Abjekt

A respect for statistics usually goes in my favour, but I can get sentimental occasionally. Definitely head over heart in most cases. Avid follower of sports with good knowledge of most, meaning trends and clues don’t go unnoticed. Been part of OLBG for a while now and done better than I thought. Guess I’ll get back into it.

1

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this month

£5

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this month

Abjekt's Tips History

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14 June 2025
15:35 3:35 York

Columnist

Daily Racing

50 EW

@41.00

Lose

-100

I'll put in a small EW for COLUMNIST. Form has been poor since the gelding, but I see legitimate excuses - Ascot's 7f proved a little too much having been in touch with the leaders with one to go, and he had a terrible start at Newmarket. Before that he won a C2 and came a quarter length third in a G2 with another couple of good shows after that. Depends on whether the ground softens, but with a falling mark I'm tempted to plump on a place.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 York

Absurde

Daily Racing

131 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-131

This is a tricky contest, and honestly could go to any of the leading four, reflected in the betting. But I have a soft spot for ABSURDE who is proven at Listed level and although the racing post has him down as versatile ground wise, to me it looks like good or firmer is a better fit (such as his 2023 Ebor win at C&D) which is good news based on tomorrow's going. Mullins is in red hot form (15/33, 45% last 14 days) and Tudhope is in decent nick (7/40, 18% last 14 days) having led him to glory before such as the Chester Stakes. Gets the lowest draw, on a good mark and things are stacking up for me to back him.
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14:33 2:33 Bath

Flash Harry

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@1.40

Lose

-250

Almost nicked a C3 contest here last summer at odds of 50/1. The return at Wolves a few weeks back really hammered that form home, having won easily. This is another weak contest that has obviously been targeted. Big things ahead for this one likely, but he will need to show it in this race.
13 June 2025
16:35 4:35 Chester

Vixey

Daily Racing

135 WINNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 12/06 at 21:470.10 deduction for Original Thinker@7.50 withdrawn at 06:570.00 deduction for Highfield Viking @21.000 withdrawn at 09:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.1) = 5.05

@5.05

Win

546

A tough field to call but VIXEY is calling me. Simon West has been selective with his entries recently, and clearly sees this as winnable. Back down in class and down slightly in trip to we within range of the Beverley win five weeks ago. A mark of 66 is promising considering her last turf winning mark was 69 back in 2023. Has drifted right in both recent runs so if Brookes can fix that she'll be a force to contend with. This is a speculative one but enough is lining up for me to think she can win this.
13:00 1:00 Sandown

Rising Power

Daily Racing

300 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.50 used instead of 1.33 takenBOG

@1.50

Win

150

The Buick-Appleby axis is powerful and RISING POWER has targeted a soft contest. Good draw and clearly comfortable with the trip, particularly stepping way down into a C4. One of those he convincingly beat in his only run, Moonfall, won today (Thu) so that has franked the form. Yard (4/16, 25% last 14 days), owner (20/84, 24% last 14 days) and jockey (7/26, 27% last 14 days) all bang in form and this looks a formality. NAP.
12 June 2025
17:22 5:22 Yarmouth

Crowd Quake

Daily Racing

176 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@2.75

Void

0

The pedigree jumps out at me, and clearly keeping a regular cadence recently has worked wonders. Three wins in four in May since switching to the flat turf, and could have been a clean sweep if not for losing out by half a length in a 1m4 contest which was evidently a little too far for him. Has gone off favourite in most of those, too, and I expect the market will adjust here as well. Despite the further 6lb rise, I'm hoping for a good performance.
14:50 2:50 Nottingham

Sea Force

Daily Racing

300 WINNAP

@1.53

Win

159

To lose out by a neck and a head as he has done in the last two runs is tough, but all things considered, excellent form when you consider who he was up against. Montpellier was winning a second time whilst Remmooz followed up with a win in a C2 today (Wed). That is clearly good form for SEA FORCE as he goes down in class, slight step up in trip and on a good mark to inflict damage. Haggas in good form too (9/43, 21% last 14 days). NAP.
10 June 2025
18:50 6:50 Fontwell

Jack Sparrow Grey

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@2.38

Win

276

Won 3/3 this year at C&D and going and clearly found his niche, but I don't think he's hit his ceiling yet. Won the last race going away when coming from the back of the field against similar types, including Summer In Milan. Mitchell takes off 5lb and the yard is in form (6/29, 21% last 14 days). Another positive performance in advantageous conditions likely.
09 June 2025
19:00 7:00 Windsor

Regal Envoy

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@6.00

Win

1000

In form with 4 wins in the last 6 and with Murphy on board, whose form reads 61121 on REGAL ENVOY, and with a good record here (22%) and in the last 14 days (19%). Gets the inside rail where he has historically done very well, and firmer ground is advantageous. That may defy the career high mark.
02 June 2025
20:00 8:00 Wetherby

Opal Storm

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-100

This will be a tricky one, especially off a career high mark and from a tricky wide stall. But she's not been disgraced recently, including winning against a decent calibre last time out, and back down in class should compete. Brookes has a good record aboard, and the 3lb claim retained should still help, particularly where OPAL STORM finishes not too far off. Had a good summer last year so maybe she's picking up again now.
28 May 2025
16:48 4:48 Newton Abbot

Yccs Portocervo

Daily Racing

148 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-148

Cap Du Mathan is clearly a talented opponent but is quite out of his range here, clearly preferring 2m3 at the most. On Springs dominated the PTPs this year but might struggle a bit in this area. On the other hand I've been following YCCS PORTOCERVO recently and although the last few runs have been a bit off the boil, he finds himself in comfortable territory here. Distance and going sure to suit, as it did in this competition last year when running away easily with it. He was never going to get anywhere at Aintree, and last time out was a trip too far, so I'm not overly concerned. Only 4lbs above last year's win so wiggle room. Here's hoping for a good performance.
27 May 2025
15:20 3:20 Redcar

Mafting

Daily Racing

175 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.10 on 26/05 at 23:010.00 deduction for Without Burlington@15.00 withdrawn at 05:590.00 deduction for Dragon Warrior @11.000 withdrawn at 06:150.10 deduction for Bin Ajwad @9.000 withdrawn at 06:170.00 deduction for Suite Antique @34.000 withdrawn at 08:370.00 deduction for Mr Withington @21.000 withdrawn at 09:11R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.10 x (1-0.1) = 1.99

@1.99

Win

173

Beaten favorite both times so far, but that doesn't feel like the whole story. Came close last time out when closing the gap late on and honestly has been unlucky. Hamilton, in particular, showed that the slightly firmer footing might have helped, so tomorrow's going suits. My thinking is the duck breaks now.
25 May 2025
14:30 2:30 Curragh

Porta Fortuna

Daily Racing

300 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.25 used instead of 2.10 takenBOG

@2.25

Win

375

I'll come out of hiding for this one while it's still a decent price. Moore (94/304, 31% here; 9/31, 29% last 14 days) comes back on board, having won the previous time he rode her, which is illuminating. Three G1 wins last year and clearly the one to beat here. I'm willing to overlook whatever happened at Del Mar last time out as it was clearly a blip. Clear NAP.

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