jamesburnet22
Laying top seeded players at the exchange - or Backing their opponents at the bookies - is it profitable
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
jamesburnet22's Tips History
13 August 2025
16:00 Magda Linette vs Jessica Pegula
Magda Linette
Win Match
50 WIN
@5.25
Win
212
4th seed Jessica Pegula could well fall foul of Linette in this 3rd round clash. She dismissed Gauff in the 3rd round of the Miami Open earlier in the year, making a major contribution to my overall profit for that tournament.
Subtotal212
12 August 2025
23:40 PHI Phillies @ CIN Reds
PHI Phillies
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.67
Lose
-50
16:00 Dayana Yastremska vs Coco Gauff
Dayana Yastremska
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.25
Void
0
The big guns can and do fall in the 3rd round of big tournaments like Cincinnati, and Gauff is no exception, as witnessed in Miami when Linette took her in straight sets 6-4, 6-4. Yastremska has already spoiled Gauff's year so far, dismissing her from Wimbledon in the 1st round no less. That too contributed to my overall profit for Wimbledon by quite a bit.
16:00 Jasmine Paolini vs Ashlyn Krueger
Ashlyn Krueger
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Paolini had a real struggle to get through to this round, and although she won in straight sets, the set scores were 7-6, 7-6. Krueger, with a heart-stopping 0-6 middle set, sandwiched it with 6-4, 6-3 set wins on either side to secure a place in the 3rd round.
01:30 Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Rybakina has been a bit of a thorn in my side for the past two tournaments, reaching the semis in both Canada and Washington. Mertens, on the other hand, has made me some money, dismissing a couple of major seeded players in early rounds of previous tournaments this year, namely Pegula in the third round in Rome and Svitolina in the third round of Wimbledon.
00:00 Aoi Ito vs Madison Keys
Aoi Ito
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Number 6 seed Madison Keys made hard work of reaching the 3rd round, losing the first set 1-6 and only clinching the match after a tie-break 3rd set. Ito dismissed 27th seed Pavlyuchenkova from the tournament with a 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 victory.
Subtotal-200
11 August 2025
20:00 Anna Kalinskaya vs Amanda Anisimova
Anna Kalinskaya
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
88
Anisimova is an unknown quantity this tournament after a bye in the first round and a walkover in the second. Kalinskaya, after a rocky start in the second round finished Stearns off with a resounding 6-1 final set to win her ticket to the 3rd round.
17:30 Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu
Emma Raducanu
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
With 2 of the top 10 seeds out, just 8 remain, and Raducanu takes on the machine that is Sabalenka. Raducanu is not without ability, claiming the scalps of Navarro and Anisimova in Miami and Melbourne, respectively, earlier this year. Both of these players are top 10 seeded here in Cincinnati.
00:00 Barbora Krejcikova vs Elina Svitolina
Barbora Krejcikova
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
Svitolina is seeded 10th in this WTA 1000 tournament in Cincinnati and is the last seeded player I am opposing. This should be an interesting match with plenty of games to entertain as Krejcikova has the ability to take better players right to the end of the 3rd set.
Subtotal163
10 August 2025
17:30 Xinyu Wang vs Coco Gauff
Xinyu Wang
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
A straight set progression through to the second round for Wang after beating Arango 7-6/6-3 gives her another opportunity to dismiss Gauff from a major tournament in the second round, just as she did in Berlin earlier this year 6-3/6-3.
16:00 Emma Navarro vs Ella Seidel
Ella Seidel
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.75
Win
188
Emma Navarro is seeded No. 8 here at Cincinnati. Notable early exits from major tournaments in either the 1st or second rounds by Navarro include Brisbane (Birrell 7-5, 7-5) and Washington (Sakkari 7-5, 7-6). The biggest shock was losing to Bouzas Maneiro in Paris in the 1st round 6-0, 6-1.
16:00 Jasmine Paolini vs Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Sakkari's progression through to round 2 came after dismissing Rakhimova 6-3, 3-6, 6-2. A notable giant killer after knocking Emma Navarro out of the Citi Open in the 2nd round in straight sets.
16:00 Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegula
Kimberly Birrell
Win Match
50 WIN
@5.25
Lose
-50
Jessica Pegula is seeded 4th here at Cincinnati. One notable high-profile dismissal by Kimberly Birrell was Emma Navarro in Brisbane at the beginning of the year. If you had opposed Pegula at the bookmakers in each match at the Australian Open this year for a £1.00 level stake, you would be £2.00 up.
01:30 Leolia Jeanjean vs Amanda Anisimova
Leolia Jeanjean
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.50
Void
0
Amanda Anisimova is seeded No. 5 here at Cincinnati. Second-round dismissals by Raducanu in Melbourne, Bencic in Indian Wells, Stearns in Madrid, and Kudermetova in Rome mean an early exit for Anisimova is not beyond fantasy.
00:00 Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova
Marketa Vondrousova
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Aryna Sabalenka is seeded No. 1 here at Cincinnati. Defeated Sabalenka in the semi-finals of the German Open in Berlin in straight sets 6-2/6-4 and went on to win the final. Other notable dismissals by Vondrousova this year are Madison Keys and Diana Shnaider in the 1st and 2nd rounds of the same German Open.
Subtotal-12
09 August 2025
19:30 Elena Rybakina vs Renata Zarazua
Renata Zarazua
Win Match
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
Elena Rybakina is seeded No. 9 here at Cincinnati. Zarazua dismissed Katie Boulter in the first round of last week's Canadian Open in straight sets 6-1, 7-5, defying the odds of 1.36 against her.
18:00 Eva Lys vs Madison Keys
Eva Lys
1st Set Winner
50 WIN
@4.00
Win
150
Madison Keys is seeded No. 6 here at Cincinnati. Lys reached the 3rd round of the Canadian Open last week with good, easy wins in the first two rounds.
16:00 Iga Swiatek vs Anastasia Potapova
Anastasia Potapova
Win Match
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
Notable dismissal of world number 8 at the time, Zheng, shows that seeded players are not invulnerable. Swiatek herself left the Canadian Open in the 4th round last week.
16:00 Tatjana Maria vs Marta Kostyuk
Over 20.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-50
The average games played in the 2nd round of the Cincinnati Open over the past 10 years is 21.32, so this qualifies for an Over bet. Both Maria and Kostyuk defeated their 1st round opponents in straight sets 6-4, 6-4 and 6-2, 6-3. Kostyuk's average when she won in the second round so far this year is 21.57 and 28.5 when she lost in the second round. Maria, when she lost her second round matches, has an average of 20.33 games per match but a 25.5 game average when she won her 2nd round matches so far this year.
Subtotal0
08 August 2025
16:00 Caroline Dolehide vs Rebecca Sramkova
Over 21.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
12 out of 31 first-round matches where the winner's odds were 1.67 this year have resulted in the match going to a third set, giving an average of 28.66 games per match. Where the loser's odds were 1.67, the average for first-round matches is 23.4 games per match.
16:00 Lin Zhu vs Lucia Bronzetti
Over 21.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Lin Zhu has won just 4 matches this year, 3 of them at the Canadian Open last week in Montreal, averaging 21.3 games per match. Bronzetti reached the 2nd round of the Canadian Open, winning her match after 31 games had been played. Over the last 10 years, 1st round matches have an average of 22.59 at Cincinnati, with only 2021 dipping below the 21.5 mark with a 20.63 games per match average.
16:00 Lulu Sun vs Antonia Ruzic
Over 21.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
When the odds of the two players are between 1.8 and 2.2, then the average games played per match come out at 22.29.
16:00 Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Leolia Jeanjean
Over 21.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
When she has won her match, Starodubtseva has an average of 22.75 games per match so far this year. The average for all first-round matches in all tournaments this year so far is 21.88.
01:30 Peyton Stearns vs Yafan Wang
Over 21.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Subtotal32
07 August 2025
21:10 CHI White Sox @ SEA Mariners
SEA Mariners
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.36
Win
18
Subtotal18
06 August 2025
17:00 Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakina
Victoria Mboko
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.80
Win
90
00:30 Elina Svitolina vs Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Win
65
Subtotal155
05 August 2025
23:00 Madison Keys vs Clara Tauson
Clara Tauson
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
Subtotal60
04 August 2025
19:00 Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakina
Marta Kostyuk
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.25
Void
0
00:30 Amanda Anisimova vs Elina Svitolina
Amanda Anisimova
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Subtotal-50
03 August 2025
17:30 Clara Tauson vs Iga Swiatek
Clara Tauson
Win Match
50 WIN
@6.00
Win
250
17:30 Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova
Karolina Muchova
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Subtotal200
31 July 2025
01:30 Kamilla Rakhimova vs Elina Svitolina
Kamilla Rakhimova
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Rakhimova had a good first two rounds at Wimbledon, especially the second round where she dismissed Paolini 4-6, 6-4, 6-4. Good enough to oppose Svitolina.
00:30 Amanda Anisimova vs Lulu Sun
Lulu Sun
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Anisimova was left reeling after a 6-0, 6-0 defeat at Wimbledon in the final, and I wonder if it may have knocked her confidence. Both Madrid and Rome saw her being knocked out after her bye round.
Subtotal-100
30 July 2025
19:00 Maria Sakkari vs Jessica Pegula
Maria Sakkari
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
No. 3 seed Jessica Pegula is the next to come under the spotlight to oppose. Her early dismissal at Wimbledon in the first round to 116th ranked Cocciaretto in straight sets was a shock to the tennis community, but a boost to my exchange balance. Christmas came twice as she also fell at the first hurdle in Washington after getting a bye into the second round.
17:30 Hanyu Guo vs Iga Swiatek
Hanyu Guo
Win Match
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
This would be fantastic if this bet came in, and it is not without the bounds of possibility. In last year's Australian Open and in Miami, Swiatek lost when betting odds were below 1.07 and again in this year's Miami Open at odds of 1.06. If you could get 1.01 at the exchange, then a £1.00 liability lay would pay £100. As it is, I have just laid her off at 1.02, giving a potential profit of £50 if she loses, better than the 20/1 the bookies are offering.
16:00 Madison Keys vs Laura Siegemund
Laura Siegemund
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
Madison Keys is the first one today that I am opposing. She had a great start to the year, winning both in Adelaide and Melbourne, but then she was unseeded in both tournaments. Having gained over 3000 points in the first three tournaments of the year that she entered, she has gone into a decline, losing in Miami to 140th ranked Eala in straight sets. Reaching the quarterfinals in Madrid, an understandable loss to the mighty machine Swiatek, and again to Coco Gauff in Paris, that is about as far as she has got in any tournament since.
00:00 Coco Gauff vs Danielle Collins
Danielle Collins
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.20
Lose
-50
Sometimes opposing the favorite is easier than others, and Coco Gauff is one of these occasions. The No. 1 seed in this tournament, she has lost in both of her first-round matches since winning in Paris.
Subtotal-200
29 July 2025
23:00 Elena Rybakina vs Hailey Baptiste
Hailey Baptiste
Win Match
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Rybakina struggled and lost to unseeded Leylah Fernandez last week in the Citi Open in Washington, where every set went to a tiebreak. If she gets through this round, she will have to play Cristian or Noskova. If not this round, then I would think that that round will be the money round. There can only be one seeded player to win the tournament, and even that's not guaranteed!
19:00 Aoi Ito vs Jasmine Paolini
Aoi Ito
Win Match
50 WIN
@7.00
Win
300
Opposing seeded players is something that I have had some success with so far this year. So the few words are not why I think that Ito will win, but more towards Paolini's failure to progress through tournaments. Most recently at Wimbledon, she struggled in the first round, losing the first set 6-2 to Sevastova and then being dismissed by the 80th ranked Rakhimova.
Over 18.50
Total Games
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Ito, whilst only winning one match in her last 19, has fought hard while playing, whatever the ranking of her opponent, and has taken the first set in many of her matches.
19:00 Mirra Andreeva vs Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu
Win Match
50 WIN
@5.00
Void
0
Continuing opposing seeded players, Andreeva is seeded 4th here in Montreal. After being seeded 3rd in Bad Homburg and getting a bye into the 2nd round, it took her, admittedly convincingly, to win the last two sets after losing the 1st 6-3. But then she was dismissed from the tournament in straight sets by Noskova (ranked 30 and unseeded) 6-3, 6-3 in the next round.
16:00 Rebecca Marino vs Emma Navarro
Rebecca Marino
Win Match
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Navarro has struggled to progress too far through tournaments so far this year, losing her first matches in Brisbane, Qatar, Miami, Paris, and most recently in Washington. Worth opposing throughout this tournament.
Subtotal240
28 July 2025
16:00 Fabian Marozsan vs Hugo Dellien
Hugo Dellien
Win Match
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Retired in the first round of the ATP 250 at Båstad in the Nordea Open. Reached the third round in Rome in May after dismissing Seyboth Wild 2-1 in the second.
16:00 Liam Draxl vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Pablo Carreno Busta
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
Started the year ranked 184 at Auckland in the ASB Classic and has steadily worked his way up the rankings to 99. Last seen at the French Open in May, losing to Tiafoe in the second round.
16:00 Mackenzie McDonald vs David Goffin
David Goffin
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
Notable wins this year include the 2-1 dismissal of Alcaraz in the 2nd round of the Miami Open. Has a tendency to progress through to at least the second round of tournaments with the exception of Madrid and Wimbledon.
16:00 Mattia Bellucci vs Hugo Gaston
Hugo Gaston
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Void
0
First-round wins at Indian Wells, Miami, Marrakech, Paris, and Bastad make Gaston a good first-round bet. These two players have yet to meet at the tournament level.
16:00 Roberto Carballes Baena vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Roberto Carballes Baena
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Void
0
He has had some good first and second-round wins on hard courts this year, with notable wins on clay at Marrakech, where he reached the semi-finals in April.
16:00 Vit Kopriva vs Yunchaokete Bu
Vit Kopriva
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.40
Lose
-50
Quarter-finalist in Marrakech in April where he lost to Darderi 7-5/6-2. He has only failed to reach the second round in Madrid and Wimbledon this year.
Subtotal-50
27 July 2025
22:00 Miomir Kecmanovic vs Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
Disappointing results from Eastbourne, Wimbledon, and Los Cabos have dropped him 5 places in the ATP Tour rankings. Definitely has the ability to improve on his losing streak here at Toronto.
17:30 Sebastian Ofner vs Reilly Opelka
Sebastian Ofner
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
Reached the third round of Wimbledon after beating Paul 3-1 coming back from a 1-6 first set defeat. He was also winning the first round match against Medjedovic before Medjedovic retired.
16:00 Adam Walton vs Benjamin Bonzi
Adam Walton
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Reached the semi-finals of the Los Cabos Open earlier in the month where he lost to Shapovalov in straight sets but had a convincing win in the 2nd round beating Basavareddy 6-1, 6-0.
Subtotal-50
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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