielding highly motivated forwards like Chukwueze and Okafor, the chances of them conceding 3+ are very high. Perth are not expected to park the bus. Zdrilic emphasized giving players minutes and letting them enjoy the experience ??" meaning they will likely play a more open style than a side fully focused on containment.
02:30 Man Utd v Bournemouth

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

100 WIN

@1.62

Win

62

Fernandes remains Man United’s most reliable attacking outlet, having scored twice against West Ham and constantly influencing the tempo. Bournemouth struggled to contain midfield runners vs. Everton until they tightened after the break. Someone with Fernandes’s movement between the lines can exploit those gaps early. Bournemouth scored all 3 goals against Everton in the second half, continuing a trend from last season where they often finished stronger than they started. United tend to lose defensive cohesion after halftime, especially when Amorim begins rotating his lineup heavily.
01:30 St Louis City SC v Aston Villa

Aston Villa

100 WIN

@1.44

Win

44

Aston Villa come into this game after a respectable 2-2 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt, a Champions League-level side. They're building rhythm after some early preseason hiccups and are now fielding a much stronger, more competitive XI. St. Louis City, on the other hand, have only won 2 of their last 20 MLS matches and are on a five-loss-in-six-games skid, struggling for direction under interim management.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

125 WIN

@1.30

Win

38

St. Louis City have conceded an average of 2.1 goals per match across their last 10 games. Their backline is injury-hit, inexperienced (with new signings Orozco and Fall), and often collapses under pressure ??" as seen in their late loss to 10-man Minnesota. Aston Villa are also not at full defensive sharpness ??" conceding 3 goals to Hansa Rostock, a German 3rd-division side, and 2 more to Frankfurt. Preseason often brings defensive lapses.
30 July 2025
23:30 West Ham v Everton

West Ham

50 WIN

@2.40

Win

70

Despite losing Mohammed Kudus to Spurs and Summerville to injury, West Ham still have Jarrod Bowen, who is arguably the most in-form attacker between both squads. Bowen has scored 5 and assisted 3 in his last 6 appearances last season and already opened his account in the Summer Series. If Potter opts to use him centrally, he could exploit Everton’s makeshift backline lacking natural central defenders. Lucas Paquetá adds flair and playmaking quality in the final third, and James Ward-Prowse offers a constant threat from set-pieces, which is a serious issue for an Everton defense missing three center-backs. Everton are missing Branthwaite, Tarkowski, and Keane, forcing Moyes to use Patterson, O'Brien, and Mykolenko in unnatural central roles. This tactical compromise already backfired badly in the 0-3 loss to Bournemouth, and West Ham’s technically superior attackers (Paquetá, Bowen, and overlapping wingbacks like Walker-Peters) are more than capable of exploiting that vulnerability.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

75 WIN

@1.73

Win

55

Everton's backline is depleted beyond recognition. With all three of their first-choice center-backs missing, Moyes was forced into deploying Patterson, O'Brien, and Mykolenko centrally ??" none of whom are natural center-backs. Bournemouth cut through them easily in the second half, and West Ham’s fluid attackers are likely to do the same. West Ham’s defense isn’t rock-solid either. They conceded twice to Man United and tend to leak goals when pressed ??" 2.54 goals per match is their historical average in this fixture.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

75 WIN

@1.73

Win

55

Even with a solid structure under Potter, West Ham conceded 5 shots on target and 2 goals to Manchester United. They were vulnerable down the flanks and during transitions. Everton’s Thierno Barry showed flashes of sharp movement and could exploit any high line or lapses in focus. West Ham have also conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches and have not kept a clean sheet this summer.
10:30 Apia L Tigers v Melbourne City

Over 2.50

Total Goals

125 WIN

@1.40

Lose

-125

APIA Leichhardt Tigers: 3.0 goals scored per home game 1.1 goals conceded at home Average match total at home = 4.1 goals Melbourne City: 2.67 goals scored per away game 1.3 goals conceded per away game Average match total away = 3.97 goals

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

100 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-100

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are in red-hot scoring form, having scored in 9 of their last 10 matches and averaging 2.8 goals per game overall. At home, they’ve been even more clinical, scoring 3.0 goals per game across their last 10. Melbourne City has found the net in 70% of their last 10 away matches and are on a 9-match unbeaten streak. They also average 2.67 goals scored away from home, which is impressive.
10:30 Brisbane City v Brisbane Olympic FC

Over 2.50

Total Goals

100 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-100

Brisbane City ??" Goals Galore: Over their last 10 games: Average total match goals: 4.3 (2.3 scored, 2 conceded) Most recent match: 4??"2 win Their home matches alone average 3.5 goals They play an open, fluid game with an emphasis on attack, but are often caught out at the back.
10:30 Newcastle Jets v Adelaide United

Over 2.50

Total Goals

125 WIN

@1.36

Win

45

Newcastle Jets’ last 3 Australia Cup games all went over 2.5 goals (100% rate). In general, Newcastle’s recent 10-game form shows an average of 3.8 total goals per match (2.0 scored, 1.8 conceded). Adelaide United matches are even more goal-heavy: they average 4.9 total goals per game (2.1 scored, 2.8 conceded).

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

125 WIN

@1.36

Win

45

Newcastle Jets have scored 20 goals in their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals per game. At home, their average is even better: 2.17 goals per match. Adelaide United have scored 21 goals in their last 10, averaging 2.1 goals per game, and 1.83 goals per away game. Newcastle concede an average of 1.8 goals per match. Adelaide’s defense is worse, conceding 2.8 goals per game, including heavy defensive collapses in recent matches.
09:00 Elche v Getafe

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.88

Win

44

Elche’s 1.6 goals per game (1.5 at home) indicate consistent scoring output. Their ability to generate 5 shots on target against Blackburn, despite the loss, shows they create chances. Elche’s defense is solid, conceding just 0.9 goals per game. However, they conceded in their last friendly (0:1 vs. Blackburn), suggesting that even their strong defense can be breached, especially in non-competitive settings where focus may wane.
00:30 CHI Sky @ WAS Mystics

WAS Mystics

Money Line

100 WIN

@1.32

Win

32

Defense is Washington’s calling card. They excel at limiting opponents' offensive efficiency and are skilled at controlling tempo. Against Chicago??"who averages nearly 86 points allowed per game, one of the worst defensive marks in the league??"this defensive strength will be decisive. The Mystics’ ability to force contested shots, disrupt passing lanes, and contest rebounds will frustrate Chicago’s scorers and reduce their offensive flow. Sitting just outside the playoff spots, the Mystics have more to gain from a win, which often fuels urgency and focus. Their relatively better recent form (5 wins in the last 10) compared to Chicago’s (3 in 10) also shows they have momentum going in. For a team fighting for positioning, this boost is critical.

Over 157.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Chicago scored 78 points against Indiana recently despite losing and shot an efficient 43.1% FG and 40% from three. Their offense can be potent, especially when they get open looks from beyond the arc, as evidenced by 10 made threes in their last game. On the flip side, their defense allowed 93 points in that same game, showing vulnerability. While Washington is known more for defense, they still average around 80 points and can capitalize on free-throw opportunities. Chicago’s tendency to foul and Washington’s ability to hit free throws could push scoring up. Plus, Washington’s offense can find key moments to score in bursts, keeping the game pace fluid.
00:30 GS Valkyries @ ATL Dream

ATL Dream

Money Line

150 WIN

@1.27

Lose

-150

Atlanta averages 83.8 points per game (6th in the WNBA) with a 43.4% field goal percentage, showcasing their ability to execute efficiently on offense. Their recent 90-86 win over the Minnesota Lynx demonstrated their scoring prowess, shooting 52.3% from the field and 44.4% from three-point range (8/18). This offensive efficiency is particularly pronounced at home, where they frequently score over 84 points, as noted in their team overview. Key players like Brittney Griner, who scored 22 points on 61.5% shooting (8/13) against Minnesota, anchor Atlanta’s attack. Griner’s dominance in the paint, combined with the team’s improving three-point shooting, creates a versatile offensive threat that Golden State’s defense, which allows 40.7% field goal shooting, may struggle to contain.

Over 156.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Atlanta’s season average of 83.8 points per game and Golden State’s 78.8 points per game yield a combined expected total of 162.6 points, well above 156.5. Even accounting for defensive resistance, both teams’ scoring averages suggest a high likelihood of exceeding the line. At Gateway Center Arena, Atlanta frequently scores over 84 points, as noted in their team overview. Their recent home win against Minnesota saw them score 90 points on 52.3% shooting, including 8/18 from three (44.4%). This efficiency, combined with their fast-paced style (20.9 assists per game), often leads to high-scoring games.
00:00 Coco Gauff vs Danielle Collins

Coco Gauff

Win Match

150 WIN

@1.30

Win

45

Coco Gauff, ranked world No. 2, has had a stellar 2025 season with a 31-10 win-loss record, showcasing her ability to compete at the highest level. Her standout achievement this year includes winning the French Open, a testament to her prowess on major stages. While she experienced a disappointing grass-court season, with an early exit at Wimbledon to Dayana Yastremska, this loss appears to be an outlier, as she has only dropped her opening match once this season. Gauff’s ability to maintain a significant gap over the world No. 3 in the live rankings further underscores her consistency and dominance. In contrast, Danielle Collins, ranked 56th in the live rankings with a 15-11 record, has been inconsistent, losing four of her last seven matches, including a first-round exit in Washington to Magda Linette. Collins’ recent struggles suggest she’s not at her peak, making it challenging for her to match Gauff’s intensity and reliability over the course of a match.
00:00 Denis Shapovalov vs Learner Tien

Denis Shapovalov

Win Match

100 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-100

Shapovalov’s recent performance on hard courts strongly favors him in this matchup. He won the Los Cabos Open on July 19, 2025, securing his second ATP Tour hard court title of the year with four consecutive straight-sets victories. This demonstrates his ability to dominate matches on this surface without prolonged battles, which is critical in a high-stakes Masters event. His 71% game win rate on hard courts reflects his control over points, and his streak of winning the first set in his last four matches indicates he starts matches with intensity, putting immediate pressure on opponents like Tien, who may need time to settle in. In contrast, while Learner Tien has shown promise with a 14-7 hard court record in 2025, including a notable win over Andrey Rublev in Washington, his best result this year is a quarter-final in Acapulco. This suggests he’s competitive but lacks the consistent dominance Shapovalov has displayed recently. Shapovalov’s momentum from Los Cabos, combined with a first-round bye in Toronto, gives him both confidence and physical freshness, advantages that could prove decisive against a younger player coming off a qualifier match.

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