violets
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
violets's Tips History
26 July 2024
13:00 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng v Beijing Guoan
Martin Edu Garcia
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@13.00
Win
600
Garcia plays for Shenzhen, which play at home, but are not expected to score first here. He is their striker, and scored last game. If the home team scores first, this price could be good value.
12:35 Shanghai Port v Nantong Zhiyun
Shanghai Port
50 WIN
@1.05
Win
3
Shanghai have been very dominant this season, and shouldn't struggle here. They are a low price, but I just can't see this going wrong.
Shanghai Port & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Shanghai haven't lost points since game week 8. I do expect them to win here. As they are playing the team in last who have struggled with scoring, I don't think they'll concede.
Lei Wu
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-50
Lei leads the league with 22 goals this season. Shanghai play the team in last place, and should therefore score first here. Their number 7 should have a good chance.
11:30 Gangwon FC v Jeonbuk Motors
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
Both teams had a good win in their last match. Jeonbuk now really need the points if they want to finish in the top half. Gangwon do concede a fair amount, so both teams should score.
11:30 Jeju United v Ulsan Hyundai
Jeju United & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Jeju has won their last 2 home games with both teams scoring. Ulsan just lost against Jeonbuk, and could be vulnerable here.
Subtotal485
25 July 2024
20:30 8:30 Yarmouth
Mythical Guest
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
This race has a lot of unexposed runners, which could be dangerous. Mythical Guest has proven himself. He ran a good race last time at Newmarket over a distance which wasn't his favourite. He had to give away a lot of weight to a horse which was already well handicapped. The 3 pound penalty is a bit harsh, but conditions look perfect today.
19:30 7:30 Yarmouth
Miss Attitude
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@7.50
Win
7
Miss Attitude should have the perfect race here. Drawn high is likely the ideal place. This big horse needs a flat track, so Yarmouth is perfect. She did go up another 2 pounds which isn't ideal, but she's tough.
19:00 7:00 Yarmouth
Pedro Valentino
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Win
112
Pedro Valentino finished a good 2nd in a good race at Ascot. A similar effort will likely be enough to win this race. Saffie is very successful at the racing league.
18:30 6:30 Yarmouth
Royal Velvet
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Win
270
Royal Velvet won on course and distance last time. The horse which finished a nose second to her, won the next time in good fashion. As she's a 3yo she carries a lot less than some of her rivals.
17:30 5:30 Yarmouth
Dream Harder
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Dream Harder bounced back last time when finishing a good 2nd at Chester. He gives a lot of weight away to 3yo s again, but he has a handy claimer on board. This horse should be better on faster ground with the extra distance.
Subtotal289
20 July 2024
15:40 3:40 Curragh
Elizabeth Jane
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Win
175
Elizabeth Jane is a Weld horse at 40/1, which isn't possible. This horse started at 10/3 before she drifted out at the Naas trial. She clearly wasn't ready for that day. As she was keen, and became tired at the end. Her pedigree makes me want to believe she definitely stays. I'm hoping this race doesn't come too soon, but she'll be much fitter for sure.
Lava Stream
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
Lava Stream was just rated 79 in the Ribblesdale, but almost won the Group 2. I think Tudhope delivered her just a bit too soon. She hit the front 1.5 furlongs out, and thought the job was done. A fast pace should be secured with both You Got To Me, and Port Fairy being in this race. The Ribblesdale might not have been the strongest race, but others have to improve more than this filly.
15:35 3:35 Newbury
Miss Collada
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
This horse isn't weighted as well as some others, but she is a very interesting runner. Richard Hannon always has horses that run well in this race, and this one is on a hat trick. Tom Marquand is coming down to weigh 8-9, which he hasn't done in quite some time.
15:00 3:00 Newbury
Elite Status
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@4.50
Win
175
Elite Status won very nicely on his reappearance. He had some problems, so he wasn't able to run at Royal Ascot. That doesn't concern me, this horse was always held in high regard.
Twilight Calls
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
I can't let Twilight Calls go just yet, I really want to believe this horse can give more than he has showed. Last time at Sandown the ground didn't suit, and he was just too far away. Over 6 furlongs this should be less problematic.
14:35 2:35 Curragh
Greek Flower
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG
@9.50
Win
17
Greek Flower is a horse I've been following for a long time. This horse just keeps improving. She would have won her latest run, but the winner was at the other side of the track. 6 furlongs should be a +, and she only went up 1lb for that 2nd place.
My Mate Alfie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
My Mate Alfie won a Listed last time, and it didn't look that easy, but the jockey didn't use the whip many times. He gets a nice 3yo allowance here, which will help this in-form sprinter.
14:25 2:25 Newbury
Spirit Mixer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Spirit Mixer hasn't been good yet this season, but he's running off a reduced mark here. He's well capable of being competitive rated 88.
11:00 Avispa Fukuoka v Tokyo Verdy
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.48
Win
24
Both these teams play very defensive football, and don't get many chances. The odd is quite low, but I wouldn't be surprised if this finishes 0-0.
11:00 Cerezo Osaka v Albirex Niigata
Pereira Leo Ceara
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Leo Ceara leads the league in scoring, but hasn't been in great form recently. In a home game against Niigata they should score first. The striker could bounce back.
11:00 Gamba Osaka v Shonan Bellmare
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.75
Lose
-50
G-Osaka have been the surprise of the season, finding a way to win every game with ease. Shonan come off a 5-0 win, so their confidence will be high. Both teams should score.
11:00 Jubilo Iwata v Kyoto Sanga FC
Ryo Germain
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@6.50
Win
275
Iwata lost 5-0 last week, but Shonan aren't a bad team and they had an early red card. Germain still has scored first many times, and is good value here.
11:00 Kashiwa Reysol v Kawasaki Frontale
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Kawasaki their last 5 games have been draws with both teams scoring, and the odds in today's fixture tell us that could be happening again. Both these teams pla attacking football.
11:00 Urawa Red Diamonds v Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Yusuke Matsuo
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Matsuo is the starting striker for Urawa today. Sapporo are one of the weaker teams, so scoring first shouldn't be a problem for the home side. This player played well when he came on last game, and has earned himself a starting spot.
11:00 Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Osako
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Osako has found form, having scored in his last 4 games. Kobe are a very good team, with Muto being very dangerous from the side. He is capable of giving a nice cross to the striker, who gets his chances.
10:00 Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F Marinos
Jun Amano
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Amano plays behind the strikers for Yokohama. In their amazing comeback win against Kashima last week, he scored. Machida miss their striker today, which might give Yokohama the opportunity to score first.
Subtotal192
14 July 2024
11:30 Yokohama F Marinos v Kashima Antlers
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Yokohama have been in terrible form lately, as they have lost their last 4 matches. This is quite strange as they are a strong team on paper. Most of their games have both teams scoring, but they might struggle to pass Kashima their defence in this current form.
11:00 Kawasaki Frontale v Cerezo Osaka
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Every game of Kawasaki is a btts angle. Their last 4 league matches have been draws with both teams scoring, a result which could potentially occur again.
Pereira Leo Ceara
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Leo Ceara has scored 16 goals this season, and leads the league with that amount. Kawasaki are quite poor, and could potentially concede first here.
11:00 Shonan Bellmare v Jubilo Iwata
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Shonan play good attacking football, and therefore have high scoring games. Jubilo Iwata shouldn't have trouble scoring here, as Shonan have already conceded 38 times in 22 games this season.
Ryo Germain
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Germain scored first for Iwata in their last game, and is having a great season. He has scored 12 times, and even missed a couple of games. Shonan often concede first.
10:30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Avispa Fukuoka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Hiroshima are one of the stronger teams in the league. Fukuoka were in good form, but surprisingly lost against Sanga. This is a tough place to bounce back in.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Hiroshima are a good home team, and should win this match. Fukuoka is quite a defensive team, so I don't think they'll get many chances to score here.
Yuki Ohashi
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@5.50
Win
225
Ohashi is Hiroshima their top scorer with 9 goals this season. He scored in their last cup game, and looks bang in form. The home team should score first here.
10:00 Nagoya Grampus v Kashiwa Reysol
Mao Hosoya
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Hosoya plays for Kashiwa who have won their last 2 league games. They are in good form, so I expect them to score first. This man is one of their strikers, and he scored in the cup this week.
10:00 Tokyo Verdy v Machida Zelvia
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.61
Win
31
Both these teams have good defences. Tokyo will probably try to defend to get a point here, as that would be a good result. Machida are quite strong, so hopefully they don't score 3 by themselves.
Machida Zelvia & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
Machida have been fantastic this season, and find themselves at the top of the table. They won their last match against Verdy with a huge score of 5-0.
Shota Fujio
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
Fujio is probably one of Machida their best players. He has scored 8 league goals this season, and should get his chances today. I expect the team who is top of the table to score first.
Subtotal561
13 July 2024
17:25 5:25 York
Hierarchy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Hierarchy is an interesting runner in this big field. He was very unlucky at Sandown last time, but that shows that he might be back in form. He also gets his soft ground today, which is ideal.
16:35 4:35 Newmarket
Mill Stream
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@13.00
Win
360
I like taking on the favourite in this race, as the race he won at Royal Ascot was very weak. Mill Stream has been an improving sprinter which can now make himself competitive in Group 1s. He ran respectable at Ascot, but the ground might have just been a little too quick that day. Today's conditions will suit him better.
Vandeek
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
Vandeek was the best sprinting 2yo last season, but hasn't confirmed that promise yet. On his return he was beaten by today's favourite, but he was far from 100% that day, and the distance could have been closer if the jockey didn't give up when winning wasn't possible. Conditions look perfect today, so there aren't any excuses.
16:00 4:00 Newmarket
Carrytheone
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Carrytheone is a short favourite for such a competitive handicap, but that has its reasons. Everyone saw that he didn't have a clear run at Ascot, but his run at Newmarket might have been more impressive. Pat Dobbs didn't even use the whip that day. He is still extremely well handicapped, and if he finds a way through traffic he'll win this race.
15:45 3:45 York
Chesspiece
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
I'm not sure what happened to this horse last time, but it was too bad to be true. He was a serious contender for the Leger as a 3yo, and can't have lost his abilities all of a sudden. If he bounces back, 8/1 is a nice price.
15:10 3:10 York
Botanical
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Botanical looks the correct favourite of this big field. He was hot favourite at Royal Ascot, but things didn't go his way and the ground was too quick. He has a good draw today, unlike many of the market leaders. This race is usually won by a prominent runner, so there are no excuses today.
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14:50 2:50 Newmarket
Volterra
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Volterra was favourite for the Britannia, but probably didn't enjoy the firm ground and was drawn at the wrong side. He still ran a good race, and they've kept him on the same mark. Qirat has similar form, but I feel like the draw, ground and track will be the difference today.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 York
Starlust
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.25 on 13/07 at 11:200.10 deduction for Emaraaty Ana@10.00 withdrawn at 13:11R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.25 x (1-0.10) = 3.03
@3.03
Win
101
Starlust is the favourite here, but conditions look perfect. He won a handicap at this track on similar ground with ease over this distance. 6 furlongs at Ascot was probably just too far for him, especially with firm ground.
Yefimenko
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Yefimenko is very unexposed. She won her Bellewstown maiden with an incredibly fast time, while she was hard on the bridle. The dam is out of Exceed And Excel, which makes me question if today's soft ground is ideal. Nevertheless, off a very low weight this horse is interesting at an each-way price.
1 member found this comment useful
14:12 2:12 Newmarket
Not Real
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
Not Real is an interesting horse here. In her last run at Haydock she had to spend a lot of energy to get to the front. She also didn't really handle the bend, so she was pretty wide. She still was very competitive at the end, but a lot went wrong. There isn't much pace here, so if this horse can settle she can dictate from the front.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 York
Blue For You
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.50
Win
225
Blue For You won this race very easily last year with a mark of 99. The handicapper dropped him to 95 for no reason, so his chances are even better this time. The draw is the only negative, but you can't change that.
13:45 1:45 Ascot
Fair Wind
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Win
270
I was quite surprised when Fair Wind didn't go on and win his latest run at Thirsk, but coming from off the pace is just really difficult over there. I think he's still handicapped to be competitive, and he has the best draw today. Pat Dobbs on board is quite concerning, as he often has horses which are unlucky losers, this could be one of them.
Kings Lynn
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
King's Lynn has been running well lately, and it can't be long until he wins a race. He beat everyone but the winner comfortably at Newcastle. Today's conditions seem ideal as there won't be much pace, this prevents the possibility of him being outpaced early on. Oisin Murphy takes the ride, and he has been in good form recently.
Subtotal506
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