HermitUK

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

HermitUK's Tips History

All tips
All sports
07 August 2025
20:20 8:20 Sandown

Hieronymus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Hieronymus has dropped a long way in the weights, and although best recent form is on the all weather surface, he has bits of form on turf. The booking of Jim Crowley is interesting and down in grade Hieronymus might outrun his odds.
19:45 7:45 Sandown

Lunario

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

270

With three places on offer with some firms, Lunario appeals at 17/2. He is in good form at the moment and made light work of a competitive field in a class 4 at Chester. He stays a mile, so the stiff 7 furlongs today shouldn't be a problem. Claiming jockey Jack Dace gets on well with him.
19:30 7:30 Chepstow

Roach Power

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 07/08 at 11:430.10 deduction for Asinara@10.00 withdrawn at 19:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.10) = 6.40

@6.40

Win

2

Roach Power has been doing really well since switching to Michael Wigham at Newmarket and has been able to win twice off a reduced handicap mark. He has gone up in the weights for an easy win over course and distance last month, but he remains of interest having won off higher handicap marks (70 and 75) a couple of years ago. The course clearly suits and he is in very good form presently.
17:00 5:00 Chelmsford City

Little Keilee

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

16:43 4:43 Brighton

Neptune Legend

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Neptune Legend is a big drifter in the face of support for B Associates. Although he has gone up in the weights, Tony Carroll knows how to get one of his to rattle off a sequence, and the step up to 7 furlongs is within his distance range.
16:20 4:20 Nottingham

Bette Davis Eyes

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

240

On better ground and over a mile this time, the Bamfords' Bette Davis Eyes is given a chance to build on an encouraging debut at Thirsk when sent off at 7/4. The currently available 8/1 looks a little too big.
16:10 4:10 Brighton

Silk And Steel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

203

There was plenty of confidence behind Silk And Steel last time at Lingfield. Disappointing on that occasion, He is given another chance, dropping in distance at a track he should handle.
15:20 3:20 Nottingham

Ar Diddy Dum Dum

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

At a more conventional track, Ar Diddy Dum Dum's jockey will be hoping that a repeat of last time's nightmare passage at Windsor will be compensated today. Despite meeting traffic problems, she showed enough ability to be competitive here.
15:00 3:00 Chelmsford City

Redditizio

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

14:50 2:50 Nottingham

Sparkling Pink

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Despite stumbling at the start, Sparkling Pink was pushed out to win a nursery handicap at Pontefract. That form has been boosted since by third-placed Go Victor winning next time out. Sparkling Pink has only gone up four pounds, and her shrewd trainer may well have found another good opportunity. Handicap debutante, Priestess, dropping back in class, is feared most.
14:30 2:30 Chelmsford City

Al Shabab Spirit

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

14:20 2:20 Nottingham

Snow Berry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-50

Only a few pounds higher than winning over course and distance in June, Snow Berry is returned to class 6 company and is a profitable horse to follow in the long run.
14:10 2:10 Brighton

Love Your Work

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Always interesting to see which jockeys ex-jockey trainers use. Love Your Work went close under a claimer at Yarmouth, and he has been dropped a bit more in the weights. He races off 62, and Donagh Murphy can claim seven pounds. He is over-priced if able to capitalise off this mark.
05 August 2025
18:05 6:05 Newbury

British Blue

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

45

Favourite, Miss Cartesian, has every chance here, but possibly not an 11/8 chance of winning. She has to concede over a stone to British Blue racing with just 8-8. She ran well enough in a class 3 over course and distance last time, and in slightly easier company, there's no reason why she cannot run well again at a big price.
02 August 2025
17:05 5:05 Newmarket

Spendmore Lane

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

With a field of eight and a short-priced favourite, Spendmore Lane appeals for each-way purposes. She was heavily backed on seasonal return at Nottingham and didn't get home over six furlongs. Dropped down to 5 furlongs today and likely a good bit sharper, she makes her handicap debut off a mark of just 67 and is preferred to the exposed Irish raider Mary Shoelaces.
16:40 4:40 Thirsk

Hi Royal

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Big Leader could be something special as he bids for a three-timer, but his last race looks a bit weak and arguably he has been well placed so far. Hi Royal's last two races can be passed over - he missed the break last time when stumbling at the start. He is much better judged on his close second in the class 2 Thirsk Hunt Cup off a handicap mark of 102. He races off 101 today and a reproduction of that effort should see him go close back at this track.
16:35 4:35 Newmarket

Mrs Twig

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

A winner of a class 4 and class 3 at this course last year, Mrs Twig returns to this venue on a fair mark. She is effective at this trip and although ground might be a bit on the soft side, at 7/1 she represents a decent each way option.
31 July 2025
16:05 4:05 Nottingham

Between Me And U

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

5

14:53 2:53 Nottingham

Rye

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

14:30 2:30 Goodwood

Merchant

Daily Racing

80 WIN

@2.62

Win

129

Handicap form does not always work out at the top level, but Merchant's win in the King George V at Ascot has been proven at the highest level when the runner-up was second in the Irish Derby. Merchant also accounted for Rahiebb at York in May.
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14:18 2:18 Nottingham

Little Jaybee

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

30 July 2025
19:38 7:38 Leicester

Suhub

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

In receipt of a stone from Aspull and switching back from handicap company, Suhub is preferred at the prices. She was making her seasonal return when getting no luck in running. Today can be a good confidence booster.
19:03 7:03 Leicester

Baybe Driver

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Brightling is greatly respected in current form despite a 6-pound penalty. However, Baybe Driver, a £40,000 Pinatubo yearling, is making his handicap debut after qualifying for a mark in class 4s. This step down in grade should see him in a different light off a mark of just 59.
18:28 6:28 Leicester

Stolen

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.50

Lose

-50

Late-foaled, Stolen was sent off 11/10 favourite in a $26k claiming race at Woodbine in May (5 furlongs on dirt) and duly obliged. She remains in the ownership of Norman Court Stud, and the filly is in the hands of a trainer who is in hot form at the moment. At the price (15/2), Stolen has to be underestimated.
15:20 3:20 Redcar

King Chaos

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

14:10 2:10 Redcar

Tactical Formation

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

29 July 2025
19:25 7:25 Ffos Las

Mission Possible

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Zilfee has presumably had a training setback, and the four-year-old returns from a 412-day racetrack absence in a first-time visor ridden by the apprentice. Preference is for the three-year-old Dubawi filly, Mission Possible, who displayed signs of improvement at Kempton last time and is of interest at 6/1.
18:50 6:50 Ffos Las

So Smart

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

It's difficult to oppose the Tony Carroll-trained Son Of Astar, but I'm not sure he had a lot in hand, and he has gone up a few pounds in the weights for his course and distance win on 9th July. So Smart is marginally preferred, having had a poor draw at Lingfield last time in better company. He is on a winning mark and takes a drop back into class 6 company.
18:15 6:15 Ffos Las

Shetakesthegold

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

It's conceivable that Dublin Bay and Chiliconarneigh will find improvement in a handicap for the first time. But Shetakesthegold looks to be ahead of the handicapper and is improving with each run. At the prices (5/1), she is preferred.
17:47 5:47 Beverley

Sunny Orange

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

This looks like a clever bit of placing by Sunny Orange's connections. He won over track and trip off a handicap mark of 54 on 4th July. He went up in the weights to a rating of 57, but apprentice jockey Jake Dickinson can claim a useful seven pounds, so he is effectively below his last winning mark. Tim Easterby entrusted the jockey to ride Poet's Dawn in a £15,000 Ripon handicap the other day where he finished third, so the team clearly have some faith in his piloting ability to land this.
28 July 2025
21:00 9:00 Southwell

Romantic Spirit

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Romantic Spirit took a bit of a bump and was hampered last time out at Haydock. She remains on a mark of 68 which seems most fair given the manner of her win at Wolverhampton the time before.
20:00 8:00 Southwell

Daytona Lady

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

25

Minnesota Lad looks like a favourite worth taking on (terrible level stakes profit / low win rate). Daytona Lady has good bits of form at this track and has slipped to an attractive mark and is suggested as an alternative to the jolly. The unexposed Kalik is another option returning to 6 furlongs.
19:25 7:25 Southwell

Noodle Mission

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

12

Noodle Mission won over the course and distance last August off a mark of 86 (four pounds lower today). He has been a bit disappointing on turf lately but has conditions today and a positive jockey booking.
18:52 6:52 Southwell

Eden Storm

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Eden Storm has mostly been competing in class 4 and 5 events this year. He is dropped into class 6 company and with a further ease in the handicap should be able to make his presence felt.
18:20 6:20 Southwell

Key Of Magic

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.62

Lose

-50

Key Of Magic is rightly odds-on. A classy-looking Justify colt making a big step down in class, having shown promise when making the frame at Sandown. That form has been boosted since by the runner-up winning next time out. May Angel ran in a decent Newmarket novice stakes on debut and is also likely to improve.
15:15 3:15 Yarmouth

Carlton

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

100

Dual-purpose Carlton has flat form and clocked up a four-timer over 1 mile 6 furlongs in the winter. Last win on the flat was in May over two miles at Chelmsford off a mark of 68. Races off 71 and is too big a price at 20/1.
14:45 2:45 Yarmouth

Pearl River

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Two that stand out are Half Sovereign (a good winner at Ayr) and Pearl River. The two-year-old colt ran in a really good class 2 at Haydock last time, which has produced four winners and a couple of seconds next time out. Although Pearl River finished only 6th, the two behind both him subsequently won well, including in better company. 11/2 looks very generous.
14:15 2:15 Yarmouth

Gorgeous Mr George

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Gorgeous Mr George has now put in two good runs at this course, including a win last time out over the distance. He has gone up three pounds for that, but the three-year-old looks the type to shake that off with continued progression. The second and third have run well next time out to give the form a fairly solid look.

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