BaldEagle316
Horse racing both flat and jumps. Owner of 20 horses currently racing and 3 broodmares. Tips are mainly through race watching but also partial to some statistical analysis on occasion.
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Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
BaldEagle316's Tips History
29 October 2025
15:37 3:37 Fakenham
Fancy Stuff
Daily Racing
50 EW
@5.00
Win
250
Not a race where one can be tremendously confident. Gata Ban is a threat but yet to run over fences under rules. The best horse on the clock is Annie Nail, but she is 7lb out of the weights and comes off the pace and should find this all a bit quick. So I have landed on Fancy Stuff. She ran well after a 4-month break at Chepstow and on that occasion and many others has been in better races than this, and is kindly weighted today and reunited with Sean Bowen, who took another ride that day which was then a NR. Small stake.
15:07 3:07 Fakenham
Keep It Cool
Daily Racing
100 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@3.75
Void
0
A difficult race to evaluate with many spinning parts, and it has come down to a toss-up between this lad and Basilette. Basilette has fractionally the quickest time for 2m over hurdles that I can record, but is up 5lbs for that, and Sansom has never ridden a winner here. Keep It Cool has his first run for Owen but will be fit, having run 39 days ago, and his better runs have been on ground with some give in it in Ireland. You have to go back a year for his last recordable run over 2 miles, which is only fractionally slower than that of Basilette and recorded up the tough hill finish at Downpatrick. Chadwick has a good record here, and the above factors swing it for me, but not with burning confidence.
14:37 2:37 Fakenham
Reforme
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 2.62 takenBOG
@4.00
Win
300
Robbie Dunne has a cracking record here from 2m4f onwards. If this horse reproduces the performance from his run earlier in the month at Huntingdon on the clock, then he has the upper hand by half a second on all known performances. I expect the Bowen horse to be better than LTO over a shorter trip and down 4lbs. Hopefully, Sean will take most of the market with him and push this lad out to a more backable price.
13:37 1:37 Fakenham
Iskar Dairy
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-100
A tricky little contest, but in the end, I have come down on the most reliable of the four. Tomorrow is the Owen horse's first run over fences, and unless they are quicker than they were over hurdles around here, they won't be involved. I backed Bella Montrose when they won here last time out, but now up 9 lbs and with an inferior jockey, they are the slowest on the clock by a decent margin. The Crawley horse is a threat on the clock but has never gone well fresh before. Which leaves me with the selection who has consistently recorded the same time per furlong for their last three runs, even when cut adrift at Kempton last time out, and they were eased a little that day from two out. So assuming the money comes for Bowen, I am happy to go with this lad.
13:23 1:23 Newton Abbot
Thankyouandplease
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
The favorite may well win, having strolled to a first win last time out around here. But the form from that is poor, and a novice defying the penalty should always be challenged. On the clock, there is plenty to consider here, and I also like Border Gem, who produced a good time over 2 miles at Hereford and is bred to stay this far. The selection has a bit more exposure to this trip, which has lured me in. On the clock, she produced a better time at Exeter over a similar trip than the favorite did here last time out and then did well enough at Fontwell. Hosie hasn't a good record at having them ready first time out, which is a concern, but given the price...
13:17 1:17 Nottingham
Dance Hello
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
An indulgence really, but this grey mare has a better chance than the bare form suggests. On the clock, she has run within a tenth of a second of the principal's best recent times. For her, that time was on soft at Catterick, while they were at Wolverhampton and Windsor on the AW and Good. She is down 9 lbs from her last run with the decent claimer's allowance into play, and 50/1 is too big and has tempted me in.
13:07 1:07 Fakenham
American Empire
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-100
The top two in the market will take the attention here and hopefully make this lad a bigger price by the off. He caught the eye at Warwick last time out when he fluffed the last when seemingly having the beating of Jackstell. Jackstell subsequently defied the penalty next time out at Hereford, beating a decent Twiston horse as the pair pulled 17 lengths off the rest. So given that form line, good evidence on the clock (only 3 of the field have recordable times over hurdles), and the advantage of fitness that he will have, I am happy to go with this lad.
Subtotal250
28 October 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Searchingtheblues
Daily Racing
50 EW
@SP
Lose
-100
A class dropper having her 2nd run after a wind operation. On the clock, she has produced the fastest recent 7f run on the AW at Chelmsford and has been dropped 5 lbs from that. Big price, small stakes, dare to dream.
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton
Melody De Vega
Daily Racing
50 EW
@15.00
Win
90
An open affair which could go in various directions, but this horse ran well here over 7f and ran his fastest 3 furlongs at the end, staying on well, while many of the field tonight naturally slowed at the end of their last runs. He is being asked to get another quarter of a mile here, but at the price, is worth a play.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton
Francesco Baracca
Daily Racing
50 EW
@5.50
Win
281
He recorded the fastest time over 2 miles on the AW within the field based on their last attempts at it, and Oliver takes off 7 lbs allied to the 3 lb drop from that run. The jockey represents the risk but also the chance in terms of the allowance, so worth a spin for me.
16:10 4:10 Catterick
Crocodile Power
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@4.33
Win
333
Has a cracking chance here off his last winning mark. Swift has won 3 out of 5 on him here, and the conditions of the race are in his favor. Shoulders top weight but has done so before. The two races he has won over C&D were better than this one.
14:40 2:40 Catterick
Vince Le Prince
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-100
Another who is too short at 5/2 but worth a look if the market corrects itself. He loves it here, winning on everything from good to firm to soft, and has a good draw from wide. This is the weakest handicap he has ever been in, so every chance.
14:10 2:10 Catterick
Three Dons
Daily Racing
50 EW
@7.00
Lose
-100
He will need to be at 8s for me to get involved as he has been quiet since returning from a break. But he won here 12 months ago on soft and runs off the same mark today with Molly Gunn back on board, who has an impressive strike record of 35% on him. As I say, he will need to be bigger than the 5s and 6s on offer for me.
Subtotal404
27 October 2025
14:30 2:30 Lingfield
Mart
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-100
He has been out of sorts in recent months, but this is the weakest AW handicap that he has contested since December 2023. Last time out, he failed to figure at Southwell over 5f, but despite being eased late on, he ran quicker than the rest of this field have in recent months on an artificial surface. Good trainer and jockey and an obvious chance to get back on track.
13:47 1:47 Wexford
Claude
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
I am probably tilting at windmills here, but on the clock, this horse is the best rival to the current favorite and by some way. A winner here for their previous handler, he will be comfortable with the ground. Given that, I would expect him to drift in the market, which may offer some each-way excitement at a small stake.
13:25 1:25 Lingfield
Call Me By My Name
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
The selection was running at Royal Ascot and in the Super Sprint during the summer and now he finds himself here in October. However the decline in the opposition from those days is stark and is he can provide anything going towards his run at Wolves lto he should be bang there and carries 4lb less in a weaker race than on that occasion.
12:55 12:55 Lingfield
Baileys Ontherocks
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.50
Lose
-50
This is the selection's first run over 6 furlongs, but in his sole start on the AW (over 5f here), he ran the final furlong faster than the rest of the field despite hanging in the straight. That run suggested that he would stay, and along with the favorite, he is drawn to overhaul the pace setters who will come from wide draws. He will be a handful for Billy, and there are risks attached, but he can give the favorite the most to think about.
12:30 12:30 Redcar
Melosa
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
An interesting novice. The selection is the fastest on the clock for this trip on a straight track. The jockey has a strong record here, and she will be comfortable with the give in the ground from her French experience. Happy to take the odds on favorite on with this one.
Subtotal-300
16 October 2025
14:05 2:05 Ffos Las
Mini Fortune
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 16/10 at 07:540.20 deduction for Radharc Na Slaine@4.50 withdrawn at 09:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.20) = 3.80
@3.80
Win
280
Roe & Co is a threat, but there isn't a lot of chasing pedigree in his breeding to get excited about. The selection is 7lb better off than when losing by 9 lengths to the Rees horse. A good 3rd in his only chase here back in April, the good ground will be appreciated and can get off the mark here.
13:45 1:45 Brighton
Haveagobeau
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
Produced a career-best here on similar going the run before last when bullied out of it and not helped by the stewards thereafter. This is a horse rated under 50, so there are inconsistencies abound, but that is built into the price and is worth a small change spin.
13:22 1:22 Carlisle
Bel Amigo
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@3.75
Lose
-100
Excellent chance here, albeit at a short price. He made a good return at Perth 3 weeks ago, leading turning in and only being passed by two horses that had been running through the summer. He won here last season in a novice with the same claimer on board, and he takes 10 lbs off from the weight he carried LTO at Perth.
Subtotal130
15 October 2025
14:57 2:57 Worcester
Gore Point
Daily Racing
50 EW
@8.00
Win
20
Interesting race with a number of these re-opposing from 3 weeks ago here. The selection ran a strange race on chasing debut, looking uncomfortable or disinterested until turning in when Sam suddenly started to get a tune from him, and he ran on positively to finish a never nearer 3rd. He faces the winner from that race again tomorrow, 8lbs better off than last time out, and it would be disappointing if he didn't compete more and end up closer.
Subtotal20
14 October 2025
15:51 3:51 Market Rasen
Lunar Discovery
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Ran well last time out on his debut for Robbie Llewellyn over an inadequate trip. Now that he has moved out to a kinder price, he is of tenuous interest here. They are aiming to keep the ground on the easy side of good, which is important for him. Whilst he has drawn a blank when going right-handed at Carlisle, the runs that way round have been decent. He is up in class, and this would be a career best, so we have to be realistic. But I trust Charlie Poste more than most claimers, and with only 2 places available, I will have a small play to win.
Subtotal-50
12 October 2025
15:17 3:17 Chepstow
Norman Fletcher
Daily Racing
50 EW
@9.50
Lose
-100
The trainer's potency at this time of year is well known, and he could pull this off tomorrow with this lad down the bottom of the weights. His runs in this class and above have been uninspiring so far, but tomorrow will be the first time that he runs at this level on good ground, and many of the other circumstances appeal. 8s is a fair price.
13:32 1:32 Chepstow
Deep Purple
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@7.50
Win
14
A winner here as a novice hurdler, which at least shows that he takes to the undulations and stiff finish. He has run well enough in his first 3 chases this summer and last time out at Warwick shaped as though he needed this longer trip. The inexperience of the jockey is a concern, but he is taking 6 lbs off in addition to the fact that this lad is better treated against My Gift To You when they met this summer. I wouldn't want him any shorter than this.
Subtotal-86
11 October 2025
17:10 5:10 Chepstow
Tranquil Sea
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.00
Win
480
He ran well on stable debut for the Skeltons at Worcester last month when he seemed to find 2 and a half a bit short for him. As he was held up, he was caught out along with the rest of them when the leader kicked turning in, and they couldn't get him back. As far as I can tell looking back, he will appreciate the step up to 3 miles and cope with Chepstow well enough, and a better jockey gets on board. 8s is a good price in my view.
15:40 3:40 Newmarket
Dawn Rising
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.00
Win
15
Ran in this last year off 6 lbs higher and in a slightly stronger edition than tomorrow's. He has had no real form since then other than staging something of a revival in his last two races, and he has a huge upgrade in rider tomorrow. I think that he will appreciate the better ground afforded to him tomorrow than that of last year. With 6 places being paid in some places, he is worth a spin if you can on above 5s and thus an EW bet.
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15:27 3:27 Fairyhouse
Ossifer Hops
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
Plenty of the conditions and circumstances of the race suit this lad, and he has weight on a number of his rivals. He could be set for a big run. Whilst on paper it looks as though Kennedy has picked the other horse from his yard, he is sometimes wrong with that decision.
Subtotal445
10 October 2025
15:43 3:43 Chepstow
Jack Hyde
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
A tentative play here as the horse won as he should have on seasonal return at Newton Abbot, with the runner-up subsequently winning there too, and has the edge in fitness on most of these. But he was too keen at Aintree in April over 2 miles and faded late on. Whilst he has a better jockey on top tomorrow than he had that day, it is a concern as this race is hard to win off the front. Hoping the fitness brings some place money.
1 member found this comment useful
14:32 2:32 Chepstow
Springs A Girl
Daily Racing
100 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@5.00
Void
0
She caught the eye on chase debut at Worcester last time out against the boys and 8 lbs out of the weights. She finished like a train, and given the previous win over 2m5f hurdling, this step back up in trip is encouraging. She comes from off the pace, and I would expect Sean to play her fairly late.
Subtotal-50
09 October 2025
15:55 3:55 Ayr
Ey Up Its Jazz
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
His chances aren't exactly hidden at this price, but a regular path to success for me on this type of going. He gets a mile, which encourages in these conditions and has won here previously. His form over this trip and class is 2, 1, 1, albeit this will be a career PB in terms of winning mark.
15:25 3:25 Ayr
Station X
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
I assume that this 3YO has trained on by virtue of the higher level of races that he has been raced in this year, having won twice last autumn over this trip as a 2YO on similar testing tracks. Likely to lead and thus needs to hang on with Kelpie Grey the most worrying rival.
13:40 1:40 Ayr
Tafsir
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.50
Lose
-50
On the basis of the stated going, Tafsir is of interest in this one. She will want every yard of this trip but will love the ground. Based on the ratings of her competitors, this is the weakest race she has been in for over a year.
Subtotal-150
07 October 2025
14:30 2:30 Leicester
Koffee And Kale
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@2.20
Win
120
This is a fairly weak affair, and as such, the favorite here can get off the mark. Smithhills is probably the greatest threat, but despite the yard's 2YOs being in good form recently, they haven't had a winner here in this age group for over 2 years.
14:20 2:20 Galway
Getaways Charm
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
This mare's most promising run of her three for Elliott was on debut over this trip. As this trainer has a reasonable record with horses switched to him and has elected to drop her back to this trip, she appeals. The favorite didn't particularly enthrall on bumper debut and is worth taking on here.
14:00 2:00 Leicester
Kode Secret
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
There is enough here to get interested at this price. His two wins have come over this distance, and after opening his season well enough over this trip at Ayr in April, he has been dropped to 6f since. The mark has dropped through the season, and he is now 5lbs under his last winning mark before taking Jake's 7lb off. I think there are worse claimers out there and he won his only ride here, so can't get better than that! Needs to break well and go forward from that draw and hope he stays. His last run at Hamilton looked like a horse who had had enough this year, so that is the risk built into the price.
Subtotal20
05 October 2025
16:44 4:44 Killarney
Nastya
Daily Racing
100 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG
@3.25
Win
225
Made a good seasonal return last time out, running into a progressive sort but jumping and traveling well. Stripping fitter for that, he should win this, aided by Henry's fine record here.
Subtotal225
02 October 2025
17:15 5:15 Southwell
Inspector Lynley
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-100
The selection was unlucky last time out to run into a handicap plot, one who has won three on the bounce since. This was his first run from a break, and the characteristics of Southwell will suit him today. He gains the three pounds that Harriet Tucker took off last time out but also gains a better jockey. The form from his last race is better than that of Scudamore, and I am happy to take him on here.
14:00 2:00 Southwell
Lightning Flash
Daily Racing
100 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@2.75
Void
0
This may well be a battle between Jet Patrol and the selection, but the former was poor on his two chase starts for his previous trainer, and I would side with Lightning Flash, who made an excellent return at Perth last week. His yard is having their usual electric start to the year, and the McCain Mitchell takes off 7 lbs.
Subtotal-100
29 September 2025
16:16 4:16 Newton Abbot
Bagheera Ginge
Daily Racing
100 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG
@3.25
Win
225
A winner here over hurdles and has run well chasing over shorter. Should he get this trip, he should be bang there and has every chance at an attractive mark.
15:06 3:06 Newton Abbot
Jaminska
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG
@4.50
Win
210
I like Jaminska here. She ran perfectly well on seasonal return here 3 weeks ago, finishing second to the well-thought-of Jack Hyde when 11 lbs wrong on their respective ORs with him. Whilst far from an exact science, she completed the C&D 15 seconds quicker than Best Night, who won here 10 days ago on the same stated going. The more likely threats are John Barbour and At The Oche, and I would expect those to take over in the market between now and the off, perhaps even meaning that EW prices become available.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal435
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