BaldEagle316

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BaldEagle316's Tips History

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27 January 2026
13:50 1:50 Newcastle

Pony Soprano

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@+225

Lose

-100

Is down in class and the one to beat for me. None of them are proven on the testing going on today, but this lad has done enough in better races to suggest that at 9/4 he is overpriced.
13:35 1:30 Chepstow

Only One Blue

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG

@+1200

Win

70

This young trainer has had some fine results recently, and his horse ran well in a similar contest on soft ground at Aintree. He has the form on a more testing surface that most of these lack. The Skelton purchase may be a good thing, and The Wood Corner may overcome a low-key debut. I would be surprised if the selection was outside the first three.
13:20 1:20 Newcastle

Buddah Castle

Daily Racing

50 EW

@+500

Lose

-100

Was green and a challenge in the straight at Sedgefield on debut, but did get the job done. He may have learned plenty and come on for that debut. On the clock he is the best in the race. Whilst the Skelton horse will take the beating and the Walford and Scudamore entrants can figure at price, this one is the selection.
13:05 1:00 Chepstow

Boston Joe

Daily Racing

50 EW

@+650

Lose

-100

I would like him to be a bigger price than the 6/1 that he is currently before backing him. He ran well on his seasonal return at Ffos Las in October and reverts back to hurdles again here. The ground is a worry if it is too heavy, but at least they are having their first go in it here, and Ben Jones has a strong record over hurdles here. With four places up for grabs it would be disappointing not to see him in one of them, and he may just take the lot.
1 member found this comment useful
12:45 12:45 Newcastle

Luna Grace

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@+200

Lose

-100

C U IN MY DREAMS has the upper hand on this filly, but she is getting over a stone in weight from them. Connor has a good record in bumpers here (albeit on the main course). Given the weight disparity and the effects of wind surgery on her, there is enough to reel me in.
26 January 2026
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton

Lessay

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

There has been money for this horse today, and I can see why, as this is their first run down in a Class 6. Not well drawn for a hold-up horse, and a jockey who has only won over this trip twice in the last five years is not encouraging. But I think they can overcome this to take it late, possibly sweeping round the turn.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Mighty Vega

Daily Racing

50 EW

@+600

Lose

-100

The front two here are both returning from a break, whereas the selection is race fit and ran well enough at Kempton to encourage that they can take this if able to get a lead, which may be easier said than done.
17:00 5:00 Wolverhampton

Faithful Dream

Daily Racing

50 EW

@+1000

Win

50

Victim of bad luck in the straight and an apathetic ride from Alistair Rawlinson lto. He is back in the inside stall but with a better jockey on top. The run two starts ago was the first for three months, so you would expect some improvement on that. Under a feather weight, I would hope for a place at least.
20 January 2026
12:50 12:50 Down Royal

Star Of The Week

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+350

Lose

-50

Ran a pleasing hurdles debut over Christmas at Limerick, where a mistake two out halted his charge before he ran on well in a manner that suggested this extra furlong would be appreciated. Given that the ground that day was heavy, he compares well to the runs of the favourite and other principals in the market. Jockey aside, there is plenty in his favour tomorrow.
19 January 2026
15:50 3:50 Lingfield

Begin The Luck

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

This should be a face between the front two in the market as it stands. Given Venetia's form this season and the fact that her charge is up 7 lbs, I am happy to back Begin The Luck to make it two in a row. I rate Mutley Crew as a chaser at this level, so beating them was better than the 2 lb rise he has been given here. This is a weaker race than that was.
15:20 3:20 Lingfield

Thruthelookinglass

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.50 on 18/01 at 19:420.20 deduction for Better Off Alone@4.50 withdrawn at 09:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.50 x (1-0.20) = 5.40

@+440

Lose

-6

There is not much to get enthused about here, with many (including the selection) still to prove themselves over this trip. However, this lad at least drops in class and into the weakest chase he has contested for tomorrow's race. The yard and jockey are in good form.
14:20 2:20 Lingfield

Godot

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@+1800

Win

129

It was an inauspicious seasonal return for this lad at Ascot LTO when he was also probably overmatched. A C&D winner here, he has never failed to be placed at the track, and this is the weakest race that he has run in since his last win here. Mitchell is not a jockey I am delirious over, but Armson has won on him previously, so we will go with the flow. At the price, he is a play for me.
13:50 1:50 Lingfield

Val Dancer

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 18/01 at 18:430.20 deduction for Special John@4.50 withdrawn at 07:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.20) = 7.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 7.40 BOG

@+1100

Win

60

An interesting renewal of this race where, naturally, one could go many different ways. My Silver Lining is also of interest to me, but I just worry if she gets this trip. Whereas this lad will stay and looked invigorated at Aintree after a low-key seasonal debut. The yard form is a worry, but this is also the weakest race that he has been in for over a year. The trip, ground, and drop in class make him the one for me.
13:20 1:20 Lingfield

Cayman Dancer

Daily Racing

50 EW

@+550

Lose

-100

The front four in the market are all much of a muchness on the clock, and as such I am keen to side with the 4YO getting the age allowance. He was ridden out the back on debut and took a fair bit of organising in the straight and was green throughout. As such, there is plenty that can be improved upon, allied to a sizeable weight advantage.
15 January 2026
14:27 2:27 Wincanton

Meatloaf

Daily Racing

50 EW

@+700

Win

20

He has found things to be tough going so far this season, but the form from his two races is above average. He has won 3 of his 4 runs here (albeit over shorter trips). In addition, he has won over this trip at Taunton. His mark is dropping, and my notes from his last run read that he will win a handicap this season. I am happy to back him until he does.
13:25 1:25 Newcastle

Daly Boy

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@+400

Lose

-100

Made a decent enough hurdles bow at Sedgefield on Boxing Day, when finishing 2nd to a Skelton odds-on shot with loads of weight coming off it. Sharper for that, he should be right in the midst of this tomorrow and probably more suited to this track.
14 January 2026
20:30 8:30 Kempton

High Favour

Daily Racing

50 EW

@+700

Lose

-100

He returned after a year and a half out with a so-so showing at Lingfield. When deducting the claim from that race, he is actually only carrying a pound more with a senior jockey on board. This is a lighter race than the one in which he returned last month.
20:00 8:00 Kempton

No Return

Daily Racing

50 EW

@+850

Lose

-100

There are a few seasoned campaigners returning from a break here, and the favourite may just keep winning. But on the clock at least, No Return has every chance based on his last run at Lingfield. Obviously this place takes more getting, but he did gravitate towards more galloping tracks in Ireland. He has an upgrade in jockey from his last run to this and is unexposed in this sphere compared to most of the field.
18:00 6:00 Kempton

Whiskey Sunrise

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@+550

Win

5

I hope Callum sends this lad forward from the stalls tonight, as the best of his three handicaps efforts was here over C&D when Paddy Bradley did exactly that. He is drawn better tonight than he was then. His mark has dropped 2 lb since then and this race is also a fair bit weaker than that one. He is a big horse who struggled with the tightness of Lingfield recently and will need every yard of this, so if we are too far off the pace turning in, forget it.
17:30 5:30 Kempton

Vizzavona Lady

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG

@+350

Win

175

The top two in the market reoppose from just after the turn of the year here, and I am keen to take Vizzavona to reverse the form from when they were both down the field at Chelmsford. On that occasion she was drawn widest, couldn't get in and ran three wide throughout, whilst Rising Force was smartly switched to the rail and saved ground throughout. There is an advantage for Rising Force due to Henry Callan's claim, but nevertheless I am happy to be with the 2nd favourite here.
15:50 3:50 Newbury

Sir Hobnob

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+900

Lose

-50

This lad was quite unlucky to at Leicester. Sam went wide, presumably in search of better ground, and they then struggled to win the battle up the straight as the winner was too far away on the other side. That said, he finished never nearer, and the winner that day has since won their first handicap. This is tougher than that race, but the jockey will be as good as any in here, and at 4 places currently I have to get involved.
12 January 2026
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton

They All Know Me

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+500

Lose

-50

The form is strong from his last run when finishing third, with the fourth-placed that day going in twice since and the sixth-placed horse also winning. He had no luck in running that day with a poor ride from Jack Garrity. It is hugely debatable if Warren Fentiman is any type of improvement, but he does at least take 5 lbs off. The favourite took weight from most of the field when winning a novice LTO and now gives weight to all. I am keen to take them on with this lad.
17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Tafah

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

The form from this horse's previous races is ridiculously high, and he had no luck in running last time out at Southwell but stayed on well for fourth. A better jockey is on board today, and I think he is overpriced.
15:18 3:18 Punchestown

Westernersunrise

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1000

Lose

-50

Ran impressively when she returned from a break at Limerick on Boxing Day, and the form from that race has been franked since, with the winner going in again, chased home by the horse that was sixth on Boxing Day. She will enjoy the testing nature of the ground and has always run well on galloping tracks. The jockey is a concern but has had over 200 rides and is taking 7 lb off, so I hope he will not hamper her too much.
14:40 2:40 Lingfield

Mighty Ruler

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 11/01 at 19:330.25 deduction for Roman Emperor@3.75 withdrawn at 08:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.25) = 8.50Best Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 8.50 BOG

@+1400

Win

437

This might be a flight of fancy on my part, but there are enough factors to make this horse a small each-way play. He beat the second favourite tomorrow comfortably last time they met and is 3 lb better off this time around. The favourite beat that horse by just half a length LTO, so again Mighty Ruler has the stronger form. Whilst I am not delighted by the outside draw, it is not a disaster here over this trip. This is the weakest race this horse has run in to date, and they are running off a career-low mark. This is his third run after a break and could be the time to strike.
11 January 2026
15:00 3:00 Fontwell

Bobalot

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@+1000

Win

25

He has been in fair form this season, and this is a weaker race than the three he has contested so far. A winner in April in a slightly better race, carrying 4 lbs less than today, I think he is a decent each-way play.
13:50 1:50 Punchestown

Ney

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1600

Win

55

As ever with these races, the gamble is as much on the jockey on top as it is on the horse. We are no worse off than any other with this lad. Ney will enjoy the worsening ground and has won over this trip and further. He is well treated when reopposing five rivals here, and his plummeting mark, plus the 7 lbs taken off by the claimer, make him a decent price here.
12:20 12:20 Punchestown

John The Diva

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+350

Lose

-50

The selection beat Brucejack by 24 lengths on their respective season debuts, and the circumstances of today's race are in his favour here. He was a little disappointing in his first hcap LTO, but that mark is not a factor today. Of greater concern is Sean's weak record in chases here, but there is little else to choose from in the field.
10 January 2026
15:21 3:17 Kempton

A Pai De Nom

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

A typically tricky renewal of this race, but I am siding with this lad of the Skeltons. They have won the last two runnings of this race, and this horse is progressive, proven at this type of trip, and unexposed. He has hung left but he cannot do that today in the straight. As he will be held up and coming through, horses may overcome that somewhat.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Lingfield

Gogo Yubari

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+350

Win

175

She is carrying a featherweight today, up in class from her last win. Despite the wide draw (did win from wider under Rossa here), her record at the track and the circumstances of the race in terms of profiling her results are enough for me. She is drifting, which doesn't bother me, but I will wait for the bigger price.
07 January 2026
17:00 5:00 Kempton

Ya Habibti

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

There is not much quality in this race with an opposable favourite, and this handicap debutant caught the eye. The winner of its last race (a maiden) was rated 72, and this lad was only a couple of lengths down. The 7th place in that race was fourth, and a length down. The draw could have been kinder, but if they break well there is a decent chance.
06 January 2026
19:00 7:00 Southwell

Showstorm

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

Needs to be more to the tune of 3 or 4/1 to be a bet for me but he ran well enough at Newcastle lto when the pace bias favoured those coming from the rear and stuck it out well enough to encourage. He drops 2 lbs here and this is a much weaker race than that one, whilst I am never deliriously happy about the jockey he has a good record here up to a mile and there is enough to make this one of interest pending the price.
02 January 2026
13:17 1:12 Chelmsford City

D Day Arvalenreeva

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+600

Lose

-50

A winner over this trip on turf, this horse ran well here a month ago over 2 miles before fading. Now dropped in trip, he has every chance if he can get an uncontested lead and Jack Mitchell rides him intelligently. The yard is flying in every regard at the moment, and he has every chance here in an open race.
12:47 12:42 Chelmsford City

Merrimack

Daily Racing

25 EW

@+1200

Win

35

The only entrant in the race where both horse and rider have won a hands-and-heels race in their careers. He is well drawn to go forward and make the running. Whilst a maiden on AW, his recent runs have been encouraging. The favourite is very short, and this one goes at a decent price currently.
01 January 2026
16:05 4:05 Newcastle

Callianassa

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@+400

Void

0

Ran well enough returning from a break here LTO and is drawn far better this time round. This is also a weaker race than that was, based on the average ratings. A course-and-distance winner twice in slightly better races than this, a win today will be an AW career best in terms of rating, but they edge it for me, with Flying Fletcher feared most and taken for the forecast.

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