weyayeman
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weyayeman's Tips History
30 April 2025
20:00 Barcelona v Inter Milan
Barcelona
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Inter come into this game having won only 1 of their last 4 league games, with the last 2 ending in losses in which they failed to score a goal which may not be the best form to be in when travelling to face a Barcelona team who have won 12 of their last 13 league games
Inter’s only hope of making progress in this competition could be if they can sit tight at the back and hope to hold out for a draw, but with Barcelona having put 4 past Dortmund in the previous round in their home leg and having scored 46 goals in 17 league home games this season, I think Inter could end doing well if they can limit the home side to only 2 goals
19:45 Blackpool v Birmingham
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-50
A 4-0 win for Birmingham in their latest game outs them on a run of 8 games in which they scored 2 or more goals in 6 of the game while also conceding in 5 of the games, resulting in 21 scored and 6 conceded
Blackpool’s last 10 games have resulted in both teams scoring in 7 of them and 8 ending with 3 or more goals scored
So with no pressure on Blackpool to get a result and Birmingham just continuing to knock in the goals, I could see this game easily ending with 3 or more goals and possibly even 4 or more, so my money has to be on the goals markets in this games
19:45 Mansfield v Peterborough
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Both Mansfield’s and Peterborough’s recent games have not been short of goals, with the last 10 of each resulting in;
Mansfield: 8 ending with both teams scoring and 8 ending with 3 or more scored, with a total of 37 scored in the 10 games
Peterborough: 7 ending with both teams scoring and 5 ending with 3 or more scored, with a total of 30 scored in the 10 games
Both have only 2 games remaining in a season that has all but ended for them, so with no pressure on either team I reckon the bet has to be over 3.5 goals
18:10 6:10 Southwell
Ring Fenced
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Only win came back in Jan. 2023, over 1m3f at Kempton (running off a mark of 69)
After a long run in which at best he got to with 4 lengths of the winner on a couple of occasions, this has resulted in him running off a career low mark of 49.
Having his first run in 5 months, 10 days ago, he put in one of his better efforts when keeping on in the final furlong to finish 7¾ lengths 3rd of 10 over 1m3f, so could be worth chancing with an EW bet at 17.00 on stepping up to 1m4 today
16:05 4:05 Pontefract
Partisan Hero
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Having placed in his first 4 runs after moving yards in May 2024, he followed up with 2 consecutive wins, the latest coming 22 days ago over C&D and has to enter calculations in his current form, despite a 5lbs rise in the weights, on stepping up to a Class 4 handicap today
15:32 3:32 Pontefract
Molinari
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Finished off 2024 with 2 wins and resumed racing 20 days ago, after a 5 months break, in similar form to finish 4 lengths 2nd of 7, but may have finished closer if not having been short of room 1f out.
His last 3 runs have resulted in him having gone up 10lbs in the handicap but if transferring his latest form to a return to turf today he could be the one to beat on taking a slight drop in grade
14:57 2:57 Pontefract
Ingleby Archie
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.50
Lose
-50
Won 2 of 7 outings last year.
Returned from an 8 months break,18 days ago, and despite getting carried right in the final furlong he managed to get within 1¾ lengths of the winner
If coming on for his second run after a long break plus benefitting from dropping back to 5f(both wins to date came over 5f), then 6.00 looks a price worth taking (as well as current odds of 2.20 for a finish in the first 3)
Subtotal-272
29 April 2025
20:30 Casa Pia v Estoril
Casa Pia
50 WIN
@2.40
Lose
-50
Casa Pia may have won only 1 of their last 7 games, W1 D2 L4, but I reckon their home record puts them in the driving seat today as after losing their first 2 home games of the season, they went on to lose only 2 of their next 11 home games (winning 7 of them), with the 2 defeats coming against the current 2nd and 4th placed teams.
Estoril come into this game with an away record of W4 D5 L6 F20 A27 and although I wouldn’t put off anyone backing them to hold out for a draw, I think the fact that they have conceded 27 goals in 15 away games has swayed me into thinking that Casa Pia could maybe do enough to take their 8th home win of the season at odds that are looking slightly on the large side at 2.40
19:45 Solihull Moors v Rochdale
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Rochdale’s win in their last game ensured they finish in a play-off position, so the pressure is off to win today and it is maybe more important to avoid injuries in preparation for the play-offs, so although I think this could give the advantage to Solihull, I think that as they have a poor home record of W2 D2 L8 against the teams above them in the league I think I will avoid backing them to take the win but instead go of a bet on over 2.50 goals at the decent odds of 2.20 in what could be a more open game than if either side needed to to take points from this game
Subtotal-100
28 April 2025
18:00 Zaglebie Lubin v Stal Mielec
Zaglebie Lubin
50 WIN
@2.45
Lose
-50
5 of Zaglebie’s 9 wins this season have come from 8 games played against the current bottom 6 teams, so, coming into this game on the back of 3 consecutive wins (with an aggregate score of 6-2) and the latest of those having come a gainst the current 3rd placed team, I reckon odds of 2.45 looks a price worth taking when they face a team sitting bottom of the league having lost 11 of 14 away games this season and who are on a run of 9 games without a win, W0 D3 L7 F9 A20
1 member found this comment useful
16:50 4:50 Lingfield
Just Ten High
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Has won 4 of 14 AW runs (+ 5 runner up finishes)
Finished runner up in 3 of last 5 runs, all when running off the same mark as today (62)
So although running off a mark 3lbs higher than his last win, after a head 2nd of 9 over C&D in his latest run, today looks a good opportunity to go one better
15:30 3:30 Ayr
Cant Stop Now
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
2 C&D wins and 2 finishes at the back of the field (btn 22L & 46L) from his last 4 runs
So despite 2 (very) poor recent performances, he definitely has the ability to win a race like this having record 4 wins from 20 Turf runs, and although maybe not the most reliable of runners, at odds of 17.00 has has to be worth a minimum investment to, hopefully put in one of his better efforts in
15:15 3:15 Lingfield
Kitty Furnival
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
14:45 2:45 Lingfield
Bell Shot
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Beaten only a head and 3/4L in 2 AW (7f) runs earlier this year and returned to Turf (6f) for a 2½ lengths 3rd of 10 in his latest outing, 16 days ago.
Back on an AW surface today (where he won over C&D Last year), he shouldn’t be far away today running off the same mark as his last 2 AW outings and looks a decent EW prospect at 9.00
14:15 2:15 Lingfield
Doublethetrouble
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@12.00
Lose
-50
A C&D winner in Sept 2024, running off a mark 5lbs lower than today’s mark of 65
Was beaten only a neck 3 outings back, running off a mark of 65 and has finished 3L behind the winner in 2 subsequent outings, off a mark of 66
Yard has been in decent form with 2 winners and 4 runner up finishers from 15 runners in the last 14 days, so having been eased 1lb in the handicap and a 7lbs claimer in the saddle today, he has to be an EW bet a double figure odds of 12.00
14:00 2:00 Ayr
Giselles Izzy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Last win came in Aug. 2024, over C&D when running off a mark of 64
Has a record of 2/3/2/1 at Ayr, all over 6f on Good ground
He is without a win in 11 runs since his last win which has resulted in his mark dropping down 11lbs, so after showing a possible return to form last time out (running off a career low mark of 53) when finishing ¾ lengths 3rd of 10 and conditions to suit again today, he has to be considered at odds of 8.00
Subtotal-250
27 April 2025
22:45 The Chevron Championship
Jin Hee Im
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
Lauren Coughlin
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
16:30 Liverpool v Tottenham
Liverpool
50 WIN
@1.30
Win
15
With a record of W1 D1 L5 F8 A13 from Spurs in their last 7 games, I don’t hold out much hope for them today when they travel to face a Liverpool side who just need to avoid a defeat to ensure they finish in top spot.
It is easy to get carried away and think that Liverpool could turn it on today for the home supporters and come away with a 2 or 3 goal margin win and that it could pay to back them on the AH (maybe -2 goals), on the other hand Spurs could be determined to try and spoil their party and make it a difficult game for the home side, so as I reckon Liverpool should eventually get the upper hand in this game and take the 3pts, I think I’ll not risk my money on the chance Liverpool take an easy win and instead I will go for an increased stake on the short match odds of 1.30 for the home win
15:45 3:45 Southwell
Spirit Of Applause
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Was running well towards the end of 2024 with his last 6 runs (all on AW) resulting in 3/2/1/2/5/3, the last of which was in Nov. in which he finished 2 lengths 3rd of 10 in a Class 2, 5f handicap.
He returned from a 5 months break, 11 days ago, and may have needed the run when beaten 9½ lengths (8th of 9) in a Class 3 (Turf) handicap.
He returns to an AW surface today (where he has a track record of 3/2/2) having been eased 2lbs in the weights and if coming on for only his 2nd run after a break he could outrun his odds of 17.00 to finish in the first 4
15:30 3:30 Wetherby
Paris Lights
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
Runner up in 2 of last 3 runs, 1 AW & 1 Turf (Gd), both over today’s trip of 1m
Is still without a win on Turf after 13 outings, but has won 2 of 13 AW runs, so may not be without an EW chance today if running to the level of his 2 recent runner up finishes
15:15 3:15 Southwell
King Of Ithaca
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Win
7
7 C&D runs have resulted in 3 wins, the latest coming in his penultimate run when taking a 1¼ lengths win, running off a mark of 72.
His latest run came 37 days ago, also over C&D, when running off a mark 5lbs higher than his last win and although he finished 2¼ lengths behind the winner (5th of 12) his jockey reported he had “been denied a clear run in the final furlong” so it’s possible he may have finished closer.
Back over 7f at Southwell today and having been eased 1lb in the weights, he has to be one of the main contenders in what looks a wide open handicap
14:30 2:30 Wetherby
Beatrice Shilling
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@6.50
Lose
-50
Has dropped down to a mark 8lbs lower than her opening handicap mark (5 outings back) and ran one of her better races last time out when finishing 1¾ lengths 2nd of 5 (3rd placed runner won next time out), may not be far away again today running for a yard on a 29% SR in the last 14 days (2 wins, 1 placed form 7 runners)
14:00 Fiorentina v Empoli
Fiorentina
Empoli’s run without a win stretches back to early December, W0 D6 L12, in which they failed to score in the 7 of their last 10 games, whereas, Fiorentina have a last 4 home games record of W3 D1 L0 in which they kept clean sheets in 3 of the games, so I’ll take the odds of 1.91 on them adding another home win today to add to the 10 they have won this season
14:00 Inter Milan v Roma
Inter Milan
Roma are on a run of 16 games without a loss, W11 D5 L0, but their results against the top 5 teams are less impressive, W0 D4 L4, So with Inter sitting top of the league with a record of W21 D8 L4, of which their home games resulted in W12 D3 L1, I reckon Inter who are on a run of 6 consecutive home wins (aggregate score of 14-6) should be capable of adding another home win today
13:30 Ajax v Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Sparta are on an unbeaten run of 6 games, W4 D2 L1, but it’s a different story whenyou look at their results against teams at the top of the league with their record against the top 7 standing at W1 D2 L7 in which they conceded 2 or more goals in 6 of the 10 games, so I reckon it should be business as usual for Ajax today and they should add another home win to the 12 (from 14 games) they have recorded to date this season
13:30 Heerenveen v NEC
Heerenveen
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Heerenveen have not been the most prolific of scorers this season having scored 38 goals in 30 games, but they have shown different scoring form in recent home games with 14 goals in their last 6 games, in which they scored 2 or more in 5 of the 6, so when they face an NEC side who have scored only 3 goals in their last 5 away games, it has to be worth taking odds of 2.00 for Heerenveen to add another win to their current last 6 home game record of W3 D3 L0
12:30 Hamburg v Karlsruher SC
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
Hamburg come into this game as the team having the league’s best home record, W7 D7 L1 F37 A17, and could be worth backing to win at 1.47, but for me I think I will go for the similar odds of 1.50 for both teams to score as their opponents today, Karlsruher, have failed to score in only 2 of their 15 away games this season while scoring a total of 28 goals and they could be good for a goal if they lose today or looking at their results against the top 6 teams (W4 D4 L2), a 1-1 draw would be no surprise
Subtotal-207
26 April 2025
17:30 Wrexham v Charlton
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Charlton have been in fine goal scoring form in their current unbeaten run of 6 games (W5 D1 L0) having scored 2 or more in 5 of the 6 games for a total of 15 goals and a win against Wrexham today could keep up their hopes of an automatic promotion, so with Wrexham having scored in each of their 5 home games against top 6 teams, I think either of these teams will have the capability to fight back if going a goal down and this game could easily end 1-1 or a 2-1 win to either team and for me this makes a bet on both teams scoring at 2.2 the bet to go for
15:00 Brighton v West Ham
Brighton
50 WIN
@1.70
Win
35
Brighton’s results may not have been the best of late with only 2pts from their last 5 games, W0 D2 L3 F7 A13, but they still managed to score in 4 of the 5 games while scoring 2 or more goals in 3 of them, so, if continuing in the same goal scoring form this could give them an advantage over West Ham who are on a run of 6 games without a win, W0 D3 L3 F5 A8, and have failed to score more than 1 goal/game in 11 of their last 12 games.
Therefore, I reckon not only are Brighton worth backing at 1.70 to take the home win, it could also pay to also have a small bet on them on the AH with -1 goal at odds of 2.3 or higher
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15:00 Burton Albion v Cambridge Utd
Burton Albion
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Burton have lost 5 of their last 9 games, but these were losses to 5 of the top 8 teams, so considering that before this 9 game run they had lost only 1 of 10 games, I reckon odds of 2.00 are well worth taking for them to take all 3pts when they could have a much easier task today of facing a Cambridge side who although are unbeaten in their last 3 away games, have an overall poor away record of 13 defeats in 22 games
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15:00 Cheltenham v Carlisle
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Cheltenham have a decent home record against teams towards the bottom of the table, having won 5 of 6 played against the current bottom teams and with an aggregate score of 9-3 and they come into this game on the back of 3 games without a loss, W2 D1 L0 F6 A4, in which both teams scored in each of the 3 games.
Carlisle have only 2 games remaining to avoid the drop, but as with today’s opponents they come into this game in decent form having recorded 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 games, in which both teams scored in 3 of the 4 games resulting in a total of 14 goals scored in the 4 games, so with no option for Carlisle but to go for a win I think this game could end with 3 or 4 goals scored and both teams getting on the score sheet and as such it could pay to back both BTTS @ 1.67 and Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80
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Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.67
Win
34
Cheltenham have a decent home record against teams towards the bottom of the table, having won 5 of 6 played against the current bottom teams and with an aggregate score of 9-3 and they come into this game on the back of 3 games without a loss, W2 D1 L0 F6 A4, in which both teams scored in each of the 3 games.
Carlisle have only 2 games remaining to avoid the drop, but as with today’s opponents they come into this game in decent form having recorded 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 games, in which both teams scored in 3 of the 4 games resulting in a total of 14 goals scored in the 4 games, so with no option for Carlisle but to go for a win I think this game could end with 3 or 4 goals scored and both teams getting on the score sheet and as such it could pay to back both BTTS @ 1.67 and Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80
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15:00 Hull v Derby
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Derby have had a mixed bag of results recently in regards to the total number of goals scored with 4 of their last 9 games having ended with 3 or more scored while only 3 ended with fewer than 2 goals scored, so with a total of 22 scored over the 9 games and with 3 of the games having ended with 4 or more goals scored, I think this game could end with more goals than the betting in the goals markets would suggest, despite both teams possibly taking a cautious approach as they are both in desperate need of points to avoid the drop.
Hull’s recent games have not been high scoring with only a total of 9 goals scored in their last 6 games, but with their 10 home games against teams in the bottom half of the league having resulted in 9 of them ending with 2 or more goals scored, of which 5 ended with 3 or more scored, then I think taking account of Derby’s recent goal stats, it has to be worth chancing a bet on over 2.5 goals at the big odds of 2.62
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 Middlesbrough v Norwich
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
With Middlesbrough having to face 6th placed Coventry in their final game of the season, a win today will keep up their chance of a top 6 finish and if they go for the win from the start then we could see a few goals in this game considering they are playing a Norwich side whose last 7 games have resulted in 27 goals (F10 A17) of which 15 were scored in their last 3 games (with Norwich scoring 5 despite losing all 3)
15:00 Newcastle v Ipswich
Newcastle (AH) -2.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.02
Win
51
Although all but relegated at this stage of the season, Ipswich have no option but to go for the win in this game which could possibly lead to them suffer a heavy defeat here as Newcastle push to finish in a CL qualifying position.
Ipswich have conceded 71 goals in their 33 games to date (ave. 2.1/game), with 30 of those goals conceded in the 9 games played against the current top 5 teams (ave. 3.33/game) including a 4-0 defeat to Newcastle
Newcastle have won 12 of 13 games played against teams below 14th in the league, scoring 2 or more goals in 10 of the 13 games and having scored a total of 31 goals and conceding only 7 in the 13 games, therefore, I think they should be more than capable of taking a win by at least a 2 goal margin with a good chance of a much larger margin win, so odds of 2.02 for -2.25 goals on the AH have to be worth an interest
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 Southampton v Fulham
Fulham
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
Although Fulham’s results took a downturn in 2025 and they are currently on a run of 3 wins in 8 games, they have still shown they are capable of winning games, having won 6 of their 14 league games in 2025, including their last win which was a 3-2 home victory over Liverpool, so although on paper their results may not look great, I think the fact that their latest away game which ended in a 1-0 defeat was the first away game in which they had not scored since their 1-0 loss in their opening game of the season (putting them on a run of 14 away games in which they had scored in each one) which could give them an edge over an already related Southampton team who have conceded 78 goals this season and have taken only from 16 home games
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12:30 Chelsea v Everton
Chelsea
150 WIN
@1.57
Win
85
Everton are on a run of only 2 losses in their last 13 games, but having won only 5 of those games (and 4 by a 1 goal margin), W5 D6 L2, and having conceded in 12 of the 13 games, I reckon they would have to have luck on their side to take anything from this game against a Chelsea side who still have plenty to play for and who are unbeaten in their 7 home league games of 2025, W5 D2 L0 F15 A6, in which they kept 3 clean sheets and scored 2 or more goals in 5 of the 7 games.
1 member found this comment useful
12:30 QPR v Burnley
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
QPR have not won a game against teams above 9th, W0 D8 L6, but they did manage to score in 12 of the 14 games (for a total of 16), so if they are up for a game today against a team who could be going for finishing in top spot, then we could see a goal (or maybe 2) from them against a Burnley team who although having conceded only 15 goals in total this season, have conceded in 4 of their last 5 games.
Burnley have failed to score in only 2 of their last 11 games, while scoring a total of 22 goals, so I think we will definitely see them get at least 1 goal today, therefore, at odds of 2.00 I will have to have a bet on BTTS (or as I reckon Burnley to score is a banker bet, I am effectively taking even money for QPR to score a goal)
06:00 Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.67
Lose
-50
There has been plenty of goalmouth action in Brisbane’s last 3 home games, with all 3 ending with both teams having scored resulting in a total of 11 goals scored (F4 A7)
7 of Wellingtons 10 games have ended with 3 or more goals scored and in their 4 away games against teams below 7th they scored 2 or more in each of the 4 games, so if they continue in similar goal scoring form today and Brisbane can do enough to score at least 1 goal, then I can see this game ending with 3 or maybe 4 goals scored in total
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
There has been plenty of goal mouth action in Brisbane’s last 3 home games, with all 3 ending with both teams having scored resulting in a total of 11 goals scored (F4 A7)
Wellington have taken half of the 24pts they have won this season from their 4 away games they have played against teams below 7th which resulted in 4 wins to an aggregate score of 9-2
An earlier meeting this season between these teams ended 1-1, but with Wellington showing good away form against teams in the lower half of the league and Brisbane’s goal scoring having improved in recent games (failed to score in only 1 of last 10 games), then I reckon we could see another closely fought game that could, once again, easily end with both teams scoring to give a return for backing BTTS @ 1.57
Subtotal27
25 April 2025
19:00 Cambuur Leeuwarden v Vitesse
Cambuur Leeuwarden
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
5th placed Camburr have lost only 2 of their last 12 games (to the current league leaders and the 8th placed team) and are on a run of 6 wins and 1 draw from their last 7 home games, so odds of 1.50 could be overly generous today when they are facing a Vitesse team who are sitting bottom of the table and are on a record of W1 D2 L6 F11 A23 from their 9 away games against the current top half teams
19:00 FC Dordrecht v Maastricht
FC Dordrecht
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Maastrucht have taken only 4pts from their last 9 games, W1 D1 L7 F, which includes 4 away games resulting in 3 losses and 1 draw in which they failed to score in 3 of the 4 games, so travelling today to face a Dordrecht side who are unbeaten at home, W10 D7 L0 F42 A16, the bet surely got to be on the home win at 1.40
17:30 Greuther Furth v SSV Ulm 1846
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.75
Lose
-50
17th placed Ulm have been picking up points in recent games, last 8 games: W2 D3 L3 F7 A8, and have scored in 10 of 13 games played against teams in the bottom half of the league, so I expect we could see them put in another good performance today and it may be no surprise if they score a goal or 2.
Greuther Furth are unbeaten in their last 5 home games, W2 D3 L0 F10 A6, which have not been short of goals, with 4 of the 5 ending with both teams scoring and a total of 16 scored in the 5 games
I think the home side may just do enough to take the 3pts, but the away side will be no pushover, so with both teams looking likely to score I think I’ll give a miss to backing the home win and instead take odds of 1.75 that both teams will end up scoring
15:52 3:52 Perth
Felicie Du Maquis
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG
@10.00
Win
20
Comes here on the back of 2 consecutive wins over 3m, Sft, putting her on a record of 4 wins from 7 runs over hurdles.
Although running with a 7lbs penalty today, the way in which she took her last 2 wins suggest she could remain competitive today and at 9.50 is definitely worth an EW bet with 4 places on offer
15:17 3:17 Perth
Cerendipity
Daily Racing
25 EW
@5.50
Lose
-50
Has shown good form in all 4 runs this year, 2/4/1/3, winning over today’s distance in his penultimate run and followed up with a 12½ lengths 3rd of 7 over 2m4f next time out, 20 days ago and having gone up 1lb after his win.
Stepping back up in distance for today’s run and running off an unchanged mark I reckon he could be capable of throwing down a challenge to the 2.38 fav., Coco Mademoiselle, and looks worthy of an EW bet at 6.00
14:40 2:40 Perth
Olivers Travels
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
3 of his 5 wins have come over today’s distance (2 chase, 1 hurdles)
After a couple of poor efforts towards the back end of last year (Nov.) he put in a decent run last time out, 20 days ago, with a 12 lengths 2nd of 5, C4, 2m7½f, Gd, on returning from a 5 months break.
He runs off an unchanged mark today and we could see improvement today in his 2nd run after a break running for a yard on a 20% SR in the last 14 days (3 winners and 7 placed from 15 runners)
14:05 2:05 Perth
Shighness
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
1 win and 3 runner up finishes from 10 chase outings, with the latest of his runner up finishes coming in his latest run when ½ length 2nd of 10, C4, 4m, GS, running off a mark of 110
He has been raised for his latest runner up finish, but if this was an indication of a return to form and with Brian Hughes taking over in the saddle today, he could be good for a place bet at 13.00, running of a mark 2lbs above his only chase win (C3, 3m1f, Sft)
Subtotal-135
24 April 2025
20:30 Atletico Madrid v Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Atletico Madrid have lost only 1 of 16 home games this season with the only defeat coming against the league leaders Barcelona and the remaining 15 games having resulted in W11 D4 L0, so this looks a game to be on the home win at 1.53 when they face a Ray Vallecano side who have lost 6 of 10 games played against the top 6 teams (W0 D4 L6 ) and who have won only 1 of their last 9 games, W1 D3 L5
20:00 FC Twente v PSV
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.36
Win
18
FC Twente have a decent record of scoring against teams at the top end of the table, with their 8 games against the top 7 teams having resulted in them scoring in 7 of the games, for a total of 12 goals, so when they are up against a PSV side who have scored 86 goals while conceding 33 (in 29 games) this has to be a game to back on the over 2.5 goals market (and maybe over 3.5)
18:44 Moore/Clark v Morikawa/Kitayama
Morikawa/Kitayama
50 WIN
@2.05
Win
52
18:00 Osasuna v Sevilla
Osasuna
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Osasuna haven’t won many games recently with only 3 wins in their last 11 games, but they did win their last 2 games which were against the current 17th & 20th placed teams, so it could pay to take their odds of 2.5 today to take a home win against a 15th placed Sevilla team who have taken only 1pt from their last 5 games and failed to score more than 1 goal in any of their last 8 games (in which they scored a total of only 6 goals)
16:12 4:12 Warwick
Kayce Dutton
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Has 4 runner up finishes from 6 chase outings, the latest 26 days ago when beaten 2½ lengths in Class 4 handicap (with the 3rd a further 8 lengths behind), he runs in a similar race today on the same ground and running off a mark only 2lbs higher than all 4 of his runner up finishes he should remain competitive at decent odds of 4.50
15:25 3:25 Perth
Everyday Champagne
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.50
Lose
-50
He was running well in Spring/summer 2024 with 3 consecutive runner up finishes, but lost his way in his only 3 runs since, Pulled Up in 1 run and finishing towards the rear of the field in the other 2.
He returns after a 5 months break running off the same mark as his last win (Nov. 2023) and running at a track where he has a record of 3/4/2/2/2, it would be no surprise to see him involved in the finish today
15:05 3:05 Warwick
Brother Boris
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
Best chase run to date was when a 7 lengths runner up in a Class 5 handicap 4 outings back in January this year. He put in a decent effort in his latest run when beaten 5¼ lengths (3rd of 4) in a Class 4 handicap, so back in a Class 5 handicap today and a drop in the handicap putting him an a mark 4lbs lower than his runner up finish, I think he has to be worth a small win bet at 5.00 (+ a decent sized stake on him to place at odds just under even money ??" to 3 places)
14:55 2:55 Perth
Singapore Trip
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
Would have little chance if running to the form of his recent runs, but, having dropped back down the handicap to a mark only 3lbs above his last win (over C&D in May 2024) he could outrun his odds of 11.00
14:35 2:35 Warwick
Top Target
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
Top Target is returning after a 2-year break, so it is anyone’s guess whether he comes here race-ready today. But having already won 1 of 2 Bumpers and a Novice Hurdle (from 4 hurdles runs), he could get competitive if running to ability. He put in a decent effort in his only handicap run when an 8¼ lengths 4th of 11 in a Class 3, 2m4f race when running off a mark of 123 (and started 3/1fav). He runs off a mark of 115 today, so at odds of 19.00, I’ll chance that he can run to somewhere near his capability, which will, hopefully, see him do enough to at least get involved in the finish.
14:31 Hisatsune/Kanaya v B Taylor/Skinns
Hisatsune/Kanaya
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
14:25 2:25 Perth
The Sainted Canary
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
14:15 2:15 Beverley
Copper Knight
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@26.00
Win
100
Copper knight is getting on in years (11y.o) but was still running well last year in higher grades (Class 2 & 3), recording 1 win in a Class 3 handicap.
He has dropped to a career low mark of 73 for today’s run and could be worth an EW bet at odds of 26.00 on dropping down to a Class 4 hcp for his return after an absence of 6 months
14:05 Rai/Theegala v Bhatia/Young
Rai/Theegala
50 WIN
@2.05
Win
52
13:39 Thorbjornsen/Vilips v N Hojgaard/R Hojgaard
Thorbjornsen/Vilips
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
13:26 Perez/Pavon v van Rooyen/Bezuidenhout
van Rooyen/Bezuidenhout
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
13:13 Poston/Mitchell v Gerard/Walker
Poston/Mitchell
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
13:00 Hoey/Ryder v Bramlett/Smalley
Hoey/Ryder
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Subtotal-45
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