BaldEagle316

Horse racing both flat and jumps. Owner of 20 horses currently racing and 3 broodmares. Tips are mainly through race watching but also partial to some statistical analysis on occasion.

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BaldEagle316's Tips History

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26 April 2025
14:05 2:05 Leicester

Sergeant Wilko

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

None of these particularly stand out as an obvious choice, and all have questions to answer. For this lad, the ground is the concern as his successes have come on slower ground, but his failings on quicker have also come without Oisin in the saddle. A front runner, and he will need to be from stall 11. He needs the unopposed lead that he should get on paper and to get over as much as he can. Small stake.
14:00 2:00 Haydock

Into Battle

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Made a winning seasonal return at Epsom this time last season before being put into deeper races over the next 3 starts where he ran well enough but was outclassed. This was followed by an AW debut where he finished a running third before struggling in the mud at Epsom in the autumn. The yard is in good form with their seasonal returners, and the trainer and jockey have a 34% and 21% strike rate here respectively over the last 12 months. Well drawn too, every chance.
25 April 2025
14:40 2:40 Perth

One More Stroke

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

12

Competitive race this, but many of the other competitors are either beyond the limits of their mark or the profile of their best runs doesn't match today's situation. This horse has won 2 from 5 going right-handed, is back to his last winning mark today, a winner on this ground and over this trip, and Hughes has ridden him to his 3 career wins. The McCain yard is in better form than they have been for most of this season, and I would be surprised if we can't at least take a place.
14:05 2:05 Perth

Shighness

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

She will enjoy the ground today and has done well at similar tracks in the past. She has won at this level, been competitive in recent races, and in Brian Hughes has a jockey with a strong track record here. Likely to be held up, Inis Oirr should lead and perhaps pull a few along into a collapsing pace.
1 member found this comment useful
24 April 2025
16:33 4:33 Perth

Doctor Ken

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Has had a sporadic career, but there is undoubted ability there, and he has won previously fresh from this length of layoff. Yard and jockey are top dogs here, and it would be no surprise if he turned in another triumph.
15:47 3:47 Beverley

Panama City

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Very inconsistent horse whose best record is on the AW, but his only turf win came here. Well drawn with a light weight in comparison with his best runs, a small stakes play.
15:37 3:37 Warwick

Supremely West

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Best recent form is a win over a similar trip in testing ground at Haydock. The jockey's claim brings the horse back to that mark in a weaker race than that. Will be there to be shot at out front with the threat being the Murphy horse, but the profile of the race is in the selection's favor.
15:25 3:25 Perth

Travail DOrfevre

Daily Racing

50 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@9.00

Void

0

Ran well at this meeting last year to finish a close 2nd over two and a half and has won at this longer trip. He has not run that well in his last couple of outings, but a young conditional who has had a couple of winners in the last month comes on and takes 10 lb off. The yard is in good form with a winner here yesterday, and in a mediocre race, he could have a chance.
14:35 2:35 Warwick

Hecouldbetheone

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

This lad is 3lb worse off than when he returned with a win at Fontwell last time out, but that was from a 4-month break. He has won twice previously under this today's turnaround. Chadwick may be challenged by Beau Morgan for the lead, but he usually finds a way to beat himself anyway. Coming on from that last win, the circumstances of the race are in place for Hecouldbetheone.
14:25 2:25 Perth

The Sainted Canary

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Ran well in his first run over this trip, flattered by the losing margin to Regent's Stroll but pulled well clear of the rest and the form from his two novice runs prior to that is OK. Yard is in good form and the turnaround time from his last run suits.
22 April 2025
19:00 7:00 Thirsk

Cavern Club

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-100

Never particularly attractive to back the favorite, but this lad has a great chance today. His best runs on the flat have been over this trip, and the trainer continues to impress. The jockey has a good strike rate of 20% here, and whilst Thirsk is a new track for him, he has won on this type of ground over this trip at HQ. Well drawn to come from the back, there is little to oppose him with unless Letsbefrank produces a career best.
18:00 6:00 Thirsk

Coolree

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Chance taken here as this lad has not had a good winter, but he has never won on the all-weather, with his best form coming on today's quick ground. His 2 career wins have come over this trip, and he is well drawn. The yard's form is impossible to distinguish as few runners and all a bit of a mess with horses being sent to France, etc., but Silvestre is solid with a 20% hit rate here. In a poor race, this lad is my option and worth taking the BOG if available to you as he will drift.
21 April 2025
16:30 4:30 Wolverhampton

Monsieur Fantaisie

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@11.00

Win

50

In good form, currently winning an amateur riders' race here and then running with credit at Thirsk. Niven has a cracking strike rate here, and the good conditional coming on board is an obvious improvement on the amateur last time out here. Overpriced currently at 9s.
16:05 4:05 Kempton

Ahlain

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.50

Win

14

Top weight and the challenges that that brings, but she won last season here first time out. She has run with great credit in both runs at a higher class than this. The yard is running at a 30% strike rate over the last 30 days and a rate of over 20% with seasonal returners. Watson is in cracking form and has improved hugely since leaving Roger Charlton. Well drawn in 3. If she has progressed over the winter from 3 to 4, she should be too good for these.
15:40 3:40 Redcar

Cruyff Turn

Daily Racing

100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@4.00

Win

300

A three-time course and distance winner, he will benefit from the drop in trip from his promising seasonal return. Not ideally drawn, but David Allan does better than his average here.
14:40 2:40 Fairyhouse

Its Bilbo

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-100

He should appreciate the forecasted soft ground, having run on heavy in France and winning on soft on his Irish debut. Last time out, he lost nothing in defeat at Limerick, and he has had a lighter season than some of the juveniles here. Would expect a drift out to 5s.
14:35 2:35 Plumpton

JPR One

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Cracking race this with a case to be made for most of them, but this lad could be a group horse in the handicap (although weighted accordingly). A winner here in the past, and the trainer and jockey have done well here for years. He needs to be faultless, having thrown away his chance at the festival with a bad error 2 out, but if he is, he should have too much for these. Full disclosure - I am also backing Teddy Blue in this race, who also needs a better round of jumping than last time out but is off a belting low weight. He won here for the Moores over hurdles, and the yard and jockey are electric currently.
1 member found this comment useful
20 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Plumpton

Mr Freedom

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.50

Lose

-100

A good race on a cracking card here tomorrow and a number who I have noted this season run in this race. But as last year's runner-up in the Sussex Champion Hurdle and with the best course form on the card, this lad is where I land. His best days have come on good ground and his first run after a break at Bangor was encouraging with the form working out well. Would hope for a drift to 8s by my tissue but every chance EW.
1 member found this comment useful
16:20 4:20 Market Rasen

Greatness Awaits

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.00

Win

20

This will be a career best for this lad if he pulls this off tomorrow, but there is plenty in his favor. He should get a clear, uncontested lead, and Murray Dodd has ridden him to 2 wins from 5 rides on board. He responds well to good ground, and the layoff from his last run is at the right pitch for his best results. The trainer has done well here over the years, and if the horse can be turned in with two to go with enough in the tank, Greatness really could await.
1 member found this comment useful
19 April 2025
17:29 5:29 Newton Abbot

Barricane

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.50

Lose

-100

A competitive race to close the card with most of the field holding some interest. But this lad found his form again at Warwick last time out, and if the blinkers can do the trick again under a featherweight from Saunders' claim, then he should have every chance.
17:12 5:12 Carlisle

Rickety Gate

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 19/04 at 05:130.10 deduction for Rioja Alta@7.50 withdrawn at 14:370.00 deduction for City Derby @19.000 withdrawn at 16:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.1) = 6.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.40 BOG

@7.00

Win

360

This lad showed that the fire still flickers, at least last time out at Wetherby, and has a chance here off a feather bottom weight under a good conditional. With his yard in good form and with a good long-term record here, he has better form than the field on the forecasted ground, and the circumstances of the run are right for him.
17:02 5:00 Haydock

Captain Ivan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Win

250

Has steadily progressed since joining this yard and after 16 months out, belying his years. He won well at Market Rasen over this trip in a class 5 under top weight and lost nothing in defeat last time out at Carlisle. The yard is in rude health, although this will be the trainer's first win here in at least 5 years, and the jockey booking is a blessing. I would be happier each way, and at 7s or so, the conditions and circumstances of the race are in his favor.
15:09 3:09 Newton Abbot

Begin The Luck

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 18/04 at 20:250.00 deduction for Poets Reflection@12.00 withdrawn at 08:070.15 deduction for Kadex @6.000 withdrawn at 11:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.15) = 7.80

@7.80

Win

35

There is not a lot of depth to this, and I would be keen to take the inconsistent favorite on. The selection is a C&D winner and will welcome the rain they have had down there this week. He hasn't really fired since joining this yard, but the positive runs he has had have been with give in the ground. The small yard is in good enough form with a good record here and when teaming up with the claimer, who is not as bad as some. Would hope for a place at least.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Haydock

An Tailliur

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.00

Lose

-100

This horse has a cracking record of 7 wins from 10 starts on good ground and hasn't had that ground for 2 years now. Obviously the softer ground in recent runs is not the only thing that has been beating him, but there is enough here to make him the selection. He has won his only start after this length of break, the race is set up to suit a hold up horse such as him, the trainers and brother in the saddle have done well here over the last 12 months, and he won his only career start here in this race 3 years ago. A small stakes play.
2 members found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Musselburgh

Gweedore

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

A five-time winner here, he showed that the fire still burns on turf here on Sunday and has won 3 of his 10 races in a turnaround of 7 days or less. The yard is in better form than results suggest, with their PRB over the last month higher than their annual average, and Jason Hart has a good long-term record here. The Haggas NR has shortened the market, but the true price would be 6/7s.
2 members found this comment useful
18 April 2025
16:50 4:50 Lingfield

Vocal Legend

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@6.00

Win

250

A small play here as this lad still has plenty of questions to answer on handicap debut, but he won a novice well last time out at Southwell with the runner-up subsequently winning. He has a nice draw for his run style, and whilst Hills hasn't had a winner here in the last year, his record in the long term here is good.
16:20 4:20 Lingfield

Dance Time

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

Those ridden forward will be favoured and this mare will be handy enough and appreciating the step back up in trip. Kingscote is backable around here and the trainer has a strong enough record. At bottom weight she is in with every chance and backable at 8s.
15:35 3:35 Newcastle

Diligent Harry

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.50

Lose

-100

This lad has only run in 3 handicaps in his career and been placed in all three. The circumstances of the race suit him. The jockey and trainer have a strike rate of over 20%. He is drawn on the better side of the straight, has won 2 of his 3 races here, and as this may be falsely run, Rossa can get him rolling quickly when needed from there. Not interested if shorter than 7s.
17 April 2025
17:20 5:20 Newmarket

Art Market

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@6.50

Win

330

He won 2 races as a two-year-old on straight tracks and performed well enough in a 50k race at York and on the AW before being gelded. The effect of that procedure is the determining factor here as there is little else to get interested in within the field.
16:10 4:10 Newmarket

Spring Bloom

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

This lad has opened his season here twice now and was placed both times. He does so again today at a lower mark and is better drawn. Hopefully, that lower mark offsets the fact that he is a year older. In an open race, I am happy to take him with 4 places at Sky.
14:45 2:45 Cheltenham

Greyval

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

480

A debutant here but a previous winner at Chepstow and Doncaster. She is still only 6 and progressing. The yard is in good form and does well at this meeting with another winner yesterday. If Johnny can get her close enough turning in, then every chance.
13:35 1:35 Cheltenham

Matwana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

She has had a good first season running over the extended 2 miles on the galloping track at Doncaster and takes a stone from the favorite here. Derham is in good form, and the jockey had winners for me yesterday. Should be 6s or 7s really, and if she gets out that far, I would have a small go.
14 April 2025
15:48 3:48 Hexham

Dr Shirocco

Daily Racing

50 EW

@11.00

Lose

-100

This lad has good form here and has shown that the fire still burns in recent runs. A course and distance winner, he will need to overcome the jockey who at least takes 7 lbs off but is not a star.
15:35 3:35 Pontefract

Lightening Company

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

A winner of this race 2 years ago and runner-up this year, he has a good record running fresh and is well drawn here. At 7 and in a competitive race, there is plenty of risk, but that is built into the price.
13 April 2025
16:45 4:45 Musselburgh

Eternal Sunshine

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

She will be better for her recent run, which, knowing the trainer, will have been as much to try to bring the mark down as it will to achieve anything else. She was in good form last season, culminating in a decent performance in a class 2 at Ayr. Back down to a sensible level and with the yard in good form, she has every chance of being in the frame.
15:25 3:25 Stratford

Land Girls Luck

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-100

A large chance is taken here given this mare's antics in the straight at Sedgefield. But when pushed by Bass, she knuckled down and went away from the pursuers again. In her run before, she ran on at Exeter, finishing 2 lengths down to a horse rated 114. She starts here off a mark 14lbs below that and thus has a chance. The favourite is short for a horse carrying 8lbs more than in their last hurdle win, and Neigh Botha comes back to this from chasing and 5lb higher than his last win. Small stake.
14:18 2:18 Stratford

Samourai One

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-100

If he gets the quicker ground, then this horse has a decent chance today. The trainer and jockey are in great form, and Tom Cannon has a strong record here. Untested on quick ground, he was pulled up last time out on heavy ground but has good form in the three races prior over this trip or further. He drops into class 5 today and should be bang there, all being well.
12 April 2025
16:34 4:34 Bangor on Dee

Izzys Grey

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Win

30

This horse ran well over C&D last time out after a break and was unlucky in running late on. Up in class but getting 8lbs or more from the serious competitors in the field, this horse could pull off a first career win if this hasn't come too soon.
15:35 3:35 Ayr

Famous Bridge

Daily Racing

50 EW

@19.00

Lose

-100

A winner for me in the National Trial at Haydock and then gaining place money over an inadequate trip at the festival, this lad is a good candidate for this race and will enjoy the circumstances of the race. He has shortened a bit since the opening show but still represents good value.
15:20 3:20 Bangor on Dee

Little Dipper

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Fairly low-level fare here, and this horse could be a real handful to his competitors on handicap debut. Charlie and Mel Rowley are a formidable team still and go well here. It would be little surprise if this lad landed this at a nice price.
14:15 2:15 Ayr

Kabral Du Mathan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Nicholls offered a timely reminder of his ability as a target trainer at Aintree last week. This lad has obviously been pointed at this race for some time. There is an awful lot of cannon fodder from Mullins in this, but the main competition may well be Dysart Enos. However, she cannot be relied upon, and that leads me back to the master trainer's charge.
13:10 1:10 Ayr

Homme Public

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 11/04 at 20:060.10 deduction for Asta La Pasta@7.00 withdrawn at 07:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.10) = 8.20

@8.20

Win

40

Circumstances are very much in this lad's favor tomorrow, and his form has received a boost from Broookie's excellent 2nd at Aintree last week. Henry Brooke has won on him 6 times to date, and whilst other trainers' horses will take the market share, the value is with this lad.
11 April 2025
18:25 6:25 Sedgefield

Vanilla Dancer

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-100

Something of a Sedgefield regular, this mare bids for her first hurdles win at the scene of her bumper triumph. As was the case that day, the red-hot William Maggs comes on board and takes 5 lbs off in the process. I would like Chris Grant to be in better form than he is and for her to have a little more time since the last effort at Musselburgh, but this is a poor race and she should overcome those factors.
16:35 4:35 Huntingdon

Bongo Man

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-100

The O'Brien horse is too short and has had plenty of chances already to get their first win, whilst this lad is having only his second start over fences and ran with promise until tiring here a month ago. On the basis of coming on for that run he has the greater potential.
16:00 4:00 Fontwell

Boys Of Wexford

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.50

Lose

-100

A sizeable risk is taken with this lad having let me down last time out over 3 miles, and returning to the scene of his career win, but one that was gained in slightly comical circumstances. He jumped markedly right over the second half of that run but still dominated off the front, and enjoyed the good ground that he will get today. Today's race is over slightly shorter and whilst there may be a bit of pressure for the lead, Noonan can be more exuberant and push him on. The trainer is also respected and in good form. He opened at 8s, which is a fairer price.
15:15 3:15 Ayr

Walk On Quest

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.50

Void

0

This horse was on something of a charge this season before a poor performance at Uttoxeter last time out. Now restored to the break between runs that he enjoyed during that good run, he can take this providing he doesn't do too much early on.
14:05 2:05 Ayr

Roxanne

Daily Racing

100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@4.33

Win

333

This is a mediocre race, and the selection can take this on debut for Dan Skelton. He has a cracking record over the last 3 years for horses having their first start, having moved to him from another yard, and the Megsons won't have purchased this lass for nothing.
13:30 1:30 Ayr

Static

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

This is an open affair, but the selection is an exciting entry. He ran an eye-catching race in the Fred Winter and drops in class here whilst getting the 4YO allowance, with the jockey taking a further 5 lbs off for good measure. The yard form is a concern, but they have few horses with this lad's potential, so every chance of a place at least in my view.
1 member found this comment useful
10 April 2025
15:55 3:55 Newton Abbot

Townhill

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

An inconsistent performer but indicative of the level. Therefore, this lad is a C&D winner and one of only two in the field with good form over the trip. Lacey is one of the more reliable trainers and had winners last week at Aintree. I don't know if Ben Sutton will ever ride out the claim, but he has won on this lad here previously, and a small bet is worth a go.
15:45 3:45 Hereford

Captain Attridge

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.00

Win

37

This lad returned from a break to win over C&D last May and then raced with credit in his next three races on two occasions in a higher class. He then struggled over a longer trip before perhaps being over the top last time out. Trainer and jockey both have a fine record here and a 20% strike rate when teaming up, and there is enough here to make this lad a bet for me.

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