Tepzepi

Betting is a marathon. You can only win in the long run. I love the grind.

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Tepzepi's Tips History

All tips
13 December 2024
00:07 DET Red Wings @ PHI Flyers

PHI Flyers

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

The Flyers own the Red Wings when they play them at home having won 17 of the last 19 meetings in Philly.
00:07 LA Kings @ NJ Devils

LA Kings

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

The Devils' goalie situation is still worrisome. The Kings are a good road team, so they look like value here at plus money.
00:07 PIT Penguins @ MON Canadiens

MON Canadiens

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

The Pens are not a team I'm willing to back as favorites because they are so inconsistent. The Habs are a .500 team at home, so I will back them here at this price.
00:07 WAS Capitals @ CLB Blue Jackets

WAS Capitals

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

The Caps haven't skipped a beat since Ovechkin went out. They are 11-2 on the road. They have also won the last 4 H2H's VS Columbus.
12 December 2024
02:30 GS Warriors @ HOU Rockets

GS Warriors

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

I'm usually on the Rockets when they play at home but the Warriors have beaten them 15 times in a row. I can't pass up on them as underdogs here.
00:00 ATL Hawks @ NY Knicks

ATL Hawks

Money Line

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

The Hawks have beaten some of the best teams in the league so far this season, including Boston and the Cavs. They have excelled when the lights shine brightest, so I think they are a live dog in this in-season tournament match-up.

ATL Hawks 7.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

The Hawks are a very inconsistent team but they have shown up in the big match ups this season. It doesn't get bigger than this for them as they can punch their ticket to Vegas here.
11 December 2024
02:30 DAL Mavericks @ OKC Thunder

DAL Mavericks

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.65

Lose

-50

The Mavs have had OKC's number, beating them in the playoffs last year and also in the first meeting earlier this season. With Chet Holmgren still out for OKC, I think the Mavs as big underdogs is the way to go here.
00:00 ORL Magic @ MIL Bucks

ORL Magic 7.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Despite the Magic missing their two best players, I still can't trust the Bucks as sizeable favorites. They are 9-13-1 ATS while the Magic are 15-11. The Magic play good defense and can slow a game down. I think they will keep this one close.
09 December 2024
02:10 HOU Rockets @ LA Clippers

LA Clippers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-50

James Harden has found his groove back. He will be highly motivated to beat his old team in the Clippers' new arena. The Rockets are a solid team, but they mainly do their damage at home.

LA Clippers 3.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I like backing the Rockets at home but I'll keep on selling them high on the road. The Rockets should be underdogs here.
01:40 MIN Timberwolves @ GS Warriors

GS Warriors

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

The Warriors will be heavily motivated to take revenge on the Timberwolves, who blew them out a couple of days ago. I expect a big game from Steph.
01:20 LA Chargers @ KC Chiefs

KC Chiefs -3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

The Chiefs haven't been good vs the spread as of late but that's mainly because they are always huge favourites. I still think the Chargers are overrated. Their running game has declined since JK Dobbins injury and Herbert hasn't been consistent. I don't expect the Chargers to get a lot of points on the board vs this elite Chiefs D.
01:07 CAL Flames @ DAL Stars

DAL Stars -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

57

The Flames are not a team I'm willing to back on the road. Not even on the PL. Especially not against the Stars who have been rock solid at home with a 10-2 record.
00:07 COL Avalanche @ NJ Devils

NJ Devils

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

The Avs are not a good Road team. They are also starting their back up goalie here. The Devils should be able to win this one at home.
08 December 2024
23:40 PHX Suns @ ORL Magic

ORL Magic -2.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The Suns have been awful without KD in the lineup. The Magic have covered 80% ATS as home favorites the last 2 seasons. At this short spread, I don't mind them missing Banchero and Wagner.
23:10 CLE Cavaliers @ MIA Heat

CLE Cavaliers -3.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Cavs not only have the best record in the league. They are also the most profitable team versus the number.
23:10 DEN Nuggets @ ATL Hawks

ATL Hawks -3.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Denver are out of sorts right now, coming off a loss vs. the worst team in the NBA, the Wizards. They are not a good road team.
23:07 CLB Blue Jackets @ WIN Jets

WIN Jets -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

Columbus are really bad on the road only winning 3 out of 13 games. The Jets won the last 3 H2H's with a combined goal difference of 17-3.
22:10 CHA Hornets @ IND Pacers

IND Pacers -11.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

I was on the Hornets a lot in the beginning of the season, but they are banged up right now. Especially the absence of their star man, LaMelo Ball, hurts them a great deal. The Pacers are a great home team playing up-tempo offensive basketball, winning a lot of games in blowout fashion.
22:07 NY Islanders @ OTT Senators

OTT Senators

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.71

Lose

-50

This looks like a letdown spot for the Islanders as they got their playoff revenge last night vs. the Canes. The Senators always play their best hockey at home.
21:25 BUF Bills @ LA Rams

BUF Bills -3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I expect the Bills to keep steamrolling their way to the playoffs. The Rams haven't been good vs. the run, which could prove disastrous against this Bills run-blocking scheme.
21:25 CHI Bears @ SF 49ers

SF 49ers -3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Nobody expected the Niners to have a losing record at this point in the season. Despite missing a lot of pieces, I think they are in for a big bounce-back spot at home vs. the Bears here. Brock Purdy is back in the mix, while the Bears got completely dominated vs. the Lions last week.
21:07 TB Lightning @ VAN Canucks

TB Lightning

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The Lightning have won 8 of the last 9 h2h match ups. I don't see the Canucks playing at home as an advantage as their home record is rather poor.
21:05 SEA Seahawks @ ARZ Cardinals

ARZ Cardinals -2.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Cardinals have been great at home this season, mainly because of their explosive offense. Thanks to Jonathan Gannon, their defense has made the next step too. Under a field goal, I think they are the play here against their division rivals.
18:10 PHI 76ers @ CHI Bulls

CHI Bulls

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

There's no way I'm backing Philly on the road as favorites against a solid Bulls team. We've been waiting all season long for them to finally flip the switch. There's still no sign of that happening.

CHI Bulls 2.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

The Bulls are the better team here. Philly has been way too inconsistent. Until I see a pulse from them I'm not going to back them as road favourites.
18:07 SEA Kraken @ NY Rangers

NY Rangers -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-50

The Rangers won their last 4 games vs. the Kraken on the puck line. Seattle also had to travel all the way to the East Coast for this one and are playing an early game.
18:00 ATL Falcons @ MIN Vikings

MIN Vikings -6.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

This is a horrible game for Kirk to bounce back after his terrible last week. The Vikings' D shows a lot of exotic looks, blitz a lot, and they can take away the run. On the other side of the ball, Sam Darnold should be able to operate in a clean pocket. All his receiving options are finally fully back, so I expect the Vikings to blow out the Falcons here.
18:00 CAR Panthers @ PHI Eagles

PHI Eagles -13.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I just can't find any reason why I should be looking in the Panthers' direction here. They have been playing better as of late, but on the road, they are still terrible, only scoring 16 PPG and conceding 32. I see the Eagles scoring 40 here.
18:00 JAX Jaguars @ TEN Titans

JAX Jaguars 3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

The Titans, and especially Will Levis, always find a way to not cover. The Jags are a better team than their record reflects, even with Mac Jones under center. I expect them to play for pride against their division rivals.
18:00 LV Raiders @ TB Buccaneers

LV Raiders 6.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

I like Tampa to win the NFC South but mainly because it is the weakest division in football. They shouldn't be favoured by this much against a Raiders team that has stepped up defensively. I see the Bucs winning this one by 3.
18:00 NO Saints @ NY Giants

NY Giants 5.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The reason why this line is so big is because the Saints can still win their division despite their 4-8 record, while the Giants' season is over already. If the Giants had shown me signs that they are flat-out tanking, I wouldn't back them here. But 5 points against a banged-up Saints team that has done nothing on the road this season is just way too much.
01:10 MEM Grizzlies @ BOS Celtics

BOS Celtics -7.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Grizzlies are a solid team but they mainly do their damage at home. The Celtics are not a great ATS team but that's mainly because they often get favoured by double digits.
00:40 DAL Mavericks @ TOR Raptors

DAL Mavericks -8.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Raptors have been solid in this spot, covering as substantial home dogs. But today they are facing the best road favorite of the last two seasons in the Mavs.
00:10 OKC Thunder @ NO Pelicans

OKC Thunder -8.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

OKC love to beat up on bad teams. Until the Pelicans get healthy they are one of the worst teams in the league.
07 December 2024
18:10 CLE Cavaliers @ CHA Hornets

CLE Cavaliers -12.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

The Hornets have been playing well this season, but they are banged up right now. Especially missing their star man, LaMelo Ball, won't bode well for them. Meanwhile, the Cavs are the best ATS team in the league despite having to overcome these double-digit spreads all the time.
01:10 IND Pacers @ CHI Bulls

CHI Bulls

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

The Pacers are one of the worst road teams in the league. Apart from 2 or 3 teams, I will auto-fade them as road favorites.

CHI Bulls 3.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Pacers can't be trusted on the road, and especially not as road favorites. The Bulls started the season out badly in Chicago, but they have been playing better at home as of late.
00:40 LA Lakers @ ATL Hawks

ATL Hawks -5.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Hawks have turned things around as of late and have been absolutely on fire. The Lakers have been a huge disappointment as of late. AD and LeBron need to take this team on their shoulders but that hasn't happened a lot.
00:40 MIL Bucks @ BOS Celtics

BOS Celtics -8.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

The Bucks have been winning more as of late but against good teams they have been getting blown out a ton. The Celtics should be motivated to beat their rivals while they are in this state.
00:10 ORL Magic @ PHI 76ers

ORL Magic -3.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Sixers are still without Embiid and are currently one of the worst teams in the NBA. Meanwhile the Magic have been covering a lot of spreads as favourites.
06 December 2024
03:10 HOU Rockets @ GS Warriors

GS Warriors

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.45

Win

73

The Warriors have been dominating this H2H in recent times. The Rockets have been playing well as of late, but considerable road favorites is not a spot I like to back them.

GS Warriors 4.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The Warriors have been free falling but this looks like a good bounce back game against a Rockets team they know well and have beaten a lot as of late. I'm selling Houston high here as they usually are not the same team on the road as they are at home.
01:10 CHI Bulls @ SA Spurs

SA Spurs -2.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Even without Wembanyama in the fold the Spurs have managed to win games this season. I think they are the better basketball team here.
01:10 SAC Kings @ MEM Grizzlies

MEM Grizzlies -3.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

When Ja Morant is in the fold, the Grizzlies are great at home. The Kings have been a disappointment so far this season.
00:40 OKC Thunder @ TOR Raptors

TOR Raptors 9.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

The Raptors are the second-best spread team in the league. That's mainly because they get big head starts and keep games close. OKC has been elite vs. the spread in the last couple of seasons, but this year they are only 12-9.
00:10 DAL Mavericks @ WAS Wizards

DAL Mavericks -14.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The Mavs were 20-5 ATS as road favourites last season. I don't see any reason not to back them vs the worst team in the NBA.
00:10 DEN Nuggets @ CLE Cavaliers

CLE Cavaliers -4.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

The Cavs have both the best overall record and the best spread record in the league. I like this short line against a Denver team that plays their best basketball at home.
05 December 2024
03:40 MIN Timberwolves @ LA Clippers

LA Clippers 3.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Clippers narrowly lost this encounter a couple of days ago. James Harden has been playing at an elite level as of late, so I'm not planning to fade him as a home dog here.
01:10 ATL Hawks @ MIL Bucks

ATL Hawks

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

The Hawks are worth a shot here as they have been getting some impressive wins including beating the Celtics who are probably the best team in the league right now.

ATL Hawks 4.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

I can't remember the last time I have been on the Hawks, as fading them has been printing money. But they have been solid as of late, stepping up against big teams, beating the Cavs twice, and also upsetting the Celtics. I will back them here against the Bucks, who are on a B2B.
00:40 IND Pacers @ BKN Nets

BKN Nets

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.30

Win

65

The Pacers are one of the worst road teams in the league. I will back every team except the Wizards as home dogs against them.

BKN Nets 2.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

The Pacers have a terrible spread record on the road as they are often favoured despite losing a lot of games. The Nets have a good spread record and are live dogs here.
00:40 LA Lakers @ MIA Heat

LA Lakers 3.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

This line implies that this should be a pick 'em on a neutral court. I think the Lakers are the slightly better team, though. Especially if AD and LeBron have one of those nights.
00:40 ORL Magic @ PHI 76ers

ORL Magic -5.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

The Magic have been one of the best ATS teams so far this season both home and away while the Sixers are still struggling heavily.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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