violets

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

violets's Tips History

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05 October 2025
16:25 4:25 Longchamp

More Thunder

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

More Thunder's win at Newbury should be a little more respected, as he was the only one who was able to make ground from off the pace. He won easily and deserves this step-up to a Group 1, as many handicappers have done this season. He's drawn in the parking lot, but he'd be ridden patiently anyway, so it shouldn't be that big of a problem. The ground is more concerning. I'm hoping it won't become too soft.

Topgear

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

I thought this could well be Topgear this season, but he's been disappointing since his seasonal reappearance. I think the ground was a little too quick for him, and 7 furlongs is his distance. He's drawn nicely and will have no excuses, so I'll give him another shot.
15:50 3:50 Longchamp

One Look

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

One Look is a horse I've been betting on for quite some time now, and he's been doing well this season, especially on easier ground. Twomeey only runs his horses in races which he genuinely believes they have a winning chance, and although this is a competitive Group 1, I'd give this runner every chance.
15:05 3:05 Longchamp

Croix Du Nord

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@15.00

Lose

-50

Croix Du Nord will win the Arc this year. He was heavy odds-on when making his return in the Japanese Guineas, but failed to win that day. He built off the performance and justified his odds in the Japanese Derby with a strong performance. To me, his performance in his prep for the Arc wasn't going to matter too much, as I know this horse will be better with a run under his belt. He managed to win against a solid French horse, which many fancy for the Arc, showing he handles the ground. The draw is negative, obviously, but you can't change it. It's Japan's year.
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14:25 2:25 Longchamp

Al Ghadeer

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Al Ghadeer has been unbeaten since his debut. He won cosily at Goodwood once again and will be heavily odds-on for this once again.
13:50 1:50 Longchamp

Afjan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Afjan has clearly been held in high regard as they took a chance on him at Royal Ascot after his impressive debut. He probably doesn't want the ground to be too fast, as his performance on testing conditions at Longchamp last time out was very nice. He beat a horse who finished a close second on her next start in a Group 1.

Against The Wind

Daily Racing

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

Handicappers have been involved in Group 1 sprints multiple times this season, and Against The Wind could be underestimated here. His draw is kind of high, but if he handles the ground, I think he's capable of running a big race. He's shown potential group quality at Southwell and Thirsk in good handicaps.
12:40 12:40 Longchamp

Diamond Necklace

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

O'Brien was dominant this season at Royal Ascot with his 2-year-old horses, and this seems to be another smart one. Soumillion was mighty impressed with Diamond Necklace, despite the slow start. He had a gear to spare. The ground was on the soft side that day, so testing conditions shouldn't be a problem. Exciting.
04 October 2025
16:10 4:10 Ascot

Rosario

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Rosario ran a cracker in the Portland at the wrong side. He isn't sure to enjoy this ground, but if he does, conditions will suit, and he's drawn near the rail. Still has to be well handicapped off 2lb extra.
16:00 4:00 Longchamp

Santorini Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Santorini Star won her race nicely at Doncaster, despite likely being a little better when she gets some cover. Many runners here are not sure to stay on testing conditions, but this runner has proven herself at 2 miles, so that won't be a concern. She gives quite a lot of weight to the 3-year-old, but Haggas has won this race twice with similar types in recent years.
15:35 3:35 Ascot

Hickory

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

20

Hickory won nicely on his last start, in which he beat a runner that went on to win his next start by more than 4 lengths. The ground shouldn't be an issue once again, and he's only up 3lb. The favourite has a strong chance, but I'll go for the each-way angle.
15:00 3:00 Ascot

Annaf

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 8.00 on 03/10 at 20:570.00 deduction for Lou Lous Gift@34.00 withdrawn at 09:110.10 deduction for Elmonjed @7.000 withdrawn at 09:110.00 deduction for Celandine @12.000 withdrawn at 09:470.00 deduction for Tuco Salamanca @23.000 withdrawn at 10:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.00 x (1-0.1) = 7.30

@7.30

Win

189

Annaf will love the conditions and usually runs his race at Ascot. Back down in class he's very capable of being competitive at this level.
14:50 2:50 Longchamp

Cape Orator

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@10.00

Win

450

Cape Orator is a standout on ratings in this race after finishing a respectable third in Group 2 company. He's drawn widest of all and will need a huge performance to win with the draw, but he looks a class above the rest.

Inis Mor

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

75

Inis Mor has done nothing wrong in two starts and beat some decent Godolphin's while carrying a penalty latest. It's a tough ask against the boys, and the draw could've been better, but she's shown class.
14:40 2:40 Newmarket

Spiritual

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Being near the front will be important, and Spiritual should benefit from that. She's quite inconsistent, but her run at Doncaster was promising and the expected rain can only be in her favour.
14:25 2:25 Ascot

Tenability

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Tenable is a very talented horse and is improving with every run. He beat a nice colt on his last start and deserves to be thrown into this company.
14:15 2:15 Longchamp

Celestial

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Celestial is quite short for such a competitive field, but seems to have a lot going for him. He was unlucky on his latest start, but managed to finish a respectable 4th. He's well drawn and Puchin is back on board.
14:05 2:05 Newmarket

Half Sovereign

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-50

It will be very windy at Newmarket, likely favoring frontrunners. Half Sovereign won nicely at Doncaster while dealing with a headwind and has little weight to carry.
13:50 1:50 Ascot

Pearl Of Windsor

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@81.00

Void

0

Pearl Of Windsor is a huge price but could get into the first four here. His run at Pontefract was respectable, as everyone knows it's impossible to win from such a position at that track. The ground is a question mark, but if he likes it, 80/1 could be too big.

Woolhampton

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Woolhampton will be suited by the conditions, but her latest run was a little concerning. Things didn't go her way but it was a little too bad to be true. If she's capable of bouncing back she has a solid chance.
13:30 1:30 Newmarket

Blessed Star

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Blessed Star ran a great race at York before getting beaten in a maiden at very short odds. She'll enjoy the step back up in trip and the return to turf. Rated 78, she should still be well handicapped based off the York run.
13:15 1:15 Ascot

Miss Nightfall

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Ground is likely to be heavy at Ascot, and there will be a huge headwind. Miss Nightfall showed to handle soft ground last time out at Doncaster, but had a little too much to do. The wind will be in her favour, and this filly showed promise earlier in the season at this course.
03 October 2025
15:38 3:38 Saint Cloud

Zgharta

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Zgharta is a huge price for this contest, and I'm not too sure why. She's been running better than her results have shown all season and will therefore be very capable of being competitive in Listed company. This race doesn't look strong at all, and Barzalona takes the ride, which is a huge plus.

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