dansadough
Horse racing tipster for races class 3 and above, in depth analysis.
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dansadough's Tips History
18 August 2025
19:00 7:00 Windsor
Shiplake
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Should be front-running alone here and could take it from the front. It is the only horse who is truly unexposed for the conditions, and Charlie Hills has an excellent record at Windsor, which boosts confidence here. David Egan is also riding well. Whilst others may be more proven in these conditions, this horse hasn't really put a foot wrong in handicap company. With the change of conditions to what it is used to (today = flat weak pace 6f), I think it could unlock some more potential out of the lightly raced 3-year-old in this race. At an e/w price, I think it is surely worth a go for this race here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
16 August 2025
15:35 3:35 Newbury
Duty First
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
If it can repeat its CD performance here, it'll have a great chance back down in trip. It was having Guineas shouts after that performance and hasn't raced in anything similar since. It's Archie Watson's only runner today, which shows intent, and recent trainer form suggests it could come back to form here. I think it has a great chance.
15:20 3:20 Ripon
Abduction
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
I do really like the favorite for this, but I like this just as much, and it's a no-brainer for 5 places at 20s. Jim Goldie is firing at the moment, and for this horse, the appeal is huge. It won comfortably in a claiming race last time out, and the time before that, it should have won, having many excuses and still going close on this same mark with the same 7lb claimer on board. This is a jockey who maybe shouldn't have such a large claim and may actually be able to navigate on a messy pace from the mid-pack. It can stay on a strong pace that is forecasted here based on the fact it has done so well over the extended trips in its last two races, which is a huge positive on a very strong pace, and also it possesses the speed for Ripon. The undulations shouldn't be a problem either, judging by the fact it has such a low center of gravity (also good for the predicted good-firm going). I believe it is strong value for this race and will probably be a lot shorter on the off (single figures).
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Newbury
Leadman
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Win
12
Handicapper slept on its reappearance performance after a wind operation. I believe it's still well in for a good showing and is worth backing at this each way price, as the last race can be easily forgiven. It has the best draw and should go well here.
14:25 2:25 Newbury
Sugar Hill Babe
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
The best at the weights for this race and makes huge appeal to me for this. Has been running extremely well and every single time it's run since its last win, it has been tactically disadvantaged. It's been done by strong paces from the front, and then last time the pace was weak when it changed tactics again to the mid. Now it'll run in the mid again, but the pace will be a lot stronger, and I expect a good showing for this here.
13:50 1:50 Newbury
Epic Poet
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
A very trappy race, but this is the standout in my opinion. The last run can be ignored as it doesn't match these conditions at all. However, the time before in a similar race that should near enough shape the exact same, it went to the line with Rebels Romance, who has since won a Group 1, and beat Sweet William, who has then ran very well and was favored by the punters for a Group 1 before the ground changed. That form is unbeatable compared to others in this. I just hope it doesn't lose first run to the front runner, which could be the only concern here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-188
14 August 2025
20:00 8:00 Windsor
Financer
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@10.00
Win
20
Played up last time out, which could be a concern, but had David Allen in the saddle today, who has never ridden a bad race on him before, which is a seriously good sign here. The short layoff shows signs of intent, and if it can run a race here, it'll be his first real showing away from York in a while (ignoring the run LTO), which leaves it unknown on what it can show. Definitely worth a go at this price.
19:30 7:30 Windsor
Lieber Power
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.50
Lose
-50
Looks very solid for this here. It is still in good form and returns to Windsor, where last year it had many excuses for not winning and could easily have done so. It banged its head on the stalls when leaving and then also conceded first run in the race. Recently, it has been riding more prominently, so I don't expect it to have that risk of losing first run again. Without that happening, it would have won with ease last year on only a 1 lb lower mark than today. Very strong for this.
1 member found this comment useful
19:00 7:00 Windsor
Zapphire
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@10.00
Win
270
I wouldn't think this horse would run two bad races in a row, and I expect a bounce back here off a weaker pace. Out of the 3 horses on the pace, this one looks best in on the handicap. It should have won at Beverley off this mark in its penultimate start, but it conceded first run to the winner. In this race, the pace isn't going to be too weak, and it also isn't going to be too strong. It should be bang perfect for a strong showing, and I believe it has the class for this here.
18:30 6:30 Windsor
Montezuma
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.00
Win
5
I'm backing this again for the same reason I did last week. It's a tracker horse that I still think is on a mark that it shouldn't be on and should be higher. It remains on the same mark when finishing a length off last week. Just hoping this week it finally gets off the mark in a valuable handicap. Same jockey again, so hopefully she's learned a bit with it.
18:15 6:15 Chelmsford City
Latin Five
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Has dropped to an even lower mark when I thought it'd win with ease last time out. This is primed to win and is now stepped up in grade. Should have won in its penultimate race; it was just a bad ride. The jockey has now been switched to a good 3lb claimer who keeps getting winners. This horse is in unbelievably well for this here, in my opinion.
18:00 6:00 Windsor
Sky Advocate
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Has dropped 5 lbs and clearly needs this trip, especially on a flat track like Windsor. On other tracks, it has tended to not settle well in 2/3 starts on tougher tracks. Yes, of course, Windsor is sharp, but the fact the pace should be pretty decent should help the horse settle and stay focused. Clive Cox does very well at Windsor, and at this mark, it should be very competitive in this race on the easiest course it has run at in handicaps here.
17:30 5:30 Windsor
Divine Legacy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
Should have won its race last time out, so I'm treating the 2lb raise as still a winnable mark, especially for a horse that's only lost to very unexposed horses so far in its career. Today, it runs with new headgear and a change of jockey, which could spark some sort of extra improvement, but I don't think it'll need it.
17:00 5:00 Windsor
Brave Nation
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
This racing league has been hard to predict, as it always is, but this horse caught my eye judging by the back class it has and how well it's been performing on higher marks today. It's never won anywhere but Doncaster; however, that is the only concern for this horse in this race. It got trapped wide last time out when running very well at Chester, which showed it is on a winning mark here, especially with the 1 lb drop. Michael Bell is a specialist when getting horses with back class (early Group 2 form for this horse) back to form. I believe it's a great bet where offering 4 places at 8/1.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal45
13 August 2025
19:45 7:45 Kempton
North View
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 34.00 used instead of 26.00 takenBOG
@34.00
Win
140
Despite the recent form, the horse looks very talented and was sold for a huge 95 thousand gns when moving into the George Boughey yard. It has never run over a mile before, which leaves it unexposed on that front. From its strong Kempton run last year over 7f, it only lost against a very unexposed 3-year-old and now returns to the same track after a few runs for the trainer on a 2lb lower mark than when in that race. I just don't think it should be this price judging on the class it may have here. Also, it hasn't gone well fresh at all on all three occasions, so it for sure would have needed the run LTO before coming here. I believe it could be a very shrewd move from Boughey here, and it looks good for a 25/1 shot.
19:15 7:15 Kempton
Al Khawssaa
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Win
7
Roger Varian is out of form for his standard at the moment but posts a 5/11 record when De Sousa rides for him at this course. The horse has first-time headgear today, which is a positive. Also, its run on handicap debut last time out, it played up a lot and may have needed a strong gallop in that race. It's the most unexposed horse in the field and has proven that it handles Kempton's all-weather demands, even though the bare result doesn't really tell that story at all. I think it has a great chance here if the headgear works.
16:30 4:30 Salisbury
Wujjood
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
Has a Group 3 entry for Curragh at the end of the month. Should get a lone lead here in this race. There may be a couple of early prominent racers which will make the pace slightly pressurized, but the horse has so much potential for this race here as it's been green so far. Now I think its maturity could finally pull through before going to Ireland. Yes, its class hasn't been tested, but I think it's one connections believed it needed all the learning it could get, and I believe it could be ready to go for a strong showing here against some more exposed rivals. The horse has shown that it has stamina from its Pontefract run, and that will be the biggest factor for this race here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal97
10 August 2025
18:15 6:15 Haydock
Wolfpack
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Lose
-50
Has drifted to an each way price and I'm not sure why as it looks the most promising here on handicap debut, it's yet to run a strongly ran mile but on a flat track I don't think it'll be much of an issue. I also don't think it'll be a strong pace today and it should run prominently in this contenst which suits this course at this trip and pace. It has quite a high knee action which is the only concern but I'm hoping it outclasses rivals here. If it doesn't run green again I think it can improve a huge amount for this.
17:45 5:45 Haydock
Bint Mohaather
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@8.50
Void
0
Lorna B looks a strong favorite but is yet to run well in a race with any sort of early pace. This horse looks more promising out of the two unexposed horses here, and I believe it's been given quite a nice opening mark for this. The jockey booking also shows clear intent for this on handicap debut.
17:15 5:15 Haydock
Copper Knight
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 10/08 at 09:000.10 deduction for Acrisius@7.00 withdrawn at 11:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.00
@10.00
Win
20
On a very workable mark, the race will have a lot of pace, and Copper Knight is one of the few who will be able to stay on after stalking the pace here. The top jockey is back on board, and the horse is still in great form. Surprised this horse is anywhere near double figures and is sure to go off shorter.
17:00 5:00 Leicester
Arran
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
No clue how this is 20/1 here. LTO it was very competitive off a weak pace here, which means a furlong shorter at a strong pace could suit just as well, meaning theoretically it should go as close. Has the perfect knee action for this contest also and acts on the going.
16:15 4:15 Haydock
Vlad
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Bred to be better than its current mark. Even though it was all out last time out, I think it is still green and unexposed, which most of the horses in the race aren't. The trainer and jockey combo is the most powerful in the race also. I just think it's slight value here.
15:45 3:45 Haydock
Bint Al Daar
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
I think it will return to form here with a first-time tongue strap on the turf and the best jockey in the race, which is crucial in a race like this. I believe its price should be around 4/1 as it's best at the weights by miles and then also gets an extra 5 lbs. It will have to make up ground off a weak pace from near the rear, but I believe if it's even 90 percent here, it could do so with ease.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-180
09 August 2025
14:10 2:10 Ascot
La Vita Nova
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Hollie Doyle has ridden once at this course for John, and it resulted in a victory. She could do it again here. The horse stayed the trip comfortably at Curragh on this mark and goes again here at Ascot for this challenge. He's only ever sent one horse to this race, and it won. The horse stays and is still extremely unexposed over 2 miles. I expect a strong run here. Hollie Doyle also won in this exact race for the Irishman in 2023. I expect big things here.
13:35 1:35 Ascot
Dream Composer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
2 lbs lower than when going close last year in the race and is drawn in stall 7, which has produced 4 out of the last 10 winners. This is quite a strong trend. The race should pan out similarly, and I'll be surprised if it's not bang there in this contest. It also ran a bad race at Goodwood last year, the exact same as it did this year previously. The 2 lb drop could make all the difference here in this race as it still seems to retain all ability.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
08 August 2025
20:14 8:14 Newmarket
Gloryous
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Lose
-50
Has been raised 5 lbs for its win LTO, but I think it still has wiggle room and should lead from a low draw, getting the shortest way around here. Goes well right-handed; stays the trip easily, and I believe it's the only horse in the race that really has the class for this course. I still think it's well handicapped and can carry on its hot form here. It may drift, so BOG is essential for this here. Should surely be in the frame from the front here.
19:40 7:40 Newmarket
Rogue Dynasty
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.00
Lose
-50
One of the two horses in the race, which I believe has the class for this course, has been turned out fairly quickly on this mark, which should prove to be too small for this unexposed horse. I don't usually back horses at short prices unless I think they have a chance above 50 percent, and I think this meets the criteria on many different levels.
19:05 7:05 Newmarket
Dashing Dick
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
Is well in here on this fair track, which it performs best at. Went down on these exact conditions last year on a 1 lb higher mark by 0.2 lengths and should go one better in this race. Has the class, and that's why it does well here. It's been slightly frustrating to follow at this track, but it never puts a foot wrong. With the going being good, I think it'll put on a strong showing in this race today. It also has the best draw based on historical winners at this trip on the July track, which further boosts confidence. I think it's well in to win this race here.
15:30 3:30 Brighton
Mumayaz
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
I think there will be a ferocious early pace here in this race, and this looks like the pick based on that fact. It stays further than the trip and travels very comfortably, which is rare at Brighton. It's still handicapped to win, only being 2 lbs higher than when winning here 4 starts ago over a slightly further trip (which shows its stamina over others) and sits just off the pace, which is also another advantage it has over others for this here. I think this is the pick from a tactical point of view and for course suitability also. Tony Carroll also has 3 in the race, showing strong intent for this race as it is also the race of the day here, so he will want to win it. He'll have a horse at the front, back, and centre, which means he can control the race with Cindy Lou Hoo at the front, which he could be doing to favour Mumayaz. The price is baffling here. I expect it to run a huge race in this. Also gets an easier draw than others in stall 4.
14:00 2:00 Brighton
Port Hedland
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
It is back on the exact same conditions as when it won here 4 starts ago on the exact same mark. It was tactically disadvantaged in that race, but it did have a 3lb claim. Jack Doherty rides again, but he no longer has that claim. Still, I believe it'll have enough if it settles in rear this time to pick them up in what should be a strong pace. It could have won by more that day as it also hung left before storming ahead. I'll be surprised if it's not there again.
Subtotal-250
07 August 2025
20:00 8:00 Chepstow
Haptics
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
A horse slipping in the handicap and not for a strong reason. It's actually been performing very well recently. Last time out, it was competitive until the uphill finish where it lacked the stamina slightly, but that Hamilton hill won't be a problem for the test today. The time before that, it switched left, but there weren't many excuses to be fair. However, for this run, things look a lot better. A confident hot jockey on board for the first time and a hot James Owen stable runs it for the first time, which could unlock what's needed to break its maiden. Should give a good account today.
19:30 7:30 Chepstow
Jacquelina
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Is nearly 5 lbs well in here to win, granted a clear run if discounting the run LTO, which couldn't be repeated as the horse is pretty consistent. It ran here at Chepstow in the exact same conditions a couple of months ago on a 5 lb higher mark and was within a length when going from the front. I expect the same tactics to be used today, and if the pace isn't too contested, I expect this to go very close from the front. Looks a solid each-way angle for this race.
19:00 7:00 Chepstow
Riot
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
Keeps Knocking on the door. All three previous starts on a mark of 76 have been good performances, and all have been due to traffic issues in running. It has been dropped to a mark of 75 now, and that may make the difference and turn the strong performances into a win here. Hopefully, Tudhope won't make the same mistakes he has in the two prior rides he's had on it and can navigate it through the field late. The only question could be how well it'll handle undulations, but it's worth taking the risk at 9/1. Looks strong value.
18:30 6:30 Chepstow
Vafortino
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
The only risk here is that it has had such a long layoff, but before its current 300-day break, it was so consistent in group races. It comes here off a mark of 106, carrying a major amount of weight. But if it's fit, it could easily outclass these. It's just the main question of it being fit or not for this race that puts me off slightly. If it's up to it after a long break, it's value.
18:00 6:00 Chepstow
Watch And Shoot
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
A completely unexposed 3-year-old who is way too big at 8/1 here. In its second last start, it still looked a little green on its first try over a mile where it didn't get room and still finished within a length of the leader. Then last time out, it finished within a length again and has been dropped 1lb for that run. Charles Bishop rides for the first time today, which could be a positive. Also, the horse is tried in first-time blinkers, which could further enhance its performance for this race. In all 5 career starts so far, the horse is yet to run a bad race, and I don't expect it to in this race either. Very good chance.
17:30 5:30 Chepstow
Montezuma
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 17.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG
@17.00
Win
55
A pure tracker selection from when it ran on first-time handicap. It got so unlucky, and if it had a clear run, it would have won with ease. Not sure why Goldie has stuck Amie Waugh on board, as the 3lb claim isn't needed in my opinion, but that does help as well, as she is a half-decent claimer. Even if it doesn't win this race, I'm certain it'll win on marks up to the 80s. The only concern for this would be that it may be overwhelmed by the larger field than it faced at Hamilton.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Chelmsford City
Wadacre Gomez
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
A 5-time course winner who is very well handicapped. It's still running decent races and staying competitive. When on a mark of 87 in its last appearance at Chelmsford, it came 2nd, only losing to a very progressive horse in Jolly Jack Tar, who will end up being a very solid horse. Now on a mark of 86, and it's won on higher here in the past. The class increase could be a little much, and that's the only concern, but all horses in this race have major concerns and are bang out of form. There are a couple with some foreign group form, but they don't seem to have the profile for the AW, which makes me think they're being tuned up for something else on the turf. This horse turns into a completely different beast at Chelmsford, and I think it's well in to win here at its playground.
14:40 2:40 Brighton
Marlay Park
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 07/08 at 07:490.10 deduction for Kracking@8.00 withdrawn at 08:210.10 deduction for Medinilla @7.000 withdrawn at 09:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.2) = 8.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 8.20 BOG
@10.00
Win
20
Huge interest here for a bounce back. Has been running poorly as of late, but he hasn't been tried in a (0-75) handicap race since last August at Epsom, where it only just missed out on good going, same as today. Jim Boyle's form going into that race was very poor, and it only lost by a head. His form at the moment is very hot, and I expect there could be a surprise win with this, considering the horse's mark is 5lbs lower than it was in that race. I think that form is the most relatable form in the race. Although it may be one of the most exposed in the race, I believe it's the only one who offers much value considering the fact it is proven at Epsom, which aligns very well with Brighton. There should be a lot of pace near the front, so hopefully, it can settle well in midfield and pounce late on a career-low mark here.
14:10 2:10 Brighton
Poetic Force
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Win
165
It's very hard to choose between the two Tony Carroll horses as they're both as well in as each other. However, I have this 7 lbs ahead because of the claim. River Wharfe has been claimer ridden in most recent starts and racing very well. However, Poetic Force hasn't really stepped a foot wrong and its mark keeps slipping. The veteran horse still retains all ability (especially at Brighton) and I expect a big run here, judging by the fact it is claimer ridden for the first time in a while. It's well in at the weights to win this and I expect it to without much issue.
Subtotal-60
06 August 2025
19:35 7:35 Sligo
Echinacea
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Very strange selection here as the horse hasn't proven much. But even though it went off 14/1 last time out, it had a huge amount of money for it, which maybe suggests it was connections thinking it had a winning mark. Now it's been dropped another 3 lbs in the handicap and stepped up in trip again. It's a shot in the dark, but at 33s, it's hard to resist just based on the fact I think there'll be money for it again today.
1 member found this comment useful
16:45 4:45 Brighton
Warm Glow
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
The horse has proven it can handle the demands, and with a slipping mark and first-time visor applied, I think it can run a big race here considering the fact it was disgraced in both previous Brighton performances off a 1 and 2 lb higher mark. I do also think it is the only horse in the race who is truly unexposed, which adds to the value here. I'll be very surprised to see it not run a big race in these conditions, and I'll be surprised also if there isn't any money for it. 9/1 looks a great price for this here in a nearly fully exposed field.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 Brighton
Uncle Dick
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG
@21.00
Win
600
This should never be 14/1 at Brighton over this trip. No matter if it's badly handicapped or not, it always runs a good race here. The last time it ran on good ground over a mile here, it won, albeit off a 3lb lower mark last year. But it actually ran 1 day before that race. With a nicer layoff here and a better jockey than it had in that race, with a 2lb higher claim than the jockey it had in that race, I believe it is well in to win here as it still retains all ability and is still running well at Brighton. That race was in early May last year.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Brighton
Campani
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Win
180
This horse could be miles ahead of the handicapper here, and with first-time hood applied, it looks the bet for this. If the headgear can sort out the loss of concentration it's had in its two previous starts when coming 2nd in both and fading in the final furlongs, I believe it's on a mark where it could win with ease in this race. It's David Simcock's only runner here today, and I think there's a decent amount of intent here for a win, and it's surely worth a bet at the price.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 Brighton
Virtue Temperance
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
Still a tiny bit unexposed, and based on its run on handicap debut (which was at Brighton), it's back on its winning mark with the 7lb claim. I'm not usually one to back horses with claimers, but he has a 29% strike rate when riding for the shrewd Amanda Perret, and I believe he's a good enough jockey to ride at this standard. The horse is still in good form, and I don't think its mark should be dropping the way it is. For these reasons, I think it's overpriced here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal630
05 August 2025
18:05 6:05 Newbury
Ruff Justice
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
At the price, I think it's worth backing here. It hasn't shown anything in the last two starts but looked hard held. Now it has a stronger jockey booking, suggesting now may be the go time for the horse. I don't believe they'd send it here for a third time in a row with a strong jockey this time if the course doesn't suit the horse. I think there's a lot of hidden intent behind this, even if on paper the performances have been atrocious as of late.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
04 August 2025
15:40 3:40 Ripon
Mister Sox
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
300
Completed a hat-trick recently before running all over the place, which has now led to its mark coming back down to its last winning mark of 77. That was on the exact same conditions as today in a lower grade, but Sean Kirrane rode that day and he is riding today also, which is a strong trend. Looks very interesting. Make sure 365 is used for the extra places and also the odds are better than other sites.
Subtotal300
03 August 2025
17:12 5:12 Yarmouth
Callout
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Looks like it still has potential on this mark. It has Hector Crouch on for the first time and is returned to a visor after blinkers didn't work last time out and has dropped 2 lbs for that run. Shapes as if a mile would be more beneficial for the horse also, which is a positive here as it is still unexposed for the trip. It hasn't really been tried in this headgear over a mile with a clear run, and today with the weak pace, I believe there will be less chance of any trouble happening. Overpriced in my opinion if the blinkers were the problem, and judging by the fact it ran in blinkers on the AW previously and ran awfully as well as the run LTO, I do think that is the problem.
15:52 3:52 Chester
Toyotomi
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
One of the only unexposed sprinters in the race. Done most of its running over a mile last year, and the stable is sure to get some sort of improvement out of it. Looks overpriced judging by the lack of class this race has to offer, and I believe it is one of only three who has decent proven group form. French races are, of course, slightly weaker, but I think it has a good chance of making the frame. It is also extremely consistent, and David Nolan rides for the first time here.
14:20 2:20 Galway
Hitak
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
On the handicap, it is well in to be competitive, and it hasn't raced on good ground before. The pace shouldn't be strong even with the number of runners, so if it sits just off the leaders, I believe it will have a good chance tactically here. It stays the full mile, and with it staying so well on softer conditions in the past, I don't believe stamina questions will even play a part here in this race. It won with ease on handicap debut, and I think it is well overpriced for this here, especially in a race where it may be able to show off its speed (if it has any).
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14:10 2:10 Chester
Mafting
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Should do well in handicaps in the future. The run last time out was better than it seemed on paper, and I think this horse is one of the only horses in the race that is unexposed here. The opening mark it got was generous in my opinion, and the run at Ascot was extremely unfair for a first-time handicap (way too intense). Now back into calmer waters with only 7 runners, it should run a good race. It's a very smooth traveller and races prominently, which suits the demands for this race.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
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