dansadough

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Estimated Prizes
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Estimated Prize money
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dansadough's Tips History

All tips
All sports
12 April 2025
15:35 3:35 Ayr

Famous Bridge

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

The Grand National Trial winner, Famous Bridge. We know it can stay. Has all the experience needed, jumps very fluently, and looks the most likely winner in this race for sure. Done very well in the Ultima also, which would've sharpened it up for this run. The perfect layoff.

Olympic Man

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

This looks like the best bet for the Mullins team, and this is the only reason for the bet, to be honest. Looks like a plot as it's so lightly raced compared to his other runners. Will stay, in my opinion. Looks like a great bet.
15:12 3:12 Newbury

Silver Sword

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Looks the most likely winner in this, even though badly handicapped. May need to make up 8 lbs, but has the draw and has just recently run a blinder in Dubai, making this a great bet in this race. Should win.
14:55 2:55 Ayr

Lavida Adiva

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Still unexposed and ahead of the handicap. Perfect suitability for the likely pace of the race. Still has stamina in abundance. Looks the most likely winner for this one.

Rockola Vogue

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Won LTO with ease and is extremely unexposed here. Could easily outstay the field if she travels well. Is the main value in the race at this price and should be around the 11/2 mark. Looks a certainty for a place in this race.
14:35 2:35 Newbury

Al Qudra

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Will go off shorter than this, so take the price while you can. Made all last time and still unexposed.

Rashabar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Looks the best chance in the race, placed in a Grade 1 and has major wins abroad. Definitely the classiest and has the best draw. Very versatile in my opinion and should run a very strong race here.
14:15 2:15 Ayr

Cracking Rhapsody

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Win

840

Looks a fantastic each way bet, should be around 7/1. Loves it in Scotland. May lack a bit of class but can certainly handle itself in this type of race. Definitely worth a few quid.

Ethical Diamond

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Should have won the County Hurdle, had a horrific run. Mullins again, and this looks set up for the win here. Still improving and likes having the pace to aim at. Looks like a great bet.
14:00 2:00 Newbury

Bright Times Ahead

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Looks so unexposed and hasn't run its race at all yet. Could seriously challenge here. Rivals look very strong, however, so be cautious with the stakes. Yard has huge success in filly trials, so it should be ready for the run in this race. Only concern is the draw isn't ideal.

Simmering

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Placed behind Lake Victoria and won Group 2 race in France with very competitive runners. Trainer is red hot. This just on paper looks like a near certainty, and the price is a steal.
13:43 1:43 Ayr

Loughglynn

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

The pace of the race should assist, and Mullins will have this horse ready for the race. The right price would be around 3/1, and I think it's too big in this field here. 9/2 is a great price.
13:25 1:25 Newbury

Ancient Wisdom

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Looks the best in the race, best engine for sure. Draw may hinder, but if not dealt with, looks to have the best chance by far in this race and could easily run off towards the end.
13:10 1:10 Ayr

Homme Public

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 10/04 at 18:340.10 deduction for Asta La Pasta@7.00 withdrawn at 07:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.10) = 6.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 6.40 BOG

@7.50

Win

15

In quality form and looks set up for this. Is quick enough for good-soft over 2m and looks the value play in the race currently. Will surely go off shorter than its current mark. Looks a great chance in this race.
11 April 2025
16:58 4:58 Ayr

Out Out

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Will love the pace and matches all stats for a win here. Still improving, and with a claimer on board, it'll help the weight scenario. Skelton will want every winner he can get in this festival.
16:25 4:25 Ayr

Florida Dreams

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

Looks a great each way on paper. Best value in this tight race and could challenge late for the win. No headgear today is a plus. Must be doing well at home and may settle a lot easier. Looks a great each way in this.

Nurse Susan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Looks to have the best chance in the race and also has strong value here. Can easily outclass the rest. The run from a long layoff would have sharpened it up and primed it for a win here. Looks a class bet.
15:50 3:50 Ayr

Asta La Pasta

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@3.25

Win

112

Slight value here as it looks the most likely winner of the race. Everything will suit, and it could win the race fairly easily. However, approach with caution.

From The Clouds

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.50

Void

0

Way too big and will certainly go off shorter. Stable is fairly close and Lucinda will have that advantage over these horses here. Unexposed over fences and would have won last time if not for unseating rider. Looks a top bet each way for a top 2 finish.
15:15 3:15 Ayr

Crebilly

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Also makes a case for value and may have the best value in the race due to the price. Pace will suit and is definitely worth the extra money, as well as the other bet in the race.

Walk On Quest

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@6.00

Void

0

Always like Lucinda Russell when her horses have a tongue tie. Looks the most likely winner and is a great each-way bet for this race. Plenty of danger in the race, but this is definitely the value pick. Only bad performance was when stepped up in trip. Now backed down, and this should suit the horse a lot more.
14:40 2:40 Ayr

I Am Max

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

5

Pace will suit, consistently running to a good mark. Conditions suit well. Jumps okay and travels very well. Looks the best value and most likely winner in this race.
14:05 2:05 Ayr

Roxanne

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG

@4.33

Win

166

Risky bet, but if it runs to any sort of ability, it'll take this lot to the cleaners. Looks great value for how much better it could be than its competitors.
13:30 1:30 Ayr

Inappropriate

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Looks like it will simply outclass this lot today. Age allowance and current form boost this horse to the correct favorite at an excellent price.
10 April 2025
19:30 7:30 Newcastle

Sun Keeper

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

This is ridiculous value and was very unlucky last time. It is drawn to get a run here and looks the immediate value in the race. It has great positional awareness and looks a little like a forgotten horse in this race.
04 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Aintree

Alnilam

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@21.00

Win

75

Certainly the value in the field at 20/1. In my books, it should be 14s and the 2nd most likely winner. The trainer is in good form and looks unexposed. Afadil may have a couple of lengths on it, but if Afadil does slip up, I believe this will have the best chance of picking up the pieces out of the remaining horses in the field. Looks a cracking value bet at 20s.
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Familiar Dreams

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

A fantastic price in this field. All the others have fitness concerns, whereas Familiar Dreams looks like it'll get its best run. It'll love the conditions also, and Top Jockey is on board. It will for sure stay on this ground. Valued around 9/2 in my books, so 8/1 is currently a steal, and I think it'll go off as the favourite. Looks like a double stake bet at the moment at 8/1.
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Excello

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Looks the best handicapped to the conditions and the most likely winner. Will stay the trip well and will for sure get the best ride. Still unexposed and has slight potential. Also very enthusiastic and competitive, which will assist in a large field like this. The value is still 18/1 as the field is so big, but 25/1 is way too big as I believe it'll be the most likely winner in the field.
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Wreckless Eric

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Looks the right price really, around 12/1. Unexposed still in my opinion, and the conditions will really suit. Will enjoy the course majorly, and the pace should also suit. The field is huge, making it hard to find value here. Western Walk looks the most likely winner. However, I believe it won't enjoy the conditions as much. Tintintin may not stay, and this will for sure stay if it runs how it should.
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13:45 1:45 Aintree

Dont Rightly Know

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

I think in this field it looks the second most likely winner due to its potential, staying ability, enthusiasm, and its fantastic jumping ability. I've got a value price of 9/2 down, and Ladbrokes are offering a warm 9/2 on the horse. Looks, in my opinion, the best bet by a mile. Hanstands will be hard to beat, and Don't Rightly Know's trainer is currently out of form. But I still believe it has the 2nd best chance, and being the outsider of the field is just too big in my opinion. Should definitely be shorter on the off.
03 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Aintree

Bettys Daisy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Priced in my books at 11/2. In my opinion, it looks the most likely winner, but there are concerns with it maybe being more of a softer ground horse, so the going may not suit Bettys Daisy. Even with that, I believe it has the best chance still based on the potential alone. Also, there may be concerns about its fitness. However, all this considered, I believe it's still a great bet.
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Calico

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

45

Looks the best value of the day at 14/1. I've priced it at 11/2, and I'm sure it'll be closer to that on the day. Will enjoy the easier going and will get its best ride here. Looks on paper the most likely winner as well as being the best value in the race. Only slight concern is that it is exposed in this field. However, I believe it'll enjoy it round here and could easily outclass the others off this mark.

The Folkes Tiara

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Looks value for money here. Looks 13/2 the value, so slightly overpriced in this field. Looks like it could get the beating of the rest easily here.
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Joker De Mai

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Valued at 11/1 and looks the most likely winner without any concerns in the field. Should be okay stamina-wise. However, the jockey worries me that it won't get its best run. Probably the hardest race of the day, and it was very hard to decide between a few. However, I think this'll like Aintree the most out of all the horses that are contenders in the field.
15:30 3:30 Aintree

Constitution Hill

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@2.10

Lose

-100

Is now the right price and will probably go odds on. It's the best hurdler we've ever seen, and I don't think the trip on a speed course will affect it at all. It is only the second time it's been odds against, only once before, and it won't be again after today.
14:55 2:55 Aintree

Grey Dawning

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Not much comes close to this on paper. Tactics will assist at Aintree and it looks the classiest on paper by a mile. Could easily run away with this race from the front here.
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Live Conti

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Small amounts of value here with this selection. It's currently priced at 4/1, and my value price is 10/3 for this. This is mainly down to the potential I think it has. The going and fitness concerns do worry me slightly. I think it may prefer softer ground. However, even taking that and fitness away, it still looks to be the most likely winner in the field.

Naturally Nimble

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Has a lot of potential and I've valued it to around the 4/1 mark, so there is plenty of value in this selection. Will enjoy the trip and going. Has had quite a long break, which is slightly concerning, but he looks to have been aimed at this race. The trip is definitely its best. Could easily give Puturhandstogether a run for its money if Puturhandstogether doesn't settle. Hopefully, a run at Cheltenham at that pace has affected its fitness slightly, allowing for a win here.
13:45 1:45 Aintree

Gidleigh Park

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@8.00

Win

10

Ground will suit. Looks a great bet for the value and looks Jan Baie's strongest challenger. Has a lot more to show in my opinion compared to others in this field. Will go off more fresh also after a longish 76-day break from racing. Has a strong jockey on board, so no concern about it getting its best run in this field. Looks like it'll enjoy Aintree and its tough fences. Also will appreciate the intermediate trip on this going. Value price is 10/3 in my opinion and bet365 are offering 11/2!

Jango Baie

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Has not drifted to the correct price and looks the most likely winner in this field. Even with the Cheltenham run maybe affecting it, I reckon it'll be more comfortable in this race at its preferred trip.
02 April 2025
16:43 4:43 Musselburgh

Sergeant Mayer

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 02/04 at 10:260.10 deduction for Mrs Bagerran@7.00 withdrawn at 16:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.10) = 6.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.40 BOG

@8.00

Win

10

Valued at 4/1 and looks to have a good chance here at 6/1. With the 4 places, it makes it a great bet. May have some fitness concerns, which have been my downfall recently, but if it runs to at least 90 percent of its best, it should win here in these conditions at this course.
14:25 2:25 Exeter

Land Afar

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.10

Lose

-50

Looks 15 lbs ahead of the rest. Could easily win this race by 10 lengths, in my opinion, and the price is quite confusing, in my opinion. Could easily go off odds on. Value price around 8/13.
31 March 2025
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Daaris

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Priced in my books at 2/1ish and looks a great bet. Concerns for all elsewhere and everything about this race will suit Daaris to a tee. Enjoys the course and the race will be run at a suitable pace also. Has a great chance of winning this race and some serious value here.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Flaine

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Win

55

Improving filly who may have course concerns and distance concerns. But if it runs to form, it could storm past these with ease. Very well handicapped in my opinion. However, the jockey is out of form. Without previous course form, I've priced it up at 6/4 and Ladbrokes are offering 16s!
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Kinswoman

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-5

Looks great value and the most likely winner. Advise each way as there is heavy market support for the favorite, but this looks a top bet at the top of the market. Likes the course and is very unexposed. Looks a great bet.
30 March 2025
15:40 3:40 Doncaster

Fine Interview

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Looks like a 3/1 shot on paper. Has a great chance; however, like all bets in this meeting, fitness does concern me majorly. Should still run a decent race and looks the most likely winner.
15:10 3:10 Leopardstown

Merrily

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

I can't see this not getting into the frame in this field. Bar the favorite, it looks clear of the rest and has plenty of room for improvement. The only thing that'll stop it is its fitness concerns, which it again shares with the rest of the field.
13:55 1:55 Doncaster

Amaysmont

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Not a single negative and priced in my books at 5/1. Looks a cracking each-way bet. No fitness concerns and should run a decent race into the frame at least. The jockey could be a concern as it is an amateurs' race. However, this looks the best chance on paper.
29 March 2025
16:45 4:45 Doncaster

Bashful

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Looks the best value in the race. I've priced it at 4/1, so taking this price is great each way value, especially for 5 places. It has a great chance at this mark and could run off with the race due to others around it having major concerns. It is a big field, so it may need a little luck in running to win the race, but I don't think there's any stopping it from getting into the frame.
15:35 3:35 Doncaster

Native Warrior

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

I've priced Native Warrior at 7/2, and they are offering 10/1. However, I believe the fitness concerns may hinder its chances. Nearly the whole field has fitness concerns as they are all going off very fresh. Ones that have had a run will have an advantage, but Native Warrior is a lot classier than its mark suggests.

Orandi

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

30

Orandi looks a cracking bet here as it's had a run at the Curragh and it looks well handicapped to the conditions. No fitness concerns, unlike the others near the top of the market, and going off fit will surely ensure it at least gets into the placings. I have priced it to 8/1, and 11/1 is of course bigger, so I'm going to take the value in the big race of the day.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster

Liberty Lane

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

May not be fit to run, but even with the fitness concerns, I've priced it to 13/8, and 11/4 is up for grabs. Looks a cracking bet at the price and is well ahead of this lot. Also reckon it's very unexposed and has potential for a lot more.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Al Shabab Storm

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Al Shabab Storm looks the best value in the field by a mile. With the market leader and the 2nd favorite looking like they won't be fully fit, this has a value price of 7/2, and 9/1 is an absolute steal. Looks like one of the best bets of the day. May go double stakes for this one as it will go in closer to the race.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster

Pressures On

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Looks a great price and one of the only horses in the field who doesn't seem to have major concerns. Others may be unfit and won't suit the trip/going. I've valued it to 5/1 and William Hill are offering 8/1 with 6 places.

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