violets
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
violets's Tips History
06 September 2025
17:15 5:15 Haydock
Dukes Command
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Win
210
Duke's Command ran well at Goodwood showing signs of revival. That was a Class 2, so he's back in calmer waters here.
16:55 4:55 Ascot
Kullazain
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Kullazain looks sure to run his race on conditions which will heavily be in his favor. He was off the bridle quite quickly at Southwell, but the expected pace doesn't seem as strong here, which could help. He's still unexposed and could be nicely treated off 93 here.
16:07 4:07 Haydock
Luna A Inbhir Nis
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Luna A Inbhir Nis is a tough frontrunner to pass, and ran a cracker at York last time despite conditions not being in her favour.
15:35 3:35 Haydock
My Mate Alfie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
This is a super difficult renewal of the Haydock Sprint Cup, but I thought My Mate Alfie could outrun his odds. Apparently, the stands-side is the place to be on this new course they'll be running on. What I'm quite certain about, though, is that you'll need to be prominent. My Mate Alfie has had a decent campaign, but at the end of last season is when he really started showing his best work. Winning a 25-runner handicap off top weight, and dominating some nice events. He'll need to improve, but he's definitely capable with conditions in his favor.
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15:15 3:15 Ascot
Tenability
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Win
225
Tenable won under incredible circumstances at the Shergar Cup, and he did it quite comfortably as well. Up 4lb seems well within his range, if the ground isn't a problem. His pedigree suggests he handles it. The favourite will love the conditions and looks tough to beat, but this horse impressed me a lot on his recent start.
14:40 2:40 Ascot
Afentiko
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
This is another tough race, but the wind and going conditions could see prominent runners have the advantage here. Afentiko ran two good races this season before his draw being unbeatable at Goodwood. He was capable of handling tough conditions back in France as a 2yo, so I'm not too worried about the ground. He's high in the weights, but could still be competitive with perfect conditions here.
14:25 2:25 Haydock
Fantasy World
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@13.00
Win
35
The ground was probably a little too quick at York last time out for Fantasy World, but he still ran his race. That race seemed to be quite tough, which makes me think this can only be easier. He's drawn quite wide, which is concerning to me despite this being 1m6f. You don't want to be too far off the pace, so the jockey will likely have to burn some fuel early on. The going will be a little more to his liking, and horses which ran well in the Melrose have won this in the past.
13:50 1:50 Haydock
Publish
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Publish impressed me when winning at Sandown, battling against a Godolphin, which definitely looked smart. He should take another step forward with the extra furlong.
13:15 1:15 Haydock
Prague
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Prague impressed last season when showing huge promise in this race before winning in nice fashion at Newmarket. This horse seems hard to train, which is probably why O'Brien got rid of him, but he definitely has a lot of talent. The tongue-tie goes back on, which can only be a positive. He likes it here, and this race seems within his reach.
Subtotal170
04 September 2025
18:10 6:10 Longchamp
Pearla
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.10
Lose
-50
Pearla is stepping up into Listed company after winning a novice event with ease. Haggas clearly wants some softer ground for this runner, which she is likely to enjoy at Longchamp. The extra distance is another positive in my opinion.
Subtotal-50
02 September 2025
17:18 5:18 Goodwood
Eye Of Dubai
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.88
Lose
-50
Eye Of Dubai hasn't been on the same level as last season, but showed promise at Ripon. They didn't want to be at the rail at all last time at Newcastle, so I'm willing to forgive him that run. Softer ground in calmer waters could be enough to get this horse back to winning ways.
16:43 4:43 Goodwood
Dancing Tiger
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Win
225
Dancing Tiger might have finally gotten the hang of things after finishing a solid second to a decent horse from Haggas. This horse has a nice long stride, which to me is perfect for the soft ground. He ran alright behind Bownder earlier in the season at Goodwood, and is 8lb better in today with that opponent.
16:08 4:08 Goodwood
Divine Comedy
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.75
Lose
-50
Divine Comedy is a horse which needs soft ground. She's been running well in races on ground she despises. Finally, the rain has come, and this race seems to be easy enough for her, rated 99.
15:33 3:33 Goodwood
Master Vintner
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
87
Master Vintner ran nicely on debut but has been off for more than 100 days since then. He's changed yards and looks sure to build on that promising run for a yard in good form recently.
14:58 2:58 Goodwood
Roach Power
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Roach Power has been running well recently and should still be on a good enough mark to land this type of event. He likes these conditions and is well drawn. Strong jockey booking boosts his chances.
Subtotal162
30 August 2025
18:02 6:02 Deauville
Balmoral Lady
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Balmoral Lady is a nice filly, which will finally get her ground. She was a little disappointing at Sandown last time, but is very dangerous if bouncing back here.
17:27 5:27 Deauville
My Cloud
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
My Cloud has been climbing the ranks, this is only a Group 3 and I think he's capable of much more. The ground is the big question mark as he's never seen anything softer than good ground.
16:52 4:52 Deauville
Marquisat
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Marquisat is a Group 1 horse in my opinion, but he's not the easiest to campaign. This seems like a nice middle step towards targets he has later in the season. He'll love the soft ground.
Subtotal-150
28 August 2025
20:45 8:45 Southwell
Against The Wind
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Against The Wind should have conditions heavily in his favour today. Drawn at the rail he'll be able to get an easy lead. It should be straightforward from there on out. He's a sprinter in form, so I'm not too worried about the penalty he's carrying.
18:45 6:45 Southwell
Ormolulu
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Ormolulu is a Southwell specialist who's not been getting any luck in his past three runs at York. This race will have a strong pace, which is key for this horse's chances. I don't mind the drop to 6 furlongs, as he seems to have enough speed. He just needs luck to fall his way.
18:15 6:15 Southwell
Almarada Prince
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Almarada Prince is the rank outsider here, but that seems a little harsh to me. His run in one of the most difficult handicap sprints of the season was very good considering the head start he gave his opponents. Back down in grade and up in trip now on the all-weather all seem positives to me, and the headgear could help him have a better start.
16:15 4:15 Newbury
Creciente
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
This is a tough nursery handicap at Newbury, but I thought Creciente has been promising throughout her first couple of starts. An opening mark of 66 seems to be fair enough.
Subtotal-200
24 August 2025
13:33 1:33 Deauville
Fitzella
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Fitzella has been going through the ranks nicely, and deserves a chance at Group 2 success here. I don't think the step-up in distance is a problem at a flat track like Deauville with the fast ground being in her favour.
Subtotal-50
23 August 2025
16:10 4:10 York
Jordan Electrics
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 21.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG
@21.00
Win
75
Jordan Electrics ran a couple of days ago, but you can't really call that a run. The jockey gave up quickly, as things just didn't go his way the moment the stalls opened. This is more difficult, but the pace isn't as extreme today, so I'd give him a better chance at dominating from the front. He usually runs his best races at York.
15:35 3:35 York
Shadow Dance
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Shadow Dance, his connections probably have had this race in the back of their mind since he won in nice fashion at this festival last season. His run at Goodwood was highly promising, showing that he's a likely stayer up in trip.
14:25 2:25 York
Fantasy World
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Fantasy World is a horse I put in my tracker after his first run of the season with the comment that he could be one to target the Melrose. Well, he's made it, but this horse likely prefers some ease in the ground. Nevertheless, I think he'll do great up in distance and should still be well handicapped.
Subtotal-25
22 August 2025
18:35 6:35 Hamilton
Defiance
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Defiance got a nightmare ride at Goodwood, but still managed to finish a good third. He's on the same handicap mark, and the extra distance has to be in his favour.
17:35 5:35 Hamilton
Seren Star
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.80 used instead of 1.67 takenBOG
@1.80
Win
40
Seren Star is a horse I put in my tracker after her debut and was waiting with for handicaps. She unfortunately won on her last start, but a handicap mark of 78 still looks well in her range.
17:05 5:05 Hamilton
August George
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.00 on 22/08 at 01:070.10 deduction for Fans Favourite@10.00 withdrawn at 08:390.20 deduction for Saxophonist @4.500 withdrawn at 09:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.00 x (1-0.3) = 1.70
@1.70
Win
35
August George was an obvious eyecatcher on debut. This race looks easier, and he should improve with the run. Obvious chance.
16:45 4:45 York
Naval Light
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Naval Light was a hot favourite at Goodwood, where in my opinion he didn't enjoy the track at all. He still ran his race, and was beaten by a horse which won in great fashion next time out. We'll see if the step-up in trip is in his favour.
16:10 4:10 York
Zgharta
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.20
Lose
-50
Zgarta has been running some very respectable races in defeat. She was way too far back at Ascot, but still managed to stay on. Another poor ride cost this filly again at Goodwood. The step-up in distance should be fine, I just think this horse could've already been rated 100+ if things went her way more often, which means she's well handicapped here.
15:35 3:35 York
Jm Jungle
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
Jm Jungle finally has gotten the recognition he deserves after winning a nice pot at Goodwood. What I thought was most impressive about that performance was him being forced to kind of make his own pace from stall 1, which usually isn't ideal. In my opinion, this horse is at his best when he gets a little bit of a lead to aim at. He usually gets this in big field handicaps he's run in at York in the past, which explains his consistency. Every time he's underperformed, it had been a smaller field, in which he had to do most of the running himself. Stalls 6, 8, and 9 are where the main pace will be, so he'll have to move over a bit. It's a weak Nunthorpe, so even a 'handicapper' like Jm Jungle is a huge threat.
15:00 3:00 York
Egoli
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Lose
-50
Egoli won two nice races at York and Newbury, of which the form has been boosted. His last run at Goodwood can be excused. The trainer was already skeptical about the track before the race, and he clearly didn't enjoy it. He'll be much better on a flat track. This is a rather weak Gimcrack, so he'll have every chance.
Subtotal-175
21 August 2025
19:15 7:15 Newcastle
Miss Nightfall
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Miss Nightfall ran a lovely race at Ascot before being a little disappointing at Newmarket. She's been off since and should be very competitive in calmer waters.
16:45 4:45 York
Amazing Journey
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Amazing Journey won in nice fashion at this course before getting unlucky on ground which was far from ideal at Goodwood. Good chance with today's perfect conditions.
Subtotal-100
20 August 2025
16:45 4:45 York
Over The Blues
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Over The Blues was a beaten favorite when well fancied at Doncaster on his last start, but I thought he never really had a chance. He was on the wrong side of the track and had to switch out wide when the race was already decided. It's been over 2 months, which has to be concerning, but with Burke's horses being in amazing form, he should run his best race yet.
Woohoo
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Woohoo her last two runs have been seriously eyecatching. At Chepstow she was on the side without any pace whatsoever, so she had to make her own pace. She still managed to finish a good fourth. At Windsor she met trouble early, and wasn't able to recover. She'll be running 5 pounds out of the handicap, but this horse has the potential to be rated much higher than her current 68.
15:35 3:35 York
Danon Decile
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Danon Decile was dominant in Dubai, and could benefit from not running since then. The pacemaker which Godolphin has put in the race should be in his favour as well.
13:50 1:50 York
The Man
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@8.50
Win
12
The Man is favorite here, but he seems hard to oppose. With an extreme pace forecasted and there likely being a headwind, this horse could very well make up ground late. He's been kept fresh after his seasonal reappearance and should therefore still be on a good mark.
Subtotal-138
19 August 2025
17:05 5:05 Kempton
Nimble Nasher
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
Despite being 200/1 on his first start of the season, Nimble Nasher ran respectably with especially his fast finish catching the eye. His handicap mark could have been lower, but he should improve now switched to sprinting trips.
Subtotal-50
17 August 2025
14:50 2:50 Deauville
Ascoli Piceno
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.50
Lose
-50
Ascoli Piceno is a Japanese raider who looked incredible on his last start. He passed every one of his rivals to win a big Group 1 and proved himself in unknown territories in the Middle East before that. This will be his first start on a straight course, but his racing style should be perfect for the likes of Deauville.
Subtotal-50
16 August 2025
15:35 3:35 Newbury
More Thunder
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.75
Win
137
More Thunder has been a Group 1 horse in my books for a while now. His latest win was incredibly game, and today's opponents don't look that much better. Newbury can be tricky to make a lot of ground up on sometimes, which would be my only concern.
14:50 2:50 Deauville
Alohi Alii
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Win
450
Alohi Alii is a Japanese runner who'll likely go to the Arc if running a good enough race here. His recent run was better than the result, considering the jockey had to make a huge move in the middle of the race. The likely slow pace can't be in his favor, so that's concerning.
12:58 12:58 Deauville
Simmering
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Simmering bolted up when at this course last season, which makes me believe he's well capable of bouncing back. The ground is going to be very fast, which is probably why they decided to supplement him. Fabre has been in great form recently, so his runner will be tough to beat.
Subtotal537
15 August 2025
13:33 1:33 Clairefontaine
Square Dalboni
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-50
Square d'Alboni was highly promising as a 2yo, but hasn't been able to confirm that this season. Soft ground is probably what he needs, which he unfortunately won't be getting here. I still think he's capable of beating these, as it seems like he needs some runs to get rolling.
Subtotal-50
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