lutonboy

I like a good each way value bet , you wont find me backing short priced favourites , 3-1 will probably be my ceiling odds.

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lutonboy's Tips History

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09 September 2024
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Roaring Ralph

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

A winner over trip last time out and is a previous c/d victor as well , has a penalty to carry tonight but is only 2lbs more than its previous c/d win .
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton

Tasmanian Legend

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@12.00

Lose

-50

Its a very open looking handicap as the betting suggests , this one though has fallen to a very competitive rating which is well capable of winning from this evening , there has also been movement in the market this morning as well.
17:50 5:50 Brighton

Otago

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@5.00

Win

125

Has won over c/d previously and on soft going from a higher rating as well, runner up last time out here and has a good track record and should add to its win tally today.
16:40 4:40 Brighton

Innisfree Pearl

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

225

Showed some improvement last time out when runningon at the finish to take 3rd over this distance and on soft going , still unexposed this one and is at good each way value.
15:30 3:30 Brighton

Alafdhal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Although looking out of form judging by its last few outings the soft going and reduced rating could bring this one in contention this afternoon, has won on soft previously and does not look like an 8-1 outsider to me.
14:20 2:20 Brighton

James Park Woods

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Win

125

Nearly always going to be in with a shout of a frame finish and i know its a very long time since this one has won , but it could be today as does handle soft going very well.
08 September 2024
15:25 3:25 York

Markoon

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@5.50

Lose

-50

I think you can ignore latest outing as failed to settle and that was over further and todays trip of the mile will suit much better so expect a much improved performance this afternoon.
14:50 2:50 York

Sex On Fire

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

A drop down in class of race should suit this one better this afternoon and also on good going is to its benefit as well , and another that looks good each way material.
14:15 2:15 York

Harvanna

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

The going has turned to this ones favour goes well on good going as the last 3 outings have proved, and with a generous 5 places on offer this one looks very good each way material.
07 September 2024
16:20 4:20 Kempton

Ferrous

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Lose

-50

Out of all the c/d winners in this field this ones stood out the most , very impressive when winning here in Apriland a return to the all weather will aid this ones chances today.
15:50 3:50 Thirsk

Kings Merchant

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

195

Consistent sort this one who rarely runs a bad race and this should be the case once again today, has won over c/d previously and looks very good value at these odds.
15:15 3:15 Kempton

Valkyrian

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

12

No hesitation about backing this very reliable sort not out of the first 2 home in its last 6 outings winning 3 , and is a previous c/d winner as well and with 4 places on offer looks brilliant each way value.
15:00 3:00 Haydock

American Affair

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@5.00

Lose

-5

Very consistent this one not been out of the first 2 home in all its 5 runs this season winning 2 of them , cant see there being any problems this afternoon that wont be in the frame at least.
14:35 2:35 Kempton

Lions Pride

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Push

0

A previous c/d winner who won that day in some style a repeat of that performance could see this one going close again today and looks the ideal each way bet.
14:10 2:10 Ascot

Goodwood Odyssey

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Won last time out over this trip and on soft going which will aid this ones chances today, looks at good value at the odds on offer and another who should make the frame at least.
13:50 1:50 Haydock

Too Bossy For Us

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

The run here over c/d took my eye when finishing a good 2nd ,a repeat of that performance should see this one go close again and is at value odds and should make the frame at least.
13:35 1:35 Ascot

Rebel Territory

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@8.00

Lose

-50

Probably needed the run last time out when 3rd after a longish break but this previous c/d winner should be primed for this afternoons race and won on soft going here last May.
06 September 2024
21:00 9:00 Kempton

Hiatus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Has had a break since May so should come back refreshed and has ran well after a longish break before , a c/d winner is at value odds to make the frame at least.
20:30 8:30 Kempton

Sonnerie Power

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@8.00

Win

18

Running back into some sort of form last 2 outings and does go well on the polytrack surfaces, is a previous c/d winner and with 3 places in 7 runner field has a big chance.
17:20 5:20 Ascot

Granger Bay

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 06/09 at 09:360.15 deduction for Usuario Amigo@6.00 withdrawn at 12:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.15) = 4.82

@4.83

Win

119

Placed in 3 of its 4 outings so far so still unexposed and ran a good race in 2nd on handicap debut latest, goes off the same rating today and expect this one to break its maiden tag .
16:45 4:45 Ascot

Theoryofeverything

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@6.00

Win

150

With the ground on the soft side you have to consider this ones chances having won twice on soft, and the fact has been dropped 6lbs for this race must also improve its chances.
15:45 3:45 Haydock

Animato

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@13.00

Win

35

Another one who may prosper with the conditions on the soft side we know will stay the distance having won over 2 miles and once again with 4 places on offer looks a good bet to make the frame at decent odds.
14:00 2:00 Haydock

The Coffee Pod

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

With the going being good to soft brings this one into the calculations , won on these conditions in the summer and with 4 places on offer looks at very generous each way odds and should make the frame at least.
05 September 2024
19:10 7:10 Newbury

Supreme King

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Ran consistently well last 3 outings without winning but this race does look easier and should be involved again , especially as there are 4 places up for grabs.
17:10 5:10 Newbury

Candy

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 05/09 at 09:130.10 deduction for Siegen@7.50 withdrawn at 10:510.25 deduction for Alashos @4.000 withdrawn at 12:530.10 deduction for Seraphim Angel @9.000 withdrawn at 13:510.10 deduction for Equalised @7.000 withdrawn at 16:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.55) = 3.25

@3.25

Win

112

Ran well over c/d latest when finishing runner up , that was its first try at 6 furlongs and a similar run like that could see this one go one better this afternoon.
17:05 5:05 Lingfield

Alvesta

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Push

0

Ran well over c/d when finishing 3rd in July that was off a lb more and take in consideration the jockeys 3lbs claim today then looks well in and could finally break its duck .
17:00 5:00 Salisbury

Monkey Island

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@8.50

Void

0

An open looking race as the betting suggests , this one ran well last 2 outings when finishing 3rd in both, not many miles on the clock and with 4 places on offer looks good each way value.
16:50 4:50 Haydock

Zarabanda

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Back in handicap company should see this one more involved this afternoon, and interesting to note that most of its better runs have come on the softer going.
16:32 4:32 Lingfield

Appier

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

15

Usually held up for a late run this one so dont expect to see until near the finish , is a previous c/d winner and does go well at this course and looks good each way value at the odds on offer.
14:00 2:00 Lingfield

Anisoptera

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

5

Has now dropped to a mark where can be more competitive from judging on prior performances , and at least we know that this one will stay the trip having won over c/d previously.
04 September 2024
20:00 8:00 Kempton

Incrimination

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Back after a break and dropping down to 6 furlongs on first run from a lay off could be a good move , both trainer and jockey are in good form and the jocks 5lbs claim will come in very handy.
18:45 6:45 Hamilton

Elforleather

Daily Racing

25 EW

@2.88

Lose

-50

These conditions will be ideal for this one having won on heavy going last time out , going for the hat trick of wins and although a bit short in price for my likening a must do bet.
18:08 6:08 Southwell

Stanley Spencer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Win

105

Another reliable sort who once again should be involved in a frame finish at least, has won over the distance and the stable is in fine form at the moment as well.
17:25 5:25 Lingfield

Drouthy Neebor

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG

@4.50

Lose

-8

A steady increase in performances have been noted from this one and last time outs run over this trip was encouraging, and with the stable in cracking form over last 14 days could break its maiden tag today.
16:42 4:42 Bath

Divine Presence

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@4.00

Lose

-50

Another reliable type who is still unexposed only had just the 5 outings so far, so there could be more to come yet, and interesting trainer has sent just the 1 runner on this long trip from Newmarket.
15:40 3:40 Lingfield

Tambourine Dream

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

I think you can ignore the last 2 outings back over the mile at this course will suit better and ran well here over c/d in July when finishing 3rd, the stable is in good form so looks a safe each way bet to me.
14:53 2:53 Southwell

Valkyrian

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@6.00

Push

0

Dont think you can leave this one out of your calculations in excellent form and although carrying a 5lbs panalty for latest win the jockey does take a handy 3 of those off , cant see this one finishing out of the frame.
14:32 2:32 Bath

Miss Gitana

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@3.25

Lose

-50

Very consistent this one only once out of the frame in last 6 outings , add to this a previous c/d winner and the fact that the stable is flying at the moment makes this look a very reccomendable bet.
03 September 2024
20:45 8:45 Newcastle

Flash The Dash

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

A much better horse on the tapeta having won over c/d previously and is only 2lbs higher , well capable of coping with this and should add to its win tally this evening.
19:00 7:00 Southwell

Kynsa

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Looks the most reliable one of this field of runners, and despite racing off its highest ever rating i dont think this will stop this one improving for a bit more yet , and with 4 places to aim at should make the frame.
18:15 6:15 Newcastle

Roger Henry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

25

Back down in trip which is this ones best judging on previous runs , having won over this distance and with 4 places on offer looks very good each way value.
17:25 5:25 Southwell

Kings Coronation

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@3.75

Lose

-50

Lightly raced this one and has been runner up last 3 outings so not through lack of effort, this unexposed typr looks set to break its maiden tag this afternoon.
15:48 3:48 Chepstow

Stalingrad

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Lose

-50

Trainer looks to have picked up a good one here winner over c/d last time seen out and despite not having had a run for awhile does have a record of racing well when fresh.
15:30 3:30 Goodwood

Lady Luzon

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

12

Well its def certain you cant knock this ones consistency in the first 2 home in its last 5 outings,and with 3 places on offer in a 7 runner field looks good each way value at these odds.
02 September 2024
19:30 7:30 Windsor

Betweenthesticks

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@4.33

Lose

-9

Both trainer and jockey are in fine form at the moment both firing in the winners , this one has looked impressive in its last 2 outings as of late over this trip and a follow up win could be on the cards.
18:00 6:00 Windsor

Cypriot Diaspora

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Back down in trip to 6 furlongs will suit this one better having won twice previously over this distance, and if the expected rain comes then this will also aid this ones chances.
17:10 5:10 Chepstow

Ballsbridge

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG

@4.33

Lose

-9

Has yet to win but shown some encouragement in the last 2 outings when finishing runner up both times , only ran 4 days ago so turned out again quickly always a good sign the stable fancy their chances.
16:30 4:30 Windsor

Martin Spirit

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

5

Been running ok last 3 outings winning 1 at Epsom, that form looks good enough to win this race and interesting top in form jockey is booked to ride this afternoon.
15:58 3:58 Windsor

Thecoffeepoddotco

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

The one that i would be interested in judging by its 2 outings over 6 furlongs running well in both, and with 4 places on offer looks very good each way value at the odds on offer.
14:50 2:50 Brighton

Amathus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Although the outsider of the field of 7 i would not write this one out of the equation, a previous c/d winner has been placed last 2 outings over this distance and with 3 places on offer could sneak into the frame.

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