Abjekt

A respect for statistics usually goes in my favour, but I can get sentimental occasionally. Definitely head over heart in most cases. Avid follower of sports with good knowledge of most, meaning trends and clues don’t go unnoticed. Been part of OLBG for a while now and done better than I thought. Guess I’ll get back into it.

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Abjekt's Tips History

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All sports
05 July 2025
15:35 3:35 Sandown

Ombudsman

Daily Racing

206 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-206

Surely the pick of the crop here. The rise has been so meteoric, it's incredible to see. Already won at this level in the Prince of Wales and with conditions suiting, a repeat performance wins this. Godolphin in good form (15/80, 19% last 14 days) and hotshot Buick is too (6/33, 18% last 14 days).
04 July 2025
20:25 8:25 Haydock

Stockpyle

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

Anyone of eight could realistically win this, but my preference is for STOCKPYLE. March's second at Doncaster was great, and combined with a break, a wind operation, and a falling mark, a place would be what's expected here. England has a good record here this season with 4 wins from 11 runs.
17:20 5:20 Sandown

Pendragon

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@1.53

Win

106

Excellent since the gelding having won two C5s comfortably to make it 2/3 on flat turf. Well drawn and despite a 10lb rise, is still 2lb to the good against the handicapper. Prescott is 10/43, 23% when running 7 day winners which shows he can prepare for quick fire turnarounds. Should be an easy win in what is a weak field despite a step up in class.
23 June 2025
16:35 4:35 Wolverhampton

Arboreous

Daily Racing

230 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-230

Ran really well on the all-weather the last twice, at big prices. One of those was a close second to a winner ridden by Hollie Doyle, who must have liked what she saw if she takes the reins today. This seems like the sort of contest which sets ARBOREUS up for an overdue win against a weak field.
20 June 2025
16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot

Simmering

Daily Racing

50 EW

@41.00

Lose

-100

The bookies have this down as a straight shootout between four or five market leaders but SIMMERING has a cracking Ascot record, coming within a length of taking last years Albany before following up with the Princess Margaret (with Moore aboard, who had ridden Fairy Godmother in the former and clearly liked what he saw). McMonagle has a decent record aboard, including a runner up at 33s in a G1, and is in decent form (7/38, 18% last 14 days). I'm willing to overlook whatever happened at the Curragh last time out as it was clearly a bad day at the office - and he went close in a G1 there before. Sangster has a good Ascot record and will have prepared for this. Excellent price for an E/W.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot

Naqeeb

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 34.00 used instead of 23.00 takenBOG

@34.00

Win

280

Had a pretty torrid 2024 but seems to have had some green shoots of recovery this year. At York he was a bit unlucky, not getting the room he needed. At Haydock he just ran out of steam on good ground. Conditions and ground should suit here and if he gets anywhere near Baaeed or Hukum's Ascot performances, a place is on the cards. Noting he was 12/16 in the Copper here last year but still within 7 lengths of the winner. E/W chance.
14 June 2025
15:35 3:35 York

Columnist

Daily Racing

50 EW

@41.00

Lose

-100

I'll put in a small EW for COLUMNIST. Form has been poor since the gelding, but I see legitimate excuses - Ascot's 7f proved a little too much having been in touch with the leaders with one to go, and he had a terrible start at Newmarket. Before that he won a C2 and came a quarter length third in a G2 with another couple of good shows after that. Depends on whether the ground softens, but with a falling mark I'm tempted to plump on a place.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 York

Absurde

Daily Racing

131 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-131

This is a tricky contest, and honestly could go to any of the leading four, reflected in the betting. But I have a soft spot for ABSURDE who is proven at Listed level and although the racing post has him down as versatile ground wise, to me it looks like good or firmer is a better fit (such as his 2023 Ebor win at C&D) which is good news based on tomorrow's going. Mullins is in red hot form (15/33, 45% last 14 days) and Tudhope is in decent nick (7/40, 18% last 14 days) having led him to glory before such as the Chester Stakes. Gets the lowest draw, on a good mark and things are stacking up for me to back him.
2 members found this comment useful
14:33 2:33 Bath

Flash Harry

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@1.40

Lose

-250

Almost nicked a C3 contest here last summer at odds of 50/1. The return at Wolves a few weeks back really hammered that form home, having won easily. This is another weak contest that has obviously been targeted. Big things ahead for this one likely, but he will need to show it in this race.
13 June 2025
16:35 4:35 Chester

Vixey

Daily Racing

135 WINNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 12/06 at 21:470.10 deduction for Original Thinker@7.50 withdrawn at 06:570.00 deduction for Highfield Viking @21.000 withdrawn at 09:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.1) = 5.05

@5.05

Win

546

A tough field to call but VIXEY is calling me. Simon West has been selective with his entries recently, and clearly sees this as winnable. Back down in class and down slightly in trip to we within range of the Beverley win five weeks ago. A mark of 66 is promising considering her last turf winning mark was 69 back in 2023. Has drifted right in both recent runs so if Brookes can fix that she'll be a force to contend with. This is a speculative one but enough is lining up for me to think she can win this.
13:00 1:00 Sandown

Rising Power

Daily Racing

300 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.50 used instead of 1.33 takenBOG

@1.50

Win

150

The Buick-Appleby axis is powerful and RISING POWER has targeted a soft contest. Good draw and clearly comfortable with the trip, particularly stepping way down into a C4. One of those he convincingly beat in his only run, Moonfall, won today (Thu) so that has franked the form. Yard (4/16, 25% last 14 days), owner (20/84, 24% last 14 days) and jockey (7/26, 27% last 14 days) all bang in form and this looks a formality. NAP.
12 June 2025
17:22 5:22 Yarmouth

Crowd Quake

Daily Racing

176 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@2.75

Void

0

The pedigree jumps out at me, and clearly keeping a regular cadence recently has worked wonders. Three wins in four in May since switching to the flat turf, and could have been a clean sweep if not for losing out by half a length in a 1m4 contest which was evidently a little too far for him. Has gone off favourite in most of those, too, and I expect the market will adjust here as well. Despite the further 6lb rise, I'm hoping for a good performance.
14:50 2:50 Nottingham

Sea Force

Daily Racing

300 WINNAP

@1.53

Win

159

To lose out by a neck and a head as he has done in the last two runs is tough, but all things considered, excellent form when you consider who he was up against. Montpellier was winning a second time whilst Remmooz followed up with a win in a C2 today (Wed). That is clearly good form for SEA FORCE as he goes down in class, slight step up in trip and on a good mark to inflict damage. Haggas in good form too (9/43, 21% last 14 days). NAP.
10 June 2025
18:50 6:50 Fontwell

Jack Sparrow Grey

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@2.38

Win

276

Won 3/3 this year at C&D and going and clearly found his niche, but I don't think he's hit his ceiling yet. Won the last race going away when coming from the back of the field against similar types, including Summer In Milan. Mitchell takes off 5lb and the yard is in form (6/29, 21% last 14 days). Another positive performance in advantageous conditions likely.
09 June 2025
19:00 7:00 Windsor

Regal Envoy

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@6.00

Win

1000

In form with 4 wins in the last 6 and with Murphy on board, whose form reads 61121 on REGAL ENVOY, and with a good record here (22%) and in the last 14 days (19%). Gets the inside rail where he has historically done very well, and firmer ground is advantageous. That may defy the career high mark.
02 June 2025
20:00 8:00 Wetherby

Opal Storm

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-100

This will be a tricky one, especially off a career high mark and from a tricky wide stall. But she's not been disgraced recently, including winning against a decent calibre last time out, and back down in class should compete. Brookes has a good record aboard, and the 3lb claim retained should still help, particularly where OPAL STORM finishes not too far off. Had a good summer last year so maybe she's picking up again now.

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