lutonboy

I like a good each way value bet , you wont find me backing short priced favourites , 3-1 will probably be my ceiling odds.

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lutonboy's Tips History

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10 December 2025
20:30 8:30 Kempton

Man On A Mission

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Not run for a while but does run well at this course, as the previous C/D wins testify. On a decent-looking rating and with four places on offer, may not win this but has a good shout of making the frame at decent each-way odds.
20:00 8:00 Kempton

Soar Above

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

The veteran just edges it for me in a tight-looking handicap. This previous C&D winner has dropped to a very competitive mark, and with 4 places on offer looks a good each-way bet.
19:00 7:00 Kempton

Expert Agent

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Has definitely dropped to a rating that you're going to be interested in. This runner, in Class 4, increases the chances of adding to its course-and-distance win tally.
17:30 5:30 Kempton

Lerwick

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@5.00

Lose

-5

Has attracted a lot of interest, mainly due to its low rating. This one has dropped in rating. The step up to 7 furlongs looks like a good move to me. If it's going to win another race, this could be the one, with everything pointing to a good run expected.
15:25 3:25 Hexham

Stick With Me Sam

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 10/12 at 07:450.10 deduction for Lewa House@9.00 withdrawn at 08:19R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.10) = 3.70Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.20 used instead of 3.70 BOG

@4.20

Win

96

May have just needed the run latest when having first race since last January. Should be a lot fitter today and did show some encouraging form last season, so could finally get on the scoresheet in the last race.
14:55 2:55 Hexham

Heeztheboy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Win

90

The fav for this race is too short, so the value could be had with this previous C/D winner. He has run well since joining this stable and looks the most reliable one in this handicap.
14:45 2:45 Leicester

Jet Plane

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@5.50

Win

140

Dropping down a class of race will make this a bit easier than previous outings. If recapturing its form from last season, it should be capable of winning this race.
14:25 2:25 Hexham

Coventry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Stayed on well last time when finishing in 3rd place stepping up to this 3-mile distance. Also handled heavy going like today. In class 5 grade this could make things a bit easier, and he is dropping to a more competitive rating as well.
12:55 12:55 Hexham

Azahara Palace

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 2.75 on 10/12 at 07:330.20 deduction for Gintime@5.00 withdrawn at 09:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.75 x (1-0.20) = 2.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3.13 used instead of 2.40 BOG

@3.13

Win

66

Made a good start to hurdling on debut latest when making an eye-catching 2nd place. Ridden once again by Brian Hughes. It is worth noting that the horse ran well on heavy going on the flat as well. Could go one better this afternoon.
12:45 12:45 Leicester

Nine Nine Nine

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 10/12 at 08:030.00 deduction for As Tears Go By@29.00 withdrawn at 10:490.10 deduction for Yes And Yes @10.000 withdrawn at 11:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.1) = 9.10

@9.10

Win

15

When this one runs at Leicester, I don't think you can leave it out of your calculations. It has an excellent track record, and I am surprised it is being offered at what I think are very generous odds. It is my NAP of the day bet.
12:15 12:15 Leicester

Snapius

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Returned in good form. Latest run: well, finished 3rd over course and distance. Looks the most consistent one in this field and does go well on this type of ground.
09 December 2025
19:45 Leyton Orient v Luton

Millenic Alli

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Both teams were dumped out of the FA Cup over the weekend. It will be a close game tonight, and I take Alli to score the first goal. He shows touches of brilliance but does tend to fade away in the second half, so it's always best to catch him at the start of games when he's at his sharpest.
19:30 7:30 Newcastle

Ramon Di Loria

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@6.00

Push

0

Another one who runs this course well and is never really that far away even when beaten. A C/D winner who, with good luck in running this evening, could add to its win tally in the last race of the day.
19:00 7:00 Newcastle

Mister Sky Blue

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Lose

-8

Yet to win on the all-weather but has put in three decent performances over C/D as of late, suggesting that a win on this surface is not far away. It could be this evening.
18:30 6:30 Newcastle

Superior Council

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.00

Lose

-15

Another one who is a Newcastle specialist. You can back this one with confidence that it will get a good run, and this C/D winner should once again be among the frame finishers, at least.
18:00 6:00 Newcastle

Concert Boy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Win

82

Very consistent this one and is a Newcastle specialist who rarely runs a bad race here. Obviously a course and distance winner who, despite running twice last week, should once again at least make the frame.
17:30 5:30 Newcastle

Eves Boy

Daily Racing

25 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.00

Void

0

Ran well over C/D two runs ago when finishing a very close 3rd under this afternoon's jockey. Drops down in class which should aid this one's chances of a first handicap win.
17:00 5:00 Newcastle

Badri

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Not much to separate all of these runners, but this one was a shade unlucky when denied a clear run latest over the C/D when making what looked like a good challenge. A previous C/D winner can make amends this afternoon and add to the win tally.
16:30 4:30 Newcastle

Dolos Dream

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@4.00

Win

93

Ran well on debut when finishing runner-up. The drop to 5 furlongs could work out well. He did fade a touch in the last furlong but did look like he had enough speed for the minimum trip.
15:55 3:55 Newcastle

Yy Spirit

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG

@4.50

Win

109

Not really built on its promising debut run, but looks to have found an easier race this afternoon. Its advantage of having had three outings already could give this one an edge on its rivals.
15:33 3:33 Uttoxeter

Miss Maxfort

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@15.00

Void

0

Made a good start latest when making stable debut, finishing 3rd. The stepping up in trip looks like a good move by the trainer, and at the odds on offer it does look a very tempting each-way bet.
15:18 3:18 Newcastle

Speechman

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

There has been a big market move for this one early doors not yet picked up here. Ran well twice over C/D just recently, and with the jockey's handy claim does look on good terms this afternoon.
15:00 3:00 Uttoxeter

Zambezi Fix

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

At the veteran stage now, but don't dismiss this one's chances because of the big odds. Has dropped down a class today and probably needed the first race of the season. Could make the frame in these conditions.
14:30 2:30 Uttoxeter

Bells Of Peterboro

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Back down in trip should suit today and has run well on heavy going previously. Interesting that the top jockey is riding again. Is at decent each-way odds with there being three places on offer in a seven-runner field.
14:00 2:00 Uttoxeter

Baron Noir

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@1.50

Win

15

We are not going to get rich backing this short-priced fav, but he does look a good prospect and brings the best form to the table in this race. He should get off the mark over hurdles this afternoon.
13:30 1:30 Uttoxeter

Carismatic Soldier

Daily Racing

25 EW

@2.10

Lose

-50

Looks like the top two in the betting will fight this race out. Stepping up in distance, this unexposed sort has never finished out of the frame in five outings so far. He handles heavy going and should get us off to a good start for the day.
08 December 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Noisy Music

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@4.33

Lose

-50

Back in, just a fillies' race should suit better this evening. This previous C/D winner has put in three decent performances here as of late, and its consistency should see this one to victory.
19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Rye

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

The last three c/d outings have all been solid performances from this one, making the frame in two of them. Yet to win a race, but this could be the one that finally breaks its maiden tag.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Sioux Warrior

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

With the favorite for this race being at short odds, the value could be had with this one judging by its last two C/D outings when making the frame on both occasions. At the odds on offer, it looks a very good each-way punt.
18:30 6:30 Wolverhampton

Papa Cocktail

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@5.50

Lose

-50

Very reliable type who has not finished out of the frame in its last six outings. Has a course and distance win to its name recently. Although up in class, it has been racing to a higher standard lately than its present rating suggests.
14:37 2:37 Lingfield

Mount Mogan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Last time out, C/D run took my eye when finishing a close 2nd. A repeat performance could be good enough to take this handicap. He has dropped to a winnable rating, so all points to another good run.
14:15 2:15 Musselburgh

Artic Mann

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Goes well over the 3-mile trip, as its last two outings over this distance have proved. Normally runs at Perth, but if this veteran can reproduce its form from that track here, it has a good shout this afternoon.
14:07 2:07 Lingfield

Villalobos

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.33 on 08/12 at 07:400.10 deduction for Kessaar Power@10.00 withdrawn at 08:390.15 deduction for Pink Socks @6.000 withdrawn at 08:57R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.33 x (1-0.25) = 3.50

@3.50

Lose

-13

I am always a bit cagey about front-runners, but this one did win well over C/D latest when employing those tactics. He has a 5 lb penalty for that victory, but the jockey claims that, so in effect he goes off the same mark today and could follow up.
12:07 12:07 Lingfield

Port Road

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Another one who looks like is at odds of value. Ran well over C/D 2 weeks ago when third and won a Class 4 handicap at Kempton in August, so definitely acts on the polytrack surfaces and could add to its win tally.
11:37 11:37 Lingfield

Marra Donna

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

The favourite for this race will probably be hard to beat, but this one did improve from its debut run last time out. It was seen keeping on well, not getting a clear run to stop its progress. The extra furlong today should suit fine on this evidence.
11:07 11:07 Lingfield

Davvy

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@8.00

Void

0

Ran well on the polytrack at Kempton last time when finishing ahead of two of its rivals today in third position. That run took my eye and it also looks to have good each-way value.
07 December 2025
14:00 2:00 Kelso

Neo King

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

Has not won a race yet in 8 outings but gone close on a few occasions. Looks the most reliable one of the field judging by past performances and handles soft/heavy going very well. This could be the day to break the maiden tag.
13:45 1:45 Huntingdon

Isle Of Gold

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@3.25

Lose

-50

Made a good start over fences last time out. He stayed on very well at the finish to finish runner-up, so he showed good promise and can build on that this afternoon and go one better in a winnable race.
06 December 2025
16:30 4:30 Wolverhampton

Straight A

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@4.33

Lose

-50

Ran very well over C/D just 7 days ago when only beaten by a head. Has generally a good track record at this course and does look a well worthy favourite to go one better this afternoon and add to its C/D victories.
15:35 3:35 Sandown

Tanganyika

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

It is my assumption that this trainer's runners all improve on their seasonal first run, and this could be the case for this one. Dropped in class today, it should see improvement and have a chance of adding to the win tally.
15:00 Fleetwood Town v Luton

Luton #2-1

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

The Hatters are a little bit hit and miss, but they seem to be getting into some sort of rhythm. Although it will be a tough game away at Fleetwood, I think Luton's quality will see them through to the third-round draw.
14:40 2:40 Aintree

Mr Vango

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

0

Although I'm not a fan of ones that make all the running, I am willing to make an exception for this one. Proven has the stamina to lead from the front, and no worries about the long break ??" he is also proven at racing well when fresh out first time.
14:11 2:11 Chepstow

Bective Abbey

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 3.75 on 06/12 at 07:300.20 deduction for Alan De Banks@5.00 withdrawn at 12:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.75 x (1-0.20) = 3.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 3.20 BOG

@3.25

Lose

-14

Only had one race over the fences but ran well when finishing 2nd, and I think this is the way to go with this lightly raced 7-y-o who looks like there is going to be much more improvement to come.
13:36 1:36 Chepstow

Minella Blueway

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

12

Probably just needed the race last time out when coming back from a winter's break. Prior to that, it had put in three decent performances over this distance. Any more rain will also boost its chances of winning.
13:25 1:25 Wetherby

The Scorpion King

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Had a run over hurdles recently to get some fitness in after a long break. Back over the fences today and should be primed to run well. Will relish the soft going and goes well in such conditions.
12:24 12:24 Aintree

Princesse Milania

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-3

This one has run well over this sort of trip the last 2 times. Trying this distance, will like the conditions this afternoon and does have an edge, as most of these are trying this longer journey for the first time.
12:17 12:17 Wetherby

Carrig Kate

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Win

10

Making its debut over the fences this afternoon, Kilbarry Hill was very consistent over the hurdles, finishing in the frame in each of its last five outings. It is good value each way and looks likely to make a good start over the bigger obstacles.
05 December 2025
19:15 7:15 Newcastle

Pit Boss

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@17.00

Lose

-50

Yet again the two market leaders are almost too short odds-wise to be interested in. This one, on the other hand, has run well over c/d in the last two outings, making the frame in both. A repeat of a frame finish will be good enough at these value odds.
16:45 4:45 Newcastle

Havana Blue

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

Not beaten by far last time out over C/D. Only just behind the fav for this race today, and this one's odds are more attractive for an each-way bet, especially as there are four places up for grabs as well.
16:15 4:15 Newcastle

Smartanck

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Now only a 4-runner affair, and once again the front two in the betting are at no-value prices. So this one looks the obvious bet. Remember that this one has won over the trip already and on the Tapeta surface as well.
15:45 3:45 Newcastle

Victory Ace

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

With the front two in the market being a bit short on odds, it may be worth siding with this one. It ran better than its finishing position suggests last time out. It was a bit short of room when challenging, and at a decent each-way price could make the frame today.
15:05 3:05 Exeter

Art Decco

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

165

Likes it at Exeter. Having run well in the last two appearances here, winning over C/D and finishing runner-up in the other. The latest trip was a bit on the short side, and will now be fitter after that run. Again, should run well at this course.
14:55 2:55 Sandown

In dOr

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 05/12 at 10:130.10 deduction for Kelce@9.00 withdrawn at 13:57R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.10) = 6.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 6.40 BOG

@6.50

Win

2

Having had the first run for a new stable after being bought in October. Very consistent last season and back down to this trip, which will suit. Has also dropped a class of race, having run well in a higher grade previously. Could give connections a winning start.
12:58 12:58 Sedgefield

Upfordebate

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Win

105

Apart from one blip, this one has been in very good, reliable form, including a C/D win last time out. Obviously gone up in the ratings, but this should not be a problem. Ridden by the same jockey, it should be up amongst them at the finish.

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