Sean mc namara
Ex Irish independent bookmaker of 10 years, I only punt Irish h’caps , solving the puzzle of a wide open h’cap fascinates me, so finding that long-shot is my daily goal.. I rarely punt single figures, and given the nature of that I often go long droughts with no winner ..! I’ll persevere with the jumps but I do love a 0-65 flat handicap..
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Sean mc namara's Tips History
15 June 2025
22:45 US Open
Harris English
25 EW
@91.00
Lose
-50
#2 Harris English
Oakmont’s tight fairways and slick greens play to English’s strengths. He’s a fairway hitter, nailing 68.8% last season (15th on TOUR) while averaging 300.0 yards off the tee with a 0.155 SG: Off-the-Tee. His iron play can waver (-0.103 SG: Approach), but he was lights-out at the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open, ranking 4th in SG: Approach (3.961) to win at Torrey Pines, a U.S. Open-style course.
English is in top form: T2 at the 2025 PGA Championship, T19 at THE PLAYERS, and five top-20s in his last ten starts. His U.S. Open history is solid??"T4 in 2021, T8 in 2023??"showing he handles major pressure. His putter’s been hot, gaining 6.039 SG: Putting at Farmers, and his 19.44% par-breaker rate fits Oakmont’s par-is-king vibe. Post-hip surgery, the 35-year-old Georgian is healthy and battle-tested. English’s precision and grit make him a contender.
Russell Henley
25 EW
@61.00
Lose
-50
#3 Russell Henley. Oakmont’s tight fairways and punishing greens are right in Henley’s wheelhouse. His elite driving accuracy??"73.5% last season (3rd on TOUR)??"and 295.7-yard average keep him in play on this brutal course. His approach game is rock-solid, with a 0.343 SG: Approach (33rd) and 7.877 SG: Approach at the 2024 Valero Texas Open, where he finished 4th. Henley’s form is red-hot: a win at the 2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational (11-under), T5 at the Memorial, and T7 at the 2024 U.S. Open (1-under). He’s posted five top-10s in his last ten starts, including a T4 at the 2023 Masters. His U.S. Open record is strong, with a 20th-place average over five starts and top-25s in four of his last five. On the greens, he’s clutch, averaging 0.304 SG: Putting (39th) and 27.90 putts per round (7th). The Georgia native thrives under pressure, and Oakmont’s grind suits his steady, mistake-avoiding style (22.53% par-breaker rate). With his recent momentum and course fit, Henley’s a contender.
20:10 US Open
Keegan Bradley
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Backing 3 this week, #1 Keegan Bradley. Oakmont’s tight fairways and brutal greens suit his game. He hits 65.9% of fairways (39th on TOUR) and averages 305.5 yards off the tee, with a 0.173 SG: Off-the-Tee. His iron play is elite??"0.577 SG: Approach (14th) and 67.41% greens in regulation??"perfect for Oakmont’s demands. Bradley’s form is strong: T7 at the Memorial, T8 at the 2025 PGA, and a win at the 2024 BMW Championship. As a Northeast native and 2025 Ryder Cup captain, he’s unfazed by pressure or Poa greens. His bogey avoidance (22.88% par-breakers) fits a U.S. Open grind. His Putting’s a question but recent flashes suggest he can heat up…. I won’t be talked out of backing him..
15:35 3:35 Gowran Park
Eagles Whistle
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@17.00
Void
0
Eagles Whistle might be worth chancing. She hasn’t troubled the judge yet but has hinted at ability, and her day might not be far away. Didn’t show a whole pile on the all-weather, but two recent turf runs were encouraging. She responded well under pressure last time out in Listowel, flew home over 7, suggesting the extra furlong will suit. Prior to that in Killarney, she met interference and flew home when the gap came. Chris Hayes staying loyal is another positive. Maybe she wants further than a mile (maybe not). Either way, I’ll pull the trigger today.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-150
14 June 2025
14:50 2:50 Downpatrick
Nevereverever
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@13.00
Void
0
The booking of alan o Sullivan catches the eye here for joe Murphy’s NEVERNEVERNEVER in this 0-100 qualified rider’s event , there’s rain forecast and that’s welcome , this 6 y/o was placed twice last season on yielding and soft .. forgiveness is required after 2 x no shows last twice, but they’ve reached for the cheekpieces and he might leave those runs behind, especially in the hands of this excellent amateur.. risky though
Subtotal0
13 June 2025
18:50 6:50 Fairyhouse
Amanirenas
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@21.00
Void
0
You can chuck a line through Micheal Grassick’s AMANIRENAS last run, here last week, she was drawn 21 and you have no chance around here drawn that high, low numbers are massively favoured here as they round a tight bend .. she’s won here twice, once over this trip, she’s down to a career low mark, they’ve added the 1st time cheekpieces and out of trap 2 today I think she needs to show more ticks enough boxes to warrant a small ew poke..
Subtotal0
12 June 2025
17:50 5:50 Leopardstown
Cordouan
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 11/06 at 20:360.00 deduction for Browned Off@21.00 withdrawn at 11:070.10 deduction for Hugos Girl @8.000 withdrawn at 13:050.10 deduction for Prince Of Eyeries @10.000 withdrawn at 15:150.10 deduction for James Henry @7.500 withdrawn at 15:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.3) = 10.80
@10.80
Win
24
CORDOUAN caught the eye the last twice, LTO in the Curragh, he was held up and got a hands and heels ride to the line, making up giant strides in the final furlong (stable won it with Ransom). Prior to that in Roscommon, he met interference at the 2 pole and probably had more to give. Paddy McGettigan, who rode Ransom, jumps back in the plate. He has his favorable quick ground, drawn low in trap 2 helps, and another positive is the handicapper has relented another 2lb. Happy to play this lad.
Subtotal24
11 June 2025
18:50 6:50 Limerick
Church Mountain
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
CHURCH MOUNTAIN ticks a few boxes here today. He’s a 2-time course and distance winner, has won off this mark (and higher), has form, and winning form on good and good to firm. He has won 4 times at 1 mile. Dennis Hogan's team is in good spirits. He’s drawn wide, which the trainer has stated suits him as he doesn’t like too much cover. On the negative side, he’s probably a few ticks above a mark I'd ideally like, and with a lot of these relatively exposed types, things have to go right. But at the price, a chance can be taken nevertheless.
17:20 5:20 Limerick
Invigorated
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 19.00 takenDead heat 3 horses sharing 2 placesBOGDH
@26.00
Win
50
Jéssica Harrington’s INVIGORATED should improve now she’s handicapping. She’s had her 3 maiden spins without showing a whole pile. She did, however, run well without showing her hand, given a hands and heels ride on her 2nd maiden on good ground. Up in trip today, back on a sound surface, and with Harrington’s stable flying, I’ll take a chance on her 2nd string can step forward.
Subtotal0
10 June 2025
19:58 7:58 Sligo
Love Like This
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@12.00
Win
30
LOVE LIKE THIS is a consistent sort , and probably frustrating, but should have her day, finished twice here at Sligo last year albeit in maiden Company, has been placed five times this year alone so wouldn’t be winning out of turn, and considering how well John ryan’s team are preforming right now might be worth chancing her at double digits .. placed off this mark on more than a few occasions.. there’s more than enough here in a wide open contest to warrant an ew poke.
Subtotal30
08 June 2025
22:45 RBC Canadian Open
Erik van Rooyen
25 EW
@67.00
Lose
-50
Leaning towards Erik van Rooyen due to his exceptional recent form and course fit. Fresh off a dominant U.S. Open qualifier performance, shooting 13-under to earn medalist honors, van Rooyen is in great shape. His strong driving (seventh in SG: Off-the-Tee) and solid approach play (43rd in SG: Approach) align with the par-70 North Course’s 7,389-yard layout, which favors long hitters. With two top-10 finishes this season, including a T-2 at the Cognizant Classic, 66/1 about this birdie-making machine makes him a live play.
Mackenzie Hughes
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Mackenzie Hughes has a squeak. His recent form (three top-10s in seven starts) and elite short game (fifth on 200-225 yard par-3s, 18th in SG: Putting) fit the par-70 North Course’s demands. With two top-10s in his last five Canadian Opens and hometown motivation as a Canadian, Hughes is poised to shine. At 40/1 I think he’s a strong value pick in this weaker field.
Rasmus Hojgaard
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Rasmus Højgaard, a second-place finisher at the Zurich Classic and a T-12 at the WM Phoenix Open, excels at ball-striking, ranking eighth in Around-the-Green and fourth in driving distance at Pebble Beach. His five DP World Tour wins, including the 2024 Amgen Irish Open, showcase his clutch performances. With his power, consistency, and potential course fit, a 50/1 is an appealing proposition.
20:10 RBC Canadian Open
Sungjae Im
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
I’m backing Sungjae due to his strong all-around game and recent form. Ranked 18th globally, Im’s elite precision in iron play and bogey avoidance suits the par-70 North Course’s demands. His 2025 season includes a third-place finish at The Sentry and a T-5 at the Masters. Despite weaker approach play recently, Im’s strengths off the tee and on the greens should create ample birdie opportunities. At 33/1, his consistency and major experience make him a strong play to hopefully capitalize on this weaker field.
Subtotal-200
07 June 2025
15:15 3:15 Navan
Nouvel Espoir
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@21.00
Win
75
James Barcone’s NOUVEL ESPOIR pops out at me. This 5 y/o improved after his season opener to win here at Navan over the flying 5 last year. So it’s easy to put a line through that Curragh 6f LTO where he probably needed the run. He appears to love it here at Proudstown. He’s a C/D winner and has placed twice from 4 visits. He’s back on his last winning mark of 65. The 10-pound claimer Sam Wallace is a bit of a concern, but other than that he’s ticking a few boxes. At 20/1, I chuck a penny in the well.
Subtotal75
06 June 2025
19:20 7:20 Clonmel
Avalo
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Fingers crossed the rain stays away. Peter Fahy’s AVALO landed a massive punt (33/1-7/2) LTO to win his maiden at Wexford. Peter Fahy cited the improvement came from the quicker going. When you read (progress 3 out, led before straight, drew clear from 2 out, eased close home), you gotta think he’s on the upgrade. How good or bad this mark of 105 is, we’ll know after the race but He looks progressive. I’ll take a chance.
18:25 6:25 Fairyhouse
Rattletheonionbag
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
Every dog has his day , and RATTLETHEONIONBAG might have her day today, this 5 y/o filly was placed off 45,46 and 49 this year alone now drops to 41 and has been given what looks like a real chance by the handicapper.. declan mc donagh has stuck with this filly for a while now and im sure he’d love to get her head in front for Tipperary handler willie Browne .. she’s drawn in the 3 box and low numbers have a distinctive advantage here over 6 furlongs, a trip she’s been placed at 7 times in her carrier., I think there's every chance she'll be in the mix.
17:35 5:35 Clonmel
Voice Of Reason
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
25
Voice of Reason won a claimer LTO for Gordon Elliot (16/1-10/1) and was claimed by William Delahuntay for 4k. He’s back here today at Clonmel tackling a handicap (slightly shorter) that on paper looks no better than a claimer. My immediate reaction is they’ve found a good opportunity to win again. I like the fact that Delahuntay has retained winning pilot and Dublin-born jockey Paddy Cleary to ride him again. It’s a 5lb rise, but he has his ground again (Cleary said he loved the ground) and I don’t see any reason to disown him today.
Subtotal-75
05 June 2025
20:05 8:05 Leopardstown
Moonhall Lass
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Alan McIntyre’s MOONHALL LASS has a pop at a mile today. Based on her performance LTO in Roscommon, keeping on well inside the dying stages, suggests to my untrained eye she might need that extra furlong. Adding to that, that’s 2 x 0-90s she’s run well in now, boxing above her division 65 rated. This drop to the 0-70 grade with the handicapper shaving off another 2lb could be what the doctor ordered. If they punted this filly 16/1-11/2f LTO in that grade, they’ll surely fancy this today, if she stays the mile of course.
1 member found this comment useful
19:30 7:30 Leopardstown
Eastern Wind
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
It might pay to be onside with EASTERN WIND here tonight. She’s clearly in good heart after she won a maiden hurdle LTO in Tipp, and prior to that, won a mile 4 flat at Bellewstown. Tom McCourt said after that win that she's down to a lovely mark on the flat and was ground versatile. She’s won twice round here, and trap 1 tonight is very appealing considering that. She’s getting weight from all of these. She might be ahead of the handicapper, runs off 62 today, and has won off 74 & 76. The more I look at her, the more I like her. I'll strike while the iron is hot.
18:55 6:55 Leopardstown
Unterberg
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
I think Laura Hourigan’s HUNTERBERG comes here with as good a chance as any. He has to back up that good second at Cork LTO, but should appreciate the extra furlong (has won at 1 mile 2). He has been placed off this mark twice, both on turf and AW. Rory Mulligan retains the ride. That 7lbs makes this lad appealing for me at the weights as this is a slight drop in grade. It’s drifted a little this morning, but that won’t put me off. I fancy it and it ticks a few boxes.
Subtotal-150
04 June 2025
20:30 8:30 Curragh
Gordon Bennett
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 04/06 at 08:120.15 deduction for White Clover@5.50 withdrawn at 10:310.10 deduction for Dynamic Force @10.000 withdrawn at 10:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.25) = 7.75
@7.75
Win
8
I’m drawn to Richard Brabazon’s Gordon Bennett. The Curragh handler rarely races this 7 y/o outside of here and Naas. He’s got traveling issues. He’s a C/D winner, runs off 69 but has won off 90/80 & 73, so he’s a long way below his last winning mark. It’s easy to put a line through his last run; it was a 0-90. Prior to that, he was punted 12/1-4/1f and got carried wide entering the straight and was beaten by 5 lengths in a 0-70. The handicapper drops him 6 lbs since that, and given it’s another drop in grade today, his chance might not be far away. The booking of Dylan Brown McMonagle catches the eye also. Leading chance in a fiercely competitive handicap.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal8
02 June 2025
15:40 3:40 Listowel
Zuzukel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
A nice pot here for some average types. It’s a 0-140 but only attracted a top weight of 123, so very ‘winnable’. Tony Martin has a 38k purchase in here off bottom weight and just might make a mockery of this mark. He has had 3 maiden hurdle spins, followed by 2 flat maiden spins without revealing his hand. This 5 y/o shouldn’t be lacking for fitness. It's a nice pot, and I'd sincerely doubt he'll try and bury it here. He’s getting weight from all of them, and while it’s a bit of a punt in the dark, I'll chance an each-way poke at double digits and hide behind the couch..!!
14:07 2:07 Gowran Park
Share The Treasure
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
I’ve backed SHARETHETREASURE twice now, and she’s left me with egg on my face. She stood up in the gates and missed the break LTO here, so forgiveness is required. I’m hoping the first-time visor can eke out a little improvement. The handicapper has been more than fair, shaving off another 3 lbs, leaving her at a career low..
Subtotal-100
01 June 2025
22:45 The Memorial Tournament
Sepp Straka
25 EW
@41.00
Win
175
Sepp Straka, with 2 wins under his belt already this season, the American Express and the Truist, has played this event 5 times and has 2 top 25s and a top 10 to call on. He’s coming into this hotter than ever and could improve on those numbers now. The world number 9 looks set fair for a good week.
Shane Lowry
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Would be madness to leave out Lowry this week. He’s played well here in the past with 3 top 25s and a top 10. The world number 14 is 10 from 12 on the season with 2 seconds and 4 top 10s and 5 million banked. His game suits Muirfield where accuracy trumps distance. His putter is solid in general, but if it lights up this week, he might improve on his recent Truist 2nd.
Tommy Fleetwood
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
Tommy Fleetwood is one of the first names on my list this week For me, the world number 12 is 11 from 11 cuts made this season with 4 top 10s, and 3 of them in the last 4 tournaments. He’s hitting top form, and a win can’t be far away for this accurate ball striker.
21:10 The Memorial Tournament
Viktor Hovland
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
World number 13, Victor Hovland, will be a popular 'tip' this week. He won this in '23 and has a top 10 and 2 top 25s. He's already a winner this season and has 4 top 10s on his CV. He did pick up a rib injury mid-season but showed no ill effects last time out in the PGA, finishing T28. Never missed the cut here, looks set fair for a good week.
15:17 3:17 Kilbeggan
Silent Dawn
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
SILENT DAWN has had 3 spins this season and looks like someone ready to collect a cheque. He looked a winner jumping the 2nd last LTO here at Kilbeggan but didn’t find enough at the business end. Similar story at Clonmel on his penultimate start, finishing 3rd of 13, and prior to that fell at the last at Clonmel. Adrian Murray’s 6 y/o has given the impression stepping up in trip won't inconvenience him too much, and the 1st time cheekpieces offer hope also.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-25
31 May 2025
19:15 7:15 Tramore
Surviving Murmansk
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 26.00 on 31/05 at 10:570.15 deduction for Cramers Valley@5.50 withdrawn at 10:590.00 deduction for Torquay Road @21.000 withdrawn at 17:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 25.00 x (1-0.15) = 22.25
@22.25
Win
81
There are four in this that are having their first run in a handicap, and I tried desperately hard to make a case for one, but I just couldn’t make anything stick. I should maybe walk away, but I’m going to throw a wild dart at an exposed one in SURVIVING MURMANSK. He’s a well below average sort, hasn’t troubled the judge in either code, but digging a little deeper, I did notice his two best hurdle runs have been here in Tramore. Two runs back, he finished a respectable 4th of 12 here, the hope is he could build on that , went chasing next and pulled up, so scratch that. In 2023, he finished 4th here at this level, beaten by 5 lengths. They don’t all handle this place. Tentative each way from me..
15:40 3:40 Listowel
Toor Moon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
TOOR MOON’s mark is slipping and his day might be coming. He’s no complete duffer as he has loads of place form back along. If this was Tramore, I’d fancy him more as he was 2nd there twice last season. He’d been placed off 90 and 92 twice (runs off 84 today). Has placed on good as well as soft,listowel can come up soft in a jiffy, and has had the benefit of a recent run (6th of 16). They’ve benched the regular apprentice rider for Donagh Meyler. 33/1 isn’t bad at all ..
Subtotal31
30 May 2025
19:20 7:20 Tramore
The Border Boy
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 29/05 at 22:530.00 deduction for Bob The Builder@15.00 withdrawn at 08:350.10 deduction for Bite That @7.500 withdrawn at 09:270.00 deduction for Tea It Is @13.000 withdrawn at 11:050.10 deduction for Mother Ship @9.000 withdrawn at 11:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.2) = 10.60
@10.60
Win
23
I’m taking a chance on Sean Aherne’s THE BORDER BOY here. It’s a sea of duck eggs, but the added first-time cheekpieces might bring out that bit of improvement required. His best snippet of form was here in this race last year, finished 5th, beaten 5 lengths off 86. Off 74 today and a run under his belt, he should be strip fitter. Not one to get overly confident in, I understand, but has shown a liking for the track and now 12 lbs better off.
18:33 6:33 Down Royal
Breath Of You
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
BREATH OF YOU ticks a few boxes in this 0/60 over 7 furlongs for 3-year-olds. Ran on late over 6 LTO at Navan, shaped like she wanted and needed further. This ex-French filly had 2 spins over a mile prior to that, and we can safely put a line through them now based on that performance at Navan. She’s down 10 lbs now after those 3 runs and has a low draw here today on ground it appears she likes, suggesting she shouldn’t be far away.
Subtotal-27
29 May 2025
19:57 7:57 Fairyhouse
Barrys Rock
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
1st reserve BARRYS ROCK seldom runs a bad race here at Fairyhouse. He somehow keeps his best form for here. Was placed 4 times here the last 2 seasons off higher marks than this. Has run well fresh here too when 2nd here off a winter break 2 seasons back. That’s all the good stuff. The bad stuff is he’s 10 and still a maiden, and others bring way more form to the table. But at 33/1, I’ll have a wild swing.
18:57 6:57 Fairyhouse
Layoftheland
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
The handicapper appears to have put it on a plate for Sean Davis's LAYOFTHELAND, but is this 4 y/o ready to go first time up on the season? He finished 3rd here at Fairyhouse last year off 60. His early season form fell off a cliff as the flat season closed out, and as a result, this mark has fallen to 46. His best snippets of form came on 'good/soft' and even 'heavy.' Given the forecast of overnight rain, this good to firm shouldn't last. It's very competitive, loads in with chances, but this mark is drawing me in.
Subtotal-100
28 May 2025
20:00 8:00 Wexford
Knockraha Eagle
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@26.00
Void
0
A 3-miler with more duck eggs on show than actual numbers. I’m looking for a potential improver at a price, and I’ve stumbled on Ian Donoghue’s KNOCKRAHA EAGLE. He has had 4 runs in maiden hurdles over 2 miles on soft ground and nowhere to be found. That wouldn’t inspire any confidence to get involved, I understand, but a big leap up to 3 miles today, He’s racing on good for the first time, the first time cheekpieces are added, and has youth on his side (only 5), so there is enough here to suggest potential improvement. A quick glance at the stable's runners, 6 of the last 10 placed. I know the risks. I wouldn’t ask anyone to back it, even with stolen money, but at 25/1 I’ll take a chance.
18:00 6:00 Wexford
Pension Plan
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
PENSION PLAN ran an awful lot better than his finishing position suggested LTO in Sligo. That was over 2 miles 4 furlongs on his 1st handicap run. I’d argue he didn’t see out the extended trip, but he certainly travelled well for the bones of 2 miles. They went a very good clip. He weakened at the 2nd last. A lot had come off the bridle before him. The step back to 2 miles looks a good call. However good or bad that run was, it was a big step up on what he’d done previously. Down 3 lbs for that and racing off 72 now affording him bottom weight, I might be well wide of the mark, but he’s ticking a box or two for me.
Subtotal-50
27 May 2025
20:20 8:20 Tipperary
Paulines Dream
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Something here will improve for stepping up in trip in this 0-60, and I’m leaning towards Ross O'Sullivan's PAULINES DREAM. She’s had 2 spins already this season in a 0-80 and a 0-70 without troubling the judge. The step up in trip today (another 2 furlongs) with the first-time cheekpieces and a slight drop in class could be a spot where this 4 y/o filly shows a bit of improvement...
19:30 7:30 Ballinrobe
Only One Plan
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Local trainer Mick Flannery’s ONLY ONE PLAN was recently acquired off Philip Rothwell and has a decent bit of form back along the lines, unlike a lot of these who look woefully exposed. He’s been placed 3 times from 3 runs here at Ballinrobe for Rothwell. Has won and placed on a variety of goings, improved on his season opener last season by finishing 2nd at Down Royal, so should come on for his recent exploit and leave that duck egg behind. He’s a few ticks above his last winning mark which is a concern, but a quick glance through this tells me it won’t take much winning.
Subtotal-100
25 May 2025
22:45 Charles Schwab Challenge
Aaron Rai
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Aaron Rai is a standout longshot thanks to his elite iron play, ranking among the best on the PGA Tour. Colonial’s emphasis on mid-irons and accuracy aligns with his strengths, as he’s not a long hitter but excels at hitting fairways and greens. He has limited experience at Colonial, but I won’t let that put me off as he’s coming off 3 top 20s. He’s only missed 2 cuts all year. This isn’t deep, and I think he has a chance.
Harris English
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
World number 17, Harris English, is 10 for 12 on the season and is coming off a strong T2 at the 2025 PGA Championship LTO. His wedge play and short-game proficiency suit this course’s small greens. He's clearly in good heart as He shot a never nearer 65 at the PGA on Sunday. He has a strong track record at Colonial with two top-5 finishes plus is a winner on the season already, taking down the Farmers earlier in the year. With 6 top 25s on the year, a chance can be taken.
J T Poston
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
JT Poston’s T5 at the 2025 PGA Championship marked his best ever major result and could be a nice boost of confidence heading into this week. The world number 37 has a T12 (2024) and T10 (2020) here at Colonial on his CV, suggesting a liking for the course. He’s 14 for 15 on the season with 6 top 25s. He won the Shriners last year, so he knows where the winning post is. Chance in a weak field.
Keith Mitchell
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
Take out last week's PGA (MC) and Keith Mitchell is having a consistent season. He’s had three top-10s and five top-20s and is 11 from 13 on the season. His only 2 MCs were in majors. He’s had swing improvements under coach Scott Hamilton, and his ball-striking suits Colonial. He’s 2 from 4 here, but with potential to improve post-renovation. The arrows are pointing up with this 33 y/o and I’d say he has a squeak.
Subtotal-200
24 May 2025
16:50 4:50 Curragh
Plume Noire
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Win
100
I spent far too long looking into this race and I'm none the wiser. You could genuinely make a case for almost all of them. As always, I'm looking for something at a price that might represent value. I've landed on Ger Keane's PLUME NOIRE. I know he saddles the favorite here and Colin rides, so this is risky, but I can't get away from this filly at the price. She's high class, was touched off in a €100k premier handicap last year for trainer Brian Duffy, has run well fresh, in fact, won fresh last season. She is a 3-time distance winner, no issues ground-wise even if the rain comes. This mark of 85 is very inviting and I think she has a squeak.
Subtotal100
23 May 2025
20:25 8:25 Curragh
Auburn Avenue
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 22/05 at 20:080.00 deduction for Bucaneers Spirit@12.00 withdrawn at 08:230.10 deduction for Dark Viper @7.000 withdrawn at 10:590.00 deduction for Showhound @17.000 withdrawn at 18:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.1) = 19.00
@19.00
Win
64
Straight into the notebook went Chris Timmons’s 4 y/o Auburn Avenue LTO in the Curragh with a staying on 5th over 7 furlongs, not before running up the backside of another at the 2 furlong pole. Back to a mile today, similar ground, and the handicapper shaves off a 1lb. Chris Hayes takes over from Robert Whearty, and with no draw bias to worry about, I think she’s set fair for a half decent showing.
18:05 6:05 Downpatrick
Dylans Chance
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Tentative each way here for me on Eion McCarthy’s Dylans Choice. There isn’t a whole pile to go on with this very lightly raced 5-year-old. We're looking at a few duck eggs and that isn't good. So, where will the improvement come from? Anyone’s guess, but I’m pinning my hopes on a new trip, faster going, and a falling mark. The rest is in the lap of the gods, but at a decent price, I’ll gamble, albeit small.
Subtotal14
21 May 2025
20:20 8:20 Gowran Park
Red Secret
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@23.00
Win
85
I’d give RED SECRET a small squeak here. Kevin Smith's charge met trouble LTO in Navan, supported from 12/1 - 17/2 and chance gone thereafter. He’s won twice on the all-weather but has a few bits of place form in good ground from last season. Wesley Joyce rode a winner for Smith last week and teams up again. This mark isn’t too taxing, I’d hope, as he finished 3rd three times last year off this number. There’s plenty in this with better form albeit shorter odds. Chancing a tentative ew.
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18:50 6:50 Gowran Park
Gianh River
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Pat Fahy’s 5 y/o GIANH RIVER was 2nd here at Gowran 2 weeks ago under today’s rider Jessica O'Gorman. It is a ladies' handicap over today’s trip (1 mile). He was beaten by a short head, but Jessica reported the saddle slipped close to home. He has gone up a few ticks for it, but I think a chance can be taken given he appears to be in good heart ..
17:10 5:10 Gowran Park
Feature This
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Jumps apprentice and All-Ireland winning footballer Caragh Monaghan claiming 10lbs off top weight FEATURE THIS caught my eye, as did the first-time blinkers on Ian Donoghoe’s 6 y/o filly here tonight. It’s a claimer, so she’s technically not well weighed, but I do think improvement on recent form is just around the corner for this 6 y/o. There’s been market support for her recent runs too. There isn’t much of a draw bias, but it doesn’t hurt being drawn low in T2. It’s a very risky proposition might not be off a yard, but 40/1 with SkyBet pulls me in, albeit only 3 places.
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Subtotal-15
20 May 2025
20:20 8:20 Cork
Slaney Swagger
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
I’m going to take a chance that SLANEY SWAGGER is ready to go on his first run of the season for Philip Byrne. I’m drawn in partly because this small Offaly-based stable landed a touch yesterday in Roscommon with ‘Out on Friday’. Another reason I’m drawn is this lad’s mark is dropping like a stone, down to 59 from a high of 79. He’ll surely have his day. He seems to be ground versatile; he has form on soft/heavy and good/firm ground from last season with Jim Bolger. The first-time blinkers and Martin Hassett's 5lb all draw hope. Looking for double-digit winners carries risks, but I’ll roll the dice.
18:20 6:20 Cork
Lakota Lady
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
A line through LAKOTA LADY’s Sligo run LTO finishing 18/18 is badly needed. This 5 y/o filly is probably better judged by her penultimate performance at Bellewstown where she finished 3rd, beaten by 3 lengths on her handicap debut. She’s now down 3 lbs from that Bellewstown run, which will help. The straight 5 and the quicker ground might suit her. Chris Hayes is a good substitute for Gary Carroll, who deserted. It’s risky.
Subtotal-100
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