sandro

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sandro's Tips History

All tips
All sports
02 May 2024
20:45 Gerwyn Price vs Luke Humphries

Luke Humphries

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@1.62

Open

0

Humphries has won all 4 of the competitive matches they’ve played this year and I don’t really see why it would be any different here. Humphries needs the win whilst Price seems to have checked out mentally, so I am backing Humphries.

Luke Humphries -1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@2.00

Open

0

I am backing Humphries against this handicap because I don’t think anyone in the draw scores better than him whilst they’ve played three times over the last two months and he’s won by at least 3 legs in all of them.

Luke Humphries

Most 180s

50 WIN

@1.91

Open

0

Humphries has won on the 180s front easily in their last three meetings and I think he’ll probably win this comfortably, so I have to back Humphries to hit the most 180s here.

Under 6.50

Total 180s

50 WIN

@2.05

Open

0

I am definitely backing under 6.50 180s here because I think Price has checked out somewhat when it comes to the Premier League and Humphries is normally on it and tends to win this match comfortably, so I am backing few legs and not many 180s.

Under 9.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@1.80

Open

0

I am backing under 9.50 legs here because the last two meetings between these two have seen Humphries win by 4 legs and the one before that was by 3 legs. Humprhies has all the motivation to win and Price has none of that, so I am backing under 9.50 legs here.
20:15 Michael van Gerwen vs Rob Cross

Rob Cross

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

These two played last week and Cross won 6-2 whilst van Gerwen just genuinely has no played well consistently all years and it commonly in the mid 90 averages, so I think at these odds then it is Cross who should be backed.

Rob Cross 1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

We saw Cross win 6-2 in their meeting last week and European Trophy at the weekend in Austria suggests there isn’t much that’s likely to change in this meeting, so I think there’s good value in Cross here which is why I am backing him with this handicap.

Draw

Most 180s

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

I can see a draw on the 180s here because it was a draw in their first meeting of this Premier League, van Gerwen won the 180s in the second and Cross won it in the last, so there’s no consistent victor in this match-up and the total will probably be low anyway, so I am backing a draw.

Over 9.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Cross won this match 6-2 last week but MvG did miss a whole host of doubles and although I think Cross will win again, I expect that the Dutchman will put in a better performance here and it’ll be closer, so I am backing over 9.50 legs.
20:00 Aston Villa v Olympiakos

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

I am actually backing against btts here because Villa are a really strong home side and just generally a strong side whilst Olympiakos have travelled to Fenerbahce, Freiburg and West Ham this season and failed to score, so I am backing against btts in this one.

Aston Villa & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

Olympiakos have gone away in Europe to a few good teams thi sseaosn in Fenerbahce, Freiburg and West Ham without scoring a goal and indeed losing the match whilst I think Aston Villa are certainly their strongest opponents yet, so I am backing a home win to nil here.

Aston Villa (AH) -1.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.98

Lose

-50

I actually think Villa will win this one fairly comfortably because I anticipate Olympiakos will try to keep it tight here but I can't see them stopping a Villa side of this quality and they did lost 1-0 at West Ham and 5-0 at Freiburg away to teams in top European leagues this season and Villa are the strongest side yet, so I am backing Aston Villa against this handicap.

Leon Bailey

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

I think Bailey has been impressive all season and 15 goals off the winger is a pretty strong return for him. I expect Olympiakos to sit deep here, therefore I can see him getting a lot of the ball and he does have 4 conference league goals this season, so I am backing him first goal in this one.

Aston Villa #2-0

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Olympiakos have failed to score at Freiburg, West Ham and Fenerbahce away from home this season, so I can't see them scoring against a better team in Aston Villa. I think Villa are really strong at home and given Olympiakos lost 1-0 at West Ham then I think this could end in a 2-0 home win.
20:00 Fiorentina v Club Brugge

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Fiorentina aren't a great side at home and I don't expect anything but a cagey affair here because Brugge has been strong away from home in Europe whilst Fiorentina couldn't break Plzen down in either match until extra time in the last round, so I am backing under 2.50 goals here.

Draw & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

I don't think Fiorentina are great and they definitely have struggled to break teams down this season. They played out two 0-0s in the last round against Plzen and I think Club Brugge will come here to frustrate and take a 0-0 too, so I am backing draw and against btts here.

Club Brugge (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

Brugge has done really well in Europe this season and gone to places like Bodo/Glimt, Besiktas and PAOK winning them all whilst Fiorentina aren't a brilliant side and they've struggled at home in Europe to break teams down, so I would back Club Brugge with this handicap.

No Goalscorer

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

I am backing no goalscorer here because Brugge has been really strong away from home in Europe this season and I think they’ll be happy with a 0-0 here whilst Fiorentina don’t have a dependable goalscorer which is why they were taken to extra time in the last round after two 0-0 matches against Plzen, so I am anticipating a goalless match here and backing no goalscorer.

Draw #0-0

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

I am backing 0-0 here because I think Club Brugge would be happy with the draw whilst Fiorentina do struggle to break teams down as shown by the two 0-0s in the last round whilst Club Brugge have been strong (defensively) on the road in Europe this season.
20:00 Marseille v Atalanta

Atalanta

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

Marseille are one of those teams that are stronger at home but I am backing an Atalanta win here because they’re a side that play with no fear and they turned around a cup match to beat Fiorentina last week whilst they thumped Liverpool 3-0 at Anfield, so I think they can take the win here.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

I am definitely backing btts here because Marseille are an extremely strong side at home and have players they can rely on to score goals but Atalanta are scoring machines and concede plenty, so I would be shocked if both teams don’t end up on the scoresheet in this one.

Atalanta & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Marseille are playing well and they’re really strong at home whilst generally Atalanta are a side that leak a goal, so I can see the home side scoring but I do think Atalanta are a better side and they showed with their 3-0 win at Anfield that they’re afraid of nobody, so I think this will be an away win and btts.

Gianluca Scamacca

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@7.00

Win

300

Scamacca is in really hot form at the moment with goals in 7 of his last 10 matches and Atalanta are in top form and a strong side, so I am backing him first goal here.
20:00 Roma v Bayer Leverkusen

Draw

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

I can’t back a home win here because Bayer Leverkusen are literally unbeaten the entire season so far. I think Roma have been pretty brilliant under De Rossi too though and Dybala makes a big difference to them. I can’t really split these sides, so I am backing a quality draw.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

I think these sides are both very good and obviously Bayer Leverkusen are arguably the best team in Europe this season but Roma under De Rossi have been fantastic, so I think there’s so much quality in both sides that btts has to happen here.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

I am backing a draw and btts here because I just think with Roma’s form under De Rossi and the way they knocked Milan out last round combined with Bayer Leverkusen being unbeaten champions in Germany then it’s hard to back either side to lose and there’s so much quality that I think they will both score.

Victor Boniface

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Bayer Leverkusen have been one of the best teams in Europe this season and obviously are German champions, so I think they’re the safer bet to score first and Boniface will start up front here and he’s scored 18 goals in 30 matches this season and is recently back from injury to make a difference, so I can see him scoring first goal.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

I could see a 1-1 draw here because Roma do concede but they’ve brilliant under De Rossi and the way they took out Milan last round was fantastic whilst Bayer Leverkusen literally haven’t lost a match this season, so a draw sounds about right and I think 1-1 is fair.
19:45 Luke Littler vs Nathan Aspinall

Nathan Aspinall

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

Aspinall generally plays well in the QF stage of these things and they’ve played each other 5 times in the Premier League and the only 100+ average hit was by Aspinall which is the match he won whilst he averaged 106 against Humphries last week in the QF, so I think it’s worth backing Aspinall to win at these odds.

Nathan Aspinall 1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

Littler has qualified now, so the pressure is off which I actually think might hinder him here as Aspinall does need the points and they played a 6-5 match last week that Aspinall should have won whilst Littler hasn’t hit a 100+ average in any of their 5 PL meetings, so I think Aspinall with this handicap is worth backing.

Nathan Aspinall

Most 180s

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

They’ve played 5 times in the Premier League with Littler winning 4 matches. Of those 5 matches, Littler has hit more 180s in just 2 of them whilst 1 was a draw on that front. I think Aspinall definitely needs the points more here and he tends to show up in the first match of the night, so Aspinall is worth backing most 180s in this one.

Over 6.50

Total 180s

50 WIN

@2.30

Win

65

I think Littler will be showboating in this one because he has qualified whilst the match they played last week saw him hit 6 alone and Aspinall score a couple. I actually think Aspinall will turn up with his scoring in this one, so I can definitely see over 6.50 180s coming off here.

Over 9.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

The two have played each other 5 times in the Premier League this year and none have resulted in a beating with a couple of 6-3s the lowest amount of legs whilst their last three meetings have all been 6-4 or 6-5, so I am backing over 9.50 legs here
19:30 Chelsea v Tottenham

Chelsea

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

I tend to think when it comes to Spurs that they're just too open defensively which is also the case for Chelsea but I think Chelsea have been in better form and they tend to play well in this fixture, so I am backing a home win here.

Chelsea & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@3.00

Open

0

When you look at the way that both of these teams play then I think it is absolutely inevitable that there'll be goals in this match for both teams, but Chelsea tend to show up in this fixture and in spite of the Arsenal result, they have been in decent form over the last couple of months in their charge for Europe, so I am backing a home win and btts here.

Cristian Romero

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@13.00

Open

0

I don't think that Chelsea are a particularly well organised side whilst Romero has been a magnet on set pieces much of the season and has 5 goals in 28 matches whilst he could have had 4 against Arsenal at the weekend, so I am backing him anytime here.
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Axel Disasi

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@34.00

Open

0

Disasi has scored 2 goals in the league this season but he's always a threat from set pieces and that's especially the case in home matches where he's even has disallowed goals recently. Spurs are poor on set pieces and conceded from two corners against Arsenal, so I think Disasi is worth backing first goal here.
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Brennan Johnson

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@7.00

Open

0

This is one of those matches where pretty much anyone can get booked because matches between these two are always heated but Johnson is a snidey and tetchy character who has a few bookings to his name this season and would definitely get involved in altercations, so I am backing him to be booked here.
19:15 Peter Wright vs Michael Smith

Michael Smith -1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

I think that Smith probably wins this one fairly comfortably because obviously he is the one who needs to points for a play-off place whilst Wright has been poor most of this campaign and is fizzling out, so I am backing Smith against this handicap.

Michael Smith

Most 180s

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

I would be surprised if Smith doesn’t hit more 180s because he is the one who needs the points whilst Wright has been poor all year and is fizzling out, so I am backing Smith more 180s.

Over 5.50

Total 180s

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

I think we might just see over 5.50 180s in this one because I expect Smith to turn up focused in these last few weeks because he is in a fight for the play offs and Wright even in his poor form is capable of one or two 180s, so I am backing over in this one.

Under 9.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

I think Smith will win this one fairly comfortably because even in losing to Cross last week, he still managed a 103 average and Wright hasn’t really shown much to suggest he’ll hit near that here. I think Smith will win 6-3, so I am backing under 9.50 legs
19:00 Daniil Medvedev vs Jiri Lehecka

Jiri Lehecka

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.50

Open

0

I actually think Medvedev is playing fairly well this week but Lehecka has three wins without dropping a set whilst he just beat Rafa in straight sets as well, so I think he's worth backin gto beat Medvedev here who has a hate-hate relationship with the clay.

Jiri Lehecka to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@4.50

Open

0

Jiri has looked really strong this week and his first serve has been brutal whilst he's yet to drop a set and beat Rafa in the last round against an incredibly tough crowd, so considering Medvedev isn't really a fan of the clay then I think Lehecka could get on top early and take this 2-0.

Jiri Lehecka

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@2.30

Open

0

Lehecka has served incredibly well this week and he's won all three matches in straight sets and that includes Nadal in the last round in front of a home crowd, so I think he has a lot of momentum and Medvedev isn't much of a clay fan in general, so I am backing the Czech to take the first set here.
10:00 Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime

Felix Auger Aliassime

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.40

Void

0

I am backing Felix here because I think he's looking strong this week and he's just took out an extremely in form Casper Ruud in the last round in straight sets whilst I think these courts suit him to a tee. Sinner hasn't performed that well in his last two matches in my opinion and he did get crushed when they met here previously a couple of years ago, so I think Auger-Aliassime can win this one.

Felix Auger Aliassime to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@6.50

Void

0

I haven't been convinced by Sinner in his last two matches and I think Felix is playing extremely well this week and taking out Ruud last round was an indication of that. These courts do suit the Canadian and he actually won 6-1 6-2 when they met a coupel of years ago here, so I am backing Felix in straight sets here.

Felix Auger Aliassime

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@3.00

Void

0

I'm not sure clay is the best surface for Sinner and I don't think his last two matches have been partiularly convincing whilst Felix has looked strong this week and just knocked out an in form Ruud in straight sets whilst these Madrid courts do suit his game and he beat Sinner here comfortably a couple of years ago, so I am backing the Canadian to come out stronger and take the first set.
01 May 2024
20:30 Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo

Francisco Cerundolo

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

Cerundolo has looked really good this week whilst he beat Zverev in the last round and he beat Fritz in their only meeting which was the clay of Roland Garros last year, so I am backing Cerundolo to win this one.

Francisco Cerundolo to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

I think Cerundolo 2-0 is good here because I overall haven’t been impressed with Fritz this clay season and the Argentinian is playing well this week and at his best on clay whilst he won their only meeting on clay last year fairly confidently, so I am backing Cerundolo in straight sets here.

Francisco Cerundolo

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@2.37

Lose

-50

I think there is really good value in Cerundolo here because the Argentinian is at his best on clay whilst Fritz isn’t great on the surface and Cerundolo is playing well enough that he took out Zverev in straight sets last match, so I am backing Cerundolo to take the first set here.
20:00 Borussia Dortmund v PSG

Borussia Dortmund

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

88

I actually think that PSG have been fortunate to make it this far and I don't think they would have without the Barcelona red card in the SFs. Dortmund have been very good in Europe this season and it was 1-1 in the group stage between these teams in this fixture but I think Dortmund were unlucky in this one and I think they have what it takes to win here.

Borussia Dortmund & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

I think when you look at both of these teams then goals seems to be a given and it was 1-1 when they met in the group stage, so at this stage of the tournament then I think both teams scoring is likely, but Dortmund showed their revolve in the last round against Atletico where they scored 4 at home and I think they've been at their best in Europe this season, so I am backing a home win and btts here.

Jadon Sancho

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

I think Sancho is starting to really settle back into Dortmund and get back his best as we saw with a great goal to kick off the scoring at Leipzig last weekend whilst he did score against PSV in a home knockout tie for Dortmund, so I am backing him anytime in this one.

Niclas Fullkrug

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@8.00

Win

350

I do think that PSG struggle aerially and Fullkrug is a bveyr phsyical striker who has 12 goals in 28 matches this season has both his CL goals di come at home including against Atletico in the QFs, so I am backing him first goal here.

Nico Schlotterbeck

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@5.50

Win

225

Schlotterbeck isn't the most mobile of defenders and PSG are a side with a pretty dangerous and fluid attack whilst he has booked against PSG in the group stage and has as many (3) bookings in 9 champions league appearances as he does in 30 league matches, so I could see him being booked here.
14:00 Ascoli v Cosenza

Ascoli #1-0

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Ascoli are the third lowest scorers in the league with 34 goals in 35 matches but they've only conceded 38 goals too whilst Cosenza have scored 8 more goals and conceded 39, so I don't think there's going to be many goals in this one. I can see one goal making the difference and Ascoli need the points more, so I am backing a 1-0 home win.
14:00 Catanzaro v Venezia

Venezia

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Catanzaro have only won 2 of their last 7 at home whilst Venezia are competing for automatic promotion and had a similar task when they travelled to Palermo a few weeks ago and they won that 3-0, so I think the away side will get the job done here with a win.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.70

Win

35

Venezia are the highest scorers in the league this season with 64 goals and they've still conceded more than a goal a game whilst Catanzaro are themselves the 4th highest scorers in the league, so I think we can expect goals from this one and I am backing over 2.50 goals here.

Venezia & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

We have the highest scorers in the league away to the 4th highest scorers in the league here, so I think btts is a likely event here. Venezia have been in winning form on the road lately whilst they have a chance of automatic promotion whilst Catanzaro look rather nailed on for promotion play-offs, so I can see an away win and btts here.

Joel Pohjanpalo

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Venezia do have the top scorer in the league and not only has he scored 20 in 30 this season but he's the penalty taker and has scored the first goal 12 times, so I am backing him first goalscorer here.
00:00 Estudiantes LP v Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Estudiantes did win 1-0 when they met in the group stage but I do think Boca Juniors are generally a better side and this is at a neutral groun and that 3-2 win from Boca Juniors over River last round was impressive and an indication of their form, so I am backing an away win.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

I think Boca are the biggest scorers in Argentina and the 3-2 win over River in the QFs showed that. I think they'll definitely score in the 90 minutes here and that has to open the match up, so I feel that over 2.50 goals represents good value here.

Boca Juniors & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Boca have been great pretty much since Cavani came into the side and they have won 6 of their last 8 matches coming into this match and only one of those have they kept a clean sheet, so I am backing an away win and btts in this one.

Edinson Cavani

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

I think Cavani has been sensational for Boca since coming into the side and he's scored 7 goals in 11 matches in this competition and most of them have been in their recent matches, so he is in top form and I am backing him first goal here.

Boca Juniors #3-1

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

I think Boca are the stronger side here and they've won 6 of their last 8 matches in this competitoin. They've managed to score 3 goals in 4 of those wins and they've only kept 1 clean sheet, so I think a 3-1 Boca Juniors win is worth backing here.

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