Tepzepi

Betting is a marathon. You can only win in the long run. I love the grind.

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Tepzepi's Tips History

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15 September 2025
01:20 ATL Falcons @ MIN Vikings

ATL Falcons 3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The Vikings' defense likes to bring a lot of pressure. Penix showed against the Bucs that he's great at facing the blitz. The Vikings played a horrible first three quarters against the Bears before Chicago's meltdown in the fourth. Over a field goal, we're getting value with Atlanta.
14 September 2025
21:25 PHI Eagles @ KC Chiefs

KC Chiefs 1.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Mahomes as a dog is 12-2-1 vs the spread. This is only the second time he's a dog at Arrowhead. This would mean that the Eagles are an elite team right now. They didn't look that way against a mediocre Cowboys team that could have easily beaten them.
18:00 BUF Bills @ NY Jets

NY Jets 6.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Josh Allen put on his superman cape vs the Ravens in the 4th quarter to seal the comeback win. But that doesn't cover up the issues the Bills D had. The Jets got 30+ on the board vs a Steelers D that's much better than the Bills D. I think the Jets will keep it close in this one.
18:00 LA Rams @ TEN Titans

TEN Titans 5.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

I don't think the Rams should be this big of a favorite on the road. Their IOL is dealing with injuries, which is brutal vs. Jeffrey Simmons. Their secondary is looking horrific as well. Despite getting sacked a lot, Cam Ward passed the eye test vs. the best D in football last week. I expect the Titans to be competitive here.
18:00 NE Patriots @ MIA Dolphins

NE Patriots 1.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The Dolphins are a complete dumpster fire right now while the Patriots look serviceable. The Dolphins O-line and secondary look horrendous. Tua is looking like a deer in headlights. The Patriots also have a major coaching advantage.
18:00 NY Giants @ DAL Cowboys

NY Giants 5.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The Cowboys' run game was solid vs. the Eagles after the Jalen Carter ejection. But I don't think they will be able to run it against this Giants D-line, which is by far the Giants' strongest unit. The Cowboys also have a lot of injuries in their corner room, so I expect a big game for Malik Nabers.
07 September 2025
21:25 DET Lions @ GB Packers

GB Packers -2.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

46

There are a lot of question marks for the Lions in this game with both of their coordinators getting head coaching jobs. Their interior offensive line has weakened since last season. Jared Goff is notorious for being bad in week 1, going 0-8 ATS. Under a field goal, I like the Packers here at Lambeau.
18:00 CAR Panthers @ JAX Jaguars

JAX Jaguars -3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Bryce Young showed a lot of progress at the end of last season, but I don't like his situation at the beginning of the season. His favorite targets from last season are not in this game, with Thielen traded and Coker on IR. His O-line is also banged up with Ekwonu and Lewis banged up. The Panthers had the worst defense in football last season. Here, they're facing a revamped Jags offense with Liam Coen at the helm.
18:00 CIN Bengals @ CLE Browns

CLE Browns 5.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

It's ugly betting on the worst-run franchise in the NFL, but the Bengals getting 5 on the road is just too much as their D can't stop a nosebleed. The Bengals have been terrible in their first 2 games of the season in the Burrow era, going 1-9 straight up.
18:00 NY Giants @ WAS Commanders

NY Giants 6.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I like betting divisional dogs in Week 1 as they are 60% ATS. The Giants added to their defense with Carter and Holland. I'm not high on Russ, but he should be an improvement over the QBs that played last year. I expect some regression of the Commanders after they overperformed last season. In the two match ups between these teams last season the Commanders didn't cover this line in both.
18:00 TB Buccaneers @ ATL Falcons

ATL Falcons 2.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

We're getting another divisional home dog in the first week. They are 64% ATS. The Bucs lost Liam Coen as their OC and are missing the best LT in football, Tristan Wirfs. Their receiving corps is also depleted with Godwin and McMillan out. The Falcons have a knack for covering the spread under a FG, as 15% of their games last season ended in a 1 or 2 point differential compared to the 8% league average.
21 August 2025
01:00 Linda Noskova vs Tatjana Maria

Tatjana Maria

Win Match

50 WIN

@4.25

Lose

-50

Noskova has had a couple of losses recently against players of about the same ranking/talent as Maria. I get that she's favoured here but 4.25 is way too high on Maria here.
20 August 2025
20:00 Basel v FC Copenhagen

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

The over has hit in 11 consecutive Basel games. It has also hit in the last 3 games Copenhagen played. At even odds I think we're getting value here.
20:00 Fenerbahce v Benfica

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

This line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 games Fenerbahce played as well as 14 of the last 20 games Benfica played.
19 August 2025
19:00 Darwin Blanch vs Alexandre Muller

Darwin Blanch

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Blanch has been making some noise this tournament beating 3 fringe top-100 players in a row. At these odds I'll back him VS Muller who has lost 8 of his last 10 matches.
18 August 2025
19:00 Hugo Gaston vs Marton Fucsovics

Hugo Gaston

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-50

Gaston is not in good form, but Fucsovics has lost a couple of matches against lower-ranked players as of late, including losing in the Wimbledon qualifiers.
18:00 Sporting Gijon v Cordoba

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.08

Win

54

This line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 matches Sporting played including the last 4. It was also covered in 4 of the last 5 Cordoba games.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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