BaldEagle316

Horse racing both flat and jumps. Owner of 20 horses currently racing and 3 broodmares. Tips are mainly through race watching but also partial to some statistical analysis on occasion.

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Estimated Prizes
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Estimated Prize money
this month

BaldEagle316's Tips History

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24 January 2025
16:10 4:10 Sandown

Marlacoo

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

10

There are plenty of positive trends and angles to support this selection around the potent Lacey and Stan Sheppard partnership. Given the market move for this horse when he unseated LTO at Wetherby on handicap debut, one can assume that the mark is felt to be lenient. Competitive affair in which Typhoon Flyer also stacks up well but would need to settle better.
13:40 1:40 Lingfield

Bank On Kent

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.50

Lose

-100

I backed this horse at Chelmsford which whilst initially disappointing has latterly proved to be a hot race, and he runs today carrying 5lbs less with the jockey's claim taken into account. He will appreciate the drop back to 5 furlongs today and is well drawn. Jordan Williams is building a fine record here and there is enough to encourage me again.
13:28 1:28 Doncaster

Brave Move

Daily Racing

50 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

0

Fergal does well here in hurdles over this trip and Brave Move's breeding and siblings all point towards this trip. At the price I am happy to find out.
13:08 1:08 Lingfield

Largo Bay

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 24/01 at 05:080.10 deduction for Limelight@9.00 withdrawn at 08:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.10) = 6.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.40 BOG

@8.00

Win

20

Happy to take the short favorite on with this lad. He ran well last time out on his return from a break and has 4 wins here and two over this trip. He is 4 lbs below his last winning mark.
12:55 12:55 Doncaster

One More Stroke

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.50

Lose

-100

McCain does well with his chasers who are running after a month and does well here, and this lad is the most reliable in the race.
12:05 12:05 Lingfield

Tsarinas Song

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-100

I backed this horse LTO at Newcastle where it ran well before being overhauled by Miraculous. We are 7 lbs better off tomorrow with that one, and I am happy to go in again. Balding does well here and over this trip.
23 January 2025
14:30 2:30 Huntingdon

Super Survivor

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Win

300

Lots to like about this lad in a race that, whilst competitive, also has many horses who have been out of form this season. Not so with the selection, who followed up a promising 3rd in heavy ground on seasonal return at Sandown with a good win last time out. This will need more, but he is on a low weight again. The yard and Gavin go well here, and Snowden is in fine form currently with plenty of profitable angles tied into the circumstances here.
13:55 1:55 Huntingdon

Salley Gardens

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 22/01 at 19:590.10 deduction for Jubilant@7.50 withdrawn at 09:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.10) = 11.80

@11.80

Win

58

An open affair with much to promote and dismiss all of the runners in equal measure. But this horse's success in the past has come over this trip, in this headgear, and at this track. Allied to the form of his yard and the brilliance of his jockey, there is enough to get me involved at these prices. If the ground worsens from good to soft, that will be a worry, and I will wait for tomorrow morning's news on that.
13:20 1:20 Huntingdon

Lucky Lugger

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.00

Win

10

Backing horses that fell last time out is not usually advised, but this lad was going as well as anyone bar the winning favourite when coming down two out at Chepstow over Christmas. That and indeed all of his runs to date have been in races of a better standard than this, and Sheppard is profitable in chases over this trip on right-handed tracks for Matt. We need as much rain as we can get into this ground, and he needs to jump well right-handed for the first time, but at small stakes, he is worth a shot.
12:12 12:12 Huntingdon

Dinofromberlais

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

The form from this lad's hurdles debut is reasonable, with the winner of that race defying the penalty next time out, and the runner-up in a class 2 race in their next run. He was within 6 lengths of them at the line. Murphy is in red-hot form and has a 31% strike rate here over the last year, whilst Bowen's talents are readily recognized also. Coming on for the last run and kept close enough turning in, I would be hopeful.
22 January 2025
14:38 2:38 Catterick

Diamond Koda

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.00

Win

10

The most competitive jumps race of the day and plenty of options in it, not least Komedy Kicks, who is remarkably kindly treated for their win LTO. However, the selection has never failed to be placed in all completed hurdle and bumper runs, and Hammond and Kent have a fine partnership. He may well relish the first handicap at the longer trip and is worth a chance.
14:25 2:25 Lingfield

Charlatan

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-100

Simcock runners here over this trip and grade is a profitable angle for me. Whilst inconsistent and carrying the risk of a mediocre rider, this horse carries a featherweight as a result. We reoppose Overnight Oats here at the same track, 5 lbs better off and better drawn than on that occasion. Hopefully, the money will come for that one and others to push our price out.
14:08 2:08 Catterick

Hobbs Delight

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-100

A winner here over hurdles, he has taken well enough to chasing whilst needing a bit more to win. Cheekpieces are worn for the first time and the yard is in good form with Mulholland holding a 25% strike rate here over the last 5 years. There are a few stars in this race and he is taken to be too good and record his first chasing win.
21 January 2025
16:40 4:40 Newcastle

Raft Up

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Ran with credit on his return from 4 months off, when finishing just behind Shesashambles, having been impeded in running. Now 3 lbs better off than that foe and enjoying a good draw, I expect them to be right in the thick of it.
15:40 3:40 Ayr

Dollar Collar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

This mare has had two inauspicious runs this season. An opener over fences which didn't go well and then pulled up LTO over timber. She returns dropped in class, following a wind op and with Doyle's claim factored in, carrying 10lb less than when 2nd at Kelso in April. Likely to be ridden forward in a race that will not lack pace. I think she is overpriced.
14:20 2:20 Leicester

Barlovento

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-100

The selection failed to defy the penalty against Ma Shantou last time out, getting beaten by 9 lengths, but faces nothing of remotely the same potential here. I would hope it can defy the penalty.
14:00 2:00 Ayr

Fia Fuinidh

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-100

A winner here over hurdles, this lad gets 11 lbs or more from the field here when William Maggs' claim is taken off. Generally ridden handy, which could be suited to tomorrow's race assuming Cold Sobar looks to lead. He has a good chance if we can forgive his last run.
13:50 1:50 Leicester

Pleasington

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.50

Win

390

There are a raft of stats to support the trainer and jockey here, not least Murphy's record with horses returning after over a year out and Bowen's remarkably strong record in hurdle races on right-handed tracks. The horse returns for only his second hurdle race, having been held at Kempton, but this is a weaker race than that. Given the aforementioned information, I am happy to play at small stakes.
13:20 1:20 Leicester

Alexandra Larose

Daily Racing

50 EW

@7.50

Win

14

Murphy and Lewis Saunders in handicap hurdles is a profitable angle, and this horse's breeding suggests that a step up to two and a half will suit. Likely to be held up with little pace ahead of them, I would hope that the in-form yard will score again.
13:00 1:00 Ayr

Orkney Blue

Daily Racing

50 EW

@10.00

Lose

-100

A fairly open maiden in which cases can be made for all of the principals in the market, but the selection improved on their seasonal bow last time out, and there is a strong staying profile in his breeding. At a price, I am happy to assert that he will be there in the shake-up.
20 January 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Next Second

Daily Racing

50 EW

@11.00

Lose

-100

A big improvement in the last run and the trainer does well here over this trip. A 4 time C&D winner they are well drawn along with a few others and at the price I am happy to have a go.
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton

Fools Rush In

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

Ruth Carr does well with horses here and with this type of turnaround from their last run. Drawn wide, he will need to come across to lead really, but if so, then every chance.
16:02 4:02 Ayr

Mix De Gris

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Lose

-100

Russell has a strong record with her hurdlers here, and this horse has all the advantages in their favor in terms of weight allowance. Needs to improve from his qualifying runs, but every chance that they will.
15:15 3:15 Warwick

Zero Tolerance

Daily Racing

50 EW

@5.50

Lose

-100

An open race which provides the chance for this horse to record its first win. His final race of last season at Newton Abbot has good form, and first time out this season he pushed the winner all the way and should come on for that. Remarkably, given a 4lb rise for that run, I still think he is well placed here to be handy and competitive to the line. There is money for some others in this tonight so I would expect him to drift out to a better EW price tomorrow morning.
14:08 2:08 Warwick

Ikarak

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@8.00

Win

420

This horse won here on his first run of the season before then having an unsuccessful tilt over fences at Aintree. Now restored to hurdling, he is only 3 lbs higher than that win, and if coming on from that first run of the season, there may be more scope in his hurdles mark.
13:50 1:50 Ayr

Billable Grant

Daily Racing

50 EW

@12.00

Lose

-100

Showed improvement last time out and his only win came on soft ground in Ireland. Josh Thompson can use his claim in full this time, and Ayr suits itself to a horse being held up turning in.
12:35 12:35 Warwick

Miss Cynthia

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

The Henderson horse may well defy the penalty and win easily, but is plenty short for a horse that disappointed last time out. The selection lost to a decent horse on her hurdle debut and now runs against her own sex with her yard in flying form and a good record here. Would hope for a bit of drift out to perhaps even open out an each-way choice.
12:05 12:05 Warwick

Estate Planning

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Lavender Hill Mob should win this, and the market is lopsided by some hurdling debutants from respected yards. But the selection catches the eye as he is overpriced. He ran encouragingly here a month ago, and I would hope that Ben Jones will make a bit more use of him as he appeared to stay on well last time out. We could be blown away by the favorite and the debutants, but at this price, it is worth a go.
19 January 2025
15:40 3:40 Windsor

Regatta De Blanc

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

This mare ran with success in points over the last couple of years and ran well enough at Hereford last time out whilst looking as though a longer trip would be appreciated. Nicholls with marathon chasers is one of the few genuinely profitable angles I have with him due to the short prices that his runners usually carry, so here we go.
15:10 3:10 Thurles

Stuntman Steve

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.00

Lose

-100

A winner over this trip on hurdles debut, this horse then failed to get home over two longer trips in a better level of race. Now returned to two miles, with Stone-Walsh taking a useful 5lbs off (he also has a good record with Cromwell), there is enough here to tempt me.
14:45 2:45 Fakenham

Game Colours

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

60

This is a competitive race, and this horse re-opposes one here too. But Bowen comes on board and will eke more out of this one than they have previously. At this price, there is enough there to tempt me in.
14:15 2:15 Fakenham

Escapologist

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.00

Win

400

Ran well enough in bumpers under the previous trainer, and James Owen does well with novice hurdlers, and round here. Chadwick takes some weight off too, and whilst any hurdle debutant is a gamble, there are enough positive signs here.
17 January 2025
19:30 7:30 Southwell

Grey Operations

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-100

This lad reopposed A Fine Claret, having been defeated by a length and a half when last against them here, 4 lbs better off this time. Whereas the draw favored the victor last time, this time the selection has the better of it. There is enough there to encourage me, and I'm happy to have a spin here.
19:00 7:00 Southwell

Tiempo Alegre

Daily Racing

50 EW

@11.00

Lose

-100

A winner here and placed on the other start at this track. This horse comes at a nice price tomorrow from a progressive yard with a top jockey on board. There will not be much pace in this, and if he is ridden a little more positively, he could be in the frame.
13:35 1:35 Newcastle

Cyclonite

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-100

A competitive race here, but this C&D winner has a positive chance in his second attempt at this grade. The first of which was a lucrative race at the Ebor meeting where he finished midfield. Nicely drawn on the stands side, the yard has few runners at this time of year, but they are going well and Muscutt's record here is strong. Cyclonite runs well after the length of break from his last run that he is given here and gets my vote.
13:00 1:00 Newcastle

Moonspirit

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-100

There is enough to like about this one tomorrow, who, while dropping from their favored trip of one mile, will also like the testing nature of the track here. The yard is in good form and does well here. Billy has a 50% strike rate here, and as long as he is close enough to attack, I would be hopeful as he seems to me to be the best horse in the race.
16 January 2025
15:45 3:45 Wincanton

My Silver Lining

Daily Racing

50 EW

@11.00

Lose

-100

I thought she showed some signs of getting back to her old self last time out at Hereford, and that track will not have suited her as well as this will today. I resolved at that point to back her next time out, so here we are. Although I am doing so to avoid that sinking feeling as she comes home without my money on her, rather than with any deeper resolve.
14:35 2:35 Wincanton

Jet Marshall

Daily Racing

50 EW

@13.00

Win

70

Pretty open affair here and this C&D winner appeals here. The yard is in good form and Ben Sutton rode him to that win on the same mark as he will carry today, as his allowance is taken in full this time. Has really only had one run this season as he unseated at the 2nd in his first run this term and last time out ran well enough. On the basis of coming on for that, I fancy an EW play here.
15 January 2025
14:48 2:48 Hereford

Jour DEvasion

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.33

Win

208

Would like this one to be a slightly larger price, to be honest, as his only tilt at this trip saw him pulled up. But that was in a novice where he was carrying the penalty and with an inexperienced Alice Stevens (then, not now) onboard. He is, however, carrying a lovely light weight in this one and has form on the going, and a win to his name at Ludlow, which obviously has parallels to Hereford. The yard is in good form and the trainer does well here. The favorite is plenty short currently, and I can't ignore this lad despite the price.
13 January 2025
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Grand Duchess Olga

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 13/01 at 07:580.15 deduction for Kojin@6.50 withdrawn at 11:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.15) = 12.90Best Odds Guaranteed SP 17.00 used instead of 12.90 BOG

@17.00

Win

75

Chance taken here following a positive run last time out and now Lyons takes 7 lbs off. Plenty of questions on this one, the rider is yet to have a winner, and this race may not suit a front runner. But it is class 6 with all of the variables that come with it, and at this price, I am happy to have a spin.
14:38 2:38 Exeter

Feivel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

A small chance is taken on this lad who won both of his runs here over hurdles and stayed on well to come close in the Southern National in November. His hurdles mark is now too high, hence his disappointing subsequent run. In a race where none of the field is proven in this class, he appeals more than any other.
11 January 2025
17:00 5:00 Chelmsford City

Nordic Glory

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

I tipped this lad earlier in the week before he was withdrawn. He has a better draw and jockey today than on that occasion. It is a competitive affair today, but he has every chance at a decent price.
15:45 3:45 Newcastle

Streak Lightning

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

5

A competitive race, but keen to go with this lad who is a 4-time C&D winner. He is well drawn if he gets the breaks to enable him to come through from the rear.
15:10 3:10 Newcastle

Sweet Cicely

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Nicely drawn as long as Orr has her handy enough, as there appears to be little pace and this could be stolen off the front. Likely to be suited by the stiffer track, having run well over this trip at Wolves last time out.
14:58 2:58 Ffos Las

Up For Parol

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@11.00

Win

300

Last win was in 2021, so this one is not for the faint-hearted. But he ran well on reappearance at Sandown, and the winner there has a good future. So, best of the rest that day is good enough. A course winner, and the two runs over this trip have both seen him placed. The yard is in good form, and whilst the Twister horse may stroll in, there is some value here with this one.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Newcastle

Blackcurrent

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Has won here 7 times and is well drawn to lead on his side of the draw down the favoured stands side. The favourite is too short for a horse returning after 3 months and with a new trainer and I am keen to take them on with this one.
14:25 2:25 Ffos Las

Double Click

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

180

A small stakes play here as whilst his runs over 2 miles have suggested that he wants this step up in trip, the two times in his career that he has been sent further, he has faded in the straight. However, he is a winner here previously and on the declared going and worth a go.
14:00 2:00 Newcastle

Lerwick

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.75

Lose

-50

All of the field have questions to answer in this one, and the selection is more concrete than most. He is proven at this class and returned in December after a short break to run well here in a manner that suggested this step up in trip was called for. He gets that chance today, and having finished second in his only race over this trip at Ripon on soft ground, I am keen to take the favorite on with this one.
1 member found this comment useful
13:51 1:51 Ffos Las

Walkinthewoods

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

A chance is taken at a price here. He has the beat form at this track and the yard was in good form prior to the recent break in racing. With the jockey's claim taken into account this is the lightest weight that he has carried in years and he has been placed in all of his January races to date.
10 January 2025
16:45 4:45 Newcastle

Parkland

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@6.00

Lose

-50

Not the type of race I would normally touch, but this horse began its career with two encouraging runs on the AW, and the form from those is strong. Balding's go well here, and his record for those returning from a break is good enough. Worth a spin at a small stake.
13:15 1:15 Lingfield

Nordic Glory

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.33

Void

0

Outside stall is not ideal, but the horse normally goes forward, which will hopefully negate that. Has a pleasing return from a break last month and has won here on 3 occasions previously. Would expect him to be in the shake-up.

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