BaldEagle316

Horse racing both flat and jumps. Owner of 20 horses currently racing and 3 broodmares. Tips are mainly through race watching but also partial to some statistical analysis on occasion.

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BaldEagle316's Tips History

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17 June 2025
18:10 6:10 Royal Ascot

Fairbanks

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Has caught the eye as a hurdler in recent months, but before that ran well for Andrew Balding at this type of level. The NH type training may have given him stronger stamina to see this out, or it may have dampened his speed, the risk and opporunity of that dilemma is palatable at these prices.
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Power Blue

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Has progressed through his 3 runs so far with the most impressive being his last run and first effort over this trip. Albert Einstein won that race impressively but is not here today and this lad stayed on impressively and offers far better value that Andab who runs today and was behind him lto. It's wide open as ever but he is overpriced currently.
14:05 2:05 Stratford

Chief Black Robe

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Returned from 18 months off to run well to a point at Newton Abbot. Coming on for that he will be a competitor here if the talent is still there, and Broughton has won 4 from 7 on him, he does well on sharp tracks, wants this ground and could be too good for this level. At the price it is worth a spin.
16 June 2025
18:40 6:40 Wolverhampton

Fashionelle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Pretty open affair, and this horse ran well this season on turf and now runs on the AW in its lowest AW mark to date. A winner here over a much shorter trip earlier in her career, she has a reasonable mid-stall draw and should be there in the mix at the end.
17:25 5:25 Carlisle

Poets Dawn

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

A grand servant to the yard and the game, this lad has a record of winning at least once every season that he has competed. The soft ground that he likes at a course where he has won and been placed previously probably presents the best chance he will have this year. He is now 2 lbs under the winning mark when he ran here last August and will be bold and forward, defying those behind to catch him.
15:45 3:45 Carlisle

Blufferonthebus

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Soft ground under top weight is not for the faint-hearted, but the selection has the best form in the race under these conditions and has sunk to a tasty mark through a nondescript AW campaign. Likely to be held up, we don't want to be miles off when it gets going.
15:15 3:15 Carlisle

Billy Bathgate

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

30

Not my favorite jockey by a long way, but stats-wise he is doing nothing wrong currently. This horse has run well on testing ground and over this longer trip, and this is his first chance to do so on soft or worse. Held up, he could pick up the pieces as others fade, pending the ride.
14:45 2:45 Carlisle

City Captain

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 4.33 on 15/06 at 16:510.10 deduction for Miss Rainbow@8.00 withdrawn at 06:230.00 deduction for Sadiiki @81.000 withdrawn at 07:150.00 deduction for Colour Code @23.000 withdrawn at 10:53R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.33 x (1-0.1) = 4.00

@4.00

Win

149

Has started this season promisingly and followed up his win in his first run of the term with a decent showing at Chelmsford. Hampered turning in, he stayed on well on a surface which he hasn't particularly enjoyed previously. The trainer is in good form and Danny continues to prove reliable. The soft ground is a question, but the horse's action suggests that it will not be as disadvantaged as most of the field.
15 June 2025
17:45 5:45 Hamilton

Epidavros

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 15/06 at 07:540.10 deduction for Viennoise@9.00 withdrawn at 10:090.00 deduction for Bassadanza @19.000 withdrawn at 16:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.1) = 6.40

@6.40

Win

2

The sole C&D winner here, and this is a unique setting after all. The horse has run well this year without gaining reward. Whilst not well drawn here, Jason is experienced and has had success here, and they have a solid chance.
17:15 5:15 Hamilton

Curious Rover

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Could have gone several ways with this one, but the softening of the ground and the acceptable draw pushed this selection forward. Wins have come on soft, and while the ground is not that bad, it is weak enough to give hope at this price.
17:00 5:00 Salisbury

Redredrobin

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

I dithered over Crimson Spirit for this, but at 2/1 or shorter, there is nothing there for me. Jack Callan has caught the eye in recent weeks, and his 7 lbs off puts this horse right in the mix here. Needs to settle and ideally let others lead rather than fight them for it, but if they can save enough, that weight off may swing it.
16:45 4:45 Hamilton

Kings Scholar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Has enjoyed an excellent 12 months and produced a well-timed run to catch the re-opposing Savrola last time out. Up 5 lbs for that but is still progressing and has won with Clifford on board previously. Is drawn on the better side of the draw. Any give on the ground will not hamper them, and whilst I wouldn't want the price any shorter than this, there is every chance.
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16:05 4:05 Doncaster

Shaw Park

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@6.00

Void

0

This will be a tight affair, and the selection is a tentative one rather than a 'put your house on' moment. But he hung on to win well at Yarmouth before following that up with a decent effort last time out with a claimer on board. He is likely to lead here and will need to not be pestered as it is a long 7f here, but running at a competitive weight, I would hope for a good show.
15:50 3:50 Downpatrick

Bowensonfire

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-50

An unimaginative selection, but less so if they win. Won well LTO under the same claimer, and a 5lbs rise looks manageable with many of this field looking as though they will need the run or are later in their career now.
15:35 3:35 Gowran Park

Carvalhal

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.00

Win

10

Is drawn high but should at least go forward from there. The jockey has really impressed me in recent weeks and, along with her father, has already stuck in handicaps in the recent meetings. The soft ground should be manageable for this lad, and his success over further provides additional reassurance that this could work out. Clear chance if away quickly enough.
15:23 3:23 Salisbury

Sunny Corner

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

A previous winner here, this horse has another go at this longer trip, having struggled on the only previous attempt on heavy ground. Thus, it is worth exploring again, and statistically, he is the best option in the race and has enjoyed success with Rossa previously. No obvious pace here may help him get home if it becomes a burn-up late on.
15:05 3:05 Gowran Park

Declaree

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 14/06 at 21:390.15 deduction for Mother Mara@5.50 withdrawn at 10:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.15) = 6.52

@6.53

Win

165

The trainer does well here, and this horse ran well here on the same soft ground as we have tomorrow for its seasonal return. Flopped somewhat next time out on quicker ground but was bumped and hampered 2 furlongs out. More chance on tomorrow's going. Price needs to be 8s or 9s really.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster

Finbars Lad

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 14/06 at 20:320.00 deduction for Ticktyboo@41.00 withdrawn at 08:450.20 deduction for Amayretto @5.000 withdrawn at 12:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.2) = 6.20

@6.20

Win

1

As well drawn as any here this horse has started the season well despite being without a win since 2023. Trainer and jockey have strong records here and he is a more viable option than any other in my eyes.
05 June 2025
18:35 6:35 Chelmsford City

Word Of Mouth

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

This is a tricky race with plenty to recommend, most notably including Enrolled. The race also has the looming shadow of a Prescott handicap debutant who is up in trip. But Word of Mouth is similarly unexposed and has shown well on the clock so far in qualifiers. Not a fan of the jockey, but there are worse out there, and at the price, the selection is good value.
18:05 6:05 Chelmsford City

Sullivan Bay

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

I am not a lover of Jim Crowley, particularly when he is away from the glitz and glamour, but as I am backing Lilly Pinchin elsewhere today, then anything goes! Sullivan Bay ran well over C&D last time out after a 3-month break, and this is the second run after a wind operation. He is as good as anything in the field on the clock over this trip, and the form from his last run has just been boosted by Star Legend's win at Lingfield.
15:30 3:30 Uttoxeter

Ikigai Star

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@8.00

Void

0

Rare that I would side with a Lilly Pinchin ride, but this horse produced a fast time and a cracking last half mile to win last time out and is only up 3 lbs for that. The form there has been franked, and whilst this will be more competitive, that is built into the price here.
15:12 3:12 Hamilton

Haptics

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@7.00

Win

10

Two of the principals are difficult to evaluate over this trip but Haptics produced a run at Doncaster which is far better on the clock than anything else that can be assessed, and should take some beating here based on that.
14:30 2:30 Uttoxeter

Pounding Poet

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

A tricky race, but after some deliberation, I have come down on Pounding Poet, who ran well last time out at Ayr. With the yard in good form and Stan's record here, he may well record a long overdue win at the scene of his biggest win previously. The effect of this morning's rain will be beneficial, and he is the tentative choice.
14:20 2:20 Lingfield

Poncho

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Good chance here, down in class and has recorded faster race times and last half furlong times than the rest of the field. The Owen horse is burdened by a big weight now, and I would ignore Poncho's last run under a weak jockey.
14:00 2:00 Uttoxeter

El Galactico

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@9.50

Win

425

Produced a decent debut at Fontwell, keeping a listed bumper contender honest on their hurdle debut and entitled to come on for that. Running speed in that race was a km per hour quicker than the other two contenders have managed in their most competitive races. Whilst the effect of this morning's rain on the ground is unknown, it is for all of these who have enjoyed their best days on quick ground. Is value at 5s.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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