lutonboy

I like a good each way value bet , you wont find me backing short priced favourites , 3-1 will probably be my ceiling odds.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

lutonboy's Tips History

16 January 2025

20:30 8:30 Chelmsford City

Got No Dollars

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 16/01 at 10:170.25 deduction for Falcon Nine@3.50 withdrawn at 16:19R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.25) = 10.00

@10.00

Win

281

Definitely runs better at this course as of late and is on the same mark as winning over C/D last August. Looks to be at very generous odds and looks a good each-way bet.

20:00 8:00 Chelmsford City

Cephalus

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@8.50

Win

Despite what the tipsters say about this regarding trip, form, etc., I believe it has dropped to a very winnable mark and will find this race easier than ones as of late. Looks good value odds-wise to me as well.

19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City

Angle Land

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

Drops down in class of race this evening and is a previous C/D winner as well. It is on a rating at the moment that it can win from, and I expect this one to add to its win tally.

18:00 6:00 Chelmsford City

Capuchinero

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

The only one in this small field which has won over C/D off a mark 2 lbs higher. The drop back to 7 furlongs will also suit better and looks at reasonable odds for a 5-runner handicap.

14:25 2:25 Ludlow

Redbridge Rambler

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Void

Is back down to its last winning mark, so obviously brings this one into contention this afternoon. Also, the fact that it drops back in trip will aid this one's chances of making the winning enclosure.

15 January 2025

19:00 7:00 Kempton

Help Me Rhonda

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Won over C/D last time seen out in October, so comes here after a good break and refreshed. Has only gone up 2 lbs for that win and is a work in progress for this trainer and capable of a follow-up win tonight.

15:50 3:50 Southwell

Bellagio Man

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@5.00

Lose

-50

This one is a firm favorite of mine. Hardly ever runs a bad race on the Tapeta surfaces, and with the jockey's claim, it is still within the scope of running well this afternoon and a frame finish at least for me.

15:23 3:23 Hereford

I Shut That Dor

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 15/01 at 08:340.15 deduction for Bobbis Beauty@5.50 withdrawn at 10:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.15) = 3.98

@3.97

Win

Looks like the one to beat here despite top weight. Won in good style last time out over this trip. Obviously gone up in the ratings, but is a consistent sort who should once again run well.

14:48 2:48 Hereford

Lemoncello

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Steadily improving this one, and I'm sure this top trainer will bring more improvement out. It's interesting to note that the stable jockey takes over this afternoon, a sign that points in the direction of its first win in England.

14:25 2:25 Newbury

Sound And Fury

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

A reliable type whose last two outings over this trip have been both good, winning the latest. A shrewd move by the trainer this afternoon, putting a 7 lb claimer on board, so is in effect 2 lbs to the good and well in here.

13:38 1:38 Southwell

Harvard Sound

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

Now, this one is very interesting. Very lightly raced for a 4-year-old, so still unexposed. Ignore the latest run as 7 furlongs is this one's trip and ran well over C/D the time before that when finishing a running on 3rd.

13:08 1:08 Southwell

The Bay Warrior

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 15/01 at 07:530.15 deduction for Bold Ribb@6.50 withdrawn at 11:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.15) = 7.80

@7.80

Win

204

At least we know this one can win over this distance, which you can't say about the majority of these runners. A previous C/D winner who has not reached its limit rating-wise, having won off higher, and at these odds with 4 places on offer, looks a good each-way bet.

14 January 2025

18:15 6:15 Newcastle

Cusack

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Win

150

Arrives here running back into some form judging by the last 2 outings. Is now on a very winnable mark, having won over C/D previously from higher ratings. Looks good value at these odds offered.

17:45 5:45 Newcastle

Pals Battalion

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-8

Looks like the speedster horse to me and is seeking a hat trick of consecutive wins over C/D today. It has only gone up 2 lbs for its latest win and looks well capable of coping with that.

16:45 4:45 Newcastle

Darlo Pride

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@2.50

Lose

-50

A little bit short in the odds for my liking, but the 7 lbs the jockey claims today could sway the result of this race. A previous C/D winner, I expect it to add to its win tally this afternoon.

16:13 4:13 Newcastle

Swiss Ace

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@4.50

Lose

-8

Some of these have met before and it will be a close-run race between the top 3 in the market. But I feel this one has dropped to a winnable rating now and looks better off on the revised terms.

15:55 3:55 Southwell

Retraction

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Consistent last 3 outings when finishing 3rd in all of them, including a C/D run. Although yet to win a race, is still lightly raced for a 5-year-old, and today could be the time to finally break the maiden tag.

15:38 3:38 Newcastle

Yakhabar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Twice a C/D winner off higher marks, so it is not the forlorn hope that the betting suggests. With 3 places on offer in a 7-runner field, it looks good value to me as an each-way bet.

13:52 1:52 Southwell

King Of York

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

This is a competitive-looking handicap with a few in with a chance. But this one dropping back to the 7 furlongs could be in its favor. Runner-up over C/D in November off 5lbs higher and is a previous C/D winner as well, so don't be put off by the odds, especially when there are 4 places on offer.

12:22 12:22 Southwell

Fleeting Moment

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

The first three in the betting have all met previously, and this one came out on top when finishing runner-up. Looking at the weights, form, etc., to me, again this selection will be ahead of the other two rivals.

13 January 2025

20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Green Power

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

180

Has dropped to a very competitive rating, and with the jockey taking another 5 lbs off, looks to be well in here. Taking that into consideration, it looks like very generous odds and must make the frame at least.

19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Beauzon

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

Don't think you can really back against this one when racing over the 6-furlong trip here. Very consistent and a C/D winner twice just recently, so looks good value to add to its win tally this evening.

19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Many A Star

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.00 on 13/01 at 09:480.10 deduction for Ultramarine@8.00 withdrawn at 13:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.00 x (1-0.10) = 3.70Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.70 BOG

@4.00

Win

I think I am going to take the side of the bookies and go along with this selection. It looks to have dropped to a mark that can win from again and is a worthy favorite in my view.

18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton

Apache Star

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Not won for a while, but took the eye last time out over C/D when running on well at the finish for a close 3rd place. Goes off the same mark this evening, and a repeat of that run should see this one back in the winning enclosure.

17:30 5:30 Wolverhampton

Further Measure

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

The favorite for this race may be hard to beat, but this one could be a good each-way shout. It has run well here previously, and with the jockey's 5 lbs claim, it could bring this one in contention for a frame finish.

14:00 2:00 Lingfield

Michaelas Boy

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG

@7.00

Win

180

Won last time out over this distance and going well from around its present rating. Interesting that the jockey has come here to ride this one when there are others at Wolverhampton he could have ridden.

12 January 2025

14:42 2:42 Lingfield

Raqraaq

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Void

Ran well last time out over C/D when finishing 3rd. That was in a class above this one, so a repeat of that run should be good enough to take this handicap. A top jockey is booked this afternoon.

13:42 1:42 Lingfield

Mumayaz

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@5.00

Void

This is a good open race. A case for nearly all of them can be made. This one made an eye-catching run when last racing here over the 5 furlongs. If it can get the start right, it should be bang in there with a shout. The jockey's handy 3lbs claim is also a plus factor.

11 January 2025

20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Visibility

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Another 2 lbs drop in the ratings could bring this one into the equation. Has won off a lb higher previously, and despite what the odds or betting suggest, is not out of this race.

20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton

Rogue Thunder

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.50 takenBOG

@5.00

Lose

-5

A C/D winner latest and only gone up a lb for that. If you take into consideration the jockey's 7 lbs claim, then this one does look well in here this evening and could complete a follow-up win.

19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Bang On The Bell

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@6.50

Lose

-50

Ran well over C/D the last 2 visits and looks to have fallen to a competitive mark. If you take into consideration, it has won previously off a rating 4lbs higher.

17:15 5:15 Newcastle

Dazy Mazy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Lose

-50

Ran well here last 2 outings when making the frame in both. Goes off the same mark today, and with 3 places up for grabs, looks a certainty to be in one of them.

15:45 3:45 Newcastle

Streak Lightning

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

Very reliable over C/D. Has made the frame the last 3 outings here, is on its last winning mark and looks poised to strike this afternoon. Good each way value at the odds on offer.

14:40 2:40 Chelmsford City

Mr Baloo

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG

@19.00

Win

Very interesting, this one from its current rating has dropped to a very winnable mark. The step up to the mile should be in this one's favor, plus the 3 lbs claimed by the jockey and 5 places on offer make this a very good each-way chance.

14:10 2:10 Chelmsford City

Rising Force

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

Arrives here in excellent form and ran well last time out over C/D when running on at the finish to take 2nd. Goes well here and is a previous C/D winner as well, and with 4 places on offer, is bound to be in one of them.

13:30 1:30 Chelmsford City

Sullivan Bay

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

Not far behind the hot favorite for this race when they last met and does have a course win to its name as well. It is at much more attractive odds and looks like a good each-way bet.

10 January 2025

18:15 6:15 Newcastle

Three Beauz

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

Ran well when runner-up over C/D 2 outings ago. Probably can ignore the latest run as that was over 6 furlongs. This former C/D winner can make amends this afternoon.

17:15 5:15 Newcastle

Darlo Pride

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@7.00

Lose

-50

Going to stick by this reliable sort in the frame last 6 outings [winning 2] and a previous C/D winner as well. Ran well here latest when 3rd off the same rating, so more of the same today at what I call generous odds.

13:15 1:15 Lingfield

Nordic Glory

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@4.33

Void

Very consistent, this one has not been out of the frame in its last 6 outings [winning 1]. It goes well at this course, and this previous C/D winner went close latest when only just beaten in 2nd. It goes off the same mark this afternoon.

12:15 12:15 Lingfield

Big Bard

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Void

Is now dropping to a mark that can win from today. Won over C/D previously from 2 lbs less and another one who goes better on left-handed tracks and can get back to winning ways this afternoon.

11:45 11:45 Lingfield

Watermelon Sugar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Void

This one definitely runs better on left-handed tracks and is running back into some form as the latest outing suggests. It is still 1lb to the good from its C/D win here in April and looks good each-way value to me.

09 January 2025

19:30 7:30 Chelmsford City

Triggered

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@5.00

Lose

-50

From its current rating, this one looks very interesting. A previous C/D winner looks to have dropped to a very competitive mark, and there are good signs of a return to form.

18:30 6:30 Chelmsford City

Lumberjack

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@29.00

Win

115

A lot of these runners met in a C/D race in December where this one was runner-up. The favorite has gone up in the ratings by more than this selection, which in theory should give a chance to reverse the placings this evening.

17:30 5:30 Chelmsford City

Q Twenty Boy

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

Dead heated with the favorite for this race back in October over C/D. Should be close again this afternoon, but this one's odds are more attractive and have each-way value about them.

15:39 3:39 Lingfield

Danehill Star

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

420

Don't be put off by the big odds. This one's best two performances came at this course. It has a very good apprentice on board today who takes a handy 3 lbs off and has each-way chances.

15:07 3:07 Lingfield

Dubai Harbour

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

A C/D winner 2 runs ago, proving that this trip is probably its best now. It is up 2 lbs from that win, but it should not be a problem, and a frame finish is expected at least.

14:32 2:32 Lingfield

Starshiba

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@3.50

Lose

-50

A C/D winner last time out and has always performed better on the polytrack surfaces. The step up to a mile seemed to suit. Carries a 4 lbs penalty but looks capable of still running well, and a follow-up win could be possible.

13:58 1:58 Lingfield

Camera Shy

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@7.00

Void

Does have a bit of an edge here, having raced on the polytrack surface before, with the majority of the others not having done so. Won a good race on debut and was a very close 3rd last time out. Making handicap debut today and has taken the eye, judging by the starting mark this one has been given.

12:28 12:28 Lingfield

Lost In Time

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Four of these met over C/D in December, with this one taking the runner-up spot. It meets the favorite for this race on 2 lbs better terms this afternoon, which could bring them closer together and be enough for the selection to reverse the placings.

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11:58 11:58 Lingfield

Epsom Faithfull

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@5.50

Win

Since being upped to this 10-furlong trip, has run much better, winning one and runner-up in the other, both over C/D. With the favorite for this race being too short odds-wise and a question mark about the distance, this one does look like the alternative value bet.

1 member found this comment useful

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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lutonboy

lutonboy's Tips History

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